The callback is coming to an end, don't chase the short easily#XAUUSD
The long positions held last night have already left the market at a loss😔. After the Asian session opened, I continued to watch the trend of gold, but it did not effectively rebound to the ideal target area. After repeatedly testing around 3393, I chose to manually exit the market📀.
Gold is currently somewhat overcorrected, with the hourly line falling into severe oversold territory📉. But the market will eventually return to the bullish trend🐂. Why do I say that? First, there are less than 8 days left before the final deadline for tariffs. Second, the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut is also approaching. In the medium and long term, there is definitely no problem with being bullish. There will be initial jobless claims data later, which will affect the trend of gold today. We need to pay some attention to it👀.
From the daily line, the current Bollinger Band middle track is near the 3343 line, and the SMA60 moving average is near the 3330 below. In the short term, the downward momentum of gold is released, and it is expected to test the 3343 mid-line support below💪.
📊Therefore, we can consider going long again at 3360-3343 below and look towards 3375-3385. Short-term losses don’t mean anything. With the recent frequent news fluctuations, we still have a good chance to turn losses into profits🚀.
🚀BUY 3360-3350
🚀TP 3375-3385
Xauusdupdates
Some investors take profits. Opportunity to buy gold to 3500?✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD price correction of 50 appeared yesterday. This is obvious to happen in a sustainable uptrend. Today's strategy will look for liquidity sweeps to support to BUY to ATH 3500. Gold's current border zone is limited by the upper and lower trendlines. Be careful not to trade against the trend when breaking the trend zone.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 3375 -3363
Resistance: 3418-3431-3490
Buy trigger: Buyers react at 3375
Buy zone: 3363
Target: 3430; level higher at 3490
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Correction in Play, Long-Term BUY Opportunity Ahead XAUUSD 24/07 – Correction in Play, Long-Term BUY Opportunity Ahead
🧭 Market Outlook
Gold has dropped sharply from the 343x region, exactly as outlined in yesterday’s plan. Price has broken below the ascending trendline on the H1 chart and is now tapping into lower liquidity zones (FVG + OBS), signaling continuation of the short-term bearish move.
Key context to watch:
Traders are awaiting final decisions on US global trade policy agreements.
Next week’s FOMC meeting may confirm expectations of an interest rate cut.
Later today, markets will react to US PMI data and Jobless Claims, which could trigger volatility.
📊 Technical View
While the higher timeframe trend (D1/H4) remains bullish, the short-term structure has broken, and the market is now exploring unfilled liquidity pools below. Once these are swept, we anticipate a strong long-term BUY opportunity.
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
📌 Short-Term Strategy:
Look for short-term SELL setups on retracements toward resistance zones. Wait for clear rejection signals before entering.
📌 Mid/Long-Term Strategy:
Prepare to BUY from major Key Levels once price taps into deep liquidity zones. Ensure confluence and good risk/reward before entering.
🔎 Key Levels to Watch
🔺 Upper Resistance Zones:
3393 – 3404 – 3414 – 3420 – 3428
🔻 Lower Support Zones:
3375 – 3366 – 3352 – 3345 – 3330
🔽 Trade Setups
✅ BUY ZONE: 3352 – 3350
SL: 3345
TP: 3356 → 3360 → 3364 → 3370 → 3375 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3414 – 3416
SL: 3420
TP: 3410 → 3406 → 3400 → 3395 → 3390 → 3380
⚠️ Risk Reminder
No major economic news is scheduled for today, but unexpected political statements or geopolitical tensions could cause price spikes.
✔️ Always follow your SL/TP strictly.
✔️ Avoid entering without solid confirmation.
✔️ Watch how price reacts to the levels above.
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Gold’s Wild Ride: A Trader’s Take on What’s NextHey Fellow Traders! 👋
Gold’s been an absolute beast this week, smashing through both buyers and sellers like it’s playing a high-stakes game of market whack-a-mole! 😅 After Wednesday’s wild moves and today’s follow-up, Gold’s keeping us all guessing.
Right now, I’m not locking in a long-term bias—Gold’s too unpredictable for that. But here’s the exciting part: I’m eyeing a short-term long opportunity. Why? The price just dipped into a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and tagged a Breaker, setting up a potential bounce. 📈
My plan? I’m expecting Gold to sweep up the highlighted liquidity and charge toward the 4H Inversion Fair Value Gap (IFVG). Once it hits that zone, I’ll be glued to the charts, watching for its reaction to decide the next move. 🧐
As always, trade smart! Set your stops, size your positions wisely, and don’t let Gold’s volatility catch you off guard. Protect your capital first—always! 💡
What’s your take on Gold right now? Are you jumping on this setup or waiting for more confirmation? Drop your thoughts in the comments below, give this post a like, and follow for more updates! 👇 Let’s keep the trading convo going! 🔥
Gold's weak pattern, rebound is still empty.In fact, I strongly advise you not to attribute this wave of decline to the progress of trade negotiations. If you keep talking about these things all day, you will make mistakes inexplicably. I want to ask, do you know what its progress is? The previous rise was said to be not negotiated, so don’t you think this is a useless theory and fundamentals? As a topic of conversation with friends, it’s okay, but if you use it as a basis for trading, forget it. Every time it can take off at 3250 and fall at 3430, such a coincidental space, what other reasons are there besides the main control?
I deliberately gave a rebound expectation. If it can reach 3403, I am willing to go short again. The reason for taking this position is that gold has indeed broken the previous bottoming pattern, the support of the BD trend line, and the horizontal support of point D, but the problem is that it has not really broken the trend line of the inward channel. In this case, I must prevent a rebound, and it would be great if I could enter the market at 3403. You can look at the probability of a head and shoulders top.
Otherwise, I can only watch it fall first. Faced with this weakness, I choose to directly chase the bearish trend. The current price is still early compared to today's high of 93, and the support below is at 3360.
"Gold's Repeat Pattern: Two Impulses, Two Pullbacks – What's NexThis **4-hour Gold (XAU/USD)** chart shows a classic **price action structure** with two major impulsive waves followed by corrective pullbacks. Here's a breakdown using **price action principles**:
🔹 **1. Impulsive Rally #1 (Left Box)**
* **Price surged** by approx. **119.55 points (+3.68%)**, forming strong bullish candles with little to no wick on top — a sign of **buyer dominance**.
* The move was sharp, indicating **strong momentum** and **break of previous lower highs**, suggesting a possible **market structure shift** to bullish.
🔻 **2. Correction #1**
* The rally was followed by a **retracement of -84.51 points (-2.51%)**.
* Price made **lower highs and lower lows** within this box — indicating a **corrective pullback**, not a reversal.
* It respected previous support zones, which shows **buyers still in control**.
### 🔹 **3. Impulsive Rally #2 (Right Box)**
* Price then made a **new higher high**, rising **127.94 points (+3.86%)**.
* Strong bullish candles again appeared with follow-through — confirming **bullish order flow**.
* The **break of the previous swing high** confirms a **bullish structure continuation**.
### 🔻 **4. Correction #2 (Ongoing)**
* Current price is in a **retracement phase** of around **-84.51 points (-2.46%)** — nearly identical in size to the first correction.
* The correction is forming **lower highs and lower lows**, with potential for **bullish reaction near the previous support or demand zone**.
* The **market is testing previous structure** (support level near \$3360–\$3370) — a key area for **bullish reversal confirmation** (watch for pin bars or bullish engulfing patterns).
📌 **Price Action Summary
* **Structure**: Higher highs, higher lows — confirms **uptrend**.
* **Corrections**: Controlled and proportional — shows **healthy trend**.
* **Current Zone**: Price is testing **potential support**, watch for **bullish reversal signals** to catch next wave.
* **Bias**: Still **bullish**, unless structure breaks below recent swing low (\~\$3340).
---
✅ Traders’ Tip**: If bullish candles form at current support, it may present a **buy opportunity** with targets toward recent highs. Use proper risk management and watch for confirmation!
XAUUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB setupsOn the 1H timeframe, price is reacting as it approaches the HTF high zone (3430-3450) and is currently pulling back.
The 1H FVG zones at:
🔹 3400
🔹 3368
and the 1H OB around 3350 are key areas we are watching for potential long entries.
📌 Plan:
We will wait for price to pull back into one of these 1H FVG/OB zones and look for entry confirmations on the 5M or 3M timeframe to go long.
🎯 Targets: 3430 – 3440 – 3450
❌ No sell setup for now unless a clear structure break happens.
XAU/USD 24 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Correction Went Deeper, but the Bullish Structure Intact📌 Quick recap from yesterday:
In my previous analysis, I mentioned that I was looking to buy dips around 3400, expecting a continuation move toward the ATH near 3500.
That was the plan.
But as the day unfolded, I removed my pending buy order — and explained exactly why in an educational post on how context can override entry levels.
If you read that, you already understand:
It’s not where price goes. It’s how it gets there.
________________________________________
📉 So… where are we now?
The big question is:
Was this just a deeper correction, or is Gold preparing to shift direction entirely?
In my opinion, we’re still in a healthy correction, not a reversal.
Why?
• Price remains above the horizontal support — the same level that acted as resistance last week
• The market is still above the trendline from mid-May
• No breakdown, no major structure violation — just deeper retracement after a sharp impulsive move
________________________________________
📈 What’s the plan going forward?
As long as these two supports hold, I believe the buy-the-dip narrative remains valid — even at better prices.
In fact, I already entered a new long position about an hour ago, which is currently up around 90 pips at the time of writing.
My bias stays bullish unless proven otherwise.
________________________________________
📌 Conclusion:
Yes, the correction went deeper than expected.
Yes, I removed a pending order — because the reaction was not what I wanted to see.
But structure still supports continuation, and I remain in the buy-the-dip camp as long as key support holds. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Correction is not bearish, buy on rebound at low levelToday is critical. Yesterday, gold fell under the pressure of 3396. The next 3396 area is very critical, and it will be relatively weak below it. If it goes up, the market rebound will expand. Pay attention to 3405 or 3420 area, with the focus on 3420. As long as it is below here, it will be mainly bearish. Breaking through 3420, the market is expected to continue to rise and break yesterday's high to test the 3450 area, and then seek to fall again. On the downside, pay proper attention to the 3380 area, which is short-term support; the focus is on the 3370~3365 area, which is the next bull-bear watershed.
The daily line fell yesterday and included the previous day's big positive rise, which represents the current high-level fluctuation of the price. At present, we need to pay attention to the lower moving average support corresponding to SMA10 at 3367, while the moving average SMA30 is around 3351-53, the middle track is at 3344, and the moving average SMA60 is at 3330.
From the daily level: today's decline will not fall below 3351-53, and it is likely to be around 3367-70. We have the opportunity to participate in long orders near 3370.
Therefore, if the price touches 3370-3365 for the first time during the day, you can consider going long, with the target at 3390-3400; if the downward trend of gold continues during the day, you can go long again at 3355-3353, defend 3345, and exit the market after earning a difference of $10-20.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold fell as expected, can it reverse?📰 News information:
1. Initial unemployment claims data
📈 Technical Analysis:
Gold has made a profit retracement correction as expected. The two-day rising market has led to an overly bullish sentiment in the market. Under this pattern, it is very easy to trigger an unexpected reversal trend, which is often a key opportunity to break the psychological defense line of retail investors in the market.
From the bottom of gold at 3244 to the high of 3439 this week, it can be found that the current 38.2% support position is near 3364. Moreover, the current daily SMA10 moving average position is also near 3364, SMA30 and the middle track of the Bollinger Band are near 3343, and SMA60 is near 3330.
From the daily line, if the daily line can stand above 3364, then there is still a possibility of refreshing the high of 3438 in the future. On the other hand, if the daily line falls below 3364, then 3438 may become the high point in July.
If there is a rebound in the morning, then 3384 in the white session will be the bottom support, and short positions must be participated in the European and American sessions. If the downward trend continues in the morning, there will be an opportunity to participate in long orders around 3370. At the same time, the possibility of further decline and reaching the middle line of 3343 cannot be ruled out. At the same time, if the 4H chart can form a head and shoulders top pattern, then the intraday long rebound point will not exceed 3410.
Therefore, on the whole, if it falls directly, it can be considered to go long when it first touches 3375-3365, and the target is 3390-3400; if the intraday decline is strong, the second trading opportunity is below 3355-3345, and the target is $10-20 before exiting.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3375-3365
TP 3390-3400
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
GOLD H1 Chart Update for 24 July 2025Hello Traders,
we got fall yesterday on RSI DIV and right now all eyes on 3350 Psychological level breakout if market successfully breaks that level then it will move towards 3330 or even 3315 level
some retracements remains pending around 3400-3412 zone GOLD will might retrace that zone before going further down
Reminder: PMI's day in the market
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Deep Pullback on XAUUSD Gold: What I'm Watching Now🚨 Gold Update & Trade Plan 🚨
Taking a look at Gold (XAUUSD) right now — it's been trending strongly in an uptrend 📈, showing impressive momentum over the past sessions. However, we've recently seen a deep pullback 🔻 that has tapped into a key liquidity pool 💧.
From this level, I'm anticipating a bullish reaction 🔁, and I’m eyeing a potential scalping or intraday opportunity. In the video, we break down:
🔹 Market structure
🔹 Price action analysis
🔹 Trend context
🔹 A complete trade plan
🎯 Entry, stop-loss, and targets are all discussed based on technicals — with precision and discipline.
This is my personal trading plan based on how I read the markets — not financial advice. Trade safe and stay sharp! ⚔️💹
The bearish wave recovery ends and a new bullish wave begins✏️ OANDA:GBPUSD After a long downtrend that touched the important support zone of 1.138 GBPUSD has recovered to the upside. The h4 candle has just closed above the accumulation zone of 1.345 to continue the upward momentum towards the peak of 1.367. The price line also created a trendline supporting the main uptrend of the pair, and the price line can follow the uptrend to the Target.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 1.345 - 1.338
Resistance: 1.360-1.367
Buy Trigger: Rejects above 1.345
Buy zone: 1.348-1.345
Target 1.367
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Gold will pause its rally today. Be cautious✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD continues to hit new highs this week. As the daily candle closes above the 3430 area, gold is creating a wide trading range of about 50 prices today. The uptrend may face a slight slowdown due to profit-taking psychology of some investors.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: Rejection from 3445
Sell zone: 3463
Target: 3405
BUY trigger: 3402 (Price retests breakout zone and buyers react)
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
XAUUSD Buy Setup – VSA + Smart Money Reaction at Demand Zone✅ Entry: Current price action (around 3,392)
🎯 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,415
🎯 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3,446–3,452
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 3,381 (below the confirmed demand zone)
📊 Technical Insight (VSA-Based Analysis):
The sharp markdown into the demand zone occurred with expanding volume and wide spreads, a classic sign of stopping volume—potential smart money absorption of panic selling.
The second wide-range down candle was followed by lower volume and tighter spread bars, indicating supply exhaustion.
The market is forming a cause (accumulation) at the bottom of this drop, confirmed by:
No follow-through selling despite high volume
Narrow spread candles showing hesitation from sellers
Increasing volume on small up-bars, suggesting hidden buying
The zone aligns with previous structure and lies just above the 0.786 Fib retracement, adding further confluence to the bullish case.
LONG Setup - Smart Money Bias (15m)
## 🟢 LONG Setup - Smart Money Bias (15m)
- **Pair**: XAU/USD (Gold)
- **Timeframe**: 15m
- **Entry Zone**: Around **3390.050**
- **Stop Loss (SL)**: **3377.200**
- **Take Profit Targets**:
- **TP1**: 3402.800
- **TP2**: 3410.500
- **TP3**: 3418.800
---
### 📌 Confluences:
- Demand zone respected and tapped.
- Bullish reaction from POI (Point of Interest).
- FVG (Fair Value Gap) filled and reversal initiated.
- BOS + CHoCH in lower timeframe confirmed.
- Forecast projection aligns with upside inefficiency.
---
### 🧠 Strategy:
- Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
- Liquidity Sweep below demand
- Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:2.3
🚨 **Note**: Trade with caution around US market open hours (volatility expected).
📌 Disclaimer & Reflection
Before we dive into today's mark down, I want to take a moment to address the previous signal that hit stop loss. As traders, we must acknowledge that losses are part of the process—no matter how solid our analysis may be. I take full responsibility for the outcome, and I appreciate the trust and patience of this community.
Every stop is a reminder that perfection doesn't exist in the markets—only probabilities. What matters most is how we adapt, learn, and continue to evolve.
Let's move forward with clarity and discipline.
Perfect profit on short position, long TP 3450#XAUUSD
Gold is in an upward trend from the daily chart. From the technical indicators, the SMA5-SMA10 moving averages are golden crosses, BOLL opens upward, the K line runs on the upper track of the daily Bollinger Band, and the MACD continues to increase, indicating that the bullish trend remains unchanged📈.
The approaching August 1st tariff deadline, coupled with uncertainties such as the Federal Reserve, provide short-term support for gold🔍.
📊The current lower support is at 3410-3400. If it falls back to this level during the day, you can consider going long. Gradually check 3430 and 3440 on the upside, and pay close attention to the breakthrough of the 3450 level🏅. If it effectively breaks through 3450, gold is expected to break through the historical high. If it encounters resistance near 3450 as in the previous trend, you can consider shorting📉.
🚀BUY 3410-3400
🚀TP 3430-3440
Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Analysis: Sell Zone Identified with Downside This chart shows a technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Price is approaching a Sell Zone near resistance around $3,431, with two downward target levels marked at $3,403.787 and $3,382.674. The chart also highlights a Fair Value Gap (FVG) suggesting potential bearish retracement.
The callback continuity is poor, and the bulls are still strong📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Tariff retaliation
📈 Technical Analysis:
Trump continued to lash out at the Fed, but seemed to have backed off on whether to remove Fed Chairman Powell. The continuous rise of the gold index, once close to 3440, also ushered in a new high in more than a month. Next, we need to pay attention to whether gold can reach the 3450 mark.
Judging from the daily chart, there were three times when it touched around 3450 and then fell back. If it breaks through and stabilizes above 3450 this time, the historical high of 3500 may be refreshed. If it cannot effectively break through 3450, the probability of subsequent retracement is still very high.
From the hourly chart, the bottom support is almost at 3405-3400. However, the recent rhythm belongs to the consolidation of the Asian and European sessions, the US session has begun to rise, and the risk of serious overbought data indicators is still there. This is why I told everyone in the morning that we need to be vigilant about the current rise. Waiting for a pullback to go long is relatively more stable. I also explained in the morning that if it falls below 3405-3400, the decline may continue to around 3385. After all, the fundamental purpose of our trading is to make a profit, so we must minimize the foreseeable risks to the greatest extent possible.
On the whole, if there is an obvious stop-loss signal at 3405-3400, you can consider going long and looking at 3450. Once it falls below 3400, don't chase it easily, and pay attention to the possibility of a retracement below 3385.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3405-3400
TP 3440-3450
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold Price Analysis July 23📈 Gold Trend Analysis – Strong Uptrend but Signs of Slowdown
Gold continued to set a new peak for the week when closing the day above 3430 – confirming that the uptrend is still dominant. However, buying power is starting to slow down as the market formed a fairly wide range, around 50 prices in today's session.
Profit-taking pressure at high prices can create a short-term correction, opening up two-way trading opportunities for flexible investors.
🔑 Important technical levels (Key Levels):
🔻 Resistance zone & Sell zone:
3445: Price rejection zone – can consider selling if price fails to break through.
3463: Strong Sell zone – expect increased supply here.
🎯 Sell target:
3405: Nearest support, target for short-term sell orders.
🟢 Buy Setup:
3402: Breakout zone in US session – if price breaks strongly through this support with good volume, consider buying on the next uptrend.