Gold's upward fluctuation is in line with expectations!Today's short-term gold operation strategy recommends buying on pullbacks and shorting on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2927-2930 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2900-2902 line of support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the position in batches near 2927-2930 in the early trading of gold, stop loss 8 points, target near 2910-2900, break to see 2890 line;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Buy 20% of the position in batches near 2900-2902 when gold falls back, stop loss 8 points, target near 2915-2925, break to see 2930 line;
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How can gold break its position as it continues to fluctuate?Recently, bearish voices have been rising in the market. The main point is that gold cannot rise, so it will fall. However, we can see that although the current price cannot rise, it cannot fall either, which is particularly obvious at the hourly level. After each retracement, there is a rapid bottoming out and a long lower shadow, which shows that the support below is strong, which is in the process of weakening the resistance sentiment of the bears and releasing the pressure of the bears. In the process of rising, it encounters short-selling obstacles. As the price continues to rise, the resistance increases, and it is necessary to reduce the burden through selling pressure so that it can be lightly equipped in the future. Therefore, the current cross line and repeated high-level fluctuations should be regarded as corrections. This correction will not change the upward trend and the rhythm of the bull market, but is for a better rise.
Today's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The upper short-term focus is on the 2956-2960 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 2928-2930 first-line support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches near 2955-2958 in the early trading, stop loss 8 points, target near 2940-2935, break to see 2930 line;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Buy 20% of the gold position in batches near 2930-2932 when gold falls back, stop loss 8 points, target near 2945-2955, break to see 2970 line;
Can gold break through the high-level fluctuations?Gold technical analysis: Yesterday, the gold price fluctuated and rebounded all the way. Today's early trading is close to the historical high of 2940 again. So can it successfully break through 2940 and set a new historical high again? The more times a position is tested, the greater the probability of breaking. Therefore, the probability of gold prices reaching a new high is very high.
At present, the support below is mainly in the 2915-2910 area. In addition, we also know that last year’s market also tested retracements near consecutive historical highs. Then there was a retracement near 2940 on Friday last week. Today’s 2940 retracement. I don’t know if 2940 will continue to suppress the retracement in the future. But you can still try a short-term short near 2940. After all, the cost-effectiveness of the retreat here is very high. The defense is very small. The short-term retreat is considerable. Of course, this is an aggressive approach. If you are prudent, wait for the gold price to rise and then participate in the retreat. At present, the author only sees the pressure of 2955. Therefore, if it hits the 2955 line, you can do a good job of risk control and participate in the retreat.
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends mainly shorting on rebounds, supplemented by longs on callbacks. The top short-term focus is on the 2940-2942 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 2905-2900 first-line support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2940-2942, stop loss 6 points, target around 2930-2920, break to see 2910 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2906-2910, stop loss 6 points, target around 2920-2930, break to see 2940 line;
Will gold fall again after stabilizing and rebounding?In terms of short-term gold operation ideas, it is recommended to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2916-2920 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2890-2895 line of support. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, and set a stop loss strictly.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2916-2920, stop loss 6 points, target around 2900-2895, break to see 2890 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2890-2893, stop loss 6 points, target around 2900-2910, break to see 2915 line;
This time I still choose to short gold!!!Brothers, gold rebounded to the 2925-2930 area as scheduled, which is in line with our expectations. Therefore, when the gold price touched this area, I immediately followed my idea to short gold. Brothers who have read my previous posts should know that you can basically make good profits when you follow my ideas and trading strategies. I hope you will do the same this time.
At present, gold is still in a situation of narrow range fluctuations, and it is difficult for gold prices to break through the 2930-2935 area in the short term. Therefore, in the next trading rhythm, we still maintain the attitude of shorting gold, and pay attention to the support of the 2910-2900 area below in the short term.
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XAUUSD short term very important trading planXAUUSD technical analysis:
4-hour level, yesterday's K-line rebounded strongly relying on ma5 support, the Bollinger Bands opened upward, and the MACD golden cross diverged upward. The current short-term bullish thinking of gold continues. Pay attention to the breakthrough of the support below 2900-2895. If this position is completely held, it will strongly impact the previous high point. If it breaks, it will fluctuate at a high level. But it is worth noting that the market did not continue to rise after touching the 5-day moving average support last night, but consolidated at a high level, and the MACD red column continued to decrease, suggesting that the pressure from above is gradually increasing. Therefore, short-term operations are mainly bullish, not chasing up. Pay attention to the trend of short-term bulls diving due to insufficient kinetic energy after rushing high. The support below is 2900-2895; the resistance above is 2928-2935. The market is changing rapidly, and the specific operation points are subject to real-time signals. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
First go long gold, then go short goldThe current international gold price shows a typical head and shoulders bottom reversal pattern, with 2900-2905 below being the key support area for gold. From a technical perspective, it shows that gold has accumulated reversal momentum at the bottom after falling, and the release of ADP employment data may promote the accelerated rise of gold prices. Then the resistance above gold will first focus on the suppression of the 2930 line. If gold breaks through 2930, then we can test the key resistance area of 2945-2955, the historical high.
Therefore, in short-term trading, I advocate going long gold. When gold falls back to around the 2910-2900 area, we can go long gold.
In fact, as long as you grasp the rhythm, it is easy to profit from gold trading. If you don't know the accurate trading rhythm, you can follow my trading ideas. I post my trading ideas every day and I also post free trading signals on a regular basis. Many friends have given feedback that it is very helpful. If you want to learn market trading logic, or you want clear trading signals and make more profits, I can satisfy you. Follow the bottom of the article to enter for details!
Gold Holds Support – Is a Break Above $2,925 Coming?Yesterday, Gold pulled back from the 2,925 resistance zone, but the bulls regained control at support, leading to price consolidation.
As mentioned in my previous analysis, as long as Gold holds above support, the likelihood of a renewed bullish move remains high.
Currently, with the price hovering just below resistance, a breakout could be imminent.
Additionally, as shown in the posted chart, an inverted head and shoulders pattern is forming.
A confirmed breakout above 2,925 would validate this pattern, potentially driving Gold to a new all-time high.
The measured target for this pattern is 3,030, indicating further upside potential beyond the 3,000 level.
Keep in mind the old ATH as resistance and 3k psychological level
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold XAUUSD Price AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) has encountered a strong resistance zone between 2921 and 2924, leading to a rejection at this level. This area has proven to be a significant hurdle for buyers, indicating strong selling pressure. As a result, we may see a potential downside move unless gold manages to break above this resistance convincingly.
Key Levels and Market Outlook:
Bearish Scenario:
If the rejection holds, gold could move lower towards its immediate support levels.
The first downside target is 2906, which acts as a minor support.
If selling pressure continues and gold breaks below 2906, the next target is 2892, a stronger support level where buyers might step in.
Bullish Breakout Possibility:
If gold breaks above the 2924 resistance level, the next resistance to watch is at 2930.
A break above 2930 would indicate strong bullish momentum, potentially leading to a further rally in gold prices.
Market Sentiment and Trading Plan:
A bearish bias is favored as long as gold remains below 2924 and continues rejecting this level.
A bullish breakout scenario will be confirmed only if gold surpasses 2930, leading to a continuation of the uptrend.
Gold rebounds below the trend line, continue to choose shortThe easing of the geopolitical situation once weakened the demand for safe havens. In addition, from a technical perspective, gold fell sharply in the early stage and broke the rising trend line. At present, gold has rebounded below the trend line and is under pressure in the short term. It can be shorted based on the suppression of the trend line. Shorting gold near 2915 and 2921, target 2890-2900
Trading must have methods and rules, and it is never done casually based on feelings. In addition to trends, the market also has time points, and the position and time must match. Therefore, risk control is the first consideration. Only with appropriate position management can you dare to do it and take it, not afraid of stop loss, and gradually stabilize profits according to the trading system.
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Gold will hit new highsFrom the current gold daily chart, gold prices are defending above $2,900/ounce. However, only if the gold price closes above the static resistance of $2,930/ounce, the upward trend may regain traction. The relative strength index (RSI) has fallen slightly, but it remains above 50, indicating that the bullish potential still exists. At the same time, if the non-agricultural data rises to 2,930 today, there is still the potential to break the high!
Then the current gold price is still strong. There is a little pressure on 2922 in the short term, but the upward trend remains unchanged. As long as it does not fall below 2,900, it will continue to be bullish in the short term.
The best trading method is that the price has repeatedly stepped back to confirm the support of 2912-2914 and sprint upward, so you can continue to do more gold around here and defend the 2910 area. If it does not fall below 2910, the price is expected to break upward to the 2920-2923 range, and it will be expected to rise further, looking for 2930, and then 2945-2947
XAU/USD 05 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price.
On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent .
Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Do you want to go long or go short? This article is enoughBrothers, gold has touched the 2915-2925 area as expected, and I have also made a wave of short gold in time according to my trading ideas. Gold is currently affected by tariffs, and gold may continue to fall in the evening. As long as the resistance above gold is still near the 2915-2925 area or breaks through this area, we will still focus on shorting gold. When gold falls back and touches 2895-2885 below, gold still has room for a second rebound. Therefore, when gold falls back to this area, we can try to go long gold.
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Did you follow me in shorting gold today?Brothers, do you boldly short gold in the 2920-2930 area according to my strategy today? As I said in my last post, although the bullish trend of gold is relatively strong, gold has not adjusted downwards after rising. We still need to pay attention to the rise and fall of gold. And I resolutely implemented my strategy, strictly followed my ideas to short gold, and made two profits, which is a slight profit of 200pips. I think as long as you follow my trading ideas, you will definitely gain a lot.
As I often say, the essence of our trading in the market is to make profits. Any trader who does not aim to make money is not a qualified trader. Otherwise, why should we bear market risks? As the old saying goes, persistence is the key to everything. As long as you are determined, then stick to it and implement it wholeheartedly. I hope we all have a great start, which means everything will go well for us in the future! It makes me look forward to our future even more! I hope to have the opportunity, and I also hope to have a cup of coffee with all my friends and share our joy!
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading, and accumulating profits is what changes your life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals, earn stable profits, or want to learn in depth about the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
Pay attention to gold's rise and fall, go short!Gold has currently traded as high as around 2910, and gold’s highs are constantly being refreshed. Are the bulls about to return?
The surge in gold this time is mainly due to the continued fermentation of the news of the breakdown of the US-Ukraine negotiations and the impact of Trump's speech in the early morning. Today, Trump will also deliver his first speech in Congress, which will undoubtedly add more uncertainty to the market. From the hourly chart, the current short-term resistance above gold is suppressed in the 2910-2920 area. In the short term, the bullish trend is relatively strong, but gold has not fallen after rising, so it is necessary to pay attention to the high and fall of gold. We can short in the 2920-2930 area.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading, and accumulating profits is what changes your life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals, make stable profits, or want to learn the correct trading logic and skills in depth, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
gold on short bearsh#XAUUSD we await price for double breakout before reaching 2930.
Firstly we wait for double breakout at 2922, which target is at 2930 for bearish reversal. Stop loss 2910
2930 holds reverse based on past candle, now we await the third pattern to breakout above or within 2910 which holds bearish also.
XAU/USD 04 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price.
On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent .
Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold Recovers After a Sharp Drop – What’s Next?Last week was a tough one for Gold bulls, with the price dropping sharply to a low of $2,830, breaking through multiple support levels.
However, after Friday’s close back above the $2,850 zone, the market opened on Monday with a gap. Once that gap was filled, the price rebounded, breaking back above the key $2,880–$2,890 technical zone.
Furthermore, at the time of writing, Gold is trading at $2,915, nearing the next technical resistance at $2,920.
What’s Next?
✅ Bulls currently have the upper hand, and as long as the $2,890 zone holds, new all-time highs (ATHs) could be on the horizon.
✅ I'm currently out of the market, but if the price stabilizes above $2,900, buying dips should be the preferred strategy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Updated XAU/USD (Gold) Multi-Timeframe Analysis – March 4, 2025Analyzing M15, M30, H1, H4, and D1 charts for a precise trade execution strategy.
1. Market Structure Overview (Multi-Timeframe)
M15 (15-Minute Chart)
CHoCH (Change of Character) indicates bullish momentum.
Currently testing equilibrium (~$2,888 - $2,890).
Weak high at PDH (Previous Day’s High) around $2,893, which may act as resistance.
M30 (30-Minute Chart)
Break of structure (BOS) confirms bullish short-term trend.
Price is hovering near PDH ($2,893).
If it fails to break above $2,895, a short-term rejection is possible.
H1 (1-Hour Chart)
Bullish CHoCH confirms the short-term uptrend.
PDH ($2,893) remains a crucial level.
If broken, a rally toward $2,910 - $2,920 is likely.
H4 (4-Hour Chart)
Testing supply zone at PDH ($2,893).
Potential retracement to $2,865 - $2,870 before continuation higher**.
D1 (Daily Chart)
Price bounced from a key demand zone around $2,850.
Still bearish on the higher timeframe unless price reclaims $2,920 - $2,950.
If $2,900 - $2,920 rejects, more downside is expected.
2. Expected Scenarios & Probability
Scenario 1: Short-Term Bearish Rejection (60% Probability)
If price fails to break $2,895 - $2,900, expect a rejection down to $2,870 - $2,865.
Confirmation: Bearish rejection candle at PDH ($2,893).
Scenario 2: Bullish Breakout (40% Probability)
If price closes above $2,895, expect a move toward $2,910 - $2,920.
Confirmation: Strong breakout and candle close above $2,895.
3. Trading Plan
Sell Setup: (Primary Trade - 60% Probability)
Entry: $2,893 - $2,895.
SL: $2,905 (Above resistance).
TP1: $2,880 (First liquidity level).
TP2: $2,870 (Discount zone).
TP3: $2,865 (Major demand zone).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3.
Buy Setup: (Countertrend - 40% Probability)
Entry: $2,895 - $2,900.
SL: $2,885 (Below weak low).
TP1: $2,910 (Short-term liquidity).
TP2: $2,920 (Key supply zone).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3.
4. Final Trade Execution Summary:
Trade Type Entry Stop-Loss Take-Profit 1 Take-Profit 2 Take-Profit 3 R:R
Sell Setup $2,893 - $2,895 $2,905 $2,880 $2,870 $2,865 1:3
Buy Setup $2,895 - $2,900 $2,885 $2,910 $2,920 - 1:3
📌 Additional Execution Tips:
Watch for a rejection at $2,893 - $2,895 before shorting.
If price closes above $2,895, shift to buy mode.
Use M5/M15 for precise entries and candle confirmations.
Avoid entering during high-impact news releases.
Risk per trade: 1-2% of capital for optimal risk management.
Are gold bulls back?Today, gold retraced its lowest to 2859 and then started to rebound. Gold is currently trading around 2870. Are gold bulls back?
After opening in the morning, it showed a volatile upward pattern. As far as the current trend of gold is concerned, although gold continues to rebound, this rebound is not strong and can only be regarded as a technical repair. From the hourly chart, the short-term resistance above is suppressed in the 2880-2890 area. When the price touches this area, we can consider shorting gold in a timely manner. The target area below is the 2865-2855 area.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading, and accumulating profits is what changes your life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals, make stable profits, or want to learn the correct trading logic and skills in depth, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.