XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
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XAUUSD 10/10/2024 correction is over?
Looking at H1 we see that the price is in a complex correction pattern WXY
During a complex correction, trying to label the waves accurately is very difficult and not feasible for real trading. Instead, we look for potential targets for the end of the corrective wave
I measure the end target of wave Y at 2 price zones, which are the 2589 - 2586 zone and the 2575 - 2572 price zone, which is also the price zone where we set the BUY target
Looking at the sideway price zone, we see that in this zone, there are 2 large supply zones, which are the 2639 - 2642 zone and the 3670 - 2673 zone, which will also be our SELL target zone
At the moment, my expectation is to catch the bottom of the upcoming uptrend, so we will pay special attention to the BUY zones
Trading plan
BUY ZONE: 2589 - 2586
SL: 2584
TP1: 2606
TP2: 2622
TP3: 2661
BUY ZONE: 2575 - 2572
SL: 2565
TP1: 2585
TP2: 2606
TP3: 2661
SELL ZONE: 2639 - 2642
SL: 2650
TP1: 2625
TP2: 2606
TP3: 2594
SELL ZONE: 2670 - 2673
SL: 2680
TP1: 2662
TP2: 2641
TP3: 2625
XAUUSD BUY WEEKLY FORECAST Here on Xauusd price has been in uptrend and there is a chance of making pull back before continue it uptrend movement so is expected to go LONG around level of 2621.069 - 2612.742 and now target a profit of 2637.015,2662.358 and 2680.748 with stoploss of 2598.170 . Use money management
XAUUSD WEEKLY FORECAST |BUY @ 2621.069 - 2612.742
SL 2598.170
TP1 2637.015
TP2 2662.358
TP3 2680.748
#XAUUSD 4HBased on the current 4-hour analysis, we’ve identified two key zones for potential swing-long positions on #XAUUSD:
1. 2600.00 - 2695.00**
2. 2558.00 - 2560.00
At this stage, it’s best not to place any limit orders. Instead, wait for solid **bullish confirmation** before entering any positions.
Time to swing!
Has gold seen bottom? Can we continue to be bearish?
Yesterday I clearly suggested shorting at 2648, and 2630 was not the short-term bottom. The final result was in line with expectations and unexpected, because the gold price plummeted by nearly $50, not only reaching our target of 2615, but also reaching the lowest point of 2604. I believe that friends who follow the trading strategy have made a lot of money. Congratulations!
Let's get back to the point. Because the market's bets on the Fed's sharp interest rate cuts have faded and most of the market's positions have chosen to take profits, gold fell sharply by nearly $50 during the US trading session yesterday, with the short-term low reaching 2604, and then the decline narrowed. As of now, it has remained around 2620 for consolidation.
From the gold daily chart, although the lowest point reached 2604, the final closing price was above 2620, just when the daily MA20 daily moving average position was held, and there was no effective break.
So since the lower support has not broken, we cannot directly choose to continue shorting today. Instead, we have to wait for the rebound power to be consumed before going short, and the upper suppression area will be a good choice.
From the 1H chart, the previous support of 2630 has now turned into resistance, and the same is true for the 2640 line. Therefore, today we need to observe the resistance situation in the 2630-2640 area. Once there is a sign of reversal here, I think it is an opportunity to short.
If there are any latest changes in transaction details, I will update you in time in the channel. If you are interested, you can enter below.
XAU/USD 09 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis dated 06 October 2024 was accurate, with price targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low.
CHoCH positioning is still quite a distance from current price, so it’s possible that price may print new lows to bring CHoCH closer to current price.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate the initiation of a bullish pullback phase, keeping the above scenario in mind.
I advise caution due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's dovish stance. However, we will remain systematic in our approach.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Yesterday's analysis (08 October 2024) was accurate, with price pulling back, printing a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), reacting at the premium of the 50% internal equilibrium (EQ), and then targeting weak internal low, ultimately printing a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading between an internal high and fractal low.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Price is likely to react at the premium of the 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD GOLD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀👉 XAUUSD (Gold) has been under selling pressure recently, presenting a possible short-term day trading opportunity. In this video, we’ll analyze the price action, examine the prevailing trend and market structure, and discuss a potential trade setup. Risk Disclaimer: Trading Forex involves significant risk, and market conditions can change rapidly. The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. 📉✅
XAUUSD: Double Top/Head and Shoulders
From a broader perspective, gold currently resembles a head and shoulders pattern. However, if we focus on a smaller scale, it appears to be forming a double top. For now, we will base our market analysis on this smaller pattern to guide our trades.
Typically, after a double top forms, a rebound often follows. This is one of the primary reasons why I recommended a buy position before yesterday's close. When bullish momentum is strong, the price tends to rebound towards or even above the resistance level. In cases of weaker bullish strength, the rebound peak may fall below or only reach the resistance level.
Given the current state of the market, the bulls still hold decent power, making it likely that the rebound will test or even surpass the resistance zone around 2629-2638. This area can be considered as a potential exit point for long positions and an ideal entry point for shorts.
For short positions, the initial target can be around 2596, which was a previous resistance level during the uptrend. The mid-term target aligns with the low formed during the left shoulder of the head and shoulders pattern, around 2558. The final target would be near 2518, the starting point of the head and shoulders formation.
Every trader has their own preferred strategy, but the key is to align with the overall trend. Even if short-term volatility creates challenging situations, staying patient and trusting the broader market direction will lead to success in the end. The process may involve several tests, but perseverance and timing are crucial.
Gold 2630-2638 Range Is Good For Shorting
After a significant rally, gold has finally retraced to the 2600 level. If you’ve been following my recent analysis, you should have already taken advantage of this move.
Yesterday, my strategy was to short at 2648, closing near 2618, while recommending a long position near 2610 with a target range of 2620-2628. This approach played out perfectly, securing notable profits.
Gold is now hovering around the MA20, where resistance is expected to be minor. The key resistance zone lies between 2632-2638, close to the MA60. While it may not reach this level, the current rebound is not over yet.
If it reaches the MA60 region, it will present an ideal shorting opportunity with at least $10 of downside potential.
Successful trading always relies on strong signals—don’t you agree?
GOLD - XAU/USD. A cautionary short?Traders.
Im assume that if there's no heat from the middle east gold will will take breather here. On the others hand we also have the potential to goong if this current support holds. Giving that the lat 4H candle was a large bearish candle it does indicate more sellers.
Gold shorts are not over yet, watch out for accelerated declinesThe September NFP data is good news for the market, giving the market more reasons to prepare for the latest inflation data.
Last week's heavyweight employment report puts more pressure on this week's CPI data. If the data unexpectedly rises sharply, it is likely to cause market turmoil.
After the blowout employment report last Friday, the importance of this week's CPI has been significantly provided.
We have noticed that the US dollar has continued to maintain its upward momentum recently. It is likely to continue its upward trend before the release of CPI data. If there is a correction, it can only be after CPI. Therefore, the rise of the US dollar will bring continued suppression to gold.
It can be seen from the figure that the gold price has repeatedly tested the low point of 2630 during the decline. I think 2630 is not a short-term bottom. It will fall below in the next two days. Once it falls below, you can see the support of the lower moving average near 2615.
In addition, 2648 is the 0.382 position of the Fibonacci retracement. The pressure effect here has been verified many times before, so friends who are short can choose to sell here.
My personal short position is currently in a state of substantial profit, but I will not close the position for the time being. I will continue to hold and expand the profit.
xauusd / gold ideawe can see near 2653 there have a FVG market have to trigger that entry for sell side dip so once market trigger the area go for lower time frame minimum 5m so you can see a CHOCh on that area once you get CHOCh go for a sell fly
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📌 Note :
⨻ Check the live market updates and analysis yourself before buy 📈🔺 or sell 📉🔻
⨺ Am not giving any advisory or signals its just my idea for upgrade my knowledge 📚 in trading
⨹ This is my pre and post market analysis to improve my trading journey 🚀
⨂ Am Not suggesting anyone to buy or sell ❌ am just giving my views 👀
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HAPPY TRADING 🥰
XAU/USD 08 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 06 October 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Bearish swing pullback phase has been confirmed by the first bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), which has established the current swing range. Currently, price is trading between the swing high and internal low.
Following second bearish iBOS price printed a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), suggesting but not confirming the initiation of a bullish pullback phase.
Price reacted from the premium zone above the 50% internal equilibrium (EQ). Although the weak internal low was targeted, price was unable to close below it after reacting from an H4 demand zone.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to target weak internal low.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Yesterday's analysis (07 October 2024) mentioned the alternative scenario, where I noted that given the H4 timeframe appears to be in a bearish pullback phase, any bullish momentum would likely be short-lived, and price could potentially print a bearish iBOS.
Price has now printed a bearish iBOS, which was expected as the H4 timeframe remains in a bearish pullback phase.
Intraday Expectation: After the iBOS, we anticipate a pullback. CHoCH positioning is marked by a blue dotted line. Price could potentially print a new low, bringing CHoCH positioning closer to the current price. This has occurred whilst I was preparing analysis. CHoCH is now closer to current price action.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD: 7/10 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of gold
Daily resistance 2700, support below 2622
Four-hour resistance 2685, support below 2634-22
Gold operation suggestions: Gold fell slightly after violent fluctuations last Friday, closing at $2652.64, because the stronger-than-expected US employment report poured cold water on the Fed's expectations of aggressive interest rate cuts in November, boosting the dollar to a high of more than one and a half months, and US Treasury yields also rose sharply to a high of nearly two months, overshadowing the risk aversion concerns over the tense geopolitical situation in the Middle East. U.S. job growth accelerated in September, and the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, further easing the pressure on the Fed to cut interest rates by another 50 basis points at the November 6-7 policy meeting. The overall technical aspects of gold prices continued to fluctuate in a wide range of long and short positions in volatile trading.
From the current short-term perspective, the upper 2675-85 area still forms a strong resistance and suppression area. At the same time, the 2634 area where it fell and stabilized last week is still effective. The lower 2622 daily level support is still bullish. In the short term, gold prices continue to maintain a wide range of long and short fluctuations before there is no news stimulus in the market.
BUY:2650near SL:2647
BUY:2634near SL:2630
BUY:2622near SL:2618
SELL:2666near SL:2671
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
XAU/USD 07 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 06 October 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Bearish swing pullback phase has been confirmed by the first bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), which has established the current swing range. Currently, price is trading between the swing high and internal low.
Following second bearish iBOS price printed a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), suggesting but not confirming the initiation of a bullish pullback phase.
Price reacted from the premium zone above the 50% internal equilibrium (EQ). Although the weak internal low was targeted, price was unable to close below it after reacting from an H4 demand zone.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to target weak internal low.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following a bullish iBOS, price has been highly volatile but remains contained within the internal range.
Price has wicked both above and below the internal range without any candle closures.
Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to target the weak internal high. Price has attempted to reach the weak internal high but has failed to close above.
Alternative Scenario: Given that the H4 timeframe appears to be in a bearish pullback phase, any bullish momentum is likely to be short-lived. Price could potentially print a bearish iBOS.
M15 Chart:
Gold anchors at peak, experts neutral on gold prices this weekCome up with ideas and wave trends for today, 10/7, 2024. In my opinion, tomorrow there will be a short-term wave during the day that pushes the price up to the 2662 zone, so tomorrow you can watch for the correction wave and then watch for Buy. To watch for Buy at this wave, pay attention to the price zone of 2650 - 2647. Here, find the Buy factor, SL below the foot of the previous small wave. Because the price is within the Wyckoff boundary of the value zone, last week you can see that all your entries and trends are only within the boundary. Do not go too far to avoid the case where the entry is finished and the price goes sideways and then returns to liquidity to sweep the entry. Longer-term views from the 30-50 price range will be established when the price breaks out of the Wyckoff boundary when forming the cause and returning the result. Here, I can click and calculate the P&F of the target price to find, so avoid trading with high expectations and over-predictions. Finally, all transactions must always comply with capital management and SL. This is The most important thing that the channel always tells you is to not get too excited when you win and when SL loses, feel lucky because you lose only a part of your account, so that your mentality is comfortable and you are not afraid of losing or holding on to negative too much.
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Jesse Colombo, an independent precious metals analyst and founder of BubbleBubble Report, believes that the price of this precious metal will trade in the range of 2,650-2,700 USD/ounce and notes that investors can buy when the price drops.
16 Wall Street experts participated in the latest Kitco News Gold Survey. Of which, 7 experts (equivalent to 44%) said that gold prices will increase this week. 3 experts (19%) predicted that gold prices will decrease. The remaining 6 (37%) believe that gold will trade sideways.
In addition, 104 retail investors, or 59%, of the 176 Main Street investors surveyed expect gold to continue its upward trend. Another 36, or 20.5%, said the yellow metal would trade lower, and the remaining 38, or 20.5%, were neutral on gold prices this week.
XAU/USD getting ready for another rally?Gold appears to be generating significant liquidity, suggesting a potential setup for another rally to the upside. We’re seeing liquidity engineering, which points toward the possibility of gold making a push to retest all-time highs.
I’m watching for a chance to capitalize on this move. There’s a 1-hour demand zone just below a pool of liquidity that has recently triggered a change of character (CHOCH) to the upside. I’ll be looking for price to mitigate that demand zone before taking liquidity higher.
Confluences for Gold Buys:
- Gold is consolidating, likely preparing for a breakout.
- Trendline liquidity to the upside still needs to be taken.
- The 1-hour demand zone has caused a CHOCH to the upside.
- Gold remains bullish, aligning with the overall trend.
- The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of bearishness from its supply zone, supporting the bullish outlook for gold.
Note: If price continues to drop and fails to hold at the 1-hour demand zone, I’ll anticipate it to fill the imbalance below and mitigate the 10-hour demand zone. This area is another point of interest where a potential bullish rally for gold could form.
XAUUSD sell setup from the resistanceXauusd despite good NFP and unemployment rate gold recovered on Friday lows, Expecting the bullish momentum till 2672-78 from which we can expect sell till 2641.5
As on weekly chart we see bull don't have much moment left as of now which indicates a clear retracement .
My target is 2641.5