Gold opens lower and moves lower, the rebound continues to be beThe gold 1-hour moving average crosses downwards and the short positions are arranged, and it continues to open downwards. So gold is now the home of the shorts. Gold rebounds or continues to be short. Gold is now in a short trend under the gap. Gold rebounds around 3050 and continues to be short.
Trading ideas: short gold near 3050, stop loss 3060, target 3030
Xauusdupdates
Geopolitical Tensions, Supporting Bullish Outlook for GoldOver the weekend, geopolitical tensions remained elevated:
A mortar attack targeted the vicinity of Aden Adde International Airport in Mogadishu, Somalia.
U.S. forces launched airstrikes on key targets in Saada, a city in northern Yemen.
Ukrainian forces conducted multiple strikes on Russian energy infrastructure.
Massive protests erupted across dozens of U.S. cities, marking the first large-scale demonstrations since former President Trump returned to office. Trump described the recent U.S. stock market plunge as “intentional” and urged Americans to “stay strong.”
In Europe, Germany is reportedly considering repatriating 1,200 tons of gold reserves currently stored in the United States—signaling potential mistrust in global financial stability.
Fundamental Outlook
Given the ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, investor demand for safe-haven assets like gold is expected to remain strong. As risk sentiment continues to deteriorate, buyers are likely to dominate the market, especially on price dips. We anticipate increased buying interest next week, which could support gold prices and potentially lead to a breakout from the current consolidation zone.
Additionally, macroeconomic data releases will play a crucial role. The U.S. CPI report, due Thursday, will be the most closely watched indicator. A higher-than-expected CPI could cause markets to reassess the timing and scale of potential Fed rate cuts, resulting in a temporary rebound in the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields. However, sustained higher borrowing costs would intensify recession risks, limiting any dollar strength. This dynamic continues to favor gold in the medium to long term.
We are entering a phase where the fundamental and technical landscapes are increasingly aligned in favor of the bulls. The recent pullback in prices presents a strategic opportunity for medium- to long-term buyers to accumulate positions.
Those already holding long positions—whether currently in profit or facing temporary drawdowns—are advised to remain patient and avoid emotional exits. The broader structure remains supportive of higher prices in the coming sessions.
I will continue to provide real-time updates, entry/exit suggestions, and risk control strategies during market hours. Be sure to stay connected and follow the guidance closely.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Needs a upward correctionGold price crashed over 2.8% as Powell turns hawkish on tariffs and inflation. But right now gold needs a upward correction. There is a bell curve area and market left multiple sps.
Fundamental is also on gold side. Safe heaven movement is still on because of tariff and war situation.
Gold Price Drops on Tariff Selloff
Gold, long considered a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty, experienced a sharp reversal of fortune this Friday, tumbling as much as 2.4% and extending losses from the previous session. This significant decline came as a surprise to many who had witnessed the precious metal steadily climb to record highs in recent weeks, fueled by persistent inflation concerns, geopolitical instability, and expectations of easing monetary policy. However, the resurgence of tariff anxieties has triggered a broad selloff across various asset classes, including gold, as investors recalibrate their risk exposure in the face of heightened economic uncertainty.1
The catalyst for this sudden shift in market sentiment has been the renewed threat of escalating trade tensions.2 While the specifics of the "tariff shock" are crucial in understanding the market reaction, the general principle is that the imposition or threat of tariffs can disrupt global supply chains, increase costs for businesses and consumers, and ultimately dampen economic growth.3 This increased uncertainty and the potential for negative economic consequences have prompted investors to reassess their portfolios and, in many cases, reduce their exposure to assets perceived as riskier or less liquid, even those traditionally considered safe havens.4
Gold's traditional role as a safe haven stems from its historical use as a store of value, its limited supply, and its lack of correlation with traditional financial assets during periods of stress.5 In times of economic turmoil, investors often flock to gold as a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and market volatility.6 This flight to safety typically drives up the price of bullion.7
However, the current market reaction suggests a more nuanced dynamic at play. The tariff shock appears to have triggered a broader reassessment of risk, leading to a selloff that encompasses not only equities and other riskier assets but also traditional safe havens like gold. Several factors could be contributing to this phenomenon.
Firstly, the prospect of tariffs can lead to concerns about slower global growth.8 If economic activity contracts, it could reduce overall demand, potentially impacting even safe-haven assets like gold, particularly if investors anticipate lower inflation in the long run. While gold is often seen as an inflation hedge, a significant deflationary shock could negatively affect its price.
Secondly, the imposition of tariffs can create uncertainty about future economic policies and international relations.9 This uncertainty can lead to increased volatility across all asset classes, prompting investors to reduce overall exposure and move towards cash or other highly liquid assets. In such scenarios, even assets perceived as safe havens might be sold off as part of a broader de-risking strategy.
Thirdly, the recent run-up in gold prices to record highs might have made it a target for profit-taking. After a significant rally, any negative news or shift in market sentiment can trigger a wave of selling as investors look to lock in gains. The tariff shock could have provided the catalyst for such profit-taking, exacerbating the downward pressure on gold prices.
Furthermore, the interconnectedness of global financial markets means that negative sentiment in one area can quickly spread to others.10 The fear of a trade war can impact equity markets, leading to margin calls or a general desire to reduce risk across portfolios, which could include selling gold holdings.
The extent of the gold selloff – a 2.4% drop in a single day is significant for a traditionally stable asset – underscores the severity of the market's reaction to the tariff news. This move also highlights the fact that even safe-haven assets are not immune to broad market dislocations and shifts in investor sentiment.
Looking ahead, the trajectory of gold prices will likely depend heavily on how the tariff situation unfolds and its actual impact on the global economy. If the tariff threats escalate into a full-blown trade war with significant negative consequences for growth and corporate earnings, we could see further volatility across all asset classes. In such a scenario, the initial reaction might be continued selling pressure on gold as investors prioritize liquidity and de-risking.
However, if the economic fallout from tariffs becomes more apparent and concerns about stagflation (slow growth with high inflation) resurface, gold's traditional safe-haven appeal could reassert itself. In a stagflationary environment, gold could once again become an attractive asset as a hedge against both economic stagnation and the erosion of purchasing power.
Moreover, any signs of easing monetary policy by central banks in response to slowing economic growth could also provide support for gold prices. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold and can also be inflationary in the long run.
In conclusion, the recent tumble in gold prices following the tariff shock demonstrates that even traditional safe-haven assets are susceptible to broad market selloffs triggered by significant economic uncertainties. The initial reaction appears to be driven by a general de-risking across asset classes and potential profit-taking after gold's recent record highs. However, the future performance of gold will depend on the evolving economic landscape, the actual impact of tariffs, and the response of monetary policy. While the immediate reaction has been negative, gold's role as a potential hedge against economic turmoil and inflation could see it regain its footing if the negative consequences of the tariff shock become more pronounced. Investors should closely monitor developments in trade policies and their broader economic implications to gauge the future direction of gold prices. The current volatility serves as a reminder that even in the realm of safe havens, market dynamics can shift rapidly and unexpectedly.
XAUUSD | Sniper Entry Zones Ready – Eyes on 3145 & 3086 Reactio🔍 Daily Bias: Neutral with Bearish Intraday Tilt
Price is reacting to a previously unmitigated zone and potentially retesting a premium area, suggesting sell-side interest may return before any bullish continuation.
🧠 Key Context from Your Marked Chart
✅ Marked Sell/Retest Zone @ 3135–3145:
Clearly defined premium zone with imbalance and prior bearish reaction — confluence with OB + FVG, potential sniper entry for shorts.
✅ Unmitigated OB @ 3086–3095:
Valid demand zone where price bounced aggressively — still active liquidity + FVG.
✅ Major Imbalance Below @ 3054–3040 & 3040–3029:
Heavy drawdown target area. If price breaks 3086, expect it to fill imbalance and potentially bounce at 3040 or deeper around 3029.
🔽 Sell Scenarios
🟥 Sell #1 — Retest of Supply Sniper Entry
Entry Zone: 3135–3145
Confluences: Valid OB, FVG, Premium, Bearish PA from last touch
Target: 3086, then 3054–3040 imbalance zone
RSI: Check for overbought on M15–H1
🎯 "Classic sniper setup — get in, get out. No overthinking required."
🟥 Sell #2 — Break and Retest Below 3086
Trigger: Bearish close below 3086 + BOS on M15
Retest Entry: 3086 zone from below
Target: 3054 (first FVG), then 3029
EMAs: 5/21/50 flip short on M15 for confirmation
🟩 Buy Scenarios
🟩 Buy #1 — Bounce from 3086–3095 (Unmitigated OB)
Entry: Clean reaction + bullish PA in zone
Target: 3135 retest, partials at 3114
Sniper Confluence: BOS on M5/M15 + RSI divergence
🟩 Buy #2 — Deep Bounce from 3040 or 3029 Imbalance Zone
Entry: Only on strong PA confirmation (no early knives)
Target: 3086 first, 3135 secondary
RSI + EMA: Look for EMA 100–200 confluence, bullish divergence on RSI M15/M30
🧾 Technical Confluences Summary
✅ SMC: BOS + CHoCH present across M15–H1
✅ FVG: 3135–3145 (upper), 3054–3040 (lower)
✅ GAPS: Visible in 3054–3029 zone
✅ LIQUIDITY: Above 3145 + below 3029
✅ OB VALID: 3086–3095 still unmitigated
✅ RSI: Overbought earlier, neutral now. Watch intraday shifts.
✅ EMA Clusters:
EMA 5/21 flat after rebound
EMA 50/100 just below 3100
EMA 200 near 3050–3040 (high confluence for bounce)
⚠️ News & Fundamentals
Trump conference added USD volatility, but gold didn’t rally — watch for Fed speakers & JOLTS data tomorrow.
If dollar strengthens intraday again → watch sell setups more closely.
🧨 TradingView Title Suggestion:
“🎯 XAUUSD | Sniper Entry Zones Ready – Eyes on 3145 & 3086 Reactions!”
Gold market analysis, gold operation strategy and trend analysisGold early layout plan: intraday top and bottom capture is perfect! The strategy layout is truly presented, the strategy prompts shorting at 3135, accurately cashing in the high point, and falling sharply to 3070! Continue to arrange 3072 long positions to smoothly stop profit and exit at 3086.
Gold fell by 110 yesterday and rebounded by 80. Today it fell by 30 and rebounded by 50. The volatility is too big. However, the risk comes first. Strictly set a stop loss. Loss of $5-$20 makes no difference. It is not a big loss. Secondly, grasp the key points. Pay attention to a few points of non-agricultural data and cooperate with the five-minute entry on the right side. As for long and short, it is really not very important. What is important is the key position and starting point. After multiple cycles of quantification, pay attention to a few important points at night. After the operation is in place, enter the market with the resonance of one minute and five minutes. The loss is 5-6 points, and the target is 15-20 points.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy at 3018-3025, and the loss is 3005, and the target is 3035-3045
Gold Rebound Looms: Don’t Miss the $50 OpportunityDuring his ongoing speech, Powell mentioned that tariffs may push inflation higher in the coming quarters. While inflation is currently close to the 2% target, it still remains above it. The market has already begun to anticipate a Fed rate cut, which is a potential bullish signal for gold.
From a technical perspective, the recent drop has partially corrected the previous bearish divergence. However, the divergence on the 1D chart still requires more time to be fully resolved.
At the current level, gold appears oversold. I do not recommend chasing short positions here. A short-term rebound is very likely, with a potential upside target between 3078-3096. If you manage the trade well, there’s an opportunity to capture at least $50 in profit.
If you’re currently holding long positions that are under pressure, stay strong. Don’t give up before the dawn — yesterday was a great example of why persistence matters.
Gold’s Wild Ride: Is the Correction Over?Yesterday was an insane day for Gold—while I expected a strong drop to at least 3,080, I didn’t anticipate such a sharp reversal after the sell-off.
Now, the big question is: Has Gold finished correcting, or is more downside coming?
________________________________________
Why I Expect Another Wave of Selling
📉 Gold Still Looks Vulnerable – Despite the rebound, I don’t believe the correction is over.
📉 Key Resistance Established – The 3,135–3,140 zone has now formed a strong ceiling, limiting upside potential.
📉 Selling Rallies Remains the Plan – Even with yesterday’s bounce back above 3,100, my outlook remains unchanged.
________________________________________
Trading Plan: Selling Spikes During NFP
🔻 Looking for price spikes during the NFP report as opportunities to sell into strength.
🔻 Targeting a new leg down toward the 3,030 support zone.
The correction is likely not done yet—let’s see if the market confirms it. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
#XAUUSD: Last Sell Idea Dropped +300 Pips, Bias Changed? XAUs price behaviour has deviated from previous analysis, which had anticipated a +300 pips increase. However, we now anticipate the price to continue its upward trend, potentially reaching another record high. Our next target price range is estimated to be between 3170$ and 3200$.
We extend our best wishes for your successful trading endeavours. To enhance your trading outcomes, we strongly recommend employing accurate risk management techniques.
Team Setupsfx_
🚀❤️
4/4 Gold Trading StrategiesAfter yesterday’s sharp drop, gold quickly rebounded, and by the end of the session, prices had returned close to the opening level. I’m not sure if anyone is currently stuck in unfavorable positions. Under normal circumstances, if your account has sufficient margin and risk tolerance, such volatility shouldn’t cause major damage. However, for those with weak positions or who bought at the top or sold at the bottom, losses may have occurred—especially common among newer traders who are often influenced by emotions.
If you are currently holding short positions and hoping to wait for a price pullback, you'll need both time and sufficient margin. Based on current candlestick patterns, gold may attempt to test the 3128–3136 resistance zone again. Whether it moves higher will depend on the strength of the bulls.
Importantly, there are several key U.S. economic data releases during the New York session today. Based on preliminary expectations, the data appears to favor the bears, which could put additional pressure on gold prices.
📉 Today’s Trading Strategy:
Sell within the 3133–3152 zone
Buy within the 3065–3032 zone
📊 Scalping/Short-Term Trades:
Be flexible in the 3128–3088 range
Tariffs and large-scale non-agricultural affairs are comingGold experienced violent fluctuations yesterday, and technical analysis faced challenges. Luck factors were prominent in extreme market conditions. However, from the perspective of multi-period technical analysis, the gold price is still above the weekly, monthly and daily support, and the long-term bullish pattern has not changed. In the future, we need to focus on the 3054 support level, and the gains and losses of this position will directly affect the future market trend. The 3115 area resistance on the four-hour chart is significant, which is a key watershed in the short-term market. If the gold 1-hour moving average forms a dead cross, the short position will be more dominant. The current upper resistance is 3105-3111, and the lower support is 3054-3046. The operation is recommended to rebound short.
Operation strategy: It is recommended to rebound 3097-3105 short, stop loss 3115, target 3065-3046.
XAU/USD 04 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed as per yesterday's alternative scenario whereby price has printed a bearish iBOS due to H4 TF being in, although not as yet confirmed, in bearish pullback phase.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has already traded up to premium of internal 50% EQ, therefore, price to target weak internal low priced at
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Today, the short gold position has made a profit of 15 pointsGold's 1-hour moving average continues to show signs of turning downward. If gold once forms a dead cross downward in 1 hour, then gold shorts will have an advantage. The 1-hour downward trend line of gold also suppresses gold's rebound. Gold can still continue to short on the rebound. The gold trend suppression is now down to around 3108
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD:Wait for Nonfarm Payrolls to boost upward trendOn Thursday, the price of gold plummeted by $110 initially. Subsequently, it rebounded from $3,054 to $3,135, surging by nearly $80. This was a typical market scenario of a double whammy for both bulls and bears in a washout. Whether it was those who chased long positions at high levels or those who chased short positions expecting a pullback, they all suffered losses. The level of $3,054 witnessed a perfect conversion from a top to a bottom.
Today, when it comes to the resistance levels of gold, there are two key positions to focus on. One is the morning's high point at $3,120, and the other is the high point of the pullback at $3,135. As for the support levels below, we should pay attention to $3,080 and $3,065. There will be a market movement influenced by the Nonfarm Payrolls data tonight. It is expected that before the release of the data, the price will fluctuate within a range above and below $3,100, which serves as the demarcation line. When the price surges, look for a pullback towards $3,100; when it dips, look for a rebound towards $3,100. It is recommended to mainly take long positions at low levels. Tonight, we need to pay attention to whether the Nonfarm Payrolls data will help gold prices rise again.
Here, I would like to caution all traders once again to protect their accounts. Wait until the washout of both bullish and bearish forces is over before resuming trading!
Trading Strategy:
buy@3080
TP:3110
Sell@3135
TP:3100
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Structural analysis and operation suggestions after gold washAnalysis of gold market trend: Gold fluctuated quite a lot yesterday. It rose at the opening yesterday, rising to nearly 60 US dollars, and then fell back after being blocked at the 3167 line. However, it fell below 3100, and the lowest to the top and bottom conversion was around 3054, a drop of nearly 114 US dollars. Beyond expectations, it pulled back to 80 US dollars, and the daily line finally closed with a cross Yin line. The rapid roller coaster is too scary. The market volatility is too large, so you can only watch more and do less. If you encounter non-agricultural data, according to yesterday's trend, the market may not be so big today. After all, it has already ended yesterday. When the price fell sharply, and then there was a sharp rebound to stand firm at 3100, the market of gold yesterday was thrilling, a super roller coaster, and the difficulty of gold operation has increased a lot. However, this kind of market is rare after all. After the ups and downs of gold, it will return to normal. Although today's non-agricultural data, I personally tend to fluctuate in a large range. It is estimated that it will not break yesterday's high point or yesterday's low point. If combined with silver, gold is still oscillating and bearish. At present, it should peak in the short term, and it will choose a direction after a correction.
Gold technical analysis: Therefore, gold is not as strong as before, so it is possible for gold to rise or fall in this state. Pay attention to the previous high of 3150 on the upside, and pay attention to the gains and losses of 3055 on the downside. The 4-hour cycle has cleverly entered the oscillation range. Although the market has gone out of the big drop space, the 4-hour cycle Bollinger has not opened, and the moving average system has not diverged. The effective range for the time being is within 3085/3135. Therefore, if there is no large fluctuation on Friday, you can refer to the range of the 4-hour cycle to do high-altitude and low-multiple transactions. The 1-hour moving average of gold still shows signs of turning downward, but the rise of gold in the US market has not allowed the 1-hour moving average of gold to enter the dead cross pattern, but the gold bulls are not very strong. Of course, there is also the impact of non-agricultural data. It is expected that after the big rise and fall on Thursday, the impact of Friday's data will not be great. Before the release of non-agricultural data, we should operate in the range of 3120-3066. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is to short on rebound and long on pullback. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3120-3125 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3054-3066 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. We must control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, and follow real-time orders.
Gold operation strategy: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short gold rebound near 3120-3125, stop loss 6 points, target near 3100-3085, break to see 3065 line;
Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long gold pullback near 3070-3065, stop loss 6 points, target near 3100-3090, break to see 3110 line;
XAUUSD: Idea of the dayIdea of the day 4Fri : April :2025
Gold experienced significant volatility yesterday, eventually closing above the 3115.00 level. Today, based on the overall outlook, it is unlikely to break down to the 3080.00 level and may continue to fluctuate within the range shown in the chart.
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NFP - Shorting GoldThe gold market experienced huge fluctuations on Thursday, which created very good profits for us. During the entire trading process, we seized the profits of fluctuations of more than $50.
The unemployment rate and NFP data during the US trading session on Friday, as well as Powell's speech on the economic outlook, are the focus of Friday's trading.
Judging from the data released in March, the unemployment rate and NFP are more likely to be bearish for gold, so when trading data, my plan is to focus on short positions.
At present, in terms of technical form, the indicators show that the bulls have not ended. In this case, the transaction needs to pay attention to the 3123/3136 resistance. If it cannot break through, the price is expected to fall again to 3103 or even 3086.
Overall, today's trading focus is to sell at high levels.
Is the golden large-scale "roller coaster" near miss?Gold took a large "V"-shaped reversal pattern on Thursday, with the highest hitting 3167 in the Asian session, and continued to fluctuate and fall in the European session. It successfully fell to the lowest 3054 before the US session and then rebounded. As of now, gold has deeply bottomed out and rebounded to 3135. It has now started the oscillation mode. Gold continues to fluctuate in the range of 3100-3135, waiting for the release of the initial jobless claims data in the US session. The data is bearish, and the shorts broke through the 3080 line. After all, the technical adjustment is almost done, and everyone can find opportunities to go long. Later, gold hit the 3054 line and rebounded quickly, and the long orders also recovered the losses. This process is full of thrills and excitement. After all, such a large bottoming rebound is relatively rare. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
From the 4-hour analysis, pay attention to the short-term suppression of 3130-35 on the upper side, and pay attention to the short-term support around 3100-3106 on the lower side. Pay attention to the support of 3083-3087. After stabilizing above this position, continue to follow the low-long rhythm, and stick to the idea of going long after stepping back. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, so pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy: Go long at 3105-3095
The golden large-scale "roller coaster" has near misses and no dFrom the 4-hour analysis, pay attention to the short-term suppression at the 3130-35 line on the top, and the short-term support at the bottom is around 3100-3106, with a focus on the support at 3083-3087. Continue to maintain the rhythm of low-long positions above this position, and stick to the idea of buying more on pullbacks. Go long with the trend to hold the long space, and try not to go against the trend.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold retreats to the 3100-3106 line for more, and retreats to the 3083-3087 line to cover more positions, stop loss 3077, target the 3130-3135 line, and continue to hold if the position is broken;
Gold has been moving big recently, don’t hold it blindly!What is coming has come, more than 100 US dollars a day, the decline is always faster than the rise, and more fierce, after breaking the 3100 watershed, it accelerated downward, the current minimum is 3054, the key position below is 3000/3040, pay attention to the plunge and the card position can also participate in the long, but must be patient to wait for the position.
After the big drop, the stage high point appears, and the follow-up is that both long and short can participate. The first plunge only establishes the high point position, and it is not so fast to turn short. It will fluctuate for a period of time. Generally, major news is an opportunity. The evening news detonates the market, and the main force often uses the news to pull up shipments. If the rebound touches 3110-3120, short it.