Xauusdupdates
Gold Analysis: Key Levels and Trade OpportunitiesChecklist for a Sell at $2,655
Long upper wicks (indicating strong selling pressure
Stop-Loss: Above $2,665 to manage risk.
Take-Profit Targets:
First target: $2,645.
Second target: $2,635.
Checklist for a Buy Entry at $2,637:
A bullish engulfing candle.
Stop-Loss: Below $2,630 to minimize risk.
Take-Profit Targets:
First target: $2,650.
Second target: $2,655.
Extended target (if the trend continues): $2,665.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 07.01.25Import costs and currency fluctuations - Differences in currency exchange rates and higher import costs have contributed to rising gold prices in other regions. Local taxes, market conditions, and logistical challenges also add to the disparity between Indian and global rates.
"Gold Technical Analysis: Bullish Breakout
Based on the chart, here is the analysis:
1. **Resistance Area:**
- The green shaded zone above the current price marks a potential resistance zone. This is where sellers may become active, halting further upward movement.
2. **Breakout Confirmation:**
- The price has broken above a horizontal resistance zone (marked by the black line). This breakout is a bullish signal, suggesting potential continuation to the upside.
3. **Bullish Momentum:**
- The recent upward move shows strong bullish momentum, as seen in the series of higher highs and higher lows.
4. **Target Zone:**
- If the price continues upward, the next significant resistance or target is likely within the green zone, where the price may face selling pressure.
5. **Key Levels:**
- Support: The broken resistance at ~2650 could act as a new support if the price retests this level.
- Resistance: The green zone around ~2665–2675.
**Potential Trade Plan:**
- **Buying Opportunity:**
- If a retest occurs near the breakout zone (~2650), it may offer a good entry for a long position with a target toward the resistance zone.
- **Selling Opportunity:**
- Monitor price action around the green zone (~2665–2675) for rejection signals or a potential reversal setup.
Would you like me to update this analysis based on any specific targets or time frames?
XAUUSD:7/1 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2660, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2645, support below 2600-2580
Gold operation suggestions: Gold fluctuated narrowly on Tuesday and is currently trading around 2639. Gold prices fell slightly on Monday. The Federal Reserve recently hinted that it would slow down the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025. U.S. Treasury yields climbed to a new high since May. Gold prices hit a three-day low of around 2614 during the session. However, there were conflicting reports on how aggressive the tariff plan of U.S. President-elect Trump would be after taking office. The U.S. dollar index fell to a new low in more than a week, and gold prices rebounded slightly in late trading.
From the 4-hour analysis, we focus on the short-term suppression of the 2645 line on the top, and the short-term support of the 2637-27 line on the bottom, with a focus on support of 2600. The operation is mainly to buy on dips, supplemented by range trading.
BUY:2627near
BUY:2614near
The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
XAU/USD 07 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Price has been printing erratically by printing a bullish iBOS (which was against internal bearish bias) quickly followed by bearish iBOS which met yesterday's intraday expectation analysis.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation.
We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is showing reaction at M15 supply zone. Strong internal high is expected to hold. Technically price should target weak internal low priced at 2,614.635.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
1/7 Gold Trading StrategiesAfter experiencing significant volatility, gold is now in a narrow consolidation phase. Based on previous price movements, this range appears to be relatively stable. Therefore, the trading suggestions are as follows:
Sell between 2641 and 2646, with a (TP) at 2634-2628 and a (SL) at 2649.
Buy between 2624 and 2617, with a (TP) at 2632-2637 and a (SL) at 2613.
Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Formation ManipulationHello Traders
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Gold Price Analysis: Bullish Momentum Hinges on 2630 SupportOANDA:XAUUSD began the year on a positive note. After testing the 2600 support level several times before the New Year, the price rose and reached a high of 2666 on Friday.
Currently, the price is undergoing a normal correction following the 600-pip rally and, at the time of writing, XAU/USD is testing support around 2635.
To sustain its bullish momentum, the price needs to reverse upward and reclaim the 2650 level. If this occurs, bulls could anticipate further continuation toward the 2700 resistance zone, with interim resistance levels at 2666 and 2680.
However, if the price falls below 2630, the 2600 level will once again be exposed, and Gold could remain range-bound.
For now, I remain bullish as long as the 2630 support level holds.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis - Price Structure on 30-MinuteGold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis - Price Structure on 30-Minute Timeframe
In the provided chart, two key support and resistance zones are identified as S_R 1 and S_R 2, which play significant roles in determining price reactions:
Resistance Zone (S_R 2):
This level represents the recent short-term peak and is likely to play a critical role in shaping the next price movement.
Support Zone (S_R 1):
If the current corrective move continues, this level could act as a crucial support area, potentially triggering a price reversal to the upside.
Possible Scenario:
After reaching the recent high (S_R 2), the price has formed a classic pattern, indicating a short-term bearish correction.
Based on the current price structure, it is anticipated that the price will first approach the marked support zone (S_R 1). After completing the correction, it is likely to resume its upward trend.
Conclusion:
The best approach is to monitor price behavior carefully and adapt strategies accordingly.
SWING AND GROW RICHlooking for a great start for the new year, gold holds some great potential to make your dreams come true. looking for a bullish swing on gold. the weekly trend is bullish and the daily has made it's pull back to the 200 moving average, the 4h has gone bullish from the 2nd of january and it made a pull back on friday and today, looking for a pin bar in line with the trend on the 4h, the 1h has made a bullish enguling parttern. so looking to close out at a new all time high. trade with proper risk management. enjoy the year.
XAU/USD 06 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Price has most recently printed a bearish iBOS.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation.
We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is expected to react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,625.260.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD Longs from 2,630 or 2,610 back upThis week, my GOLD analysis focuses on the continuation of the bullish trend. Last week, GOLD showed significant bullish momentum, and we can expect the price to retrace into an unmitigated demand zone before resuming its upward direction.
I’ll be watching for the price to tap into either the 7-hour or 4-hour demand zone below. Once it does, I’ll closely monitor lower time frames for confirmation. If the setup aligns, I’ll look to take buy trades with the trend, aiming to clear liquidity resting above.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
- Recent and overall bullish momentum.
- Unmitigated demand zones near the current price.
- A confirmed break of structure to the upside.
- Significant liquidity above, including Asia highs and imbalances.
Note: As the price approaches a key supply zone, we might see some bearish pressure. This could present an opportunity for a potential counter-trend trade.
Potentially large move on gold inbound.Gold daily is showing price rejection right in the range of $2,666.90 which is an area of confluence of resistance, Icimoku cloud, and a triangle that price has formed. Looking left I can see that the current price is a high traffic zone with many daily candles opening and closing as well as a lot of indecision. Essentially, I can see price churning to the right until Friday, January 10th for NFP. Because the price is in such a zone that it is in right now, bullish or bearish news, I predict price will push to and passed the zones in green and will most likely move to the support and resistance that I has indicated with the arrows.
XAU/USD 06-10 January 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had positioned this CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks.
Now, for the first time since 23 November 2020, price has printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within a defined internal range.
Price is anticipated to trade down towards either the discount of the internal 50% Equilibrium (EQ), highlighted in blue, or the Weekly demand zone before targeting the weak internal high.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing -> Bullish.
-> Internal -> Bullish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024
Price Action Analysis:
Price has shown a reaction from discount of internal 50% EQ. Currently price has been unable to target the weak internal high
Given the current internal range dynamics, price is expected to target weak internal high, priced at 2,790.170 However, considering the signs of a pullback phase on the Weekly timeframe, there remains a possibility of price printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). Price has yet to tap into Daily demand.
Note:
With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
XAUUSD Bullish Ideea!I'll leave here my strategy based on SMC (Smart Money Concept) combined with Fib Extension!
🌟First of all, I marked a Resistance in the 2721 area
🌟After completing a double top chart pattern, I noticed that the trend starts to become slightly upward
🌟Starting from the impulsive move I marked a Point Of Interest (POI) known as a strong demand zone
🌟I located the supply and inefficiency (FVG) areas and then with the help of both Fib Retracement and Fib Extension I determined that the price is in a confluence area where MA (200), Swap zones and Fib Retracement value 38.2 meet in a corrective move
🌟As you can see from the analysis, I expect the price to reach that inefficiency, to retest that supply that will later become demand and I will have a target close to resistance, more precisely at the 100% Fib Expansion value
🌟I claim that this gold strategy in particular has brought me substantial profits in the past as well
🌟If you like what you see please leave a boost and a follow!
Entry Price: 2636
Stop Loss: 2628
Take Profit 1: 2682
Take Profit 2: 2690
Take Profit 3: 2710
Sizing Up XAUUSD into the New Year: What’s Next for GOLD?👀 👉 In this video, we conduct a quick top-down analysis, identifying key structural levels where major players may target liquidity to execute their orders. Understanding these levels—from the monthly and weekly down to the daily charts—can help pinpoint potential opportunities on the four-hour and lower timeframes. This video offers a breakdown of my analysis process. (Not financial advice.) 📊 ✅