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Multi-dimensional Analysis of Gold's Strength and Volatility RisLong-term drivers: After the breakout of the super-large sideways range from 2020 to 2023, global geopolitical conflicts, expectations of economic recession, and large-scale gold purchases by central banks worldwide have jointly fueled a super bull market. Short-term disruptions: The tariff policy announced by Trump in early April triggered a short-term sharp decline in gold and silver. However, on the monthly chart, no effective correction signal has been formed, and the trend remains dominated by bulls. Weekly strong characteristics: The long upper shadow line was engulfed by a bullish candle, forming an ultra-large bullish candle, indicating that the market still chose to break upward despite trade war risks, continuing the super-strong trend. While a correction of hundreds of dollars may occur after extreme market conditions, the current upward trend remains intact. Medium-term rhythm: Multiple medium-term corrections have ended rapidly, highlighting gold’s extremely strong resilience. The current upward slope is steep , showing a "crazy bull" short-covering feature, making it difficult to predict the top in the short term. Short-term technical signals: The 4-hour chart shows that the high-level volatility is still confined above the 21 exponential moving average (strong support), indicating a continuation pattern in the uptrend. Two potential paths lie ahead: - Conventional path: Consolidation into a platform before resuming the upward trend; - Extreme path: Direct breakout to new highs without correction (referencing the frequent occurrence of non-correction short-covering rallies in recent months). Conclusion: All timeframes suggest that gold’s rally remains unexhausted, with short-term volatility not altering the medium-to-long-term upward trend. However, risks of extreme volatility caused by policy mutations must be guarded against. XAUUSD buy@3300-3310-3320 tp:3340-3355-3370 I hope this strategy will be helpful to you. When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by H_C_12
Gold fulfills weekly review expectations, Go long on the declineGold opened higher and continued to set new highs with strength, which is in line with our weekly review ideas and expectations. The weekly line closed with a full big positive, and there are still high points to be seen this week. After breaking the high on the daily line, it also continued to rise, and the shape remained strong. Before there is a high test and fall back, the short-term will continue to force a short rise, constantly setting new highs, and will not give the bears any breathing room. Therefore, the long idea remains unchanged this week. In the 4H cycle, it rebounded and strengthened relying on the middle track. The middle track support is at 3286, but the strong trend makes it difficult to have a large retracement space. The intraday short-term support remains at 3346, and if it is extremely strong, pay attention to the top and bottom support of 3358. In terms of operation, go long according to the strength of the decline, and gradually look up to 3380 and 3400. Short-term volatility increases. The specific layout is combined with the shape, and the notice before the market opens shall prevail! Operation suggestion: Go long near gold 3346-3340, look at 3380, 3400! If it is very strong, buy gold at 3360-55!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
The opening surge hit another record high! How Gold is TradedAnalysis of gold market trend: Technical analysis of gold: the opening price rose directly during the day, the bulls were strong, and a new historical high was set. The short-term upward trend remains, and there is still room for growth. In the short term, attention should be paid to the suppression of 3380-90. If it breaks, it depends on the 3400 mark. In fact, I have been reminding everyone that gold is still very strong. Looking back at last week, although gold occasionally fell, it still maintained an upward trend, and the trend is still running according to the rhythm of the bulls. So now it has broken the previous high point again, so many investors are confused again. Can it still rise? Can short orders still be made? My point of view is bullish. There is actually no strong pressure above, judging from the current K-line structure! Even if it retreats, it will only be the acceleration point of the next wave of rise. The probability of 3340 returning here is very high, but it is not so easy to break through in one breath. There will definitely be repeated at that time. At that time, we will get on the train again and do more, and a new high. The 4-hour chart relies on the middle track of Bollinger Bands as a support point, and the area near the retracement point ends as far as possible. The middle track is the critical point of the short-term. Last week, it stabilized at 3286 on the middle track. This week, the middle track moved up to 3300. At the beginning of the week, the short-term may rise slowly around the middle track to a new high. The slow release of space is also accompanied by a step-by-step and back-to-back shock. The volatility base is large in operation, and it is flexible to deal with it in combination with the pattern. Going long on the retracement is still the main idea at present. The support point is 3340-3335. On the whole, it is recommended to go long on the pullback and short on the rebound for today's short-term operation of gold. The short-term focus on the resistance of 3380-3390 on the upper side and the support of 3335-3340 on the lower side. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Gold operation strategy: short gold near 3380-3390 at the opening, target near 3370-3360, and look at 3340 if it breaks. Strategy 2: Buy gold when it falls back to around 3340-3345, target around 3365-3375, and look at 3400 if it breaks.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
XAUUSD Volatility in Focus: Caution Advised for PullbackCurrently, I estimate that XAUUSD is nearing the end of wave iii of wave (v). I present two potential scenarios: In the black label scenario, XAUUSD may continue its upward movement to complete wave iii, with a projected target in the 3,372–3,410 range. However, under the red label scenario, there is a possibility of a short-term correction toward the 3,284–3,301 area before resuming the uptrend toward the same target zone. Traders should closely monitor price action, as increased volatility is likely in the near term.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by herdityawicaksana
1
4/21 Gold Trading StrategyGood morning, everyone! A brand new week begins—wishing us smooth trades and great success ahead. Looking back to last Thursday, our gold short strategy hit the mark perfectly. Prices dropped nearly $60 as expected, and we captured around $45 in profit from that move. Overall, we secured over $200 in profit space last week—an excellent performance. Today, gold opened higher and continues to climb. Technically, bulls still have room to push higher, with 3360 as a key resistance level. However, judging by the current momentum, we may even see a test of 3400. That said, trading is about precision, not perfection. If prices approach 3380 and the upward momentum stalls, it may be time to watch for a pullback. On the other hand, if strength continues, holding some light long positions remains a relatively low-risk strategy. Trading Strategy for Today: 📉 Sell in the 3380–3410 range 📈 Buy in the 3307–3280 range 🔁 Flexible trades between 3360–3330 / 3272–3315
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Gold is strong and is adjusting today!The rise and fall broke the pattern of the morning cycle, which means that this wave of unilateral rising from 3211 to 3357 can temporarily come to an end. This time the whole increase was as high as 146 US dollars, and there was no correction throughout the whole process. This kind of extreme market situation is rare in history. The bold will die of overeating and the timid will starve to death. It is very suitable for novices who have just entered the market. Blindly chasing the long position will have a miraculous effect, which is the so-called novice protection period. As the market will be closed tomorrow for Easter, gold is destined not to rise like yesterday, but will enter a period of shock correction. The price fell from 3357 to 3320 in the morning, reaching 37 US dollars. In the afternoon, we should focus on the pressure at 3342 and try to participate in the short position to see the decline. The strong pressure is at the high point of 3356-3357. If it does not break the high point during the day, we can still go short at night. The support below is 3320-3305. If it touches 3305, we can go long to see the rebound.
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by EuniceHarrington
1
Gold breaks out strongly and rises, is it an opportunity?The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to form a golden cross and is in a bullish arrangement. Gold rose directly at the opening, breaking through the short-term downward trend and directly breaking through the previous high of 3357. Therefore, the short-term 3357 of gold has formed support. If gold falls back to 3357, continue to buy on dips. However, it should be noted that if gold falls below 3357 again, the adjustment range of gold may increase. Gold has been rising wildly under the stimulation of recent risk aversion. In this kind of emotional market, we can only follow the trend, because gold continues to hit new highs and no one knows where it will rise. However, don’t easily chase the highs. After the fluctuations increase, the magnitude of each correction will not be small. Trading idea: Go long near gold 3357, stop loss 3347, target 3380
TVC:GOLDLong
by Fortune-signal
XAU/USD Longs from 3,220 or 3,120 back to ATHMy Analysis this week for gold is for it to keep pushing higher, even though gold has been overbought and we could at any time expect a major correction or distribution. We will be going on. current market structure and currently we have seen another ATH breach as well as multiple break of structures to the upside. From these demand zones that have been created we will be looking for a small correction a retracement in which price will then re accumulate in one of our POI, to cause another rally to the upside. Confluences for GOLD Buys are as follows: - Demand zone on the 4hr and 6hr is near by for potential long setups to formulate. - Market structure has been very bullish on the lower and higher time frame - There is asian high above that needs to get taken out as well - Dollar index has been bearish which means bullish movement for GOLD P.S. If price breaks through both demand zones i do have an extreme one at 3,020 but if it reaches that low we could expect price to just start moving temporarily bearish.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hassan_fx
Analysis of Gold Trading Strategies for Next WeekThe current key support level below is the low point of the rebound on Thursday night at the 3,288-3,293 level. If this level is broken at any time next week, the gold price may officially start a correction. At the opening of next Monday, focus on the support level at 3,310-3,315. Pay attention to the short-term high at 3,340-3,345 above. A break above 3,345 will accelerate the rebound to the historical high near 3,357. Be cautious about chasing long positions at high levels. If the tariff conflict is alleviated next week, gold is unlikely to break through its high again in the short term and will most likely remain in a range-bound oscillation. The operational advice is to go long on pullbacks, with a target of 3,340-3,345. If the position is broken, continue to hold. XAUUSD trading strategy buy @ 3210-3215 sl 3180 tp 3235-3240 If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Trading_Grorge
Analysis and layout of the latest gold market ?Analysis of gold market trend next Monday: Gold technical analysis: Stimulated by the news, gold prices have continuously refreshed historical highs this year. As of the close of this week, gold prices have reached a high of 3357. There was a slight retracement signal after setting a historical high on Thursday, but the closing price was still above 3320. The weekly line closed with a real body longer than the upper and lower shadows, suggesting that there is a possibility of further upward movement next week. That is to say, while we are optimistic that overbought will trigger selling at the end of the week, there are also investors who continue to be optimistic about the pullback and buy into the market. So Thursday's trend is to dive from the high to 3284 and then rebound to 3327 to close. The closing price reflects that the gold price is still in a state of continued rise in the general trend. In the short-term trend, Thursday's callback stopped at 3284, and did not reach the previous high conversion support of 3245, which we predicted. Then the support level can be moved up to 3285; as for the upper resistance, we need to pay attention to the suppression of the historical high of 3357. If the news over the weekend, especially the trade conflict and Trump's remarks, continue to stimulate the Fed to cut interest rates, then the probability of gold rising will be greatly increased. So for next week's operation, it is recommended to focus on long positions on pullbacks. As for the entry point, the first one is 3310. This is a step support level for high-level pullbacks and a retracement point during the rebound, so it can be used as an entry point to look bullish. The upper side mainly focuses on the high point suppression of 3357. If it continues to break, the upper side can continue to see the position of 3409. On the whole, it is recommended to focus on pullbacks and short positions on rebounds for the short-term operation of gold next Monday. The upper short-term focus is on the resistance line of 3357-3360, and the lower short-term focus is on the support line of 3285-3310. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Reference for gold operation strategy next Monday: Strategy 1: Short gold rebounds near 3350-3360, target near 3335-3320, and look at the 3310 line after breaking. Strategy 2: Go long on gold when it pulls back to around 3305-3310, target around 3325-3345, and look at the 3360 line if it breaks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
XAUUSD Gold Bearish Setup for upcoming week.XAUUSD Sell Setup – Short from Resistance at 3350 Gold (XAUUSD) has approached a key resistance level around 3350, where previous price action suggests potential for bearish reversal. With the current momentum showing signs of exhaustion, we’re looking for a short opportunity from this zone. Trade Idea: Sell Entry: 3350 (resistance level) Target 1: 3310 – Minor support / first reaction zone Target 2: 3290 – Key support area Target 3: 3250 – Major support & potential full TP zone Stop Loss: Above recent swing high (suggested: 3360–3370) Analysis: Price has formed a potential double top / rejection wicks near 3350, signaling possible downside. A break below 3310 will likely accelerate bearish momentum. Risk Management: Use proper lot sizing and move SL to breakeven after TP1 for a safe ride to lower targets.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by XAUUSD-Trade-ideas
7
Gold prices continue to rise as profit-taking takes place? Will Gold prices fell from an all-time high of $3,357 an ounce after Fed Chairman Powell warned that the Fed's goals could conflict, sparking concerns about stagflation. Regarding trade negotiations, U.S. President Trump said they were progressing well, adding that he was very confident of reaching a trade deal with the European Union and China. This statement has boosted market risk appetite and hit safe-haven gold. So the previous decline only reflects investors taking profits before the long holiday weekend. However, the weak dollar and trade tensions have kept it above $3,300 an ounce. Quaid believes that there is no short selling, only longs, and there have been many one-sided markets during this period. Judging from the current trend chart, it is still running upward and has shown signs of rising bottoms, which shows that the bulls have occupied a more advantageous position. If the big positive line continues to break new highs next week, there will be an opportunity to continue to attack 3,400. For next week, the bullish position of gold retracement is around 3,290. Quaid wants to say to everyone: Before going out to sea, fishermen don't know where the fish are. But they still choose to go because they believe they will return with a full load. And you, my friend, don't know whether you can make a profit, but you still need to try. Success is not something that will happen in the future, but from the moment you choose and decide to do it, you will gain something if you persist in believing. The same is true for Huang Investment. You may still be confused at the moment, but as long as you persist, the problem will eventually be solved.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
Gold: A textbook example of an extreme short squeeze!📌 Gold has surged over $400 in just six trading days—a textbook example of an extreme short squeeze! Yesterday, gold broke above the 3300 psychological barrier and is now trading above 3360. While safe-haven demand driven by escalating trade tensions is part of the reason, such a rapid and steep rally is clearly unsustainable. ⚠️ If you enter at these levels and get trapped, trying to "hold and hope" could result in facing $100+ of price swings—a dangerous gamble for most traders. 👉 Experienced traders might manage this volatility with scalping or short-term strategies to mitigate losses or even turn a profit. ❌ But if you don’t have that level of skill, don’t chase this rally blindly. ✅ Suggested approach: Scale into short positions gradually, or Wait for clear topping signals before going short Missing this rally isn’t the end—some of the best opportunities come during corrections. Profit potential remains strong on the way down. 🎯 Bearish targets: Short-term: 3312 → 3291 → 3250 Mid-term: 3196 → 3137
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_King_Arthur
Trading suspension period. What is the future trend of gold?The dollar continues to fall. Fundamentals depend on Sino-US relations and economic data, especially after Powell's speech. The weekly close is close to the support level, and the decline may continue. Gold recovers after shock. Fundamentals show that prices may continue to rise. The market will be closed for the next three days and traders will take a break. During the holiday, the weekend is full of too many unknowns. But from a technical point of view, the focus is on the medium-term level. Quaid believes that its upward trend is still strong. If there is no supernatural event during the holiday, gold may rebound from the nearest resistance level in the Asian session and test the trend support level before continuing to rise. If there is any major change in the mood of the country/politicians, I will update my thoughts in time. Give traders time to adjust their positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
1
#XAUUSD UP TREND Thanks for sharing the updated chart. Here’s a breakdown of what’s going on now: ### **Current Context (Gold Spot/USD - 1H)**: - **Price**: $3,327.38 (down 0.47%). - **Trend Channel**: Still in play, though the price briefly broke below the lower boundary and quickly re-entered — a potential **fakeout**. - **Corrective Structure**: The “(W)-(X)” label suggests an **Elliott Wave corrective pattern** (likely a W-X-Y correction). The price may still be in the “X” leg moving upward before completing “Y.” - **Key Levels**: - **Support**: Around $3,302 (same as the previous chart’s stop-loss). - **Resistance/Target**: $3,380 — matching the top of the previous breakout attempt. ### **Trade Setup**: - A long position is being considered with a bounce off the lower trendline. - Entry around $3,327–$3,331 with target near $3,380. - Stop-loss again around $3,303 — maintaining tight risk management. ### **Interpretation**: - The market may have completed a short-term correction and is possibly forming a higher low (if “W” holds). - A break above point “X” would confirm bullish continuation to $3,380 or higher. - If price breaks below “W” ($3,302), the bullish structure might fail, and deeper retracement becomes likely. Do you want to explore a possible short scenario if the lower boundary breaks again, or are you planning to ride the bullish continuation? NASDAQ:NVDA OANDA:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forex_Navigator
Will gold experience a sharp drop?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold today. If you have other ideas, you can express your different ideas in the comment area. Today, gold continued yesterday's upward trend and set a new record high of 3357! But we need to be extra careful at present, because tomorrow Friday is closed all day, which means that today Thursday is the last trading day of this week. Currently, long positions in gold are likely to be profit-taking. Once the long positions are profit-taking, it is easy to have a large retracement, so you must be careful about this and do not buy too much. From the hourly chart: Today's high point was 3357 and once retreated to around 3313. It can be found that since it fell below the opening price of 3342, gold has not stood above 3342 again. This is a strong short-term retracement signal, especially when the long positions are about to be profit-taking. Moreover, the hourly chart is currently a bit of abc wave retracement. Once it comes down, I think it is not a problem to touch 3300, and it is not ruled out that it will be lower. At present, the MA10 moving average position below gold is also at 3300-3280. Therefore, it is not recommended to chase long orders today, and you should be prepared for the possibility of falling to 3300-3280 in advance. In terms of operation, I suggest that you can maintain the entry and short near 3340, and the target can be 3300-3280.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by OctaviaRobinson
Will gold still rise after correction? Market analysis referenceAnalysis of gold market trend: Technical analysis of gold: Today in the Asian session, gold directly rushed to the 3357 line, continuing the previous upward trend. The spot gold price in the Asian session has once again hit a record high, breaking through $3350 for the first time. The US dollar index fell close to a three-year low, triggering a sharp rise in market risk aversion, pushing up gold prices. The current basic trend of gold rising has not changed, and the bulls are strong. However, from the perspective of time nodes, even if you are bullish today, you must pay attention to the adjustment space at any time. The Asian session hit a high and fell back, and the European session did not continue to rise but fluctuated and fell. Attention should be paid to the second bottoming out in the evening. In addition, the market will be closed tomorrow, Friday, and will not open normally until next Monday; therefore, today, Thursday, we must do a good job of risk prevention; such as short positions, such as adjusting positions, and so on. In the short term, gold is now likely to start a large range of fluctuations again. The 1-hour inverted V trend has begun. Gold will either start a large range of fluctuations or make adjustments. If there is no support from bullish news in the short term, then the short-term gold bulls may be suppressed. Due to the rest tomorrow, do less and wait and see. Gold will be operated next week in combination with the news over the weekend. The recent market has been ups and downs, and I can finally take a good rest for three days to relax the tense atmosphere. The recent ups and downs of gold are like an electrocardiogram, which affects the hearts of everyone who pays attention to gold. It is mainly too active. Maybe you drink a sip of tea and smoke a cigarette, and gold goes back and forth for more than ten US dollars. So, don't be too bullish today. If you are bold, go short, and if you are prudent, just watch the show! Overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is mainly to go short on rebounds, and to go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3315-3320 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3245-3285 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Gold operation strategy reference: short gold rebounds near 3315-3320, target near 3295-3285, and look at the 3245 line if it breaks. Strategy 2: Go long on gold pullbacks near 3280-3285, target near 3305-3315, and look at the 3320 line if it breaks.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
4/17 Gold Trading StrategyYesterday, the escalation of the tariff issue significantly strengthened bullish momentum in gold, leading to a one-sided upward move. There’s no need for lengthy analysis today — in this kind of market condition, the focus should be on identifying sell opportunities. A sustained rally like this is almost always followed by a correction, even without any additional catalyst. Furthermore, today’s initial jobless claims data may provide an opening for the bears. Even if the data is bullish for gold, the likelihood of another sharp rally is low at this stage. Today’s Trading Recommendations: Sell Zone: 3350 – 3390 Ideal for initiating short positions as gold approaches extreme levels. Buy Zone: 3268 – 3252 Key support zone where long positions can be considered upon a pullback. Range Trading Zone: 3330 – 3288 Suitable for flexible intraday trades based on market structure and real-time price action. Summary: After a strong one-sided surge, gold is now in overbought territory. Look for short setups at resistance zones, especially with potential catalysts like jobless claims data on the horizon. A healthy correction is both expected and necessary before any further sustained move upward.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Technical indicators warn of the risk of a short-term correctionThe recent gold price has reached a record high, mainly driven by the escalation of global trade frictions and the expectation of the Fed's easing. Although the Trump administration has temporarily revoked tariffs on some goods, it has threatened to impose tariffs on automobiles, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals. The repeated policies have exacerbated the market's risk aversion. At the same time, the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 100 basis points in 2025, and the US dollar index has fallen to its lowest level since April 2022, further supporting gold prices. Technically, gold prices are facing short-term correction pressure, with the key position below being supported by today's lowest point at 3312. If the opening high of 3344 is effectively broken above, it may rise to the 3358-3370 range again. In the medium and long term, trade uncertainty and expectations of monetary easing will still provide support for gold, but we need to be wary of the volatility risks brought about by policy easing or a rebound in the US dollar. Focus on key price breakthrough signals and respond flexibly to short-term fluctuations. Gold recommendations for the evening: Go long at 3317-3312, with a target of 3340.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5