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XBI

XBI weekly - Long term outlookHere's a quick look at XBI on the weekly and what I see. I'll be shorting everytime it hits the top of the trendline. I'll be shorting every divergence and overbought signals on the 60 & 240. There's a lot of hype with the bio sector since its 2016 lows, which is exactly what a B wave does. It creates hope, only to have it taken away. This is a multi year outlook. There's no way of knowing where the wave B top will be. This corrective structure can last another 6 months, year, maybe more! We're not "there" yet for the big bio short, but 90% of the time, a setup like this (especially on a weekly chart) is super bearish. Which is why I will always take the sell at the top of the trendline moving forward. GL
AMEX:XBIShort
by xsubtownerx
Biotech's 40% Bear Market is OverThere is one useful way to determine when a trend is over and that is using a 50% "speedline" of a move. The decline from $400 in $IBB, the IShares Nasdaq Biotechnology Index Fund back in July 2015 and then tumbled 40% to $240 on February 9th, 2016 and later retested $240 on June 27, 2016. The mid-point of that decline is $320 and a line drawn from the top at $400 down through the $320 level on June 27th gives you a line that is now down below $275 and that line has been violated to the upside, retested and is turning back up again and THIS TIME it is with President Trump pushing for faster "time to market" in exchange for lower drug prices. Will the deal go through and will it make a difference? Time will tell. For now, the Yellen-Bubble-popping bear market has been dramatic since August 2015 as it tumbled a whopping 40%. But there might be signs of life here in Biotech Bubble land, even with fears of price gouging still lingering over these stocks . For now: Average in over the next 2-3 months and see if this story pans out. Tim 12:31AM EST February 2, 2017 280.42 last $IBB. Other symbols for Biotech $FBT, $XBI, $BBH
NASDAQ:IBBLong
by timwest
11
TRADE IDEA: XBI JAN 20TH 53.33/61.67/70 IRON FLYRotating into exchange-traded funds here ... . EWZ and XBI appear to have the best implied volatility rank/implied volatility percentage metrics. I already have an EWZ fly on, so XBI it is ... . Metrics: Probability of Profit: 44% Max Profit: 5.29 ($529)/contract Max Loss: 3.00 ($300)/contract Break Evens: 56.38/66.96 Notes: I'm going to shoot for a fill that is .05 about the mid price of 5.29. If it fills, it fills; no worries. Will look to manage at 25% of max profit as I do with all short straddles/iron flies.
AMEX:XBI
by NaughtyPines
WEEK OF 12/5: WHAT I'M LOOKING AT: XBI AND EWZWith the VIX still hovering in sub-15 territory and an examination of broad index exchange-traded funds therefore yielding less premium than I would like,* I'm turning my attention to sector exchange traded funds for possible premium selling plays. Naturally, VIX levels could change in light of the outcome of the Italian referendum (as of the writing of this, Dec 7th expiry VIX futures are up .125 to 14.40, with Dec 14th expiries up a similar amount to 15.05. www.cboe.com). After having ground through the entirety of "X" series SPDR's, along with a few non-X funds, it appears that EWZ and XBI offer the best implied volatility rank and implied volatility metrics for premium selling, with both being >70% in rank over the preceding six months and >35% in implied volatility, which is generally what I look for to play. Since I already have an EWZ iron fly on, I'll look to get one filled in XBI (See Post Below). * -- Currently, QQQ has the highest implied volatility of the four major index exchange-traded funds, but the Jan 20th 20 delta iron condor yields less than a 1.00 credit for a three-wide, which is what I like to see out of these trades (credit received > one-third the wing width).
TVC:VIX
by NaughtyPines