Gold at Key Resistance – Waiting for a Short SetupGold (XAU/USD) has been in a strong uptrend, but I believe a selling opportunity may emerge soon.
• Price is trading near the top of a rising channel, approaching a key resistance zone.
• Overextension and possible exhaustion could signal a reversal or deeper pullback.
• My approach is to wait for confirmation—signs of weakening momentum, bearish price action, or fundamental shifts before entering a short position.
Technical Outlook:
• Resistance: $2,900 - $3,000 (potential rejection area)
• Support: $2,600 - $2,500 (targets if a sell-off occurs)
• Indicators: Watching RSI for overbought conditions and candlestick patterns for reversal signs
Fundamental Factors:
• U.S. economic outlook – A strong labor market or inflation surprises could pressure gold.
• Central bank demand – If demand slows, gold may correct.
• Geopolitical risks – Uncertainty could delay a reversal, but a shift in sentiment may trigger selling.
Xauusdupdates
Gold Market Forecast: Next Week’s Trading Setup & Key Price ZoneGold dipped below $2,900 on Friday but is set to close the week with over 0.80% gains as traders book profits. In this video, we break down the latest market moves: sharply plunging US Retail Sales, a weakening US Dollar, and improving US Industrial Production. Central banks continue ramping up their gold purchases, with the World Gold Council reporting over 1,000 tons bought in 2024. With Fed funds rate futures pricing in 38.5 basis points of easing for 2025, what does this mean for gold's future? Join me as I analyze these trends and prepare to capture the next move in the gold market this week.
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Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAU/USD 17 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative Scenario:
As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold’s Wild Ride: From Record Highs to Sudden Sell-OffsLast week was highly volatile for Gold prices.
After reaching a new all-time high on Tuesday, the price dropped sharply by approximately 800 pips. However, it began recovering on Thursday and climbed back to the 2940 zone on Friday.
In the final hours of trading, Gold experienced another sharp decline, closing the week exactly at the 2880 support level.
These repeated sell-offs from the all-time high suggest that a deeper correction may be underway, potentially confirming a double-top pattern. If this scenario unfolds, the measured target for the drop could be around 2820.
With this in mind, I will look to sell rallies against the recent 2940 all-time high.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD BuyXAUUSD Buy now Target 2926
Or 2909
XAUUSD today strong buy.
As of February 17, 2025, gold (XAU/USD) continues its upward trajectory, recently surpassing the $2,900 per ounce mark. This surge is primarily driven by escalating global trade tensions and economic uncertainties, notably following President Trump's announcement of 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. Such geopolitical developments have heightened gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Analysts project that if current conditions persist, gold prices could approach or even exceed the $3,000 per ounce threshold in the near future. For instance, J.P. Morgan has forecasted an average gold price of $2,950 for 2025, with potential peaks reaching $3,000, citing gold's effectiveness as a hedge against macroeconomic uncertainties.
XAU/USD 17-21 February 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
Swing -> Bullish.
Internal -> Bullish.
Since my last weekly analysis price has printed a bullish iBOS. Bias and analysis has been accurate over the last few months.
Price is now trading within a fractal high and internal low.
Bearish ChOCH positioning is denoted with a blue shorter dotted line and is very well positioned to print bearish CHoCH which is the very first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation
Note:
With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD heading for another ATH? I anticipate that gold will continue rising from the current price level around 2,880, targeting the relative equal highs above. Once price sweeps this liquidity, it will establish a new all-time high (ATH).
However, if price starts to accumulate and slow down, we could see a deeper mitigation, possibly into the 7-hour demand zone or even the 6-hour demand zone below. This would set the stage for a larger move to the upside.
Confluences for XAU/USD Buys:
- Price has broken structure to the upside and remains in a strong bullish trend.
- Relative equal highs above provide a liquidity target for price.
- Price is currently sitting in a 4-hour demand zone, with additional key demand areas nearby.
- Gold continues to rally, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions.
P.S. If price reaches the 6-hour supply zone and starts forming a Wyckoff distribution on the lower time frames, we may see a potential downside move from that point of interest (POI).
XAUUSD: A new Bias On Gold, What you all think?Dear Traders,
Our last two Gold Setups did not work out in our favour, and that is why we had to rethink about our bias. Now we expect a continuous growth in gold prices as we expected changes in government policies.
Show support by liking and commenting our ideas that will means a lot to us!
Thank you
Profitable trading methodsDear Traders,
Since yesterday, I have maintained my short strategy on gold, entering small positions at 2919, 2927, and 2939, with a TP set at 2916. Gold faced resistance near the 2940 zone and has since retraced, hitting the TP of 2916 as expected. All of our short positions were closed with a profit when the TP was reached.
Based on the current structure, the 2940 region remains a significant resistance zone for gold in the short term. If gold fails to break this resistance, it could potentially form a double top pattern, which would favor further downside movement. We should first focus on the support at 2915-2910, and then monitor the 2900-2895 region for additional support. If gold manages to hold above 2900 during the pullback, we should avoid aggressively chasing short positions, as a potential liquidity increase could attract more buying interest.
For the upcoming trades, there are two possible scenarios:
1. If gold rebounds above 2930, we can consider shorting again.
2. If gold maintains support above 2910-2900 or fails to break below this range, we could look to take long positions.
Bros, have you followed me to short gold and made a profit? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
There are opportunities for short-term buying and selling todayGold continues to rise on the daily chart, and bulls increase their volume! The structure remains intact, and the moving average and K-line remain in a bullish arrangement. At present, the price of the daily chart continues to move up from the high point of the MA5-day moving average, and the MA10/7-day moving average keeps opening and moves up to 2880/2898. The price continues to extend to the upper track of the Bollinger Band. The RSI indicator daily chart is close to 80 again. It should be noted on Friday that when the gold price hits a new record high again, the indicator signal may be overbought. On the weekly chart, the gold price has risen for 8 consecutive weeks.
The short-term four-hour moving average also keeps opening upward, and the price moves up from the MA7-day moving average. The moving average keeps opening upward, and the price is running in the upper track of the hourly chart and the four-hour chart Bollinger Band channel. The trading idea on Friday is still mainly to pull back low and long, and then go short after the historical high or previous high key resistance test in the European and American markets.
Yesterday, gold fluctuated downward in the Asian and European sessions. The price in the NY market fell to 2864 and then started to counterattack. As of today, it has risen to 2932. Judging from yesterday's trend, the first half of the session was running well, and the NY market made a desperate counterattack. At the same time, today's rebound high exceeded our expectations. From the current market, the daily chart has signs of V. Yesterday's bottoming and rebounding directly limited the range of today's adjustment!
Gold is now under pressure at the top of the entity in the previous 4 hours, and gold has begun to stagnate. From the trend chart, the oscillating upward trend has not changed. If gold cannot go up in 1 hour, then gold may still form a double top structure. Before gold breaks through strongly, gold is currently blocked at a high level and falls back. Even if you go long, you must wait patiently for opportunities after the decline, and don't chase more at the top. So from a strategic point of view, both long and short positions have opportunities!
Key points:
First support: 2922, second support: 2915, third support: 2902
First resistance: 2938, second resistance: 2948, third resistance: 2957
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2913-2915, SL: 2904, TP: 2930-2940;
SELL: 2958-2960, SL: 2969, TP: 2930-2920;
XAU/USD 14 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative Scenario:
As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD "GOLD" POTENTIALLY BULLISHWe have seen OANDA:XAUUSD continue in the strong bullish rush creating higher highs and higher lows along the line. In the most recent time, price broke out on the most recent high (2,883.097) and not only found it as a support zone but also gave a price action candle showing some rejection of same zone.
My take, if this current H4 candle closes as a bullish candle in the next few hours, I will be going long with my first targets at 2,935 and then ride the move with a "breath-able" trailing stop
Disclaimer: Past results does not guarantee future results, trading instruments like gold is high risk
"Waiting for a Pullback: Buy Setup at 2875 for 2900 Target!"📈 Waiting for a Pullback to Enter at a Discounted Demand Zone
After a sharp move on February 10, we are now anticipating a pullback to enter at a better price. The ideal demand zone to watch is around 2875, where we’ll look for a strong bullish confirmation—such as a big bullish candle on the 1-hour timeframe—before entering a long position.
🎯 Target: 2900
📍 Key Zone: 2875 (Waiting for a bullish signal)
Patience is key! Waiting for confirmation ensures a high-probability setup. Let’s see how it plays out! 🚀
Gold: Northbound GoGold Market Outlook: Northbound Momentum Persists Amid Inflation and Trade Concerns
XAU/USD Rebounds from Inflation Shock, Poised for Further Gains
Following a temporary shakeout triggered by inflation data, gold (XAU/USD) has regained its bullish momentum, reinforcing the narrative of an ongoing uptrend. The precious metal demonstrated remarkable resilience, bouncing back from its dip to $2,865 and reclaiming higher levels as buyers stepped in swiftly. Currently, gold is navigating a pivotal zone around $2,908, a level that could determine the next major price move. Key upcoming events, such as the release of U.S. Initial Jobless Claims and Producer Price Index (PPI) data, will likely influence gold's trajectory in the short term.
Macroeconomic Landscape: Inflation, Fed Policy, and Trade Risks
The broader macroeconomic environment remains supportive of gold, primarily driven by persistent inflationary pressures and uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy. Former President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs have injected fresh uncertainty into the global economic landscape, further bolstering demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve continues its hawkish stance in response to rising inflation, resulting in higher bond yields that temporarily pressured gold prices downward. However, investors quickly capitalized on the dip, reinforcing the metal’s strong underlying demand.
The upcoming PPI report will be a critical factor in shaping market expectations for the Fed’s next move. Should inflationary pressures remain elevated, gold could benefit as investors hedge against potential economic turbulence. Conversely, a softer PPI reading might provide temporary relief for the dollar and yields, exerting short-term pressure on gold.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Market Sentiment
Gold’s price action suggests that the market is in a consolidation phase within a key support zone. The $2,900–$2,908 range has emerged as an important battleground for bulls and bears. If buyers maintain control above $2,908, the potential for gold to retest and surpass its all-time high (ATH) in the medium term remains strong.
Key Resistance Levels:
$2,920: A critical near-term level that, if breached, could accelerate bullish momentum.
$2,929: A significant resistance point that could attract selling pressure but, if surpassed, would signal continued strength.
$2,942: A breakout above this level could set the stage for a new price discovery phase.
Key Support Levels:
$2,908: The immediate support level that must hold to maintain bullish sentiment.
$2,902: A deeper retracement zone that could serve as a springboard for another leg higher.
Additionally, traders should closely watch the $2,918–$2,920 region, as consolidation above this zone would reinforce bullish momentum and increase the likelihood of an extended rally.
Conclusion: Gold’s Path Forward
Gold remains well-supported by macroeconomic uncertainties and inflationary concerns, with technical indicators pointing to further potential upside. While short-term fluctuations may occur in response to economic data releases, the broader trend suggests that XAU/USD is positioned to continue its northbound journey. Investors should monitor price action around key levels, as a successful defense of support at $2,908 or a decisive break above $2,920 could confirm the next directional move.
With the Federal Reserve’s policy stance and geopolitical risks in focus, gold remains a crucial asset for portfolio diversification and risk management. As market participants await further economic data, the precious metal's resilience underscores its role as a preferred safe-haven asset in times of economic uncertainty.
Stick to shorting goldDear Traders,
As I clearly mentioned in my previous post, we could short gold in the 2920-2930 resistance zone, and as expected, gold retraced to the target zone I anticipated: 2910-2900. Our short position thus yielded a significant profit.
Currently, gold has bounced off the 2910-2900 support zone and has moved back up to around 2920. However, gold has been repeatedly rejected near 2920 and has not broken higher, confirming that the 2920-2930 zone is providing effective resistance. From a technical perspective, if gold forms a triple top pattern at this level, it could likely experience another downward correction and retest the 2910-2900 support zone.
Therefore, for short-term trading, we can continue to short gold at the 2920-2930 resistance zone.Bros, do you have the courage to short gold with me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold to $3,000? Key Levels to Watch-XAU/USD AnalysisGold has been on a tear lately, pushing up towards $2,942, and the big question now is: Do we see a pullback, or is $3,000+ on the horizon?
Here’s what I’m watching:
🔹 $2,942 – Key resistance level. If we break above, momentum could take us straight to $3,000.
🔹 $2,875 – A potential pullback zone where buyers might step in before another leg up.
Markets are moving fast, and this could get interesting. Are you bullish or bearish on gold right now? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
Continue to short goldDear Traders,
Yesterday, gold touched the 2860 region before rebounding and continuing its upward move, reaching above 2920. Overall, gold is still in a bullish structure.
From a short-term perspective, gold’s intraday high is at 2923, with technical resistance in the 2925-2930 zone. Currently, gold's volatility is contracting within the 2915-2920 range. In terms of breakout potential, gold is lacking liquidity for a decisive move in the short term. Therefore, even if gold attempts to reach new highs or extend its breakout, it may first need to pull back in order to increase liquidity.
For short-term trading, we can look to short gold in small positions within the 2920-2925 resistance zone and target a pullback toward the 2910-2900 region.
Bros, do you have the courage to short gold with me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
CHECK XAUUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(XAUUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (XAUUSD) ready for( BUY )trade ( XAUUSD ) BUY zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
ENTRY POINT (2912 to (2914) 📊
FIRST TP (2918)📊
2ND TARGET (2921)📊
LAST TARGET (2925) 📊
STOP LOOS (2906)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
Gold- Is the correction over?Yesterday, gold dipped to a low of 2864; however, this drop was quickly reversed as bulls took control, pushing the price back above 2900. This raises the question: is the correction over?
The daily candle formed a Pin Bar, which could be a strong indication that the correction has ended.
Currently, the price is trading around 2913, with the key support level for bulls at the 2890 zone . As long as the price remains above this level, we can expect the uptrend to continue, potentially leading to a new all-time high.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.