Xauusdupdates
XAUUSD Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Stick to shorting goldDear Traders,
As I mentioned in my previous update, we can still consider shorting gold around the 2785 level, anticipating a short-term pullback to the 2770-2760 range.
Currently, gold has reached a high of 2785, just a step away from the previous high of 2790. At this stage, technical indicators have become less significant, with the 2790 resistance zone and the psychological level of 2800 serving as the primary reference points for initiating short positions.
Although gold is demonstrating strong bullish momentum, I sense some signs of a "short squeeze." If profit-taking or a sell-off of profit-holding positions occurs, gold could experience a sharp correction. For this reason, despite the strong uptrend, I remain cautious and refrain from chasing the rally. Instead, I continue to utilize the **2790-2800** resistance zone as a basis for attempting short positions.
Bros, are you still optimistic about the decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Continue and try to short gold with a target of 2760Dear traders.
Gold unexpectedly accelerated during the early hours, surging to around 2778, which was beyond my expectations.Gold has currently reached a maximum of around 2785.
It’s evident that the only significant resistance lies at the previous high of 2790 or the psychological level of 2800, leaving limited upside room. Therefore, I continue to advise against chasing long positions on gold in the short term. At this stage, technical indicators have been significantly overshadowed, and market sentiment has become a more critical factor to monitor.
In the context of short-term trading, I recommend avoiding long positions to reduce the risk of being trapped at high levels in the event of a sharp selloff triggered by profit-taking or liquidation of long positions. Instead, I prefer taking short positions with well-defined stop-loss levels. Even if gold continues to rise and hits the SL, the loss will be manageable, and the capital will remain intact. On the other hand, if a sudden crash occurs, short positions could yield significant profits.
Bros, are you still optimistic about the decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
GOLD MAKE NEW RECORD 2840 This chart is an analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) market on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's the breakdown:
1. Trend Overview:
The price is moving in an upward channel (marked by parallel yellow lines), indicating a bullish trend.
There was consolidation earlier, as shown by the blue shaded channel, but the breakout above this zone signals bullish momentum.
2. Key Levels:
Demand Zone (Resistance): 2840. This is highlighted as a potential resistance area where the price may struggle to break higher.
First Take Profit (TP): 2800. This is the initial target for profit-taking based on the analysis.
Stop Loss (SL): 2748. The stop-loss level is set below recent price support to minimize risk in case the market reverses.
3. Price Movement Expectation:
The yellow arrows indicate an expected upward movement. The price is predicted to move towards 2800 (first TP) and possibly continue towards 2840 (demand zone).
Pullbacks or retests are expected along the way to maintain the bullish structure.
4. Risk Management:
The stop-loss at 2748 ensures risk is contained if the upward momentum fails.
The chart suggests entering around the current level (2773) to target the resistance levels while maintaining proper risk-reward.
This setup relies on the continuation of bullish momentum, with clear entry, target, and risk levels defined
XAU/USD 24 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 January 2025, however, CHoCH positioning has changed, bringing it closer to current price action.
Previous analysis has been met. Following price printing bearish CHoCH, price has printed a further bullish iBOS. This has significantly narrowed the internal range.
Price did not trade into either discount of 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, however, on this occasion I will remain systematic in my approach and revisit later.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with s blue dotted line.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis by trading down to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS and subsequently as bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pulback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,778.455.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD Analysis: Strong Bullish Outlook and Key Trading LevelsAs you know, my overall outlook on Gold (XAU/USD) is bullish, and I anticipate a new all-time high in the near future.
However, yesterday, I highlighted the potential for a short-term correction, identifying the 2725-2730 zone as possible support.
While the price did experience a pullback, it didn’t quite reach this level, but my pending sell order wasn’t activated either. As a result, I stayed out of the market.
Looking at price action since the start of the year, it’s evident that every dip has been aggressively bought.
This was especially clear yesterday, as after a significant rally and the test of a key resistance level, the price didn’t even manage to drop to the median line of the ascending channel.
The conclusion is simple: XAU/USD is strongly bullish.
Key Levels and Strategy:
In this context, the only viable strategy is to buy dips. The key levels of interest are:
• 2760 – a critical level to watch for potential entries.
• 2735 – yesterday’s low and another area of potential support.
The next target for a potential high could be set around 2840, based on the current market structure.
Final Thoughts
Given the strong bullish momentum, patience and precise entries will be essential for achieving good risk:reward. Look for pullbacks to the key levels mentioned above as opportunities to join the trend.
Happy trading, and let’s aim for that new all-time high!
Short-Term Red Flags for Gold: Key Levels to WatchAs you know, I’ve been bullish on Gold for the past two weeks, anticipating a rise to around 2760 and potentially a new all-time high (ATH).
However, while my overall bullish outlook remains unchanged, there are some short-term red flags to consider.
Looking at the posted chart, we can see that yesterday, Gold broke above the channel’s resistance. Typically, such a breakout would lead to upward acceleration, at least in theory. Instead, the price touched the 2763 resistance level and then began rolling back down.
If Gold breaks back below the previously broken resistance, we could see a retest of the lower boundary of the channel, which sits around 2720 (a confluence support zone roughly 300 pips below current levels).
In conclusion, unless bulls can successfully push above 2760, the likelihood of a correction increases. While it’s a risky play, aggressive traders might consider shorting the market under these conditions.
XAU/USD 23 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 January 2025, however, CHoCH positioning has changed, bringing it closer to current price action.
Previous analysis has been met. Following price printing bearish CHoCH, price has printed a further bullish iBOS. This has significantly narrowed the internal range.
Price did not trade into either discount of 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, however, on this occasion I will remain systematic in my approach and revisit later.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with s blue dotted line.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As per yesterday's analysis, price printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, however, you will note I have marked the bearish CHoCH and bullish BOS in red. This is because pullback depth was not sufficient as price did not retrace to either discount (or anywhere near) of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone, therefore, I will monitor and continue to reevaluate as price prints.
Price has printed a higher high with a further bearish CHoCH.
We are now trading within an established internal structure which I will continue to evaluate.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,763.435
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Start shorting goldDear Traders,
Gold has now surged above 2750, with bullish momentum remaining robust. It appears that gold is showing signs of attempting to challenge the previous high of 2790. However, as prices continue to rise, the risks also increase. For short-term trading, I would avoid chasing long positions unless there is a significant pullback opportunity.
Despite gold's strong upward trajectory, I believe there are indications of a short squeeze. Therefore, I do not advocate aggressively pursuing further long positions at this stage. In the near term, gold faces resistance in the 2760–2765 range. If it fails to decisively break through this level, there is a high probability of a notable correction. Consequently, I currently prefer to explore opportunities to short gold, targeting the 2735–2730 zone, or potentially as low as 2720.
Bros, do you expect gold to retrace in the short term like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!