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Gold and War: The Hidden Signal Behind the RallyIt is well-known that wars have a significant impact on gold prices, and the key factor often lies in the stance of the U S. Before the election, geopolitical tensions and inflation created favorable conditions for gold’s rise. However, with Trump winning the presidency, gold prices experienced a sharp decline. The primary reason was his campaign statements about actively mediating the Russia-Ukraine war if elected. As a result, the market anticipated an end to the war, triggering a rapid sell-off in gold. Although gold prices have recently started to recover, this seems more like a technical correction to the previous drop. Yesterday, an intercontinental missile was deployed in the war for the first time. On the surface, this appears to signal an escalation in the conflict, but I believe it may actually hint at the war nearing its end. This “last frenzy” could be both sides vying for the strongest position at the negotiating table. In this context, how long can the current gold rally last? How high might it go? These are difficult questions to answer. However, one thing is clear: when peace talks are finalized, gold could retreat to the 2480-2350 range.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradingGuide_Dean
1
Go long gold: TP: 2675-2680Brothers, gold has failed to fall below 2660 many times, so as I said in my last article, I closed the short position near 2664, and immediately went long on gold near 2664, and manually closed the long position near 2770. At present, gold has fallen back to near 2660 again and has not fallen below, so I have gone long on gold near 2664 again. Although gold has fallen back locally, it has not fallen below the short-term support of 2655, and has not even fallen below 2660, so the gold bull energy still has the advantage, so the gold fall is an opportunity to go long on gold. And according to the current structure, gold still has the possibility of continuing to rise and touching the 2675-2680 area, and may even touch 2690. So the trading strategy: go long on gold in batches in the 2665-2655 area, TP: 2675-2680
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_Marvin
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 21.11.24Reason for sell Bearish Cross: The 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is nearing the 50-day SMA. A daily close below the 50-day SMA would confirm a bearish crossover, suggesting a potential downward trend. Relative Strength Index (RSI): While the RSI is above 50, indicating bullish momentum, it's not strongly above this level, which might limit the upside potential. Lack of Strong Upside Momentum: Gold prices have been consolidating recently, and there hasn't been a significant breakout to the upside. This lack of strong bullish momentum could contribute to bearish sentiment. However, it's important to note that the technical picture is not entirely bearish: RSI Above 50: As mentioned, the RSI being above 50 suggests some bullish momentum. Potential for Upside: A daily close above the 50-day SMA could reverse the bearish trend and lead to further upside. Ultimately, the direction of XAU/USD will depend on a combination of technical factors and fundamental news, such as interest rate expectations, economic data, and geopolitical events. It's advisable to monitor these factors closely and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD: Sell Around ResistanceLast week, I repeatedly emphasized that gold would rebound and recommended focusing on long trades. Those who followed my strategy have likely secured substantial profits this time. Additionally, I clearly pointed out yesterday that gold would retest the support around 2580, presenting a new buying opportunity, with resistance at 2608–2614. This analysis has been validated by the market movement. Currently, gold prices have risen to around 2640, entering a new resistance zone. Today’s trading strategy will focus on selling near the resistance area to capture potential pullback opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mia-Signal
XAU/USD 19 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 12 November 2024, I highlighted the anticipation of a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) as an indication of a bullish phase initiation. Price has now confirmed this by printing a bullish CHoCH. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range and remains consistent with the broader pullback requirements of higher timeframes. This internal range forms the basis for today's expectations. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to the premium of the internal 50% equilibrium (EQ), where it is currently positioned. Alternatively, price may trade higher to reach the H4 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,536.855. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: According to rules and a systematic process, price has printed a further bullish iBOS in-line with HTF bullish pullback phase. Currently CHoCH positioning, which is denoted with a blue dotted line, and internal low are positioned close-by, therefore, price could print new highs to reposition CHoCH. You will note the internal range has significantly narrowed. The printing of a bearish iBOS could potentially be an early signal that the H4 pullback phase has completed. Intraday Expectation: For today's session, we are looking for confirmation of a bearish pullback phase by price printing a bearish CHoCH. Bearish CHoCH positioning is currently marked with a blue dotted line. Alternative scenario: H4 remains in bullish pullback phase and is currently trading in premium of 50% EQ where we could see a reaction, therefore, it would not surprise me if price printed a bearish iBOS on M15 TF. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish policy approach and rising geopolitical tensions, heightened volatility in Gold prices is expected to continue. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential whipsaws in price action. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD "Gold vs USD" Market Money Heist Plan on Bearish SideHallo! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰 This is our master plan to Heist XAU/USD "Gold vs USD" Market Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Pink Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry in pullback. Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Long side, If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰. Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. 💖Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style. Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Thief_Trader
Gold XAUUSD How Long This Correction Will Continue! Read CaptionOANDA:XAUUSD forms a retreat and tests 2577 following a fake breakdown of 2546. After such a severe fall, it is a very reasonable response. The dollar is growing more quickly, and the fundamental context is still negative. China's ambiguous economic figures heightened economic worries. Powell stated that there is no need to lower interest rates right now because the economy is still expanding, the job market is strong, and inflation is still above the 2% target, but this uncertainty regarding future rate reduction by the US Federal Reserve is still weighing on the markets. Now, everyone's eyes are on the crucial retail sales data. Technically, it is important to watch the resistance at 2589 and the 0.5-0.7 fibo. Below these areas, a false breakdown and consolidation could lead to a collapse. Resistance levels: 2578, 2592, 2604. Support levels: 2543, 2532, 2504 Key : 2565 OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is currently indicating that the pullback up might be a little drawn out. Before the news, MM will probably aim for liquidity (above these levels). Bears may become active in response to a false breakout, which would only boost sales. However, the likelihood of a breakdown and decline will rise if there is a bounce from 0.5 fibo and a smooth recovery to 2546.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
XAU/USD 15 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 November 2024. Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. This is in-line with all HTF's requiring a pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Bullish CHoH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Following price has printing bearish iBOS, price has printed bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,536.896. Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Set to Form “W” Bottom Based on the current price action, there is potential for a “W” bottom to form. If this pattern plays out, today’s high should surpass yesterday’s 2626. However, if the price falls below 2690, the key support levels to watch will be between 2578-2573. I personally believe the probability of this scenario is low. Therefore, the strategy is to buy, but it’s essential to control position size and allow for some flexibility in case of unexpected adverse movements. Remain agile, seize the rebound opportunity, and manage risk effectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mia-Signal
XAUUSD Strategic Buy at Support ZoneI am taking this buy entry based on several technical factors. Firstly, the RSI is at 24.22, indicating a significant oversold condition. This suggests that the price might be ready for an upward correction, as oversold levels often precede a rebound. Additionally, the price is near an important support area around $2,611, a level that has shown previous market reactions. Although the recent trend has been bearish, I believe this entry has the potential to capitalize on a short-term pullback. I have set the entry price at $2,611.07, with a stop loss at $2,570.38 to limit potential losses if the price continues to decline. My take profit is positioned at $2,644.33, aiming for a reasonable target that captures a potential rebound. My plan is to maintain strict risk management and closely monitor price action at this level to confirm if the buy decision is validated by a favorable reaction.
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by MetalsMine
XAU/USD "Gold Dollar" Market Money Heist Plan on Bearish Side.Ola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑💰 This is our master plan to Heist XAU/USD "Gold Dollar" Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich 💰. Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe, Recent / Nearest High Point. Stop Loss 🛑: Recent Swing High using 3h timeframe Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Short side, If you've got a money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰. Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style. Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by Thief_Trader
XAUUSD: Holding Short Positions Over the WeekendAfter rising to around 2704, gold prices have retraced, and the resistance remains strong, causing the price to fluctuate near the support level. Market sentiment remains cautious, making it difficult to form a clear trend in the short term. If you prefer not to hold positions over the weekend, it's recommended to close your positions before the market closes. If you choose to hold positions over the weekend, I would personally suggest considering holding short positions before the market closes. Given the current market weakness, gold prices may face further downward pressure. For those with less favorable account conditions, it's advisable to set stop-loss orders (SL) to effectively manage risk. Unpredictable news or events over the weekend can cause unexpected volatility, and having a stop-loss in place will help prevent significant losses from sudden market movements.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mia-Signal
XAU/USD – Is the Uptrend Ready for the Next Move?Gold is approaching a major support level within its rising channel! 📊 Could this be the next higher low (HL) in the uptrend? If bulls step in here, we might see a push back toward the channel highs! 🚀 🔹 Key Support Levels: $2,655 is the immediate support, while $2,580 serves as a critical backstop below. 🔹 Potential Setup: Long on bullish confirmation around these supports. 🔹 My Thought: I believe Gold could be forming another HL here, potentially setting up for another push higher before any major correction. Historically Gold has shown bullish momentum leading up to U.S. elections, rallying once before turning bearish afterward. What are your thoughts? Are you bullish or bearish on gold? 💬 Drop your comments below and let’s discuss! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kashifone1
XAUUSD: Target of 2686 Achieved; Bulls Still Have OpportunityAs of now, gold has rebounded by over $40, achieving the 2686 target shared in our post-drop strategy. Those who sustained losses during the recent decline should now have recouped them, and some may even be in profit. This trading experience has likely given everyone a deeper understanding of the market, as well as an opportunity to learn to overcome the inevitable fears that come with trading, helping to bring a more rational approach. Looking ahead, I believe the rebound following this major drop is not yet over. A retest of support levels will be a key focus, and as long as support holds, gold reaching 2700 again seems very likely. For strategy, we can continue focusing on buying at lower levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mia-Signal
XAUUSD: Buy@2660-2652 TP 2686-2702The result of the election, with Trump becoming the President of the United States, led to a significant drop in gold prices. The original target range for this week was between 2786-2752, but due to the news impact, the target was reached earlier than expected, so the upcoming trading plan needs to be adjusted. Today's trading was quite volatile. The long positions entered early were closed near 2728, resulting in some losses. However, these losses were effectively compensated during the subsequent rebound. At the same time, short positions brought in substantial profits . Currently, gold prices have dropped to around 2760.. It's important to note that gold's price corrections often come with strong rebound signals. If you're currently holding long positions and temporarily trapped, it's advisable to remain patient, as a rebound is expected soon. My personal target for this rebound is around 2700. The potential for this rebound is worth watching closely.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mia-Signal
XAU/USD 06 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal. Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high. We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As outlined in yesterday's intraday analysis dated 05 November 2024, I mentioned that price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price printed to this expectation, successfully targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS. While price has not yet printed a bullish CHoCH, it has moved up to the premium of 50% EQ, allowing me to confirm the internal structure. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to target the weak internal low. Note: Given the ongoing Presidential elections, the Fed’s softer stance, and heightened geopolitical tensions, price is expected to remain highly volatile. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Going Long on Gold During the Election PeriodTomorrow, gold is expected to experience significant volatility, as market sentiment may be influenced by a range of events, particularly the outcome of the elections. Based on the current technical setup, my plan is to maintain a bullish bias in the short term, especially if gold continues its upward trend. However, if the election results turn out to be unfavorable for the bulls and the market reverses, I will add short positions to my existing bullish trades to capitalize on potential downside risks. I will closely monitor price movements and adjust my strategy based on market reactions. Additionally, after the end of this week, given the increasing market uncertainty, my focus will shift to short positions, with the aim of targeting the 2686-2652 range. This area is likely to provide strong support and will be an important level to watch.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mia-Signal