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Gold fluctuates. When will a new trend start?China and the United States reached a 90-day ceasefire agreement, and the price of gold returned to 3,200 from 3,400 US dollars. All traders are staring at the support level of 3,200 US dollars, and are very worried about whether it can withstand pressure; it will fall to a larger level, resulting in no trading opportunities for gold positions. I think your concerns are normal, and market fluctuations are also normal. There is no market that only rises and never falls; even in the bull market, there will be periodic adjustments. Next, the focus is on the maturity of US Treasury bonds in June. The impact of trade conflicts will soon be forgotten by the market; US CPI inflation continued to decline in April, from 2.4% in the early stage to 2.3%, getting closer and closer to the Fed's ultimate goal of 2%, which means that the Fed will soon have to restart the interest rate cut plan. Once the US Treasury bonds mature and default or trigger panic, or if Fed Chairman Powell reveals his intention to cut interest rates, gold will rise rapidly and may reach a high point within 1-2 days. Okay, everyone; you need to understand the basic situation, but the most important thing is the operation strategy during the Asian trading session. I think you can first test the long strategy around $3225, with a stop loss below 3215 and a profit in the rebound range of $3340-3360. Man, excessive worrying will not help; if you can't accept short-term volatility trading, you can wait and see and stay calm.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
1
CPI data market, buy gold!Fundamentals: Focus on CPI; Technical aspects: As expected in my previous article, gold has rebounded to the area around 3250-3260 as expected.According to the current structure, gold tends to fluctuate upward in the short term; it may even extend to the 3280-3290 area.Gold rebounded after touching 3207, and combined with the secondary low point near 3215 to form a "W" structure. This technical structure has formed a strong support structure for gold prices; and after the bad news is exhausted, the on-site wait-and-see funds will gradually enter the market, which will also push up the gold price to a certain extent. So I think gold still has the conditions to challenge the 3280-3290 area! Trading strategy: Consider starting to go long on gold in batches in the 3250-3240 area, target price: 3270-3280
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
CPI data released. Impact on gold prices?Gold suffered a setback this week; but then it rose to $3,250 and began to fluctuate slightly. CPI data was released this morning, but it did not have a big impact on gold. The current price is still in a sideways trend. Two support positions need to be paid attention to today: Downward $3,230 support line, if it falls below this position, the gold price will quickly reach below $3,200. Upward $3,270 resistance line, if it breaks through the resistance position strongly, there is hope to try to break through $3,300. Quaid believes that if the gold price fails to break through today and presents a new trend, it is likely to continue the sideways trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
1
XAU/USD Bearish Trade Setup Supply Zone Rejection to Target 3350Trend Overview 📉 Downtrend in Play Price has reversed from the peak near $3,354 Currently trading below the 70 EMA (📍$3,299.86) Forming lower highs – indicating bearish momentum. Key Zones & Levels 🔶 Supply Zone (Resistance) 📍 $3,290.72 – $3,353.41 Strong selling pressure expected here Possible short entry if price gets rejected 🟦 Support Zone (Previous Support) 📍 Around $3,254 – $3,210 Price has previously bounced here 🎯 Target Point (Take Profit) 📍 $3,050 Clear support level – used as a profit target Trade Setup – Bearish Bias 🟩 Entry Point 📉 Sell near $3,290.72 (inside supply zone) 🛑 Stop Loss ❌ Above $3,354.69 (above resistance line) ✅ Take Profit 💰 Target $3,050 ⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio Approx. 1:3 – Favorable for short trades. Summary 🔍 Watch for a rejection in the supply zone 💼 Setup is ideal for short sellers 📊 Downtrend is supported by structure and EMA
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Jameshead007
Gold turning point. What signals are hidden?Overall analysis of gold trend: Gold prices suffered a setback under the influence of the optimism of tomorrow's US-China negotiations. The core reason for the decline in gold prices is the breakthrough in global tariff negotiations. The key factor driving the rise in gold prices early on: Tariff concerns are significantly easing, which directly leads to the gold market entering a phased consolidation. I think the price of gold will fluctuate in the range of US$3,000-3,300 per ounce for some time to come. This forecast range is significantly narrower than before, reflecting that in the current complex and changing market environment, gold price fluctuations will tend to be rational. I think the gold price at this time is already at the crossroads of an important trend. The current gold market is facing a fierce game between long and short factors. On the one hand, the optimism brought about by the easing of trade tensions suppresses gold prices; on the other hand, the safe-haven demand generated by economic uncertainty, potential spot shortages, and the continued inflow of ETF funds provide support for gold prices. This complex market environment makes the trend of gold prices full of variables. For traders, it is more necessary to remain rational in the current market environment, pay attention to short-term price fluctuations, and grasp the long-term value of gold as a safe-haven asset. The next round of big market in the gold market may be nurtured in these seemingly contradictory market signals. Operation strategy: Traders need to try to adopt scalping trading strategies in the current small fluctuation range, enter the market in time, and take profits in time. The current fluctuation range is between $3200 and $3245. You can try to short near the high point and long at the low point, so that you can reap a small profit. If you are a large-capital customer who can withstand market fluctuations, you can hold the position and wait and see for part of the time, and then choose the appropriate time to close the position.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Continue to short gold after the reboundFundamentals: The positive signals from the China-US negotiations have eased the market's concerns about the US economic recession, and the weakening of risk aversion has stimulated a sharp pullback in gold. Market funds are no longer eager to seek safe-haven assets, so they withdraw their funds from gold and turn to risk markets. Technical aspects: The gold price plummeted by $110 during the day. Although it has rebounded slightly at present, the overall rebound momentum is relatively weak. The upper 3280-3290 area is currently the main short-term suppression level, followed by the 3240-3250 area. If the rebound in this area is not broken, you can continue to short gold, and the shorts may continue to reach new lows; focus on the support of the 3200 mark below. If 3200 is not broken, then the bulls may try to counterattack and fill the upper gap; if gold falls below 3200, gold will continue to fall to the area around 3170. Trading strategy: 1. Consider shorting gold after it rebounds to the 3245-3255 area, TP: 3220 2. Consider going long on gold after it continues to fall to the 3180-3170 area, TP: 3220; 3. If gold stabilizes above 3200, we can consider going long on gold around 3200 in advance.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
1
Gold plunged. Will it rebound?Market Summary: Gold prices suddenly saw a new round of selling in Asian markets on Monday, and the price of gold just fell to $3,210/ounce, reaching today's low, a drop of nearly $110. Gold prices weakened at the beginning of the new week as the latest optimism about the US-China trade agreement continued to weaken demand for traditional safe-haven assets. At the same time, positive signals from the US-China negotiations eased market concerns about a US recession. This, coupled with the Fed's hawkish comments, helped the dollar stabilize near multi-week highs and put pressure on gold. The gold price trend seems quite fragile. Gold prices fell and broke below the main bullish trend line in the short term, which sent a bearish signal, indicating that the trend may change. I think the US-China trade agreement will have an impact on gold prices for a period of time. Technical Analysis: Gold's 4-hour level oscillation downward trend is relatively obvious, and the shape is a step downward. After the gold gapped down, there was a large gap. The gold rebound was unable to continue to fall. It is not easy to cover it in the short term. It will be covered in the process of the market. On the whole, for the short-term operation of gold today, Quide suggested that the rebound should be shorted as the main strategy, and the retracement should be long as the auxiliary strategy. The short-term trading should focus on the upward resistance of 3240-3250 US dollars, and the downward resistance should focus on the support position of 3200-3190 US dollars. Today's operation strategy: Operation strategy 1: Short the price when it rebounds to around 3245 US dollars, stop loss at 3260 US dollars, and take profit near 3210. Operation strategy 2: Long the price when it falls back to 3210 US dollars, stop loss at 3200 US dollars, and take profit near 3240.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
Will gold fall? Here comes the latest analysis.Technical analysis: Gold fell rapidly in the morning and then bottomed out and rebounded. When the price broke through $3,324, it began to rise. The weak market will not rebound significantly. When the rebound that engulfed the decline appears, it will continue to rise. However, it should be noted that gold has been fluctuating at a high level for a week. It rose sharply on Monday and Tuesday, fell sharply on Wednesday and Thursday, and it is still fluctuating sharply today. For the current trading market, I think the price of gold will continue to rise in the fluctuation. After the hourly cycle breaks through the $3,324 position, the market will gradually increase today, and there is room for further upward continuation. I think short-term trading is still mainly long; after the rebound high, you can choose a short strategy. Action suggestions: Long strategy: Go long at US$3330, stop loss at US$3320, and take profit at US$3360-3370. Short strategy: short at $3,365, stop loss at $3,380, take profit at $3,300-3,310.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
GOLD → sideways fluctuations. Will it break the resistance levelNews summary: US President Trump announced a trade agreement with the UK, which raised hopes of reaching such an agreement with other countries, eased market tensions, suppressed gold's safe-haven buying, and the rise in the US dollar, US stocks and US bond yields also suppressed gold prices. US Treasury Secretary Bensont and Trade Representative Greer will talk with China's top economic officials in Switzerland in the near future. Quaid reminds everyone that market concerns have not completely dissipated, and it is necessary to pay attention to the support of bargain hunting. The European Commission said earlier that if negotiations with Washington fail to cancel a series of tariffs imposed by US President Trump, the EU is considering taking countermeasures against US imports worth up to 95 billion euros. Close attention needs to be paid to news related to the international trade situation and changes in market sentiment during this trading day. Support level analysis: 3310-3300 US dollars/ounce: 3300 US dollars is a psychological barrier and technical support for the confirmation of the previous price retracement. If it falls below 3300, it may fall to the 3280 US dollar area. Resistance level analysis: 3360-3375 USD/ounce: Gold is currently above the convergence and oscillation range. 3360-3375 USD is the high pressure level of the previous day's box consolidation. If it breaks through this position strongly, the upward space will open up. Technical analysis: Gold is in a high-level oscillation and convergence range. The 4-hour MACD indicator shows that the short-selling momentum is weakening, but the hourly chart shows that the price is still constrained by the downward trend line. If gold prices stabilize at $3,300, it may trigger a rebound to $3,350-3,360; if it falls below $3,280, it may accelerate the downward trend. if it falls below 3280 USD, it may accelerate the downward trend. Operation strategy: Bull strategy: Long at 3315-3325 USD, stop loss at 3305 USD, target position at 3350-3360 USD. Short strategy: short at $3365-3375, stop loss at $3380, target position at $3330-3300.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
GOLD→Beware of market reversal? News is coming soon.At the end of the Asian session, the US dollar index was around 100.05. Gold rebounded after the plunge, and the current gold price is around $3,320/ounce. Investors will see a large number of speeches by Fed officials, among which Williams' remarks are the most watched and are expected to trigger a big market trend. Today's major news: New York Fed President Williams will deliver a keynote speech at the 2025 Reykjavik Economic Conference. Later, Williams will speak at the Hoover Monetary Policy Conference. I think if Williams makes hawkish remarks, it may push the dollar stronger, thereby suppressing gold prices. Williams also serves as vice chairman of the Federal Open Market Committee and has permanent voting rights like the Fed governors. In terms of monetary policy, Weems has the most say after Chairman Powell. Williams also served as chairman of the San Francisco Fed for nearly 7 years. There are also several events taking place today: Fed Governor Kugler will speak on maximizing employment; North Richmond Fed President Barkin will participate in a fireside chat; Chicago Fed President Goolsbee will deliver a welcome and opening speech at a Fed event. Gold price trend forecast: I think its price may fall further to $3,200-3,100/ounce in the next few weeks. I hope my analysis can help you, and I wish you good luck.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
Gold price fell after a surge? Continue the downward trend?Analysis of gold market trend: Gold price surged in the morning of Asian session, but then fell to around $3,315. Market situation analysis shows that gold price continued the trend of yesterday in Asian time, rising rapidly in the morning, and then began to decline. It fell to $3,275 in the morning, and then rose to today's high of $3,330. From the perspective of the gold hourly line, it began to rise after a brief decline in the morning of Asian session, effectively breaking through the resistance level of 3,315 and rising to a high of $3,330 for a short time. Then a downward trend appeared. This high-level fluctuation shows that the market is in a big wash and is brewing a new trend. I think the downward space may be around $3,300. Operation strategy: Short around $3,320, stop loss at $3,330, and take profit at $3,300.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
Gold prices pulled back. Will prices continue to fall?Latest news: Trump announced a trade deal with the UK, which boosted market risk appetite; coupled with a sharp rise in the US dollar and US bond yields, gold prices plummeted in the Asian morning trading session. US President Trump and British Prime Minister Starmer announced a "breakthrough agreement" on trade, which made market traders predict that the United States would also reach such an agreement with other countries. This prediction has made market buyers lose motivation. Quaid believes that if the United States and China reach an agreement, gold prices will face great resistance to rise, and gold prices should fall back to $3,200/ounce. Market trading analysis: The upward trend of gold paused and started a sharp decline. As described by the RSI, buyers are losing momentum. This is not good for gold, and the price has now fallen below $3,300/ounce. Quaid believes that it will continue to fall and may fall to the cycle low of $3,202/ounce. Short-term trading strategy: Short at 3280, stop loss at 3290, and take profit at 3260. Quaid believes that if the price of gold falls below the downward resistance level of 3275, you can continue to hold your position and choose the right time to trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
Gold is expected to pull back, short gold!Fundamentals: Focus on the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's speech; I think the Fed will keep the interest rate decision unchanged this time, at least it will not announce a rate cut this time, which may suppress the gold market; Technical aspects: Before the Fed's interest rate decision, gold is currently in a volatile state. However, relatively speaking, it is currently in a volatile and bearish state, with short-term resistance in the 3395-3405 area; and gold has repeatedly tested the 3370-3360 below during the retracement process. After multiple tests, gold may be more likely to break through this support area; the key support below is in the 3360-3350 area, followed by the 3320-3310 area. Trading strategy: Consider shorting gold in the 3395-3405 area, TP: 3370-3360
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
2
The Fed meeting is coming. Will gold fall?Today's news focus: The US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce the interest rate decision; Fed Powell will hold a monetary policy press conference. The market generally expects that this meeting will continue to maintain the previous data, because the impact of tariff policies on inflation and the economy still needs to be observed. The Fed's interest rate cut may be carried out in June. Since this interest rate decision does not update the economic forecast, the focus will be on the Fed's incidental comments on any signals of future interest rate cuts to support the economy. Since the decision to keep the interest rate unchanged has been fully digested by the market, Powell's tone at the press conference will be the key to changing the market's expectations for interest rate cuts this year. Today's gold trend analysis: At present, according to the hourly chart, gold is still under pressure at the range resistance above 3400; on the one hand, the current tariff storm has cooled down, and on the other hand, the interest rate cut has decreased; and the news data to be released will cause a series of fluctuations in gold in the short term. At the same time, the market is currently betting that the gold price will have a further trend correction, which may cause capital outflows from the market, which will further hit gold bulls. Quide believes that there is still room for operation in the short term. The resistance level of short-term upward movement is around 3400, but since the game between major powers has not stopped, there will be no major negative factors; if the news data does not fluctuate much, the market may not have a big dive. Operation strategy: Short around 3400, stop loss at 3410, and take profit in the range of 3370-3360. Quide will always pay attention to important news and can provide professional analysis and suggestions for everyone in a timely manner. I hope to help everyone recover their losses in the gold trading market.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
1
Gold bides its time. Bulls are suppressed at high levels? Gold is waiting for the Fed's interest rate decision. analysis in Asian time period: Gold opened with a sharp drop due to international news, and continued to fluctuate at a high level in the 3360-3400 range predicted by Quaid. I predicted in the early Asian session that the price of gold would rise to around 3390 and then fall back to around 3370-3360. And its trend is just as Quaid predicted and analyzed, with a correction after the predicted high point. Now it seems that gold has fallen into a high-level fluctuation range after a sharp drop in the early Asian session, which is in line with my expectations. Quaid believes that the trend direction of the European session is very important. The current upward suppression range is between 3400-3415, and the downward support level is between 3360-3370; On the contrary, if the European session falls below the downward support range, it may continue to fall. But Quaid believes that the overall upward trend of gold prices has not changed. Gold prices are just accumulating strength now, and will continue to rise after the adjustment. Overall trend analysis: Quaid recommends that the long strategy is still the main one. If the support range of 3360-3370 can resist the downward trend, then we can still carry out the long strategy after the price falls back. Operation strategy: Long strategy: Go long when the price falls back to 3365, stop loss 3350, take profit range 3400-3415. Short strategy: Go short at 3395, stop loss 3405, take profit 3360.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
1
Has the road to gold adjustment begun?Gold has reached a high of around 3404, so this position can be used as an important pressure point. In this continuous upward trend, once there is a sharp decline, it is likely to be a signal that the short-term bulls have peaked. Then we need to consider whether the bears can reverse, and the current upper pressure point is also the high point of the last wave of pullback near 3393, and the lower support is at 3360. Trading idea: short near 3387, sl: 3400 tp: 3370
TVC:GOLDShort
by Fortune-signal
XAU/USD Analysis: Chart Indicates Elevated VolatilityXAU/USD Analysis: Chart Indicates Elevated Volatility The XAU/USD chart shows that the ATR (Average True Range) indicator has reached its highest level in several weeks, signalling increased market volatility. In addition, trading activity is being fuelled by heightened geopolitical tensions, now including an escalation of the conflict between India and Pakistan. The price action analysis of the precious metal also provides valuable insight, highlighting the ongoing battle between supply and demand. Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart On 23 April, we noted a sharp shift in sentiment after the price of XAU/USD peaked around $3,500. Gold price fluctuations today suggest continued bearish pressure above $3,400, leading to a downward reversal at peak B, which sits below the previous high at A. This forms the basis for outlining a descending channel and suggests that bears may attempt to keep the price within its boundaries. On the other hand, the $3,333 level was decisively broken by a wave of buying (shown with a blue arrow), and a bullish “cup and handle” pattern is emerging in the background — it is possible that, as part of the May rally, bulls may try to surpass peak B. Whatever the outcome, elevated volatility appears likely to persist — especially with the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision due today at 21:00 GMT+3, followed by Jerome Powell’s press conference at 21:30. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
Are gold bulls regaining control of the market? 📌 Driving factors The latest news from the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs on Wednesday showed that Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng will visit Switzerland from May 9 to 12. During this period, he will serve as the Chinese leader of Sino-US economic and trade and hold talks with the US leader, US Treasury Secretary Benson. Beijing said that on the basis of fully considering global expectations, Chinese interests, and the calls of the US industry and consumers, China decided to agree to engage with the US. Any dialogue and negotiation must be carried out under the premise of mutual respect, equal consultation, and mutual benefit. If the United States attempts to continue to coerce and blackmail under the guise of talks, China "will never agree." The market is paying attention to the policy decision announced by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday. It is expected that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged at the meeting, but this meeting may be the last meeting with such a clear result. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is unlikely to provide clear guidance on how the Fed plans to respond to U.S. tariffs. Macquarie analysts led by Thierry Wizman wrote in an investor report, "If traders naively believe that the Fed will save the world and use obvious "dovish" signals to alleviate the recent increase in policy and political uncertainty, then they should think again." In addition, investors also need to pay attention to the impact of news related to the geopolitical situation. This week, Israel and the Houthi armed forces "fought hard", which also provided safe-haven buying support for gold prices. There have also been some conflicts between India and Pakistan, which investors need to pay attention to. 📊Comment Analysis Gold price awaits today's interest rate result, rebounded well above 3400 but then fell immediately, indicating that the market is not ready for the first rate cut, and if there is, gold price may face strong selling pressure today 💰Strategy Package Long position: Actively participate near 3365 points, profit target is around 3420 points ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Gold price fell after a high? Trend reversal?Analysis of Asian morning session: The recent high point of gold price reached 3437 US dollars, and it fell sharply after the Asian morning session opened. The gold market opened after the Asian holiday, and the bulls rose strongly; the Asian morning session was volatile, and the current lowest reached around 3360, a drop of 77 US dollars. Then it adjusted back and reached a high of around 3404; this position can be used as an important resistance level at the opening time of the Asian session. Between the sharp rise in the morning of the past two days, and the upward continuity of the European and American sessions, coupled with the recent continuous rise and fall, the rapid fall in the Asian morning session. Quaid believes that in this continuous upward pattern, once there is a sharp fall, it is also likely to be a signal of insufficient bullish power in the short term; then we need to consider whether the bears can reverse, and the current upper pressure position is at 3395 US dollars, and the lower support level is at 3360 US dollars, which is equivalent to the previous top and bottom conversion. Operation strategy: Short when the price returns to 3390, take profit at 3370-3360, stop loss at 3400. Good luck to everyone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
Gold still has the potential to extend to 3420-3430.Fundamentals: Focus on the Fed's interest rate decision; Technical aspects: Gold rose to 3397 and encountered resistance and fell back, and the bulls' momentum was insufficient. But I think the gold bulls are far more than that. Gold is bound to hit 3400, and even continue to the 3420-3430 area; since gold rebounded after hitting 3200, it has repeatedly built a solid bottom structure support below, and the oscillating rise has effectively supported the continued rebound of gold. As the center of gravity of gold moves up, the support structure also gradually moves up. The current short-term support is in the area around 3380-3370, and the second is in the area of ​​3365-3355. Trading situation: According to today's trading strategy: Go long on gold at 3350 in the morning and around 3375 in the afternoon. In order to lock in profits in time, manually close orders at 3366 and 3394 respectively. Today, the total profit in gold long transactions exceeded 360pips. Trading strategy: During the rising shock, there are profit opportunities for both long and short parties in some areas, but currently, overall, bulls have the advantage and are mainly long gold. Consider the opportunity to go long when gold falls back to the area around 3380-3370, TP: 3400.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade