Gold Prices Retreat, Short-term Bearish Trend PrevailsOn Friday, gold prices rebounded to $3,328 at the start of Asian trading but were resisted, followed by a sustained decline. Influenced by the U.S. May PCE price index data during the U.S. session, prices hit a low of $3,255 and closed at around $3,274, forming a large bearish candlestick with a long lower shadow on the daily chart.
Influencing Factors: Optimistic expectations on trade agreements boosted market risk appetite, weakening gold's safe-haven appeal.
Technical Analysis:
- Daily chart: Gold has broken below the 5-day moving average, with short-term moving averages in a bearish arrangement.
- 4-hour chart: The Bollinger Bands have widened, and prices are trending lower along the lower band. The key resistance level at $3,310 is critical—failure to reclaim this level may intensify short-term selling pressure.
Outlook for Next Week: Events such as the global central bank governors' meeting, non-farm payroll data release, and discussions on Powell's potential resignation will disrupt the market. Gold is expected to fluctuate sharply around $3,270, with caution advised for a secondary bottoming.
Comprehensive Judgment: The bearish probability is high:
- Upper Resistance: Focus on the $3,310–$3,300 range, a key bull-bear dividing line. A breakthrough here could reverse the trend.
- Lower Support: Watch the $3,250 level—breaking below it may open further downside.
Indicator Signals:
- MACD: Bearish crossover below the zero line with expanding green bars, indicating accelerating downward momentum.
- RSI: At 39 in the oversold zone, showing potential for a short-term bottom, but bearish momentum remains dominant.
XAUUSD
sell@3290~3280
sl:3310
tp:3260~3250
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Xauusdupdates
XAU/USD (Gold) Breakout or Breakdown Setup – Key Decision ZoneThe Gold Spot (XAU/USD) price action is currently at a crucial inflection point after consolidating in a rising wedge pattern between ascending support and horizontal resistance. This type of structure typically indicates a strong directional breakout is likely, and the current daily candle shows a close below the ascending support, signaling a potential bearish breakdown confirmation.
🔽 Bearish Breakdown Scenario (Confirmed Below 3250)
If price sustains below the 3250 support breakdown level, it confirms a bearish breakdown from the wedge. The height of the wedge (distance between the base of the move and the resistance) is used to project the downside target, giving us key levels to monitor:
Breakdown Confirmation: Below 3250.00
Target 1: 3111.67
Target 2: 2990.31
Projected Downside Target: 2861.24
This move suggests that gold could enter a deeper correction if buyers fail to reclaim the ascending structure quickly.
🔼 Bullish Breakout Scenario (Above 3500)
On the flip side, if bulls manage to push price back above the 3500 level, it would invalidate the current bearish momentum and confirm a bullish breakout. The projected upside targets are based on the same measured move logic:
Breakout Confirmation: Above 3500.00
Target 1: 3621.90
Target 2: 3741.84
Projected Upside Target: 3855.78
A close above 3500 with volume would set the tone for a fresh rally toward new highs.
🧭 Strategy Outlook
Short Bias (active): Entry below 3250; SL above 3300; TP at 3110 / 2990 / 2860
Long Bias (if reversal): Entry above 3500; SL below 3460; TP at 3620 / 3740 / 3850
Always wait for a strong daily candle close beyond the breakout/breakdown levels before initiating any trades
=================================================================
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
=================================================================
Gold Analysis and Trading Outlook – June 27Good morning, everyone!
Yesterday, gold encountered resistance in the 3348–3352 zone and fell back to around 3310 before rebounding toward the 3336 resistance area. Today’s session opened with renewed weakness, and so far, the overall price action has closely followed our expectations. Whether it was selling near resistance, buying after the dip, or shorting the rebound, each opportunity yielded solid profits.
Some traders have asked about my strategy’s win rate. Those who’ve followed consistently already know—the overall win rate has remained above 80%, with very few instances of error. Even in the rare case of a misjudgment, I apply specific recovery strategies to minimize risk and avoid large losses. That’s the core reason why I’m confident I can help many traders.
Technically, the daily chart still shows a bearish trend, and prices are now approaching the key 3300 support zone. While the current geopolitical uncertainty adds complexity, it doesn't prevent us from executing flexible intraday trades. In fact, range-bound markets can still be highly profitable with a disciplined approach.
Key intraday levels to watch:
Dynamic support: 3318–3313
Major support: 3300–3287
Resistance levels: 3336, 3348–3352, and 3370
Today’s trades can continue to focus on these levels, using a sell-high, buy-low strategy with flexibility.
"Gold Vault Breach! XAU/USD Heist Plan in Motion"🏴☠️💰 XAU/USD Gold Heist Blueprint 💰🏴☠️
“The Vault’s Open… Time to Load Up!”
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Market Robbers 🤑💰💸✈️
Get ready to execute the Golden Robbery with style and precision! Based on our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 using both technical & fundamental weapons, we’ve decoded the latest gold vault password: XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) is showing bullish bias!
🎯 Heist Instructions:
📈 Entry Point –
“The vault is wide open!”
Enter long anytime — but for the sharp shooters, place buy limits on the most recent 15/30min swing lows or pullback zones for a stealthier entry. Let the retracement pull the guards away 😏🔐
🛑 Stop Loss –
🔒 Set your Thief SL just below recent swing lows on the 4H timeframe (around 3310.0).
🔧 Adjust based on risk tolerance, lot size, and number of open trades — every heist has its escape plan!
🏁 Target Zone –
🎯 Aim for 3395.0 — or vanish before the cops show up!
Trail the stop as you go and don’t get greedy — wealth is preserved when exits are clean! 🏃♂️💨
🧲 Scalper's Advisory:
Only steal on the Long Side! Bulls are funding this operation.
💼 Big pockets? Dive in.
💳 Small stack? Swing with the pros & follow the plan.
🎯 Use Trailing SL to keep the loot safe.
📊 Market Insight – Why We Rob Gold Now?
XAU/USD shows bullish momentum 🐂 backed by:
Macro & Fundamental Data 🧠
Geopolitical & Intermarket Trends 🌍
COT Reports & Sentimental Outlook 💼
Dollar Weakness + Safe Haven Flow 💸
📚 Always cross-check the news wires & reports to validate the path! Fundamentals are the lockpick tools behind every breakout! 🔓📈
⚠️ Stealth Warnings:
📆 News Events = Increased Surveillance!
🚫 No new entries during high-volatility news drops.
🛡 Use Trailing SL on live trades to secure the bag.
💖 Wanna Support Our Heist Style?
Smash that 🚀 BOOST BUTTON 🚀
It fuels our Thief Army and helps you & your crew loot the market with confidence and flair!
Every day’s a new caper — follow the plan, manage your risk, and stay outta jail! 🏆💪🤝🎉
🔐 See you in the next Robbery Blueprint — Stay Locked & Loaded!
🐱👤💼📈💣💸
Gold Fails to Hold the Fear – Ceasefire Triggers 500+ Pip DropIn yesterday’s analysis, I pointed out that despite the weekend escalation in the middle-east, which triggered a gap up in Gold, the price action didn’t confirm the fear narrative. Gold failed to hold its gains – a clear sign of weakness.
📌 What happened next?
Throughout the day, Gold attempted multiple pushes toward 3400 – but each effort was met with strong selling pressure.
Then came the ceasefire announcement… and Gold dropped hard, now trading around 3320, locking in over 500 pips of profit from my short setup.
________________________________________
❓ More importantly, what’s next for Gold?
More important than the short-term noise is what the charts are now telling us:
📉 Weekly chart? Bearish.
🕯️ Daily chart? Also turned bearish after last week’s indecisive price action.
________________________________________
📌 Strategy remains the same:
I continue to sell rallies, and I’m now watching the 3280 support zone for a possible test in the coming hours.
Patience. Discipline. Let the market come to you. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Waiting for data release to rebound and short📰 Impact of news:
1. PCE and Consumer Index
📈 Market analysis:
The current price of 3280 has a higher profit and loss ratio advantage. Technical indicators show that the hourly chart is severely oversold. Combined with the top and bottom conversion of 3300 above, there is a 20-point rebound space in the short term. If the PCE data is in line with the trend, gold prices are expected to quickly regain the 3,300 mark. Note that negative data beyond expectations may cause a brief decline.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3295-3280-3275
TP 3298-3300-3310
SELL 3300-3310
TP 3290-3280-3260-3250
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar - 4 Hour Chart (OANDA)4-hour chart from OANDA shows the price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar, with the current price at 3,282.135, reflecting a decrease of 45.685 (-1.37%). The chart includes a descending trendline, support and resistance zones (highlighted in pink and teal), and key price levels ranging from 3,244.835 to 3,400.000. The analysis suggests a potential downward movement as the price approaches a support zone near 3,244.975, with indicators like the U.S. flag and lightning bolt possibly signaling significant market events or volatility.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour chart from OANDA shows the price movement of Gold Spot against the U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD), with the current price at 3,282.080, reflecting a decrease of 45.740 (-1.37%). The chart includes a downward trendline indicating a potential bearish trend, with key support and resistance levels marked at 3,245.627 and 3,316.901, respectively. The chart covers data from June to July 2025, with the latest update at 01:22:46.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour chart from OANDA displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) from late June to mid-July 2025. The current price is $3,290.270, reflecting a decrease of $37.475 (-1.13%) as of 09:42. The chart highlights a recent upward trend followed by a potential support zone around $3,200-$3,300, with a marked resistance level near $3,380. The analysis suggests a possible reversal or consolidation phase.
XAU/USD GOLD 4H + 1H PREMIUM TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – JUNE 27, 20254-HOUR TIMEFRAME – HIGHER TIMEFRAME BIAS
Gold continues to trade near its all-time highs, consolidating just below a recent swing high of $3,315. Despite minor pullbacks, the macro trend remains bullish, with bullish structure still intact. Recent price action shows shallow retracements and strong rejections of key fib levels, a typical sign of underlying smart money accumulation.
Price Action & Market Structure
Gold recently printed a Break of Structure (BOS) at $3,290, followed by a retest of the broken level.
We observed a Change of Character (CHoCH) near $3,300, quickly invalidated by bullish strength – further confirming accumulation behavior.
Market remains in bullish alignment unless $3,250 is broken decisively.
Key Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance $3,315–$3,320
Demand $3,275–$3,282
Support $3,250
Targets $3,340 / $3,355
Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
Liquidity Grab beneath $3,275 likely triggered retail stop hunts
4H Bullish Order Block between $3,275–$3,282 remains unmitigated
Imbalance Zone: $3,283–$3,289 – price may wick into this before launch
Sell-side liquidity taken below $3,275 → bullish reaction
Buy-side liquidity sits above $3,315 → likely short-term magnet
ZOOMING INTO 1-HOUR CHART – INTRADAY SETUPS
The 1-hour chart aligns with the bullish higher-timeframe bias, offering two potential premium-level setups:
Setup #1: Bullish Rejection from 4H OB
Entry Zone: $3,275–$3,282
This setup targets a liquidity sweep beneath $3,275 followed by bullish mitigation of a clean order block and imbalance zone. Confluence across fibs, OB, and structure support increases probability.
Setup #2: Breakout Retest Play
Trigger: Clean breakout and retest of $3,315
Entry: On successful retest (bullish confirmation candle)
Ideal if momentum pushes through local resistance, clearing buy-side liquidity. Reclaim of structure suggests smart money continuation.
Bearish Contingency (Low Probability for Now)
If price breaks below $3,250 and confirms below structure:
Look to short on retests into $3,275
Target next demand around $3,235
Until that happens, bullish bias remains dominant.
Gold remains one of the most structured and responsive instruments to smart money technicals right now. A well-planned entry around demand, imbalance, or breakout levels provides excellent RRR potential if structure holds.
Gold Breaks Trendline – Deeper Correction Ahead?Gold (XAUUSD) has just broken below its short-term ascending trendline formed since mid-May. The candle closed around $3,333, confirming a bearish engulfing pattern and highlighting growing selling pressure after multiple failed attempts to reclaim the $3,383–$3,399 resistance zone (Fibonacci 0.5–0.618).
Key Levels to Watch:
- Immediate Support: $3,315 (tested twice before)
- Main Resistance: $3,383–$3,399 (Fibonacci zone)
- Major Resistance: $3,435–$3,451 (May high zone)
If $3,315 fails to hold, gold could retest $3,285–$3,270, with deeper downside toward $3,222.
Technical Overview:
- The ascending trendline is now broken.
- Bearish engulfing candlestick confirms momentum shift.
- Price rejected sharply from Fibonacci 0.618 – $3,399.
Trade Setups to Consider:
Sell Opportunity: Short near $3,360–$3,383; stop loss above $3,400; targets at $3,315 and $3,270.
Speculative Buy: Watch for reversal patterns near $3,315; stop loss below $3,300; short-term target $3,350–$3,365.
Caution: This week brings major U.S. economic events (GDP, PCE, Fed speeches). Trade reactively, manage risk tightly, and avoid overleveraging.
Gold Trading Strategy June 26✏️ D1 candle shows a recovery but not significantly. Gold is currently reacting at the key resistance zone of 3342.
The immediate support zone that the price is heading toward is 3326. This forms a breakout range between 3326 and 3342.
A bullish channel may form if there is a strong price reaction at 3326. Conversely, if 3326 is broken, it could confirm a continuation of the downtrend targeting 3302 during the European and US sessions today. The bearish target could even extend to 3278.
📈 Key Levels
Breakout Range: 3326 - 3342
Support: 3326 - 3314 - 3302 - 3278
Resistance: 3342 - 3363 - 3388
📊 Recommended Trade Setups
BUY: 3302–3300 | SL: 3297
SELL: 3363–3365 | SL: 3369
XAUUSD 1H–Power of 3, Liquidity Grab, FVG Fill & Bullish TargetThis is a classic Smart Money Concept (ICT) setup XAUUSD 1H – Power of 3, Liquidity Grab, FVG Fill & Bullish Targeting OB + Major Pool.
Accumulation at the bottom
Liquidity grab below SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity)
Expecting bullish expansion toward:
FVG fills
Break of BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity)
Tap or break of OB (Order Block)
Final target: Major Liquidity Pool ~3380–3390
🧠
Trade Plan:
Entry: After SSL sweep + bullish confirmation (FVG or MSB)
TP1: FVG fill
TP2: BSL break
TP3: OB or final pool zone
SL: Below manipulation wick.
After grabbing buy-side liquidity (BSL),Instrument: XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar)
Timeframe: 1 hour (1h)
Current Price: Approximately $3,322.345
🔍
Marked Zones and Labels
BSL (Buy-side Liquidity): Highlighted near the top yellow zone around the $3,336 - $3,344 range.
Price previously swept above this zone and then reversed, indicating a liquidity grab.
SSL (Sell-side Liquidity): Indicated near the bottom zone, around the $3,300 level.
This suggests a potential target area for price to draw down into.
Supply Zone: The top yellow rectangle, where price was previously rejected.
Demand Zone (or Support): The bottom yellow rectangle labeled with “SSS” (possibly short for “Strong Support Structure”).
📉
Price Action & Forecast
A downward arrow projection is drawn, suggesting a bearish bias.
After grabbing buy-side liquidity (BSL), the expectation is for the market to seek sell-side liquidity (SSL).
Potential downside target near $3,300 or below.
6/25 Gold Analysis and Trading ViewGood morning, everyone!
Gold experienced a sharp decline yesterday. Technically, the conditions for a rebound are in place, but since a solid bottom structure has yet to form, a retest to the downside is likely during today’s session.
Key levels to watch:
Resistance zone: 3336–3348
Support zones: Primary support at 3313–3303, with additional support around 3296–3282
Today’s overall strategy remains buying on dips as the primary approach, with short opportunities near resistance as a secondary option.
Key scenario to monitor:
If the price drops to around 3280 but fails to rebound toward 3336, and the daily close ends below 3300, then the buy-on-dip strategy will likely continue into tomorrow.
XAU/USD: Range Trading Awaiting BreakoutCore Logic:
1.Macro Drivers: Powell's dovish remarks continue to reverberate, with U.S. Treasury yields declining, the U.S. Dollar Index breaking below 97, and the debt ceiling extended to July 24—safe-haven demand props up gold prices.
2.Technical Outlook:
Currently trading in a $3,300–$3,350 range, with shrinking volume reflecting market caution.
Trend Projection:
- Likely to remain range-bound between $3,300–$3,350; a breakout will depend on progress in previously mentioned catalysts.
- If data misses expectations or geopolitical risks (e.g., Iran tensions) escalate, gold may rally to $3,360; otherwise, it could test $3,300 support.
Trading Strategies:
- Long positions: Enter lightly at $3,300–$3,310, stop-loss at $3,290, target $3,340.
- Short positions: Sell on rejection above $3,345, stop-loss at $3,360, target $3,320.
- Risk management: Cap single-trade exposure ≤3% to mitigate data-driven volatility.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Scalping Strategy Using BOS & OB | Gold Spot | by Mohsen MozafarDescription:
> This is a 30-minute scalping setup on Gold Spot (XAU/USD), based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) — focusing on Break of Structure (BOS) and Order Blocks (OB).
Analysis and strategy are prepared by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad.
---
📊 Market Context:
Current Structure: Bearish
Short-Term Market Structure: MSU (Market Structure Up)
Efficiency: Confirmed (clean price action & response zones)
---
🧠 Technical Highlights:
1. Double BOS confirms recent shifts in momentum
2. TLQ (Top Liquidity Quest) formed after HH (Higher High) and liquidity sweep
3. Key Demand OB identified (labeled A) — valid based on BOS confirmation
4. Expecting a bounce from OB (A) towards (B) as a reaction to unfilled imbalance
5. Potential drop from TLQ zone (B) to (C) if liquidity is fully absorbed
---
🎯 Scalping Plan:
Entry Zone:
Order Block at (A), waiting for CHoCH or bullish price action confirmation
(preferably on lower timeframe like M5)
Stop Loss:
Just below OB (around 3327)
Take Profits:
TP1: Near TLQ / Extreme zone (B)
TP2: Further liquidity grab or possible continuation above previous HH
---
❗ Alternative Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to hold at OB (A) and breaks below 3327 with BOS,
→ short opportunity opens toward new lows at 3314–3310 (labeled C).
---
✅ Summary:
This is a clean scalping setup following SMC principles:
BOS → OB → Liquidity → Reaction
Focus on structure, precision, and quick confirmation signals.
Prepared by:
📌 Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
Gold - The final resistance breakout!Gold - TVC:GOLD - prepares a final rally:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Over the past 12 months, Gold rallied more than +70%. However the past three months clearly rejected a major horizontal resistance. But price action on the smaller timeframe remains incredibly bullish. Therefore an all time high breakout will most likely follow.
Levels to watch: $3.500
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold reaches the lower support and makes a bold attemptWith the official ceasefire in the Middle East, risk aversion has returned to normal. Russia and Ukraine are now expected to return to the negotiation table. The situation that was in full swing last week has suddenly become calm. Then the focus of market attention has shifted again to the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Federal Reserve Powell reiterated in his testimony to the Senate Committee on the semi-annual monetary policy report that there is no rush to act. The tariffs are unprecedented and it is difficult to predict the impact on inflation. Consumers may have to bear part of the tariffs. The trade agreement may make the Federal Reserve consider cutting interest rates, continuing its previous hawkish tone and suppressing the rebound in gold prices.
Gold hourly chart;
Short-term analysis of gold; The recent fluctuations of 1-200 US dollars have greatly increased the difficulty of trading for retail investors. It seems that there are many opportunities in a day, but in fact, the big market mainly appears in a few times. If you can't keep up in time, you can only watch the price jump up and down. The most feared thing is not to keep up with the market, but the price returns to the same point, but the principal is gradually reduced.
From the 4-hour analysis of gold, there are repeated resistances from the bulls before the downward break; once the downward break, the market will go further short, and pay attention to 3280 below. The upper short-term 3330-50 line is the key to suppression. Only by breaking the bulls can the rebound continue. In terms of operation, sell high and buy low, and pay attention to the breakthrough!
There are too many long orders at high levels of gold at present, and the market will not rise easily. The current international situation is so tense, and gold is still slowly declining. It is difficult to rebound sharply in this situation.
#XAUUSD #GOLD 30Min 📉📈 #XAUUSD 30m Analysis – Dual Setup Scenario
We’re monitoring two potential trade setups depending on how price reacts at key levels:
🔴 Sell Setup:
Price is entering a Sell-Side Order Block Zone between 3350–3360, aligned with a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This premium zone is likely to act as strong resistance, with potential rejection targeting downside liquidity near 3310 — an ideal area for short positions.
🟢 Buy Setup:
If price sweeps below and taps into the Liquidity Zone / Demand Area around 3305–3311, we’ll watch for a bullish reversal from this discount zone. This area offers a favorable setup for long entries, aligning with institutional buying levels.
📌 Be sure to mark these key zones on your chart for enhanced clarity and execution.
💬 What’s your outlook on Gold? Share your thoughts below 👇
6/26 Gold Analysis and Trading ViewGood morning, everyone!
Yesterday, gold rose to around 3336 before pulling back, then revisited the same level again. The buy-on-dip strategy performed well, delivering solid profits.
At today’s open, prices have moved slightly higher but remain near resistance. Technically, there’s potential to test the 3350 area, and if the move is strong, a rally toward 3370 is also possible.
If gold reaches this zone, it may present a favorable short-term selling opportunity. Therefore, today's trading strategy should focus on range-based trading between 3326-3368, selling near resistance and buying near support.
Key levels to watch:
Resistance: 3348–3352
Support: 3326–3318
Lastly, be mindful: if a trending move emerges, adjust your strategy accordingly and avoid counter-trend trades. Stay flexible and manage risk wisely.
XAUUSD has been in a strong free fall following the sell strategXAUUSD has dropped sharply in a free fall, perfectly following the sell strategy from 3348–3350.
We have won.
Trading Strategy for XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Based on the current price structure and short-term bias, here are two tactical trade setups:
Sell Setup – If Price Rejects Resistance
Entry: 3,348 – 3,350 USD
Stop-loss: 3,357 USD
Take-Profit 1: 3,340 USD
Take-Profit 2: 3,335 USD
Take-Profit 3: 3,330 USD
Buy Setup – If Price Holds Support
Entry: 3,328 – 3,330 USD
Stop-loss: 3,320 USD
Take-Profit 1: 3,338 USD
Take-Profit 2: 3,340 USD
Take-Profit 3: 3,348 USD
Important: Always set a stop-loss in every trade to manage risk effectively.