Xauusd | Market break the point 2770-2769 ?XAUUSD 2,770 885 | 27/January/2025 ( Market break the point 2770-2769 )
- This video is based on Educational Purposes
In Our Past Commentary we discuss that market should close the candle below the 2770-2769 area and Currently market is at 2770.885 which is quite close
So what will be the Possible Scenarios ?
- Bearish Scenario : If Market closed the candle below our Observation point we will hold our positions to 2760 point and we are confident market will touched at 2750.00 so basically there are two regions (2750 and 2739) which are indicated trying to push from levels .Although if candles closed below this region our expectations would be to touched 2680.00 area a new lowest point
- Bullish Scenario : if Market cant break the Support level which is at 2770 - 2769 area we are going to expect the All time high at 2790 to 2800.00 area
Xauusdupdates
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull or Bear trade at any point after the breakout.
Buy entry above 2725.00
Sell Entry below 2690.00
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Goal 🎯: Bullish Robbers TP 2790.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Bearish Robbers TP 2660.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
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Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The XAU/USD (Gold) market is expected to move in a bullish direction, driven by several key factors.
BULLISH FACTORS:
Global Economic Uncertainty: The ongoing global economic uncertainty, including the COVID-19 pandemic and trade tensions, is expected to increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Central Bank Policies: The central banks' dovish monetary policies, including interest rate cuts and quantitative easing, are expected to support gold prices by increasing liquidity and reducing the costs.
Inflation Expectations: The rising inflation expectations, driven by the increasing money supply and the potential for higher commodity prices, are expected to support gold prices as a hedge against inflation.
Geopolitical Tensions: The ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the US-China trade war and the Middle East conflicts, are expected to increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
UPCOMING FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:
US Federal Reserve Meeting: The upcoming US Federal Reserve meeting is expected to result in a decision to keep interest rates low, which could support gold prices.
US GDP Growth: The upcoming US GDP growth report is expected to show a slowdown in economic growth, which could increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
China's Economic Data: The upcoming China's economic data, including GDP growth and industrial production, is expected to show a slowdown in economic growth, which could increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Commodity Prices: The upcoming commodity prices report is expected to show an increase in commodity prices, which could support gold prices as a hedge against inflation.
MARKET SENTIMENT:
Bullish Sentiment: 60%
Bearish Sentiment: 30%
Neutral Sentiment: 10%
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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XAUUSD Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Stick to shorting goldDear Traders,
As I mentioned in my previous update, we can still consider shorting gold around the 2785 level, anticipating a short-term pullback to the 2770-2760 range.
Currently, gold has reached a high of 2785, just a step away from the previous high of 2790. At this stage, technical indicators have become less significant, with the 2790 resistance zone and the psychological level of 2800 serving as the primary reference points for initiating short positions.
Although gold is demonstrating strong bullish momentum, I sense some signs of a "short squeeze." If profit-taking or a sell-off of profit-holding positions occurs, gold could experience a sharp correction. For this reason, despite the strong uptrend, I remain cautious and refrain from chasing the rally. Instead, I continue to utilize the **2790-2800** resistance zone as a basis for attempting short positions.
Bros, are you still optimistic about the decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Continue and try to short gold with a target of 2760Dear traders.
Gold unexpectedly accelerated during the early hours, surging to around 2778, which was beyond my expectations.Gold has currently reached a maximum of around 2785.
It’s evident that the only significant resistance lies at the previous high of 2790 or the psychological level of 2800, leaving limited upside room. Therefore, I continue to advise against chasing long positions on gold in the short term. At this stage, technical indicators have been significantly overshadowed, and market sentiment has become a more critical factor to monitor.
In the context of short-term trading, I recommend avoiding long positions to reduce the risk of being trapped at high levels in the event of a sharp selloff triggered by profit-taking or liquidation of long positions. Instead, I prefer taking short positions with well-defined stop-loss levels. Even if gold continues to rise and hits the SL, the loss will be manageable, and the capital will remain intact. On the other hand, if a sudden crash occurs, short positions could yield significant profits.
Bros, are you still optimistic about the decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
GOLD MAKE NEW RECORD 2840 This chart is an analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) market on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's the breakdown:
1. Trend Overview:
The price is moving in an upward channel (marked by parallel yellow lines), indicating a bullish trend.
There was consolidation earlier, as shown by the blue shaded channel, but the breakout above this zone signals bullish momentum.
2. Key Levels:
Demand Zone (Resistance): 2840. This is highlighted as a potential resistance area where the price may struggle to break higher.
First Take Profit (TP): 2800. This is the initial target for profit-taking based on the analysis.
Stop Loss (SL): 2748. The stop-loss level is set below recent price support to minimize risk in case the market reverses.
3. Price Movement Expectation:
The yellow arrows indicate an expected upward movement. The price is predicted to move towards 2800 (first TP) and possibly continue towards 2840 (demand zone).
Pullbacks or retests are expected along the way to maintain the bullish structure.
4. Risk Management:
The stop-loss at 2748 ensures risk is contained if the upward momentum fails.
The chart suggests entering around the current level (2773) to target the resistance levels while maintaining proper risk-reward.
This setup relies on the continuation of bullish momentum, with clear entry, target, and risk levels defined
XAU/USD 24 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 January 2025, however, CHoCH positioning has changed, bringing it closer to current price action.
Previous analysis has been met. Following price printing bearish CHoCH, price has printed a further bullish iBOS. This has significantly narrowed the internal range.
Price did not trade into either discount of 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, however, on this occasion I will remain systematic in my approach and revisit later.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with s blue dotted line.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis by trading down to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS and subsequently as bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pulback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,778.455.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD Analysis: Strong Bullish Outlook and Key Trading LevelsAs you know, my overall outlook on Gold (XAU/USD) is bullish, and I anticipate a new all-time high in the near future.
However, yesterday, I highlighted the potential for a short-term correction, identifying the 2725-2730 zone as possible support.
While the price did experience a pullback, it didn’t quite reach this level, but my pending sell order wasn’t activated either. As a result, I stayed out of the market.
Looking at price action since the start of the year, it’s evident that every dip has been aggressively bought.
This was especially clear yesterday, as after a significant rally and the test of a key resistance level, the price didn’t even manage to drop to the median line of the ascending channel.
The conclusion is simple: XAU/USD is strongly bullish.
Key Levels and Strategy:
In this context, the only viable strategy is to buy dips. The key levels of interest are:
• 2760 – a critical level to watch for potential entries.
• 2735 – yesterday’s low and another area of potential support.
The next target for a potential high could be set around 2840, based on the current market structure.
Final Thoughts
Given the strong bullish momentum, patience and precise entries will be essential for achieving good risk:reward. Look for pullbacks to the key levels mentioned above as opportunities to join the trend.
Happy trading, and let’s aim for that new all-time high!
Short-Term Red Flags for Gold: Key Levels to WatchAs you know, I’ve been bullish on Gold for the past two weeks, anticipating a rise to around 2760 and potentially a new all-time high (ATH).
However, while my overall bullish outlook remains unchanged, there are some short-term red flags to consider.
Looking at the posted chart, we can see that yesterday, Gold broke above the channel’s resistance. Typically, such a breakout would lead to upward acceleration, at least in theory. Instead, the price touched the 2763 resistance level and then began rolling back down.
If Gold breaks back below the previously broken resistance, we could see a retest of the lower boundary of the channel, which sits around 2720 (a confluence support zone roughly 300 pips below current levels).
In conclusion, unless bulls can successfully push above 2760, the likelihood of a correction increases. While it’s a risky play, aggressive traders might consider shorting the market under these conditions.
XAU/USD 23 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 January 2025, however, CHoCH positioning has changed, bringing it closer to current price action.
Previous analysis has been met. Following price printing bearish CHoCH, price has printed a further bullish iBOS. This has significantly narrowed the internal range.
Price did not trade into either discount of 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, however, on this occasion I will remain systematic in my approach and revisit later.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with s blue dotted line.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As per yesterday's analysis, price printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, however, you will note I have marked the bearish CHoCH and bullish BOS in red. This is because pullback depth was not sufficient as price did not retrace to either discount (or anywhere near) of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone, therefore, I will monitor and continue to reevaluate as price prints.
Price has printed a higher high with a further bearish CHoCH.
We are now trading within an established internal structure which I will continue to evaluate.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,763.435
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Start shorting goldDear Traders,
Gold has now surged above 2750, with bullish momentum remaining robust. It appears that gold is showing signs of attempting to challenge the previous high of 2790. However, as prices continue to rise, the risks also increase. For short-term trading, I would avoid chasing long positions unless there is a significant pullback opportunity.
Despite gold's strong upward trajectory, I believe there are indications of a short squeeze. Therefore, I do not advocate aggressively pursuing further long positions at this stage. In the near term, gold faces resistance in the 2760–2765 range. If it fails to decisively break through this level, there is a high probability of a notable correction. Consequently, I currently prefer to explore opportunities to short gold, targeting the 2735–2730 zone, or potentially as low as 2720.
Bros, do you expect gold to retrace in the short term like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHello Everyone,
Here’s the latest update on the GOLD weekly chart we’ve been monitoring and trading, offering a detailed overview of the current range.
On the weekly timeframe, a strong resistance level is identified at 2790, which could trigger a reversal. As of now, we recommend holding off on trades since the price could reverse at any moment. Let’s wait for the NY session and keep our positions light.
To streamline your trades, we’ve outlined ENTRY LEVELS and TAKE PROFIT (TP) targets (TP1, TP2, TP3) based on the EMA5. The EMA5 crossing and sustaining above these weighted levels will determine subsequent targets.
Key Update:
ENTRY LEVEL: 2735
If a candle closes above this level and the EMA5 crosses it for confirmation, we will consider bullish entries.
First Target (TP1): 2877
To achieve the second target (TP2: 3018), wait for the EMA5 to close and lock above 2877.
Use the same strategy to target TP3: 3160
Rejection Scenario:
For ranging markets, focus on smaller timeframes (15M, 1H, 4H, 12H, Daily) to buy dips from weighted levels.
Target 120–140 pip moves, which are effective in these conditions while minimizing the risks associated with longer-term positions.
Dip-Buying Strategy:
Continue buying dips at support levels, aiming for 120 - 140 pips per trade.
Each level structure typically provides 60 - 80 pip bounces, making it ideal for accurate entries and exits.
Keep an eye on the EMA5 crossing and locking above or below the ENTRY LEVEL to confirm the next directional range.
Stay sharp and trade smart!
TheQuantumTraders
Continue to be bullish and wait for lows to buyGold prices continue to maintain a bullish trend structure intact. Today, we will follow the trend to find the low point to participate in buying. The daily line continues to rise strongly. The MA10/7-day moving average keeps opening upward and gradually moves up to 2702/2714. The Bollinger band opens upward and the RSI indicator turns upward. The short-term four-hour chart maintains a continuous new high and breaks through the 2740 mark. The moving average system keeps opening upward, the price runs along the upper track of the Bollinger band, and the RSI indicator reaches above 70. It is necessary to pay attention to the overbought situation before the US market today. Today's trading idea is to follow the trend and buy at a low price!
After the gold breakthrough, the gold bulls restarted. Now the bulls are still strong. The decline is an opportunity to go long. Gold has been rising all the way, and the gold bulls continue to be strong. The Asian market has fallen back and continued to go long. There is still room for gold bulls to go up.
Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to diverge upwards, and it is still the main field of bulls. The second highest point of gold, 2733, is now short-term support. Gold will continue to buy on dips when it falls back to 2733 in the Asian session. Don't rush to buy in the Asian session, and wait patiently for the opportunity to fall back. After all, gold is now far away from the moving average support. Wait patiently for the callback in the short term to continue to buy.
First support: 2740, second support: 2733, third support: 2726
First resistance: 2758, second resistance: 2766, third resistance: 2774
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2733-2735,
SELL: 2768-2770,
XAU/USD 22 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 21 January 2025, however, CHoCH positioning has changed, bringing it closer to current price action.
Previous analysis has been met. Following price printing bearish CHoCH, price has printed a further bullish iBOS. This has significantly narrowed the internal range.
Price did not trade into either discount of 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, however, on this occasion I will remain systematic in my approach and revisit later.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with s blue dotted line.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Yesterday's bias and analysis was met with price targeting weak internal high and printing a further bullish iBOS
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,758.670.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold- One step closer to new ATHYesterday, following a minor dip earlier in the day, Gold decisively broke above the 2720 resistance level and established a local high near the 2760 confluence resistance, formed by the horizontal level and the channel's resistance.
Currently, the price is undergoing a normal correction, which could provide traders with another opportunity to enter the market at more favorable levels.
The support zone begins around 2735 and extends to 2720, making this area an ideal spot for opening long trades.
In conclusion, the strategy remains unchanged: buying dips .
XAGUSD Ideathis pair is on a h4 timeframe resistance zone so we're looking for a short position on a lower timeframe
this is the ascending channel on M15 timeframe which is a valid trendline because o the 3 touches
now we're waiting for a M15 candle to close below the last touch standing on the trendline to enter a sell (short) position
Good luck fam
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