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XAUUSD: Today I waited until 2530 before tradingAs can be seen from the figure, my two trend prediction lines were drawn very accurately. It is a pity that we were in the 2500-2505 buying range, and the two buying orders were all profit-taking before the market closed. The best performance of these two rises was in the Asian session of the next day. During that period, I was still sleeping in Europe, which was quite regrettable. But think about it the other way around. You should be content if you can make money, because you can't make money in all trends. It's always better to make money than to lose money, isn't it? Yesterday before I took a break, I said that if the historical high cannot be refreshed today, then gold may start to fall. This high point has been attacked many times. After many unsuccessful attacks, the bullish force will weaken. Therefore, whether this attack can be refreshed is a key point. Please keep an eye on it. How should I trade today? To be honest, I am not sure for the time being, because the current position is in the middle of support and resistance. If I continue to be bullish, it is too far away from the lower support. I feel that there is a risk. If I am bearish, it is still more than ten dollars away from the upper resistance, which is also risky. Therefore, I think it is better to wait and see. Today, three US data will be released. When the data comes out, I think the direction of the market will be much clearer. Trading strategy: If it can break through the historical high today, I think it can chase the rise, with a target of 2550-2570 If it encounters resistance near 2530 today, you can consider selling at a high level, with a target of 2505-2500
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AntonyTP
Long on Gold (XAUUSD) – 1H TimeframeWe are entering a long position on Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe after a significant retracement and consolidation near the lower support zone. The recent price action suggests a potential reversal, presenting an opportunity to capitalize on a bullish move. We aim to position ourselves for upward momentum as we prepare for market dynamics leading into September. Key Levels: • Entry Point: Initiated after the price found support near a key level, with confirmation of bullish momentum building. • Target Zone: Aiming for an initial target near the previous resistance level, where profit-taking or consolidation might occur. • Stop-Loss Placement: Set below the recent low to manage risk effectively and protect against unexpected downward movement. Technical Analysis and Rationale: The decision to go long is based on the recent price action, which shows a retracement to a key support level, followed by signs of a bullish reversal. The market appears poised to rebound, and our entry leverages the potential for a recovery rally. The Fibonacci retracement zones, moving averages, or trend lines are all aligning to support a potential upward move. Fundamental Considerations: As we approach September, economic data releases and geopolitical developments are likely to influence gold prices. With potential shifts in investor sentiment toward safe-haven assets, we are positioned to capture any upside movement that may unfold. Risk Management: By maintaining a strict stop-loss and monitoring the market conditions closely, we aim to manage risk while allowing for the possibility of significant upside. As always, adjust the position size according to your risk tolerance and trading plan. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by AR33_
1
Breaking the main level for correctionBreaking the main level for correction At the moment, the gold market is characterized by increased investor interest due to global economic uncertainty, inflation risks and geopolitical factors. Gold prices remain high as it is traditionally seen as a safe haven in volatile times. In addition, currency fluctuations and changes in central banks' monetary policies are also impacting the market. Investors are actively monitoring economic data to forecast further movement in gold prices.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by seventhlab
XAUUSD:29/8 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2550, support below 2450 Four-hour resistance 2525/2550, support below 2494 Gold operation suggestions: Gold's downward momentum last night was very strong, but the energy of the early morning rebound was also relatively strong. At present, the low point of the medium-term trend of the gold hourly line has been in a continuous downward stage. The disk shows a trajectory of weak and oscillating decline, but it began to stabilize and rebound near 2493 yesterday. At present, the Asian session broke through the moving average pressure level and attacked 2521, and it is very close to the upper pressure level of 2526-2528! Need to wait patiently! Judging from the current trend of gold, the upper pressure remains around 2525-50, and the lower support remains around 2490-2494. Before the lower level fails to break, there may still be a period of range oscillation in the short term, and gold rebounds. If there is no breakthrough near 2525-30, you can go short. BUY:2494near SL:2490 BUY:2500near SL:2494 SELL:2528near SL:2533 ⚠️The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ActuaryJ
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailGold prices surged on Friday as the US Dollar and Treasury bond yields tumbled, driven by dovish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. With the Fed signalling a policy shift and acknowledging that inflation is nearing the 2% target, the focus has turned towards achieving maximum employment. This backdrop has sparked renewed interest in gold among Western investors, especially as expected interest rate cuts could reduce the opportunity cost of holding the precious metal. In this video, we analyze the current market dynamics, showing why gold may not be overbought and why there’s potential for continued upward momentum. The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a 25 bps rate cut is fully priced in, with rising odds for a larger cut. We’ll dive into both the technical charts and fundamental factors that favor higher gold prices in the coming week. XAUUSD Technical Overview: This week, we're focusing on the $2,495 zone. This could be a make-or-break point. If gold stays above this zone: Bulls might maintain control, potentially pushing prices higher and setting up new highs. If gold drops below the zone then Bears might gain the upper hand in an attempt to retrace into the structure-support line of the ascending channel in the process. Join me as we explore these factors and potential opportunities in the gold market. Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for the latest analysis and insights! 📌 Follow my journey as I map out the next moves in this dynamic market! #Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #ForexTrading #JacksonHole #Investment #TradingStrategy #FXTrading📺🔔💼 Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
SAXO:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
XAU/USD 29 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback. Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 27 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As mentioned in previous analysis whereby we needed to be mindful that H4, following bullish iBOS, has yet to initiate bearish pullback, therefore, it would not be unexpected if strong internal low was to be targeted. This is exactly what price printed, printing a bearish iBOS. Price has printed bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ with strong high remaining protected. Price to target weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD 8/29/2024 Is the uptrend over? Yesterday as predicted, wave C was completed with very strong selling pressure, we did not reach the target of the first BUY zone, but at the second BUY zone, we had a big win of 210 pips, congratulations to all of us. Currently, the uptrend is still dominant. Looking at the current trend, we expect a 5-wave structure as shown on the chart. Besides, there is still the possibility of an ABC correction structure. - We have the price zone 2510.7 as a confirmation point, if the price closes above 2510.7, then we are in a 5-wave uptrend. If the price closes below 2510.7, then this increase is just an ABC correction and then the price continues to decrease when the structure is completed. - My current view is leaning towards a 5-wave bullish structure because I am expecting wave C to reach its target at 2493.7 and then a 5-wave structure will follow, then we have wave 5 target at 2536 - 2539, this is the first target and this is also the target area for us to SELL - If the current structure is an ABC correction structure, then we have wave C target at 2487 - 2484, this will be our BUY target - In addition, we have a large demand concentration area at 2509 - 2506, so this is also a target area for us to BUY SCALP Trading plan BUY SCALP ZONE: 2509 - 2506 SL: 2499 TP1: 2518 TP2: 2524 TP3: 2531 BUY ZONE: 2487 - 2484 SL: 2477 TP1: 2499 TP2: 2506 TP3: 2531 SELL ZONE: 2536 - 2539 SL: 2546 TP1: 2531 TP2: 2524 TP3: 2509
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
Missed the Gold Drop? Re-Entry Strategy After Key RejectionOverview: The provided XAU/USD charts show a market structure that's testing key liquidity zones (LQZ) and possibly forming reversal patterns. Your trading archetype, a mix of Bold Maverick and Analytical Rabbit, suggests that you likely lean towards taking calculated risks but need confirmation before executing trades. This archetype blend requires balancing decisive action with thorough analysis, especially when you miss an initial trade idea. 1. Multi-Time Frame Analysis: 4H Chart: The price reached a significant resistance at the 4H LQZ around 2531.595, forming a double top structure within a descending channel. This zone is a potential area for strong reversals. The recent rejection at this resistance indicates a potential shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. 1H Chart: There's a descending channel visible, suggesting a bearish trend in play. Price is currently at a 1H LQZ around 2494.550, which has acted as support in the past. The rejection at the upper boundary of the descending channel aligns with a confluence at the 4H resistance, enhancing the likelihood of a reversal. The current price action is consolidating around this 1H LQZ, indicating potential for either a bounce or a further decline. 15M Chart: Shows a recent sharp decline from the 4H LQZ, confirming the bearish momentum. The price is currently hovering around a minor support within the larger 1H LQZ. The rejection from the 4H resistance, coupled with the bearish momentum on this lower timeframe, reinforces the potential for further downside. 2. The Rule of Three & Patterns Within Patterns: The "Rule of Three" indicates that after three touches to a support/resistance level, a breakout is more likely​​. The charts show multiple touches on both the descending trendline and support level, suggesting an imminent breakout or breakdown. The structure seen in these charts is a descending channel within a larger potential double top, a clear example of "patterns within patterns." This amplifies the probability of a significant reversal​. 3. Entry Types and Missed Opportunity: Since you missed the initial trade, you could look for: Reduced Risk Entry: Wait for a pullback to the LQZ after a confirmed breakout below the current 1H LQZ. You could then enter a short position, targeting a lower liquidity zone or the next support level. This approach is less aggressive and aligns with your analytical nature​. Re-Entry Strategy: If the price revisits the 4H LQZ and shows signs of rejection again (like a bearish engulfing pattern or strong wick rejections), this could offer a new entry point for shorts. 4. Psychological Coaching: As a Bold Maverick, it's essential to stay disciplined and not chase the trade you missed. Instead, analyze the market's next move: Mass Psychology: Recognize that other traders might also be reacting to the missed opportunity, leading to a possible pullback (which you can capitalize on). Stay focused on your strategy and avoid the temptation to overtrade or enter prematurely out of frustration. Final Thoughts: Given the charts' current state, patience is crucial. Wait for the market to present a clear re-entry opportunity that aligns with your mix of risk-taking and analysis. Watch for a strong, confirmed break below the 1H LQZ or a pullback to the 4H LQZ with a bearish confirmation before entering your next trade.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MommaPreneur
How I Nailed a Perfect Breakout Trade Using a Simple Strategy*The following Analysis is made by my Trading BOT* Analysis of Your Trade: Descending Channel: Formation and Breakout: The descending channel is well-defined, indicating a corrective phase following an impulsive move. The breakout above the channel suggests a potential reversal or continuation of the prior trend, which appears bullish. Entry Timing: You entered the trade after the breakout from the descending channel. This entry aligns with a strategy to buy at the break of a corrective pattern, capitalizing on the resumption of bullish momentum. Resistance Zone (Blue Area): Initial Resistance Encounter: The blue horizontal line represents a resistance zone where price consolidated and failed to break higher on the first attempt. This is a good spot to watch for confirmation of a breakout or reversal. False Breakouts: There are some upper wicks visible in this resistance zone, indicating possible false breakouts or liquidity grabs. This suggests that many traders might have been stopped out before the true breakout occurred. Price Action Post-Breakout: Sharp Move Down: After the breakout, price made a sharp move down to retest the previous resistance (now turned support), which aligns with the principles of market structure where old resistance becomes new support. Correction and Continuation: The downward move appears corrective in nature, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows within a descending channel, after which the price breaks out and moves upwards sharply. Risk and Reward Considerations: Stop Placement: If your stop loss was placed below the previous swing low or the bottom of the descending channel, this would be a strategic placement to avoid being stopped out by market noise. Take Profit: Your target seems to be well-placed, considering the previous highs or a key Fibonacci level. The green area likely represents the take-profit zone. Volume Analysis: Confirmation with Volume: The volume spike during the breakout from the descending channel and the subsequent move up indicates strong buying interest, which is a good confirmation signal. Key Takeaways for Future Trades: Pattern Recognition: Identifying descending channels and their breakouts is a strong skill that can be leveraged in various time frames. Risk Management: Your trade shows a good understanding of risk management, especially if stops were placed beyond significant levels to avoid market noise. Confirmation Signals: Waiting for volume confirmation during breakouts is an excellent strategy to avoid false moves. Suggestions: Multiple Time Frame Analysis: Ensure that your lower-time-frame trades are aligned with the higher-time-frame trends or setups to increase the probability of success. Post-Trade Analysis: Continue reviewing your trades like this to refine your entry and exit strategies, especially around key zones like support and resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
XAU/USD 28 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback. Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 27 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As mentioned in previous analysis whereby we needed to be mindful that H4, following bullish iBOS, has yet to initiate bearish pullback, therefore, it would not be unexpected if strong internal low was to be targeted. This is exactly what price printed, printing a bearish iBOS. Price has printed bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ with strong high remaining protected. Price to target weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD 8/28/2024 Has the price started a new trend? Looking at H1, we see a completed 5-wave structure followed by a correction structure. Currently, we have 2 possibilities that can happen with the current price structure Case 1, we have a Flat correction structure with peak B equal to peak 5 as shown on the chart. Then we need to wait for the price to complete wave C to be able to trade. In this case, it is confirmed when the price breaks through the 2503.9 zone - Case 2 is that the price has completed the ABC correction wave at the 2503.9 price zone and the price is currently in a 5-wave uptrend structure. If so, we have the current correction wave as correction wave 2 in a new uptrend structure, then we expect the price to break through the 2526.6 zone to create a new higher peak. And this case is confirmed when the price breaks through 2526.6. Combining the possibilities we have the following trading targets. Pay special attention because the current price structure is still unclear, requiring us to manage the transaction closely. SELL ZONE: 2536 - 2539 SL: 2546 TP1: 2527 TP2: 2519 TP3: 2523 BUY ZONE: 2512 - 2509 SL: 2502 TP1: 2519 TP2: 2531 TP3: 2536 BUY ZONE: 2498 - 2495 SL: 2488 TP1: 2509 Tp2: 2519 TP3: 2531
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
Gold's retreat continuesSan Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said on Monday that the Fed must "carefully" complete its work to control inflation, noting that rising unemployment is increasingly becoming a risk. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee is still waiting for inflation to cool further, which is part of the process to open the door to rate cuts. Goolsbee told CNBC that he was "privately optimistic that we will see improvement in inflation" and that he was hopeful that the Fed would be "slightly more confident on inflation" and believed that pressure was declining after being higher than expected at the beginning of this year. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester still believes that the Fed needs to continue to actively sell mortgage bonds as part of its efforts to continue to reduce the size of its balance sheet. These bonds were purchased to restore market function and stimulate the economy after the outbreak of the new crown epidemic. As government debt continues to grow and geopolitical tensions remain intensified, more countries will reduce their investment in the US dollar. As investors wait for the Federal Reserve to launch a new round of easing cycle, the global gold spot market remains well supported, and central banks in many countries continue to buy gold and reduce their investment in the US dollar. Gold will be sensitive to US PCE data, but this will not stop its long-term upward trend. While waiting for the latest inflation data such as the PCE in May in the United States to be released on Friday, the gold market has fallen into a stable state. Technical analysis of gold: Yesterday, gold had a volatile downward trend, and the trend was completely under control, as everyone witnessed! Yesterday, gold opened at $2,321. In the morning, gold slightly retreated to $2,317 and then started a volatile rebound trend. The highest rebound in the European session touched the $2,332 line and then started a wave of decline. We also entered the market precisely at $2,331! Gold fell as expected, and the lowest decline in the European session touched the $2,320 line. We made a big profit on our short orders! Gold in the US market did not go out of a continued market, but continued to start a volatile trend. The range was $2,320 to $2,335 and ended in a volatile trend. It finally closed at $2,333. The daily line closed with a long lower shadow line. After this pattern ended, the current downward trend of gold remained unchanged. From the daily line pattern, the rebound will continue to give us a good opportunity to short! Gold rebounded yesterday, but the bull market is not sustainable. Gold is just a rebound. Gold has not reversed yet. The rebound in the morning continues to be short. Gold 2300 will eventually break. Let's wait and see! The moving average of the gold 1-hour chart is about to form a dead cross downward. Once the dead cross is formed, the gold shorts will also exert their strength. Gold 2300 will eventually be difficult to maintain and will be broken. Gold rebounded yesterday and was still under pressure from the 2335 resistance, and the moving average resistance also moved down to around 2336; gold rebounded in the morning and continued to short near the 2335 resistance. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is to focus on rebound shorting and callback longing. The short-term focus on the upper side is 2335-2341 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 2295-2306 support.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by Kevin-Traders
Will the price of gold still fall today?U.S. data released on Thursday showed that the number of Americans filing for initial jobless benefits in the week ended June 15 was 238,000, compared with expectations for 235,000. The pace of U.S. homebuilding fell to its slowest pace in four years in May as higher interest rates took some of the momentum out of the housing sector earlier this year. Data last week showed some easing in labor market and price pressures, while weak retail sales data released on Tuesday showed that economic activity remained sluggish in the second quarter. While the Federal Reserve is leaning toward one rate cut, market speculation suggests two cuts could come, driven by slowing inflation and cooling economic conditions. These factors have kept traders on their toes, awaiting upcoming economic reports for clearer clues. Precious metals bulls became more confident later in the week after data earlier this week showed weak U.S. retail sales. According to CME Fed's "FedWatch," traders are now pricing in about a 64% chance of a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Falling interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold as it does not earn interest. Rising geopolitical risks have helped gold prices rise. Tensions are rising in the Middle East as Israel threatens to launch an attack on Hezbollah in Lebanon. This, coupled with the recent agreement between Russia and North Korea, may increase the appeal of gold, which is currently trading near key resistance levels. Despite the rebound in the US dollar, gold prices still hit a new high this week. The Fed's expectations of a rate cut in September are good for gold. Geopolitical risks and political uncertainty in Europe also provide support for gold. Gold market trend analysis: Gold technical analysis: Gold has recently collapsed from the high of 2388, and fell to around 2287 to be supported. This week did not continue the decline, but rebounded with a slow and volatile rise. The next day, there was a continuous rise, successfully breaking the 2450-2388 downward channel, and the highest has returned to around 2365, and stabilized at the key point of 2342. Gold has currently broken through the key points of 2345-2355, and the 4-hour continuous rise has opened up the Bollinger upper rail space. The daily line also ended with a big rise, and the MA5-MA10 moving average maintained a golden cross. Short-term bulls have regained their upward momentum, and bullish sentiment is relatively optimistic. What needs attention is that today is Friday, beware of the sharp decline and the appearance of black swans. ​Yesterday, it was explained that the price of gold fell into the end of the triangular wedge consolidation. Sure enough, the price breakthrough ushered in a wave of accelerated rise. There is no pursuit of long prices. After the price rises, there will be a drop and then it will rise again. The price did not lose the key price of $2323 mentioned in the morning, so it will continue to rise. The price continued to rise in the second half of the period, and the hourly chart bulls rose in large volume. It is very certain that at present, under the premise of the bullish trend of the daily line in the medium term, the short-term price has left the line area. The next step is to pay attention to where this wave of bulls will rise! But for us, we only need to pay attention to the structure of the one-hour pattern. Only when the top pattern appears at the one-hour level in the future market can the end of this round of gains be established! On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is recommended to be mainly short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2365-2367 line resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2323-2326 line support.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by Kevin-Traders
XAUUSD:If it cannot break through the 2525-2531 range, go short Overall, gold's movement today hasn't been significant. After entering the resistance zone, it hasn't managed to break through. Currently, the 30-minute chart shows signs of turning bullish, while the 2-hour chart indicates that the bears are gaining momentum for an attack. So in tomorrow's trading, if the price lingers around the resistance level without breaking through for an extended period, there's a high probability of a larger drop compared to today's intraday decline. The trading strategy is quite straightforward: focus on the strong resistance area between 2525 and 2531. If weakness appears, go aggressively short, targeting below 2500.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mia-Signal