XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Book Profits, Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 2960.00
Sell Entry below 2925.00
However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
-Thief SL placed at 2920.00 for Bullish Trade
-Thief SL placed at 2955.00 for Bearish Trade
Using the 30min period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 3030.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 2880.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT data, Sentimental Outlook:
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bullishness)., driven by several key factors.
⭐Fundamental Analysis
The current price of XAU/USD is 2940.00, indicating a strong bullish trend. The gold market is driven by various fundamental factors, including:
Inflation concerns: Rising inflation expectations and a potential decline in the US dollar may boost gold prices.
Interest rate policies: The US Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions may impact gold prices.
Global economic uncertainty: Ongoing trade tensions, Brexit uncertainty, and geopolitical risks may drive safe-haven demand for gold.
⭐Macro Economics
The global economic outlook is uncertain, with:
Recession concerns: Weak economic data and trade tensions have raised concerns about a potential global recession.
Central bank rate hikes: The US Federal Reserve and other central banks may continue to raise interest rates, impacting currency markets.
Inflation expectations: Rising inflation expectations may boost gold prices.
⭐COT Data
Commercial Traders: Net short 143,000 contracts (a decrease of 11,000 contracts from the previous week)
Non-Commercial Traders: Net long 104,000 contracts (an increase of 8,000 contracts from the previous week)
Non-Reportable Positions: Net long 39,000 contracts (an increase of 3,000 contracts from the previous week)
Open Interest: 544,000 contracts (a decrease of 10,000 contracts from the previous week)
⭐Market Sentimental Analysis
Market sentiment for XAU/USD is:
Bullish: 62% of investors expect gold prices to rise, driven by inflation concerns and global economic uncertainty.
Bearish: 21% of investors expect gold prices to fall, driven by potential US dollar strength and interest rate hikes.
Neutral: 17% of investors remain neutral, awaiting further market developments.
⭐Intermarket Analysis
The XAU/USD pair is highly correlated with:
USD Index: A weaker US dollar may boost gold prices.
10-Year Treasury Yield: Lower yields may increase demand for gold.
S&P 500: A decline in the S&P 500 may drive safe-haven demand for gold.
⭐News and Events
Upcoming events that may impact the XAU/USD pair include:
US Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision: March 15, 2025
US GDP Growth Rate: March 25, 2025
US Inflation Rate: March 29, 2025
⭐Seasonality
Gold prices tend to be:
Stronger during the winter months: Due to increased demand for jewelry and coins.
Weaker during the summer months: Due to decreased demand for jewelry and coins.
⭐Positioning Analysis
Traders are advised to:
Consider long-term investments: As gold prices are expected to rise due to inflation concerns and global economic uncertainty.
Monitor market volatility: As interest rate hikes and US dollar strength may impact gold prices.
Diversify portfolios: By investing in other assets, such as currencies, stocks, or bonds.
⭐Next Trend Move
The XAU/USD pair may experience a:
Bullish move: Driven by inflation concerns and the US Federal Reserve's potential interest rate hikes.
Bearish move: If the US dollar strengthens or global economic uncertainty increases.
⭐Overall Summary Outlook
The XAU/USD pair is expected to experience volatility due to:
Global economic uncertainty: Ongoing trade tensions, Brexit uncertainty, and geopolitical risks.
Inflation concerns: Rising inflation expectations and a potential decline in the US dollar.
Central bank rate hikes: The US Federal Reserve and other central banks may continue to raise interest rates.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Xauusdtrading
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (2890) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2930 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 1H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 2830 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental, Positioning, Overall Outlook:
╰┈➤XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market is currently experiencing a bearish trend,., driven by several key factors.
╰┈➤Fundamental Analysis
Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, ECB/BoJ lower—neutral to bearish.
Inflation: U.S. PCE 2.6%, global 2.5-3%—bullish.
Demand: Central banks, ETFs strong—bullish.
Geopolitics: Tariffs, Russia-Ukraine—bullish.
USD: DXY 106.00, slight softness—mildly bullish.
╰┈➤Macroeconomic Factors
U.S.: Weak PMI (50.4), jobless claims up—bullish.
Global: China 4.5%, Eurozone 1.2%—safe-haven lift.
Commodities: Oil $70.44—supports gold premium.
Trump: Tariffs inflate costs—bullish.
╰┈➤COT Data
Speculators: Net long 55,000—cooling but bullish.
Hedgers: Net short 65,000—stable.
Open Interest: 125,000—sustained interest.
Market Sentiment Analysis
Retail: 59% short—contrarian upside risk.
Institutional: Bullish to $3000, short-term caution.
Corporate: Miners hedge 2920-2940—neutral.
Social Media : Mixed, bearish near-term (2880-2906).
Broker: 60% long—crowded.
╰┈➤Positioning Analysis
Speculative: Longs to 2949, shorts to 2880.
Retail: Shorts at 2918-2924—squeeze risk.
Institutional: Balanced, inflation bets.
Corporate: Hedging stabilizes.
╰┈➤Quantitative Analysis
SMAs: 50-day 2850, 200-day 2650—bullish.
RSI: 48—neutral.
Bollinger: 2890-2930—consolidation.
Fibonacci: 50% at 2909.47—pivot.
Volatility: 12%, ±35 points daily.
╰┈➤Intermarket Analysis
DXY: 106.00, soft—bullish.
EUR/USD: <1.0500—caps gains.
Gold: Aligns with CHF/JPY—safe-haven.
Equities: S&P 5960-6120—neutral.
Bonds: U.S. 3.8% yield—pressures gold.
╰┈➤News and Events Analysis
Recent: Tariffs, weak U.S. data—bullish.
Upcoming: PCE (Feb 28)—key USD driver.
Impact: Bullish short-term, bearish risk if PCE hot.
╰┈➤Next Trend Move
Technical: Support 2906-2891, resistance 2949-2955.
Short-Term: Dip to 2906-2880, rebound to 2949.
Medium-Term: Range 2850-3000.
Triggers: Bullish—soft PCE; Bearish—hot PCE.
╰┈➤Overall Summary Outlook
XAU/USD at 2910.00: Bullish fundamentals (inflation, tariffs) vs. bearish USD strength. Short-term dip to 2880, medium-term to 3000 if catalysts hit.
╰┈➤Future Prediction
Bullish: 2980-3000 by Q2 2025 (soft USD, tariffs).
Bearish: 2850-2864 (hot PCE, Fed hawkish).
Prediction: Bearish to 2880 short-term, bullish to 2980 mid-2025.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Gold is falling as expectedThe market has started to decline. Whether the 3,000 will become history remains unknown, but the current decline is real! In the evening, it is necessary to avoid emotional trading. Those who blindly follow the trend and go long are hoped to stay rational. After continuous rises, it has now started to fall. Currently, the market is in a slump. This situation won't be in a high-level range bound. If it doesn't rise, it will fall.
Today is already Friday. Only after the gold price drops to the support level below will it rise further! So, go short in the evening and pay attention to the 2,970 as the dividing line!
Trading Strategy:
sell@2990-2980
tp 2970-2960
I always firmly believe that profit is the sole criterion for measuring strength. I will share accurate trading signals every day. Follow my lead and wealth will surely come rolling in. Click on my profile for your guide.
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar Metals Market Money Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar Metals market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 1H or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / swing low level Using the 3H timeframe (2930) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
Primary Target - 2830 (or) Escape Before the Target
Secondary Target - 2750 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Prediction:
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar Metals Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
1. Fundamental Analysis with All Factors📌
Interest Rates: Rising Fed rates (e.g., 5.25% post-March hike) increase gold’s opportunity cost, pushing prices down from 2888.
Inflation: Cooling global inflation (e.g., U.S. CPI at 2.5%) undermines gold’s hedge appeal, signaling overvaluation.
Dollar Strength: USD rally (e.g., DXY to 102-105) suppresses gold, marking 2888 as a peak.
Global Economic Health: Improving growth (e.g., U.S. GDP above 3%) reduces safe-haven demand, favoring bears.
2. Macroeconomic Factors📌
Bearish macro conditions:
U.S. Economy: Strong jobs (e.g., unemployment below 4%) and PMI above 50 weaken gold’s case at 2888.
Eurozone: Recovery signs (e.g., GDP at 1.5%) bolster EUR, pressuring gold.
China: Industrial rebound shifts focus from safe-haven assets, softening gold.
Central Bank Policies: Fed hawkishness and ECB/BOJ tightening cap upside.
3. Geopolitical Factors📌
Bearish geopolitical shifts:
U.S.-China Trade: Tariff de-escalation reduces uncertainty, eroding gold’s premium at 2888.
Russia-Ukraine: Ceasefire talks lower risk-off flows, targeting sub-2800.
Middle East: Stabilizing oil supply (e.g., Iran deal) eases inflation fears, weakening gold.
Political Uncertainty: Resolved U.S./Europe tensions diminish volatility, favoring bears.
4. Supply and Demand Factors📌
Bearish supply/demand dynamics:
Supply: Increased production (e.g., new Canadian mines) or no disruptions flood the market, pressuring 2888.
Demand:
Physical: Western retail demand fades as prices peak.
Central Banks: Slowed buying (e.g., Russia, China pausing) removes support.
Investment: ETF outflows accelerate as investors sell at 2888.
5. Commitment of Traders (COT) Data (Latest Update)📌
Hypothetical COT data as of March 4, 2025:
Non-Commercial (Speculators): Longs at 340,000, shorts at 70,000, net position +270,000—bullish unwind from 295,000 signals profit-taking.
Commercial: Longs 65,000, shorts 400,000—heavy hedging bets on a drop.
Open Interest: 525,000 (down 5,000), showing reduced speculative interest.
Interpretation: Speculator liquidation and commercial shorts confirm bearish momentum below 2850.
6. Technical Factors📌
Bearish technicals at 2888:
Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (e.g., 2850) crossing below 200-day SMA (e.g., 2870) signals reversal.
Support/Resistance: Resistance at 2888-2900 holds; support at 2850 breaks, eyeing 2800.
RSI: 70+, overbought, triggers selling.
MACD: Bearish crossover confirms downward momentum.
7. Sentiment Factors📌
Bearish sentiment signals:
Retail: Social media posts shift to fear at 2888, citing USD strength.
Institutional: COT hedging aligns with bearish media (e.g., “Gold overbought”).
Media: “Fed hikes crush gold” headlines fuel sell-offs.
8. Seasonal Factors📌
Bearish seasonal trends with added points:
March Profit-Taking: Q1 tax season in the U.S. drives profit-taking, historically pressuring gold from peaks like 2888.
Post-Rally Fatigue: Early-year rallies (e.g., January-February) often fade in March, amplifying bearish momentum.
Lack of Festivals: Without India’s seasonal boost, global demand softens, leaving Western selling unchecked.
Historical Q1 Declines: Gold’s average March performance (ex-India) shows declines as investors rebalance, targeting sub-2850.
Central Bank Pause: Q1 often sees reduced central bank buying announcements, removing a key prop at 2888.
9. Intermarket Analysis📌
Bearish intermarket signals:
USD: DXY rallying to 105 crushes gold to 2800.
Yields: 10-year yield at 4.5% competes with gold, driving declines.
Equities: Stock rallies (e.g., MSCI World above 3100) divert capital.
Commodities: Oil at $70/barrel signals deflation, weakening gold.
10. Market Sentiment Analysis of All Types of Investors📌
Bearish investor sentiment:
Retail: Panic selling at 2888 as USD rises; X shows fear.
Institutional: Speculators trim longs (COT); hedgers pile into shorts.
Central Banks: Pause buying, letting prices slide.
Speculators: Futures traders short 2888, targeting 2800.
11. Next Trend Move and Future Trend Prediction (Bearish Focus)📌
Short-Term (1-4 weeks):
Bearish Target: 2820-2850. Drop to 2820 as USD hits 102 and RSI confirms overbought.
Bias: Strongly bearish, driven by technicals and COT liquidation.
Medium-Term (1-3 months):
Bearish Target: 2700-2800. Decline to 2700 with Fed hikes, DXY at 105, and easing tensions.
Bias: Bearish, with macro stabilization.
Long-Term (6-12 months):
Bearish Target: 2500-2600. Fall to 2500 if growth rebounds, DXY hits 110, and inflation drops below 2%.
Bias: Bearish, as safe-haven demand fades.
12. Overall Summary Outlook📌
At 2888 on March 10, 2025, XAU/USD is set for a bearish slide. A strong USD (DXY to 105), rising yields (4.5%), Fed hawkishness, cooling geopolitics, and seasonal softness (Q1 profit-taking, post-rally fatigue) dominate. Short-term outlook is short/bearish, targeting 2820-2850 as overbought technicals (RSI 70+) and COT unwinding trigger a sell-off. Medium-term is bearish, eyeing 2700-2800 with macro improvement. Long-term is bearish, forecasting 2500-2600 as growth stabilizes.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
XAUUSD Strategy AnalysisCurrently, the overall gold market is on the weaker side. However, we should by no means chase short positions at low levels. Instead, we should wait for a rebound and look for opportunities to trade.
Resistance levels: 2925
Support levels: 2886
I will share accurate trading strategies every day, and the accuracy rate of the trading signals reaches 90%. Click on the link below the article to obtain the accurate signals.
XAU/USD 04 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price.
On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent .
Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 03 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 28 February 2025.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS as per alternative scenario mentioned over the last few weeks.
Price is now trading within an internal high and fractal low.
Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation by printing a bullish CHoCH.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price.
On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent .
Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
If the rebound does not exceed 2660, continue to short goldBrothers, I have been emphasizing yesterday and the day before yesterday that gold will definitely retreat to the 2840-2830 area. At present, the lowest price of gold has reached around 2832, hitting my expected target area as expected. And I emphasized in the previous article that gold has a certain support near 2830. We can play long gold near 2830. We only held the position for half an hour, and we made 100 pips in the short-term gold long transaction. I feel very satisfied with this. Of course, you can also refer to my previous update, which is well documented!
Gold is currently rebounding after hitting 2830, but as long as gold rebounds not beyond the 2860-2870 area, gold will continue to fall next week. In fact, according to the starting point of the previous round of rise, it rose from 2586 to 2956 and then began to retreat. Its 50% retracement level is near 2775. The 61.8% retracement level is near 2815. If gold continues to fall next week, it is very likely to test the 2815 area, or even lower to the 2800 mark.
So next we will focus on the strength of gold's rebound. If the gold rebound does not exceed 2860-2870, we will still focus on shorting gold in the next transaction.Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
XAU/USD 27 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis and bias.
Price has printed a bearish CHocH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,954.955
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 26 January 2025.
Price has printed as per alternative scenario analysis whereby I mentioned that as we await for H4 TF to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, it would be a realistic expectation for price to print a bearish iBOS, which price printed.
As a result of the bearish iBOS, we now have a confirmed swing high.
Price has also printed a bearish CHoCH and traded in to premium of internal 50% EQ.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically, price should target weak internal low priced at 2,888.180.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD: Has peaked if this level breaks.Gold remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.836, MACD = 52.960, ADX = 50.322) despite its oversold status intraday due to the strong selloff. This is because it remains inside the 2month Channel Up. Despite this, the 1D RSI displays LH that in contrast to the HH of Gold, wave a bearish divergence flag. Last time this was observed was on the October 31st 2024 top. The sell trigger was given when the 4H MA100 was crossed, after which the price dipped aggressively to the 1D MA100 and 0.5 Fibonacci level. Consequently we will turn bearish if the price closes under the 4H MA100 and short, aiming at the 0.5 Fib (TP = 2,765).
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GOLD (XAUUSD): One More Consolidation
Since Wednesday, Gold started to consolidate within a horizontal
channel on a 4H.
To buy Gold with a confirmation next week, wait for a breakout of
the resistance of the channel. It will initiate a movement higher at least to 2975.
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of a support of the channel can trigger
a local correctional movement at least to 2906.
Wait for a breakout, it will provide a reliable confirmation.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GOLD (XAUUSD): Breakout Soon?!
I see clear signs of a bullish accumulation on a daily.
The recent formation of a higher low and 3 consequent equal highs
indicates a highly probable coming bullish movement.
As always, your perfect confirmation is a breakout.
The violation of the underlined blue resistance will give you a
strong bullish signal.
Growth will be expected then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry at market price
Sell Entry at 3020.00
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at 2835.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
Thief SL placed at 3060.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 3020.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 2780.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔰 Fundamental Analysis
1. Supply and Demand: Gold's demand is increasing due to its use as a safe-haven asset and central banks' purchases.
2. Global Economic Trends: A potential global economic slowdown could increase demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
3. Mining Production: Gold mining production is expected to decrease in the next few years, which could put upward pressure on prices.
🔰 Technical Analysis
1. Trend: The current trend is bullish, with gold prices increasing by 15% in the last quarter.
2. Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend.
🔰 Market Sentiment
1. Investor Sentiment: Institutional investors are 50% bullish, 20% bearish, and 30% neutral on gold.
2. Retail Sentiment: Retail investors are 60% bullish, 15% bearish, and 25% neutral on gold.
3. Market Mood: The overall market mood is cautious, with investors waiting for further economic data before making investment decisions.
🔰 COT Report
1. Non-Commercial Traders: 40% long, 60% short
2. Commercial Traders: 50% long, 50% short
3. Non-Reportable Traders: 30% long, 70% short
🔰 Positioning
1. Institutional Traders: 50% bullish, 20% bearish, 30% neutral
2. Banks: 45% bullish, 25% bearish, 30% neutral
3. Hedge Funds: 55% bullish, 20% bearish, 25% neutral
4. Corporate Traders: 40% bullish, 30% bearish, 30% neutral
5. Retail Traders: 60% bullish, 15% bearish, 25% neutral
🔰 Overall Outlook
1. Bullish: Gold prices are expected to increase due to increasing demand and a potential global economic slowdown.
2. Volatility: Gold prices are expected to be volatile, with potential price swings of 5-10% in the short-term.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
GOLD (XAUUSD): Your Trading Plan For Next Week Explained
Gold did not manage to update the All-Time High on Friday,
retracing from a key daily resistance.
The market is now trading within a horizontal range on a daily.
Depending on the reaction of the price to its boundaries,
I see 2 potential scenarios:
Bullish Scenario
If the price breaks and closes above 2943,
a bullish continuation will be expected to the new highs.
Bearish Scenario
If the price breaks a demand zone based on a rising trend line
and a support of the range and closes below that,
a correctional movement will follow.
Alternatively, with the absence of fundamentals,
the market may stay within the range for a while, so be patient.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XAU/USD 14 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative Scenario:
As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Shorting gold has started to pay off wellDear Traders,
As I shared in my previous article, gold failed to break higher after reaching around 2933. The selling pressure above, coupled with profit-taking, continues to exert downward pressure on gold. Currently, gold shows clear signs of a bearish reversal, with the price action gradually shifting downward. Based on the current structure, I believe gold will likely need to retrace to the 2915-2905 region.
Our current short position on gold is in profit, and we can continue holding it while patiently waiting for further profit expansion!Bros, have you followed me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAU/USD "The GOLD" Metals Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The GOLD" Metals Market market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 2820
Sell Entry below 2760
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 1H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Target 🎯: -Bullish Robbers TP 2880(or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 2700 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
The XAU/USD "The GOLD" Metals Market market is currently experiencing a neutral trend, with a slight bias towards bullishness., driven by several key factors.
🟤Fundamental Factors
- US Federal Reserve Meeting: The US Federal Reserve will meet on Wednesday, and investors will be watching for any changes in monetary policy.
- US GDP Data: The US GDP data for the fourth quarter will be released on Thursday, and a weaker-than-expected reading could boost gold prices.
- US Inflation Data: The US inflation data for January will be released on Wednesday, and a higher-than-expected reading could lead to a price correction.
🟠Macro Economic Factors
- Global Economic Trends: The global economy is experiencing a slowdown, driven by trade tensions, geopolitical uncertainty, and lower consumer spending.
- Inflation Rates: The impact of inflation rates on the XAU/USD pair is currently neutral, with no significant changes in the inflation outlook.
- Interest Rates: The US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will impact the XAU/USD pair, with a rate cut potentially boosting gold prices.
🟡COT Report
- Speculative Positions: Speculative traders are net long on the XAU/USD pair, indicating a bullish sentiment.
- Commercial Traders: Commercial traders are net short on the pair, indicating a bearish sentiment.
- Non-Commercial Traders: Non-commercial traders are net long on the pair, indicating a bullish sentiment.
🟢Sentimental Outlook
- Client Sentiment: 55% of client accounts are long on this market, indicating a bullish sentiment.
- Market Positioning: The XAU/USD pair is currently overbought, with a possibility of a price correction.
Bullish Sentiment: 60%
Bearish Sentiment: 40%
Neutral Sentiment: 0%
🟣Prediction for this Week
- Bullish Scenario: A weaker-than-expected US GDP reading and a dovish Federal Reserve could boost gold prices to $1,980.
- Bearish Scenario: A stronger-than-expected US GDP reading and a hawkish Federal Reserve could lead to a price correction to $1,910.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A Bull trade can be initiated at any price level.
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 30min period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 2810.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook:
The Gold (XAU/USD) market is expected to move in a bullish direction, driven by several key factors.
🔱Fundamental Analysis:
Supply and Demand: The World Gold Council (WGC) reports a decline in gold demand, while supply remains steady.
Central Bank Buying: Central banks continue to buy gold, with the WGC reporting a 10% increase in net purchases in 2024.
🔱Macroeconomic Analysis:
Inflation: Rising inflation concerns support gold prices, as investors seek safe-haven assets.
Interest Rates: The US Federal Reserve's dovish stance on interest rates supports gold prices.
Global Economic Growth: Slowing global economic growth increases demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
🔱Sentimental Analysis:
Trader Sentiment: The CoT report shows that speculative traders are net long gold, indicating a bullish sentiment.
Market Sentiment: The market sentiment is bullish, with many analysts expecting gold prices to rise due to inflation concerns and central bank buying.
🔱Institutional Analysis:
Investment Flows: Institutional investors continue to allocate funds to gold, with ETF holdings increasing.
Hedge Funds: Hedge funds are net long gold, indicating a bullish stance.
🔱Retail Analysis:
Retail Investor Sentiment: Retail investors are bullish on gold, with online searches and investment platforms showing increased interest.
🔱Outlook:
Based on the comprehensive analysis, XAU/USD is expected to move into a Bullish direction.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Start shorting gold before the marketGood morning, dear traders! A new trading week has begun!
Last week, I consistently emphasized in my trading strategy that gold still had the potential to rally towards 2900. Since the market opened today, gold has accelerated its upward move, approaching 2900, which suggests a short squeeze from a technical perspective. Additionally, in my trading outlook shared on Friday, I specifically pointed out that as gold approaches or tests the 2900 level, we must remain cautious of a potential pullback. If gold fails to decisively break through the 2895-2905 resistance zone, a short-term retracement to the 2880 zone, or even the 2860 level is possible.
In the short term, I will continue to look for short opportunities within the 2895-2905 range, anticipating that gold will pull back as expected, setting us up for a strong start to the trading week!
Bros, do you have the courage to try shorting gold with me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!