Gold Breaks $3240, Shorting Opportunity EmergesGold prices have now surged to around $3240, continuing the recent strong upward momentum. Based on the previous trading signal, a long position at $3220 was suggested; however, due to the high volatility, many investors may have missed the opportunity to go long at that level. At this point, with prices approaching $3240, it may be an opportune time to establish short positions, with a target profit around $3225. Please note that this is just personal advice, and actual trading decisions should be made with attention to changes in key price levels.
Xauusdupdates
US tariffs have caused XAU/USD's continuous rise.Surge in Safe - haven Demand:US tariff hikes heighten trade tensions, stoking fears of global economic slowdown. Worried about rising corporate costs and supply - chain disruptions, investors flock to gold, a traditional safe - haven, to hedge risks, pushing its price up 📈.
Highlighted Anti - inflation Property:Higher tariffs may boost imported - goods prices, fueling inflation. Gold, with stable value in inflation, is favored by investors as a wealth - preserving asset, thus driving its price higher 💰.
Dollar Substitution Effect:Uncertain US tariff policies raise dollar credit risk, eroding market confidence. Some investors cut dollar - asset holdings and turn to gold, lifting gold demand and price. Also, expected Fed rate - cuts due to tariffs pressure the dollar, further pushing up gold price as low - rate environments benefit non - yielding gold 💴.
Once the trade war ignited by tariff disputes shows signs of improvement or when peace negotiations commence, XAU/USD is highly likely to witness a substantial decline ↓.
This upward movement has led to the clearing of many traders' accounts or significant losses 😫. You can follow my signals and gradually recover your losses and achieve profitability 🌟.
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
Gold may face sharp fluctuations,The risk of downside increases!Technical analysis: Gold daily line rose by more than $100 on Thursday, creating a rare single-day increase in more than ten years. The cumulative increase in three days exceeded $200, and the technical indicators were overbought. The current gold price is in the stage of accelerating to the top. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance of the 3245-3250 area, and be alert to the risk of falling back after a high. Although the trend is still strong, the effectiveness of technical analysis is weakened under the guidance of news. It is recommended to focus on high altitude. This week is the fifth week of rising, and the probability of a change on Friday increases.
Ⅰ: The daily indicator macd golden cross is initially established, and the smart indicator sto quickly repairs upward, representing the bullish trend of the price. At present, because it is a historical high, there is no resistance point to judge, so we can only try it based on the small cycle indicators. The current support point of the daily line is located near the moving average MA5 and MA10, 3096-3088, and it is not considered to be far away from the candlestick chart.
Ⅱ: The current macd high golden cross in 4 hours is oscillating with large volume, and the smart indicator sto is overbought, which means that the price is oscillating at a high level. Because the indicators are at a relatively high level, they may face short-term peak signals at any time. Currently, we are focusing on the support line of 3176 near the MA5 moving average.
Ⅲ: The hourly MACD is currently oscillating with large volume, and the dynamic indicator STO is overbought, which means that the hourly line is still oscillating strongly. The current focus is on the 3220 line*. If it breaks through 3220 this hour, it will continue to look for a high point. Otherwise, a small cycle peak signal will be formed at this position. The current support below the hourly line is located at the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, and the focus is on the MA10 support line of 3185. Comprehensive thinking: The current price is oscillating at a high level, and the short-term focus is on the 3220 line*. If it breaks through, the price will continue to move upward. The current focus below is the support near 3190. If it falls below, the price may move to around 3150-3135.
Strategy: Refer to 3440-45 for short selling
XAUUSD Entry on break of structure ?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD 11 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed as per my analysis dated 04 April 2025 by targeting weak internal high and printing bullish iBOS.
We currently do not have an indication of bearish pullback phase initiation. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH.
It is possible for price to potentially print higher highs in order to reposition CHoCH closer to current price action.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis that I will continue to monitor internal structure following the printing of a bearish CHoCH.
Price has continued higher without a meaningful pullback, therefore, I will not classify previous iBOS, which is marked in red, as a bullish iBOS.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Shaking Hands with All-Time HighsSafe-haven assets caught a strong bid in recent trading, directing Spot Gold to all-time highs of US$3,220/troy ounce versus the US dollar (XAU/USD). The shift towards safe-haven markets was fuelled by softer demand for the USD as markets fled dollar assets, as well as escalating trade tensions between the US and China. Unsurprisingly, the Swiss franc (CHF) and Japanese yen (JPY) also attracted substantial bids, with the USD/CHF pair notching up losses of nearly 4.0% – its largest one-day drop since 2015!
Monthly Resistance and Oversold Conditions
Several desks are reportedly eyeing US$3,500 as the next upside objective for Gold; however, the monthly chart reveals it is considerably overbought according to the Relative Strength Index (RSI). You will note the RSI has remained within overbought territory since mid-2024 and recently touched gloves with familiar resistance between 87.31 and 82.20. This area boasts historical significance from as far back as 2006, and each time the Index has approached the resistance, a correction/pause typically followed in the yellow metal. Consequently, it raises the question about whether buying is set to moderate/pause at the monthly resistance area between US$3,264 and US$3,187 (made up of 1.618% and 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratios, respectively).
Daily Demand Zone; Dip-Buying?
Meanwhile, on the daily chart, price action came within a stone’s throw of testing support from US$2,942 at the beginning of the week before rallying to all-time highs noted above. What is interesting from a technical perspective is that the move left behind a demand area at US$3,000-US$3,058, which, in my opinion, represents a key technical zone.
With Gold firmly entrenched in a strong uptrend, dip-buyers could emerge from the daily demand area if a correction occurs. That said, given technical indicators on the monthly chart suggesting buyers could pump the brakes, any dip-buying activity would likely be approached with caution. Confirmation – such as a bullish candlestick signal or supporting price action on lower time frames – might be required before pulling the trigger. However, any movement below the mentioned demand area signals bearish strength from the monthly resistance zone, and potentially opens the door to short-term selling opportunities, targeting daily support at US$2,942, closely followed by support at US$2,865, and possibly US$2,790.
Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
Insight into the gold market situation and seize the opportunityHello everyone! After in-depth research and analysis of the recent market conditions, I believe that the current market has entered the stage of accelerating to the top.
From a technical point of view, such as the MACD top divergence sign, the KDJ indicator oversold, etc., all signs show that the market's upward momentum is gradually weakening, while the price is rising rapidly, which is often a typical feature of the peak stage.
The focus needs to be on the 3225-3235 area. This range has important resistance significance and has dense locked-in disks. On the other hand, through technical analysis tools such as the Fibonacci sequence, this range is also an important pressure range.
For investors with short trading rights, this is a rare opportunity to go high and short. When the price reaches the 3225-3235 area, it is a relatively ideal time to enter the short market. The one-hour moving average golden cross is formed, but after the upper rail of the Bollinger band is broken, the technical overbought risk increases, and the support near 3150 is effective. 80 points are also possible, so don't look at the current trend with a conventional perspective.
Gold bulls are rising higherGold's 1-hour moving average continues to spread upwards and bulls are spreading. Gold bulls are full of strength. Gold still has upward momentum. The pullback will continue to give opportunities to go long.
Trading idea: Go long near gold 3175, stop loss 3165, target 3210
The above is only a sharing of trading ideas and does not constitute investment advice. You need to be responsible for your own profits and losses.
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM ROUTE MAP ANALYSISMonthly Time Frame Analysis for GOLD
Dear Traders,
Attached is the Monthly Chart Route Map for GOLD. Since October 2023, we have consistently analyzed and traded GOLD with 100% target accuracy. The Golden Circle areas marked on the chart highlight our precise analysis and successful target achievements.
Key Highlights:
* After successfully hitting TP1 and TP2, the candle has closed above TP2.
* EMA5 has crossed and locked above the TP2 level at 2603, confirming upward momentum.
* The EMA5 detachment process has been completed successfully.
* As previously noted, the Fair Value Gap (FVG) provided robust support at 2535, facilitating the upward push.
What’s Next for GOLD?
Based on these confirmations, we anticipate hitting TP3 this month. However, we have identified two significant GOLDTURN levels at 2702 and 2603.
In the short term, we may see some bearish movements, but the monthly chart reveals the bigger picture: a sustained long-term bullish trend. This kind of temporary reversal strengthens the bullish trend and offers an excellent opportunity to buy at dips near support levels, reducing risk.
Recommendations:
To understand the support structure in greater detail, refer to our smaller time frame analyses, which will help you identify optimal dip-buying opportunities while keeping the long-term gaps in mind.
As always, we’ll keep you updated with daily insights. Don’t forget to check our analyses on weekly, daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H time frames.
We appreciate your continued support! Please show your encouragement by liking, commenting, and sharing this post.
The Quantum Trading Mastery
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG RANGE ROUTE MAP UPDATEDWeekly GOLD Analysis: 24th February 2025
Hello Traders,
Here’s a weekly chart analysis of GOLD, offering an in-depth look at recent market trends and future outlook. Since October 2023, our consistent tracking has achieved 100% target accuracy, as shown by the Golden Circle markers on the charts. Let’s break down the highlights and what’s next.
Gold reached an all-time high of $2,954.80 last week. As previously noted, close attention to the movement of the 5-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA5) was advised. The anticipated Fair Value Gap (FVG) provided strong support at $2,850, with the EMA5 approaching the first take-profit (TP1) level at $2,877, leading to a bullish surge that touched the all-time high. However, the EMA5 has yet to cross and stabilize above $2,877.
This situation persists, with the EMA5 still not locked above $2,877, which is necessary for further bullish confirmation. If the EMA5 fails to cross and hold above this level, the price may reverse to test the GoldTurn level at $2,875 before potentially bouncing back upward.
The key level at $2,735 remains a critical zone. Active GoldTurn levels at $2,875 and $2,735 suggest that the price may revisit these areas before advancing to TP1 and beyond.
Recommendations & Strategy:
* Focus on EMA5: Watch its behavior around 2877 for key signals on short- and long-term trades.
* Support Levels: GoldTurn levels at 2875 and 2735 are vital for identifying reversal points and prime dip-buying opportunities.
* EMA5 detachment is still due on weekly chart.
For precise entry and exit points, check our daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H analyses for clearer market guidance.
We’ll continue to provide daily updates, insights, and strategies on our TradingView and YouTube channels every Sunday. Don’t forget to like, comment, and share to support our work and help others benefit!
The Quantum Trading Mastery
Accurately capture the gold pullback, shorting is the right timeDuring this period, spot gold has been like a rocket, advancing all the way and firmly in the upward channel. I have repeatedly reminded everyone before that once the US tariff stick is swung, the gold price will definitely rush up like a chicken blood. No, the facts prove that our prediction is quite reliable!
Tonight, the market ushered in another "big news" - the release of CPI data. As soon as this data came out, it directly gave the gold price a "heart shot", and the gold price was instantly pushed to around US$3160. This rise is too crazy! Interpret this data as soon as possible and pay close attention to the reaction of the gold market.
However, when the gold price rose to the previous high of US$3158-3168, it was like hitting a wall and began to "struggle". From my technical analysis point of view, there is a relatively strong resistance level in this range. It's like a person climbing a mountain, climbing to a certain height, and encountering a steep cliff. If you want to continue to go up, you have to work hard. At present, the gold price is under pressure at this position, and there are some signs of a correction. This provides us investors with a small opportunity to consider trying a short position here and earn some spread profits. I also suggest that investors can properly seize this short-term opportunity.
For example, the current gold market is like a fierce football game. The long team is strong and has been attacking all the way, and is in a dominant position. The short team can only seize the opportunity occasionally and make a quick counterattack. We investors are like coaches, and we must arrange tactics reasonably according to the situation on the field. When the long side is dominant, we can use short selling to increase our profits in a timely manner. I hope everyone can accurately grasp the market rhythm like an excellent coach.
4/11 Gold Trading StrategyFresh High Above 3170 – Momentum Continues, but Chasing Longs Is Risky
Gold delivered a strong one-sided rally yesterday, rising from around 3078 to above 3170, setting a fresh short-term high. While CPI and jobless claims data were modestly bullish, most of the rally occurred before the data release, suggesting that the move was primarily technically driven rather than fundamentally triggered.
As we anticipated yesterday, the price did reach above 3170 , and as clearly stated, we did not recommend chasing long positions at those highs. This view remains unchanged today.
🔍【Technical Insights】
The recovery from 2955 back to 3160+ took just 2 sessions, versus 4 sessions for the prior drop from 3167 — a clear sign of momentum dominance.
The daily chart shows two strong bullish candles, typically a sign of follow-through potential.
However, new highs reached under this structure tend to attract profit-taking and possible pullbacks.
If a technical correction occurs, look to 3143–3128 as a meaningful support zone for long opportunities.
🎯【Today's Gold Trade Setup】
🔻Sell Zone: 3188 – 3215
Look for short entries near resistance after overextension
🔺Buy Zone: 3134 – 3112
Wait for a healthy pullback to consider long positions
🔄Range Zone: 3178 – 3143
Flexible trading range — favor quick in/out trades in the zone
Gold (XAU/USD) at a Major Decision Zone! Gold is trading inside a rising channel on the 15-minute timeframe, and we're now at a critical resistance level. This setup is giving us two potential trade opportunities:
📍 Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout 📈
✅ If price breaks above the midline resistance, we could see a strong push towards the upper trendline at $3,120 - $3,140
✅ A confirmed breakout with momentum may even take price to fresh highs 🚀
📌 Bullish confirmation: A strong candle close above the midline with volume
📍 Scenario 2 – Bearish Rejection 📉
❌ If price fails to break above, we might see a drop back towards the lower trendline at $2,980 - $2,960
❌ A false breakout (wick above resistance but no strong close) could signal a reversal 📉
📌 Bearish confirmation: Rejection candle with increased selling pressure
🔎 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Resistance: $3,080 (midline), $3,120 (upper channel)
🔹 Support: $3,000 (psychological), $2,980 (lower channel)
📢 What’s your bias? Do you see Gold breaking out or pulling back? Drop a comment below! 👇🔥
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #TradingView #PriceAction #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis
XAU/USD - Major Reversal Incoming?Gold has been on a massive bullish run, but are we about to see a strong rejection from supply? Let’s break it down! 👇
🔹 Price Action: Gold has tapped into a key supply zone (🔵 Blue Area) near $3,175, which previously led to sharp sell-offs.
🔹 Liquidity Grab? Smart money often pushes price above key levels to trap retail traders before a reversal.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ 3,143 - 3,175 (Supply Zone) - Possible rejection!
✅ 3,067 - First major support below.
✅ 2,990 - Final demand zone (🔶 Orange Area).
🛑 Bearish Scenario: If we see strong rejection from supply, expect a drop to 3,067 first, then possibly 2,990.
✅ Bullish Continuation? If gold breaks above 3,180, the next major target is 3,200+.
💬 What’s Your Bias? Will gold dump from here, or will bulls keep pushing? Let me know in the comments! 👇🔥
#forex #gold #xauusd #scalping #supplydemand #priceaction #trading
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🚨 XAU/USD - High Probability Sell Setup? 🚨
🔥 Gold has been on a powerful bullish run, but is it time for a major reversal? Let's break it down!
🔍 Key Analysis:
📈 Recent Price Action:
✅ Gold rallied aggressively from the $2,990 demand zone (🔶 Orange Box) after liquidity was grabbed.
✅ The price is now inside a strong supply zone at $3,143 - $3,175 (🔵 Blue Box).
✅ This level has historically triggered sharp sell-offs—will history repeat itself?
📊 Smart Money Perspective:
💎 Liquidity Trap? Price has pushed above previous highs, likely hunting stop losses before a reversal.
💎 Institutional Orders? Banks & smart money tend to sell into retail buying pressure at key zones.
📌 Critical Levels:
🔹 Supply Zone (Sell Area): $3,143 - $3,175
🔹 First Support Target: $3,067 (Key liquidity level)
🔹 Main Demand Zone: $2,990 - $2,991 (Major buy zone)
📉 Trade Setup: Possible Short Opportunity!
💀 Bearish Case (Sell Bias):
❌ If price fails to hold above $3,175, we could see a sharp drop to $3,067.
❌ Break below $3,067? Then gold might test $2,990 - $2,991 for the next big bounce.
🚀 Bullish Case (Invalidation Level):
✅ If gold breaks & holds above $3,180, expect a continuation rally toward $3,200+ and beyond.
👀 What’s Next?
🚦 Will gold break down from this supply zone, or will bulls keep pushing?
💬 Drop your thoughts below! Are you SELLING from here, or do you expect a new high? 👇🔥
📊 Like & Follow for More XAU/USD Setups! 🔥🚀
#forex #gold #xauusd #scalping #supplydemand #liquidity #smartmoney #trading #priceaction
XAUUSD: Investors are more interested in Gold than ever! Gold reversed successfully after touching our entry point, moving to over 1400 pips. We previously advised closing the idea, but now we see a strong bullish market likely to create another record high. The ongoing tariff war between China and the US will likely create more fear in the global market.
Like, comment, and support us.
Team Setupsfx_
XAUUSD hit a new record high!calm downDue to the influence of various factors, the price of gold has reached a new high and has already set a new historical record. Will it make an attempt to break through the 3200 mark?
Perhaps we should step out of the madness of the gold price and observe the market calmly. I think it will fluctuate within a certain range in the short term, and we can make a profit by choosing to go long or short at the appropriate price points.
XAUUSD trading strategy
sell @ 3165-3170
sl 3180
tp 3155-3160
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!
Gold is strong, wait for a pullback to go longThe 1-hour moving average of gold has formed a bullish arrangement with a golden cross upward, and gold is now supported near 3100. If gold can stand firm at 3100 after the data, then we can continue to go long on dips.
Trading ideas: Buy gold near 3100, stop loss 2990, target 3130
It is hard not to make a profit by trading CPI like thisI have to say that gold is indeed in a bullish pattern at present. After all, gold did not even fall below 3110 during the correction process. However, the current fluctuations are relatively cautious, and we are waiting for the guidance of CPI data, which may exacerbate short-term fluctuations!
To be honest, although gold is in a bullish pattern, the resistance above cannot be ignored, especially the 3150-3155 area and the previous high of 3167. It is not ruled out that gold will form a secondary high during the rise and form a double-top structure with the previous high of 3167, so I will not be a radical in the short term and set the target at 3200.
In addition, during the CPI data period, it is not ruled out that gold will rise and then fall back, so I do not advocate blindly chasing gold. On the contrary, I will definitely try to short gold in the 3050-3060 area. However, the market's long sentiment is high, and it is not advisable to have too high expectations for the magnitude of the correction in short-term trading. The first retracement target area is: 3105-3095, followed by 3080!
Will gold fall after a strong rise Goldmarket analysis referenceAnalysis of gold market trend: Today's gold is still fluctuating greatly under the influence of tariffs. Today, we have analyzed that gold has the risk of callback, and long positions are also falling back to lows! Trend realization analysis and ideas! From the surge on Wednesday, it can be seen that the risk aversion sentiment of gold has heated up again. The current highest is 3132, which is the first target point for the rise. If it continues to rise, it can see 3150 above, so there is still a lot of room above. Everyone should pay attention to trading with the trend as much as possible. In addition, there is another uncertain factor today. The US market will release CPI data, which will also bring abnormal fluctuations in gold. Therefore, the market will also fluctuate greatly today. Everyone should pay attention to controlling risks and managing positions well.
From a technical point of view, a positive line on the daily line directly changed the extremely weak adjustment state in the previous period. Now the positive line breaks the middle track of Bollinger and pulls up the moving average. Then, gold has entered an extremely strong state of bullish trend. In this state, it will continue to rise to the previous high of 3150. Therefore, the main direction today is definitely bullish. It is normal for the small cycle to adjust under the pressure of 3100. Now the Bollinger of the 4-hour cycle has just opened, and the unilateral trend has just taken the first wave of strength. There is no problem in the next wave to rise to the high point of the daily cycle. Therefore, as long as the 4-hour cycle falls back to the support of the unilateral moving average, it is an opportunity to do more. The support below is around 3070, and the rise of the hourly cycle is around 3060. Therefore, today's gold bullishness is expected to consider 3080 or 3070. The rise in the Asian and European sessions is still at 3130. If the US session breaks through 3136, consider seeing the high point of 3150. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and to buy on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3136-3155 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3080-3078 support line. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. You must control your positions and stop losses, set stop losses strictly, and do not resist single operations. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. Welcome to experience and exchange real-time market conditions.
Gold operation strategy reference: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short gold rebounds near 3133-3136, with a target of 3100-3090, and a break to look at the 3080 line.
Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Go long near the 3078-3080 pullback of gold, with a target of 3105-3125, and a break to look at the 3135 line.
Gold: CPI Data Trading ViewsToday's signals for XAUUSD / BTCUSD / GBPUSD all hit their targets!
Congrats to everyone who followed—great profits all around!
🕒 Reminder: CPI data will be released in 1.5 hours.
Before that, we may see:
A quiet, ranging market, or
A pre-release pricing-in scenario that leads to sharp volatility ⚠️
Trading Suggestions:
✅ If you want to avoid unnecessary risk, it’s better to pause trading and wait for the data release
✅ If you're holding positions, please:
Manage your risk carefully
For large positions, consider partial closing or adding SL
Post-CPI Strategy Outlook:
Price has reached key resistance zones
If the data is bullish, further upside may be limited due to:
Proximity to recent highs
Remaining selling pressure in the market
Therefore, focus on:
High-level short entries or low-level long entries
Avoid blindly chasing the market—don’t go long at the top or short at the bottom
To sum it up:
Control your emotions, manage your positions wisely.
The 30 minutes after the CPI release will separate winners from losers!
Gold's Downtrend PersistsGold's Bearish Outlook Continues Despite Temporary Upside Spike
Market Overview:
The overall outlook for gold remains bearish, even though the market recently experienced a surprising and sharp upward movement. While a deep correction was anticipated and in line with prior expectations, the nature and timing of the recent surge raised some eyebrows among analysts and traders alike.
The unexpected bullish reaction came shortly after former U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 90-day suspension on reciprocal tariffs—a development that typically would not warrant such a dramatic price rally in gold. Normally, easing geopolitical or economic tensions would dampen safe-haven demand, causing gold to retreat. In this case, however, the opposite occurred, which suggests the possibility of non-fundamental drivers at play, potentially even artificial market influence or manipulation.
Technical Outlook:
Despite the sudden upward movement, gold’s larger technical structure has not changed significantly. The overall trend remains bearish unless we see a sustained breakout above the 3167 resistance level. A clean breach above that threshold would be uncharacteristic based on current fundamentals and could indicate external interference or speculative overreaction rather than a genuine shift in sentiment or macroeconomic conditions.
The price action continues to favor the bears, with lower highs and lower lows still forming on the larger timeframes. Until there’s clear evidence to the contrary, any rallies should be viewed with skepticism and treated as potential selling opportunities rather than the start of a new bullish trend.
Key Support Zones:
Looking at potential areas where gold may find some temporary footing, the following support levels should be closely monitored:
3054 – Minor support; could serve as a short-term pause point.
3000 – A psychological level and round number that often acts as a magnet for price action.
2925 – More significant historical support zone with prior buying interest.
2840 – Deeper support, aligning with the longer-term bearish trajectory.
Conclusion:
In summary, while gold has shown a sudden upward burst, the broader picture remains cautious. The technical indicators, market context, and recent price behavior all point toward a continuation of the downtrend unless key resistance levels are convincingly breached. Traders are advised to remain vigilant, avoid emotional reactions to short-term volatility, and refer closely to technical signals when making decisions.
The chart provides further clarity on this setup—feel free to review it for a more visual representation of the analysis.
Thank you for reading, and best of luck in the markets!
XAUUSD Analysis TodayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD 10 April 2025 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 04 April 2025.
Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed as I mentioned in yesterday's analysis whereby I commented that it would be worthwhile to note that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS as H4 TF has printed a bullish reaction from discount of 50% EQ.
Price subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH, however, price quickly once again formed a higher high, therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify previous CHoCH in order not to distort internal structure as the move was most probably an outlier due to Trump announcing 90 day pause on tariffs.
Price has printed a further bearish CHoCH, however, I will continue to monitor price.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, of which one is well positioned at 50% of internal EQ, before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,132.630
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart: