XAUUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Xauusdupdates
XAUUSD Trade LogXAUUSD Daily/Monthly Long Setup
Trade Logic:
- Setup: Long position initiated within a high-confluence zone supported by multiple technical and structural factors.
- Confluence Factors:
- Daily/Monthly Buy Signal: Higher timeframe signals indicate strong bullish momentum and continuation potential.
- Trendline Support: Price has respected a long-term ascending trendline, acting as dynamic support.
- Fair Value Gap (FVG): Entry aligns with a daily FVG in a discount zone, offering a high-probability long opportunity.
- Kijun Support: Both daily and weekly Kijun lines provide additional support confluence.
- Liquidity Zone: Recent sweep of liquidity below equal lows clears the path for a bullish reversal.
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
- Stop-loss set below the trendline and daily FVG for tight risk management.
- 1:3 RRR targeting the weak high at 2,910 , with secondary targets near 3,000 for extended profits.
Macro Context:
- Market Sentiment: Safe-haven demand for gold is rising amid geopolitical and economic uncertainty, aligning with bullish technical signals.
- Dollar Weakness: Weakening USD supports upside momentum in XAUUSD.
- Volume Profile: Strong buy-side volume near key support levels indicates institutional participation.
Execution Plan:
- Long entry near the confluence zone of the trendline, FVG, and Kijun support.
- Maintain stop-loss below the daily FVG to manage risk effectively.
- First target near 2,910 , with extended targets at 3,000 for partial or full profit-taking.
- Reassess position if price closes below the trendline or invalidates the daily buy signal.
Extra Note: Monitor macroeconomic events such as interest rate announcements or geopolitical developments that could affect gold prices. Let me know if further adjustments are needed!
GOLD Awaits Breakout Amid Key Data Releases!
GOLD is forming a symmetrical triangle, signaling a potential breakout soon. The price is consolidating near the 2675-2681 resistance zone, a key area to watch.
The PPI data released yesterday slightly disappointed dollar buyers, offering support to the forex market and causing a small correction in gold. Looking ahead, CPI data could bring further support to the market and drive volatility.
If GOLD breaks above 2681, we could see an upward move toward higher levels. However, a failure to hold above this zone may trigger a bearish breakdown toward lower supports.
Resistance: 2675, 2681, 2690
Support: 2667, 2656
The triangle’s apex suggests a decisive move is imminent.
Watch the CPI data and stay alert for the breakout! 🚨
XAU/USD 14 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Yesterday's Intraday expectation was not met with price failing to target weak internal high, printing a bearish iBOS. Internal structure has now aligned itself with swing structure.
This could potentially be an early indication that both Daily and H4 pullback phases are incomplete. It would also be useful to remember that Weekly TF remains in its bearish pullback phase.
Price subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH thereby confirming internal range and indication of bullish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has yet to trade in to premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone. Expectation is for price to target weak internal low, priced at 2,656.880.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
1/14 Gold Trading StrategiesTrading Strategy:
SELL 2677-2684
TP 2664-2652
Resistance is located between 2677 and 2684, while support is between 2656 and 2648.
On the 1-hour chart, this pullback has not broken below the support zone, so the overall trend remains bullish. During this rebound, the key resistance lies in the 2677-2684 range. If the resistance is not broken, a retest of the support becomes inevitable. Based on the current indicators and market structure, the probability of a breakout seems low. Therefore, the trading strategy is to focus on shorting around the resistance zone.
Gold could drop back to 2600Last week was a particularly choppy one for gold. While the 2680 target was reached and even exceeded, with a peak near the critical 2700 level, trading conditions were difficult due to sharp and unpredictable price movements in both directions.
Yesterday, the price dropped significantly, forming a clear bearish engulfing pattern on the daily chart. When combined with last week's choppy price action, this indicates we may be on the verge of a downside reversal.
My strategy is to sell during rallies, targeting 2600, with a stop loss or invalidation level above 2700.
Gold Breakout and Retest in Play"This chart shows **gold's (XAU/USD)** price action on the **2-hour timeframe** with some key elements:
OANDA:XAUUSD
1. **Break of Structure (BoS) and Change of Character (ChoCh):**
- Upward trendlines marked multiple BoS points, indicating higher highs and higher lows during the uptrend.
- A significant **ChoCh** occurred after the upward trendline broke, suggesting a potential shift to a bearish trend.
2. **Breakout Zone:**
- The price broke below a key support area (gray box) and is now testing it as a resistance. This retest aligns with classic breakout-and-retest strategies.
3. **Projection:**
- The chart suggests a bearish move as the retest is expected to hold. The blue arrow projects a potential decline in price, with targets likely around **$2,650** or lower.
**Summary:**
This setup indicates a bearish sentiment. If the price fails to break above the resistance zone during the retest, it could confirm the downward move. Key levels to watch are the resistance zone around $2,670–$2,680 and potential targets around $2,650 and below.
XAUUSD going for new ATH!⭐After a beautifull double top pattern & a good correction GOLD seems to be ready for a new ATH this year!
📈XAUUSD is in a medium uptrend with obvious correction and momentum movements forming new LH(Lower High) & HH(Higher Highs) which further strengthens the upward trend! 📊After the FIB Retracement applied behind the representation, gold does not seem to change its trend anytime soon, but although it is close to a pullback in the 38.20 area, it does not represent such a strong upward trend that it does not try to go down at least in the GOLDEN ZONE (50%-61,80%)
📍US PPI and CPI data due later in the week
📍Dollar at its highest level in over two years
📍Market sees 25 bps reduction in rate cuts this year
💥Position Recommendations💥
Entry: 2650
Stop Loss: 2630
Take Profit 1: 2680
Take Profit 2: 2700
Take Profit 3: 2750 (I do not recommend only with subsequent confirmations)
Gold Fall Again Hello Dear traders! keep Support And share Your openion in commen section thanks for support
Date / 13/Jan/2025
Current Price Of Gold 2672
in my Technical analysis of the 4-hour Gold chart reveals a bearish trend Emerging from the resistance zone between 2,689.291 and 2,698.505. The price is showing signs of a potential reversal after hitting this resistance level, as indicated by the highlighted circle suggesting a double-top pattern formation. The current price action is further supported by the presence of two resistance levels at 2,726.008 and 2,716.732 above it.
We should watch for a potential downward movement towards the first target point (Tp1) at 2,645, which aligns with previous support area further confirmed by past price interactions around these levels.
If selling pressure persists beyond Tp1, an extended decline may lead to reaching a possible target point at 2,605 - an area providing significant buying interest historically around this level ,
In concluding thoughts: cautious we may consider shorting opportunities below support breakouts while monitoring market sentiment shifts that could affect gold volatility going forward into mid-January trading sessions based on current analyses presented visually through TradingView platform insights provided before liquidity pools adjust accordingly during futures settlements near month-end closeouts ahead leading up until then overarching macroeconomic factors governing commodity dynamics globally speaking too possibly influencing any sudden directional changes thereby affecting projected outcomes unfavorably if not counteracted against appropriately leveraging hedge strategies
NOTE: This Analysis For Educational purpose only trade safe thanks
Xauusd buying target 2697 possibleHere's a summary of your updated XAU/USD trade plan:
Trade Plan
- _Entry Point_: 2668 (current)
- _Target_: 2697
- _Stop-Loss_: 2655
- _Total Pips Target_: 290 pips
Market Analysis
The XAU/USD is experiencing a bullish trend, driven by a weakening US dollar and increasing inflation concerns.
Technical Analysis
- _RSI Indicator_: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 50, indicating a bullish momentum.
- _Moving Averages_: The 50-day moving average is trending upwards, supporting the bullish view.
- _Support Levels_: The support levels at 2655 and 2650 could provide a buying opportunity in case of a pullback.
Risk Management
- _Risk-Reward Ratio_: Your risk-reward ratio is approximately 1:5.2, which is relatively aggressive.
- _Position Sizing_: Make sure to adjust your position size according to your risk tolerance and account size.
Trade Progress
You're currently 29 pips away from your initial target. Keep monitoring the market and adjust your strategy as needed.
Stay disciplined and stick to your trade plan. Good luck!
This chart of XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour time frame shows the This chart of XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour time frame shows the price moving within an ascending channel. Here’s a quick analysis based on the chart:
1. **Trend:**
The market is in a bullish trend, confirmed by the series of higher highs and higher lows within the channel.
2. **Possible Buy Zone:**
The price is approaching the lower boundary of the ascending channel, which could act as a dynamic support level. This is highlighted as a potential buy zone, aligning with the bullish structure.
3. **Target Zone:**
If the price respects the support and moves higher, the target would likely be near the upper boundary of the channel, around the 2,700.000 level.
4. **Break of Structure (BoS):**
The highlighted BoS areas indicate that buyers are stepping in at key levels, supporting the upward trend.
5. **Volume:**
There seems to be increasing volume as the price reaches the support zone, which may indicate growing interest in the area.
**Key Points:**
- Look for bullish confirmation near the lower boundary of the channel before entering a buy position.
- Set a stop-loss slightly below the channel to manage risk.
- First target: Mid-channel or 2,690.000 zone; extended target: Near 2,700.000.
Gold Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionGold prices extended their rally last week, shrugging off a strong U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report that added 256,000 jobs in December, far exceeding expectations. The unemployment rate dipped to 4.1%, highlighting the resilience of the U.S. labour market.
Despite this, inflationary concerns persist, with consumers expecting higher prices in the coming year, as revealed by the University of Michigan sentiment survey. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve remains cautious, with mixed signals from officials on interest rate adjustments.
This video analyzes Gold’s bullish momentum amid these macroeconomic factors and explores key zones for trading opportunities in the week ahead.
👉 What to expect:
📈 Price action insights for Gold (XAUUSD)
🔎 Key levels for swing trading setups
📊 Impact of economic fundamentals on market trends
📌 Don’t miss out—watch now
#XAUUSD #GoldMarket #FedRates #TrumpTariffs #TradingStrategy
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAU/USD 13 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation was met with price successfully targeting weak internal high.
Price subsequently printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH.
We are currently trading within an established range
Price has traded in to discount of internal 50% EQ.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to target weak internal high, priced at 2,697.950.
Price could potentially trade down to M15 demand zone to sweep liquidity before targeting weak internal high.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold Outlook: Higher Lows Signal Continued Upside PotentialYesterday was a pretty volatile day for gold, with the price briefly dropping to 2615.
However, bulls quickly regained control, pushing the price back above the 2635–2640 support zone and establishing a higher low in the broader trend.
Currently, the price is stable above this key support level and is challenging interim resistance at 2650.
A successful break above this resistance could open the door for a move toward 2680, with further upside targets at the significant 2700 level and the technical resistance at 2715.
I remain bullish as long as yesterday's low at 2615 remains unbroken.
GOLD prediaction analysisXAUUSD Intraday Outlook: Bullish momentum persists, driven by strong market sentiment and technical support. A breakout above key resistance could open the path for further gains. Long positions remain favorable, with caution around potential consolidations or retracements for more look the chart
XAUUS/Gold Post NFP Day/Beginning of New WeekDuring pre-NFP analysis we have suggested few levels where sell & buy risk can be taken for at least 60- 120 pips favorable move.
By recalling that 2680/2681 sell pre-NFP given 160 pips quick profitable move. 2690/2696 post-NFP Sell Given 160+ pips favorable move.
Coming towards todays/current week stance, we are considering 2695/2708/2733 levels as resistance and unlikely to sustained above during current week. While 2665/2639/2612 can act as support.
President Donald Trump 2nd inauguration is scheduled on Monday Jan 20, 2025, and before that we may see gold is trading between 2733 - 2612 in big range of 121 points or 12100 pips range. Personally, I think strength would give sell opportunities.
Tell about your idea by commenting on the post.