Gold trend analysis and layout before ADP data release📰 Impact of news:
1. May ADP data
2. The geopolitical situation worsens
📈 Market analysis:
Today, the gold price in the Asian session hit the 3370 line and then began to fall. Before the release of the ADP data, the gold price is likely to fall into a volatile pattern. The upper short-term resistance is 3370-3380. Pay attention to whether it can break through 3392, which will determine whether the short-term gold price can reach 3400. Pay attention to the support below 3350-3345, and focus on the 3330 line support. Once it falls below 3330, the gold price may reach 3317. If the ADP data is released and stabilizes near 3317, and then quickly closes the long lower shadow. Then you can rely on the 3317 to enter the market and do more. As long as it rebounds to above 3330 again, then the high point near 3390 above will definitely not be maintained. On the contrary, if gold falls below the 3330 and 3317 levels during the US trading session, don't go long easily. Participate in the high-altitude and low-multiple cycle during the European session. If it retreats to 3355-3345, consider going long with a light position and look at 3360-3370. If it touches 3375-3390 and is under pressure, consider shorting. Focus on ADP data!!
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3355-3345
TP 3360-3370
SELL 3375-3390
TP 3350-3340
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Xauusdupdates
Gold Faces Strong Headwinds – Beware of Bull Traps!After rebounding to 3368 yesterday, gold dropped below 3340, and recovered slightly above 3350 late in the session.
Today, it briefly touched the 3372 resistance, only to pull back again — showing just how difficult it is for bulls to push higher.
🔍 Technical Overview:
30M chart has broken below key moving averages
1H chart is facing heavy overhead pressure
⚠️ If prices rise on low volume, it’s likely a bull trap.
Only a volume-backed breakout can confirm a real bullish trend.
⚠️ Important Note:
There’s still an unfilled gap below 3300
If bears take control, filling that gap is highly likely
Today’s ADP jobs data will be critical:
If bearish for gold → sub-3300 is likely
If bullish for gold → 3400 becomes a top-tier short zone
Gold- Short-Term Bull, Medium-Term BearIn my previous analysis, I pointed out the possibility of Gold correcting back to retest the broken descending trendline.
That zone is now acting as a key confluence area, and as long as the price holds above it, bulls maintain the advantage.
However, beyond the technicals, I also shared my personal view: while we could see some upside in the short term (next few days), I believe that Gold is setting up for another leg down in the medium term.
From a strictly technical perspective, the current price action reinforces the likelihood of a short-term bounce. We're seeing a clean retest of previous resistance turned support, which often leads to continuation moves.
📉 But if you're aiming for 1,000+ pip swings (like me), it's wiser to wait for clear bearish confirmation. The real opportunity may come after this short-term rise, at least in my opinion.
In conclusion:
- Short term is bullish as long as it stays above 3340-3350 in terms of daily close
- In the medium term, my opinion is unchanged, drop to 3200
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold's high-level shock pattern continuesAccording to the current 4-hour K-line chart, the market as a whole maintains a high-level oscillation pattern. There is a short-term pressure of correction after the high. It is recommended to sell short at highs, supplemented by short-term long orders. It is recommended to wait for a clear stabilization signal to implement a high-altitude trading strategy. Pay attention to the resistance of 3380-3400 on the top and the support of 3330-3310 on the bottom. In terms of specific operation suggestions, it is recommended to consider establishing short orders when the price rebounds to the two ranges of 3370-3375 and 3400-3405.
Gold is recommended to short when it rebounds to around 3370-3375, with a stop loss at 3383. In the short term, it is expected to be around 3350-3330, with a target of 3300. If it breaks, short at around 3400-3405, with a loss of 3413 and the target as above.
6/4 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning, everyone!
Gold experienced a strong intraday reversal yesterday, pulling back sharply after an initial rally. The price rebounded after entering our 3338–3321 buy zone, and is now approaching the 3362 resistance level. Technically, the short-term structure remains within an ascending rebound channel.
Key resistance levels to watch today:
First resistance near 3378
Psychological level at 3400
Extended resistance zone at 3416–3438
If price stalls near 3362 and pulls back, support is expected around 3345–3336, which could form a secondary bottom. If the rejection happens closer to 3380, then 3358–3352 is the support zone to watch. Should gold rally into the 3400–3416 area, keep a close eye on 3385, 3372, and 3365 as potential pullback supports.
📉 Technical Outlook:
4H chart: Price remains in a mild uptrend channel, with key structural support at 3323–3307. However, volume is not confirming the rally, and a potential double top formation cannot be ruled out.
1H chart: Strong support lies at 3343. The MACD is at a decision point, with bulls slightly favored. If volume increases, gold may retest the 3390 high or even push higher.
🗞 Fundamental Factors:
Today, focus on the ADP Employment Report and key Fed-related news during the U.S. session, which may create sharp intraday volatility or alter the trend trajectory. Be especially alert during the New York session.
📌 Today’s Trade Plan:
Sell between 3418–3438
Buy between 3318–3306
Key levels for tactical trades:
3413 / 3392 / 3381 /3365 / 3358 / 3343 / 3328
Strategy Outlook:
Maintain a “sell high, buy low” intraday approach, focus on volume-driven breakouts, and avoid chasing extreme moves blindly.
XAU/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance – Potential Drop Ahead!XAU/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance – Potential Drop Ahead! 💥
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Instrument: Gold vs US Dollar (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: Daily
Current Price: $3,363.26
Resistance Zone: $3,380 – $3,470
Support Zone: $2,970 – $3,100
🧠 Market Context:
Gold has recently approached a well-defined resistance zone near the $3,380–$3,470 range. Price action shows multiple rejection wicks and failed attempts to break above this level, indicating strong selling pressure from bears. 🐻
The current candlestick structure suggests the market is printing lower highs, which may indicate a transition from a consolidation phase into a potential bearish trend.
📉 Projection:
The chart projects a move down toward the support zone, around $2,970–$3,100, possibly due to:
Repeated rejections at the resistance zone 🔄
Lack of bullish momentum near highs ⚠️
Bearish engulfing or reversal candlestick formations 🔻
✅ Key Levels to Watch:
Level Type Price Zone Action
🔴 Resistance $3,380 – $3,470 Strong rejection expected
🟢 Support $2,970 – $3,100 Major demand zone; potential bounce
🧭 Trading Outlook:
⚠️ If price fails to break above the resistance zone, short opportunities may develop with a target near the support zone. A confirmed break and close below $3,300 would strengthen bearish sentiment.
📌 Bearish Bias Maintained Until Resistance Breaks
Long orders have made profits, gold layout in the evening📰 Impact of news:
1. Economist: The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates sharply in December
2. Lee Jae-myung, candidate of the Democratic Party of Korea, was elected president of South Korea
📈 Market analysis:
Currently, the gold price is in a consolidation pattern, showing an overall volatile pattern during the day. The hourly Bollinger Bands are opening downward, and the MACD indicator is running in a dead cross. In the short term, the bears have a certain advantage. However, observing the 4H level, it can be found that the RSI indicator crosses when entering the overbought area, suggesting that the risk of a correction in the short term has increased. For evening operations, it is recommended to wait for the gold price to stabilize before entering the market, focusing on the important support of 3335-3325. If it obtains effective support and stabilizes in this range, the gold price may resume its upward trend. If it falls below 3325, the bullish momentum will be weakened. Therefore, it is recommended to wait for a pullback to 3335-3325 to go long in the US market, and look to 3350-3370 in the short term.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3335-3325
TP 3350-3370-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
6/3 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning, everyone!
Gold climbed to the 3370 area yesterday without showing any significant pullback, indicating that bullish momentum remains intact. After this morning’s opening, the price continued to rise, and from a technical perspective, there’s still room for further upside. The 3400 level is likely to be tested today, and if accompanied by increased volume, gold may extend gains towards the 3416–3438 resistance zone.
From a tactical standpoint, a technical retracement after today’s rally is the base case scenario, and intraday trades can be structured within the broader 3440–3320 range. On the downside, the 3368 level is the first key support to watch, followed by 3352, which could serve as a pivot area if a pullback occurs.
On the macro front, two economic data releases are scheduled during the US session, along with a Q&A session involving Fed’s Goolsbee, which could inject short-term volatility into the market.
📌 Trade Plan for Today:
Sell within the 3416–3438 zone, with controlled position sizing; short-term strategy preferred.
Buy near the 3338–3321 support area, with a defensive setup and tight risk control.
Flexible trading levels to monitor: 3421 / 3413 / 3397 / 3386 / 3367 / 3358 / 3343
Strategy outlook: Adopt a “sell high, buy dips” short-term strategy today. Avoid chasing breakouts blindly; focus on rhythm and structure.
The latest trend analysis and operation layout of Europeanmarket📰 Impact of news:
1. Speech by the Federal Reserve during the US trading session
2. Geopolitical and tariff issues
📈 Market analysis:
Recently, the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and global trade tensions has pushed international gold prices to rise strongly. Although Russia and Ukraine reached a consensus on prisoner exchange in the second round of negotiations on Monday, the ceasefire agreement remained deadlocked. Coupled with the US announcement of additional steel tariffs, geopolitical risks and economic uncertainties stimulated risk aversion sentiment.
From a technical perspective, the upward trend of gold since 3120 is clear. After breaking through 3340 on Monday, it accelerated to test the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance level of 3396, but the pressure at the 3400 integer mark is significant. At the same time, 3330 below is still the current key support level. The current decline in gold prices is more like a technical correction to yesterday's rise. Yesterday, we reminded everyone to pay attention to the 3355 level. The intraday operation suggestion for the European session is 3355-3345. You can try to go long and look at the 3370-3380 line. If it breaks through effectively, it will test the 3396 or even 3400 line; if it fails to break through the upper resistance, it will fall into a range of fluctuations.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3355-3345
TP 3370-3380-3390
SELL 3370-3380
TP 3350-3340-3330
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Long XAUUSD 15m – Long Trade Plan After Liquidity Grab📊 XAUUSD 15m – Long Trade Plan After Liquidity Grab
OANDA:XAUUSD
Hello Traders! 👋
Spotted a clean setup on Gold (XAUUSD) on the 15-minute chart, and I wanted to break it down for everyone looking to learn and grow with smart money concepts and liquidity-driven trading.
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🔍 Trade Breakdown:
After a sharp bearish move, price aggressively broke below the Old High structure and formed a New Breakdown Low. This move likely triggered stop-losses and induced sellers — a classic liquidity grab scenario.
What followed is key:
Price tapped into a demand zone and showed clear rejection wicks.
It then consolidated just below the old structure — potentially accumulating orders for a reversal.
This gave me confidence to look for a long opportunity as part of my "Smart Money Reversal Strategy".
---
📌 Trade Plan Details:
Entry Zone: Around 3,358 – 3,360
Stop Loss: Below the recent low (~3,350)
Target 1: Previous structure resistance near 3,366 – 3,370
Target 2: Full range fill toward 3,389 – 3,390+
If price breaks and holds above the red supply zone, I’ll look for additional confirmation for scaling in or trailing.
---
🧠 Why This Matters:
This setup highlights the importance of:
Trading after liquidity sweeps, not during.
Recognizing how market makers trap early sellers before reversing.
Using structure and zones — not just indicators — to guide entries.
---
📘 Note for Members:
This trade is shared for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and never blindly follow — plan your trades, then trade your plan!
Let me know your thoughts or how you'd approach this differently.
— Happy Trading! 💰
#XAUUSD #SmartMoney #LiquidityGrab #Forex #GoldAnalysis #TradingView
"XAUUSD Potential Reversal Zones | Harmonic Setup in Play"Gold (XAUUSD) is showing a possible harmonic structure forming on the 15-minute chart. Key levels around 3344 and 3330 are being watched closely as potential support zones, with bullish and bearish scenarios mapped. Price action around these levels may offer clues for the next directional move. Chart illustrates both bullish breakout and extended correction scenarios. This is a technical outlook only, not financial advice.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Buy or Sell XAUUSD Gold? How the Stock Market Could Decide!🚨 Market Breakdown: Gold (XAUUSD) 🪙📉📊
At the moment, I’m closely monitoring XAUUSD (Gold) 🔍. Before diving in, it's crucial to zoom out and gain a macro perspective 🌍. This means analyzing key support and resistance levels on the weekly and daily timeframes 📅 using price action as our primary guide.
📈 Gold has seen a strong rally — it’s overextended at this point. A deeper pullback could be on the cards. If we get that retracement alongside a bullish break of structure, I’ll be eyeing a potential long setup 🛒.
However, this bias is conditional 🔄. If the stock market pulls back, that could strengthen the case for a gold buy. On the flip side, if equities continue to rally, I’d likely shift toward a bearish stance on gold 🐻.
🎥 Everything is broken down clearly in the video.
❗️Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The analysis shared is for educational and informational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
Evening gold analysis and trading point layout📰 Impact of news:
1. Fed's Goolsbee: Despite the unresolved tariff issue, it is still believed that interest rates are expected to fall in the next 12 to 18 months
2. May PMI data is positive
3. Russian media: Russia lists the full withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from Russian territory as one of the ceasefire options
📈 Market analysis:
Judging from the 4H chart, gold is currently fluctuating around the 3370 line, and the bulls are still relatively strong. We should pay attention to the short-term support at 3365-3355 below, and the short-term suppression at 3385-3395 above. If it breaks through the upper suppression, we will pay attention to the 3400 line suppression position. The recent market fluctuations have been relatively large, so bros must set take-profit and stop-loss when trading independently!
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3365-3355
TP 3370-3380-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD/Gold on 3rd May 2025As yesterday I posted that golds is in major uptrend and it is still active. On daily timeframe gold made breakout upward direction of channel and 3382. As I said gold made gap wile opening on Monday so it was strongly bullish, now we want it to fill the gap. And did it is first rejection and coming down. No gold is trading at 3360-65 range, and it is support, soon if it get's break toward downward then price can surge to 3323-3330. Waiting for confirmation and then execute trade.
Key point.
Support - 3364, 3330, 3313
Resistance - 3386, 3400, 3414
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Rudra Vasaikar Wishes You A Great And Very Amazing Trading Life. Trade Safe, Trade Right.
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Gold Reclaims 3300, Faces Heavy Resistance AheadGold surged after Monday’s market open, reclaiming the 3300 level, and has already made an initial attempt at the 3306–3312 resistance area, where the 2H MA60 lies. Short-term indicators have started to turn bullish, but several resistance levels lie ahead:
3306–3312: First major resistance
3326–3332: Next target resistance area
Around 3357: Previous gap zone, strong pressure
The upside is full of obstacles, and bulls will need strong momentum to push through.
Also, keep in mind:
Rapid upward moves are often followed by pullbacks. If the price retraces, pay attention to:
Support at 3288–3276
If this zone holds, further upside is likely
Watch for support/resistance role reversals:
A resistance level becomes support once broken
A support level becomes resistance once it breaks
Valid breakouts are confirmed when price stays above/below without immediate reversal
This is one of the most reliable and practical trading principles.
📉 Medium-Term Trend Still Bearish
The broader trend is still in a downward correction. Stay cautious and disciplined with short-term bullish moves.
📅 This week is loaded with key macroeconomic events, including:
PMI Manufacturing
ADP Employment
Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
Unemployment Rate
Fed-related speeches and economic commentary
Expect high volatility — great for profits if executed well, but dangerous if misjudged. Opportunities come with risks, so manage them wisely.
XAUUSD – After the Surge, Is the Down Correction Really Over?🟡 What Happened Yesterday
Gold surged strongly yesterday due to escalating geopolitical tensions and a new chapter in the global tariff saga. From top to bottom, the range counted over 1200 pips, marking one of the most volatile sessions in recent weeks.
❓ Is the Down Correction Finished or Will It Continue?
Technically, the chart looks bullish at this moment. The descending trendline has been broken, and the 3350 horizontal zone is now forming a confluence support area.
However, I remain cautious.
Despite the bullish signal, this yo-yo price action could continue. The idea that Gold has not yet finished correcting the broader uptrend still persists in my mind and the 3200 level remains a strong candidate for retesting in the appropriate future.
📊 Why I Expect Further Down Correction
The recent spike might be reactionary, not structural
3340–3350 could provide short-term support, but it may not hold long-term
The overall macro structure still leaves room for another leg down
📉 Trading Plan
While the market holds 3340–3350 support, we might see a bounce toward 3400.
But I prefer to stay out for now and I would buy in that zone only with low volume and clear confirmation
If the 3340 zone fails, I’ll start watching for a new drop to 3280 zone and eventually 3200.
🚀 Wait for Confirmation In both cases, bullish or bearish
The key right now is confirmation. Volatility is high, and the narrative shifts fast.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD TechnicalsThe chart presents a pivotal moment in Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, as price reacts to a key structural zone. After a strong impulsive bullish move earlier in the session, price rallied sharply toward the $3,370–$3,385 range. But now, a visible retracement has pulled it back into a well-defined support zone that previously acted as resistance.
At this moment, the market is at an inflection point — visually represented by the orange confluence circle, where the current price intersects a previous consolidation breakout level and sits right above a deeper support band.
What's happening technically?
Price is now retesting the purple support box, which overlaps closely with the base of the bullish breakout that occurred earlier. This is significant because it could function either as:
Support confirmation: where the market "respects" the previous breakout zone, establishing it as a new demand area and thus signaling the continuation of the uptrend.
Fakeout zone: where the price loses this level, indicating that the prior bullish impulse was unsustainable, setting up for a deeper correction — possibly down toward the $3,335 or even $3,310 regions.
The small candle forming at the support zone shows slowing bearish momentum, which could be interpreted as the first signs of stabilization. But the volume tells us more — earlier bullish momentum came with strong volume spikes, while the recent pullback seems to be on declining volume, which can often indicate profit-taking rather than full-blown reversal pressure.
Interpreting the two potential paths:
If price holds above the purple zone and shows bullish candle confirmation (like a bullish engulfing or a strong pin bar), there's a good probability that gold will resume its bullish leg, potentially retesting $3,385 and stretching further to $3,400+.
However, if price decisively breaks below the orange confluence zone (especially below $3,350 with a large bearish candle and volume spike), then bears could regain control and drive it toward $3,320 or even lower. In this case, the earlier rally would appear as an exhaustion move or news-driven spike.
GOLD H1 Intraday Chart For 3 June 2025Hello Traders,
GOLD is in mid term Bullish Trend for now as we already captured nice pips yesterday with directional sequence
but now all eyes on 3400 Psychological Level Breakout once it will break market will move towards 3430
for market in is consolidation zone between 3340-60 and expected to move back towards 3380 or even 90
if market breaks 3330 successfully today then it will move towards 3330 Psychological Level
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
XAU/USD Price Action Analysis – Bullish Breakout Setup XAU/USD Price Action Analysis – Bullish Breakout Setup 🚀
🔍 Chart Overview:
This chart illustrates the price movement of XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on a mid-term time frame, highlighting a potential bullish breakout scenario from a key resistance zone.
🟩 Key Levels:
Support Zone: 🛡️
➤ $3,140 – $3,200
This zone has acted as a strong support multiple times, preventing further declines and serving as a springboard for bullish moves.
Breakout Zone (Current Level): ⚡
➤ $3,340 – $3,390
Price is currently testing this crucial resistance-turned-potential-breakout zone. A successful close above this level could confirm bullish continuation.
First Target: 🎯
➤ $3,435.87
This intermediate resistance aligns with a previously tested high. It may act as the first barrier after the breakout.
Second Target: 🥇
➤ $3,502.13
This is the major resistance zone. If bulls maintain momentum, this area will likely be tested.
🧭 Market Structure & Bias:
Price is forming higher lows, signaling growing bullish strength.
The chart shows a bullish breakout of a sideways consolidation zone.
The upward arrows and curved projection suggest a potential pullback-retest scenario at the breakout level before rallying towards targets.
🧠 Trading Plan (Illustrated by Chart):
📈 Breakout Entry:
Wait for confirmation above $3,390 with strong bullish candles and volume.
🔁 Retest Opportunity:
If price pulls back to the breakout zone ($3,340 – $3,390), this may serve as a solid re-entry point for long positions.
🎯 Profit Targets:
TP1: $3,435
TP2: $3,502
🛑 Invalidation:
A strong close back below $3,320 may invalidate the bullish bias.
📌 Conclusion:
The chart indicates a bullish continuation setup for XAU/USD with clearly defined breakout, retest, and target zones. Traders should monitor price action closely around the breakout area for confirmation before entering long positions. Risk management remains key. 🧮⚖️