Today's summary and tomorrow's market forecast📰 News information:
1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data
2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve
3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
Bros, I had some things to deal with just now so I went out for a while. Now I come back to share my ideas. When the market is blindly chasing longs, I chose to give a bearish trading opportunity. I know that after I proposed the idea of shorting to test the support level of 3340-3330 below, many people were skeptical and even looked at it with a sarcastic attitude. After all, most people in the market are long. But facts and results have proved that only by following the trend can there be better room for operation. When doing transactions, you must first have a clear goal. Those who follow the crowd will often only blame their mistakes on others or luck.
Regarding the arrangements for future trading, first of all, 3375-3385 above is still an important short-term resistance. If today's closing is above 3360, then 3375 will most likely be tested again during the Asia-Europe trading session. Once it goes up again, it is very likely to break through the resistance area of 3375-3385. Before the US data, the price may stay at 3390 or 3400. On the contrary, if today's closing is below 3360, then the price still has room for adjustment. In this way, 3340 will not be the low point of this week. The bearish volatility in the Asian and European sessions will also test the strong support of 3330-3320.
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Xauusdupdates
Gold OutlookGold took previous week high and gave bearish move. The gold overall scenario shows it is bullish. The possible move for the gold will be to touch FVG retrace and go towards supply zone and again retrace back. Or if buyers step in we may see good bullish move gold might touch supply zone retrace a little bit follow the bullish path.
Gold Outlook – Monday Session BreakdownOn the Monthly timeframe, gold has shown a triple wick rejection, which continues to signal potential downside movement. After several failed attempts to break above the $3,400 level, we’ve begun to see a retracement take shape.
On the Daily chart, a Head and Shoulders pattern appears to be forming — further reinforcing the bearish narrative.
During Monday’s session, price action retested the upward trendline from Friday, before sharply reversing down to the $3,353 zone, where it consolidated and formed a neckline. During the London session, gold once again tested the trendline, met sharp resistance, and formed a double top. The neckline and ascending channel were then broken at $3,353 during the New York session.
At present, gold is trading between the two key neckline levels: $3,353 and $3,330.
• A break and close above $3,353 could signal renewed bullish sentiment, with targets at the $3,378 trendline and potentially the $3,402 resistance.
• A break and close below $3,330 would point to continued bearish momentum, with a downside target at $3,312.
CPI data is scheduled for tomorrow, which may bring increased volatility and key level breaks.
Key Levels to Watch:
• Resistance: $3,402, $3,378, $3,353
• Support: $3,330, $3,312, $3,300, $3,283
Trade Zones:
• Buy entries: $3,330 – $3,328
• Sell entries: $3,353 – $3,355
Stay sharp this week, and remember to manage your risk wisely — 1–2% per trade.
Let the market come to you — patience pays.
Gold's Bullish Momentum: Trading Strategy for TodayTechnically, gold prices continued their strong bullish rally to break new highs last Friday 😎. During the Asian and European sessions, prices broke through the 3320 mark and extended their upward momentum with sustained strength 💹. In the afternoon European session, gold prices kept surging, breaking through and standing above the 3340 mark, accelerating the upward trend 🔥. In the evening US session, the price further accelerated its rally, piercing the 3369 level before pulling back and closing strongly 📈. The daily K-line closed as a fluctuating and high-breaking bullish candle 🌞. On the daily chart, there has been a strong bullish rally breaking new highs for three consecutive trading days, and the overall price has returned to the 3360 mark, re-entering a strong bullish one-sided pattern.
This morning, gold prices opened with a further gap higher, piercing the 3370 mark and continuing to fluctuate strongly 😜. Today's trend should focus on buying on dips 🙌. Although gold gapped up and surged for a while, the momentum is not strong. There must be a pullback for adjustment; otherwise, it will be difficult to maintain the upward momentum 🚶♂️.
From the 4-hour chart analysis, the short-term support below today should focus on the hourly neckline around 3340-45 📍, with key attention to the 3325-30 support level. During the day, we should continue to take the opportunity of pullbacks to go long as the main strategy 😏. The key dividing line for the short-term bullish strength is the 3325 mark. As long as the daily chart stabilizes above this level, we will continue to maintain the strategy of buying on dips to follow the bullish trend. Before breaking below this level, we will keep the strategy of buying on dips to follow the trend 💪
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold Bulls Are Back – Eyes on 3450 GOLD – Bulls Regain Control After Defending 3280
🟡 Last week was a dynamic one for Gold traders.
The week began with signs of an upside reversal, followed by a drop to test the 3280 support. That dip held—and from there, we saw a strong push higher, ending the week right at the top of the range.
📌 Friday’s close left behind a continuation Pin Bar on the weekly chart – a strong signal in favor of the bulls.
- This week started with a new local high at 3375,but we’re now seeing a pullback in the 3355 area at the time of writing.
What’s next?
Given last week’s price action, bulls seem to have won the battle and appear ready to challenge the 3400 level.
My plan for this week:
I’m looking to buy dips, and as long as nothing changes, my target is the 3450 zone.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold still has room to pull back, be brave and short gold!Gold continued to rebound today, and we also successfully gained 150pips profit in long gold trading. However, although gold is currently maintaining its upward trend, the rebound strength of gold is not strong during the European session, and it has repeatedly touched 3375 and then fell back, proving that there is still some resistance above. In my previous trading point of view, I also emphasized that gold is under pressure near 3380 in the short term. In addition, from a technical perspective, today's intraday high is limited to 3395.
So in order to dump the bullish momentum so that it can break through 3380 more smoothly, or even continue to above 3340, gold will inevitably have a retracement in the short term. So when most people in the market are still waiting for a retracement to go long on gold, I will definitely not waste the opportunity of gold retracement in vain.
So for short-term trading, I will consider shorting gold appropriately in the 3375-3395 area, with the target looking at 3360-3350. After gold falls back as expected, we might as well consider going long on gold at a low level.
The market is bullish, but I am bearish. Don't regret it.📰 News information:
1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data
2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve
3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
This week, the US CPI data, consumer index, tariff issues and geopolitical situation are all key points to pay attention to. In the morning, both our long and short positions had good gains, making a good start to the week. The best way is to follow the trend and grab limited profits!
In the 4H cycle, the current trend shows a Zhendan upward pattern, and bulls still occupy the dominant low position in the short term. At the daily level, three consecutive positive days at the end of last week broke through the middle track, and the high point broke through the previous high, indicating that the short-term adjustment is over, and the rise in the market to test 3400 will be a high probability event. At present, the MACD daily line is bullish, the Bollinger Bands are flat, and the gold price is above the middle track. The bulls are strong, but there is still a need for a correction. Intraday trading focuses on the strength of the European session. If the European session is strong, the US session will continue to rise, and if the European session is weak, the US session will bottom out again. In the short term, if it touches 3370-3375 again, you can consider shorting and look towards 3365-3355 SL 3380.
🎯 Trading Points:
sell 3370-3375
tp 3365-3355-3345
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAU/USD Weekly Update — July 14, 2025⌛Timeframe:
.
📆 Date: July 14, 2025
.
🎯 Weekly Bias: Mildly Bullish — elevated risk, cautious momentum
🔎 Market Overview:
🛡️ Safe‑haven demand surging:
Renewed 30% tariffs on EU, Mexico, Canada have pushed investors into gold, lifting prices to a 3-week high.
📉 Weak USD & inflation hedge:
A softer U.S. dollar, under pressure from dovish Fed speculation, continues to support gold. A predicted September rate cut further boosts gold’s appeal.
🏦 Central bank accumulation:
Q1 2025 saw record demand from central banks (≈244 tonnes), with many reallocating reserves toward gold for geopolitical and de-dollarization reasons.
📈 YTD performance standout:
Gold is up ~27% this year, leading other assets. Bullish technical indicators like tightening Bollinger Bands and sustained MACD support continuation.
🌀 Market Sentiment:
🔽 Exchange reserves continue dropping:
Indicative of increased HODLing and lower upcoming sell pressure.
🧠 Sentiment firmly bullish:
Analysts highlight risk‑off bias; gold remains favored amid trade tensions.
🤝 ETF inflows & institutional buying:
Strong flows through gold ETFs and central bank buying reflect ongoing structural support.
🔧 Technical Analysis:
📊 Weekly Movement: +1.9% weekly gain, now at $3,367.
✅ Key Levels:
🔻 Resistance: $3,374 → $3,400
🔺 Support: $3,350 → $3,331
🟢 Signals: Mild bearish RSI divergence hints at short-term pause
🟢 Weekly Bias: Mildly Bullish — momentum favored, but caution amid technical divergence.
.
.
.
⚠️ Risk Reminder: For educational purposes only — not financial advice. Utilize prudent risk management.
👍 If this update helps, hit like, comment your view, and follow for timely XAUUSD alerts!
Beware of the market's trap of luring more investors, short 3335Regarding recent trading strategies, I believe you have also seen my trading win rate. I often inform the future trend of gold several hours or even days in advance, because my many years of trading experience have made me an excellent poisonous wolf in the trading market. Now I see a lot of bullish voices in the market, but my wolf’s sense of smell has discovered danger signals. In the short term, I think that without the influence of news, the market needs to digest the overbought momentum of the bulls. From the 4H chart, the middle track of the Bollinger Band is at 3332, which is very close to the strong support of 3330 given by us during the day. Therefore, I think that at least within 4 hours, gold will fall back to test the support below 3340-3330, or even 3320. Since most people want to follow the crowd, let them go. They will only fall into the trap set by the market. Let's prove with facts whether following the wolf pack will make you hungry or well fed.
OANDA:XAUUSD
7/14: Sell High, Buy Low Within the 3400–3343 Range for GoldGood morning, everyone!
At the end of last week, renewed trade tariff concerns reignited risk-off sentiment, prompting a strong rally in gold after multiple tests of the 3321 support level. The breakout was largely driven by fundamental news momentum.
On the daily (1D) chart, the price has fully reclaimed the MA60 and broken above the MA20, signaling an emerging bullish trend. The key focus for this week includes:
Monitoring whether MA20 holds as support on any pullbacks
Watching the 3400 resistance zone for signs of exhaustion or continuation
From a 30-minute technical perspective, gold is currently trading within a short-term resistance band of 3372–3378, with a stronger resistance zone between 3387–3392. Key support levels are:
Primary support: around 3358
Secondary support: 3343–3332 zone
Given the recent increase in volatility due to geopolitical and macroeconomic headlines, flexible intraday trading is recommended within the 3378–3343 range, while broader trades can be framed around the 3400–3325 zone, still favoring a sell-high, buy-low approach.
Lastly, as we move into the mid-year period, I may have more personal commitments, and strategy updates could be less frequent. I appreciate your understanding, and as always, feel free to leave a message if you have any questions or need trading guidance—I’ll respond as soon as I can.
Gold gaps up and open higher,beware of going long at high levelsBros, the Asian session opened higher in the morning. Currently, gold is falling back to the SMA1O moving average. We will continue to be bullish after it falls back and stabilizes. At present, it has broken through the key resistance level of 3360. The daily line has shown a strong pattern of three consecutive positives. The gold price remains in the rising channel, and the bullish trend is obvious. As the gold price moves up, the short-term moving average moves up with it. At present, 3355-3345 constitutes an important support in the short term, and 3375-3385 above constitutes a short-term resistance area. Whether it can stand firmly above 3360 this week is the key.
Severe overbought in the short term, there are trading risks for long positions at high levels. Short-term operation suggestions for the Asian and European sessions: consider shorting when it touches 3365-3375, and stop loss when it breaks 3375. The target focuses on 3355-3345, and the breakout looks at 3330-3320. On the contrary, if it stabilizes at 3355-3345, you can consider going long.
Short position profit, focus on 3355-3345 support📰 News information:
1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data
2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve
3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
The short-term bears have successfully hit the TP to realize profits, and the trading strategy is still valid. Continue to pay attention to the 3355-3345 support during the day. If effective support is obtained here, you can consider going long. For the rebound, the first TP can focus on the 3365 line. If the gold price breaks through 3380 in the future, it will not be far from 3400. If it falls below, pay attention to the support of 3330-3320 below. It is expected that this is the limit position of short-term bearishness. The impact of tariffs is still there, and the bullish trend remains optimistic in the short term, unless Europe, Japan and other countries have a new solution to tariffs.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3355-3345
TP 3365-3380-3400
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Market Analysis: Gold Climbs Higher Amid Market OptimismMarket Analysis: Gold Climbs Higher Amid Market Optimism
Gold price started a fresh increase above the $3,350 resistance level.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- The gold price started a fresh surge and traded above $3,330.
- A key bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,350 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price formed a base near the $3,280 zone. The price started a steady increase above the $3,330 and $3,350 resistance levels.
There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,360. The bulls pushed the price above the $3,365 resistance zone. A high was formed near $3,373 and the price is now consolidating.
On the downside, immediate support is near the $3,350 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,282 swing low to the $3,373 high.
Besides, there is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3,350. The next major support sits at $3,330 and the 50% Fib retracement level.
A downside break below the $3,330 support might send the price toward $3,300. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,280 support zone.
Immediate resistance is near the $3,370 level. The next major resistance is near $3,380. An upside break above $3,380 could send Gold price toward $3,400. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,420 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XAU/USD: Analysis and Strategy Amid Trade ConflictsA rate cut this month is highly unlikely, with the earliest possible delay to September. Currently, the gold market trend is still dominated by tariff factors. Although the tariff war was extended for 90 days in April, the 10% base tariff imposed on all trading countries during this period has already made the total tax revenue of these three months reach 70% of that in previous years.
Trump's launch of the tariff war has clear core goals: first, to directly increase U.S. fiscal revenue; second, to boost exports through policy inclination, while helping enterprises increase profits to expand the tax base; third, to promote the growth of domestic employment. Just last weekend, his administration announced that it would impose a 30% tariff on the European Union and Mexico, and the new regulations will take effect on August 1.
Against this backdrop, the escalation of trade conflicts has become increasingly obvious. For gold, this means continuous and strong support, and the certainty of its upward logic has been further enhanced. From a long-term perspective, the gold market is not expected to see a deep correction in the second half of the year.
After pulling back to around $3,280 last week, the price has embarked on a sustained upward trajectory and now fluctuates within the range of $3,345-$3,380. For this interval, a strategy of buying low and selling high would be appropriate.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
XAUUSD 1H | Bullish BOS & OB Retest | Targeting 3390+🚀 Gold (XAUUSD) 1H Timeframe is showing a clean Bullish Market Structure with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS ↑) confirming upside momentum.
🔹 Price retraced back into a strong Demand Zone (OB) and has started pushing upward again, indicating strong buyer interest.
🔹 Clear Order Block Retest after BOS confirms Smart Money Entry.
🔹 Target is marked around 3390+, based on previous liquidity and imbalance zones.
📈 Expecting continuation of bullish trend until the marked Target Point is reached.
💡 This setup follows pure SMC principles: BOS → OB Retest → Expansion.
🟢 Buy Bias Active | 📊 High Probability Trade Setup
#XAUUSD #Gold #SMC #BreakOfStructure #OrderBlock #LiquidityGrab #TrustTechnicallyAnalysis
Gold Weekly Analysis | Will $3,360 Break or Hold? [July 14–18]In this video, I break down the recent gold price action and what to expect in the coming week. We’ll review how gold responded to last week’s FOMC minutes, why $3,360 remains a key decision zone, and what upcoming U.S. economic data (CPI, PPI, Retail Sales) could mean for price movement.
👉 If you find this content valuable, don’t forget to Vote, Comment, and Subscribe for weekly market breakdowns.
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#GoldAnalysis, #XAUUSD, #ForexTrading, #GoldForecast, #MarketOutlook, #TechnicalAnalysis, #FundamentalAnalysis, #GoldPrice, #FOMC, #CPIData, #PPIdata, #DollarIndex, #TradingStrategy, #WeeklyOutlook, #GoldTechnicalAnalysis, #TradeSmart, #Darcsherry
Adjust after shock and then go longNews: In the early Asian session, spot gold rose slightly, reaching a high of $3,372.65/ounce, the highest since June 23. Trump announced last weekend that he would impose a 30% tariff on goods imported from the EU from August 1, which further heated up the market's concerns about international trade and provided momentum for gold prices to rise. In the early Asian session, spot gold rose slightly, reaching a high of $3,373.99/ounce so far, the highest since June 23. Trump announced last weekend that he would impose a 30% tariff on goods imported from the EU from August 1, which further heated up the market's concerns about international trade and provided momentum for gold prices to rise.
Analysis of gold trend: Today it hit a new high at around 3373. From the daily chart, gold has closed three consecutive positive days. The K-line pattern is a bullish signal. From the indicators, the RSI turned upward from a low level, and the Stoch indicator formed a golden cross at a low level. It is currently running in the middle. The indicators show that gold is still likely to rise in the short term. At the same time, we should also pay attention to the suppression of the 3400 area on the upper track of the daily Bollinger band. In the short term, pay attention to the breakthrough of this level. Once 3400 is not broken through for multiple times, gold will still fall back to test the 3280 support in the future. Once it breaks through 3400, gold will test the 3450 area. In the short term, it is still likely to rise. The operation strategy remains unchanged.
Market Structure & Technical Context 14 July 20241. Price Action & Market Structure
Gold has broken recent swing highs above ~$3,360, marking a bullish Break of Structure (BOS) and signaling upward momentum continuity
Recent pullback zones around $3,350–$3,340 formed a clear Higher Low (Change of Character) — textbook price action confirmation.
2. Fibonacci Retracement / Extension
Measuring from the last swing low near ~$3,326 to swing high ~3,374:
38.2% retracement at ~$3,352 coincides with the current bounce zone.
50% retracement at ~$3,350 aligns with key structure support.
Upside extension targets: 1.272 at ~$3,396, 1.618 at ~$3,425 — overlapping major resistance zones
3. ICT & Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
Order Blocks (OBs) identified near $3,340–$3,342 (prior resistance turned support) — ideal demand zone.
A recent Buy-side liquidity grab eclipsed above $3,360, sweeping stops and gathering liquidity before the breakout — classic ICT setup .
A Fair Value Gap (imbalance) lies around $3,345–$3,350 — zone to expect value-driven retracement.
Higher timeframe has clear SMC alignment: BOS above 3,360 with CHoCH already formed.
4. Major Supply / Demand & Support / Resistance Zones
Demand: $3,340–$3,352 (OB + Fib + BOS confluence).
Supply: $3,380–$3,385 (intraday swing high resistance), followed by zone at $3,396–$3,400.
Key resistance at $3,360–$3,362 — confirmed supply pocket that needs to be reclaimed
5. Moving Average Confirmation
The 4‑hour SMA/EMA 100–200 band is sloping up just below current price (~$3,340–$3,350), reinforcing the bullish context .
1‑Hour Intraday Setups (Aligned with HTF Bullish Bias)
Setup A: Pullback into 4‑Hour OB / Fair Value Gap
Entry: Limit buy at $3,345–$3,350.
Stop: Below $3,335 (below imbalance & BOS).
TP1: $3,362 (former resistance).
TP2: $3,380 (next supply block).
Setup B: Breakout Retest of 3,360
Entry: Buy on retest of broken resistance at $3,360.
Stop: Below $3,356.
TP1: $3,380.
TP2: $3,396 (Fib extension confluence).
Setup C: Momentum Continuation Fresh Breakout
Entry: Market buy on clear H1 BOS above $3,365.
Stop: Below breakout candle low (~$3,360).
TP: $3,396 (1.272 Fib) – extend to $3,425 if momentum strong.
The Golden Setup:
Setup A—buy from $3,345–$3,350—has strong confluences:
4‑hour demand OB + fair value gap,
38.2–50% Fib retracement,
SMC BOS/imbalance alignment,
ICT-style order block zone.
This offers high edge with confluence clusters.
✔ Summary Report: Direction & Key Zones
Directional Bias:
Medium-term (4H): Bullish, confirmed by BOS above 3,360, higher lows, OB and Fibonacci alignment.
🔹 Primary Buy Zones:
$3,345–$3,350 — 4H OB + fair value gap + Fib.
$3,360 on retention — breakout retest zone.
Momentum entry >$3,365.
🔹 Key Target Zones:
First resistance: $3,360–$3,362.
Next supply: $3,380–$3,385.
Extension target: $3,396 (1.272 Fib), then $3,425 (1.618 Fib).
🔻 Watchdownside Risk:
Daily invalidation if drop below $3,335 (4H OB break).
Next support at $3,326–$3,330.
📋 Consolidated Table: Setups at a Glance
Setup Entry Zone Stop Targets
Golden $3,345–$3,350 $3,335 TP1: $3,362 / TP2: $3,380
Breakout Pullback $3,360 retest $3,356 $3,380 → $3,396
Momentum BOS >$3,365 (H1 BOS) < $3,360 $3,396 → $3,425
Final Thoughts
On the 4‑hour chart, price is firmly in a bullish regime, supported by price structure, SMC, ICT concepts, and Fibonacci confluence. The $3,345–$3,350 zone is the highest‑probability entry for buyers, offering excellent risk/reward. The Golden Setup targets ~$3,380 and beyond, combining structure, gap fill, and liquidity strategy.
Gold trend forecast for next week, continue to go longAfter the gold broke through on Friday, we started to turn long, and gold rose strongly. Gold finally rose as expected, and the gold bulls are still strong. If there is no major change in the news over the weekend, the decline next week will not be large, and we can continue to buy. The gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross upward and the bulls are arranged and diverge. The strength of gold bulls is still there, and the gold moving average support has also moved up to around 3330. After gold broke through 3330 yesterday, gold fell back to 3330 and stabilized and rose twice. The short-term gold 3330 has formed a strong support. Gold will continue to buy on dips when it falls back to 3330 next week.
The impact of tariffs continues, shorting is expected to retrace📰 News information:
1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data
2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve
3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
During the weekend, the Trump administration's tariff information continued to come out, causing a large amount of funds to flow into the safe-haven market, triggering an escalation of market risk aversion. Although the collapse in the previous tariff remarks did hit the market's buying enthusiasm to a certain extent, the strong rise on Friday also stimulated the market's buying enthusiasm again. This, whether it is on the way down or on the way up, has attracted retail investors to a certain extent. As we judged on gold on Friday and the weekend, short-term bulls are undoubtedly strong. However, I think it is very dangerous to continue to chase long positions at high levels. Therefore, I tend to short-term and then consider continuing to chase long positions after the market retreats to the support level.
First of all, the CPI data will be released tomorrow. With inflation in the United States currently heating up, the Federal Reserve is undoubtedly resisting a rate cut in July. This has, to some extent, dampened the enthusiasm of bulls. Secondly, it is necessary to pay attention to the response of Europe and Japan to the tariff issue. Due to the timeliness, the current market expectations are undoubtedly limited.
In the short term, the RSI indicator is already seriously overbought. For today's operation arrangement, it is recommended to short at the rebound of 3365-3375. If the gold price continues to maintain a strong trend in the short term and breaks through this resistance area, it is time to stop loss. First of all, we should pay attention to whether 3355-3345 can be broken. Once it falls below the support of 3355-3345, we will need to see the 3330 line below, and it may even fall below 3300. Therefore, we also need to take precautions and follow up.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3365-3375
TP 3355-3345
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAU/USD analysis & outlookWeekly Outlook: GOLD (XAUUSD)
This week, I’ll be monitoring different scenarios, as price is currently far from any of my key Points of Interest (POIs).
My nearest potential buy is around the 3-hour demand zone. While it's not the most ideal entry—since it isn’t located in a discounted area—I’ll still keep an eye on it.
That said, I would prefer to see a deeper retracement into the 6-hour demand zone, which is in a far more discounted region. This zone offers a stronger setup, and I could see price launching from there again if tapped.
We’ve already seen a strong bullish reaction from last week’s demand zone, and based on current momentum, I could see price continuing upward until it reaches my next sell opportunity—the 3-hour supply zone, which sits at a premium level.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
✅ Bullish structure — price has broken to the upside and remains overall bullish.
✅ Fresh 3H and 6H demand zones formed, which price could return to.
✅ Liquidity above — including trendline liquidity and previous Asia highs.
✅ Fundamentals — potential tariff cuts could fuel long-term bullish momentum for gold.
✅ Bearish Dollar Index (DXY) aligns with the bullish gold outlook.
📌 If price doesn’t retrace and instead continues to push higher, I’ll wait for another break of structure to the upside on the way toward the supply zone before reassessing entries.
Let’s stay focused and let the market come to us. Wishing everyone a great trading week ahead! 👊📈