5/27 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood afternoon everyone!
Yesterday, gold fluctuated within the flexible trading zone, and we only executed a long entry near 3323, which brought decent profit.
Today, gold opened with an upward move toward 3350, but quickly pulled back. The recent market shows a sideways consolidation, with the $3340 level acting as a key pivot zone:
Below 3340: dense support areas
Above 3340: resistance clusters
In this context, any breakout without strong momentum can easily lead to capital flow shifts, causing false breakouts or rapid pullbacks, making trend continuation more difficult.
📉 Technical View:
On the 30M chart, bearish momentum slightly outweighs bullish, and gold is likely to remain range-bound within the zone defined yesterday.
🗞 Fundamental Reminder:
There are a few important U.S. economic releases during the NY session. Watch closely to see if they provide a clear directional push.
📈 Today’s Trading Plan:
📉 Sell in the 3366–3386 zone (resistance area)
📈 Buy in the 3278–3256 zone (support zone)
🔁 Flexible intraday levels to monitor:
3353 / 3341 / 3334 / 3317 / 3309 / 3296 / 3284
Trade with flexibility, beware of fake breakouts, and focus on NY session data-driven opportunities. Let me know if you have questions — good luck and happy trading!
Xauusdupdates
"XAUUSD Intraday Price Action – May 26, 2025"
Description:
"This 15-minute chart of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) highlights recent intraday movements with strong volatility and a potential bullish recovery after testing the 3340 support area. The chart is intended for educational and analytical purposes, helping traders observe key zones and price behavior."
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Let me know if you want to add trendlines, support/resistance levels, or labels on the chart before posting.
Bitcoin vs. Gold: Central Banks Pick Gold (Here's Why)
The debate over the ultimate store of value has been reignited in the digital age. For centuries, gold, the immutable yellow metal, has been the bedrock of wealth preservation, the trusted haven in times of turmoil, and a core component of central bank reserves. In the last decade, a new contender has emerged: Bitcoin, the pioneering cryptocurrency, often touted as "digital gold." Yet, as the dust settles on initial exuberance and institutional scrutiny intensifies, a clear preference is emerging from the world's most conservative financial institutions. Central banks, the guardians of national wealth and financial stability, are overwhelmingly demonstrating their continued faith in gold, signaling that when it comes to the ultimate safe reserve, tradition and tangibility still trump technological novelty.
The evidence for this preference is not merely anecdotal; it's etched in the consistent and accelerating trend of global gold accumulation by these institutions. In recent years, central banks have been on a gold buying spree, a phenomenon driven by a confluence of potent global factors. The shifting geopolitical landscape, characterized by increased tensions, trade disputes, and a move towards a more multipolar world, has spurred a desire for assets that are not tied to any single nation's political or economic fortunes. Policies emanating from major economic powers, including periods of heightened trade protectionism and shifting global alliances, have historically fanned uncertainty, prompting a flight to assets perceived as universally valuable and politically neutral – a role gold has fulfilled for millennia.
Furthermore, concerns over the long-term value of major fiat currencies, particularly the U.S. dollar which has long dominated global reserves, are playing a significant role. Persistent fiscal deficits, expanding sovereign debt levels, and unprecedented monetary stimulus measures in various countries have led to an undercurrent of apprehension about potential currency devaluation. In such an environment, central banks are actively seeking to diversify their holdings and hedge against the erosion of purchasing power. Gold, with its intrinsic value and finite supply, offers a compelling alternative to holding ever-increasing amounts of fiat currency, whose value can be diluted by policy decisions. This strategic de-dollarization, or at least a diversification away from dollar-centric reserves, sees gold as a primary beneficiary. It is a tangible asset that sits outside the traditional financial system, offering a layer of insulation from the counterparty risks inherent in holding other nations' currencies or debt.
In stark contrast to this institutional embrace of gold stands Bitcoin. While proponents champion its decentralized nature, its mathematically enforced scarcity, and its potential as an inflation hedge, its inherent characteristics currently make it a challenging proposition for central bank reserves. The most glaring issue is its extreme volatility. Bitcoin's price history is a rollercoaster of meteoric rises and precipitous falls. For an individual retail investor, this volatility might be a tolerable, even attractive, risk in pursuit of outsized returns. However, for a central bank, whose primary mandate includes capital preservation and maintaining financial stability, such wild price swings are anathema. Reserve assets must be relatively stable, liquid, and dependable. Bitcoin, in its current state, struggles to meet these criteria consistently. A significant allocation to Bitcoin could expose a nation's reserves to sudden and substantial losses, undermining public trust and potentially destabilizing its financial position.
This volatility poses a tangible risk, not just theoretically, but as observed in the experiences of investors globally, including those in the U.S. While some have reaped fortunes, many others have faced considerable losses due to ill-timed investments or the market's unpredictable nature. Institutional investors, including those in the U.S., while showing increasing interest in Bitcoin as a speculative asset class or a small part of a diversified portfolio, still largely treat it with caution. The kind of deep, unwavering institutional trust that gold commands – built over centuries of proven performance as a store of value and a crisis hedge – has yet to be earned by Bitcoin. Gold’s market is deep, liquid, and well-understood, with established clearing and settlement mechanisms. Bitcoin's market infrastructure, while maturing, is still relatively nascent and fragmented compared to the centuries-old gold market.
Beyond volatility, other factors hinder Bitcoin's adoption as a mainstream reserve asset for central banks. Regulatory uncertainty remains a significant hurdle. The global regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies is a patchwork of differing approaches, with some nations embracing innovation while others impose strict controls or outright bans. For central banks, which operate within stringent legal and regulatory frameworks, this lack of global consensus and clarity is a major deterrent. The operational risks associated with custody and security of digital assets at a sovereign scale are also non-trivial. While blockchain technology is inherently secure, managing private keys for billions of dollars' worth of Bitcoin requires sophisticated and untested protocols for institutions of this nature.
Furthermore, the narrative of Bitcoin as "digital gold" sometimes overlooks fundamental differences. Gold is a physical commodity with diverse industrial and cultural uses, providing a baseline of demand beyond its monetary role. It is universally recognized and accepted, transcending technological barriers. Bitcoin’s value is derived primarily from its network effects, its code, and investor belief in its future utility and adoption. While powerful, these are different underpinnings than the tangible reality of physical gold bullion held in a central bank's vault.
The actions of central banks speak volumes. While a handful of smaller nations or entities might experiment with Bitcoin, the overwhelming majority of major central banks, those that collectively manage the bulk of global reserves, have either remained silent on Bitcoin or have issued cautious warnings, all while steadily increasing their physical gold holdings. This isn't to say that Bitcoin has no future role or value. It may well continue to evolve as a speculative asset, a niche store of value for some, or a technology platform for new financial applications. However, the idea that it is poised to usurp gold's position in the vaults of central banks appears premature, if not fundamentally misguided, given its current attributes.
In conclusion, the debate between Bitcoin and gold as the preferred store of value and reserve asset has a clear, if perhaps unexciting, winner in the eyes of the world's central banks. Faced with geopolitical instability, the specter of dollar devaluation, and the enduring need for reliable safe-haven assets, these institutions are doubling down on gold. Its long history, proven stability, tangibility, and lack of counterparty risk resonate deeply with their conservative mandates. Bitcoin's volatility, regulatory ambiguity, and operational complexities, while potentially surmountable in the distant future, currently render it unsuitable for the core reserve holdings of nations. While U.S. investors and others may grapple with Bitcoin's risk-reward profile, central banks have largely made their choice, and that choice, for now and the foreseeable future, remains firmly with the ancient, trusted allure of gold.
Gold Pullback as Expected, Range Trading ContinuesAs I clearly stated last Friday, key resistances are located at 3366 and the stronger zone between 3376–3391. On Friday, the price peaked near 3366 without touching the second resistance band, followed by a pullback — a natural result of recent buying pressure being released and previous trapped positions being closed out.
🎯 Congratulations to those who carefully followed and executed the strategy — you should have captured solid profits from this retracement!
🔍 Current Technical Outlook:
✅ A wave of selling has already been absorbed. Now we watch:
Support strength — if key levels hold, scalping on dips remains valid;
Rebound momentum — short-term indicators favor a bounce, though medium-term structures are still being repaired;
Focus zone: 3355–3357 is a newly created gap resistance, critical for today’s action;
Previously broken supports (3346–3338 and 3324–3318) now serve as resistance and should be watched during any upside attempt.
📈 Trading Strategy:
Today’s price range is relatively contained — stick to selling near resistance, buying near support. If there are any major changes or new developments, I’ll update everyone in time.
5/26 Gold Trading SignalsGood afternoon everyone!
I just returned from a weekend trip and apologize for the late update today — thank you all for your patience and continued support!
Gold has shown mild downward movement in a one-sided consolidation pattern today. This is a technical pullback after reaching a key resistance zone, reflecting selling pressure at higher levels. Today is Memorial Day in the U.S., which explains the low volatility and reduced trading volume.
🔎 Technical Outlook:
Once gold reached around 3360, it entered a significant resistance zone. If bulls intend to maintain the current uptrend, then the support around 3272 will be a critical level during this pullback. Before that, we should also keep an eye on 3322, 3318, and 3298.
On the 2-hour chart, a bearish divergence has formed, which needs to be resolved, possibly through sideways consolidation or a further pullback.
🗞 Fundamental Outlook:
The news is relatively quiet today, but important economic data and speeches will begin tomorrow, which may trigger larger market moves.
📈 Today’s Trading Plan:
📉 Sell in the 3352–3368 zone (resistance area)
📈 Buy in the 3292–3272 zone (support zone)
🔁 Flexible intraday levels to watch:
3348 / 3332 / 3323 / 3312 / 3305 / 3296
Stay flexible and manage risk accordingly. If you have any questions or want to discuss your trading strategy, feel free to reach out. Wishing everyone a smooth and profitable session!
Here is the trend of gold prices in the next three weeks!The hourly level trend indicates that the current support position is 3310-3320. And it is the retracement position after the downward trend is broken. It is also a small retracement point after the rebound.
At present, the news trend is basically mixed, offsetting each other. However, in the following period, the growth of risk aversion will boost the rise of XAUUSD, and geopolitics is also an important influencing factor.
Short-term buying opportunities are considered at 3325-3300. The short-term target focuses on the pressure of 3375-3400.
Remember the core of swing trading. Follow the wave of trading. Do not trade independently to avoid losses. If you are not sure about the trading opportunity. Remember to leave me a message in the swing trading center.
Gold Eyes Breakout or Breakdown: All Eyes on PCE and FOMCTVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) surged above $3,350 last week, boosted by safe-haven flows following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating and rising geopolitical tensions. Concerns over U.S. debt sustainability, weak dollar sentiment, and renewed trade risks kept investor demand for gold elevated.
Technically, gold is currently trading within an ascending channel. Price is now hovering near a key resistance zone around $3,364, while the $3,324 breakout level below may act as pivotal support. A pullback below this level could expose downside risk toward the lower channel boundary. Meanwhile, a sustained break above resistance may invite further bullish momentum toward $3,400.
This week, attention turns to key U.S. data including FOMC minutes, Q1 GDP, and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — core PCE. Any upside surprise in inflation may weigh on gold, while geopolitical headlines and fiscal uncertainty are likely to continue supporting the upside.
Resistance : $3,364 , $3,400
Support : $3,324 , $3,315
Rebound after hitting bottomToday, gold opened at a low of 3331 and rebounded, and reached a high of 3356 and then stepped back to adjust. The overall trend is the same as our weekend analysis. Last week, the overall technical side of gold continued to fluctuate upward with bullish momentum. The daily level repeatedly tested and stabilized at the 3200 mark at the beginning of the week, ushering in a bullish upward momentum. On Friday, it continued to fluctuate upward with bullish momentum relying on the 3280 mark throughout the day, forming a reverse medium-sized positive. The daily K-line closed with a shock upward breakout of the medium-sized positive. The overall gold price continued to fluctuate upward with bullish momentum in the short term, and it is still bullish.
From the 4-hour market analysis, pay attention to the 3378-80 line of suppression on the top, pay attention to the 3320-25 line of short-term support on the bottom, and focus on the 3300-3306 line of support. Rely on this range to maintain the main tone of low-multiple participation temporarily. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long on gold when it falls back to 3320-3325, stop loss 3307, target 3366-3370, break to see 3378-85
Gold Buy Chart setup Xauusd Parallel Channel in 15M
Each candlestick represents 15 minutes of price action.
Instrument: Gold Spot vs US Dollar (XAUUSD).
2. Price Channel:
The price is moving within a descending channel (highlighted in blue), which indicates a short-term downtrend.
The upper boundary (resistance) and lower boundary (support) define the range.
3. Current Price:
As of the latest data, the price is around $3,333
Gold bulls advance as expected Mainly go long on pullback.Today, gold opened lower and fell, reaching the lowest level of 3331. Then the bulls exerted their strength, reaching the highest level of 3356 and then adjusted back. The overall trend was highly consistent with the expected judgment. Looking back at the market last week, the technical side of gold continued the bullish pattern, and the oscillating upward trend was significant. From the daily level, the price repeatedly tested around the 3200 mark at the beginning of the week, and finally stabilized successfully, laying a solid foundation for the bull market. On Friday, it was supported by the 3280 mark, continuing the strong oscillating upward trend, forming a reverse middle Yang pattern, and the daily K line closed with an oscillating upward break of the middle Yang, fully demonstrating the short-term bullish pattern of gold prices, and bullish expectations continued to heat up.
Based on the current gold trend analysis, the focus below is on the 3330-3320 range support, and the focus above is on the 3380-3400 resistance. In terms of overall strategy, the bullish thinking is maintained before breaking 3320 to avoid blindly guessing the top.
XAUUSD While the GBPJPY trade is still active, I’ve also spotted a new opportunity on XAUUSD and have entered a sell position. I'm sharing the trade here for traders who may want to take it as well.
🔍 Trade Details:
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1 / 1:1.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 3329.64
✔️ Take Profit: 3324.68
✔️ Stop Loss: 3334.59
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
XAU/USD Approaching Key Support Zone Inside Descending ChannelGold (XAU/USD) is currently trading within a descending channel on the 15-minute timeframe. Price has recently touched the lower boundary of the channel and is hovering near a key horizontal support level around 3322–3325. A reaction from this area could lead to a potential bounce toward the upper channel resistance.
Price is forming lower highs and lower lows, respecting the descending trend lines.
Key support zone: 3322–3325
Resistance to watch: Around 3346
Trade idea shows a favorable risk-to-reward setup with clearly defined entry, stop, and target levels.
Monitoring for a potential breakout or rejection at current levels.
How to plan for gold price box fluctuations🗞News side:
1. The situation between Russia and Ukraine escalated again
2. Israel in the Gaza Strip was once again criticized by the international community
📈Technical aspects:
After gold opened lower today, it fell into a small box-shaped shock in the short term. It seems that the situation in Russia and Ukraine and the Middle East over the weekend did not have further impact on the gold price. The gold daily level closed with a positive line again, injecting new vitality into the trading space last week. These two rounds of rise not only successfully crossed the resistance level of 3250 last Monday, but also further broke through the suppression of 3320, showing a clear upward trend. The current volatility is more like a correction after breaking through the previous high! Last Friday, the price failed to break through the 3370 line several times and encountered resistance continuously, which shows that the pressure from above is still relatively strong! Due to the particularity of today's market trading, the technical side of the hourly chart shows a downward trend. The European session temporarily focuses on the 3350-3355 line resistance, and the 3330-3320 support is seen below.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD M15 Intraday Chart For 26 May 2025GOLD M15 Intraday Chart just posted as you can see that there are important zone
right now market is in range so you can do couple of scalping trades in Support & Resistance range
furthermore there are 2 breakout scenarios mentioned, kindly check carefully then trade
Remember Trade always with SL
Critical Resistance Ahead–Will Gold Confirm the Bullish Reversal🔶 What happened last week on Gold (XAUUSD)?
Last week was an excellent one for Gold bulls – the price surged by nearly 1500 pips, fully recovering the drop from the 12–16 May week.
Looking at the chart, the decline from the last ATH at 3500 appears clearly corrective, forming a classic ABC 3-wave pattern which now seems complete.
Gold is currently testing a major confluence resistance zone, aligned with:
• The 17 April ATH
• The end-of-April resistance
• And the early May support
Also worth noting: this week’s breakout above resistance followed the formation of an ascending triangle, which is typically bullish.
________________________________________
❓ Key question – Will the bullish move continue, or will price reject from here?
________________________________________
🔍 Why a bullish continuation is probable:
1. The ABC corrective structure seems to have ended.
2. Price broke out after an ascending triangle – a bullish signal.
3. The broader structure still leans bullish after the ATH at 3500.
________________________________________
⚠️ But this resistance zone is critical:
• Without a clear breakout above 3360 zone, bulls don’t have full control.
• A drop below 3300 would shift momentum back to the bears, with 3360 becoming a potential lower high.
________________________________________
🧭 My Trading Plan:
✅ I favor a bullish scenario, aiming for:
• 3430
• 3500 (ATH retest)
❌ This outlook gets invalidated if price falls below 3300 – in that case, I’ll reassess for more downside.
________________________________________
🚀 The market must confirm the direction. We’re just here to read the map.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Bearish Setup for Gold (XAU/USD)
Current Price: ~3,334 USD
• Expected Move: Short-term rise to 3,380–3,390, then a strong drop.
Reasoning:
• Completing an Elliott Wave triangle (E wave) at resistance.
• Harmonic pattern (Gartley/Bat) aligns with this reversal zone.
• Resistance lies within a descending channel.
• Bearish Target: ~3,050–3,030
• Trade Setup: Consider shorting near 3,380–3,390 with stops above 3,400.
TVC:GOLD
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
XAU/USD 26-30 May 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025.
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher-highs in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a shortened blue dotted horizontal line.
The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and potential repricing of Gold.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
Swing -> Bullish.
Internal -> Bullish.
Analysis and Bias remains the same as Analysis dated 11 May 2025.
Since my last weekly analysis price has finally printed a bearish CHoCH.
This is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Price should now technically trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s continued dovish stance, coupled with escalating geopolitical uncertainties, is expected to sustain elevated market volatility, influencing both intraday and broader trend developments.
Additionally, price action may be further shaped by U.S. policy decisions, including measures enacted under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic policymaking could introduce further uncertainty, contributing to the ongoing repricing dynamics within the gold market.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
#XAUUSD: +2000 Pips Correction US-China Trade Deal ConfirmedGold has experienced a significant decline in recent days, primarily due to fundamental market factors that have caused its price to fall from 3430 to 3209, resulting in a loss of approximately 2210 pips. Consequently, we recommend that you consider selling Gold if it aligns with your analysis and assessment. It is imperative that you implement strict risk management measures while trading Gold.
It is important to note that this analysis does not guarantee a price decline or that the market will behave as described. Therefore, we strongly advise you to conduct thorough trade planning before making any trading decisions.
We extend our sincere gratitude for your unwavering support over the years.
Our primary objective is to assist you in making well-informed decisions. Therefore, we encourage you to contact us if you have any inquiries or require further information.
Additionally, we would be delighted to receive your insights on which cryptocurrency pair you would like to explore next. Please do not hesitate to share your preferences.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx_
XAUUSD[GOLD]: Another Possible Swing Sell Happening! Swing MoveGold rejected twice as we had described in our last two analyses on Gold. We remain heavily bearish on Gold and expect a swift bearish move within the next week or following week. We are eyeing two targets. Please use this analysis accordingly and avoid overtrading. This is not a confirmation, and do not use the marked arrow as an entry or exit point. The marked red area drawn there represents a potential reversal zone from which price may reverse.
As always, this analysis does not guarantee that price will move as described in the chart. Please use your own knowledge and trading plan while trading Gold. Good luck and trade safely.
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XAUUSD[GOLD]: 1 Hour View Show Extreme Seller Volume Gold in a shorter time frame shows extreme bearish volume kicking in the market, where bulls are failing to push prices higher. Additionally, if you’re someone who analyses patterns, a HEAD AND SHOULDERS pattern has also formed. There are three targets you can aim for.
We extend our best wishes and good luck in your trading endeavours. Your unwavering support is greatly appreciated.
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