Bitcoin LTF Technical AnalysisBitcoin LTF Overview
Overview:
Bitcoin is currently trading within a range of $30,000 to $31,200, with the chart indicating a focus within this range. A bull flag formation is observed in the 4-hour time frame, suggesting the potential for an upward breakout towards $36,000. However, it is important to consider a bearish scenario where Bitcoin breaks down below $30,000 and retests the $27,200 level.
Key Levels:
Support: $30,000
Resistance: $31,200
Trade Analysis:
Upside Breakout: If Bitcoin breaks above the $31,200 level, it may indicate a bullish continuation. In this case, the potential target would be around $36,000.
Downside Breakout: Conversely, if Bitcoin breaks below the $30,000 level, it could signify a bearish move. The next support level to watch would be around $27,200.
Please note that these levels are provided as general guidelines and should be evaluated in conjunction with other technical indicators, market sentiment, and risk management strategies.
CryptoPatel Recommendations:
Monitor Breakout: Keep a close eye on Bitcoin's price movement within the defined range and be prepared to act upon a breakout.
Risk Management: Implement appropriate risk management strategies, such as setting stop-loss orders or using trailing stops, to protect capital and limit potential losses.
Confirmation: Consider waiting for confirmation of a breakout or breakdown through additional technical indicators or chart patterns before entering a trade.
Stay Informed: Continuously follow market updates, news, and changes in market sentiment to stay informed about potential developments that may impact Bitcoin's price.
Xbt
Bitcoin Range bound in Lower Time FrameBitcoin LTF Overview
Current Range: $30K-$31.2K
Chart Indicates Focus Within This Range: The chart shows that Bitcoin is currently trading within a range of $30K-$31.2K. There is a lot of price action within this range, which suggests that traders are focused on this area.
Trade on Breakout: Traders should look to trade on a breakout of this range. If Bitcoin breaks above $31.2K, it could signal the start of a new uptrend. If Bitcoin breaks below $30K, it could signal the start of a new downtrend.
Key Levels:
Support: $30K
Resistance: $31.2K
Overall Outlook: The overall outlook for Bitcoin is neutral. The chart suggests that traders are focused on the current range, and there is no clear indication of which way the price will break. Traders should wait for a breakout before making any trading decisions.
how will Bitcoin unfold in the future?This wave of market should be said to be a very typical war example. It took the bulls 2 months to create a bear trap, and finally the Jedi counterattacked, crushing the bears' defense in one fell swoop.
Some say it was a collusion between the SEC and Wall Street, and some even say Gary made a lot of money shorting Bitcoin. But these may not be confirmed, but from the technical trend review, we can still find a basis.
The correction that began in April has been a sudden setback, with one wave of lows being lower than the next. It looks as if the bulls are losing out. But the system's new features played a huge role this time. In order to cheat the line, the bulls caused MA144 to lose and the bottom neck line of the head and shoulders was worn through the illusion. But we can clearly see with the chart pattern hint function that this is a standard descending wedge trend, and finally stops falling at the wedge support line.
We all know that in some key support technologies, there is a false breakthrough standard of the deceptive line, generally no more than 3%. So this time, the main force of the bulls is familiar with it, and the dark position of the plank road is Chen Cang, and finally the goal of killing the bears is achieved.
A 20% increase in a week, although not much compared to a bull market, is still a good morale boost after a 2-month downturn. After all, global financial markets have rebounded recently, India, Japan have even come out of the big bull market, and even the Nasdaq has soared under the leadership of NVIDIA. The cryptocurrency circle has been plagued by the SEC suing Binance and Coinbase incidents, altcoin bulls fell apart, and the market wailed.
And the current long white candlestick at least keeps everyone hopeful.
But the market is not a welfare home, and trading is never charity. So we can't judge the market trend with emotion.
At the beginning of this rally, I made a judgment on the nature of the rebound, from the peak of $70,000, the market entered a bear market, theoretically, will use the ABC trend to complete the bear market correction (red line in the figure). This can be found in 2018-2019. Although history is not simply repeated, in a market that lacks fundamental support, chart movements are the basis for most investors' reference.
The adjustment of the 12-month history of 2021-2022 should be wave A, and then the rebound that opened is theoretically wave B, which should currently run in the third stage of wave B.
I thought this rebound was also the trend of ABC (gold line in the chart), and I thought that the high of the rally should not exceed $42200, where the golden section is 0.5. Of course, there are other technical indicators out there that form a suppression.
At present, from November last year to April this year, there is a clear 5 waves rising (purple line in the figure), followed by a 2-month correction, also 5 waves (blue line in the figure), I remember Elliott's wave theory for the definition of the rebound ABC trend, there is one, that is, if A is a complex wave, C may be a simple wave. So I judge that the trend of this C may be the ABC structure (123 of the dashed line standard in the figure).
Then there was a big C wave of decline.
This judgment is based on the following logic
1. Fundamentals, the SEC's lawsuit against Binance is actually an extension of the previous FTX incident, and the central issue is security. Whether altcoins are tokens or securities is also a question they need to solve. These questions are always the sword of Damox hanging over the head of the coin.
When we look at the end of the first two bear markets, they are also inextricably linked to fundamentals.
2015 was the beginning of the booming blockchain boom in China, with the emergence of blockchain companies, the issuance of coins, and the listing of exchanges became the norm, and Chinese exchanges monopolized more than 70% of the world's trading volume. It wasn't until 2018 that China began to drive away digital exchanges and the Bitcoin bull market ended.
In 2019, it was the issuance of US Bitcoin ETF contracts, and mainstream institutions entered the currency circle, taking over Chinese capital and becoming new Bitcoin players. And in March 2022, the Fed entered a rate hike cycle that became the end of a bull market, and Bitcoin once again entered a bear market cycle.
So in the next bull market, there should be a fundamental change, either the SEC will give a compromise plan for the legalization of the currency circle, or new capital will enter. In conclusion, it is difficult to judge the end of a bear market without these changes.
2. Technical, compared with the three bull and bear markets after 2011, although the time of each adjustment is about 12 months, the first two declines were 87% and 84%, and this time it was only 77%, which is slightly insufficient. The bear market in 2019 uses the ABC trend, although the latter wave of C has not reached a new low, but the amplitude is still large.
Based on the above analysis, I believe that it should be in the late stage of the big B wave rebound, if it cannot break through the golden section of $42,200 at 0.5, it is not ruled out to copy the trend of 2019 and fall again.
Bitcoin update 28.03.2023Potentially we can reach liquidity zones from below to eliminate all stop losses of long trades that were opened in the yellow zone, after that a strong upward movement is possible. The vision is the same, in May - April we will see the local peak of this movement
Technically, the market is doing very well.
We trade the market
60% + of all money in stable coins
Beware of overbought altcoins
LSD (Liquid Staking Derivatives) the trend continues.
Don't forget to control your greed, Protect your positions. Think are you over risked
People write to me who are in an unstable psychological state from the fact that they missed most of the movements, there will still be opportunities. Contact a more experienced person.
Plan your trades, trade your plans
Best regrads EXCAVO
Critical Analysis: #Bitcoin's Rollercoaster Ride to $25,700Bitcoin Technical Analysis:
Current Price: $25,700
According to my analysis, Bitcoin recently broke down from a Head & Shoulder pattern and is currently trading at $25,700, with a low around $25,000.
After breaking the Neck Line support, Bitcoin experienced a trap and the price briefly went up to $28,000, resulting in the liquidation of high leverage trades.
Based on the current market conditions, I anticipate the next move for Bitcoin to be towards the support level at $24,000. This level also serves as a retest after the breakout of the resistance.
In the worst-case scenario, if Bitcoin breaks down the $24,000 support, it could potentially test the range of $19,000 to $21,000. This could present accumulation opportunities for traders and investors.
Key Levels provided by CryptoPatel:
Support: $24,000 / $21,300 / $19,000
Resistance: $27,500 / $30,500 / $40,000
Please note that the analysis provided above is my own interpretation and should not be considered as financial advice. It is essential to conduct your own research and analysis before making any investment decisions.
Remember to approach the market in a systematic and disciplined manner, considering factors such as risk management, market trends, and your personal financial situation.
Follow us for More Real time Quality Chart Analysis.
Thank you.
$Bitcoin cup & hanlde bottoming patternBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is showing a bullish divergence with its ROC.
This may indicate a bullish move toward the $30,000 resistance level.
Inside the cup, there is a low cheat pattern with pivot at $28,500 which could be a good first entry.
Still, the crypto space hasn't been showing much strength relative to the the stock market. So why own it?
At least not for now.
I'll wait for the price to be above $30,000.
BITCOIN 2023Today my friend called me, not long ago, after a couple of minutes of conversation, he asked me: "what do I think about the price of observation and should I buy it now"
My answer:
1. Price dropped 78% from high
2. the average statistical cycle of the fall is passed
3. We are at or near the bottom whether you buy 16k or 12k, in the long run, won't matter
4. I reminded him that there are bulls and bears in the market, and there are also pigs who are very greedy and want to buy at the very bottom and sell at the very highs, and as a result, they are simply killed, so you don’t need to be a pig
5.Definitely, until the issue with the digital currency group is over, there will be no bull market
This is very simple advice I can give to everyone who reads this post.
P.S The chart is a Wyckoff logic chart superimposed on the Bitcoin log chart
I'm back in 2023, write questions in the comments that I can answer in the following posts
Bitcoin update 16.03.2023Hi, the plan is still the same goals 28-32.5
But there's a little problem here, you see banks going bankrupt, I called it BankFalls, and on that sentiment inexperienced people are now trying to move into a deflationary instrument, bitcoin.
We are in the last already close to the last stage of this mini cycle ( logistic curve) when people will scream that bitcoin is the only salvation in anticipation of a potential world crisis. In fact it is not.
it will be very difficult to find an instrument that will not fall if a financial crisis happens, everything will fall, but something will recover faster
Most likely when most people panic they will go into the 25-32 range. According to propagation theory, this will be the final stage of this mini-bull-run or sub-cycle.
I would like us to reach the middle channel line and then go to 28-32.5 - then stay there for 2-3 weeks and then go down
Best regards EXCAVO
Let the bullets fly a little longer!From mid-May, the market entered a volatile cycle, and from the 4-hour cycle, it showed a phenomenon of frequent changes of hands between long and short. In just a dozen trading days, the bulls and bears exchanged control at least 8 times, and most of the volatility range was only $1,000.
At present, a convergent trend has been formed, it should be said that the market is about to choose the direction, so now, we must be more patient and more cautious to deal with. Let the bullets fly a little longer!
In addition, we can see a head and shoulders pattern from the daily chart, of course, this pattern is somewhat complicated, we can think of it as a composite head, and the right shoulder should be being built at the moment.
As for whether this head and shoulders can be formed, the key is to see whether the upward will break through the left shoulder high, that is, $29380, if it cannot break through this high, but to the fall below the previous neckline - $25270, then the head and shoulders will be established.
At present, the finishing of this right shoulder, the main pressure is on the MA50, this moving average is around $28340, is turning down, for the bulls, it is certainly not good news. And the support below, the first thing to look at is $25270. If it falls below this trend line, the rally may be aborted.
Therefore, the current situation is very chaotic, it should be said that there are opportunities for long and short, but no one has an absolute advantage. Therefore, speculators should not stand in line too early, and at the moment of breakthrough, making the right choice is the strategy we should have.
The current operation of Bitcoin should be simplified and less a
Bitcoin broke through in March and created a rebound high of 31,000 after entering a shock adjustment stage. Although the voice of ending the US dollar interest rate hike is getting higher and higher, the surrounding stock markets are also falling to new highs. But the currency market seems to be lukewarm and not too passionate.
We can see from the chart that I gave a head and shoulder bottom shape at the beginning, which is very similar to the trend of retracement after the March breakthrough. If it does not fall below. The neckline of 25,100 US dollars, theoretically this head and shoulder bottom trend is valid. If you look at the theoretical amplitude of the head and shoulder bottom, the rebound can at least see above 35,000 US dollars.
However, there are many factors that restrict the rebound at present, such as the angle of the moving average. The pressure formed by ma200 is also obvious. This moving average is currently around 31,500 US dollars and is falling at a speed of more than 80 points every 3 days. Of course, ma50 is also accelerating upward, so in the next stage, Bitcoin will run in the angle formed by the two moving averages and finally choose a direction.
Bitcoin is now in a state of shock before breaking through. It is not a good opportunity for left-side trading. You should wait patiently. Good traders do not frequently look for opportunities, but make correct choices at the first time when the trend is formed.
Bitcoin 11 may 2023I sold my entire spot portfolio. why? because I see several bad signals
1. it's the meme coins pump and the most important one we have is PEPE who made 1,000,000% before listing on CEX and after listing on CEX another 20-30x. Everyone is happy especially new market entrants, lots of noise, looking for new meme tokens in the end on which they will lose money. As time shows at the end of cycles always pump the most useless tokens (meme) you can see on the chart pump DOGE and Shiba Inu.
2. We have reached my time cycles, as I said in November 2021 that we will have growth until April-May. today it is May 11 and we have been moving in a flat for a month. Yes you can interpret this as accumulation since altcoin season hasn't happened yet. Bitcoin's dominance was rising. But these two factors were enough to close my spot altcoin positions, which kept falling during the month.
3. The correction with world indices I will write about it in the next post, if in two words there is a place to fall.
4. Weekly chart looks bad
Frankly speaking, for the last month I was waiting for liquidity (yellow box), but we have not reached it, and I would not be surprised if we reach these points and then go down fast (let's get all sotop loss and liquidation of short positions, which we gained last month)
I expect the correction downwards, in August-September I think there will be a local bottom from which we will start the growth
Bitcoin a retracement back to 24k would fit right in.Hello, everyone.
If Bitcoin retraces to around 24k, it could be a solid move. However, we'll need to reassess the situation if it happens. With macro uncertainties ahead, Bitcoin may face further downward pressure, possibly dropping to 20k or lower. Stay alert and keep in mind these are buying opportunities. Perfect to DCA on the dips.
Bitcoin's Graceful Elliott Wave Dance: Dips, Peaks, and Twists!Dive into our captivating Elliott Wave analysis for Bitcoin, as we unravel the complex journey from a staggering $69k peak to a potential dramatic fall. Discover how we navigate the intricate waves, predicting a short-term dip to FWB:25K before surging to $35k-$40k. But brace yourself – we're foreseeing a massive plunge to $3k- FWB:250 as the grand finale! Don't miss this eye-opening forecast and learn how the unfolding 2nd wave could impact your crypto investments.
And this is my harmonic analysis it have the same view.
RWA narrative
Real-world assets, is heating up more and more. BlackRock CEO says RWAs will be a major usecase for crypto
If you want to start exploring this niche, this sampling will help you a lot.
Here you will find links to the Twitter accounts of the RWA projects highlighted in the panorama.
Messari PRO recently released an interesting mini-report outlining how RWAs are invading the classic financial sector.
Over the past few months, traditional funds and asset issuers have launched alternative asset tokenization programs via public crypto-networks. Recent asset releases have revived interest in real-world asset portability (RWA) onchain and opened up new revenue opportunities within decentralized finance (DeFi).
Private equity firm Hamilton Lane has partnered with Securitize, a digital asset release platform, to tokenize part of its $2.1 billion flagship equity fund on the Polygon network. The fund requires a minimum investment of HKEX:20 ,000, well below the typical minimum buy-in (fund entry) of HKEX:5 million for private investors.
Hamilton Lane is one of the largest private wealth managers, investing more than HKEX:37 billion in private markets in 2021. It manages SWB:824 billion in assets.
Similarly, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) announced Project Guardian, a pilot program to tokenize bonds and deposits that can be used in various DeFi strategies.
A bank participating in the program will be able to tokenize bonds and deposits that can be used in permitted liquidity pools. This capital can be lent in DeFi applications such as Aave and Compound to earn interest or as collateral to access credit. The pilot has attracted JPMorgan, DBS Bank and Marketnode as initial partners.
Broader Context
Since the first DeFi protocols began gaining momentum in 2020, they have been a driving force in attracting users and traders into the crypto space. DeFi experiments have enabled innovative financial applications such as decentralized automated market makers, stackablecoins, credit, insurance, swaps, synthetic assets, and derivatives.
Total locked-in value (TVL) in DeFi applications, conventionally translated as the amount of capital under management, has skyrocketed to a peak of HKEX:248 billion in December 2021 as asset prices rise and new users are attracted. TVL is supported by liquidity mining programs in which protocols drive growth by temporarily increasing returns by offering users rewards in the form of native protocol tokens, such as Compound rewards lenders with COMP tokens.
These returns have been volatile as token prices have fallen and overall interest in crypto has declined during the 2022 bear market. Historic USDC Stablecoin credit rates peaked in December 2020 at 18% for Aave and 8% for Compound. Those yields fell to 0.75% and 1.62% today, respectively.
As the yield on one-year U.S. Treasuries is around 5%, investors have rushed into safe government securities. Treasury bond yields rose sharply as the Federal Reserve abandoned its zero interest rate policy, with the one-year bond up from the 0.3% yield in December 2021.
As the risk-free interest rate in traditional finance has risen and DeFi yields have declined, investor participation in the latter has declined significantly in recent months, with TVL down more than 75% from its December 2021 high to HKEX:52 billion today.
To attract new capital, DeFi protocols are beginning to use RWAs as a source of collateral or new investment opportunities, providing more stable returns for investors.
Tokenization of real assets, such as real estate, commodities, private equity and credit, bonds and art, is a concept that has been quietly seeping in since 2018. RWAs take advantage of blockchain technology for the on-chain introduction of traditional assets.
Key quote:
"RWA tokenization offers tangible benefits, including lower minimum investment and increased access through shared ownership, increased trading of previously illiquid assets, increased transparency and security as blockchain records an unchanging record of transaction history, and automated ownership management and compliance."
Key statistics:
When the seven largest private credit blockchain-RWA protocols are combined, the historical loan value is $4.2 billion and active loans are HKEX:456 million. These protocols use DeFi to provide private loans to businesses and include Maple, Centrifuge, Goldfinch, Credix, TrueFi, Clearpool and Ribbon Lend. They offer an average APR of 12.63%.
Outlook and Implications
DeFi must offer higher returns than traditional investments to remain competitive and attract capital. DeFi applications such as Maple Finance, Goldfinch and Centrifuge pool cryptocurrency holders' funds and lend them to generate income through different strategies.
Maple Finance is a platform for institutional borrowers to leverage the DeFi ecosystem for loans with insufficient collateral. Pool Delegates are loan officers who create and manage pools on the platform and find institutional borrowers by structuring terms for each loan pool. Lenders can then contribute crypto funds to the pools they want to support by lending their assets in exchange for income. To date, Maple has made cumulative loans of nearly $1.8 billion.
Goldfinch is in the business of making loans to real businesses in emerging markets. Borrowers must be audited to determine their loan eligibility. Once approved, they can create pools and determine loan terms such as interest rate, loan amount, term and late fees. Lenders can grant capital to individual pools at their discretion and be the first to bear capital losses on impaired loans, thereby earning higher profits. Alternatively, liquidity providers can provide capital that is distributed to all pools of borrowers, earning lower returns with less risk of capital loss.
While Maple and Goldfinch focus on private lending, Centrifuge allows more forms of real assets, such as real estate loans and freight accounts, to enter the DeFi ecosystem. On a Centrifuge trading platform called Tinlake, the creator converts a real asset into a non-transferable token (NFT) and includes the appropriate legal documentation. Asset pools are created using NFTs as collateral representing RWAs. Investors can then provide capital to pools that match their risk preferences.
Real asset tokenization allows DeFi to enter some of the largest financial markets. Global real estate was valued at HKEX:327 trillion in 2020 and non-financial corporate debt at more than HKEX:87 trillion in 2022. These are colossal markets to which tokenization could bring increased liquidity and new investors.
Decision Points
When evaluating income opportunities, investors should examine the track record of existing DeFi-applications that use real assets. Have they defaulted? What is the underwriting and due diligence process and how do they manage risk? Underwriters that require borrowers to over-collateralize, have access to insurance, or have support mechanisms in place in the event of default may perform better over time.
Notably, Maple Finance had a HKEX:36 million loan default in December 2022 in one of its loan pools. The borrower, Orthogonal Trading, suffered a loss because of the FTX collapse. In response, Maple launched version 2.0, which introduced a faster default and liquidation process for loans that failed. This points to the need for better risk parameters and sector diversification among borrowers for credit DeFi platforms with insufficient collateral, such as Maple.
Instead of lending capital directly, investors can also bet on the success of DeFi-oriented RWAs by buying their own tokens. The prices of these tokens will correlate with the rest of the crypto market, but may show greater value for winning platforms.
What's causing this boom? Many protocols that previously offered volatile yields have now reduced yields, and as the government offers more attractive yields through bonds, there is a shortage of new capital. By offering RWAs as a source of collateral, DeFi is opening its doors to the broader financial market of non-cryptocurrency natives. Having assets backed in part by RWAs also reduces risk for cryptocurrency lenders.
We can expect more and more institutions to adopt tokenized RWAs ), as seen by JPMorgan executing its first real-time trade using tokenized yen and the Singapore dollar at Polygon in November. Hong Kong Central Bank is now offering tokenized green bonds, and other investment banks such as Credit Agricole CIB and SEB are collaborating to develop a platform for digital bonds.
If you have read this far you are wondering what will happen to bitcoin, we are close to the dates I said in November 2022. I was talking about April-May correction. it is really going to happen, just like a rock we are unlikely to fall before we have to liquidate most of the short positions. so i expect a slight correction upwards 29200-30050 area
Best regards EXCAVO
Bitcoin Bearish Divergence AnalysisBTC/USDT 4H Chart Analysis: Bearish Divergence Indicates Possible Retracement
Bitcoin is currently trading at $30500 against the USDT. A 4-hour chart analysis indicates the possibility of a retracement due to the bearish divergence and RSI bearishness. This article will provide a detailed analysis of the 4-hour chart and highlight the support and resistance levels to watch out for.
4H Chart Analysis:
The 4-hour chart of BTC/USDT shows bearish divergence, indicating a potential retracement. The last 4-hour candle has also closed, indicating a possible continuation of the retracement. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also bearish, adding to the probability of a downtrend.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Based on the 4-hour chart analysis, the support levels to watch out for are $29929 and $29071. On the other hand, the resistance level is at $30650. These levels should be monitored closely as they will determine the direction of the market.
Takeaways:
The 4-hour chart analysis of BTC/USDT shows bearish divergence.
The RSI is bearish, supporting the possibility of a downtrend.
The support levels to watch out for are $29929 and HKEX:29071 , while the resistance level is at $30650.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the 4-hour chart analysis of BTC/USDT indicates the possibility of a retracement due to the bearish divergence and RSI bearishness. Traders should closely monitor the support and resistance levels provided and exercise caution when trading. As always, it's essential to have a stop loss in place to mitigate potential losses.
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[Bitcoin] ready to rise againDespite the FTX affair wich caused a new low, I believe BTC is ready to rise again due to bullish technical factors:
- many bullish divergences in W, 3D, D, 4h
- end of the big falling wedge (throwback completed)
- new small falling wedge (dashed lines)
- historical technical supports (Price, MACD, Disparity index)
- blue pill (Hash Ribbons indicator)
- bottom found (Puell Multiple indicator)
- reversal signal (Network Value to Transactions ratio)
Of course, in the event of another major crisis, BTC will fall sharply again.
Bitcoin 2nd Break out Soon?Bitcoin has been in a downtrend for some time now, recently been moving upwards and now it has encountered a second resist in my book, it broke out the downtrend from ATH line but now we have a candle close break-out pending. Once this break out, I am measuring last major touch on line led to a strong move downwards, i will use that same line to put towards the breakout giving me a idea where price might head to from the breakout.
Not a insane target lol, not a crazy prediction… Just Wizard TA.
Thank you and i wish all you good health.
Target i say is 57-58k ish
[Bitcoin] Christmas gift 🎁Despite the FTX affair which caused a new bottom, I believe BTC is ready to rise again due to bullish technical factors:
- many bullish divergences in W, 3D, D, 4h
- end of the big falling wedge (throwback completed)
- historical technical supports (Price, MACD , Disparity Index, RSI)
- blue pill (Hash Ribbons indicator)
- bottom found (Puell Multiple indicator)
- reversal signal (Network Value to Transactions ratio)
Of course, in the event of another major crisis, BTC will fall sharply again.
Bitcoin Bull Market Target $200k ?Bitcoin Log Chart Analysis
- The author believes that the correct fit for Bitcoin's growth is a square root function in a logarithmic chart, suggesting that growth will slow down on long timescales.
- The author is a long-term Bitcoin bull, but remains realistic about the potential for exponential growth.
- The author attributes Bitcoin's growth cycles to halvings, which cause a supply shock and subsequent rally.
- The author estimates that the long-term goal for Bitcoin in 2025+ is around $150k USD, which they believe to be the final asymptotic price.
- Based on historical data, the author believes that Bitcoin could be around $35k going into the next halving.
- The author hopes that their chart helps people understand the long-term growth dynamics of Bitcoin, but acknowledges that these ideas are only probabilistic.