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Non-agriculture ended perfectly, Today’s closing is key!📌Fundamentals: The US April non-farm payrolls data (177,000 new jobs) exceeded expectations, reinforcing the Fed's expectations of a smaller rate cut. The market's expectations for rate cuts this year have been lowered from 90 basis points to 85 basis points, and the strengthening of the US dollar has suppressed gold prices. 📊Technical aspects: From the 4-hour analysis, gold fell after the negative news of non-farm payrolls today, but gold bottomed out and rebounded, and continued to fluctuate. It feels that non-farm payrolls have gradually lost its charm, and the market is not as good as usual. However, today's closing is very critical, and it is also the key to whether gold will turn around. The non-farm payrolls market has basically finished, and the upper side continues to pay attention to the suppression of 3260-68, focusing on the suppression of 3290-95 above, and the short-term support near 3235-3240 below. 🎯Practical strategies: 1. Go short when gold rebounds at 3260-65, cover short positions at 3378-85, and target 3240-3245.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
1
5/2 Gold Trading SignalsI'm very sorry that today's update is a little late because I'm traveling during the holiday. However, I have already told you about the trading strategy yesterday. The market changes are still in line with our expectations. Following the signal of selling in the 3260-3280 range, the returns should be good. Gold is now falling back. There is support near 3200, but the bears are strong at present, so it is still mainly selling. This decline is expected to fall below 3200, but because of the support, the possibility of a direct break is not very high. If it falls directly, there will definitely be at least one small rebound, roughly around 3210. So the transaction can be carried out like this: Buy in the 3194-3185 range Sell in the 3246-3258 range
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Non-agricultural prospective data analysis Operation suggestions📌Fundamentals: 📊Technical aspects: Technically, spot gold is in a downward trend in the short term, and there is a certain rebound or shock at the key support level. At the 4-hour level, the gold price is running above the lower track of the Bollinger Band, and the opening shows signs of contraction. The MACD indicator dead cross is gradually closing, and the RSI indicator is running in the 35-45 range, showing that the long and short forces are relatively balanced. 🎯Practical strategy: 3260-3270 light position short, target 3225-3200. When it reaches 3225-3200 and stabilizes, try to go long, target 3250-3270.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Maintain shock and short position before non-agricultural📌Fundamentals: From the news perspective: the United States released a trade agreement and tariff reduction signal, the trade situation eased, resulting in a decline in market demand for safe-haven assets, triggering a sell-off in gold; the situation between Russia and Ukraine has eased, and the dawn of peace talks is approaching, which is a negative factor for gold; at the same time, the situation between India and Pakistan has heated up, which has supported the price of gold to a certain extent. 📊Technical aspects: In the past few days, we have been emphasizing that gold should be bearish, and warned that gold is likely to break and fall sharply. Gold, the general trend is as described in the continuous analysis. This round of price has fallen from the historical high of 3500. The first round of selling to 3260 rebounded to repair 3370; after rebounding to 3358 during the week, it weakened again, and the Asian market quickly sold off and fell below 3260. The subsequent analysis emphasized that the short-selling pattern of each cycle is good, and the shock bearish trend continued before the non-agricultural, and the target was adjusted to the parallel attack and defense range of 3193-3168; European and American markets fluctuated and were bearish, which is in line with expectations; short-term resistance 3221, 3226, strong resistance 3231-3235; short-term support 3212, strong support 3202; 🎯Practical strategy: It is recommended to rebound and sell: short near 3220-3230, target 10-15 points
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
XAU/USD 02 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 01 May 2025 whereby I mentioned that I would continue to monitor price and depth of bullish pullback following the printing of a bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH. Price did not pullback significantly enough to warrant a further bearish iBOS, therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify this as such, I have however marked in red. Price has since continued bearish, subsequently printing a bullish CHoCH. Internal structure is now established, however, I will continue to monitor price regarding depth of pullback as previous. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,201.955 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Bears Won Big – Here’s the Next Resistance to WatchYesterday was a great day for Gold bears – just as anticipated, price dropped nearly 1,000 pips and hit my target zone around 3200. After such a strong move, we’re now seeing a typical rebound, which might offer a fresh opportunity to sell into strength and ride the prevailing trend. 🔍 Key Zone: - 3270 now acts as resistance. - If price stalls here, it’s the ideal area to look for short entries targeting a retest of 3200. 🛠️ Plan: Sell spikes into 3270 resistance and stay with the trend.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
8
How to layout gold before non-agricultural data🗞News side: 1. Progress in Sino-US tariff negotiations: The United States has recently contacted China through multiple channels, releasing signals that a trade agreement may be reached. Market concerns about trade friction have significantly cooled down, weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold. 2. The U.S. non-farm payrolls report for April will be released today (expected to add 130,000 new jobs). If the data is weak, it may strengthen expectations for an interest rate cut. On the contrary, if it is stronger than expected, the interest rate cut schedule may be further delayed. 📈Technical aspects: Gold bottomed out yesterday and has now rebounded to around 3250. For the current market situation, the previous low of 3260-3270 has become an important resistance level above the gold price after the top-to-bottom conversion. In addition, non-agricultural data will be released in the U.S. market today. Therefore, if gold wants to reverse upward, the first resistance will be in the 3260-3270 range. If the counter pull from the bottom fails to stabilize at 3270, then there will be a downward trend. If it breaks through this resistance range, it may test the 3286 line. Before the release of non-agricultural data, the European market can be shorted when encountering resistance at 3260-3270. Everyone is waiting patiently for the opportunity to enter. The following focuses on the important support of 3200. If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell
This is a 4H chart of XAU/USD with multiple SMC annotations. 1. Chart Analysis Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) SMC Structure Identified: • Major Break of Structure (BoS): Occurred above 3,240 → confirmed bullish intent. • Major Change of Character (CHoCH): Happened around 3,320 (last demand broken), indicating bearish shift. • FVG (Fair Value Gap): Marked just below the last day high — partially filled and then rejected. • Liquidity: Equal highs and lows around 3,327 and 3,200 respectively — potential liquidity targets. ⸻ 2. Marked Points in Chart • Last Day High / Low and Day High / Low are marked. • 50% Day Range at approx. 3,274 — currently acting as intraday resistance. • OB Zone around 3,214–3,218 (a critical support zone that may act as re-entry or rejection point). • FVG Zone near 3,284 — unmitigated imbalance that price could revisit. ⸻ 3. Swing High & Low of the Day • Swing High: ~3,327.72 (day/session high). • Swing Low: ~3,214.31 (day/session low). • These define the current internal liquidity pool. ⸻ 4. Trade Direction • 4H Trend: Bearish, post CHoCH and major OB break. • Bias: Bearish, as price is below FVG and below 50% of the daily range. OB is being respected and lower highs are forming. • Intra-Day Opportunity: Possible short setups unless price closes strongly above 3,284–3,287 zone. ⸻ 5. Best Risk-Reward Setup (Swing/Intraday) Scenario: Price retests FVG/OB at 3,284–3,287 and rejects. • Entry: 3,284.00 (inside FVG) • SL: 3,288.50 (above supply zone & equal highs) • TP1: 3,214.00 (last day low) • TP2: 3,200.00 (liquidity sweep & OB retest zone) • RRR: • To TP1: ~1:3 • To TP2: ~1:4.5 ⸻ 6. Trade Setups by Timeframe 5-Minute Setup: • Look for CHoCH near 3,284.00 zone. • Entry: On bearish engulfing or internal BOS. • SL: Above 3,288.00. • TP: 3,214.00 (previous low). 1-Hour Setup: • Wait for 1H candle rejection at FVG or last day’s high. • Entry: 3,284–3,287. • SL: 3,290. • TP1: 3,214.00. • TP2: 3,200.00. 4-Hour Setup: • Use higher timeframe OB for re-entry. • Look for price closing below 3,214.00 → opens short continuation toward 3,160 or deeper (OB at 3,100). • Swing Trade Setup: Short from 3,284.00 → SL 3,290 → TP 3,100–3,080 (RRR: ~1:6). ⸻ 7. CRT Model Evaluation • C – Context: HTF structure shifted bearish after CHoCH; price rejected FVG and supply zones. * ⁠R – Retracement: Price retraced into OB and FVG in premium, providing a sell opportunity. • T – Trend Continuation: If 3,214 breaks cleanly, expect continuation toward 3,160 and possibly 3,100. ⸻ Summary • Bias: Bearish under 3,284–3,287 zone. • Key Levels to Watch: • Resistance: 3,284–3,287 (FVG + OB). • Support: 3,214–3,200 (liquidity pool + OB). • Best Trade: Short from FVG zone on confirmation with TP at day low and deeper OBs.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by shivamfx
XAUUSD is expected to fall further.After a night of trend changes, XAUUSD has reached 3225. This is consistent with my prediction this week, and the direction is also consistent. In terms of operations, most of the orders are short-selling. This allows us to seize the opportunity to make money by shorting XAUUSD in the market. BTCUSD also successfully reached 95,000 after a small correction, which is very critical for buying at a low level to make a profit. The three-year-long Russian-Ukrainian situation may end If this "farce" is declared over, XAUUSD will fall at a faster rate. Currently in a downward trend, XAUUSD needs to focus on the opportunity to sell after the rebound. 3273-3255. The target is 3200 first. If it breaks through sharply, it can be considered to reach 3170. There are risks in trading. Remember to proceed with caution. If you don't know how to trade. Follow me.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Band_analysis
The most fundamental trading logic of XAUUSD.From the trend of XAUUSD, it is still mainly selling. Trading logic, the current geopolitical situation has eased, which is the biggest negative news for xauusd. Tariffs have eased. In other words, selling pressure exceeds demand. So continue to sell at the current price of 3230-3220. The target is below 3200. Always remind trading risks. So don't ignore this. If you don't know how to trade. Remember to wait and see. Don't trade blindly or gamble. Many investor friends know that I have led some investors to create good profits for several consecutive days. If you don't know how to trade, remember to leave me a message and try it. Maybe your profit will double.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Band_analysis
The short position continues to approach the expected point📌Fundamentals: From the news perspective: the United States released a trade agreement and tariff reduction signal, the trade situation eased, resulting in a decline in market demand for safe-haven assets, triggering a sell-off in gold; the situation between Russia and Ukraine weakened, and the dawn of peace talks was approaching, which was a negative factor for gold; at the same time, the situation between India and Pakistan heated up, which supported the gold price to a certain extent. 📊Technical aspects: In the past few days, we have been emphasizing that gold should be bearish, and reminded that gold is likely to break and fall sharply. From a technical perspective: the lower track of the Bollinger band at the 4-hour level broke through, and there was no sign of stabilization. The support of $3,250/ounce turned into pressure, the downward channel has been opened, and MACD has walked out of the hovering area, and the downward momentum has been strengthened; at the daily level, the MACD indicator is dead cross running, and the KDJ indicator enters the oversold area, showing that the short-selling force has an absolute advantage. The short-term short-selling force of spot gold is strong, and the gold price is in a downward trend. Before there is an obvious reversal signal, the short-term trend is still bearish. 🎯Practical strategy: Recommendation to short on rebound: short around 3235-3245, target 3220-3200.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5