XAUUSD: Can the rebound last? Where to enterYesterday, when most people in the market were still bearish, I clearly pointed out that gold had a bottom divergence pattern and bought in the 2605-2615 area. Friends who followed the copy signal made a lot of profit!
The most important data this week are yesterday's CPI and initial jobless claims data. Among them, the CPI data all exceeded expectations. The data did not meet expectations, which was bearish at first glance, but you can analyze it yourself. You can compare the previous value with the published value, which is bullish for gold. In addition, the number of initial and continued unemployment claims rose sharply at the same time, reflecting the signs of weakness in the US job market.
The trend of gold prices also fell to the 2605 support level after the data was released, and then rose rapidly. The current highest price is 2647 US dollars.
From the chart, the current support area is in the 2624-2630 area, and the upper resistance is near 2653, which is also the 0.618 position of the Fibonacci retracement.
Now the price is running at 2637. When the price runs between the support and resistance, everyone knows that I will not participate because the risk is relatively large.
Therefore, today I will give you two options for your reference, and I will implement them when the time comes.
The first option is to wait for a pullback to the 2624-2630 support area and buy bullishly. The upper target is 2640-2645 first, followed by 2660-2670
The second option is to choose to short near 2653, with the target of 2630-2624, followed by 2605
Whichever one arrives first, I will resolutely implement it, and I think the possibility of the second one is not great, so I am more optimistic about the first option, and what about you?
Xauusdupdates
Gold Price Rally Continues: The Safe Haven InvestmentGold prices have been experiencing a consistent upward trend. This move has further solidified gold's position as a sought-after investment, particularly during economic uncertainty. As prices continue to hit new records, the yellow metal remains an attractive asset for investors seeking both security and potential returns.
The allure of gold as a safe-haven investment is well-established. In periods of market volatility or economic turmoil, investors often turn to gold as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation. Its physical nature, unlike stocks or bonds, provides a tangible asset that can be held onto during times of crisis. Additionally, gold's limited supply and increasing demand from emerging markets have contributed to its upward price trend.
Beyond its role as a haven, gold has also been gaining popularity as an investment asset. Many investors view gold as a long-term store of value, believing that its price will appreciate over time. While there are periods of volatility, the overall trend has been upward, particularly in recent years. Gold can also be a diversifier in an investment portfolio, helping reduce overall risk.
The continued rise in gold prices has also spurred interest in gold-backed investments. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the price of gold have become increasingly popular, offering investors a convenient and liquid way to invest in the precious metal. These ETFs can be bought and sold on stock exchanges, making them accessible to more investors.
However, it's important to note that investing in gold is not without its risks. While gold has historically been a good hedge against inflation, there are no guarantees of future price appreciation. Economic conditions, geopolitical events, and changes in investor sentiment can all impact the price of gold. Investors need to do their research and consider their risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
In conclusion, gold continues to be a highly sought-after investment asset. Its reputation as a safe haven, coupled with recent price increases and the reduction in customs rates, has made it even more appealing to investors. Whether as a hedge against inflation, a long-term store of value, or a diversifier in an investment portfolio, gold offers a unique set of benefits. However, it's important to approach gold investing with a long-term perspective and a thorough understanding of the risks involved.
Gold Retracement Opportunity: Targeting Key Fib Levels!Currently, Gold (XAU/USD) is poised for a potential retracement towards the 0.5 FibCloud level after covering all the price imbalances. We have key targets mapped out with multiple take-profit (TP) levels as the price retraces. Technically, we are seeing a well-formed structure, with price rejection near the upper channel resistance, and the overall trend indicating a likely pullback to mitigate recent upward movement.
Key technical levels :
• TP1: 2,634
• TP2: 2,628
• TP3: 2,620
Risk Management:
This trade setup provides favorable risk-reward metrics, but it’s essential to maintain disciplined risk management. Stop loss (SL) is placed just above the upper boundary near recent highs to minimize downside exposure. It is advisable to take partials as the price hits respective TP levels, securing profits while reducing exposure. Be prepared to adjust stop losses to break-even or beyond as the trade moves in our favor, ensuring we protect capital and lock in gains.
Conclusion :
This trade offers a strategic entry for traders looking to capitalize on a potential gold retracement, given the technical alignment and FibCloud setup. As always, risk management is key in navigating market volatility, especially during news-sensitive periods.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailGold prices took a hit after a stronger-than-expected US jobs report, signalling a resilient labour market and likely gradual Federal Reserve (Fed) policy easing with 25-basis-point rate cuts. This data boosted the US 10-year Treasury yield by 12 basis points to 3.971%, putting downward pressure on XAUUSD.
Next week’s key events include the US inflation data, jobless claims, and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment report. Plus, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could offer support to gold prices as conflicts involving Hezbollah, Iran, Israel, and the US unfold.
Can gold challenge the $2,700 mark this week?
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
This week, we're focusing on the $2,630 zone. This could be a make-or-break point. If gold stays above this zone: Bulls might maintain control, potentially pushing prices higher and setting up new highs. If gold drops below the zone, Bears might gain the upper hand in an attempt to retrace into the structure-support line of the ascending channel. Join me as we explore these factors and potential opportunities in the gold market. Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for the latest analysis and insights!
📌 Follow my journey as I map out the next moves in this dynamic market!
#GoldMarket #FedRateCuts #USData #GoldTrading #ForexAnalysis #GoldForecast #EconomicOutlook #TradingStrategies #InvestingInGold #MarketUpdates📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAU/USD 11 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Intraday expectation/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 October 2024.
Analysis dated 06 October 2024 was accurate, with price targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low.
CHoCH positioning is still quite a distance from current price, so it’s possible that price may print new lows to bring CHoCH closer to current price.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate the initiation of a bullish pullback phase, keeping the above scenario in mind.
I advise caution due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's dovish stance. However, we will remain systematic in our approach.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Intraday expectation/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 October 2024.
Analysis (08 October 2024) was accurate, with price pulling back, printing a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), reacting at the premium of the 50% internal equilibrium (EQ), and then targeting weak internal low, ultimately printing a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Price is likely to react at the premium of the 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD 10/11/2024 Will gold price drop further?
Looking at H1 we see
- The price has re-entered the 2624 zone, which is the bottom zone of wave W, so we have the necessary conditions to say that the correction trend has ended
- The sufficient condition for the trend to end is when the price breaks through the peak zone of wave X, which is the 2674 zone
- In the case when the price continues to go below the 2624 zone, we will have the correction trend has not ended because then the price is likely to continue to decrease to the next target zone, which is the 2591 zone and the 2571 zone
About the intraday trading plan
We rely on the Volumprofie zone to determine potential supply and demand zones
- In this price zone, we have two potential demand zones, the 2624 - 2621 price zone and the 2613 - 2610 price zone, which will be our BUY target
- We also have two major supply zones, the 2648 - 2651 zone and the zone 2670 - 2673 is the zone we use to SELL
Specific trading plan
SELL ZONE: 2648 - 2651
SL: 2643
TP1: 2637
TP2: 2624
SELL ZONE: 2670 - 2673
SL: 2680
TP 1: 2662
TP2: 2653
BUY ZONE 2624 - 2621
SL: 2619
TP1: 2637
TP2: 2653
BUY ZONE: 2613 - 2610
SL: 2603
TP1: 2624
TP2: 2637
Gold has a bottom divergence, buy at the low todayThe US dollar continued to rise this week and has now risen to a two-month high. Gold also fell for the sixth consecutive trading day yesterday, and the lowest point of 2605 was tested many times, but it still did not fall below.
Therefore, from the current trend, it is not possible to continue to short, because the support of the 2605 line is very strong, and after the precipitation of the past few days, the short-selling force has also weakened a lot.
At the same time, it can be seen from the figure that the price trend is falling, but the MACD indicator is continuing to strengthen, which obviously forms a bottom divergence pattern, which is a bullish signal.
From the 1H chart, the upper suppression point is in the 2630-2640 area, and the lower support is 2605-2615.
So today's trading strategy is to buy in the support area and target the upper resistance area
CPI data is coming, are you ready to make money?Technical analysis of gold: Gold daily line recorded a big negative again, which is very weak from the perspective of the shape, especially after breaking the 2630 low support and closing at a low level. In terms of the daily line, the five consecutive negative lines in the daily line structure are unfavorable for the development of bulls, especially yesterday's daily line closed with a big negative, which further aggravated the need for adjustment at the daily level, and the price was under pressure below the short-term moving average. The moving averages of other periods maintained a short-term arrangement. The short-term indicators were downward and the volume increased, and the bears had the advantage. At the 4-hour level of gold, the short-term moving average continued the bearish divergence pattern and maintained downward. It is currently running above the lower Bollinger track, and there is no sign of bottoming out for the time being; at the same time, there is a trend of forming a dead cross. If it forms, the downward space will be further opened; the hourly level is currently maintained in a low narrow range of fluctuations, and the strength of the intraday rebound is relatively small. Pay attention to the possible secondary downward trend after the small adjustment and repair is completed. On the whole, He suggests that today's short-term operation strategy for gold should be mainly shorting on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2622-2627 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2600-2595 line of support.
Gold fluctuates downward and shorts profitThe minutes of the Federal Reserve's September monetary policy meeting revealed deeper divisions at the Fed. Although only one person, Fed Governor Bowman, voted against the decision, the minutes showed that there were more divisions among policymakers than the nearly unanimous decision would indicate. The Fed cut its benchmark policy rate by 50 basis points in the minutes of its September 17-18 meeting, which noted that the pace of future rate cuts would not be determined by an initial large rate cut. Powell encountered some resistance in pushing the Fed to make a decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, as more than one of his colleagues advocated only a 25 basis point cut in interest rates. However, geopolitical tensions remain, helping gold prices to stay above the 2,600 mark. Investors now await the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data to be released on Thursday to further understand the interest rate outlook. Now, traders' attention shifts to the US CPI data to be released on Thursday. The market estimates that inflation will continue to decline. However, if inflation is higher than expected, this will open the door for the Fed to pause its easing cycle. In addition, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States will also be released on this trading day, and investors also need to pay attention to it; in addition, continue to pay attention to the speeches of Federal Reserve officials and news related to the geopolitical situation.
Gold technical analysis: Gold fell again yesterday, and the daily line is currently 6 consecutive negatives. It ran below 2620 for most of the trading day yesterday. Overall, it fell below the 20-day moving average, and the 5-day moving average is currently running below the 10-day moving average. The moving average diverges downward, and we continue to maintain a short position. Today, Thursday, the US CPI data was released. While gold remains bearish, it needs to pay attention to the support below. It is expected that the market will have a short-term directional choice. Why do I say that? The daily chart shows that the current short-term trend line is just around the 2600 mark; the market has fallen from 2685, and it has fallen by basically 80 US dollars. Whether it will continue to fall further, or stop falling and rebound and then fall again, it is expected that there will be a result today.
In terms of short-term gold operation ideas today, Jin Shengfu recommends shorting on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2622-2624 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2600-2604 line of support.
XAU/USD 10 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Intraday expectation/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 09 October 2024.
Analysis dated 06 October 2024 was accurate, with price targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low.
CHoCH positioning is still quite a distance from current price, so it’s possible that price may print new lows to bring CHoCH closer to current price.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate the initiation of a bullish pullback phase, keeping the above scenario in mind.
I advise caution due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's dovish stance. However, we will remain systematic in our approach.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Intraday expectation/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 09 October 2024.
Analysis (08 October 2024) was accurate, with price pulling back, printing a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), reacting at the premium of the 50% internal equilibrium (EQ), and then targeting weak internal low, ultimately printing a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Price is likely to react at the premium of the 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD 10/10/2024 correction is over?
Looking at H1 we see that the price is in a complex correction pattern WXY
During a complex correction, trying to label the waves accurately is very difficult and not feasible for real trading. Instead, we look for potential targets for the end of the corrective wave
I measure the end target of wave Y at 2 price zones, which are the 2589 - 2586 zone and the 2575 - 2572 price zone, which is also the price zone where we set the BUY target
Looking at the sideway price zone, we see that in this zone, there are 2 large supply zones, which are the 2639 - 2642 zone and the 3670 - 2673 zone, which will also be our SELL target zone
At the moment, my expectation is to catch the bottom of the upcoming uptrend, so we will pay special attention to the BUY zones
Trading plan
BUY ZONE: 2589 - 2586
SL: 2584
TP1: 2606
TP2: 2622
TP3: 2661
BUY ZONE: 2575 - 2572
SL: 2565
TP1: 2585
TP2: 2606
TP3: 2661
SELL ZONE: 2639 - 2642
SL: 2650
TP1: 2625
TP2: 2606
TP3: 2594
SELL ZONE: 2670 - 2673
SL: 2680
TP1: 2662
TP2: 2641
TP3: 2625
XAUUSD BUY WEEKLY FORECAST Here on Xauusd price has been in uptrend and there is a chance of making pull back before continue it uptrend movement so is expected to go LONG around level of 2621.069 - 2612.742 and now target a profit of 2637.015,2662.358 and 2680.748 with stoploss of 2598.170 . Use money management
XAUUSD WEEKLY FORECAST |BUY @ 2621.069 - 2612.742
SL 2598.170
TP1 2637.015
TP2 2662.358
TP3 2680.748
#XAUUSD 4HBased on the current 4-hour analysis, we’ve identified two key zones for potential swing-long positions on #XAUUSD:
1. 2600.00 - 2695.00**
2. 2558.00 - 2560.00
At this stage, it’s best not to place any limit orders. Instead, wait for solid **bullish confirmation** before entering any positions.
Time to swing!
Has gold seen bottom? Can we continue to be bearish?
Yesterday I clearly suggested shorting at 2648, and 2630 was not the short-term bottom. The final result was in line with expectations and unexpected, because the gold price plummeted by nearly $50, not only reaching our target of 2615, but also reaching the lowest point of 2604. I believe that friends who follow the trading strategy have made a lot of money. Congratulations!
Let's get back to the point. Because the market's bets on the Fed's sharp interest rate cuts have faded and most of the market's positions have chosen to take profits, gold fell sharply by nearly $50 during the US trading session yesterday, with the short-term low reaching 2604, and then the decline narrowed. As of now, it has remained around 2620 for consolidation.
From the gold daily chart, although the lowest point reached 2604, the final closing price was above 2620, just when the daily MA20 daily moving average position was held, and there was no effective break.
So since the lower support has not broken, we cannot directly choose to continue shorting today. Instead, we have to wait for the rebound power to be consumed before going short, and the upper suppression area will be a good choice.
From the 1H chart, the previous support of 2630 has now turned into resistance, and the same is true for the 2640 line. Therefore, today we need to observe the resistance situation in the 2630-2640 area. Once there is a sign of reversal here, I think it is an opportunity to short.
If there are any latest changes in transaction details, I will update you in time in the channel. If you are interested, you can enter below.
XAU/USD 09 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis dated 06 October 2024 was accurate, with price targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low.
CHoCH positioning is still quite a distance from current price, so it’s possible that price may print new lows to bring CHoCH closer to current price.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate the initiation of a bullish pullback phase, keeping the above scenario in mind.
I advise caution due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's dovish stance. However, we will remain systematic in our approach.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Yesterday's analysis (08 October 2024) was accurate, with price pulling back, printing a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), reacting at the premium of the 50% internal equilibrium (EQ), and then targeting weak internal low, ultimately printing a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Price is likely to react at the premium of the 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD GOLD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀👉 XAUUSD (Gold) has been under selling pressure recently, presenting a possible short-term day trading opportunity. In this video, we’ll analyze the price action, examine the prevailing trend and market structure, and discuss a potential trade setup. Risk Disclaimer: Trading Forex involves significant risk, and market conditions can change rapidly. The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. 📉✅
XAUUSD: Double Top/Head and Shoulders
From a broader perspective, gold currently resembles a head and shoulders pattern. However, if we focus on a smaller scale, it appears to be forming a double top. For now, we will base our market analysis on this smaller pattern to guide our trades.
Typically, after a double top forms, a rebound often follows. This is one of the primary reasons why I recommended a buy position before yesterday's close. When bullish momentum is strong, the price tends to rebound towards or even above the resistance level. In cases of weaker bullish strength, the rebound peak may fall below or only reach the resistance level.
Given the current state of the market, the bulls still hold decent power, making it likely that the rebound will test or even surpass the resistance zone around 2629-2638. This area can be considered as a potential exit point for long positions and an ideal entry point for shorts.
For short positions, the initial target can be around 2596, which was a previous resistance level during the uptrend. The mid-term target aligns with the low formed during the left shoulder of the head and shoulders pattern, around 2558. The final target would be near 2518, the starting point of the head and shoulders formation.
Every trader has their own preferred strategy, but the key is to align with the overall trend. Even if short-term volatility creates challenging situations, staying patient and trusting the broader market direction will lead to success in the end. The process may involve several tests, but perseverance and timing are crucial.
Gold 2630-2638 Range Is Good For Shorting
After a significant rally, gold has finally retraced to the 2600 level. If you’ve been following my recent analysis, you should have already taken advantage of this move.
Yesterday, my strategy was to short at 2648, closing near 2618, while recommending a long position near 2610 with a target range of 2620-2628. This approach played out perfectly, securing notable profits.
Gold is now hovering around the MA20, where resistance is expected to be minor. The key resistance zone lies between 2632-2638, close to the MA60. While it may not reach this level, the current rebound is not over yet.
If it reaches the MA60 region, it will present an ideal shorting opportunity with at least $10 of downside potential.
Successful trading always relies on strong signals—don’t you agree?