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XAUUSD: As long as it doesn’t break 2600, boldly sellYesterday's gold market was really frightening. First, the Federal Reserve announced an interest rate of 50 basis points, which was higher than market expectations. The price of gold rose from 2567 to 2600, setting a new historical high again. Then Powell's speech showed hesitation and uncertainty, and pointed out that the Fed was not in a hurry to cut interest rates. It would proceed at a suitable pace or slow during the interest rate cut cycle. This dovish speech led to a decline in investors' attractiveness to gold. The gold price plummeted from 2600 by $50 and stabilized the decline in the 2550-2560 range. However, since the 50 basis point interest rate cut is already on the table, the Federal Reserve has launched a monetary easing policy and the first rate cut is larger than before. This makes the market believe that there may be another 50-100 basis point interest rate cut before the end of this year. Therefore, gold is now back again The high area of 2590. Although there is still the possibility of interest rate cuts before the end of the year, I think that is a long-term problem, and for us who are short-term traders, it is not the focus of attention. From the market point of view, after yesterday's sharp decline that started at 2600, the shape of gold has changed, and it is in line with the short-term peak signal. Therefore, my view on the current gold is that it is bearish in the short term and bullish in the long term. Trading strategy: Now the gold price has reached the high range of 2600-2590. As long as it does not set a new high again, you can boldly sell here
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AntonyTP
11
XAU/USD 20 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Despite price printing it's first indication of bearish pullback phase initiation, price continued bullish. Recent economic data and geopolitical tensions, have influenced market sentiment such as the Fed's recent interest rate decision (reduction) which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price is expected to remain highly volatile. From a structural perspective, price is within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line Intraday expectation: Due to volatility, price could continue bullish, however, price could also initiate bearish pullback, therefore, I will be standing by. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price did not meet yesterday's intraday with price printing a bullish BOS following reaction from discount of internal 50% EQ. Fed rate decision to increase rates by 50bps along with geopolitical tensions is supporting Gold prices. Price has not printed a bullish CHoCH, however, price has printed beyond internal 50% EQ and in to premium, therefore, I am happy to confirm internal range. Price is currently contained within a swing low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Intraday expectation: Price to indicate pullback phase intimation. First indication would be for price to print bearish CHoCH. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Proof Technical Analysis Reigns SupremeIn doing my multi-timeframe analysis from earlier in the evening I was bias long. However I wasn't sure if price wanted to make a deeper pullback to the 1H LQZ I had marked up or even come down for the 3rd touch of my trendline in the ascending wedge (reversal pattern). Dropping down to the 5m timeframe I saw price slowing and formed a hover. I could have set an entry using a lower lot size to build a buffer, confidence, and to be able to participate in the markets - but I didn't. I passed out lol. I knew my bias was still correct and I was confident in taking "another" long position. I saw a larger flag with the close of that flag above a resistance zone or LQZ however you want to label it, and knew my bias was still valid. I took my entry as I saw price stalling forming some 5m dojis. After the first big push up I was able to reduced my risk letting the trade play out. My TP was initially aiming for the high of the day. However I was mindful of NY taking longer to play out and I knew I wasn't able to really monitor my trade. So I "didn't get greedy" and snagged my profits at about 80 ticks on the futures chart. This was a huge lesson in trusting the story price tells us through market structure and patterns. Although I didn't participate in my first trade, the trade I did take would have been a great stack-in. I'm glad I was able to participate today as my best and only trading days are Thursdays and Fridays.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by MommaPreneur
2
#XAUUSD 1DAYXAU/USD Daily Analysis: Sell Opportunity Market Overview: The XAU/USD pair is presenting a notable sell opportunity at the $2,600 level. As gold prices approach this resistance point, several technical indicators suggest a potential downward move, making this an ideal entry for short positions. Technical Analysis: 1Resistance Level: The $2,600 mark has historically proven to be a significant resistance zone, with recent attempts to breach it resulting in price reversals. 2.Moving Averages:The price is currently below the 50-day moving average, which is trending downward, indicating bearish momentum in the market. 3.Momentum Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows overbought conditions, suggesting that upward pressure may be waning, further supporting a potential decline. Market Sentiment: The broader market sentiment is leaning bearish for gold, driven by factors such as rising interest rates and a strengthening US dollar. These conditions typically exert downward pressure on precious metals. Strategy: Sell Level: Enter short positions at $2,600. Target Levels: Primary target at $2,550, where significant support has been previously identified. Secondary target at $2,450, aligning with lower support zones and providing an opportunity for further gains if momentum continues. Stop-Loss: Implement a stop-loss order above $2,620 to protect against adverse price movements. Conclusion: With strong resistance at $2,600, bearish technical signals, and unfavorable market sentiment, the XAU/USD pair presents a compelling sell opportunity. Traders should closely monitor price action and adjust their strategies as needed to maximize potential returns.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by PIPSFIGHTER
XAU/USD 19 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Intraday analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 18 September 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As mentioned on 13 September 2024, price to indicate pullback by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH was significantly positioned away from price therefore, price could print higher-highs to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price. This is how price printed with CHoCH positioning being brought significantly closer to current price action. After a very long period price has printed it's first indication of bearish pullback phase initiation which was in accordance to my intraday analysis of yesterday 16 September 2024. Internal range has now been established. Recent economic data, particularly from the US has influenced market sentiment such as softer US employment data leading to an expectation of a more softer approach from the Fed which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price will be highly volatile. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at discount of 50% EQ or Daily and H4 POI's. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price also met yesterday's intraday expectation by targeting weak internal low. This is in-line with all HTF as a pullback is required. Yesterday's Fed rate decision to increase rates by 50bps saw a bullish spike in volume with price printing a bullish iBOS, followed by a bearish iBOS, which was in-line with yesterday's intraday expectation. Price has not printed a bullish CHoCH, however, price has printed beyond internal 50% EQ and in to premium, therefore, I am happy to confirm internal range. Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at premium of 50% EQ and could potentially target M15 supply zone. Technically price should target weak internal low, however, we should be mindful that, due to geopolitical and macroeconomic conditions, price is likely to be highly volatile. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD 19/9/2024 Downtrend is over? Looking at H1 we see that after the FOMC news we witnessed a strong price increase creating ATH at the 2600 area. Then there was a strong decrease to the 2547 area - So wave 5 has completed as expected my target. now we expect an ABC correction - Looking at the chart we see a strong decline suggesting a completed wave A, this strong decline also shows us that wave A has a 5-wave structure so this correction we expect a correction according to the ABC Zigzac correction structure - The target of wave B I expect at the 2580 - 2583 zone or the 2579 - 2600 zone this is our SELL target - After completing the target of wave B the price continues to decrease to complete wave C I expect the target to complete wave C at the price zone of 2528 - 2525 this will be our BUY target - We also have a strong support zone at the price zone of 2451 - 2448 this will be our BUY scalp zone Trading plan SELL ZONE 2580 - 2583 SL: 2590 TP1: 2570 TP2: 2562 TP3: 2551 SELL ZONE: 2597 - 2600 SL: 2607 TP1: 2590 TP2: 2579 TP3: 2562 BUY ZONE: 2551 - 2448 SL: 2561 TP1: 2562 TP2: 2570 TP3: 2579 BUY ZONE: 2528 - 2525 TP1: 2541 TP2: 2551 TP3: 2562
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD Gold Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 XAUUSD Gold has broken its market structure to the downside. On the daily and 4-hour charts, we observe a pullback into equilibrium, presenting a potential buying opportunity. In this video, we discuss market structure, price action, and, most importantly, the trend. We also outline a possible trade setup if the price moves as outlined in the video. Disclaimer: The information provided in this video is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always perform your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📊✅
FX:XAUUSD
by fxtraderanthony
Analysis of gold price trend on WednesdayGold is now priced around 2570. Gold prices fell slightly from their all-time highs in the previous trading day as the U.S. retail sales monthly rate in August was stronger than market expectations, the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields rebounded, and some traders took profits on long orders in preparation for the Fed's possible rate cut decision this week. The unexpected growth in U.S. retail sales in August, with the decline in auto dealer sales overshadowed by strong online shopping, showed that the U.S. economy remained solid for most of the third quarter, which put pressure on safe-haven gold. The previously released retail sales data was better than expected, which seemed to support the Fed's less aggressive stance. It is widely expected that the Fed will announce its first rate cut in more than four years. The last time the Fed cut interest rates was in March 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. It should be reminded that the market has partially digested the Fed's expectation of a 50 basis point rate cut on Wednesday, so whether it is a 25 basis point or 50 basis point cut, investors need to beware of the emergence of a "boot landing" market, when a large number of long orders may take the opportunity to take profits, thereby dragging down the price of gold. Similar market conditions have occurred many times in history: before the Fed cut interest rates, gold prices continued to rise due to the expectation of interest rate cuts, but after the Fed actually cut interest rates, gold prices fluctuated and weakened. Technically, gold has not changed much, and it still fluctuates widely. The daily chart is adjusted at a high level, and the indicators are repaired. MA10/7/5 day moving averages still open upward. The short-term four-hour chart and hourly chart RSI indicators have been overbought for a long time and then returned to the central axis for repair and adjustment. The four-hour Bollinger Bands closed, and the price was consolidated around the middle track. Gold bottomed out and rebounded, and the intraday trading idea is to sell high and buy low. Please do not trade when the news is released! Trading strategy: 2560-2562 long, stop loss 2551, target 2580-2590; 2585-2587 short, stop loss 2596, target 2560-2570;
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jun-goldFX
8
XAUUSD: Analysis and strategy before the Fed rate decisionYesterday's view on gold was still very accurate. In the article, I clearly stated that there would be a correction before the Fed's interest rate decision, and the window period was after the data was released. As expected, under the premise of multiple negative data and a large number of long orders being profited, the gold price fell all the way to 2560, which also gave us the opportunity to close the short positions we held last week. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will be announced today. My prediction for a rate cut is 25 basis points. The possibility of 50 basis points is not high in my opinion, but it has to be guarded against. In the context of the upcoming announcement of the interest rate cut, today's trading strategy must be based on the number of basis points of interest rate cuts to formulate a trading plan, so I give the following suggestions for your reference: In the case of a 25 basis point interest rate cut: I personally think that the gold price will rise first and then fall. First of all, the interest rate cut is definitely good for gold, but because of the continuous interest rate cut remarks for a month, the gold price has now reached a historical high of 2590, and has digested the impact of the interest rate cut in advance. The rise in gold prices from 2530-2590 is largely due to some investors' belief that the Fed will be concerned about employment issues, which greatly increases the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut. Therefore, once the announced value does not meet expectations, the price of gold will inevitably fall. In the case of a 50 basis point rate cut: There is no doubt that gold prices will continue to rise and set a new high again.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AntonyTP
XAUUSD: 18/9 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2590, support below 2530 Four-hour resistance 2582, support below 2556 Gold accelerated its rise after breaking 2531 last week. It is still in a bullish pattern. Although the market fell under pressure around 2590 on Monday and Tuesday this week, it fell to 2560 at its lowest and still failed to fall below 2556. The short-term market is a high-level sideways shock trend. With 2556 as the stop loss position, you can continue to buy low and pay attention to the suppression of 2590 area. Before the Fed's news lands, both the long and short sides will not make too much movement, and the market will not fluctuate too much. You can just enter and exit quickly around the range in the short term. In terms of intraday short-term operations, the market generally expects the Fed to cut interest rates, but it is just a matter of how much the rate cut is. In theory, the rate hike is good for gold, but the news has been in the market for too long. Once the expectations of the bulls are met, the bulls will take profits and gold will fall sharply. Therefore, before the news is released, gold will continue to go long around the 2556 line, but a smaller SL must be set, and orders must not be held against the trend. Before the interest rate decision, if it reaches a new high near the 2590 area and then stagnates, you can go short. Try not to trade in the middle area, wait patiently for the layout at the boundary, and participate with a small stop loss. BUY:2560near SL:2556 SELL:2582near SL:2589 Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ActuaryJ
XAU/USD 18 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As mentioned on 13 September 2024, price to indicate pullback by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH was significantly positioned away from price therefore, price could print higher-highs to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price. This is how price printed with CHoCH positioning being brought significantly closer to current price action. After a very long period price has printed it's first indication of bearish pullback phase initiation which was in accordance to my intraday analysis of yesterday 16 September 2024. Internal range has now been established. Recent economic data, particularly from the US has influenced market sentiment such as softer US employment data leading to an expectation of a more softer approach from the Fed which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price will be highly volatile. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at discount of 50% EQ or Daily and H4 POI's. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price met yesterday's intraday expectation by targeting weak internal low. This is in-line with all HTF as a pullback is required. Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at premium of 50% EQ. Technically price should target weak internal low, however, we should be mindful that, due to geopolitical and macroeconomic conditions, price is likely to be highly volatile. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD 18/9/2024 gold price has ended the correction? Looking at H1, we have a sharp and fast-moving wave 3, followed by a corrective wave 4 - According to the Elliot wave principle, wave 2 is simple, wave 4 is complex and takes more time, so we are in wave 4. - I temporarily label the small waves in wave 4 so that we can predict the end of wave 4 - Currently, looking at the price target of wave 4, we have the price range of 2565 - 2562 and the second target price range is the range of 2451 - 2448 - Looking at the structure of wave 4, we have a complex structure consisting of a Flat wave combined with a zigzag structure WXY. Looking at the wave 4 structure, we see that the correction structure may be sufficient and we expect the price to continue to increase according to wave 5 - The correction process of wave 4 is confirmed to be completed when the price breaks out through the 2590.188 zone, then we have the target zones of wave 5 above, which are the 2600 - 2603 zone and the 2616 - 2619 zone Our trading plan BUY ZONE: 2565 - 2562 SL: 2555 TP1: 2579 TP2: 2590 TP3: 2600 BUY ZONE: 2451 - 2448 SL: 2441 TP1: 2561 TP2: 2579 TP3: 2590 SELL ZONE: 2600 - 2603 SL: 2700 TP1: 2590 TP2: 2579 TP3: 2565 SELL ZONE: 2616 - 2619 SL: 2716 TP1: 2600 TP2: 2590 TP3: 2579
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP