XAUUSD H1 Trading Plan (Intraday Precision)Bias: 📈 Bullish
Current Price: ~$3,096
Context: Clean breakout from H1 range → intraday expansion phase in play.
📊 1. Structure & Market Phases
Price consolidated in a tight range (highlighted in blue) for ~1 week, between ~3,000 and ~3,049.
Recent breakout above range → confirming bullish continuation.
Minor HLs forming → micro structure remains clean.
🧠 2. Smart Money Concepts
🔲 Old OB / Demand Zone: Gray zone = area of prior breakout (ideal re-entry on pullbacks).
🧊 Range high (~3,049.57) = now acting as support (flip zone).
🧠 FVG might exist in the 3,060–3,080 range on lower TFs → potential internal mitigation.
📌 3. Key H1 Levels
🔝 Upside:
🔸 3,120.14 – Major upside target (aligned with HTF)
🔸 Next target levels depend on PA around psychological levels (e.g., 3,100, 3,150)
🟦 Support Zones:
✅ 3,049.57 – Previous range high
✅ 3,000.66 – Base of accumulation block
✅ 2,983–2,975 – Internal mitigation zones
✅ 2,899.69 – Major invalidation point (HTF OB)
📅 4. Trade Scenarios (H1 Execution Focus)
✅ Scenario A: Breakout Continuation
Price stays above 3,049–3,060 → bullish continuation likely.
🎯 Target: 3,100 / 3,120 intraday
Look for bullish BOS or FVG entries on pullbacks (M15/M5 timing ideal)
🔁 Scenario B: Pullback into Demand
Retracement back to 3,049 / 3,030 / 3,000 zone
🔁 Entry on bullish reaction from prior range top
Great RR setups for continuation longs
🟥 Scenario C: Deeper Reversal (Less Likely)
Break below 2,975 could lead to:
🔻 Deeper move into OB around 2,960 / 2,899
Would shift intraday bias from bullish to neutral
🧭 Summary
1H is in a breakout phase – ideal moment to hunt continuation trades.
Pullbacks into previous range top or base are high-probability re-entry zones.
Bias remains strongly bullish unless structure below 2,975 is broken.
Xauusdupdates
XAUUSD Weekly Trading Plan (W1 Outlook)Bias: 📈 Bullish (Strong Momentum)
Structure: Higher Highs / Higher Lows (Weekly)
Current Price: ~$3,084
Market Phase: Price Discovery / Momentum Phase
🔍 1. Weekly Market Structure
Clear bullish structure with strong continuation.
Recent Higher Low (HL): ~1985–2000 zone.
Current Weekly Candle: Strong bullish with little to no upper wick → sign of aggressive buying.
🧠 2. Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
✅ Liquidity Grab: Buy-side liquidity above 2080–2150 has been swept → cleared space for new highs.
📏 Fair Value Gap (FVG): Estimated FVG between 3000 – 3080, possible retest area.
🧱 Valid Bullish OBs: Below, around 1985–2000 (HL origin).
⛔ No resistance above – price is now in price discovery mode.
📊 3. EMA Alignment (Estimated)
EMA 5/21/50/200 are all bullishly stacked.
Price is significantly extended above EMA 21 → potential for short-term pullback.
Trend remains intact and strong.
🧱 4. Key Zones (Weekly)
Support Zones:
3000 – 2960 → recent impulse base.
2900 – 2880 → minor structure zone.
2080 – 2100 → breakout + consolidation area.
No historical resistance above current levels. Watch for round number reactions (e.g. 3100, 3150, 3200).
🔢 5. Fibonacci Levels (Swing Low: ~1985 → High: ~3084)
0.382: ~2660
0.5: ~2535
0.618: ~2410
→ These levels are relevant only if price enters deeper retracement later.
📅 6. Weekly Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation (Main Bias)
Hold above 3000 → target extensions toward:
🎯 3120 / 3180 / 3250+
Strong momentum candle suggests interest remains to the upside.
⚠️ Pullback Scenario
Rejection from 3085 area → potential drop toward:
3000 (minor FVG fill)
2960–2900 (stronger structure + potential re-entry area)
Bullish bias remains intact unless we break below 2900 weekly close.
🧭 Summary
XAUUSD is in price discovery after sweeping key liquidity.
Momentum is strong, but price is overextended → short-term pullbacks are healthy.
All signs point toward higher targets unless major structure breaks.
Accurately predict the timing of short position entryAs of now, we have made profits during the trading session. But gold hit the 3048 area yesterday. What should we do if some brothers did not close the order in time? We have made corresponding adjustments according to the current market.
Gold news:
On Friday, the price of gold climbed to 3083, mainly driven by factors such as rising risk aversion, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, the global central bank's gold buying boom and increased inflationary pressure. The tense situation in the Middle East, global economic uncertainty and expectations of a depreciation of the US dollar have further enhanced the attractiveness of gold. This week, gold is expected to rise for the fourth consecutive week. The US PCE (personal consumption expenditure) data to be released tonight has attracted much attention from the market because it is the core indicator of the Federal Reserve to measure inflation and may have a significant impact on market expectations and asset prices. If the PCE data triggers concerns about stagflation, it may cause US Treasury yields to rise, further boosting gold prices. If the data eases inflationary pressures, it may boost risky assets, but gold may rise simultaneously due to rising expectations of interest rate cuts. Boosted by risk aversion, gold advanced all the way yesterday afternoon, hitting a new high of 3059 during the US trading session. Today's market continued to rise at the opening, and the current highest has reached 3086. Gold bulls rose like a tiger, where is the top?
Gold technical analysis: From the wave point of view, the large level is no longer repeated. The daily line 2832 runs a standard 5-wave structure upward, wave 1 2832-2929, wave 2 2929-2880, wave 3 2880-3057, wave 4 3057-2999. Yesterday's market broke through 3057 and rose. The current market is in the 5th wave. From the wave rule, wave 1 runs 97 US dollars. If the amplitude of wave 1 and wave 5 is equal, the high point of wave 5 can be seen near 3097. Using the Fibonacci retracement extension line, pay attention to the two resistance levels of 3088-3108 above. Therefore, the short-term continues to follow the trend of low-multiple bullishness. Pay attention to whether there is a structure to go short near 3108 above. Gold is currently high, and it is bound to fall back. This crazy bull trend cannot last long. This is inevitable. The gold price is currently seriously off track, that is, it is directly off track. This is unreasonable. Return is inevitable. There must be a deep fall today. The support below is around 3050, which is also the target of the fall.
Gold operation strategy: Short gold 3075-70 to increase the number of transactions. Target 3060-3050
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions. Follow your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. The short profit area of 3060-3050 is all closed.
3. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform in time if there are changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
XAUUSD – H4 Trading Plan📍 Structure
✅ Market structure: Bullish
🔼 Recent BOS confirms continuation
📈 Price is pushing into resistance zone @ 3065
⚠️ No CHoCH yet = no shift, but signs of potential slowing momentum
🧩 Zones of Interest
🔵 3065–3090 → Supply / Premium zone
– Major liquidity draw
– Inside weekly imbalance → potential reversal zone
🔵 2955 → Prior range high + FVG
– Ideal first mitigation target
🔵 2790–2800 → OB zone + consolidation base
– Swing target if breakdown continues
🎯 Trade Scenarios
🔼 Bullish Breakout
Break & retest of 3065 (clean H4 close above)
LTF entry (M15–H1) on pullback
🎯 Target: ATH sweep (3100+)
🛡️ SL: Below HL or valid OB
🔽 Bearish Rejection
Strong reaction from 3065–3090 zone
Wait for H4 CHoCH → then Lower High
🎯 TP1: 2955
🎯 TP2: 2800
🛡️ SL: Above rejection wick
📌 Notes
✋ No short without H4 CHoCH confirmation
🧠 Structure is king – reaction first, entry second
Premium zone = decision zone → be reactive, not predictive
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold swing trade with buy and sell levelsThis week we are looking to sell Gold down to previous resistance which aligns with Fibonacci 0.382 level for a sell total pips of 309.
When we reach our take profit we will go back into a buy at 2994 and a take profit target of 3053 for an additional pip count of 588 pips.
Trade idea is based on higher time frame and uses trend lines as well as support and resistance and Fibonacci levels.
With these type of trades expect to go into some drawdown that's why I recommend using small lots and securing profit along the way .
Check out my weekly gold forecast with both buy and sell entries posted below.
XAUUSD:Analysis of the Gold Market Trend for Next WeekOn Friday, the gold price fluctuated between 3,086 and 3,066, but there was no sign of peaking. Currently, the bullish trend in the gold market remains intact, and it is expected to reach new highs next week.
In the early trading session on Thursday, it was already indicated that the trend would turn bullish, and the consecutive upward movements on Thursday and Friday were in line with our expectations. At present, the gold price closed at around 3,085.
On next Monday, one needs to be wary of the risks of a gap-up or gap-down opening. The upper resistance lies between 3,090 and 3,094. If it firmly stands at this level, it will test the position of 3,111. The lower support is at 3,070-3,065.
In terms of operation, Xu Gucheng suggests that on next Monday, the main strategy should be to go long on pullbacks, supplemented by shorting on rebounds.
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Gold Top Trading SignalsGold continued to weaken under pressure at 3047 in Asian trading last Friday. In the afternoon, the European session broke through the 3030 mark and stabilized near 3021. In the evening, the US session repeatedly fluctuated and suppressed below the 3037 mark, ushering in an accelerated downward decline and breaking the bottom. Finally, it pierced near 3000 before closing and rebounded and closed at 3023. The daily K-line closed with a suppressed and falling middle shadow. The overall gold price showed a suppressed and falling adjustment pattern below the 3057 mark. After the opening of gold in the morning today, the gold price did not fluctuate much. It rebounded to the 3026 line and then stepped back for adjustment. As long as the correction does not break the low point of last Friday, we will continue to look for opportunities to buy when it steps back.
From the current 4-hour analysis, today's upper short-term resistance is still focused on around 3030-35, and the lower short-term support is focused on around 3000-3005. The overall support relies on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Gold falls back to 3000-3005 line, stop loss 2995, target 3025-3030 line, continue to hold if it breaks;
2. Gold rebounds to 3035 line but does not break, you can go short, stop loss 3042, target 3005-10 line;
Gold recommends short entry at 3030Last week, the daily RSI of gold fell slightly below the overbought area of 70, but combined with the intact structure of the three-month rising channel, the current retracement is more inclined to a technical correction rather than a trend reversal. From a spatial perspective, the 3030 line as the midpoint of the channel constitutes the primary resistance. If this position cannot be effectively broken through, the gold price may test the support of the 3000 integer mark downward. It is worth noting that the static resistance formed near 3050 resonates with the recent negative fundamentals, further suppressing the upward space.
The current strategy needs to fluctuate in the range. In the morning, focus on whether the opening high of 3026 can be recovered. If it stabilizes, it will be seen to 3035, the opening point of last week; on the contrary, if it falls below the short-term moving average support of 3010, the short position can follow the trend to the expected level of 3000. It is recommended to adopt the range trading mode, and operate back and forth between high and low in the range of 3000-3035. Technically, we need to be alert to the stagflation signal formed by the continuous shortening of the MACD red column and the closing of the Bollinger Bands. It is recommended to avoid chasing highs and focus on the impact of the US CPI data on the market at noon.
Gold operation suggestions: short near the rebound of 3030-3035, stop loss 3042, target 3005
Gold 100% Trading SignalsGold opened on Monday with a rebound range fluctuation. At present, it has reached the highest point of 3032 and then retreated under pressure. The lowest point reached 3014. Our article also gave the upper 3030-35 line as the main suppression range fluctuation. We will continue to pay attention to the range fluctuation. The operation is still mainly to do more on the retracement. If it continues to strengthen and break through, the subsequent decline may just be a correction of the bulls. The short-term suppression point above gold will be maintained at the 3035 line. As long as the correction does not break the low point near 3000 last Friday, we will continue to look for more opportunities on the retracement.
From the current 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance is still focused on 3035, the lower short-term support is focused on 3015-20, and the focus is on the support near 3000-3005. The overall main tone of low-multiple participation remains unchanged. For the middle position, watch more and do less, and be cautious in chasing orders.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Buy when gold falls back to 3015-3020, add more when it falls back to 3000-05, stop loss at 2995, target at 3035-3040, continue to hold if it breaks
Gold Trading SignalsOn Friday night, it bottomed out at 3000 and rebounded, and rebounded to close at 3023 in the early morning. This position is very critical. On the one hand, it is in the middle of the decline of 3038-3000, which can go up or down; on the other hand, the 618 golden section is just at 3023. If it opens here on Monday, there are technical reasons to support it. If it breaks the short-term line, it can only rely on the 3038 line pressure to be bearish.
Therefore, for gold on Monday, don’t blindly chase it when it opens in the morning, as it is easy to cause market interruption after the weekend. You can try shorting by relying on the 3038 line pressure above, and you can see more rebounds around the 3010 line support below. If there are changes in the specific market, it will be given in real time during the trading session.
In terms of trading, Jinsheng’s expected analysis layout was fully completed at the end of Friday yesterday, and the market was accurately realized. The short position at 3043 in the morning was successfully closed at 3030 at noon, earning 13 US dollars; the short position at 3033 rebounded in the afternoon, and the position was reduced at 3017 in the evening, with the remaining profit at 3006, earning 27 US dollars; the two orders made a profit of 40 US dollars, and the weekly line ended perfectly.
Gold recommends high-short and low-longThe rise of the US dollar index benefited from Trump's tariff policy. Just yesterday, Trump suddenly announced that a 25% tariff would be imposed on the purchase of oil and natural gas from Venezuela. At the same time, he claimed that some tariffs would be reduced or exempted. The market's tense nerves were released, and the US dollar index rose sharply. As the end of the month approaches, the market needs to rebalance its investment portfolio and increase the allocation of US dollars to hedge against unknown risks, pushing the US dollar to continue to rise. Yesterday, the market news was light. Today, the market will welcome the speech of Federal Reserve Board Governor Kugler on "Economic Outlook and Entrepreneurship". Immediately afterwards, New York Fed Williams will speak at a public event. In addition, there is the March Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index at 10 pm. The above events and data are concentrated in the evening time today, which will have a certain impact on the market and need to be paid attention to. The price of gold has begun to retreat from its historical high, and the safe-haven buying force has eased. This retreat momentum is expected to intensify further, especially in terms of technology.
At present, the price of gold is running in a similar triangle range, and the correction cycle is extended. On the one hand, the bulls rebounded after the pressure of the high, and it is difficult to return to the strong position directly; on the other hand, the retracement is supported by the key top and bottom conversion support band of 3005-3000. This trading day focuses on the gains and losses below the low of 3000 at the end of last Friday, and the breakthrough below the upper 3030 pressure line. If it cannot break through, there is a high probability of oscillating around this range during the day. Gold operation suggestion 1: short near the rebound of 3020-3025, stop loss 3030, target 3005. Gold operation suggestion 2: long near the retracement of 3000-3005, stop loss 2995, target 3020
Gold Bullish Frenzy? Watch for Reversal SignalsAt present, it seems that the situation for the bulls is promising. However, the market is not necessarily so. This kind of behavior to induce more long positions is quite normal in the market.
Market makers often operate in a strategic way. After they have reaped the profits from the bulls, it's highly likely that the next target will be the bears.
Looking at the gold market specifically, the price of gold is currently at a high level and is bound to decline. This frenzied bullish trend simply cannot be sustained, and this is an inevitable outcome. The current gold price has seriously deviated from its normal track. One could even
say that it has completely derailed or "strayed from the norm". Such a situation is clearly unreasonable, and a return to a reasonable level is inevitable.
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GOLD Long opportunity from 3,050 or 3,020 back to ATH'sThis week, my outlook on gold remains strongly bullish. Price has once again reached its all-time high (ATH) and broken structure to the upside, leaving behind new demand zones that present potential buying opportunities.
The first key area of interest is the nearby 6-hour demand zone. While not the most ideal setup, I will be monitoring how price reacts once it mitigates this level.
Additionally, there is a 15-hour demand zone positioned lower, offering a more favorable entry at a discounted price. This zone was responsible for the break of structure to the upside, making it a strong area of interest. If price reaches this level, I expect a slowdown followed by a buildup of bullish momentum.
Confluences for XAU/USD Buys:
Price has broken structure to the upside on the higher timeframes.
Clean 6-hour and 15-hour demand zones remain unmitigated.
Gold has been consistently bullish across both lower and higher timeframes.
DXY is trending bearish, reinforcing gold’s bullish bias due to their inverse correlation.
Note: There is some liquidity resting below in the form of an equal low and a small trendline. I will wait for confirmation in these areas before making any decisions.
#XAUUSD:$3200 Next Big Move, Bulls Are Like to DominatePrice has been bullish since many months as US Dollars continue to decline, the fear of further decline in dollar value is triggering the gold market to go all time high. There is a big possibility that price is likely to go upwards of region of 3200$. We will have to monitor the market next week since we have big news week coming up.
Like and Comment to Show us the support 🚀❤️
Team Setupsfx_
Sell@3080Today, the XAUUSD market is mired in extraordinary volatility. The uptrend in prices has continued unabated, with values rocketing to $3086. This powerful rally has inflicted heavy losses on bearish traders, leading to a mass liquidation of their positions.
Currently, the market is in a “double - whammy” situation, where both bulls and bears are feeling the pinch. This is the result of large - scale capital inflows. Savvy institutional investors and market players are deploying capital strategically, aiming to maximize profits.
Despite this current upward surge, we remain steadfast in our bearish outlook. Our in - depth analysis of multiple factors—including long - term economic trends, geopolitical developments, and technical indicators—reinforces our conviction. Many fundamental indicators suggest that the current rally is likely a short - lived market aberration. As the market continues to digest various macroeconomic data, we anticipate downward pressure to build, eventually reversing the current upward trend.
💎💎💎 XAUUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@3085 - 3080
🎁 TP 3040 3030 3020 3010 3000
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A real correction for gold could be comingGold 30-minute chart is beginning to have the possibility of a double top, so don't chase long for now. If you want to go long, wait patiently for a pullback, otherwise the high adjustment may also be large. Gold can be shorted on rallies. If gold falls below 3060, then the real adjustment of gold may come.
The market is changing rapidly. Since the strength of gold has been insufficient after breaking through new highs, don't chase too much.
XAU/USD 28 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has met expectations and analysis by printing a further bullish iBOS, however, pullback was minimal and with price not trading down to either discount of 50% EQ or Daily/H4 demand zone.
I will therefore, at present, not classify this as a bullish iBOS in order not to distort internal range
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, bnut not confirm bearish pullback phase initiaiton. Price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,086.090.
Alternative scenario:
Price could potentially continue to print higher.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias was not met with pricing printing a bullish iBOS.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,086.090.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold (XAU/USD) Breakout & Retest: Next Stop $3,080?🔍 Key Observations:
🔹 Ascending Triangle Breakout:
📈 Price was consolidating in an ascending triangle (🔺) and has broken out above resistance.
🚀 Bullish momentum is in play.
🔹 All-Time High (ATH) Resistance Zone:
🛑 Resistance Area (🔵) is where price has struggled before.
🔵🔵 Rejection signs at this level indicate a possible pullback.
🔹 Fair Value Gap (FVG) Retest:
🔽 Price may pull back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) (📦) before moving higher.
🎯 This zone ($3,030 - $3,040) could act as a buying area.
🔹 Target Point at $3,080:
🎯 Main target for bulls is $3,080 (📈).
🔝 Price could retest the ATH zone before a push
🔹 Dynamic Support (DEMA 9):
📊 DEMA 9 (📉) at $3,052.80 is acting as support.
🔮 Expected Price Action:
⚫ Scenario 1 (Bullish) 🚀
➡️ Pullback into FVG zone (📦) → Buyers step in → Move toward $3,080 🎯
⚫ Scenario 2 (Bearish) 📉
❌ If price breaks below FVG → Further downside risk
✅ Conclusion:
🟢 Bullish bias remains strong unless price falls below FVG.
📌 Traders may look for entries in the FVG zone for a move to $3,080 🎯.
🔥🚀 Gold could be setting up for another push!
Gold Price Hits Record HighGold Price Hits Record High
On 19 March, we reported that gold had surpassed $3,000 per ounce for the first time in history and suggested this psychological level could be tested.
As shown on the XAU/USD chart, the price briefly dipped below $3,000 but quickly rebounded. According to the Smart Money Concept methodology, this may have been a liquidity sweep triggered by stop-loss orders placed below the key level. Regardless, the test occurred (as indicated by the arrow), and the bulls resumed the rally. The new all-time high is now around $3,080 and could be broken again today.
Why Is Gold Rising?
➝ Uncertainty over Trump’s tariff plans
➝ Expectations of lower interest rates
Gold is traditionally seen as a hedge against economic and political uncertainty and tends to perform well in a low-rate environment. Analysts at Goldman Sachs have raised their year-end 2025 gold price forecast to $3,300.
Technical Analysis of XAU/USD
➝ Looking at gold’s broader trend, price movements continue to follow an upward channel (marked in blue), which has remained relevant since early 2025.
➝ Alternatively, a second, less steep ascending channel (marked in purple) suggests that gold is currently near its upper boundary, indicating a possible pullback. However, the $3,056 level—previously resistance—could now act as support, paving the way for a move towards the next milestone at $3,100.
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Safe Haven Demand - Gold Makes New ATH 3089⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
This triggered swift responses from global leaders, with Canada and the European Union (EU) vowing to retaliate against President Trump’s trade measures.
In the US, the labor market remains resilient, as reflected in the latest unemployment claims report, while the economy continues to show strength following the release of fourth-quarter 2024 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. Although housing data saw some improvement, it confirmed the broader slowdown in the sector.
Meanwhile, money markets have factored in 64.5 basis points of Federal Reserve rate cuts for 2025, according to interest rate probabilities from Prime Market Terminal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
growth, gold becomes a safe haven investment channel. continue to create new ATH
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $3088 - $3090 SL $3095
TP1: $3080
TP2: $3070
TP3: $3060
🔥BUY GOLD zone: SCALPING: 3066, 3057
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3034 - $3032 SL $3027
TP1: $3040
TP2: $3050
TP3: $3060
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold update 4H 28.03.2025Technical Overview
Gold has broken out of a bullish pennant, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. XAU/USD is currently testing resistance around $3,087. A successful breakout could push prices toward $3,108–$3,138 (0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels).
Key Levels:
Support: $3,066 | $3,040
Resistance: $3,087 | $3,108 | $3,138
Indicators:
The oscillator shows overbought conditions, suggesting a possible short-term pullback.
A retest of $3,066 could provide a support zone for continuation.
Fundamental Factors
Fed interest rate decisions and inflation data will impact gold.
Market uncertainty continues to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish: A strong breakout above $3,087 could lead to a rally toward $3,108 and $3,138.
Bearish: Failure to hold above $3,087 may trigger a pullback toward $3,066 and $3,040.
A breakout above $3,087 could open the path toward $3,108–$3,138.
Gold Recovers After Dip – Is a New ATH Next?After reaching its recent all-time high exactly one week ago, Gold began a correction, dropping to $3,000, where buyers stepped in. This led to a recovery, pushing the price above a key resistance zone at $3,025–$3,030.
At the time of writing, the price is sitting at the upper boundary of this support zone. If it stabilizes above this level, a new ATH could be on the horizon.
I remain bullish as long as the daily close stays above this zone.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD – Refined Daily Plan w/ Sniper Entries🔹 HTF Bias (D1 + H4)
🔼 Overall trend: Bullish
Price is inside a Premium HTF zone (3065–3090)
Daily and H4 structure are bullish, but price is testing a major liquidity zone
Reaction expected either:
✅ Bullish continuation on breakout
🔁 Short-term rejection for retracement ➤ sniper setups engage
🧠 Current Setup Situation (M15–H4 Context)
📍 Price is consolidating below 3065, forming equal highs ➤ liquidity sitting above
M15 + M30 show clear FVG + OB confluence zones
H4 has no CHoCH yet — structure intact
Strategy: reactive entries based on smart money reaction
🔻 SNIPER SELL SETUP (Scalp to Retrace)
🎯 Sell Plan:
Entry Zone: 3064.5 – 3066
SL: Above 3070 (above wick + LQ)
TP1: 3041 → M30 FVG
TP2: 3020 → H1 bullish OB
TP3: 3008 → large imbalance (LTF)
⚠️ Entry Conditions:
Price must:
Sweep liquidity above equal highs
Show M15 or M5 bearish BOS / engulfing
Ideally with shift in order flow (CHoCH)
✅ Confluences:
D1 & H4 Premium zone
M15 OB + FVG
Liquidity resting above 3065
🔺 SNIPER BUY SETUP (Continuation)
🎯 Buy Plan:
Entry Zone: 3016–3020
SL: Below 3010
TP1: 3035
TP2: 3055
TP3: 3065 (liquidity revisit)
⚠️ Entry Conditions:
Clean rejection from OB zone
Bullish candle (M15/M30) or LTF BOS
No full break below 3008 – that invalidates buy
✅ Confluences:
Clean OB + FVG (M30 / H1)
Sits in discount zone after potential rejection
H4 demand & D1 continuation zone
🧭 Decision Tree
→ If price breaks 3065 + holds → wait for retest → long continuation
→ If price sweeps 3065 + shows rejection → sniper sell
→ If price drops to 3020 → look for long
→ If price breaks 3008 → wait for structure to reset
🧼 Summary:
HTF = Bullish
Active zone = 3065 (reaction zone)
Trade reaction, not prediction
Let price come to your zone. Then strike like a sniper 🧠⚔️
Sniper setups only execute after LTF confirmation
🧠 Structure > Emotion
🎯 Setup > Impulse
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