XAUUSD must watchWith all the positive news gradually materialising, the upward momentum of gold has significantly slowed down.
Judging from the current trend, the resistance area around 3060 is quite crucial and exerts strong resistance. The support range remains at 3010-3020, but it is essential to closely monitor any changes in this support level, as the price might further decline to the secondary support level of 3000.
I suggest initiating short positions near the resistance zone today, which is relatively safe.
💎💎💎 XAUUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@3050 - 3060
🎁 TP 3030 3020
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Breakout Confirmed! Gold’s Next Target Could Be $3,500+Gold has reached a new all-time high (ATH), signaling strong bullish momentum. The breakout above the long-term rising trendline, which previously acted as resistance, indicates a shift in market structure.
The resistance zone has now turned into support, confirming buyers' dominance. A minor pullback or retest of this breakout level could be expected before a stronger continuation to the upside.
If the price sustains above this zone, potential targets lie at $3,100-$3,200 in the short term and $3,500+ in the medium term.
XAU/USD 21 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH following printing further all time highs.
Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,057.590.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note how price has mitigated M15 demand zones at the extreme of strong internal low. The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 19 March 2025.
Price has continued to surge to new all time highs, largely fuelled by geopolitical tensions, gold is solidifying itself as a safe haven asset.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH to confirm internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has mitigated M15 demand zone. Technically price should target weak internal high priced at 3,057.590.
Alternative scenario:
You will note internal range has significantly narrowed. All HTF's require a pullback, therefore, it would be completely viable if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold's pullback is the last chance to get on boardAccording to our previous operation strategy of short first and long later, the short position has perfectly reached our target area, and the position was closed in time to lock in the profit. Next, we will go long after the rebound and continue to look forward to the performance of the gold market.
The Bollinger Bands in the H4 chart are closing, and the golden cross of the 13-day moving average and the 21-day moving average is slowing down, suggesting that the short-term long and short competition is fierce. Focus on the strong resistance in the 3050-3055 range on the upper side during the day, and the probability of breaking through is low. The support below is at 3022-3015, forming a double insurance. The small cycle now also has the performance of high-level fluctuations, but it still lacks some certainty. For example, the Bollinger Bands in the H4 cycle are closing. Today's rise is not optimistic about setting a new high again. The upper high point is suppressed to around 3050, and the downward movement must break the Bollinger middle rail support, and the space below can see 3000. Therefore, today we should not only remind everyone to wait patiently for the decline to go long, but also remind everyone to try to go short at the high of 3050, and then look at today's adjustment space, as well as the support points and key points below. Again, gold maintains a bullish trend for the time being.
Gold's retracement to 3020-3030 is the last chance to get on board. You will regret it if you miss it. Gold operation suggestion: Buy more near 3020-3030, target: 3050
Brothers, you must keep up with the rhythm. If you are interested, you can follow me. Communicate real-time market conditions, follow up on real-time orders, read bottom signals, interpret daily market conditions, share real-time strategies, and don't blindly follow the trend.
032Opportunity Analysis and Logical Analysis for goldHello traders,
This week's Thursday tip:
On Thursday, the Federal Reserve's important interest rate decision was finalized. Focus on the situation of profit-taking in gold at high levels, looking for short-term short-selling opportunities in gold on the 1-hour chart.
On the 4-hour chart, there is a clear RSI divergence, indicating that gold is oversold and there is a need for a short-term pullback.
On the 1-hour chart, wait for a reversal confirmation signal on the 4-hour chart, then look for an entry signal on the 1-hour chart to short gold!
**TP1:** 3025
**TP2:** 3005
**TP3:** 2989
On Friday during the Asian early session, after 9:30 AM, gold experienced a pullback due to the divergence on the 4-hour chart, reaching the first target of 3025. It is currently recommended to reduce positions and continue holding.
On the 4-hour chart, consider that gold may undergo a corrective adjustment in the form of an expanding triangle. Wait for the reversal confirmation signal on the 4-hour chart before looking for new entry opportunities on the 1-hour chart to short gold.
The targets for new positions remain unchanged:
**TP1:** 3025
**TP2:** 3005
**TP3:** 2989
On the daily chart, the closing of gold on Friday can provide direct guidance for next week's trend. If gold forms a new daily reversal signal on the daily chart, trading in the first half of next week can proceed with minimal interference, trending downward.
If gold experiences significant fluctuations during tonight's US session, it is recommended to wait until next Monday to enter, still opting for a strategy of buying high and selling low in the fluctuating market at the top of gold.
** **
**I. Three Major Drivers of Gold Fluctuations**
1. **Trump's "Face-Changing Game"**
- **Tariff Bomb:** Trump announced plans to impose retaliatory tariffs on countries like China (effective April 2), which is like throwing a bomb into the market. Concerns about a trade war resurfacing, rising business costs, and potential economic recession emerged.
- **Interest Rate Cut Talk:** Previously, Trump said, "There's no rush to cut rates," but now he has changed his tune to "We need to cut rates quickly to save the economy." The market reacted negatively: Oh no, the economy might be in big trouble! Consequently, funds shifted from the stock market to gold for safety.
2. **"Nuclear Option Expiration" in the Options Market**
- **$4.7 Trillion Bet Expiration:** This amount is equivalent to the total market value of the top 20 companies globally, and it’s settling today.
- **Market Manipulation:** Large institutions (market makers) have an incentive to push the S&P 500 index near 5800 points, as this level maximizes their options contracts' profitability. Gold and U.S. stocks often move inversely; when the stock market is manipulated, gold may suddenly surge or plummet.
3. **"Hawkish Shock" from the Federal Reserve**
- **Officials Changing Stance:** Initially, there was one dissenting voice against an interest rate cut; now it has turned into four.
- **Gold's Calculation:** A delayed rate cut → stronger dollar → temporary pressure on gold; but poor economic conditions → panic sentiment → gold benefits. These two forces are in conflict.
---
**II. How Will Gold Move Tonight?**
**Key Levels:**
- **Floor Price:** $3034 (If it falls below this, it may continue to drop)
- **Ceiling Price:** $3056 (If it breaks above this, it may surge to $3080)
**Trading Suggestions:**
1. **Watch and Wait Mode:** The period between 2 PM and 4 PM (Eastern Time) will see the most volatility, so avoid making hasty moves.
2. **Buy in Batches:** If it drops to around $3040, buy 1/3 of your position; add more if it breaks above $3060.
3. **Exit Signal:** If the U.S. stock market suddenly spikes (especially if the S&P approaches 5800), gold could drop by 2% instantly.
If you prefer not to stay up late, you can skip trading tonight, maintain a flat position, and look for opportunities on Monday!
---
**III. Grandpa Munger's Survival Guide**
- **Being Flat is a Superpower:** Just like in poker, if you find your hand is bad, fold and don’t call.
- **Wait for Clear Signals:** Gold is currently in a "Schrödinger's state" (it could rise or fall); it’s better to wait for it to break above $3056 or drop below $3034 before taking action.
- **Historical Lesson:** On the options expiration day in September 2023, gold fluctuated by $100 in one day, leading to numerous liquidations. Today may very well replicate that scenario.
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Today's strategyThe gold price fluctuates within the range we have marked. In the short term, both long and short positions are feasible. However, you must pay attention to setting the stop-loss level and avoid taking on excessive risks
Pay attention to when the upward pressure range will be broken through. Also, keep an eye on the 3010-3020 USD range on the downside. If this range is repeatedly tested, then there might be a short-term pullback to 3000 USD
Today's xauusd trading strategy
buy@3010-3020
SL:3005
tp:3040-3050
There are risks in trading. If you are not sure about the timing, it is best to leave me a message. This will better confirm the timing of the transaction, It can also better expand profits and reduce losses
Gold has short-term callback demandGold hit a high of 3057 and then fell back. The daily line closed with a negative cross star, and a correction is needed in the short term. The daily resistance is near 3050. It touched 3047 in early trading and fell back. If the market falls below 3042, continue to look at 3030-3025. The operation is the same as what I said in my previous post. First short and then long. In addition to the low point, the support below is 3020. The strong support is around 3011. You can go long if it is touched.
Operation suggestion: short at 3050-3040 above, and go long at yesterday's low or 3025-3015 below. It is still in line with expectations.
Friends must keep up with the rhythm. If you are interested, you can follow me. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, follow real-time orders, read bottom signals, interpret daily market prices, share real-time strategies, and do not blindly follow the trend.
Gold 40-45 short, longs temporarily stopGold, after touching the 57 line, began to retrace and correct. Before the US session, it touched the lowest level near 25 and then stopped. However, the US session rebounded slightly, forming an interval shock, but did not form a second breakthrough. The high break is also likely to be the high point in the short term. After all, the European and US sessions are relatively weak, so the bulls in the short term may need to reorganize their energy and achieve a digestion correction effect. The support below is still maintained at the low point of 20 that has been generated many times in the recent period. This position is also likely to be the watershed line of the long and short positions in the recent period. Once this position continues to break down, it is likely to continue to form a retracement in the later period. The upper suppression port maintains the head and shoulders top pattern of 45 formed in the short term. The daily moving average system will continue to maintain an upward situation, but the retracement may also temporarily bring the bulls to an end. We will still operate around the short-term short position. If gold rebounds to short near 40-45 during the day, the target will be around 30-20. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Control positions, and the specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. If you are interested, you can follow us. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, and pay attention to real-time orders. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market conditions, and share real-time strategies. Don't blindly follow the trend.
Gold Maintains a Bullish Bias Above $3,000 Per OunceShortly after surpassing the key $3,000 per troy ounce level, gold continues to trade with gains of over 1.5% in the past three trading sessions. Buying pressure has remained steady as risk appetite has declined due to concerns stemming from the ongoing trade war. This situation has allowed gold to capitalize on its safe-haven status, attracting demand that has shifted away from riskier markets. At the moment, the primary trend remains bullish on the chart.
Bullish Channel:
Since the first days of January, a solid bullish channel has formed, which has now surpassed the $3,000 per ounce barrier. For now, this remains the most relevant formation to watch in the short term, as no significant bearish pressure has emerged in recent sessions to alter this perspective.
Potential Correction:
However, by analyzing RSI oscillations, we can see that the RSI line remains above the 70 level, which is considered the overbought zone. Additionally, higher highs in price, combined with lower highs in RSI, suggest a possible short-term divergence. Both signals indicate a potential imbalance in market forces, opening the door for a short-term bearish correction.
Key Levels to Watch:
$3K: New key support, representing the most significant psychological level in recent weeks. This could be a potential area for short-term bearish corrections.
$2.9K: Relevant support zone, aligning with the lower boundary of the bullish channel. Sustained downward movements below this level could put the current bullish formation at risk.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Gold hovers at a key position, clever layoutGold fell from a high of 1 hour. If gold continues to fall, then if gold rebounds and does not break the new high, then gold may show the embryonic form of a head and shoulders top in 1 hour. Again, gold fell from a high, and now it is at a high level. Don't chase more easily. After the news, the gold bulls' volume has been digested, and the gold bulls need to regain support. Gold rebounded under pressure at the high point of 3045 in the US market, and continued to go short at highs. The market is changing rapidly, and gold has entered an overbought state, so gold needs to be cautious in chasing more. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold is recommended to be short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on callbacks. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3050-3060, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3025-3010, friends must keep up with the rhythm. To control the position, the specific points are mainly based on the real-time intraday. If you are interested, please follow us. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, and pay attention to real-time orders.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, and share real-time strategies. Don't follow the trend blindly.
First empty then more to grasp the rhythmThe gold market is ever-changing. So far, the gold price has not fallen back to our pre-set long area as expected. At the same time, the resistance in the 3050-3060 area above is strong, and the price has failed to break through many times, showing the effectiveness and suppression of the resistance level.
Based on the current market, we adjusted our strategy to sell high and buy low, and adopted the operation idea of shorting first and then longing. It is recommended to arrange short orders in the 3040-3050 area, and pay close attention to the price trend after entering the market. Once the price falls back to the expected support range, do not hesitate to take profits in time, and go long in reverse, seize the subsequent possible rebound, flexibly respond to market changes, and lock in profits. If you want to accurately grasp opportunities and get signals, you can follow me.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, and share real-time strategies. Don't follow the trend blindly.
XAUUSD Today's strategyAccording to the content of the FOMC meeting of the Federal Reserve, the Fed kept the target range of the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25% - 4.5%. The market had already had certain expectations for this, which to a certain extent provided a stable environment for the gold price and prevented the gold price from being pressured due to a significant strengthening of the US dollar.
From a technical perspective, the current bullish structure of gold is obvious. However, indicators show that a divergence has emerged after the continuous rise, and the price has entered a risky area for bulls after reaching $3040. Nevertheless, in the current market environment, the bullish trend remains relatively strong. Without a clear reversal signal, the gold price may continue to follow the upward trend.
Today's xauusd trading strategy
buy@3025-3030
SL:3020
tp:3050-3060
There are risks in trading. If you are not sure about the timing, it is best to leave me a message. This will better confirm the timing of the transaction, It can also better expand profits and reduce losses.
Make your decision now! Go long on goldAt present, the CSI 3000-3005 area on the daily level constitutes a strong support zone, and the 4-hour chart 3020-3025 is the short-term long-short watershed. If the 3025 line is not effectively broken, it can be regarded as a signal of longs accumulating power, and the intraday rebound target is the 3080-3100 pressure range. It is necessary to pay attention to the change in volume. If the volume continues to shrink, it is necessary to be vigilant about the second test of the 3000-point integer mark. The operation strategy is mainly to go long on the retracement, and to arrange long orders on dips below 3020-3030, and maintain a volatile bullish pattern in the short term.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, and share real-time strategies. Don't follow the trend blindly.
Gold operation strategyGold quickly rose in the morning today, so we remind gold to pay attention to the adjustment of stepping back, and don't chase high. Gold hit the highest point of 3057 near stagnation, and started the road of falling back and adjustment. We also gave a short position near 3045-3050, and the target was 3030-3020 to stop profit. The hourly line of gold fell back from the high position. Now our long order entry target near 3025-20 is 3035-40. The hourly line of gold may show the embryonic form of a head and shoulders top. Again, don't chase gold at high levels, look for opportunities to go long after stepping back, and the operation is mainly to go long after stepping back. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
From the 4-hour analysis, pay attention to the short-term support of 3020-3025 below, and focus on the important support of 3000-05. If it does not break after stepping back, continue to be bullish. Pay attention to the upper pressure of the upper target. Before the daily level falls below the support below, the main long rhythm of the trend remains unchanged. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy, and pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy: Gold falls back to 3020-3025, and the target is 3035-3040.
gold on double retrace to sell#XAUUSD price have breakout new ATH, now we await for another retracment below 3030 for strong bearish.
Below 3030 have strong bearish zone that will continue the bearish till 3000-2997, stop loss at 3043.
But if price holds strong till correction at 3052 then possible bullish is expected to reach 3072.
Seize the callback opportunity to go long goldBros, after hitting a high near 3057, gold fell back as expected. It has now fallen back to around 3030.
📍Although the fall in gold was expected, the strength of the fall was less than expected. According to the current strength of the fall, gold may not be able to form an effective downward force. It is more likely to attract friends who missed the entry ticket in the early stage to enter the market again to buy gold;
📍After the breakthrough, there are many supports below. It may be difficult to break through the heavy support area in a short period of time. The primary support below is in the 3025-3015 area. We can try to buy gold with this area.
🔎Xauusd:@3030-3020 Buy
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XAU/USD 20 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has very nearly printed a bearish CHoCH following printing further all time highs.
CHoCH positioning is very near current price.
Remainder of my analysis remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 19 March 2025
Price has printed a bullish iBOS, however, I will apply discretion and not classify as a bullish iBOS due to very insignificant pullback which would distort internal range. Therefore, I have marked the iBOS in red.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to indicate pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. ChOCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical tensions and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Again, since yesterday's analysis, price has continued to surge to new all time highs, largely fuelled by geopolitical tensions. Gold is solidifying itself as a safe haven asset.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH to confirm internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has mitigated M15 demand zone. Technically price should target weak internal high priced at 3,057.590.
Alternative scenario:
You will note internal range has significantly narrowed. All HTF's require a pullback, therefore, it would be completely viable if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
A new round of victory surge beginsBrothers, as I mentioned in my last opinion, gold is currently facing resistance in the 3058-3063 area, so I still prefer to short gold in terms of trading. Today we shorted gold near 3050 as planned. Just when gold fell back to around 3030, I manually closed my short position and easily made a profit of 170pips. Gold fell sharply again in the short term and is currently trading below 3028. Then when the short position completely releases the space, the opportunity to go long on gold below will appear. The support area below is 3025-3020. We can go long on gold in the 3025-3020 area, especially for friends who missed the short gold trading strategy today. If you want to accurately grasp the opportunity and get the signal, you can look at my bottom signal.
Gold begins to retreat and dive!You should be careful in the next two days of this week. Based on my years of experience, the trend before and after the interest rate decision must be opposite. Before the interest rate decision, gold attacked fiercely, so after the interest rate decision, you should be careful that gold will fall back quickly. As of now, gold has retreated to around 3045, and it has retreated by about 12 US dollars from the high point. It can be seen that the current gold MA5-MA10 moving average position is around 3040. The MA20 moving average position below is here 3025-20. In other words, once gold is below 3040, you should be careful that it will further touch 3020-25. The current AM5 moving average position of the daily chart is just around 3020, which coincides with my analysis above. Once it falls below 3040, it will develop towards 3025-3020. Therefore, I suggest that you can pay attention to the 2045-50 position area for short selling.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.