XAUUSD Bullish Ideea!I'll leave here my strategy based on SMC (Smart Money Concept) combined with Fib Extension!
🌟First of all, I marked a Resistance in the 2721 area
🌟After completing a double top chart pattern, I noticed that the trend starts to become slightly upward
🌟Starting from the impulsive move I marked a Point Of Interest (POI) known as a strong demand zone
🌟I located the supply and inefficiency (FVG) areas and then with the help of both Fib Retracement and Fib Extension I determined that the price is in a confluence area where MA (200), Swap zones and Fib Retracement value 38.2 meet in a corrective move
🌟As you can see from the analysis, I expect the price to reach that inefficiency, to retest that supply that will later become demand and I will have a target close to resistance, more precisely at the 100% Fib Expansion value
🌟I claim that this gold strategy in particular has brought me substantial profits in the past as well
🌟If you like what you see please leave a boost and a follow!
Entry Price: 2636
Stop Loss: 2628
Take Profit 1: 2682
Take Profit 2: 2690
Take Profit 3: 2710
Xauusdupdates
Sizing Up XAUUSD into the New Year: What’s Next for GOLD?👀 👉 In this video, we conduct a quick top-down analysis, identifying key structural levels where major players may target liquidity to execute their orders. Understanding these levels—from the monthly and weekly down to the daily charts—can help pinpoint potential opportunities on the four-hour and lower timeframes. This video offers a breakdown of my analysis process. (Not financial advice.) 📊 ✅
GOLD. Approaching the zone of the beginning of sales GOLD. Approaching the zone of the beginning of sales
Current Structure:
The upward correction is approaching the selling zone around 2637 USD/oz (labeled as “sell zone”).
The trend line below keeps the structure within the expected decline.
The zone of interest for a potential decline is labeled with a target level at 2548 USD/oz.
Key factors:
The 4-hour EMAs (exponential averages) are crossing and acting as resistance. This strengthens the probability of a decline.
The 61.8% Fibonacci 61.8% also coincides with the sell zone, confirming its significance.
Prediction:
If the price reaches 2637 USD/oz, there is a high probability of a reversal and the beginning of the decline.
The target is 2548 USD/oz.
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GOLD- xauusd today once again upward.. read caption Gold rose very well yesterday after the New Year holiday. Geopolitical tensions and central bank gold buying are the main drivers supporting the gold price increase
🛒Gold is currently moving steadily above the 2650-2655 zone, indicating that the upward momentum may continue and head towards the 2670 zone - the 61.8% Fib resistance zone of the 2726-2583 decline. You can wait to Buy around 2655 - 2653. SL 2650
Gold price forecast: XAU is on the cusp of a strong breakoutGold price has had an exceptional year in 2024; rallying by over 25% year to date. So exceptional was its performance that it hit a fresh all-time high at $2,790 an ounce in late October. It has since erased some of those gains as a hawkish Fed weighed on the precious metal in favor of the US dollar and interest-yielding assets like the US Treasuries. Last week, the bullion dropped to a one-month low at $2,583 before rebounding to trade at $2,624 as at the time of writing. The metal may trade within a range as investors await fresh catalysts. A look at its daily chart shows the 20 and 50-day EMAs joining at $2,640. ...
XAUUSD:2/1 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2660, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2640, support below 2600-2580
Operational suggestions: The current price of gold on Thursday is around 2635. On Tuesday, the bulls bottomed out and rebounded strongly in the volatile trading. The US market stepped back and tested twice, and stabilized at the 2605 mark and continued to rebound. The US market accelerated to break through the 2620 mark and closed strongly. The daily chart rose strongly and engulfed. The overall gold price stabilized at the 2595 mark in the short term, continuing to fluctuate widely. In the short term, it still failed to break the recent oscillation pattern.
From the 4-hour analysis, we continue to pay attention to the short-term support of 2608-10 below, and pay attention to the important suppression of 2640 above. The operation is mainly to step back and do more, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
BUY:2627near
BUY:2618near
SELL:2640near
The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
Gold Pattern FormationThis commodity has been forming a rising flag for the past few days (which IMO is a strong indicator of a bullish momentum.
I was waiting for the price to hit the bearish order block at 2629 with the SL at 2640 but my entry will be at 2620, SL at 2635 and targets at 2581 and 2535.
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at any point after the Breakout.
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 2670 (or) 2680 (or) 2700
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Fundamental Outlook 📰
Considering these factors, the XAU/USD pair may experience a Bullish trend in the short-term, driven by:
US inflation concerns and the need for a hedge against inflation.
Central banks' increased gold reserves and potential dovish pivot by the Fed.
Decreasing gold supply and increasing gold demand.
Bullish Factors:
Increasing gold demand from central banks and ETFs.
Decreasing gold supply due to reduced mining production.
US inflation concerns and the need for a hedge against inflation.
Potential dovish pivot by the Fed, leading to a decrease in interest rates.
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : You can enter a short trade at anypoint.
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest high level.
Goal 🎯: 2586.00 or Before
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Fundamental Outlook 📰 Economic Factors
US Interest Rate Hikes: The Federal Reserve's potential rate hikes in 2025 could increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it less attractive to investors.
Stronger US Dollar: A stronger US dollar could make gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, potentially reducing demand.
Improving Global Economic Growth: If global economic growth improves, investors may shift their focus away from safe-haven assets like gold.
Sentiment Analysis
Reduced Investor Appetite: If investor appetite for gold decreases, it could lead to reduced demand and lower prices.
Increased Gold ETF Outflows: Increased outflows from gold ETFs could indicate reduced investor interest in gold.
Other Factors
Increased Gold Supply: An increase in gold supply due to increased mining production or recycling could lead to lower prices.
Cryptocurrency Competition: Increased competition from cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin could reduce demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
XAUUSD Possible bounce to resistance line!XAUUSD has created a strong up trending market structure on the lower timeframe. Weekly price action just has got bounce we may see the price bouncing back to the upside to the weekly liquidity zone at 2651.06. As of on 1 hour timeframe the price already has created smooth uptrend, price may continue to rise in the upcoming sessions.
S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index records 3.6% annual gain S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 3.6% annual return for October, down from a 3.9% annual gain in the previous month. The 10-City Composite saw an annual increase of 4.8%, down from a 5.2% annual increase in the previous month. The 20-City Composite posted a year-over-year increase of 4.2%, dropping from a 4.6% increase in the previous month. New York again reported the highest annual gain among the 20 cities with a 7.3% increase in October, followed by Chicago and Las Vegas with annual increases of 6.2% and 5.9%, respectively. .
XAUUSD: Year End ReviewWow what a year it has been!
It's one thing for Tradingview to give us our stats, but it's an entirely different animal when looking at my individual trades head on like this. I can see where I over traded and when/where I made some much needed tweaks.
The tweaks that were made we're so much my strategy as much as it was mindset - taking fewer trades and letting them run longer. On average 2-4 hours.
I learned so many lessons the main one being less truly is more .
So often I would struggle looking at my losing trades and really reviewing my mistakes. Looking at my metrics on my Topstep account allowed me to refine my mindset. I knew when my most profitable days were/are, how long I should hold my trades to allow them to play out to full TP, and arguable the most important stat - when to stay out of the market.
By analyzing just these three metrics I was able to end the year in profit and believe it or not I was able to finish 4 out of 6 months in profit and get funded/pass my trading combine/evaluation.
This isn't the first time I've been funded. However this is the first time and longest time I have kept my account and the closest I have gotten to a payout.
My trading goals for 2025 is to of course get 1 payout per month and earn 4 more funded Topstep funded accounts. This will max out the number of accounts I can have with Topstep. The best part is I can put all 5 accounts on their integrated trade copier.
I decree and declare over myself that 2025 is going to be my best, most profitable, and most prosperous year to date - IN JESUS NAME! AMEN!
XAUUSD GOING LONGLong Analysis of XAUUSD – 4H Timeframe
Market Structure:
The price is in a corrective phase but remains within a broader bullish trend.
The Fair Value Gap (FVG) and demand zone near $2,600 provide potential support for a long setup.
Key Zones:
Golden Zone: Price has previously rejected this supply area. A clean break above $2,660 could signal further bullish momentum.
Demand Zone: The price is reacting around the $2,640 level, indicating buying interest.
Entry Strategy:
Look for bullish confirmation around the FVG/demand zone ($2,600-$2,640).
A clear break above $2,658 and consolidation would confirm bullish continuation.
Targets:
TP1: $2,687 – aligned with a minor resistance level.
TP2: $2,727 – at the upper resistance near the supply zone.
Risk Management:
Stop-loss should be placed below the demand zone, near $2,593, to limit downside risk.
Outlook:
Bullish opportunities are favorable if price maintains support at key zones and forms higher lows. Watch for breakout confirmation above structural resistance. FX:XAUUSD
Boldly short goldBros, gold has shown a strong rebound within the lower timeframes, surging from 2605 to 2615. While the momentum of the rebound appears strong, it has failed to break through the resistance zone of 2618-2625. This suggests that gold may be depleting bullish momentum within the short-term cycle through accelerated upward movements. From a technical perspective, this could also be a potential bull trap, enticing traders to go long on gold.
Therefore, avoid chasing gold during this rebound. As I mentioned in my previous article, you can use the 2618-2625 area as resistance and start shorting gold above 2615. Just now, gold rebounded above 2615, giving us a second opportunity to short gold. Once gold consumes the bullish momentum to a certain extent, it will retest the 2600-2590 zone again, or even 2580 level. Let’s wait and see how this plays out!
Bros, have you joined me in shorting gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading strategies and receive additional trade signals, you can join the channel linked at the bottom of the article. Let’s make trading easier and turn profits into a source of enjoyment!
Short gold, aiming for 2600-2590Bros, gold rebounded after touching 2596 overnight, and has now rebounded to 2617. Although gold has gradually recovered, the momentum behind the rebound appears notably weak, leaving the sustainability of the recovery uncertain. Furthermore, despite the rebound from the 2596 level, there are no clear signs of bottoming out, which suggests that gold currently lacks the conditions for a trend reversal. This movement is likely just a correction to the sharp decline from yesterday, making it highly probable that gold will retrace after the rebound and retest its support levels.
In the short term, resistance is concentrated in the 2618-2625 range. If the rebound lacks the momentum to decisively break above this resistance, gold is likely to retest the 2600-2595 support zone. Should this zone be breached, the downtrend could extend further to the 2585-2580 range.
For short-term trading, I have entered a short position on gold at a price of 2615.62, using the 2618-2625 range as resistance. I anticipate that gold will once again test the 2600-2595 region. As for whether gold will extend its decline to the 2585-2580 zone, let’s wait and see!
Bros, are you optimistic about the continued decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold may have another waterfall, the latest technical analysisGold continued to fall on the daily line, and once again lost the MA10 daily average line of 2614. Yesterday, it fell below the 2600 mark, and the low point moved down. The adjustment range moves down to 2590/2620. The price in the short-period four-hour chart runs along the middle and lower rails of the Bollinger Band, the moving average opens downward, the RSI indicator runs weakly below the central axis, and the intraday rebound is mainly selling at high levels!
The gold 1-hour moving average continued to cross the downward short arrangement again, and the gold fell and continuously refreshed the low point. Now gold is obviously still in a short trend, so just continue to go short. Today, 2622 is an opportunity to sell at highs, but the short-term rebound of gold near 2615 was suppressed, so you can enter the market in advance!
First support: 2595, second support: 2590, third support: 2581
First resistance: 2610, second resistance: 2615, third resistance: 2628
Trading strategy:
BUY: 2588-2590
SELL: 2613-2615
xauusd Sell XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar)
Timeframe: 1-Day (D1)
The market has created a Change of Character (CHoCH) in a bearish direction, indicating selling pressure. Currently, the price is retracing toward a significant Order Block (OB) near $2,720. If the price reacts at this level, there is a high probability of a bearish continuation, offering potential selling opportunities.
Buy gold first, then short gold at the right timeBros, after reaching the 2622 level, gold has gradually pulled back and is now trading near 2600. Fortunately, we managed to capture the short-term peak and closed our long positions near 2622, successfully locking in profits.
However, following the pullback, I have re-entered long positions in gold. I initiated a buy position around 2606, and as gold dipped further to approximately 2600, I added to my position with the same lot size. The psychological support level at 2600 remains a critical threshold, and it’s unlikely to be decisively breached in the short term during the market’s tug-of-war. Therefore, gold bulls may recover some ground during this phase, which is why I remain committed to taking long positions in the short term.
That said, given the strength of bearish momentum as gold declines, expectations for the rebound’s upside potential should be adjusted downward to the 2610-2615 range. If gold’s momentum remains weak after testing this range, we can then consider initiating short positions once again.
Bros, are you bullish on gold rebounding and regaining some lost ground? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!