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XAU/USD 14 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: Yesterday's Intraday expectation was not met with price failing to target weak internal high, printing a bearish iBOS. Internal structure has now aligned itself with swing structure. This could potentially be an early indication that both Daily and H4 pullback phases are incomplete. It would also be useful to remember that Weekly TF remains in its bearish pullback phase. Price subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH thereby confirming internal range and indication of bullish pullback phase initiation. Intraday Expectation: Price has yet to trade in to premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone. Expectation is for price to target weak internal low, priced at 2,656.880. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
1/14 Gold Trading StrategiesTrading Strategy: SELL 2677-2684 TP 2664-2652 Resistance is located between 2677 and 2684, while support is between 2656 and 2648. On the 1-hour chart, this pullback has not broken below the support zone, so the overall trend remains bullish. During this rebound, the key resistance lies in the 2677-2684 range. If the resistance is not broken, a retest of the support becomes inevitable. Based on the current indicators and market structure, the probability of a breakout seems low. Therefore, the trading strategy is to focus on shorting around the resistance zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Gold could drop back to 2600Last week was a particularly choppy one for gold. While the 2680 target was reached and even exceeded, with a peak near the critical 2700 level, trading conditions were difficult due to sharp and unpredictable price movements in both directions. Yesterday, the price dropped significantly, forming a clear bearish engulfing pattern on the daily chart. When combined with last week's choppy price action, this indicates we may be on the verge of a downside reversal. My strategy is to sell during rallies, targeting 2600, with a stop loss or invalidation level above 2700.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
3
Gold Breakout and Retest in Play"This chart shows **gold's (XAU/USD)** price action on the **2-hour timeframe** with some key elements: OANDA:XAUUSD 1. **Break of Structure (BoS) and Change of Character (ChoCh):** - Upward trendlines marked multiple BoS points, indicating higher highs and higher lows during the uptrend. - A significant **ChoCh** occurred after the upward trendline broke, suggesting a potential shift to a bearish trend. 2. **Breakout Zone:** - The price broke below a key support area (gray box) and is now testing it as a resistance. This retest aligns with classic breakout-and-retest strategies. 3. **Projection:** - The chart suggests a bearish move as the retest is expected to hold. The blue arrow projects a potential decline in price, with targets likely around **$2,650** or lower. **Summary:** This setup indicates a bearish sentiment. If the price fails to break above the resistance zone during the retest, it could confirm the downward move. Key levels to watch are the resistance zone around $2,670–$2,680 and potential targets around $2,650 and below.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
XAUUSD going for new ATH!⭐After a beautifull double top pattern & a good correction GOLD seems to be ready for a new ATH this year! 📈XAUUSD is in a medium uptrend with obvious correction and momentum movements forming new LH(Lower High) & HH(Higher Highs) which further strengthens the upward trend! 📊After the FIB Retracement applied behind the representation, gold does not seem to change its trend anytime soon, but although it is close to a pullback in the 38.20 area, it does not represent such a strong upward trend that it does not try to go down at least in the GOLDEN ZONE (50%-61,80%) 📍US PPI and CPI data due later in the week 📍Dollar at its highest level in over two years 📍Market sees 25 bps reduction in rate cuts this year 💥Position Recommendations💥 Entry: 2650 Stop Loss: 2630 Take Profit 1: 2680 Take Profit 2: 2700 Take Profit 3: 2750 (I do not recommend only with subsequent confirmations)
FX:XAUUSDLong
by PaulNox
This chart of XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour time frame shows the This chart of XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour time frame shows the price moving within an ascending channel. Here’s a quick analysis based on the chart: 1. **Trend:** The market is in a bullish trend, confirmed by the series of higher highs and higher lows within the channel. 2. **Possible Buy Zone:** The price is approaching the lower boundary of the ascending channel, which could act as a dynamic support level. This is highlighted as a potential buy zone, aligning with the bullish structure. 3. **Target Zone:** If the price respects the support and moves higher, the target would likely be near the upper boundary of the channel, around the 2,700.000 level. 4. **Break of Structure (BoS):** The highlighted BoS areas indicate that buyers are stepping in at key levels, supporting the upward trend. 5. **Volume:** There seems to be increasing volume as the price reaches the support zone, which may indicate growing interest in the area. **Key Points:** - Look for bullish confirmation near the lower boundary of the channel before entering a buy position. - Set a stop-loss slightly below the channel to manage risk. - First target: Mid-channel or 2,690.000 zone; extended target: Near 2,700.000.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Gold Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionGold prices extended their rally last week, shrugging off a strong U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report that added 256,000 jobs in December, far exceeding expectations. The unemployment rate dipped to 4.1%, highlighting the resilience of the U.S. labour market. Despite this, inflationary concerns persist, with consumers expecting higher prices in the coming year, as revealed by the University of Michigan sentiment survey. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve remains cautious, with mixed signals from officials on interest rate adjustments. This video analyzes Gold’s bullish momentum amid these macroeconomic factors and explores key zones for trading opportunities in the week ahead. 👉 What to expect: 📈 Price action insights for Gold (XAUUSD) 🔎 Key levels for swing trading setups 📊 Impact of economic fundamentals on market trends 📌 Don’t miss out—watch now #XAUUSD #GoldMarket #FedRates #TrumpTariffs #TradingStrategy Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
8
XAU/USD 13 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: Intraday expectation was met with price successfully targeting weak internal high. Price subsequently printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within an established range Price has traded in to discount of internal 50% EQ. Intraday Expectation: Price to target weak internal high, priced at 2,697.950. Price could potentially trade down to M15 demand zone to sweep liquidity before targeting weak internal high. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Outlook: Higher Lows Signal Continued Upside PotentialYesterday was a pretty volatile day for gold, with the price briefly dropping to 2615. However, bulls quickly regained control, pushing the price back above the 2635–2640 support zone and establishing a higher low in the broader trend. Currently, the price is stable above this key support level and is challenging interim resistance at 2650. A successful break above this resistance could open the door for a move toward 2680, with further upside targets at the significant 2700 level and the technical resistance at 2715. I remain bullish as long as yesterday's low at 2615 remains unbroken.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
2
XAUUS/Gold Post NFP Day/Beginning of New WeekDuring pre-NFP analysis we have suggested few levels where sell & buy risk can be taken for at least 60- 120 pips favorable move. By recalling that 2680/2681 sell pre-NFP given 160 pips quick profitable move. 2690/2696 post-NFP Sell Given 160+ pips favorable move. Coming towards todays/current week stance, we are considering 2695/2708/2733 levels as resistance and unlikely to sustained above during current week. While 2665/2639/2612 can act as support. President Donald Trump 2nd inauguration is scheduled on Monday Jan 20, 2025, and before that we may see gold is trading between 2733 - 2612 in big range of 121 points or 12100 pips range. Personally, I think strength would give sell opportunities. Tell about your idea by commenting on the post.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by investomaniapk
1
XAU/USD 13-17 January 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had positioned this CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Now, for the first time since 23 November 2020, price has printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within a defined internal range. Price is anticipated to trade down towards either the discount of the internal 50% Equilibrium (EQ), highlighted in blue, or the Weekly demand zone before targeting the weak internal high. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing -> Bullish. -> Internal -> Bullish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024 Price Action Analysis: Price has shown a reaction from discount of internal 50% EQ. Currently price has been unable to target the weak internal high Given the current internal range dynamics, price is expected to target weak internal high, priced at 2,790.170 However, considering the signs of a pullback phase on the Weekly timeframe, there remains a possibility of price printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). Price has yet to tap into Daily demand. Note: With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup: First Swing of the Year Amid NFP WeekI initiated a long position on Gold (XAU/USD) following a retracement to the 0.6 Fibonacci level on the 8-hour timeframe. This setup marks the first swing trade on Gold this year, targeting the $2,680-$2,687 price zone. Gold opened the year on a bullish note, aligning with mid-range technicals. This trade reflects a mid-term outlook, aiming to capitalize on potential momentum driven by this week’s major macroeconomic events, including the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) release and the FOMC’s intervention. Fundamentals: The Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone, suggesting a slowdown in interest rate cuts for 2025, is providing upward pressure on US Treasury bond yields. However, these signals are driving flows away from non-yielding assets like Gold. Alongside geopolitical risks and trade war fears, this creates a complex backdrop for Gold. Additionally, the pullback in the US Dollar from its November highs is offering some support for the precious metal. Traders will closely monitor Friday’s NFP report and the December FOMC meeting minutes for further direction. Key bullish themes for metals: • Rising inflation expectations and the Fed’s pause in rate hikes support Gold. • China’s green initiatives boost demand for metals. • Interest rate cuts could provide further upside for Gold. • Stagflation fears increase Gold’s attractiveness as a safe-haven asset. Technicals: • Entry: Positioned after a 0.6 Fibonacci retracement. • Target Zones: $2,680 - $2,687. • Timeframe: 8-hour chart, aligning with the mid-range strategy. • Outlook: Maintaining a close watch on price action, especially with upcoming macro releases that could create volatility. Let’s keep the momentum strong and pay attention to market signals. Stay focused, and as always, pay yourself! Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by AR33_
XAU/USD 10 December 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: Yesterday's intraday expectation was met with price successfully targeting weak internal high priced at 2,667.150. Price has yet to print a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. We are currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. Price has traded in to discount of internal 50% EQ. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH. Technically price to then trade down to discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK