XAU/USD – Is the Uptrend Ready for the Next Move?Gold is approaching a major support level within its rising channel! 📊 Could this be the next higher low (HL) in the uptrend?
If bulls step in here, we might see a push back toward the channel highs! 🚀
🔹 Key Support Levels: $2,655 is the immediate support, while $2,580 serves as a critical backstop below.
🔹 Potential Setup: Long on bullish confirmation around these supports.
🔹 My Thought: I believe Gold could be forming another HL here, potentially setting up for another push higher before any major correction. Historically Gold has shown bullish momentum leading up to U.S. elections, rallying once before turning bearish afterward.
What are your thoughts? Are you bullish or bearish on gold?
💬 Drop your comments below and let’s discuss! 👇
Xauusdupdates
Resistance 2720. Support 2692. Today's market analysisGold attacked 2710 and stood on the 2700 mark again. The adjustment range is very large. The market fluctuated greatly recently, fluctuating back and forth by 70~100$, so don't chase the rise or follow the short. Pay attention to the continued high action at the end of the week. Go long first and then go short when the correction is made!
The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision for gold was cut as expected, and the expectation of interest rate cut was realized. Gold is now encountering resistance and fluctuating. Today, it is mainly high and low. After the strong rebound of gold yesterday, the short trend of gold has temporarily come to an end, but the market may not reverse. It is likely to start a volatile market again.
The 1-hour moving average of gold has not turned around yet, and gold may not start to reverse for the time being. Gold seems to rebound strongly, but gold has repeatedly fallen under pressure above 2720. It continues to go short at highs below 2720 in the Asian session. Gold 2720 can be shorted first.
First support: 2692, second support: 2687, third support: 2672
First resistance: 2720, second resistance: 2736, third resistance: 2750
Trading strategy:
Trading based on resistance and support, BUY: 2691-2693. SELL: 2720-2722
Long xauusd• Current Price: As of this data, the price is around 2,705.9 USD per ounce, showing a slight decrease of 0.6 USD, or about -0.02%.
• Chart Analysis:
• A red moving average line is displayed, possibly a short or medium-term trend indicator. The price action is below this moving average, suggesting a bearish or downward trend over the period shown.
• There are red and green candlesticks representing the price movement in each hour.
• The current price (2,705.9) is marked on the right-hand side, with 2,706.5 just above it as another price level.
Best trading opportunity before interest rate decision!Market Analysis: Gold has made a powerful comeback today, and those who followed my buy recommendations yesterday have seen substantial profits—congratulations to all VIP members! Reviewing yesterday’s price action, gold's sharp decline was primarily triggered by Trump’s election win, a bearish news factor that was quickly digested by the market. With the Fed’s rate decision looming today, gold remains in a bullish trend.
Forecast and Price Movement: Analyzing the current market setup, I anticipate a minor pullback in gold, likely toward the 2680 level. This dip is expected as the gold market prepares for a potential Fed rate cut in the next few hours. Thus, I foresee a brief drop in prices leading up to the rate announcement, followed by a significant rally post-cut.
Trading Strategy:
Aggressive Approach: Enter a short position at current levels but secure profits before the rate decision.
Conservative Approach: Wait for a pullback before the rate cut to establish a long position, capitalizing on the anticipated post-cut rally.
Summary and Recommendations: This analysis should provide a clear direction for today’s gold trading. For a detailed breakdown of this week’s trading strategies, please reach out. All VIP members will receive an exclusive, complete trading plan to maximize gains during this pivotal market phase.
Gold New ATH Target As I predicted in last chart of OANDA:XAUUSD for a retracement level to achieve for continue it's bullish trend that is done and now OANDA:XAUUSD will continue it's bullish trend and will give target of 2835 as I mentioned in chart you can read the chart and give your reviews in comments and follow me for more updates
💥Take entry now at 2660-2661
📉And hold till my given targets 2835
For day trader entry on same price
Targets
2691
2712
2718
XAUUSD:7/11 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2700, support below is 2600
Four-hour resistance is 2678, support below is 2638
Gold operation advice: Affected by the U.S. election, short sellers experienced a unilateral decline. Before the U.S. market, the decline accelerated and broke through the 2700 integer mark and continued to decline to a weak close near 2652. After the overall gold price formed a short-term top platform area above 2730, it ushered in Short selling chips fell.
From the 4-hour market trend, gold pays attention to the suppression of 2678 above and the support of 2638 below. The operation is mainly short-selling after rebound. At the same time, the weekly level support is near 2638!
BUY:2738near SL:2735
SELL:2678near SL:2681
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
Expectations of a Fed rate cut boosted the reboundMarket Analysis: Today, gold prices have fallen below the 2700 mark following a surge in the U.S. dollar after Donald Trump’s surprising political comeback as President. The primary driver behind this pullback is the market’s expectation that Trump, known for his pro-capitalist stance, will prioritize U.S. economic growth. This outlook has strengthened the dollar, resulting in downward pressure on gold.
Currently, it appears the market has largely priced in the bearish impact of Trump’s election, limiting gold's potential for further decline. Additionally, the Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting, concluding on Thursday, is expected to result in a 25-basis-point rate cut, which would likely provide upward momentum for gold.
Trading Strategy: Given the current low levels, going long on gold presents a strategic opportunity. With the anticipated Fed rate cut, we can expect a positive impact on gold prices, fueling a rebound.
Recommendation: Based on this analysis, the general trading direction should be clear. For specific entry points and comprehensive weekly strategies, please reach out. All VIP members will receive exclusive access to this week’s detailed trading plan.
XAUUSD Primed for a Breakout: Key Levels to Watch Now!Attention Pro Traders! XAUUSD is heating up, and big moves could be on the way!
XAUUSD Update: Locked in a tight range between 2649 and 2665. Will it break out or break down? Keep watching.
Downside Alert: A slip below this range could lead to quick drops. Targets: 2644 and 2639. Get ready!
Upside Potential: A push above this zone could fuel a rally! Next targets: 2680 and 2698.
XAU/USD 07 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As highlighted in my analysis dated 31 October 2024: We should remain aware that the daily timeframe has been showing early signs of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation, suggesting that price could print a bearish iBOS despite H4 internal structure being bullish.
This printed as anticipated, with price printing a bearish iBOS that also confirmed the swing structure.
Price is now trading within an established swing range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the start of a bullish pullback phase.
Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As detailed in yesterday's intraday analysis dated 06 November 2024, I noted that price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price printed to this expectation, successfully targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
Following this, price has printed an additional bearish iBOS and a bullish CHoCH, confirming the internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to target the weak internal low after reacting from either the premium of 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone.
Note: Considering the Fed’s softer stance, and rising geopolitical tensions, price volatility is likely to remain elevated.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD - GOLD - Scalping Mode! 4th NovLet's see what the market has to offer.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
XAUUSD Money Moves Motion Webinar: Bullish Swing from Sell
We're looking for the market to reject the HL and continue to go bullish after making a big bull candle. If it breaks 2664.00 we're looking for it to continue bullish with some pull back, either going to roll our SL or Move to entry and take partial profits.
If we see the market reject 2664 area we'll see it push back to our Major Support and potentially continue downwards to the 1M lower Rejection Line.
If it hits that rejection line it will range before swinging back up. The market is in a bearish trend at the moment but trying to make HH but ultimately we're looking for a swing trade back to 2720.00
ATTENDANCE:
-RITA
-KLOO
-SHAWN
-AMILIA
-AUSTIN
- ELODIE
-OBSERVER
- Shawn
- Tatiana
- Terrel
- Tye
Analyzing the Factors Behind the Recent Gold Price Decline
A Post-Election Dip
Gold prices experienced a significant decline following the recent US election. The precious metal, often seen as a safe-haven asset, retreated as the US dollar strengthened and Treasury yields surged. This confluence of factors put pressure on gold, which tends to perform poorly in a rising interest rate environment.
Why Did Gold Fall?
1. Stronger US Dollar: A stronger US dollar typically weighs on gold prices. When the dollar appreciates, it becomes more expensive for foreign buyers to purchase gold, reducing demand for the precious metal.
2. Rising Treasury Yields: Higher Treasury yields reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold. As bond yields rise, investors may shift their focus from gold to fixed-income securities.
3. Reduced Safe-Haven Demand: The election results, while not entirely unexpected, may have reduced some of the safe-haven demand for gold. Investors may have perceived less geopolitical risk and economic uncertainty, leading them to seek out riskier assets.
Is More Downside Ahead for Gold?
While the recent decline in gold prices has been significant, it's important to consider the factors that could influence its future trajectory:
1. Economic Uncertainty: Despite the post-election rally, global economic uncertainty remains elevated. Factors such as geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, and potential economic slowdowns could continue to support gold's safe-haven appeal.
2. Inflationary Pressures: Persistent inflationary pressures could drive investors toward gold as a hedge against currency devaluation. Central banks may need to tighten monetary policy to combat inflation, which could indirectly benefit gold.
3. Central Bank Demand: Central banks around the world have been significant buyers of gold in recent years. Continued central bank demand could provide support for gold prices.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, gold prices have broken below key support levels. A further decline could be on the cards, with potential targets at the next significant support levels. However, it's important to note that technical analysis is not foolproof, and market sentiment can change rapidly.
Investor Strategies
Given the current market conditions, investors may consider the following strategies:
1. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): By investing a fixed amount of money in gold at regular intervals, investors can reduce the impact of market volatility.
2. Physical Gold: Owning physical gold can provide a tangible asset and hedge against inflation.
3. Gold ETFs: Gold ETFs offer a convenient way to invest in gold without the physical storage costs.
4. Diversification: Incorporating gold into a diversified investment portfolio can help reduce overall portfolio risk.
In conclusion, while the recent decline in gold prices is concerning, it's essential to consider the long-term factors that could influence its future trajectory. Investors should carefully assess their risk tolerance and investment goals before making any investment decisions related to gold.
XAUUSD: 300+ Pips Daily 1 HR View! Dear Traders,
Price dropped from 2792 to 2733 record 600 pips, now we are looking at the price correct the fair value gap that it has created due to that massive drop. Now we are looking at the nice correction and price might reject from the 2772 area. Good luck.
Trade safe!
Corrective wave continuing in GoldGold is in corrective wave now gold should continue this move and give a good target for sellers.
5th impulsive wave has been completed and 2nd corrective wave also completed now 3rd corrective wave is coming, and this wave should be high sell in gold because it's 3rd wave of correction.
XAU/USD 06 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal.
Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high.
We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As outlined in yesterday's intraday analysis dated 05 November 2024, I mentioned that price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price printed to this expectation, successfully targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
While price has not yet printed a bullish CHoCH, it has moved up to the premium of 50% EQ, allowing me to confirm the internal structure.
Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to target the weak internal low.
Note: Given the ongoing Presidential elections, the Fed’s softer stance, and heightened geopolitical tensions, price is expected to remain highly volatile.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD:5/11 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2800, support below 2716
Four-hour resistance 2800, support below 2730-16
Gold operation suggestions: Gold was flat in volatile trading yesterday. The price of Asian and European sessions was under pressure at the 2744 mark and gradually weakened. The European session fell back and stabilized at the 2732 mark and rebounded. The US session broke through the 2748 line for the second time and was under pressure and weakened. It finally closed at around 2736. The overall gold price was further under pressure at the 2750 mark and ushered in a suppressed volatile adjustment.
From the current technical level of the daily line, the upper resistance is near the 2800 integer mark, and the lower short-term support is around 2716.
With the advent of the US election risk event, the market is relatively stalemate. For the time being, it is still mainly short-term fast in and out. The upper pressure is 2750. The rebound below 2750 is still maintained during the day. Continue to pay attention to the gains and losses of 2730. The rapid rebound after the Asian session pierced proves that there is still a certain amount of bargain hunting buying below. We need to be cautious today. Note that 2730 has been tested for 6 times in a row. The support is gradually weakening. If it approaches 2730 again, it is also likely to accelerate the decline. In the face of the US election in the near future, the market volatility may be relatively fast. Investors are requested to pay attention to risk control, stay vigilant and pay close attention to the latest news changes.
BUY:2717near SL:2714
BUY:2727near SL:2724
SELL:2750near SL:2754
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
Gold : When Could the Next Surge or Trend Begin...?At present, gold is experiencing a range-bound market, with the upper resistance level identified at approximately $2,754 and the lower support level around $2,710. This price consolidation indicates a period of indecision among traders, as they assess various economic factors and market dynamics. It is anticipated that a breakout from this range could occur soon, likely favoring an upward movement given the current market sentiment.
This phase of consolidation is generally viewed as a positive development, as it allows for the accumulation of strength and provides a solid foundation for a potential new trend. Once a breakout occurs—whether to the upside or downside—it could signal a shift in market momentum, possibly leading to increased volatility and trading opportunities. Observing this range will be essential for traders looking to make informed decisions about entering or exiting positions in the gold market.
XAU/USD 05 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal.
Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high.
We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As highlighted in yesterday's intraday analysis dated 04 November 2024, I mentioned that price was expected to continue targeting the weak internal low.
Price followed this expectation, reaching the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
Subsequently, price has printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Internal structure has also been confirmed.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to react at either premium of the 50% EQ or the M15 supply level before targeting weak internal low.
M15 Chart: