XAU/USDS 12 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. This is in-line with all HTF's requiring a pullback.
Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Bullish CHoH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 8 November 2024 that I would not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Price Action Analysis: This is how price printed, printing a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range.
This is in-line with all HTF's need for a pullback.
Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,589.725.
Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist.
M15 Chart:
Xauusdupdates
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Trade Plan- No. 1 (Technical + Fundamental)Several weeks ago I indicated that "Bear Market: 2024 United States presidential election, Nov 5, 2024"
What happened next?
Greed kills!
Gold-Trade Plan (No. (1))
Short-Term overview
Bias: Bearish
price: 2668 , 1 Ethereum = 1.18642 XAU (Nov 11, 2024)
Stop level: $ 2700
Target-1: $ 2595
Target-2: $ 2515
Fundamental:
Bearish!
Why Gold Fall Down! And What Is The Next?Hello Traders
Technically
When OANDA:XAUUSD dropped from 2790 gold become fully bearish and i also shared ideas for sell till 2682 but when 2682 could not stable and dropped from 2682 i gives you another target of 2640.
i gave you 2640 target because there was liquidity in 4H and 1D time frame Gold Has filled its liquidity gap and also completed its 4th impulsive wave in H4 and 1D time frame, Now is time to boom for 5th wave and the target is 2864.
Fundamentally
Greed increasing
fear decreased
How to layout gold under a sharp declineOn Monday, gold faced a severe downturn, plummeting by $60, setting a bearish tone for the week.
Fundamental Analysis: Following Trump's victory, the U.S. dollar strengthened as investors anticipated a shift from the Federal Reserve toward a less dovish stance. The market expects that Trump’s proposed economic policies will pave the way for high economic growth in the U.S., potentially complicating the Fed’s efforts to control inflation. This scenario may prompt the Fed to reassess its future policy easing path. All signs point to significant downward pressure on the gold market, suggesting that any rally could provide an opportunity to short.
Technical Analysis: On the hourly chart, gold prices appear to be stabilizing around the 2613 level, indicating that an initial oversold rebound may be imminent.
Current Gold Strategy: Consider long positions around 2613. If prices rebound to approximately 2625, this could serve as an entry point for short positions.
For those following this analysis, these insights should clarify the general trading direction for the week. For a detailed strategy, feel free to reach out. I will be sharing the complete weekly trading strategy with all VIP members.
XAUUSD: 1700+ Pips Sell, Gold is going to melt hard! OANDA:XAUUSD dropped after touching daily order block at $2710, price dropped to $2617 almost achieving 930+ pips. Expecting a minor correction of 300-400 pips taking price to 2650 area where we can enter another sell enter. A possible target of 1700+ pips target. Remember this is swing sell entry. Good luck.
XAUUSD: From $2720 To $2500 A Move of 2200+ Pips ! Comment DownOANDA:XAUUSD
Price dropped after creating a record high at 2790$, price dropped as mainly due to US Elections and aftermath of the election. We can see price to drop further after filling up the fair value gap within the market. Please do your own research before taking any decision. Good Luck.
XAUUSD: 11/11 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2761, support 2638
Four-hour resistance 2678, support 2638
Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday, the overall gold price fell sharply from a high level. Today, Monday, the short position continued from last Friday, and the trend is still mainly short selling.
Judging from the current market trend, we still need to continue to be bearish on the market this week. Pay attention to the short-term 2668 line pressure on the upper side. The key pressure point on the upper side is maintained at 2675~2680, which is also the dividing line between long and short this week. The key support below is maintained near 2638. Once it continues to break down, it is very likely to start a large downward trend. The operation is still treated as rebound short selling, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
SELL:2668near
SELL:2638near
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
Gold’s Pullback May Signal New Buying OpportunityGold began the week on a weak note, with its price dropping by around 200 pips from peak to trough.
However, as I mentioned in my Friday analysis, a potential bottom may be forming, giving bulls hope for a recovery.
Currently, Gold is trading precisely within a former resistance zone that now acts as support.
As long as this level holds, there is a favorable outlook for a reversal.
For now, I remain optimistic about a rebound, with potential for the price to climb back above 2700.
Continued decline, market analysis and strategy sharingGold daily line single K closed negative, the 5-day moving average system crossed the 20-day moving average, and the overall short position was arranged. The auxiliary indicator MACD also crossed downward at a high position.
Gold fell under pressure from high levels, and gold continued to short in the Asian session. The rise of gold last week was just a reaction to the Fed's expectation of a rate cut. Gold finally rushed up and fell back, and waited for the rebound to continue shorting.
The 4-hour moving average of gold has now entered a short position arrangement with a dead cross downward. There is still room for gold to fall. Gold fluctuated after the second half of Friday night. Today's Asian session directly broke down, so gold still continued to choose to go down. Gold rebounded near 2690 in the Asian session and continued to short.
First support: 2660, second support: 2643, third support: 2630
First resistance: 2680, second resistance: 2691, third resistance: 2700
Trading strategy:
BUY:2661-2663
SELL:2690-2692
Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionGold prices dropped to a three-week low, as investors dumped the Gold commodity for the U.S. dollar following Donald Trump's presidential victory. With expectations of a stronger dollar and potential inflation-driving tariffs under Trump, the Federal Reserve may rethink its easing cycle. This video breaks down key market moves and sentiment shifts post-election, as traders reassess their ‘Trump trade’ strategies amid tariff uncertainty.
Looking ahead, next week's U.S. economic data releases—including inflation and retail sales—along with comments from Federal Reserve officials, are set to shape Gold’s direction. Join us to analyze the behavioural trends impacting XAU/USD and prepare for new trading opportunities in the week ahead.
#GoldMarket #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #TrumpEffect #USDollar #GoldAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAU/USD Longs from 2,66.000 back up?My analysis this week suggests that gold may accumulate around my point of interest at 2,660.00, where a 9-hour demand zone has formed. With liquidity and imbalance left to the upside, price might look to continue in its pro-trend direction.
Alternate Scenario: If price reaches the area around 2,740.00, we might see a retracement or bearish reaction. Given recent bearish pressure that’s led to a CHoCH and BOS, this scenario could align with the current order flow.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
- A clean, unmitigated demand zone below.
- DXY has shown strong upside movement and may be due for a pullback.
- Significant liquidity lies to the upside.
- The overall market trend remains bullish.
P.S. If price respects the 9-hour supply zone and continues breaking structure to the downside, it could validate a temporary bearish move. Have a great trading week!
XAU/USD 11-15 November 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure: Bullish.
Internal Structure: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 27 October 2024
Price has continued its surge, reaching new all-time highs with no signs yet of bearish pullback phase initiation.
The initial indication of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line. Price's ongoing ascent has now positioned CHoCH significantly closer to most recent price action.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold's price has maintained its upward surge after printing a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), fueled by softer U.S. macroeconomic data and intensified geopolitical tensions.
In my weekly analysis dated 27 October 2024, I mentioned that price could potentially reach new highs, moving the bearish CHoCH positioning closer to current price. This shift would create a realistic opportunity for price to indicate the start of a bearish pullback phase.
This forecast played out as expected, with CHoCH positioning repositioned significantly nearer to recent price action subsequently printing a bearish CHOCH.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 08 November 2024.
Price has now printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price has reacted from premium of 50% established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to weak internal low priced at 2,643.355
Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist.
H4 Chart:
XAUUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU! 11/8! Create liquidity for the downtrendXAU / USD trend forecast November 8, 2024
Gold prices rose above $2,700 after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates and noted that US election impacts are unlikely to be immediate. Currently, XAU/USD is trading at $2,704, up over 1.7%.
Wall Street gained further as the Fed unanimously lowered the federal funds rate by 0.25%. In its statement, the Fed pointed to solid economic growth, though labor market conditions have weakened slightly. Officials also observed that inflation is closer to the Fed’s 2% target but remains somewhat elevated.
Long term framework - gold price is still in a downtrend. Market recovered thanks to FED continuing to cut 0.25% as expected. Short term recovery
/// SELL XAU : zone 2719-2722
SL: 2727
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2692)
/// BUY XAU : zone 2667-2664
SL: 2659
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2694)
Safe and profitable trading
XAUUSD: Key Resistance 2712-2720Following the rate decision, gold saw a slight pullback as expected, then rebounded near support. Those following the long strategy have locked in profits. Looking ahead, the focus now shifts from support to resistance, specifically in the 2712-2720 range. If gold reaches or approaches this resistance zone, it may offer an opportunity for short trades. However, caution is advised; avoid excessive risk, and stay alert to signals of a potential trend shift in the broader timeframe.
Gold's Game: Bouncing Back from Key LevelsLet’s talk about Gold for a sec.
I mentioned before that this level would be attractive for Gold because there’s liquidity and a local minimum that traders all over the world are eyeing and will be trading around. And that’s pretty much what happened.
But then Gold dipped lower and 'knocked' on another level of accumulated liquidity—what some folks call the 'triangle,' or whatever works for you. It knocked and then bounced back up, leaving those bears who got stuck in short positions in a bit of a tough spot.
So, bottom line, the sentiment is bullish for now, but it’s more like a 'borderline' bullish vibe, to be honest..
Capture Final Profits with Targeted Range TradingMarket Analysis: Today marks the final trading day of the week, and after capitalizing on the week’s significant volatility, we’re positioned for a more subdued session. With the U.S. presidential election concluded and the Fed’s rate hike now settled, external drivers for gold have largely subsided. As a result, gold is likely to trade within a defined range without any dramatic price swings.
Forecast and Range Projection: Gold is expected to fluctuate within a range, with resistance at 2705 and support at 2690. As it approaches resistance, prices may dip, while support levels around 2690 could trigger a rebound. Accordingly, today's trading strategy is simple: focus on range-bound trades by selling at resistance and buying at support.
Trading Strategy:
Sell near 2705
Buy near 2690
Recommendations: For those ready to execute, this plan provides clear guidance for capturing profits within the range. For detailed strategies and ongoing insights, please contact me. VIP members will receive a complete weekly trading plan, tailored to maximize returns on today’s final moves.
Focus on 2700, short on highs in US tradingGold's 1-hour moving average continues to diverge downward in the short position, without any signs of turning. Gold's short position has not ended yet, and there is still room for downward movement. Yesterday's rise in gold has digested the expectations brought by the interest rate cut. It has fallen back after being under pressure at 2710 many times, indicating that gold's bullish momentum at high levels is not strong. The US market rebound is still short. Gold rebounds below 2710 in the US market, and it continues to be short at highs.
It can be shorted first when it rebounds near 2700. The market changes rapidly. Don't be fooled by the seemingly strong rebound as a reversal. Gold continues to be short.
Trading strategy:
Shorting on rallies in US market.
SELL: 2699-2701
XAU/USD 08 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has now printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price has reacted from premium of 50% established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to weak internal low priced at 2,643.355
Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis: Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase.
Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to react from either the discount of 50% internal equilibrium level (EQ) or the M15 demand zone before targeting the weak internal high.
Alternative Scenario: Given that the H4 timeframe is in a bullish pullback phase, it's no surprise that the M15 chart has printed a bullish iBOS. However, with H4 price trading up to premium of 50% internal EQ and reacting from that premium zone, it wouldn’t be surprising if the price prints a bearish iBOS.
Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist.
M15 Chart: