Gold market analysis strategyThe release of the data has brought significant market fluctuations. PPI is an important indicator to measure price changes in the production process. It reflects changes in production costs and has a more far-reaching impact on the market. Initial jobless claims data provides the latest updates on the US employment situation from the perspective of the labor market and is an important reference for investors to judge the health of the economy. After the release of the US PPI data for January, the gold market has fluctuated significantly. Spot gold rose by $10, reaching a high of $2,917.61 per ounce, an intraday increase of 0.31%; although the PPI data did not have a greater impact on the market's expectations of the Fed's rate cut, the rising inflationary pressure it reflected still prompted investors to seek safe-haven assets such as gold.
Yesterday, gold fluctuated downward in the Asia and Europe sessions, and the price fell to a low of 2864 in the evening before starting a counterattack. As of today, it has risen to 2922. Judging from yesterday's trend, the first half of the session was running well, and there was a Jedi counterattack in the evening. At the same time, today's rebound high exceeded our expectations. Judging from the current market, the daily chart shows signs of a V. Yesterday's bottoming out and rebound directly limited the extent of today's adjustment. Judging from the trend chart, the volatile trend has not changed. Gold closed with a long upper shadow in the previous 4 hours. Gold is now under pressure at the top of the entity in the previous 4 hours. Gold has begun to stagnate. Gold is currently priced at 2920 in the US market, so go short directly!
Xauusdupdates
High pressure small gold range shock accumulation sprintYesterday, gold was affected by the data and hit the lowest point of 63 in the US market. Then it began to bottom out and rebound. As of now, it has reached the highest point near 22 again. The upward movement in the morning, the sideways movement in the European market is the biggest driving force for the bulls. The US market still has room to continue to attack, and the first target above is maintained at the high point of 30 at the second upward retracement. This position can also be used as a head and shoulders top pattern in the later stage. After all, it has been in a strong position since the upward movement. It is precisely because the bulls are aimlessly moving upward that the market has a strong sense of fear. Both the long and short positions are on the verge of danger. The market is still bullish, but for those who are afraid of heights, it still takes great courage to continue to buy at the current price. The support below is maintained near the retracement low of 09-08 in the European session, which is also near the previous high point. However, the current market is somewhat incredible and may be swept. In the evening, we will first short around 2930-31, with the target around 2910-00 and a stop loss of 2938.5.
Gold evening market analysisThe gold daily line shows a trend of closing down with a big negative line at a high level, and the Bollinger Bands also show signs of closing. However, from the current technical perspective alone, it is not enough to determine that the top has formed. The main basis is that the unilateral moving average has not broken, and the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average have not turned downward, which means that gold still has the possibility of rising. If the daily line continues to close with a big positive line this week, the double top position of 2942 above may also be broken. It can be seen that the current technical aspect shows an overall bullish trend. If the unilateral moving average does not break, the downward trend will be difficult to continue; and if the key resistance level of 2942 is not broken, it will be difficult for gold to usher in a new round of substantial gains. Based on this, it is expected that gold will maintain a long-term volatile trend at a high level. Focus on the two key resistance levels of 2930 and 2942 above, and pay attention to the support of 2875 and 2830 below. The limit support is expected to be 2800.
100% ProfitableAggressive: short at 11.5, short at 18-24, stop loss: 7 points for each, or 27. Target: 96-82, continue to reduce holdings if it breaks;
◆Long order◆
Aggressive: long at 78.5, long at 72-66, stop loss: 7 points for each stop loss, or unified stop loss at 62. Target: Continue to reduce the position after breaking through 92-98-06; Target: 92-98-06 breaks the position and continues to reduce the price;
Gold still has not shown a good downward trend as we analyzed in the morning. Don’t chase short positions until they are in place;
Intraday strategy ideas: Today is Monday, we will consume the weekend news, prevent extreme market conditions, and strictly control positions; most orders have been taken out of the market at present, and continue to short after the European session. The 05 short position should be guaranteed. After the principal is guaranteed, you can enter the short position between 06-08. After the position is broken, just enter the market according to the strategy. Set a stop loss and wait patiently;
Golden Evening ThoughtsGold, the price rebounded to 2906 in the morning and then turned to consolidation, now at 2900; the 4H chart structure is oscillating, the daily chart structure is empty, and the main empty idea is maintained in the evening; short-term resistance is 2904-2906, strong resistance is 2910; short-term support is 2896-2894, strong support is 2892-2888, and it will break down to 2877;
In terms of operation, the market will be closed early in the evening, and the main empty idea above 2904 in the morning will be maintained;
Sell near 2904, protect 2914, and target 2890-2877;
Gold in-depth analysis and trading strategiesAs of now, the international spot gold price (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,882.53 per ounce, down 1.56% from the previous trading day. The adjustment comes after the gold price hit an all-time high of $2,942.71 per ounce on February 11, driven by strong demand from central banks, institutional investors and retail buyers. Key factors affecting the market include:
- Monetary policy uncertainty: The Fed's mixed signals on interest rates (10% chance of a rate hike in March) and persistent inflation concerns continue to weigh on market sentiment.
- Geopolitical risks: The trade dispute caused by escalating tensions in the Middle East and the US steel/aluminum tariffs (25% implemented on March 12) supported safe-haven demand.
- Economic data: Weak US retail sales (down 0.9% month-on-month in January) contrasted with firm core inflation (up 3.0% year-on-year), creating a stagflationary environment that is favorable for gold.
.Key drivers for the week ahead
A. Macro events and data:
| Feb 19 | Fed minutes | Hawkish tone could weigh on gold; dovish cues could spur buying. |
| Feb 20 | US core PCE inflation (January) | Higher-than-expected data (+0.3% MoM) could heighten rate hike fears, test $2,800 support. |
| Feb 21-22 | G20 finance ministers meeting | Focus on global trade policy; escalating tariff dispute could spur safe-haven flows. |
B. Technical levels
- Support: $2,850 (100-day SMA), $2,800 (psychological level).
- Resistance: $2,940 (recent high), $2,950 (Heraeus 2025 cap target).
C. Geopolitical risks:
- Middle East: Any escalation in tensions between Iran and Israel could trigger a surge in gold prices to $3,000.
- US-China trade: New tariff threats (e.g. on critical minerals) could exacerbate stagflation concerns.
Technical Analysis and Price Prediction
A. Trend Analysis:
- Daily Chart: Gold has been trading within a bullish channel since late 2024. The recent pullback to $2,880, in line with the 50-day SMA ($2,860), suggests consolidation before a renewed upward move.
- Key Indicators:
- RSI: Neutral at 45, no overbought/oversold signals.
- MACD: Bearish crossover but narrowing divergence, suggesting weakening downside momentum.
Trading strategy recommendations
- Short-term traders:
- Long entry: Buy around $2,850 with a stop loss of $2,820; target price is $2,920.
- Short entry: Sell on a rebound to $2,930-2,940; stop loss above $2,950.
- Long-term investors: Buy on dips below $2,850 with a target price of $3,000-3,200 by mid-2025.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Today's xauusd trend shows obvious signals!!!Since this week, the gold market has fluctuated upward on Monday, unilaterally rose on Tuesday, and may adjust on Wednesday. With the accumulation of market sentiment, it is expected to break through the previous highs on Thursday and Friday and continue to explore the 2980-3000 area.
Gold technical analysis:
From the technical analysis point of view, the gold four-hour K-line chart clearly shows a triple top pattern. The 2940 line is like an insurmountable natural gap. Every time the K-line touches this point, it will be ruthlessly blocked. At present, the deviation between the K-line and the moving average is large. According to market rules, the K-line will most likely move closer to the moving average in the short term. After careful analysis, the moving average is near 2910, which has become our expected target price. At present, we will still focus on the highs of 2940-2950. This is the third time that the point 0 has been touched. If there are repeated fluctuations here and no historical highs are broken, I still think that gold will continue to fall and continue to maintain box-shaped fluctuations. This is the current market trend!
Overall, today's short-term gold operation strategy is mainly to short on rebound and long on pullback. In the short term, pay attention to the upper pressure 2940-2942 line resistance, and pay attention to the lower support 2916-2905. Now we will wait patiently for a suitable trading plan.
Mr. Baker OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
XAUUSD Breakout or Pullback? Planning for My Next Move!👀 👉 XAUUSD is currently moving sideways within a range. I’m watching for a potential buying opportunity if it breaks above the range high or pulls back to a key support level. In the video, we discuss how price action might develop and what to watch for when identifying trade opportunities. Here, I’m sharing my trading plan and my approach to analyzing price action, market structure, and trends to spot potential setups. 🚨 Not financial advice.
XAUUSD: Short-term strategyGold's daily surge hit the previous high again. After the previous M-top was formed, it retreated and tested the MA10-day moving average at 2877, then stopped at the 7/10-day moving average and continued to open upward. The RSI indicator continued to run above the high of 70, and the daily price structure was running in the bullish trend channel!
The short-term four-hour chart shows that after the price rose again above the 2900 mark, the MA10/7-day moving average formed a golden cross and opened upward and gradually moved up to 2917/23. The price is running in the upper and middle rail channels of the hourly and four-hour Bollinger bands. Today's trading idea is to buy at a low price during the intraday correction, and then consider selling at a high price.
At present, gold is in a slow rise. Judging from the current trend, the bull market pattern has not been destroyed. The daily line maintains a unilateral rise, and the MA5-MA10 moving average maintains a golden cross upward; the weekly line has risen for 7 consecutive weeks, strongly opening the upper rail space of the Bollinger band, and the bullish sentiment is high. Since the key point of 2906 has been successfully broken through and stabilized yesterday, the intraday situation is strong, and the operation still maintains a bullish idea of callback!
From the technical form of the small cycle, the support level is near 2913. It is worth noting that the 1-hour gold price broke through the position of 2913 after the bottom shock and sideways trading. Since 2877, the low point has been continuously raised and the high point has broken upward. As long as the bulls do not lose the support point of 2913 today, the upward direction will not change. Unless the position of 2913 is lost again in the future market, they will consider participating in selling. The bulls pay attention to the pressure of 2940-42.
Key points:
First support: 2928, second support: 2920, third support: 2913
First resistance: 2942, second resistance: 2948, third resistance: 2956
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2913-2915, SL: 2904, TP: 2930-2940;
SELL: 2948-2950, SL: 2959, TP: 2930-2920;
XAUUSD: BUYThe momentum above is strong, and the New York market is about to close, so the increase still needs to be driven by the Asian market. Today's highest price is 2936. If XAUUSD falls back to 2933-2930, I think this is the last time to buy before the market closes, just as the reason for buying below 2900 mentioned before the market closes yesterday is the same. The price of XAUUSD still has a lot of room to rise. Subsequent markets are needed to show the increase on the chart. If you didn't see what I posted yesterday and didn't follow it, then remember not to miss such an opportunity today.
XAUUSD: Buy gold again to get excess profitsBefore the market closed yesterday, the continuous announcement of the recommendation to buy XAUUSD below 2900 began. As of now, the gold price has risen to 2933. For those who pay attention to trading opportunities and execute buy orders, this is a good profit.
At present, the price of gold is around 2932. I think the momentum of gold's short-term rise is still very strong. Before that, when the price of gold fell back to 2916 and 2925, buying opportunities were released respectively. I believe that many people followed the precise instructions and made good transactions.
If you continue to hold a buy order, don't worry about continuing to hold it. If you are still on the sidelines, you can buy at the current price and wait for the rise of XAUUSD. The target is to close near 2940 and then lock in profits.
If you are a short trader, you can sell XAUUSD near the high pressure position above 2940 and wait for a technical pullback. You can leave me a message at any time if you have any questions. I will reply in time when I see it. If you don't want to miss any real-time news. It is best to keep paying attention to avoid missing important trading opportunities and regret it.
XAUUSD:Buy XAUUSD again. Major positive pushAfter the last XAUUSD transaction reached the target position. Prepare to buy XAUUSD at a low position again to make a profit.
Observe the 30-minute chart combined with SMA. The short-term momentum of 2936 is very sufficient. Aggressive traders can choose to buy near the current price of 2927. Conservative traders can choose to buy below 2925.
Long xauusd again made a big profitAfter the last transaction, the order successfully reached tp. The trader who followed made a good profit on the last transaction because the increase was more than 30 p.
The current position of gold price is around 2930, facing the upper pressure level. Combining technical indicators and trend lines to judge that the short-term gold price will be blocked and then sharply corrected and fell.
The upper pressure level that needs to be paid attention to is around 2940.
If you are concerned about when the gold price will fall and have seen this article, then you can consider following the trading plan to short.
Xauusd: Sell, 2930. Sl2945. Tp2900.
Gold–A Bullish Revival or Just a Correction After Friday's Drop?Yesterday was a very quiet day for TRADENATION:XAUUSD traders.
After a normal rebound from the 2880 support, the price hovered around 2900 in a low-volatility environment.
Overnight, bulls found some strength and pushed the price to a high of 2916. At the time of writing, Gold is trading around 2910.
In my view, this is merely a correction following Friday’s sharp drop, not a resumption of the bullish trend. As I mentioned yesterday, I am looking to sell rallies.
My idea would be invalidated by a daily close above Friday’s high.
As for the target, in the medium term, we could see the price drop to 2850.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold strategy, this week's target is 300%Today, the international gold price continued its upward trend, with spot gold hitting a high of $2,912.31 per ounce, up 0.51% from the previous trading day. This rise was mainly driven by multiple factors, including the weakening of the US dollar index, rising geopolitical risks, and continued gold purchases by global central banks. Institutions such as Goldman Sachs have raised their gold price forecasts to $3,100 per ounce by the end of 2025, and even believe that if policy uncertainty intensifies, it may reach $3,300 per ounce.
The situation between Russia and Ukraine remains the focus of the market. The US-Russia talks held in Saudi Arabia may have a direct impact on the situation. If the negotiations break down or the conflict escalates, the safe-haven property of gold will be further highlighted.
The recent US tariff policy and trade war concerns continue to ferment, pushing investors to turn to gold to hedge risks.
Pattern analysis:
Resistance level: The upper resistance during the day is concentrated in the range of 2916-2920 US dollars. If it breaks through, it may test 2940 US dollars (previous high point).
Support level: The lower support is at 2880-2872 US dollars. If it falls below, it may trigger a short-term correction.
It is recommended to continue to operate in the range, short at highs and long at lows, and do not blindly place orders in the middle
I am a professional trading analyst. I hope my analysis is helpful to you. You can also click on my link.
XAUUSDAffected by the holiday in the USA, the gold price fluctuated in a narrow range yesterday, with a slight increase on the daily line. The overall trend is in line with our expectations. The price failed to form an effective continuation after the decline. After rising to 2940 last week, it encountered secondary suppression and then fell sharply. This week, the price did not break the previous low, continuing the pattern of nearly a year. The price briefly stabbed the support and then quickly repaired the decline. The main chart currently shows a weak short signal, but further confirmation is needed. The sub-chart MACD indicator is glued at a high level, with signs of forming a dead cross, suggesting a risk of decline.
If the 4-hour candle falls below the support, it will rise sharply, and the price will temporarily recover some of the lost ground, but the rebound strength is weak. Focus on the recovery of the 26-day moving average. If the price re-stands on the moving average, it is expected to start a wide range of oscillations.
In the medium and long term, the gold price is still in an upward trend, and a decline of tens of dollars in the short term is unlikely to change the trend direction. Regardless of whether 2942 is a stage top, the construction and confirmation of the head pattern requires a repeated process.
From the daily chart, gold is still in an upward trend, and the trend has not changed, but the current momentum is gradually weakening, and the upper 2942 is also the previous high position, which is of reference significance from a technical perspective. The market may form a wide range of fluctuations at a high level.
From the 4-hour chart, the gold bullish arrangement is still intact, and it can rebound effectively when it touches the middle track of the Bollinger Bands. At present, it encounters resistance at 2942 near the previous high, and there is a potential double top to be played. And due to the excessive stretching of the previous bulls, it often takes a period of adjustment. Therefore, without further news stimulation, it is unlikely that gold will rise fiercely, and you can capture the callback market.
This week, pay attention to the competition between the high point 2942 and the neckline 2865. After the second high and then falling back, the 4-hour chart has the possibility of constructing a double top callback. This week, focus on the neckline 2865. The loss of this position will further deepen the adjustment space. Intraday trading is mainly based on callback buying, supplemented by rebound selling!
Key points:
First support: 2888, second support: 2880, third support: 2873
First resistance: 2910, second resistance: 2918, third resistance: 2924
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2883-2885, SL: 2874, TP: 2910-2920;
SELL: 2910-2913, SL: 2922, TP: 2890-2880;
Will gold fall again after stabilizing and rebounding?In terms of short-term gold operation ideas, it is recommended to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2916-2920 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2890-2895 line of support. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, and set a stop loss strictly.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2916-2920, stop loss 6 points, target around 2900-2895, break to see 2890 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2890-2893, stop loss 6 points, target around 2900-2910, break to see 2915 line;
XAUUSD:Continue to increase the buying power of XAUUSDYesterday emphasized the purchase of xauusd below 2900 points before the market closed. After the London market started today. XAUUSD perfectly reached the target range and closed the order to lock in profits.
Now the buying opportunity comes again. XAUUSD is about to rise sharply, which will be shown on the chart in the London market or the New York market.
BUY:2911.5
TP2921.5
SL2900
If you don't know how to trade correctly. Then start with this buy order.
GOLD → Bullish, News-Driven PriceGold (XAU/USD) Outlook: Navigating Key Support Amid Economic Uncertainty
Gold prices remain in a bullish trend, rebounding from previously tested trend support and signaling a potential upside continuation. The metal’s safe-haven appeal remains intact as global economic uncertainties persist, driving investor interest. However, market sentiment is influenced by key geopolitical and macroeconomic developments.
Geopolitical & Economic Factors Influencing Gold
Investors remain highly cautious ahead of the upcoming US-Russia discussions in Saudi Arabia, where efforts to negotiate a resolution to the Ukraine conflict will take center stage. Any significant breakthroughs or escalations from these talks could inject volatility into the markets, impacting gold’s movement.
Meanwhile, a weak risk appetite is currently supporting the US dollar. The greenback is benefiting from cautious rhetoric by Federal Reserve officials, who continue to express concerns about inflation. Policymakers are urging patience in easing monetary policy, which reduces the likelihood of imminent rate cuts. The market’s focus now shifts to upcoming Fed speeches and the release of the January FOMC meeting minutes, which could provide further insights into the central bank’s stance on interest rates.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels & Market Structure
In the Asian trading session, gold successfully broke above the 2905 level, which now serves as a critical support zone. This level has historically played a key role in price action, and its ability to hold could determine gold’s short-term trajectory.
Immediate resistance levels: 2922 and 2938
Support levels: 2905 and 2893
The most probable scenario is a retest of the 2905 support zone, given the existing liquidity interest below this level. However, the broader bullish trend suggests that any dips are likely to be met with renewed buying pressure. Additionally, an imbalance in favor of buyers could continue pushing the price upward.
A decisive breakout and consolidation above 2915 could act as a catalyst for further gains, potentially driving the price toward the next key resistance levels. Conversely, if gold fails to maintain support, a deeper retracement toward 2893 could unfold before any renewed bullish momentum takes over.
Conclusion
Gold’s price action remains highly sensitive to both economic and geopolitical developments. While the broader uptrend remains intact, short-term fluctuations driven by risk sentiment, Federal Reserve commentary, and geopolitical negotiations will play a crucial role. Traders and investors should closely monitor price reactions at key support and resistance levels, as well as upcoming macroeconomic events, to assess the next move in XAU/USD.
XAU/USD 18 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
As mentioned in analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
H15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative Scenario:
As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD: A new increase is about to start. 2930Yesterday emphasized the purchase of xauusd before the market closed. After the London market started today. XAUUSD perfectly reaches the target range and the order is closed to lock in profits.
The second stage of the XAUUSD rebound is about to begin. The current XAUUSD price is around 2911, and the overall position is maintained at the bottom of the box oscillation. In the technical support and combined with the boost of the news, the operation can still be mainly bought.
The target is about 2920-2930. The overall increase is 10p-20p. If you like this profit, you can buy it at the current price.
XAUUSD: Buy near 2910
sl2900
tp2920-2930