Bitcoin update 21.03.2025 (6 more months of bull market)Bitcoin Update : 6 Months Left Until the Bear Market
You asked for a Bitcoin update — here it is. I don’t post updates too often because I’m currently focused on developing my academy. But let’s get straight to the point.
Where Are We Now?
There are only 6 months left until the end of the current bull cycle . My vision remains unchanged: we’ve gone through a correction and are now forming the bottom of this move. This is a classic consolidation phase, where the market is preparing for its next big push.
I’m still bullish, but it’s important to remember that we’re in the distribution zone . This means upward movement will be accompanied by volatility and local pullbacks.
What to Expect in the Coming Months?
The next 2 months are likely to be monumental. We’ll see new highs, but in 2 months, most people will have already forgotten about this forecast (as usual). People tend to ignore long-term trends until they become glaringly obvious.
However, publishing exact targets on the chart right now isn’t the smartest move. We might not even reach them, as emotions and news drive the market.
Key Moment: May 2025
In May, there will be a major announcement in the US regarding cryptocurrencies . This will be a turning point. The market is currently moving based on the current sentiment, but after May, things will change. When politicians start talking about crypto, it’s our signal to exit.
My Take
Don’t underestimate the importance of timing. When everyone starts talking about Bitcoin, it’s already time to get out. Until then, we’ll see growth, but keep this in mind: the next 6 months are for closing positions, not opening new ones.
Be prepared for a significant correction after September — more than 50% from the peak . This is a natural process that repeats itself over and over again.
Conclusion
The market moves in cycles. They work like clockwork:
151–152 weeks of growth (bull cycle).
51–53 weeks of correction (bear cycle).
We’re nearing the end of the bull cycle. Act consciously, stay disciplined, and remember that success comes to the patient.
Best regards, EXCAVO
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Xbt
BITCOIN WILL BE AT 50-60K THIS YEARMake it simple, BTC need to relax a little this year before going much higher. If BTC goes around 100k would be nice to take profits and wait for new lows... USA stock market is having alot of volatility with Trump, I wouldn't be surprised if we see a -20% drawdown in S&P 500!!
BTC Bitcoin update 26 FEB 2025Memes sucked up all the liquidity.
At some point, a lot of crypto experts started screaming left and right that memes are mass adoption and a narrative for the future bull.
I've always said to be careful. That 99.98% of memes are casino, nothing more.
I've had many people start proving otherwise, but when I blow the question that stumps everyone, “If the token has no utility and no product, who will need to buy it when the buyer runs out? What happens to the token when the early investors start coming out ?” There is almost no one with a sensible answer to this.
Believe that everyone will hold the token, no one will lock in profits, and there will be an endless buyer.
To the question of whether you can make money? Yes, you can.
Statistics show that 7% are on the plus side, and 93% of holders are on the minus side. Are you sure you will not be that last buyer?
Today, I read an article about how one popular, successful influencer lost 700k in 3 weeks.
One by one :
TRUMP after Melania
Then crypto futures Ludomania.
After the apartment sale.
And lastly, LIBRA.
0 result, minus health, morals, and several years of life due to stress.
There are a lot of beautiful messages now that so-and-so wallet made so much on memes, so-and-so wallet made so much. Newcomers do not want to invest in fundamental projects; they want to get rich. As a result, they get into risky stories and lose their deposit completely.
Are there many among your acquaintances who have made good money on memes for their entire portfolio? I emphasize, on the whole portfolio of memes, and not once or twice catching the kush, which safely lost on the next bets?
There was leveraged futures trading that zeroed out newbies with no experience, now memes.
The alt season is a bit delayed because if you analyze the wallets, liquidity flows to the 1% of crypto people. And regular fundamental alts are not growing as there is trivially no buyer right now.
As I said earlier, when Bitcoin hits 120-140k.
130-150k, there will be massive profit taking, and more institutional capital will come in. Many people will start to move, and that's where the fundamentals will be bought up, which will cause the emergence of new retail on the crypto market.
But there's something else that needs to happen here.
The masses must be disappointed in memes and lose even more money so that the “new money” will go to the fundamental projects and not to phantoms.
Can I make money from memes? Yes, you can. But remember, you are not an investor here; you are just playing in a crypto casino.
Want more?
Everything is in the link below the chart
Best Regards EXCAVO
Bitcoin is at the crucial stage BINANCE:BTCUSDT (1D CHART) Technical Analysis Update
Bitcoin is currently trading inside the triangle on 1H chart and price is heading towards the support zone. Its crucial that bitcoin holds the support zone around 91K.
if price breaks below 91K then we are headed for a bearish trend. If price holds above 91K then we can expect the current bullish trend to continue.
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Cheers
GreenCrypto
#BTCUSDT #4h (Bitget Futures) descending channel breakoutBitcóin just regained 20EMA support, printing a three-white-soldiers pattern. Looks good for bullish continuation from here.
⚡️⚡️ #BTC/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Bitget Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (10.0X)
Amount: 4.9%
Entry Zone:
98356.7 - 97312.9
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 102615.4
1) 106215.9
1) 109816.3
Stop Targets:
1) 93834.3
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITGET:BTCUSDT.P #4h #Bitcoin #PoW bitcoin.org
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +48.9% | +85.7% | +122.5%
Possible Loss= -40.9%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 weeks
Bitcoin Wyckoff Distribution 2025Some very concerning facts which I would like to share with you.
This looks like a perfect Wyckoff Distribution to me and I will also post another chart image below with other things to notice!
I can not post the wyckoff image here but go to this link and look for the SChematic #1 and compare for yourself! www.wyckoffanalytics.com
here the other chart:
Mastering Bitcoin #1In this quick but educational video we delve into the intricacies of Bitcoin's price movements using popular technical analysis tools like Bollinger Bands, Elliott Wave Theory, Triple Moving Average, and Bearish Divergence on MACD and RSI. Learn how these few indicators can help predict what might be ahead for Bitcoin based on current data.
I'm gonna make this into a habit, creating short, educational videos, so expect more of this insightful, bite-sized content going forward.
Run it back Turbo! besides bullish divergence on the weekly and numerous other indications like hashrate, aproaching halving etc.
the probability that we have bottomed out is in my opinion quite high from what i see and feel.
so here i drew some trendlines and a fib circle
the Ellipses are equal size (copy/paste)
they seem dancing around the following fib circles coloured RED.
1st = 1.618,
2nd = 4.618,
3rd = 6.618
i speculate the upcoming 4th = 8.618
added the past halving dates and upcoming 4th halving aprox early Q1 2024
of course this is not financial advise but an idea exploring visible patterns and possible target zones.
let me know your thoughts.
Bitcoin[BTC] - Do you see a similarity ?#BTC/USD #Analysis
Description
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+ Dec 2024 Bitcoin chart looks exactly like the pattern of the Dec-2023
+ In Dec-2023 we saw similar channel formation and price broke down from the support line briefly and then bounce back in January.
+ The same pattern we are seeing now, channel formation completed and price broke down from the support line of the channel.
+ I'm expecting price to decline further upto 85k zone and bounce back from there.
+ A bounce back from this zone will push the bitcoin price parabolic.
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
Comparing Christmas 2020 vs 2024#Altcoin Marketcap #Analysis
Description
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+ Comparing the altcoin marketcap on 2020 vs 2024 Christmas (pre bull run years), during the christmas week altcoin had a significant drop in the marketcap and after holidays we saw significant growth in the marketcap pushing the altcoin prices higher.
+ I'm seeing similar pattern in this bull run, in 2025 we are doing to see a huge bull run and during this Christmas week it was expected to see some drawdowns.
+ I'm expecting the market to see a complete recovery in the first two weeks of the Jan 2025.
+ I'm doing DCA for most of my Altcoin holdings and increasing my investment in some AI based tokens.
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
#BTCUSDT #4h (Bitget Futures) Rising wedge on resistanceBitcoin uptrend looks exhausted and keeps getting rejected on overbought RSI zone, a retracement down to 100EMA support seems around the corner.
⚡️⚡️ #BTC/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Bitget Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Short)
Leverage: Isolated (15.0X)
Amount: 5.0%
Current Price:
106966.8
Entry Zone:
107142.0 - 108740.0
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 104521.8
1) 101946.7
1) 99371.7
Stop Targets:
1) 110802.2
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITGET:BTCUSDT.P #4h #Bitcoin bitcoin.org
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +47.5% | +83.3% | +119.1%
Possible Loss= -39.8%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 weeks
Bitcoin will fall sharpely!Beware, there is a high risk of Bitcoin dump in the next few days. Of course, I could be wrong, as I'm no soothsayer and I've made mistakes in the past, but I'm relying on a predictive model I've been developing for the past three years, which has become very reliable in recent months. To sum up, my model gives me a cycle top below $100K, a 30 to 40% dump this week, followed by a downtrend punctuated by rebounds over several months towards $31K. Do your own research, as I'm only expressing my opinion, which is not a financial advice.
$btc Weekly Analysis Historically, price between these green lower level consolidation is a low risk buy for long term hodlers. But as you can clearly see, bitcoin is heading for lower and lower volatility until one day the trend breaks.
If you scroll right you can see the bull band and bear band come to a point.... what will happen then God only knows. If lower band breaks and we retouch the previous resistance at 7k, obviously my statement is void because my trend lines are broke.
Also the whole c0vid-crash is so weird to me, was it a red herring, does the support price achieved (around) 3/18/20 still hold value even though it could be a 'red herring'? I say absolutely it matters and we should incorporate that support price in our charting and calculations.
DISCLAIMER======= ' [ ]
My Log regression is not calculated with anything but the curve tool, please take it with a grain of salt, if i have any algebra friends with knowledge of logarithmic regression please feel free to reach out as your input would be greatly appreciated.
Bitcoin is entering the sell-zoneBitcoin's price is hovering at a critical level, and the potential for a deeper bearish move looms large. Historically, when Bitcoin dips below key support levels (56999 and 49999), it can trigger algorithmic trading bots to initiate aggressive sell-offs, accelerating price declines faster than manual traders can react. This phenomenon has occurred in previous bear markets, where sharp drops activated cascades of sell orders, pushing prices down rapidly.
Currently, BITGET:BTCUSDT.P Bitcoin is flirting with the $55,000 support zone, and failure to hold this level could signal the beginning of a deeper decline. A break below FWB:42K may lead to a swift drop toward $20K, as bearish sentiment is dominating the market, particularly with futures traders leaning heavily toward short positions. The broader market is likely to interpret this breach as a confirmation of sustained downward pressure, which could drive Bitcoin to revisit the $15,000 level—similar to the 2022 bear market.
For those who purchased BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P Bitcoin around the $50,000 mark, the risk of a significant drawdown looms large, with potential losses of 50% or more if Bitcoin plunges toward $25,000 or lower. Further downside could see Bitcoin retrace all the way to $15,000, reflecting the magnitude of the correction experienced during the last major crash in 2022.
Given the current technical outlook, the absence of bullish momentum combined with major resistance levels at $60K and $70K suggests that a rebound might be unlikely without strong buying pressure. A breakdown in the $40K area could accelerate bearish moves as algorithmic bots kick in, potentially leading to a rapid sell-off and testing lower levels.
Investors and traders should stay vigilant, as any further breach of support could lead to a prolonged bear market, reminiscent of Bitcoin’s previous crashes and so a sell-off could happen quicker than you can open a short position.
Bitcoin , What happened to Him! ? Based on Elliott's theoryIn The Name Of God, Who created the pen
THE BEAR RETURN TO THE CAVE
next target about 40000$
i think if power of correction wave in the primary cycle between 70% to 80%
then
In the future, buy bitcoin as close as possible to the double horizontal black lines .
double black lines = BIG-TICKET in Investing Long-Term
thank u 4 notice
Bitcoin - Where It Should Be Is Correct.
Bitcoin - Where It Should Be Is Correct
Bitcoin hovering around this price range in a sideways channel for a long period of time is exactly where it should be in cycle where weak hands get bored and sell to strong hands.
Z-Score showing no signs of anywhere near an overheated market, Spot ETF's are still very underallocated, the RSI Halving 100, Weekly repeating the same sideways "boring" market we have always seen.
When this trend eventually ends the price flips to the upside in a very short period of time catching most of the market off guard. Until the flip happens which looks like it will happen before year end, any Bitcoin price under $100,000 is a gift.
Eyes on Bitcoin. its looking more and more like 2017 as the weeks go on.
Bitcoin - COVID vs RECESSION fear comparison#BTC #Analysis
Description
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The monthly chart for Bitcoin is displaying a pattern reminiscent of the 2020 COVID crash chart. In 2020, Bitcoin experienced a similar crash, leading to a significant wick in the monthly chart. We are currently observing a similar pattern in 2024, attributed to the market crash caused by recession fears. I anticipate a recovery in the price similar to what was witnessed in 2020. Such a recovery would confirm the presence of a bull market.
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
Bitcoin - A clear reversal is needed for bullish trendBitcoin is currently trading in the support zone around the $58,000 range. This support level has been tested multiple times and has held strong each time.
For the bullish trend to continue, we need to see a clear reversal from this $58,000 zone. However, a breakdown from this support could push the price further down to the $54,000 range.
At this moment, it’s uncertain which direction the price will move, but I’m optimistic that it will trend upward since the support has held strong multiple times.
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Cheers,
GreenCrypto
Bitcoin - A short term overviewBINANCE:BTCUSD (1H CHART) Technical Analysis Update
BTC is currently trading at $58593 and currently trading at the support zone. Looks like price is consolidating around 58K range. A break out or break down from this consolidation will result in price reaching the next target.
- If price breaks down then the next support for bitcoin is around 55K range.
- If bounces back from this range then next resistance is around 61K range.
Let's see how this plays out.
It looks like price will mostly bounce back from this range. This gives us a long opportunity
Entry: 58K range
StopLoss: 56500
TP1: 59000
TP2: 60000
TP2: 61000
Don't forget to keep stoploss.
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Cheers
GreenCrypto