Strategy at the beginning of the week, gold increased slightlyWorld gold prices tend to increase with spot gold increasing by 2.3 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,329 USD/ounce.
World gold prices this week are forecast to have a lot of fluctuations when the market receives a lot of important information, including the purchasing management index report in the manufacturing and service sectors, and the number of applications reported. unemployment benefits and non-farm payrolls report for May. In addition, investors will also closely monitor developments and interest rate decisions of the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank. Central banks' decisions this week may cause the market to recalculate the timing and scale of interest rate easing by the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
Recently, in the context of economic instability, persistent inflation combined with geopolitical tensions and rising interest rates, gold prices have had a notable surge. At the end of May, this precious metal broke the record level reached in mid-April exceeding the mark of 2,400 USD/ounce. However, the price of this precious metal has turned down due to strong economic data combined with "hawkish" statements from Fed officials.
A recent article on CBSnews gave reasons why investors should buy gold when prices fall. According to the article, June is the right time to buy gold. Accordingly, after conquering the all-time high of 2,439.9 USD/ounce, gold has dropped more than 100 USD. The sharp decline in prices provides favorable opportunities for those who want to buy gold at a relatively lower price. Besides, short-term fluctuations in gold are difficult to predict. Therefore, it is unlikely that current price levels will last as gold prices could recover or even surpass previous record highs within days or weeks. Therefore, the advice is that investors should not miss the opportunity to buy gold at lower prices.
Xauusdtrend
Gold price continues to decrease, strategy to sell todayWorld gold prices remained stable this morning as traders focused on the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) report, the FED's preferred inflation measure, expected to be released this evening. can provide a more specific view on the timing and extent of interest rate cuts by the FED this year.
According to financial and securities market analysis site MarketWatch, inflation will increase by 2.7% over the same period last year. If this forecast is correct, it means that April inflation remained unchanged compared to March, that is, this inflation level is still much higher than the FED's 2% target.
A weaker dollar, lower yields and the recent stock market sell-off have provided bullish momentum for gold, said Kitco senior analyst Jim Wyckoff.
Regarding the outlook for precious metal prices, experts say that, along with central banks continuously adding gold to their reserves, demand from Chinese investors will continue to increase in the near future. coming will bring solid support for gold.
Today's trading strategy, sell XAUUSDWorld gold prices increased slightly with spot gold increasing by 5.7 USD to 2,342.6 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,364.5 USD/ounce, up 27.6 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Gold prices reversed to increase after the latest published data showed that economic growth in the US has slowed down from the beginning of the year until now. According to preliminary data on first quarter GDP released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis on May 30 (US time), the US economy achieved growth of 1.3% in the first 3 months of the year, lower than the previous quarter. The previous forecast was 1.6% and down from 3.4% reported in the fourth quarter of 2023. Both the dollar and Treasury yields fell on expectations the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates this year increased after the report.
ActivTrades senior analyst Ricardo Evangelista said that recently, traders' views have increasingly favored the scenario that the Fed will keep interest rates higher for longer, increasing the opportunity cost of holdings of the yellow metal and creating strong price resistance.
However, this expert said that gold has benefited from strong safe-haven demand due to fears of geopolitical instability and economic instability, as well as large state purchases. He hopes that these factors will likely continue in the near future.
Continuing downtrend, entry sell todayAnalysts say world gold prices dropped after an official of the US Federal Reserve (FED) commented on monetary policy. This person believes that high US interest rates will be kept stable, or even increased if necessary.
Immediately, the currency market reacted. The USD increased in price compared to many other strong currencies, putting pressure on gold prices today.
In particular, US bond interest rates suddenly increased to 4.6%. That means the value of bonds declines. This has motivated investors to increase their bond purchasing power to earn profits. As a result, very little money flows into precious metals. A sharp decline in world gold prices is inevitable.
Trading strategy today, continue to sell lightly and wait to buyWorld gold prices turned down sharply with spot gold down 24 USD to 2,336.9 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,336.9 USD/ounce, down 25.5 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The recovery of the USD, rising bond yields and "hawkish" comments from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have weighed on sentiment in the gold market, while investors wait. Look forward to the key inflation report later this week for more insight into the Fed's policy path.
A 0.4% rise in the dollar made gold more expensive for buyers holding other currencies, while US 10-year Treasury yields rose to a nearly one-month high, increasing opportunity costs. hold gold. This week, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari emphasized that the US Central Bank should wait for evidence that inflation is decreasing before cutting interest rates.
Although gold is under a lot of pressure due to interest rate expectations, commodity analysts at UBS say that the precious metal's upward momentum is far from over with forecasts of prices rising to $2,500/ounce. in September and reach 2,600 USD/ounce by the end of this year. Previously, this Swiss bank forecast levels of 2,400 USD and 2,500 USD/ounce. USB also forecasts that gold price will increase to 2,700 USD/ounce by June 2025.
Still believe in gold, short-term selling strategyWorld gold prices continued to increase with spot gold price at 10.2 USD increasing to 2,360.9 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at $2,362.40 an ounce, up $9.90 from the bright spot.
The world's yellow metal continues to gain modestly, fueled by the weakening of the USD, while investors are still eagerly awaiting US emission data later this week for more clarity. about interest rate cuts. The US Dollar Index fell 0.2% to its lowest in more than a week, becoming bullish faster than other currency holders.
TD Securities commodity strategist Bart Melek said that the monetary policy dreams of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) could very well create gold that cannot be closed and future forums are very negative. lots of data. However, this expert continues to maintain his optimism about gold.
The focus this week will be on the core US personal consumption expenditures index (PCE), the Fed's desired product quantity measure, which will be released on Friday.
Considered a hedging tool, gold benefited after minutes from the Fed's latest meeting last week showed that the US Central Bank did not discuss maintaining high interest rates for a longer period but also talking about the possibility of increasing interest rates in the context of finding that it is still "tough" and there is still a difficult path to achieving the 2% target. Traders are assessing the possibility of a rate cut of around 63% in November.
Gold trading strategy today, short-term sell entryWorld gold prices today (May 29) increased in the context of a weakening USD, while investors are still waiting for US inflation data later this week to judge when the Fed will cut interest rates. .
The US Dollar Index fell 0.1% to its lowest in more than a week, making gold cheaper for holders of other currencies.
Investors will monitor the US core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index published on Friday (May 31). This index is considered the main inflation measure of the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
Military conflicts taking place in the Middle East and the Russia-Ukraine war are continuing to cause geopolitical instability, reinforcing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Bob Yawger of Mizuho Bank said that according to some sources, a member of the Egyptian security agency was killed in a firefight with Israeli forces.
Additionally, central banks around the world have steadily increased their gold holdings over the past two years, with China's central bank being one of the most active buyers.
Gold trading strategy today, uptrendToday's gold price is trading at 2,352 USD/ounce, a sharp increase of 18 USD compared to the previous day's opening price of 2,334 USD/ounce.
World gold prices fluctuated in the context of data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC - US) showing that gold investment funds increased their buying positions by 194,000 contracts.
This information can make many investors expect the gold market to heat up. Therefore, they took advantage of putting capital into this precious metal. Gold price today has upward momentum.
On the other hand, the world geopolitical situation becomes more complicated as the military conflict between Israel and Hamas forces becomes increasingly tense. Since then, many financial institutions have increased their need to shelter capital in gold. Today's increase in gold prices in the world is understandable.
Optimistic about Gold, increased then decreased againWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 15 USD to 2,350.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,352.5 USD/ounce, up 18 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World yellow metal prices increased slightly at the beginning of the week as investors expected an important inflation report released this weekend that would change the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) view on cutting cuts. interest rates.
Recently, the Fed's positive interest rate stance has caused great pressure on the precious metals market. According to UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo, gold has suffered from more hawkish comments from Fed officials and better-than-expected US economic data. Bullion has lost $100 since the precious metal hit a record high of $2,449.89 an ounce last week.
According to the latest Fed meeting minutes, US Central Bank officials indicated that it may take longer than expected to bring inflation down to 2%.
According to FXTM market analyst Lukman Otunuga, in the current environment, the gold market will be sensitive to inflation data. Accordingly, if the report shows downward price pressure, it may arouse hopes of cutting interest rates by the Fed and boost gold prices. On the contrary, if PCE is higher than market forecasts, it will deal another blow to expectations of Fed interest rate cuts and cause gold prices to fall even deeper. This expert said that the downward momentum could bring the price to the support level of 2,300 USD/ounce or lower.
Trading strategy today, downtrendKitco News' latest gold survey shows more than three-quarters of industry experts believe gold prices have stabilized or will fall next week. Meanwhile, half of retail traders polled still believe the precious metal could move higher in the coming days.
ActivTrades senior analyst Ricardo Evangelista said that information in the Fed's meeting minutes has caused traders to push back the expected interest rate cut from September to November. This change has helped push Treasury yields and the USD higher and put pressure on precious metals.
Market strategist Colin Cieszynski of SIA Wealth Management is neutral on gold this week. He said that the gold market will be quiet this week without important events.
Reports released this week include: Consumer confidence report, preliminary report on GDP in the first quarter of the US, weekly unemployment benefit applications, pending home sales, Personal consumption expenditure reports along with personal income reports in the US
Gold is expected to be quiet this week, entry sell todayWorld gold prices tend to increase with spot gold increasing by 2.4 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,335.7 USD/ounce.
Last week, world gold prices continuously "plunged" after breaking all the records conquered in April. Kitco News's latest weekly gold survey results showed that more than three-quarters of experts believe gold prices are stable or will fall in the near term, while half of retail traders still believe the precious metal could move higher in the coming days.
Looking at gold's fluctuations last week, senior market analyst Darin Newsom of Barchart.com said that gold is likely to decline this week.
Sharing the same view, Bannockburn Global Forex CEO Marc Chandler also sees further downside risks for gold in the near future. According to Chandler, the reason gold set a record high early last week at 2,450 USD/ounce was because the market reacted to information related to the accident that claimed the life of the President of Iran. However, the strength of the USD caused gold to be sold off and plummet to nearly 2,300 USD/ounce.
Besides, the decrease in demand for gold from Chinese investors is also a disadvantage for this precious metal. Chandler forecasts that gold's initial resistance this week is at $2,375/ounce. Support is in the range of $2,275 to $2,300 per ounce.
Market strategist Colin Cieszynski of SIA Wealth Management is neutral on gold this week. He said that the gold market will be quiet this week without important events.
After the news, PMI continued to decrease and increase slightlyWorld gold prices continued to decline sharply with spot gold down 48.6 USD to 2,329.4 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,330.1 USD/ounce, down 52 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The world gold market continues to be under pressure to take profits and gold prices fall to the lowest level in a week, extending the decline for the third consecutive session, as investors become increasingly concerned about the timing of interest rate cuts. of America and the strength of American business.
According to the latest report, US business activity in May accelerated to the highest level in more than 2 years, showing that economic growth recovered in the second quarter. After the report, the USD recovered strongly, offsetting intraday losses. This has reduced the attractiveness of precious metals to buyers holding other currencies.
TD Securities commodity strategist Daniel Ghali said that although the greenback's recovery and the weakening interest rate outlook have triggered a sell-off in the gold market, the correction will be relatively shallow. According to him, gold is adjusting to the view that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain high interest rates for a longer period of time, while at this meeting, the Fed mentioned the possibility of raising interest rates if inflation occurs. "persistent" development.
Today's trading trends, buy gold strategyAt the beginning of the trading session on May 23 (US time), world gold prices were under strong selling pressure due to tough sentiment in the minutes of the May monetary policy meeting just announced. The minutes show that US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials are increasingly concerned about inflation.
The gold market is being greatly affected by the Fed's policy stance on the length of time it takes to cut interest rates. Experts say that US inflation reports are still not as expected. Thereby, the timing of the Fed's interest rate cut is unclear.
Experts from the World Gold Council predict that despite the Fed's tough arguments on monetary policy in recent times, gold will still maintain its upward momentum in the coming time.
Wall Street analysts said that it will take the market longer than expected for the Fed to determine for sure whether inflation has really decreased or not. Therefore, gold will remain stuck in monetary policy for quite a long time.
Today's trading strategy, Gold trendGold prices fluctuated sharply when some US Federal Reserve (FED) policymakers recommended that the organization wait a few more months to ensure inflation really cools down, before starting to cut. interest rate.
Reacting to this information, the USD increased in price compared to the Euro and many other currencies. Gold price today is in a disadvantageous position.
Under pressure from the USD, speculators may worry that holding gold will reduce profitability. So in last night's trading session, when gold was trading in the region of 2,400 USD/ounce, they massively sold out.
Gold breaks current price channel, strategy to buy GoldWorld gold prices continued to decline sharply with spot gold down 42.7 USD to 2,378 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,382.1 USD/ounce, down 43.7 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The world precious metals market continues to be pressured by the policy stance of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) after the meeting minutes ended earlier this month. According to the minutes, although US monetary policy has become a secondary factor in the gold market, persistent inflation could create some selling pressure as it could force the Fed to raise interest rates again. .
This view goes completely against the recent statements of members of the US Monetary Policy Committee when they said that although they are not ready to cut interest rates because inflation is still high, they will not raise interest rates. capacity.
According to experts, the minutes reflect growing disappointment that consumer prices have not returned to the 2% target as firmly as expected.
Recently, gold has been greatly affected by the Fed's "hawkish" policy stance. Despite fluctuations, gold is still considered an effective investment asset thanks to its role in preventing inflation and diversifying investment portfolios. Experts believe that the roles driving the recent increase are still being maintained and are unlikely to change in the future.
Gold has not cooled down yet, enter to buy todayAfter reaching 2,450 USD/ounce in the previous trading session, today's gold price on the international market has cooled down but not significantly.
At 6 a.m. on May 22, the world gold price was trading at 2,422 USD/ounce, down 6 USD compared to the price at the same time the previous day which was 2,428 USD/ounce.
Analysts say international gold prices cool down as investors sell to take profits.
On the other hand, some officials of the US Federal Reserve (FED) continue to announce that interest rates will remain high for a long time. Since then, the USD has increased in value compared to many other foreign currencies. Gold price today is in a disadvantageous position.
Another development is that US stocks increased quite strongly. This has prompted many people to take interest in the stock. Accordingly, money flowing into precious metals is dominated. Today's world gold price inevitably cools down.
Trading strategy today, still in the bullish channelWorld gold prices decreased with spot gold down 5.2 USD to 2,420.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,425.2 USD/ounce, down 4.9 USD compared to yesterday morning.
On May 21 (US time), gold was under profit-taking pressure after this precious metal hit an all-time high earlier this week. However, this precious metal still remains firmly above the level of 2,400 USD/ounce.
Recently, a number of US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have repeatedly expressed the opinion that they will not rush to start the easing cycle that many people expect. However, gold is receiving the information very positively and does not react much to this view that is considered less moderate.
In opening remarks at an online event hosted by the Peterson Institute, Fed Governor Christopher Wall said that the US Central Bank's restrictive monetary policy is cooling the economy and inflation, but still there is still much work to be done. He emphasized that all data must be considered before deciding whether to loosen monetary policy or not. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic also made a similar point of view and emphasized the need to wait to make sure inflation returns to the 2% target mark before pivoting policy.
Today's trading trend, wait for a decrease to buyWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 9.2 USD to 2,425.9 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,430.3 USD/ounce, up 12.9 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Although the price of the yellow metal inched up slightly compared to yesterday morning, it has dropped sharply compared to the increase during the day. Previously, gold had conquered a new all-time high when inflation in the US showed signs of slowing down, increasing expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would soon make its first interest rate cut. Spot gold has soared to 2,449.8 USD/ounce.
According to Capital.com financial market analyst Kyle Rodda, the main driving force for gold's strong surge at the beginning of the week was the weakening of the USD and expectations that the Fed will soon loosen monetary policy today. the more increased. Last week's data showed that inflation is showing signs of cooling down and traders now forecast about a 65% chance that the US will cut interest rates in September.
RJO Futures senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis said that, in addition to "persistent" inflation, the US public debt burden is also a factor driving gold's recovery. Pavilonis expects gold to increase to nearly 2,500 USD/ounce in the short term.
Still in the bullish trend channel, entry buyWorld gold prices skyrocketed as the level of inflation, and its series of impacts on US monetary policy, boosted demand for holding the precious metal.
On the other hand, gold prices are also supported by increased reserves at the Central Bank of China.
However, analysts at Kitco Metals believe that today's increase in gold prices mainly stems from risk concerns when the President of Iran died in a plane crash.
Meanwhile, a Chinese oil tanker was attacked by Houthi missiles in the Red Sea, increasing geopolitical tensions, increasing the need to hold gold to preserve capital.
Gold increased on the first day of the week,selling to entry buyWorld gold prices tend to increase with spot gold increasing by 2.3 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,416.7 USD/ounce.
Last week, world gold prices fluctuated strongly as the market continuously received important economic data along with statements from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. This precious metal started the trading week at 2,361.17 USD/ounce and increased steadily beyond the 2,400 USD/ounce mark when Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's statement and economic data confirmed that interest rates will no further increase and the Fed may soon loosen policy this year.
Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey results show the majority of experts believe gold prices could reach or surpass all-time highs, while retail traders are cautious. this precious metal.
After an exciting week, the market is expected to be quiet this week with little important economic data released. The information that is believed to be able to affect the direction of gold is the minutes of the Fed's monetary policy meeting ending on May 1. However, most experts believe that the content of the minutes will not exceed investors' expectations, so the gold market will have little reaction unless there is unexpected information. In addition, the market also awaits statements from Fed officials. Six officials are expected to speak early this week.
Entry buy Gold for todayWorld gold prices increased in the context of a sharp decline in the USD index in recent days and continuous gold purchases by central banks around the world.
Gold prices turned positive for the week early Wednesday morning as the US April CPI report showed an improvement over the previous month. By Friday, the bullish trend had returned sending gold prices in excess of $2,400 an ounce.
And after surpassing $2,400 per ounce, Wall Street experts believe gold prices this week could reach or exceed all-time highs.
The latest weekly survey by Kitco News shows that Wall Street is maintaining a strong bullish sentiment on gold. Up to 11 out of 14 analysts forecast that gold prices will continue to increase. Only 2 analysts expect prices to decline and some experts expect the market to move sideways.
Individual consultants are more cautious but still lean towards the possibility of this precious metal going up. Specifically, 58% of 149 people asked about the price increase. 21% were predicted to decrease and the remaining number was redefined.
According to analysis, the decline in the USD index on the international market and the decline in US government bonds have supported gold prices towards the peak area. After surpassing the 2,400 USD/ounce area, gold prices may continue to increase, even towards the 2,500 USD/ounce area - a new high in history.
Gold is forecast to continue to decline deeplyGold prices steadied in Asian trading today after posting strong overnight gains as some mild inflation data dragged the dollar to a one-month low and raised expectations of a rate cut. capacity.
The yellow metal has now returned to record highs reached in May, as traders bet more that the US Federal Reserve (FED) will start cutting interest rates as soon as September. The dollar fell sharply on Wednesday on this view, which should benefit overall metal prices.
Gold prices are up more than 1% from Wednesday after data showed US consumer price index inflation fell in April from March, while core CPI also fell from the previous month.
The figures, followed by weaker-than-expected retail sales data, raised hopes that inflation will ease in the coming months, giving the Fed more confidence in starting to cut interest rates.
The CME Fedwatch tool shows traders are pricing in a higher likelihood of a 25 basis point cut in September, at nearly 54%.
High interest rates push up the opportunity cost of investing in gold and other precious metals because they do not bring direct profits. The yellow metal could also benefit from increased safe-haven demand if the US economy cools further this year.
Slight fluctuations after a series of increasing daysWorld gold prices turned down with spot gold dropping 9.5 USD to 2,375.5 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at $2,380.90 an ounce, down $14 from the bright spot.
According to Kitco Metals senior analyst Jim Wyckoff, gold turned around due to normal pressure after recent gains. On that side, the recovery of the US Dollar index also added strength to gold. The dollar rose 0.2% after hitting a multi-month low in the previous session as the latest data showed US consumer prices rose less than expected in April.
Meanwhile, New York Fed President John Williams said that the positive news surrounding the cooling off job is not enough for the US Central Bank to make an early decision to slow down.
Although gold turned down, most experts are still optimistic about gold in the future, predicting that this precious metal will soon conquer new records in the coming months.
MarketGauge's director of trading education and research Michele Schneider said that while it doesn't want to start a cycle of monetary policy easing just yet, it's clear the Fed also doesn't want to push interest rates higher and that conditions will eventually deliver. solid level of support for the precious type