XAUUSD: Channel Up offering trading opportunities.Gold is trading inside a Channel Up on the 4H timeframe since the Nov 12th low. Stable bullish technical outlook on 4H (RSI = 66.543, MACD = 8.550, ADX = 30.155), which calls for an extension of the current price action which is at the bottom of the Channel Up currently, to a new HH. We aim at a +1.96% rise (symmetrical with previous bullish legs), TP = 2,030.
Sell if the 4H MA50 breaks (current Support) and target the 4H MA200, our current projected TP = 1,975 but will change depending on when the breakout happens.
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XAUUSD: Bullish Divergence on 4H.Gold turned bearish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 43.890, MACD = -0.091, ADX = 34.371) after the November Channel Down almost hit the 4H MA200. It hit our 1,935.50 TP nonetheless (see previous signal at the bottom), and now the short term is giving us a buy signal in the event of a break over the Channel Down.
The 4H RSI holds a HL trendline which is a Bullish Divergence against the LL of the Channel Down. Consequently we will open a long if the price crosses over the top of the Channel Down, which is highly likely ahead of the U.S. CPI report tomorrow, and target a Triple Resistance level, the 4H MA50, the R1 and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement (TP = 1,965).
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XAUUSD: Bullish inside Channel Up. Bearish under it.Gold turned again marginally overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 70.196, MACD = 25.640, ADX = 45.356) as it managed to stay supported inside the Channel Up pattern of October, over the 4H MA50 as well. Even though Gold's price action this past month took many traders by surprise, its price action is really that simple, a technical Channel Up, which keeps the trend bullish inside it (TP = 2,055) targeting the 3.5 Fibonacci extension (like the October 13th HH) or if it crosses under the 4H MA50, bearish targeting the 4h MA200 and 0.5 Fibonacci global retracement level (TP = 1,922.50).
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XAUUSD: Excellent opportunity to buy the dip this week.Gold is on a fierce rally since the October 6th bottom that has turned the 1D technical outlook overbought (RSI = 71.518, MACD = 17.530, ADX = 38.679). The price crossed over the Fibonacci 0.618 level but Friday's 1D candle closed downwards leaving a big wick above (but still closed green). We may see a Triangle consolidation much like March 20th-April 3rd before a higher price, allowing the 1D RSI to drop under 60.000 again the the 1D MA50 to approach within supporting distance.
Technically, the whole pattern since September 20th-now, is indentical with February 2nd-March 20th, as their highs and lows are on symmetric levels. Consequently, this week's pullback can be an excellent opportunity to buy the dip and target the candle body high of May 4th, the All Time High (TP = 2,050).
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XAUUSD: Shortterm rally but consider last week's 1W MA50 reboundGold opened much higher today in the aftermath of the Israel geopolitics, with a move that has technically corrected the previously oversold 1D technical outlook (RSI = 38.184, MACD = -22.590, ADX = 40.526). Regardless of the fundamentals related to the conflict, the 1D MACD is reversing towards a Bullish Cross from deeply oversold territory and a rally to the 1D MA50 seems a quite probable outcome based on the August and July runs.
The target is Fibonacci 0.5 (TP = 1,880) which was reached (even surpassed) on both those bullish legs. In addition, last week's candle closing was over the 1W MA200, after hitting it for the first time in 11 months. This can be a hint towards a potential long term bullish reversal, but what we can do now with such geopolitics involved is take it day by day.
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XAUUSD: Channel to 1,953.Gold is holding well inside the last week's Channel Up and on the 1H timeframe it reached the overbought zone (RSI = 74.328, MACD = 2.620, ADX = 35.131). Even though we are bullish long term, this overbought state might cause a minor pull back or consolidation as on September 15th. The RSI has in fact reached the 77.600 R1, which was the High of that date. This doesn't alter our R1 target (TP = 1,953).
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XAUUSD: Buy signal if the price breaks over this Resistance.Gold turned bullish again on the 4H timeframe (RSI = 63.771, MACD = -1.560, ADX = 40.595) after crossing today over the two week Channel Down and naturally the 4H MA50 and MA200 periods. Following the 4H MACD Bullish Cross, this rally can extend to at least R2 and that's our bullish target (TP = 1,953). The entry signal will be closing over R1.
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XAUUSD: Huge Inverse Head and Shoulders calling for rebound.Gold crossed and will most likely close the day under the 1D MA50 turning the 1D timeframe marginally bearish (RSI = 44.910, MACD = 1.190, ADX = 25.617). The strongest Support level is the 1D MA200, which right now is trading exactly on S1 (1,893). We have however a bullish pattern close to completion as the price may be forming the RS of a huge Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. This technical pattern is associated with long term bottoms and bullish trend reversals.
The price is now on the 0.236 Fibonacci level from the market high. The longer it stays there, the more likely it is to hold it as the neckline's Support and complete the Inverse Head and Shoulders. A 1D candle close over R1 (1,987.50) will target the 0.786 Fibonacci and that is our long position's target (TP = 2,040).
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XAUUSD: New buy sequence started. Still early to enter.XAUUSD has closed the last three 4H candles over the 4H MA50, turning the 4H timeframe bullish (RSI = 58.063, MACD = 1.870, ADX = 29.244). After the yesterday's Low at the bottom of the 4H Channel Up pattern, this is technically the new bullish sequence that aims at pricing the next HH at its top. The 4H RSI rebounded at the same level as on the July 06 Low.
If the new HH leg is similar, then it should make a +4.33% rise, which conveniently falls just under the 0.786 Fibonacci level from the All Time High. We are buying this technical signal, targeting the Channel's top (TP = 2,035).
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XAUUSD: Strong rally started on the 1D MA50.XAUUSD on the 1W timeframe shows a bullish technical action still at its start (RSI = 59.100, MACD = 26.140, ADX = 22.906) supported by the fact that this week Gold is rising after holding the 1D MA50, which was the Resistance for the last 2 months.
This rise is an extension of the HL rebound at the bottom of the 8 month Channel Up and has already reached our first TP which was the 1,985.50 R1. A candle close over it (which will also be over the 0.5 Fibonacci level), targets the 0.786 Fibonacci (TP1 = 2,041) and eventually a crossing over R2 targets R3 (TP2 = 2,082).
An key observation is that the 1W RSI is trading inside a Rectangle at the same time as the price's Channel Up. Top can be used to take profit and sell.
A secondary observation is that the 1W MACD is on course to form the first Bullish Cross since November 2022. If it does it will be a huge long term buy signal.
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XAUUSD The first Golden Cross (4h) since March can deliver 2005.Gold is trading inside a Channel Up that got it off the prior downtrend as it crossed above the MA50 (1d).
The price hit the top of the Channel Up, so a pullback is expected, same as July 3rd and July 10th.
Perhaps the most important development today is the first Golden Cross (4h) since March 15th.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy near 1,966.
Targets:
1. 2005 (top of Channel Up).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is perhaps more illustrative of the expected minor pullback as it appears to have completed a leg similar to those that peaked on July 7th and June 30th. Also there is a Rising Support to consider for the Channel Up.
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XAUUSD: Hit the 1D MA50 after nearly 2 months.Gold crossed over the 1D MA50 today for the first time in almost 2 months (since May 17th). As the 1D timeframe turned bullish again (RSI = 58.454, MACD = -7.380, ADX = 44.489) this is the first major bullish signal of a projected new long term rally.
However we will wait until the first 1D candle close over the 1D MA50 and make a confirmed buy entry. Our first target is the R2 (TP1 = 1,985.50) just under the 0.5 Fibonacci level and second the 0.786 Fibonacci level (TP2 = 2,041.00) just under the R3.
It has to be mentioned that the price also crossed above the 1D MA100 today.
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XAUUSD: Breakout now retesting the Support. Buy.Gold broke on Friday over the LH trendline and reached the 4H MA50 for the first time in 10 days. The rejection is now retesting the LH in the form of Support, as it happened on the May 30th bullish breakout. That was the leg to the top of the Channel Down. With the 4H timeframe being neutral (RSI = 46.429, MACD = -2.220, ADX = 38.259) and the RSI on the same bullish divergence, we are buying into this retest and target the top of the Channel Down and contact tranjectory with the 4H MA200 (TP = 1,943).
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XAUUSD: Reached the bottom of the 8 month Channel Up. Strong buyGold hit the bottom of the Channel Up that started back in November turning the 1D technicals bearish (RSI = 38.023, MACD = -15.070, ADX = 40.852). The 1D RSI in particular is printing a sequence very much like the Channel's previous bottom on February 27th. On both patterns Gold traded under the 1D MA50 for long, this time has been under it since May 17th.
We are taking this rare long term opportunity to go long and target initially the R1 (TP = 1,970) on a potential contact with the 1D MA50. Then we will see if it's worth adding a buy on the next pull back as long as the Channel Up bottom holds and start targeting the upper R levels.
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XAUUSD: Buy opportunity emerging inside the Channel Down.Gold is approaching the bottom of the monthly Channel Down, in fact it has made a double hit on the 0.236 Fibonacci level. If S1 breaks, wait for a buy at 1,915 (exact Channel bottom) and TP = 1,947.50, but with 4H technicals nearly oversold (RSI = 35.662, MACD = -5.130, ADX = 48.938) and the 1D RSI approaching 40.000, buy now as long as the price stays over S1 and target the 0.786 Fibonacci level (TP = 1,950).
See how the 4h RSI is well inside the Buy Zone, which has gave accurate buy signals since May 25th.
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XAUUSD Sell signal inside the Channel DownGold crossed under both the 4hour MA50 and the RSI's MA, which has been a strong signal since the start of June.
During that time the price has been trading inside a Channel Down.
Sell on this confirmed signal and target 1920 which will make a new Lower Low.
This pattern gets invalidated only if the price crosses over Resistance A.
In that case target first the 4hour MA200 at 1975 and then Resistance B (1985.50) in extension.
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XAUUSD: Strong buy signal targeting the 4H MA200Gold hit yesterday the HL trendline, which is the bottom of a Triangle pattern that has the R1 (1,985.50) as the Top, and is rebounding. This rebound was also made on the 1D MA100, the third time this happens in the past 10 days. The rise has already reached the 4H MA50 and turned both the 1D but more importantly the 4H timeframe (RSI = 49.565, MACD = -1.650, ADX = 18.715) neutral.
We are already bullish, targeting the 4H MA200 with TP = 1,980. If we close over the R1 on a full 1D candle, we will enter a buy again, targeting towards R1 (TP = 2,020). The 4H RSI is having a clear Buy Zone since May 25th, that might be useful as this rise continues for buying upon pull backs.
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XAUUSD New bullish wave started. Solid long-term buy.Gold tested the MA100 (1d) and Support (1) twice and held, which resulted into the two day rebound we see.
This is not just an MA rebound but a direct hit on the long-term Channel Up that started late in 2022.
Consequently this is the new bullish leg to a new Higher High. A crossing over the MA50 (1d) validates this.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the next red candle or upon a break-out above the MA50 (1d).
2. Sell if the price closes under the MA100 (1d) and Support (1).
Targets:
1. 2080 (Resistance 4).
2. 1850 (the MA200 1d).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) crossed above its MA line, same with February 28th. That was a day after the bottom of the Channel Up at the time and the start of the new bullish leg.
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XAUUSD is now a buy opportunityGold / XAUUSD is trading on the 1day MA100 at the bottom of the long term Channel Up.
The downside potential is technically limited to a -7.95% decline on the dotted Channel trend line.
The lowest risk trade is to buy after the price crosses above the 4hour MA50.
Target 2080 (All Time High).
Previous chart:
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XAUUSD: Excellent buy opportunity on the 1D MA100Gold reached today a triple Support Zone, the 1D MA100, the bottom of the Channel Up and S1 (1,935.50). The 1D time frame is technically bearish (RSI = 40.784, MACD = -12.590, ADX = 46.379) but those where the exact same conditions that formed the November 3rd 2022 and February 27th 2023 bottoms. Both bottoms gave way to price rallies that made at least a +10.20% increase. Consequently, we have two targets: short term the R1 (TP1 = 2,083) and long term a +10.20% increase (TP2 = 2,130).
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XAUUSD Can dip lower if it closes under the MA50 (1d).Gold hit today the MA50 (1d) for the first time since March 13th.
The last time it closed under it (Feb 13th), it declined more as low as the MA100 (1d).
If it closes under it, a potential low and rebound level can be within Support (2) and (3): 1935.50 - 1950.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy if a 1d candle closes over the MA50 (1d).
2. Sell if it closes under the MA50 (1d).
3. Buy at the bottom of the Channel Up and near the MA100 (1d).
4. Sell if the price closes under the MA100 (1d).
Targets:
1. 2080 (Resistance 3).
2. 1950 (Support 2).
3. 2080 (Resistance 3).
4. 1850 (potential contact with the MA200 1d).
Tips:
1. An RSI (1d) reading near 30.00 would be a great additional long term buy indicator.
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XAUUSD: March repeat sends it to 2,080.Gold is consolidating inside a Triangle pattern, with 4H technicals naturally neutral (RSI = 43.149, MACD = 1.520, ADX = 27.050) always within the larger pattern of the Channel Up. The very same Triangle in March broke upwards aggressively to form the new Higher High of the Channel Up. With the 4H RSI on a similar Double Bottom formation, we are buying again, targeting the R1 (TP = 2,080).
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