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Gold "skydived" from $3,500, where will the landing price be?Fundamental analysis: the game between policy signals and safe-haven demand From a fundamental perspective, Trump's moderate statement is the core driving factor of this round of gold correction. However, as tariff expectations cool, investors are beginning to reassess the attractiveness of risky assets. The three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher on Tuesday, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell slightly, indicating that the market's confidence in the economic outlook has recovered. Against this background, the safe-haven premium of gold has been weakened, and profit-taking has accelerated. In addition, the Fed's policy expectations are still an important variable affecting gold. At present, the market generally expects the Fed to continue to cut interest rates in 2025, but the pace and magnitude depend on inflation data and economic performance. If the expectation of interest rate cuts further heats up, the US dollar index may be under pressure, thereby providing some support for gold. Technical analysis: pullback pressure and key support The gold price fell below the support of $3,300, and the next key level points to $3,282, which coincides with the low point on April 17. If the decline continues, $3,150, as the pivot point in early April, will become an important defensive line for bulls. On the contrary, if the price stabilizes and rebounds, the pivot point of $3,415 will be the first resistance level, and further upward movement needs to pay attention to the higher resistance of $3,464. It is worth noting that the current price is far away from the resistance level of $3,415, and the rebound momentum may be limited in the short term, unless new fundamental catalysts appear to push the RSI back to the overbought area. Quaid's comprehensive analysis: The gold market has entered a consolidation phase after a rapid rise, and short-term correction pressure still exists, but in the long run, safe-haven demand and fundamental support remain solid. Quaid recommends that traders pay close attention to US policy trends, the trend of the US dollar, and the performance of key technical levels to grasp the market rhythm. At the same time, Quaid will always pay attention to international news so as to make timely analysis and suggestions for traders; to help traders get out of the current predicament.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
4/23 Gold Trading StrategyGold saw a sharp decline from 3500 to around 3360 yesterday, and our selling strategy delivered significant returns. Over the weekend, Trump stated he has no intention to fire Powell and hinted at easing trade tensions. This quickly dampened market risk aversion, causing gold to plunge at the open today to near 3320. The downward momentum remains strong. In this kind of market, flexibility is key. A sharp drop is usually followed by a rebound, but the strength of that rebound is what matters. Technically, the potential bounce is estimated at around $50, but whether the price continues to rise or resumes its decline will depend on how the market digests the news. Technical levels (excluding news impact): Key resistance: 3410–3440 Key support: 3328–3303 Considering the news: Key resistance: 3346-3372 Key support: 3298–3268 Trading Strategy for Today: Sell between 3410–3440 Buy between 3297–3267 Trade flexibly within 3386–3332 / 3296–3328
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
2
Can gold continue to fall and set a new high?This wave of gold correction is still ongoing. In fact, the market has a warning for today's pullback. After all, yesterday's closing line was a big negative line, so the trend of gold will definitely continue. Moreover, after gold rose to the 3500 level yesterday, the trend weakened. The market fell all the way and broke through the 3400 mark and the 3300 mark, and fell to the lowest level of 3290! To be honest, this round of decline is still quite strong. After breaking the continuous positive trend, the market ushered in the suppression of the market pullback, and at present, there is still a trend of continuation! On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold is recommended to be short-selling on rebounds and long-selling on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3320-3330 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3285-3245 support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JoshuaEmmie
XAU/USD - H1 Time Frame Trade Plan 23-04-2024⚙️ Gold (XAU/USD) – H1 Time Frame Trade Plan 🧭 Current Market Bias (H1) Check if price is above or below 50 EMA and 200 EMA Above both = bullish bias Below both = bearish bias Between = range / indecision ✅ Bullish Trade Setup (Buy the Dip) Entry Zone: $2,340 – $2,350 (recent demand zone) Entry Signal: Bullish engulfing / hammer / RSI bounce from 40 Stop Loss: $2,325 (below recent swing low) Take Profit 1: $2,370 Take Profit 2: $2,390 Risk:Reward: At least 1:2 ❌ Bearish Trade Setup (Sell the Rally) Entry Zone: $2,390 – $2,400 (strong resistance) Entry Signal: Bearish engulfing / shooting star / RSI rejection from 70 Stop Loss: $2,415 (above previous swing high) Take Profit 1: $2,360 Take Profit 2: $2,340 📌 Extra Tips Use MACD crossovers or RSI divergence for confirmation. Avoid entering during high-impact news (e.g., FOMC, CPI, NFP). Consider partial closes and trailing stops if price action moves in your favor.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forexcryptowithjohn
Gold shorts are rampant! Can the 3300 mark be maintained?Yesterday, the international gold price fell from 3,500 USD/ounce to 130 USD, breaking through several important support levels. As of today, the lowest price reached 0.328, around 3291, which has given up all the gains this week. Focus on 0.382, 3291, within the day. If there is no break, the bulls will resist. After the break, the bears will continue to attack and look at around 3243-3228. Spot gold today's operation strategy and key points analysis Core view: The daily pressure adjustment continues, pay attention to the effectiveness of 3293 support in the short term, and the 3228-3240 area may become the end point of the adjustment; The rebound is mainly high-altitude, pay attention to the 3340-3356 resistance area, and maintain a bearish outlook before stabilization; 1. Spot gold intraday operation plan Resistance and short-selling area Rebound: 3340-3356-3471 (4-hour middle track and MA5 daily resistance golden section 0.236) Strategy: If the rebound is under pressure near 3340 (hourly chart K-line closes negative or stagflation signal), try shorting with a light position, stop loss above 3358, and target 3293-3280. Aggressive short order: If the rebound is unable to break through 3335 (MA10 hourly moving average), you can enter the market in advance. Support and potential bottom-picking area First support: 3291 (Daily MA10 382 retracement) Observation signal: If it rebounds and recovers 3291 after a rapid decline, you can short (light position), stop loss 3285, target 3340. Strong support area: 3228-3240 (50% retracement, previous starting point) Strategy: When it touches around 3228 for the first time, combined with bottom divergence or long lower shadow, try long with light position, stop loss 3210, target 3280-3300. Breakthrough market response Unexpectedly break through 3358: If the hourly chart closes at 3358, short orders will be temporarily exited, pay attention to the counter-pressure of 3380 (4-hour middle track), and short orders can still be tried. Potential opportunities for bottom-picking in the market: focus on 3240-3228-3167 IV. Summary Main idea: rebound high and high, focus on 3340-3356-3371*, if it does not break, continue to adjust; Bottom-picking opportunity: wait for the stabilization signal in the 3228-3240-3167 area, and it is safer to trade on the right side; Short-term trading depends on the system, and the market depends on the level. Short-term trading is high frequency, fast in and fast out. It is obviously impossible to pursue a high success rate in this model. Therefore, it can only rely on the system to win. There is a clear trading system, stop loss and stop profit system and risk control system. As long as these are done well, short-term trading can also make money. Moreover, short-term trading is a compulsory course for every trader. The market is the core of the real path to profitability, leapfrogging and successful trading, which requires considerable accumulation and precipitation, including the accumulation of mentality, funds, and technical level, and the market is also the path that every trader must reach and must eventually reach and move towards.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Gold Ideas for April 23 ahead of Flash Manufacturing PMI News📉 XAUUSD Trade Plan – April 23, 2025 Market Overview: Current Price Action: Gold is in a bearish corrective phase within a higher time frame bullish structure. The recent price action confirms a short-term bearish flow with CHoCH and BOS. 🔻 SELL ZONES 🔴Sell Zone 1: 3330–3341 ✅ Valid: Previous support turned resistance Structure: CHoCH origin on 1H Watch for: NY spike into zone + LTF rejection 🔥 Most likely short setup today 🔴Sell Zone 2: 3362–3372 ⚠️ Still valid, but far from price Use only on aggressive NY volatility or PMI spike Risk of price flipping bullish if broken 🔴Sell Zone 3: 3384–3393 ❄️ Inactive for now – requires major news catalyst HTF OB + imbalance, but distant unless price surges Lower probability unless full reversal structure forms 🔴Key Level: 3410–3414 🔒 Reserved for extreme sweep/reversal Only valid if all upper zones are taken out + price reaches premium zone with liquidity grab 🟢 BUY ZONES 🟢Buy Zone 1: 3290-3303 ✅ Played perfectly – Price tapped and bounced Structure: M30 OB base + liquidity sweep Still valid for retests with M1–M5 confirmation Primary intraday buy 🟢Buy Zone 2: 3272–3282 🟡 Valid but less likely today unless 3291 breaks Stucture: FVG fill + minor OB Good for continuation if NY fakes out into discount 🟢Buy Zone 3: 3224–3233 🧱 Strong HTF EQ zoneReactive demand with imbalance Use for NY deep pullback + structure reclaim 🟢Buy Zone 4: 3150–3190 ⚠️ HTF only – not expected to trigger today Long-term reversal zone, use with caution unless major drop happens 🔍 FINAL STRATEGY NOTES Watch 3318–3330: Mid-structure, key battle zone → avoid entries here Best plays: → Sell from 3330–3341 if rejection forms → Buy retest of 3291 ONLY with clean confirmation Avoid counter-trend limit orders — wait for BOS/CHoCH on LTF 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
3280 becomes the key for bulls!The previous surge in gold prices was mainly due to the market pricing of "stagflation" risks, but as this risk is gradually eliminated, gold may experience a significant correction, especially considering that "long gold" has become one of the most crowded trades in the market, and its parabolic rise is an obvious signal. From a larger cycle perspective, gold is still in an upward trend, because the actual yield may continue to decline under the background of the Fed's easing policy. But in the short term, if the good news about tariffs continues to be released, the price of gold may fall further, and the market will adjust according to the new environment. Views on gold tonight! In fact, the market has a warning for today's retracement. After all, yesterday's closing line was a big negative line, so there must be a continuation in the trend of gold. Moreover, after yesterday's gold rose to the 3500 line, the trend weakened, and the market fell all the way to break the 3400 mark and the 3300 mark, and fell to the lowest 3290 line! To be honest, this round of decline is still quite strong. After breaking the continuous positive, the market ushered in the suppression of the market retracement, and at present, there is still a trend of continuation! In my opinion, the key entry point for long orders today is the previous starting point of 3280. The short-term retracement of gold is obviously continuing, and in the medium and long term, gold is still bullish. So our entry point is actually relatively simple. When it retreats to 3280, we can directly enter the market. There are still many opportunities for long orders. The retracement is not the peak!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Patrick-Daniel
1
Trump sends out a major signal of tariffs, gold prices plummet 📌 Driving events On Tuesday evening, local time, US President Trump said that he had no intention of firing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. Trump also said that tariffs on Chinese imports would be "substantially" reduced from the current 145%. In addition, Trump said that he would not take "tough measures" against China during the tariff negotiations, and was "optimistic" that he could reach an agreement with it "fairly quickly" and "substantially reduce" the huge 145% tariff imposed on Chinese imports. Because of President Trump's erratic tariff policy changes, investors' confidence in the outlook for the US economy continues to weaken. 📊Commentary analysis The slowdown and decline in gold prices are inevitable. The profit-taking mentality and the cooling of news on tariffs and Russian-Ukrainian military operations led to a decline in gold prices. 💰Strategy Package Short position: Actively participate at 3350 points, profit target is around 3290 points ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
TVC:GOLDShort
by Labaron
1
The gold market suddenly "changed its face"Gold plunged down from the high of 3500 yesterday, mainly due to the fact that US President Trump said at the swearing-in ceremony of Atkins, chairman of the US Securities and Exchange Commission, on Tuesday local time that he had no intention of firing Fed Chairman Powell, although he was disappointed that the Fed did not cut interest rates faster. The cooling of risk aversion directly affected the gold price, which once fell to $3366, and then closed near 3382, with the largest drop of 134 points on Tuesday. This wave of gold correction is still continuing. After opening today, it fell straight to 3315. Although it has completely recovered the decline, I think the short position still has continuity, so today's operation strategy is still mainly high-altitude. Gold is currently trading below 3357. There are signs of a rebound in gold prices at the beginning of the European session. Now the upper suppression level can be moved down. The short-term suppression reference is 3330 here, followed by the second highest point on the way up to 3357; the lower support focuses on the vicinity of 3285, and after effectively breaking it, it can focus on the vicinity of 3245. Now the gold price is trading near the Asian low of 3315. The prudent operation idea is to short at 3331 to protect the gold price near 3320 and wait for the gold price to reach 3285. After the break, wait for the rebound to 3300 and then go short to 3245. It is not recommended to participate in long orders.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
1
Gold is down 100 points, but it still remains high and short.Technically speaking: ① Yesterday's daily line hit a high and fell back to close with a hanging neck line with a long upper shadow, which represents a short-term peak signal. Today's opening opened low and rebounded to repair the gap, which can determine the bottom support in the short term. Therefore, today's range has become a large range of 3313-3500. From the daily Fibonacci retracement extension line, the current support is around 3291, that is, the range of 3291-3371, and the middle 0.236 is located at 3370. ②The 4-hour indicator macd is dead cross at a high level and runs with large volume, and the smart indicator sto is running near oversold, which means that the 4-hour market is still volatile and weak. In the short term, pay attention to the middle track and the moving average MA5 and MA10 corresponding to the 3403-3358-3404 line, and the short-term moving average MA30 corresponds to the 3350 line. From the 4-hour perspective, the current range is 3291-3371. ③ The current MACD of the hourly line is dead cross with shrinking volume, and the dynamic indicator STO is hooked upward, which represents the rebound trend of the hourly line. At present, we focus on the MA60 moving average, the middle track and the MA30 moving average, which currently correspond to the 3397-3354-3405 line, but will gradually move down over time. In summary: short-selling in the area near the upper pressure of 3321-3351-3371, and maintaining high altitude as the main theme Summary: In the short term, the high altitude callback is the main focus, and the key support level is arranged in batches for long orders to follow the long-term trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Patrick-Daniel
Gold falls from highs, medium-term bullish structure remains uncSpot gold prices continue to fall, extending the correction of the psychological level of $3,500. At the same time, senior Trump administration officials hinted that they are "paving the way" for a trade agreement with Asian powers, further boosting investors' confidence in the global economic outlook, thereby weakening demand for safe-haven gold. Fed policy expectations still support gold's downward space. Despite improved risk sentiment, the market still expects the Fed to launch a new round of interest rate cuts in June, with three rate cuts expected throughout the year, which makes gold's medium-term trend still optimistic. At present, weak US economic data and the president's erratic trade policy have further suppressed investors' confidence in US dollar assets. Quaid believes that the market's expectations for the Fed's interest rate cuts have supported the structural upward trend of gold, even if it faces a technical correction in the short term. Technical aspects show that gold may adjust in the short term, but the support below is strong. Quaid's analysis: The current adjustment pressure faced by gold comes more from short-term market sentiment repair and technical profit-taking, but the medium- and long-term fundamentals are still strong. The Fed's interest rate cut expectations have not changed, the US dollar has a clear medium-term weakening trend, and geopolitical factors are still highly uncertain. Gold is still in a bull-dominated pattern overall. Operation strategy: 3325 long, stop loss 3315, take profit 3350. If it stops rising at 3350, traders can flip the operation strategy and short at this position.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
1
XAUUSD Today's strategyThere has been a remarkable negative correlation between DXY and gold prices for a long time. Although this internal logic is short-term disturbed by multiple complex factors, the core correlation has always dominated the market rhythm. Recently, the joint remarks by the U.S. Treasury Secretary and Trump on easing tariff issues may boost the U.S. dollar emotionally in the short term, thereby suppressing the bullish momentum of gold. However, this impact needs to be examined within the macro framework. Currently, the high uncertainty of the global economy, the intermittent escalation of geopolitical risks, and the reconstruction of inflation expectations in some economies jointly form a long-term supporting logic for the safe-haven attribute of gold. From a trading perspective, the above-mentioned short-term disturbances instead provide a window for strategic allocation — Long-term investors who have not yet positioned or exited midway can take the opportunity of market sentiment fluctuations to build positions in batches, with key attention paid to the test opportunities of the critical support range of $3,250-$3,280。 Short-term traders need to strengthen discipline and strictly follow the established stop-loss and take-profit rules. Given the amplified volatility and enhanced randomness of the current market, it is recommended to appropriately shorten the operation cycle and closely track the intraday dynamics to adjust strategies. Overall, the marginal changes in tariff policy expectations only constitute small-level fluctuations in the trend process, and the medium-to-long-term upward logic of gold remains undamaged. Investors can grasp structural opportunities under the premise of controlling positions according to their own risk preferences. XAUUSD buy@3250-3280 tp:3300-3340 I hope this strategy will be helpful to you. When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by H_C_12
Gold Price Plunges After Climbing to $3,500 for the First TimeGold Price Plunges After Climbing to $3,500 for the First Time As the XAU/USD chart shows: → Yesterday, the spot gold price stopped just a few cents short of the key psychological level of $3,500 (and even exceeded it on the futures market); → But this morning, an ounce is trading around $3,300, having dropped aggressively by more than 5%. Why Did Gold Suddenly Drop? The sharp decline followed a shift in rhetoric from President Trump. According to Reuters: → The US President backed away from threats to dismiss Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell; → He also signalled a more moderate stance on tariffs against China. Market participants interpreted this as a reason to take profits on long positions, as the softened tone from the White House reduced demand for safe-haven assets. As a result, gold collapsed from its historic high, while the US dollar index rebounded from multi-month lows. Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart Gold price fluctuations have formed an upward channel (highlighted in blue), with key reversal points marked for constructing the channel. From this perspective, one interpretation is that the upper boundary marked a price area where gold was extremely overbought. Now, the imbalance in market sentiment may be driving the price back towards the median, where supply and demand tend to stabilise. And although the $3,300 level is currently acting as support, the XAU/USD chart reveals several signs suggesting that bears are taking control: → The price has dropped by approximately $200 in less than two days; → A bearish Fair Value Gap has formed during the decline (highlighted by a rectangle) – a pattern typically interpreted as sellers outweighing buyers; → The steep purple ascending channel has been broken. It can be assumed that even if the fundamental backdrop offers reasons for a short-term price recovery, this may prove to be only a temporary bounce following a sharp shift in sentiment towards bearishness at the start of the current week. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
Can gold continue its decline and hit a new low?Gold price is currently trading below 3330. The downward trend in the Asian session fell below 3313, and our short position also successfully harvested a wave of big profits. Gold price showed signs of rebound at the beginning of the European session. Now the upper suppression level can be moved down. The short-term suppression refers to 3330, followed by the second highest point on the way up to 3357; the lower support focuses on 3285, and after effectively breaking it, we can focus on 3245. Now the gold price is trading near the low point of 3318. The prudent operation idea is to short at 3320 for protection at 3331 to see the gold price go to 3285. After the break, wait for the rebound of 3300 and go short again to see the position of 3245. It is not recommended to participate in long positions. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends shorting mainly on rebounds, supplemented by longs on callbacks. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3320-3330, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3285-3245. Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3320-3325, stop loss 6 points, target around 3290-3260, and look at 3245 if it breaks; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long 20% ​​of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3245-3250, stop loss 6 points, target around 3280-3290, and look at 3300 if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MariaLee66
How to grasp the ups and downs of market conditions?Judging from the 4-hour analysis, the lower support focuses on the 3310-3315 line, and the 3400-3410 line for short-term suppression. Be careful to pursue orders in sharply rising and falling markets, let alone heavy positions, and wait patiently for sufficient adjustments before entering the market. Gold operation strategy: Gold falls back to 3310-15 line, and covers long positions when it falls back to 3300 line, stop loss 3297, target 3400-3410 line, and continue to hold if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MariaLee66
Gold plummets and peaks in stages, price trend in the futureGold prices retreated from a record high of $3,500, attracting some selling for two consecutive days. U.S. President Donald Trump softened his rhetoric toward the chairman of the Federal Reserve and sent signals that trade tensions may be easing, weakening market demand for safe-haven assets. The fluctuations will depend on technical points. When the market returns to the technical level, the next operation will be much more stable. At least there are high points above for reference. It is just a matter of timing. However, the crazy time is over, but the bull market is not over. At present, the price has peaked at 3500 USD. The short-term market will enter a consolidation phase. The callback will focus on the 382 split support of 3292 and the 50 split support of 3228 in the 2956-3500 segment. The limit is that it will not fall too far from 3167. These positions are also waiting for the opportunity to rise again. Each squat adjustment is to further continue the bullish trend. The next stage of pull-up height should pay attention to 3746; In the intraday, gold opened lower in the early trading, rebounded to the gap of 3385 US dollars and continued to break the bottom. In the short term, 3385 will form a new pressure point. For today's market, the high and high are the main rhythm. The morning low of 3315 is the watershed. If it falls below it during the day, the US market will inevitably retreat for the second time. The double bottom support is 3283, which is the point for long today.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MariaLee66
(XAU/USD) 1H Chart – Bullish Reversal Setup from RBS + RBR Zone1. Current Price: $3,317.27 ● Price is currently in a downtrend after a recent high. ● EMA (9) is at $3,333.80 — acting as dynamic resistance. ⚠️ Watch for potential reversal! 2. Support Zone: 📦 Blue box marked as "RBS + RBR zone!" ● This is a key support area where price might bounce. ● RBS = Resistance Becomes Support ● RBR = Rally-Base-Rally ● Expecting buyers to step in here. 3. Trade Idea: ● Buy near $3,280 - $3,270 (inside the support box) ● Stop Loss: ❌ Below $3,258.00 ● Target: 🎯 $3,500.13 4. Risk-Reward Ratio: ● Target: 🟦 +205.62 points (6.25%) ● Stop: 🔻 Small risk below support ● Good R:R setup if price respects the zone! Scenario Summary 📉 Price is retracing ⬇️ Approaching strong support zone 📈 Possible bounce to $3,500 ✅ High-probability reversal area ❗ Manage risk with tight stop below zone
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Jameshead007
9