Bottoming out? Be wary of the market.After a sharp drop to around 3300 on Monday, gold rebounded, reaching a high of around 3330 so far.
From the 1-hour chart,Gold has now broken out and stabilized within the hourly chart's downward trend channel. The key upward level is currently around 3330. If it breaks above 3330 again, caution is advised; it may test 3345-3350. Conversely, if it fails to break above 3330, gold may consolidate between 3300-3330 before the non-farm payrolls release.
From a short-term 15-minute perspective, the current 15-minute range has been broken out and stabilized. The current situation is unfavorable for bears. Based on the trend, a breakout above the 15-minute range would indicate a rebound. However, until 3330 holds, the 3320-3330 range is the only option. However, the current trend favors a bullish pullback, so I'm not too keen on shorting. Therefore, focus on support at 3320.
If it fails to break below 3320, enter a long position near 3320. The upper target is the top of the 3345-3350 range.
Xauusdtrend
GOLD H2 Intraday Chart Update For 29 July 2025Hello Traders, Welcome to new day
we have US JOLTS high impact news today, for market sustains above 3300 psychological level
if market successfully break 3280 level then it will move towards 3280 or even 3270
if market crosses 3330 level successfully then it will move towards 3345 or even 3360
All eyes on FOMC & NFP news for the week
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Gold repeatedly tested lows. Will it break through?On Monday, the Asian market opened low and rose in the early trading. In the European trading, it rose to around 3345. The European trading was under pressure and fluctuated. The US trading began to accelerate its decline, and the lowest point reached around 3302. Then it continued to fluctuate in the range of 3300-3320.
On July 27, the United States and the European Union reached a framework trade agreement; the agreement reduced market concerns about the global economic recession, promoted the attractiveness of risky assets, and boosted the stock market and the US dollar. Although Trump has repeatedly pressured for a substantial interest rate cut, the market has strong expectations for a September interest rate cut. The current expectation of maintaining a stable interest rate dominates the market, coupled with the strength of the US dollar, which puts gold prices under downward pressure in the short term.
Gold opened low in the early trading on Monday and then rebounded to recover the losses, but then fell below the low again, and the daily line closed in the negative, and now it has formed a four-day negative decline. MA5 and 10-day moving averages form a dead cross, and there is a downward turn.
The focus on the upper side is around Monday's high of 3345, which is also near the current position of MA5, 20, and 30-day moving averages. Below this position, gold is weak; if it breaks upward, it is necessary to prevent the possibility of a rebound correction.
The lower support first focuses on the 3300 integer mark; secondly, focus on the area around 3285-3275.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3340, stop loss 3350, profit range 3320-3300;
Long near 3300, stop loss 3290, profit range 3320-3340.
Before the release of US data on Tuesday, you can maintain this operation strategy; after the data is released, adjust the strategy based on the impact of the data.
Gold fell below support. What will be the subsequent trend?The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to show a downward short position, indicating that the downward momentum is still sufficient; the wave pattern of gold's current decline remains intact, but the rebound strength is very weak, showing an obvious short trend of gold. Moreover, when gold rebounded in the short term, obvious resistance began to form above 3320, and the upward momentum was slightly insufficient.
From the daily chart, before 3300 fails to fall, it is likely to fluctuate around 3300-3350. On the contrary, if it falls below 3300, it is likely to reach the bottom of the 3385-3375 range.
This week is a super data week. The data of each day may affect the trend of gold on that day, but it will not form a unilateral strong trend. Therefore, the volatility before and after the data is released is likely to be large, so traders should focus on the following data:
1. US ADP employment report, US second quarter GDP preliminary value;
2. Federal Reserve interest rate decision;
3. US PCE annual rate, monthly rate;
4. The last trading day of this week will usher in non-agricultural data.
XAUUSD REBOUNDED FROM CURRENT TRENDLINE. WHAT'S NEXT?XAUUSD REBOUNDED FROM CURRENT TRENDLINE. WHAT'S NEXT?
Gold had successfully rebounded from the trendline, still showing mid-term bullish trend despite recent news on U.S. - E.U. and U.S. - Japan trade deals. Currently price is attempting to hold above the EMA20 on 1-h chart timeframe.
If this occurs and the asset develops another short-term bullish impulse, we may expect the price to reach 3,360.00 resistance level with further possible impulse towards 3,400.00 level.
Market Analysis: Gold Prices Ease – Market Awaits Fresh CatalystMarket Analysis: Gold Prices Ease – Market Awaits Fresh Catalyst
Gold price started a fresh decline below $3,380.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- Gold price climbed higher toward the $3,430 zone before there was a sharp decline against the US Dollar.
- A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $3,350 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen, the price climbed above the $3,380 resistance. The price even spiked above $3,400 before the bears appeared.
A high was formed near $3,432 before there was a fresh decline. There was a move below the $3,380 support level. The bears even pushed the price below the $3,350 support and the 50-hour simple moving average.
It tested the $3,325 zone. A low was formed near $3,325 and the price is now showing bearish signs. There was a minor recovery wave towards the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,433 swing high to the $3,325 low.
However, the bears are active below $3,342. Immediate resistance is near $3,350. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $3,350.
The next major resistance is near the $3,380 zone. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,433 swing high to the $3,325 low. The main resistance could be $3,410, above which the price could test $3,432. The next major resistance is $3,450.
An upside break above $3,450 could send the gold price towards $3,465. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,480 level.
Initial support on the downside is near the $3,325 level. The first major support is near the $3,310 level. If there is a downside break below it, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop towards the $3,265 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
The US and Europe reached an agreement. Gold rebounded.At the current node, the EU and the US reached a tariff cooperation, 15% tariff + 600 billion US dollars for investment in the United States. The additional tariffs are considered a big deal, and the US has become the winner again this time.
Of course, this is a small negative for the current gold market.
From a multi-period analysis, the monthly chart price is still in a reverse K state. For the current situation, we need to pay attention to the gains and losses of the monthly highs and lows. The weekly chart shows that the price has continued to fluctuate at a high level recently. As time goes by, the weekly watershed is temporarily at 3320. After last week's high and fall, there is currently a further downward performance.
The four-hour chart shows that the price has continued to be suppressed after breaking through the four-hour support last Wednesday. The four-hour level resistance is currently around 3355, and the resistance level has moved up compared with the early Asian market. Therefore, we will pay attention to the pressure at this position in the future. If it fails to break through for a long time, it is likely to fall directly under pressure; pay attention to the support range of 3320-3310 below.
Gold remains unchanged. Still weak.Last Friday, gold rebounded around 3373, but the bullish momentum was insufficient, and then it bottomed out and fell sharply. The price fell below the short-term rising trend line support. At present, the MA5-10 daily moving average is in a high dead cross short arrangement. On this basis, Quaid believes that gold can still be bearish now. At present, the Asian market continues to fluctuate downward in the early trading. Today, we will focus on the support of 3310-3300.
The short-term price is currently maintained at around 3335, which can be regarded as the watershed between long and short today. If the European session stabilizes above the MA50 moving average, the trend will change to a certain extent. Now we still look at the bottom near 3300.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3340, stop loss 3350, profit range 3310-3300.
Gold is weak. It may break through next week.This week, gold rose and fell, rising for two consecutive days on Monday and Tuesday, and falling for three consecutive days from Wednesday to Friday. The weekly line finally closed with a small real body negative line with a long upper shadow.
Gold's trend this week was due to the strengthening of the US dollar and the progress in US-EU trade negotiations, which hit the safe-haven demand, leading to a decline in gold prices.
Next week, focus on multiple time points that may trigger market trends, including the Federal Reserve's decision, non-agricultural data, the August 1 tariff deadline, and the economic and trade talks between Chinese representatives in Sweden and the United States. These events may set the tone for the market in the second half of the year and need to be paid attention to.
At the beginning of this week, we focused on the triangular convergence pattern formed by the high and low points since 3500 points. On Tuesday, gold broke through the pattern upward, but failed to stand firm on Wednesday. Instead, it fell to form a false breakthrough, and on Friday it fell to the lower edge of the triangular convergence range. However, from the perspective of the international futures market, the overall situation is still in the triangular convergence pattern and has not achieved an effective upward breakthrough. Based on this, we need to continue to keep a close eye on the changes in the triangle convergence pattern next week. The direction of its next breakthrough will have an important impact on the short-term trend.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3350, stop loss 3360, profit range 3320-3315. If the price continues to fall, you can hold a small position, and the area near 3300 is likely to be touched.
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Gold is weak. Will it explode next week?Gold prices failed to stabilize above $3,400 after a bullish breakout this week. The technical outlook highlights the recent indecision of gold bulls.
In the first two trading days of this week, spot gold prices rose by 2.4%, but the cumulative decline in the last three trading days of this week reached nearly 3%. The sharp fluctuations this week were due to the positive progress in Trump's trade negotiations, and the rebound in market risk appetite, which hit the safe-haven demand for gold.
Looking at next week, the economic calendar will provide several high-impact data releases. The Federal Reserve will announce its monetary policy decision after the policy meeting on July 29-30; the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the July employment report; and some important news such as the US-China trade negotiations may trigger the next major move for gold.
From a technical perspective, the current market short-term technical outlook highlights the hesitation of gold buyers. The daily chart shows that the RSI is still slightly below 50, and gold prices have difficulty staying away from the 20-day and 50-day MAs after breaking through these two levels earlier this week.
On the upside, 3450 constitutes the first resistance for gold prices. If it breaks through this resistance, gold prices will most likely hit the 3400 integer mark again.
On the downside, if gold prices remain below 3340, technical sellers may still be interested. In this case, 3310 can serve as the first support level, followed by the second support level near 3285.
A new week is about to begin, and I wish all traders good luck.
Gold is going down. It may continue next week.On the last trading day of this week, the bears attacked strongly and continued to refresh the recent lows, reaching the lowest point near 3325 before stopping.
From Monday's 3345 to 3440, it closed near 3337. This week, it also walked out of the large range roller coaster pattern, and all the strengths in the previous period did not exist. Under the continuous downward trend, the bulls were also vulnerable, and there was not even a strong rebound, which indirectly explained the strength of the bears in the short term.
As for the current trend, the bears are likely to continue to be strong, and before there is a symbolic upward breakthrough, we still need to maintain the idea of shorts to operate. The current upper pressure is maintained near 3350, which is also the bottom position touched for the first time in the previous period. It is possible that it will be transformed into a top-bottom conversion pattern; and the strong support level below is near 3310.
When the Asian market opens next Monday, we need to pay close attention to whether there is a gap problem on both the bulls and bears. After three consecutive negative daily lines, all the moving average systems have been broken, and it is also likely to form a resonance pressure pattern. On Monday, gold will first touch around 3350 and continue to short. The profit range will be around 3330-3320, and the stop loss will be 3360. If the European session is stronger, you can adjust the point before the US session.
Gold is weak. Beware of lows.On Thursday, the dollar index ended a four-day losing streak thanks to the progress of the fund between the United States and its trading partners.
As signs of easing global trade tensions curbed demand for safe-haven assets, gold fell for the second consecutive trading day, and yesterday it hit the 3350 bottom support level.
From the 4-hour chart
although it rebounded to the 3370-3380 range after hitting 3350. But it can be found that the current rebound is actually weak, and it is still maintained at 3360-70 for rectification. At present, the bottom of the 4-hour bottom is absolutely supported at 3340-3335. The rebound high is around 3375. As of now, gold has not rebounded above 3375, and gold is actually in a weak position.
Secondly, from the hourly chart, the weakness is even more obvious. The high point on Thursday was around 3395. Today's current high point is around 3375. It can be seen that if the bottom falls below the 618 position 3350 again, it will directly touch around 3335. It coincides with the target position of 3340-3335 in the previous 4-hour chart.
Therefore, it is not possible to buy the bottom and go long today. Be alert to the possibility of further touching 3340-3335.
Gold fluctuated downward. Or it will continue.Gold was blocked near 3393 in the early trading on Thursday and began to fluctuate and fall, falling to 3351 as low as possible, then stopped falling and rose, and after rebounding near 3377, it was blocked and fell back to 3370 and fluctuated up and down, and the daily line closed with a negative line.
After three consecutive positive rises from last Friday to Tuesday this week, gold ushered in a turning point on Wednesday. On Thursday, it continued to fall and broke through the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, and the short-term market weakened. From the overall structure, the rising channel since June 26 remains valid. The highs on Tuesday and Wednesday approached the upper edge of the channel and then fell. The current price turned to fall and approached the lower edge of the channel.
There are two key positions for the support below: the first support level is near 3345, which is the lower edge support of the current rising channel; the second support level is near 3325, which is the trend line support formed by the connection of the previous low points.
From the 4-hour chart, the 3351 low point and the rebound resistance level can be used as a reference for today's long-short game. The breaking of key support and resistance will determine the trend direction of the next stage.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3375, stop loss 3385, profit range 3350-3330
Long near 3330, stop loss 3320, profit range 3350-3370
Gold peaked in the short term. Welcome a new trend?The previous rising structure of gold was broken, especially yesterday's rapid decline broke through the previous support of 3385. Although it rebounded slightly, it was difficult to change the adjustment. Yesterday's high point of the US market was at 3396-98 US dollars. Today, the adjustment trend continued. The dividing point between long and short is 3395 US dollars today. Before the price reaches here, do not consider long.
Many traders are confused. Why are there longs one day and shorts the next day? In fact, this is the characteristic of the volatile market. Breaking the key position cannot last. No matter what you think about the market, you must pay attention to the current shape changes. In the volatile market, you should consider the market of the day more, not the long-term direction.
From the 1-hour chart, the gold price rebounded near 3390 and shorted, and the profit range is 3370-3350.
The backup strategy is to break through 3400 and go long, and pay attention to 3415-3425 on the upside.
In other words, look for opportunities to short on a rebound below 3400 today, and adjust your thinking after breaking through the key resistance.
Gold is weak. Will it continue to fall?Yesterday, the price of gold did not continue to rise as strong as in the previous two days. After reaching the previous top position, it began to retreat under pressure.
The market is too bullish, and under this pattern, the market is likely to have an unexpected reversal. Yesterday, it fell below the 3400 integer mark, so it is likely to maintain a volatile downward trend in the future.
The current main support level is around 3370, which is also the primary point for the bears to continue to break down in the future. Once it falls below this position, the target may be around 3345-3355. It cannot be said that it has completely turned to a bearish position at the moment. It is just a bearish oscillation pattern within a large range, and the upper pressure is maintained near 3405, which is also the support point for the first downward step of the bears on Wednesday.
Today, we still need to operate around the short position first. The price rebounds to 3405 and shorts, and the profit range is around 3390-3380, and the stop loss is 3415.
After a new low appears in the European session, wait for the US session to rebound and continue shorting.
Gold is surging, can it hit 3500?Due to the trade tensions caused by tariffs and the continued conflict between the White House and the Federal Reserve, gold continued to rise, and the current highest has reached around 3438. Obviously, after gold rose strongly and broke through the 3400 and 3420 areas, the bullish sentiment of gold has been ignited. Next, we need to pay attention to whether gold can test and stand firm at 3450.
Gold is currently extremely strong, and there is basically no room for retracement during the rise. As gold rises, the short-term support below has also moved up to the 3415-3405 area; and the upper side needs to pay attention to the breakthrough of the 3450 mark. If gold continues to break through 3450, then gold has the potential to challenge 3500 again; however, if gold still cannot effectively break through when it touches the area near 3500 again, the sentiment of gold cashing out and leaving the market may be stimulated, resulting in gold There may be room for retracement in the short term. If gold falls below 3400 during the retracement, the decline may continue to the 3395-3385 area.
Therefore, for the next short-term trading, we can first wait for the opportunity for gold to pull back, and then consider going long on gold with the 3415-3405 area as support; if gold does not give a chance to pull back, then when gold first touches the area around 3440-3450, we can consider starting to short gold.
Gold is going down. Can it break through?First, we can look at the daily chart,Currently, the support below the gold daily chart is around 3385, which is also the low point on Tuesday. The current price drop has already touched the support near 3385.
Secondly, from the 4-hour chart, the low point of yesterday's US market retracement was around 3405, and the high point on Monday was 3400. So the first pressure point of this price correction is 3400-3410, followed by the suppression position near 3420.
The 4-hour chart shows that the gold price fluctuated in the 3410-3440 range in the early stage, the MACD red column shortened, and the KDJ dead cross began to appear, facing the pressure of correction in the short term.
At present, the main focus is on whether the 3385 support line can be broken. If it falls below this support level, it will most likely touch around 3375. Then gold will most likely start a downward trend and the rebound will be weak.
Gold is bullish and bearish. Will it continue?From the daily chart:
The moving average is bullish, and the MA5-day, 10-day, and 30-day moving average supports move up. The 3380 dollar has turned from resistance to strong support. If this position is maintained, the upward channel will continue. The support position is 3380-3375, which is the top and bottom conversion position, and is also near the middle track of the Bollinger Band.
From the four-hour chart, the MACD red column shrinks and the RSI is near 60, and the bulls are still dominant. If the price falls back to the 3375-3380 area and stabilizes, it is expected to attack the 3400 mark again.
Operation strategy:
Long operation:
Steady type: When the gold price falls back to the 3375-3380 area, long orders are arranged in batches, with a stop loss of 3365 and a profit range of 3400-3410.
Aggressive: If the price breaks through 3400 quickly and falls back to around 3395, you can chase long with a light position, stop loss at 3388, and the profit range is 3420 strong resistance area.
Short operation:
Resistance area test short: 3408-3415 area, light position short order, stop loss at 3422, profit range 3390-3380.
Break short: If it falls below the 3375 support and the rebound is weak, follow up with short short, profit range 3360, stop loss 3385.
XAU/USD Chart Analysis: Bulls Break Important ResistanceXAU/USD Chart Analysis: Bulls Break Important Resistance
When analysing the XAU/USD chart last week, we:
→ noted that the ADX indicator had reached its lowest level since the beginning of 2025 – a clear sign of declining gold price volatility;
→ highlighted the formation of a large-scale triangle with its axis around the $3,333 level, bounded by a resistance line (marked in red) and the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
Since then, the price has climbed above $3,400 – reaching its highest level since mid-June. According to media reports, the uptick in demand may be driven by escalating geopolitical risks, renewed optimism regarding potential monetary policy easing in the US, and consistent gold buying from central banks.
This suggests that the balance has shifted in favour of the bulls, who have made an attempt to break through the resistance line – an attempt that, so far, appears promising and points towards a potential resumption of the upward trend.
However, today's XAU/USD chart shows that the bulls are now facing a key resistance level at $3,440 – a level that has reversed gold prices downward both in May and June. What will happen in July?
It is possible that, following a prolonged consolidation near the lower boundary of the channel, the bulls have built up sufficient momentum to finally break through this critical level and push gold prices towards line Q, which divides the lower half of the long-term channel into two quarters.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold bulls are on the offensive. Can they continue to chase?On Tuesday, as trade tensions and the conflict between the White House and the Federal Reserve continued, the US dollar index continued to fall, and continued to fall in the early US trading, once hitting a low of 97.28. Gold also continued to rise, once standing above the $3,430 mark, setting a new high in more than a month. From the current point of view of gold, this week has stood firm at two levels, 3,350 and 3,400. Next, it depends on whether it can continue to stand firm at the 3,450 level.
From the current hourly chart, Monday's high is around 3,400, and yesterday's low of the US market retracement on Tuesday was around 3,405. So theoretically, 3,400-3,405 has become a support position. And from the hourly chart range, the bottom trend line support is also about 3,400-3,405. Therefore, it is not ruled out that it will oscillate and retrace like yesterday, and then rise and stretch again.
Secondly, from the daily chart:
After gold stabilized at 3400, the current daily range has become 3400-3450. As we can see above, there have been three times of falling back after touching 3450. If it breaks and stabilizes above 3450 this time, the historical high of 3500 will most likely be refreshed. On the contrary, if it still cannot break through 3500 this time, the possibility of further pullback cannot be ruled out. For the next operation, I suggest paying attention to 3400-3405.
If it can retreat and stabilize at 3400-3405 during the European session, you can continue to enter the market and go long to around 3450. On the contrary, if it falls below 3400 today, then don't go long, as there may be a possibility of further retreat in the future.
Gold is strong. Can it continue?On Tuesday, the overall gold price showed an upward trend. The highest price rose to 3433.32 on the day, and the lowest price fell to 3383.21, closing at 3431.46. On Tuesday, gold prices fluctuated during the early trading session and then corrected downward. During the European session, the price fluctuated mainly and fell weakly. It rose before the US session and hit the high point of the week again in the US session, and finally ended with a big positive line.
From the four-hour level, the technical adjustment needs, but the speculation of risk aversion suppressed this demand. There is a contradiction between the fundamentals and the technical aspects, and it is necessary to wait for the market sentiment to stabilize before clarifying the direction.
In the early Asian session, it hit a high of 3438 and then fell back. It is necessary to pay attention to the possibility of reaching the top. The support position is 3400-3405. If it falls to 3400, it may continue to adjust to around 3385. The probability of closing the negative line today is relatively high. If the price stabilizes above 3400, it is likely to maintain high fluctuations.
Today's market is complicated. Although the bullish trend has not changed, it is not advisable to be overly bullish. The operation is mainly shorting on rebounds, supplemented by long positions on pullbacks. The upper pressure position focuses on 3440-3450.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3440-3450, stop loss 3460, profit range 3420-3410.
Long near 3390, stop loss 3380, profit range 3420-3430.
Gold stabilizes. Sets a new high?Gold continues to rise, with uncertainty in trade negotiations and the outcome of the Federal Reserve meeting being key variables. If no agreement is reached before August 1, the high tariffs imposed by the United States on major trading partners may trigger greater risk aversion demand, pushing gold prices further up; if the negotiations make a breakthrough, the market risk appetite will rebound, and gold prices may face correction pressure.
Gold has shown a strong upward trend recently. It closed with a small positive on Friday last week and closed with positive for two consecutive trading days this week, forming a three-day positive trend, with strong short-term momentum. In terms of indicators, the moving average diverges upward, with obvious bullish trend characteristics, and the support below needs to focus on the moving average performance. At present, the gold price has broken through the trend line formed by connecting the previous high points. The primary focus on the upside is near the previous high of 3452, which is an important short-term resistance level. The upper focus is on the previous high of 3452, which is an important short-term resistance level.
The first support below is the 3390-3385 area, which is close to yesterday's low and is also an early trading intensive area. The second support focuses on the vicinity of 3360.
In terms of operation, it is still mainly low-long, and short selling is not considered before the upward trend reaches 3450.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3450, stop loss 3460, profit range 3430-3310
Long around 3400, stop loss 3390, profit range 3420-3430