Dealing with mid line ...Alright, rsi backed to the channel, ma 50 is trying to support the price, ma 200 is coming, rsi supported in 4H, and also we have a support line too.
We saw that 10500 touched and rejected us to the 11k, it confirmed as bottom, Congrats.
So there is some ideas here, cross under of ma's or support of rsi and line?
If you see a cross under of ma 50 and 200, it means markets wants another down trend.
Other side is up trend ... and there is no need to explanation.
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Xbtusdt
BTC Weekly Outlook (FA & TA)First of all, please support our work by smashing that like button or following! These really help us to reach more traders like you!
Key Fundamentals:
1. Smart money action:
The on-chain smart money actions are now stable at a bullish level. This is similar to the on-chain developments before prior bull runs. Institutional investors showed picked up interest in the crypto space as Grayscale raised $900M in Q2 (its ATH quarter since inception). Institutional traders on CME remains undecided for the mid-term, and there are no clear signs of bullishness for the coming months.
2. Miner action:
Both hash rate and difficulty have recovered, and miner capitulation has ended. With miner capitulation historically marking market bottoms, this is a bullish long-term sign.
3. Market Sentiment:
Overall market sentiment is bullish and potentially overstretched. The seller group is selling in profit and the seller group only market sentiment remains in a bull trend.
4. Margin Market Actions
Potential long squeeze alert in place. This is bearish for the short term.
Key Technicals:
1. Key resistance at 10.4k
2. 5 Elliot wave to the upside is finishing
3. RSI hasn’t shown bearish reversal signs yet:
2D – broke the bearish trend; 1D – bullish; 4hr – developing bearish divergences in the overbought region. This is extremely bullish from a RSI only perspective as multiple bearish divs can keep on developing with price making new highs. In this type of situation, the key is waiting for the MA failure (instead of bearish divergence) for a trend reversal identification.
Do you agree or disagree? All thoughts and critics are welcomed!
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Welcome to the new channelAlright people, now we can say that 10500 is our new bottom line and 12k is our top :) congrats.
So lets see what do we have here.
Fist of all I can see a bearish divergence is forming here, and by my strategy we should touch on 11800 ~ 12k again.
There is a possibility here, breaking resistance by rsi! if you see a breakout out there, it means 15k is coming ...
On the other side you can easily guess that what I want to say! we should check ichimoko cloud one more time.
So I recommend you to enter long above 12200, and enter short below 12k to 10500 area again.(when im talking about an area, I mean a 300 pip, so its possible to see a support on 10800)
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False Breakout ! July 28, 2020We have seen in the past that BTC has a wild behavior and loves to trap longs and bag holders at high prices with false breakouts ! We are facing a resistance @ $11534 ( August 5th 20219) and 0.618 fib extension sits right around $11950-$12100 level ! The whole world has gone bullish once again and the worst is yet to come ! There is nothing but bad news for the world economy and If you are thinking this market is going to the moon you are wrong ! This is all about liquidation and you will always get cheap prices so you can invest and get liquidated again! Our price Target for bitcoin remains at $6400, $5300 on both daily and weekly chart! It can come now or later ! Be patient and don’t fomo at the top !
Downtrend is coming! if ...Downtrend is coming! if rsi keep failing to break last H here ...
In failure phase, 11k and 10900 might be first targets.
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12k is possible ...If you ask me about market these days, I only tell you one thing! market is not healthy these days ...
As you can see we have symmetrical triangle in rsi, it touched support line and its the time to see a touch on resistance, as you know triangles, then you know what's gonna happen today or tomorrow.
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Bitcoin - Cautiously approaching weekly resistanceLocal top could be somewhere near for sure because BTCUSD in price discovery mode. Thus, I won't short it for now.
Short-term support is somewhere near $10800 atm, but I don't really rely on it in case of a dump. And ofc it would be better to get $10400 at least, less risky.
Mostly bullish, spot long, not going to open leverage positions yet.
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Information is just for educational purposes, never financial advice. Always do your own research.
Another one ???Rsi supported here, it would be a start for forming bullish divergence!
10500 is a dangerous place for me, you know about local resistances in high time frames ...
Personally I need to see a downtrend first, I dont trust to market for now.
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We need a correction now ...Rsi is got tired, we need a correction now ...
After those pumps and hitting local resistance in high tf.
Rsi touched over bought in 1H, 4H and daily ...
This is the perfect time to see a confirmation of the support line.
First targets would be 9950 and 9700, breaking them will head us to test 9500 again.
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It seems really good here ...Alright guys, as you can see rsi touched the old resistance again, there is two idea here, breaking the resistance, and rejecting of it.
It seems we have hidden bullish divergence which you saw it head us to 10k after a month.
But this resistance is really strong and it rejected us all the time.
I recommend you to not enter long term for now, do the short ones and use a good leverage by your capital.
In high tf, this is danger zone ...
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BTC: Downward Pressure IncomingFirst of all, please support our work by smashing that like button or following! These really help us to reach more traders like you!
Given the 20k ATH, the 14k high, and the recent downward channel, BTC has many key resistances layered between 9.4k - 10k. The longer resistances take to develop, the harder they are to break. As a result, before these resistances are broken, our bias remains on the short side.
There are currently many differences regarding how to make sense of the recent 7-8% rise. Some believe this breaks us out of the triangle into the next motive wave upwards (either wave 5 or wave 1 of next bigger moon move). Others (like us) believe it's part of a larger corrective wave to the downside (Wave B). However, regardless of which side one is on, the one thing that we should agree on is there's at least a 300-500 correction ahead very soon. Even for the most bullish scenario (we are in wave 1 of the next bigger structure to create ATH), wave1 needs to correct, and with that many resistances, and wave 1 being the wave with “disbelief”, we are looking at a 0.618 retracement.
Do you agree or disagree? All thoughts and critics are welcomed!
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BTC: Which side are you on?First of all, please support our work by smashing that like button or following! These really help us to reach more traders like you!
Both a bullish count and a bearish Elliot wave count are above. Regardless of which side you are on, we are likely in a 3-wave flat (3-3-5) development, and a correction/downward trend is due soon.
For the bearish scenario, if B rises above 9.9k, the current ABC zigzag structure would be invalidated, and would likely turn to a flat. Since flats generally signal trend continuation, it could potentially mean the 5 waves to the upside has not finished, and we are going to have an extended 5th wave (much higher than the bullish scenario on the right).
Do you agree or disagree? All thoughts and critics are welcomed!
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9900 is possibleWe saw the up trend from 9500, rsi still has the support line and channel is ascending for now.
4H confirmed support line for rsi, and also daily too ...
You can check all of them in the related idea.
We broke ichimoko cloud in 1H and also we have ma's support here ...
So by these reasons I can see 9900 is coming ...
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9700 and 9800 ?The easiest idea ever ...
You can see the support line in rsi and also ascending channel do I need more explanation?
Lets see higher TF's to be more clear.
Cloud broken perfectly and thats a strong sign of bullish trend here.
Cloud broken here too, but rsi failed to break resistance, so rsi needs to check support line, but what about ma's ?
We have support of all ma's now ... this is another bullish sign.
So, I will do long of 9400 and 9500 to 9700 and 9800.
Below 9400 means the idea is fail and you should close the trades ...
Always remember to set your SL guys ...
My SL is 9370
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BTC Weekly Outlook (FA & TA)First of all, please support our work by smashing that like button or following! These really help us to reach more traders like you!
Our mid term bias remains on the bearish side. However, given how manipulated this market is, I don't think a major drop is going to happen when retail margin traders are overly short. Fake outs are necessary for the short term to lure retail sentiment onto the bull side.
Key technical:
1. Strong channel & EMA resistance above
2. RSI is meeting both MAs resistance and key resistance since May
3. Daily MACD down crossed
4. Key support at 8.8k before bottom of channel (we still get asked quite often of the "current rising triangle". Support/resistance work mainly because traders believe they do. So high likelihood BTC will bounce off of here to the upside.)
Does institutional accumulation mean we are bullish?
The short answer: short term – no; long term – absolutely.
As most of you may already know, Grayscale has seen its best quarter in Q2 since inception, raising $900M for its crypto products. As a result, there has been lots of bullish talk around how new money and institutional interest in the space will push us to ATH.
However, just as there are retail investors and retail traders, there are two types of institutional players as well: traders and investors. Grayscale, even though as the biggest institutional player in the space, focuses on offering crypto exposure through traditional investment vehicles, and the products are investment oriented. This is very different from actively managed crypto funds which are performance oriented. With crypto being a space of investors dominating the entire BTC supply, and speculators dominating daily moved BTCs, the differentiation has to be made about which news drives the long-term underlying BTC value (mean reversion), and which news drives the short-term price action.
From my perspective, the Grayscale news is a confirmation of BTC long-term bullishness, but by no means is an indication of us breaking out of the current “triangle” (as many believes) to the upside. Investor oriented behaviors take a long time to realize (we dropped from 6k to 3k, and dropped through the COVID black Thursday when investors are bullish), and as shared last week, the institutional traders are still bearish for the mid term.
Hope this helps clearing some confusions out there.
Are you bullish or bearish on BTC? Do you agree with our analysis? All thoughts and critics are welcomed!
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9100 is possible because ...Ok guys now I can say that ... 9100 is possible because of confirmation for support line in rsi in both 4H and daily.
And also there is something else too, bottom line of the triangle in 4h, it should do a retest.
If you see the ichimoko cloud and you know a little of ichimoko trade strategy, you should know that this is the time to test the bottom of cloud now.
So in my opinion we can enter short to 9100 as first target.
And if you dont trust the trend, you can stay out of it for a while to enter the long one to 9300 and 9500.
If you check the daily chart I just shared here, it seems divergence rejected(It could a fake out), im not confirm that yet.
In this case, I rather to stay for a while to see the confirmations...
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One more touch and 10k ?This is possible to see 10k again ...
As you can see hidden bullish divergence is taking control here ...
If I see another respect to the line in rsi and also ichimoko cloud ...
I will put on my dress to visit the moon again ...
We are in a range now ... there is possible to see a big down trend too, so do not enter to trade ... wait for confirmations ...
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Possible bullish in 1HSupport several times, rsi formed a bullish divergence, and you can easily see rsi symmetrical triangle, but there is one thing here which could change the way ... descending trend line(I talked about it in related idea) and also ichimoko cloud is weak, and also high time frames are in descending mode.
So lets discuss and share our thoughts here => if you dont mind...
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BTC Multi-timeframe AnalysisFirst of all, please support our work by smashing that like button or following! These really help us to reach more traders like you!
Overall, we remain bullish for BTC long-term (fundamentally) and fairly bearish for the coming 2 months ahead. As we’ve mentioned multiple times, a healthy correction is necessary for BTC to make an ATH. For the shorter-term trading, we are eyeing long opportunities at the bottom of the channel.
Weekly:
1. Repeating July to September 2019 downward channel development (many triangle upward break out voice back then as well)
2. RSI kept rejecting bear range resistance (around 60)
Daily:
1. Failing EMAs, and lack of strength. (In a bullish trend, price often rejects EMA fairly quickly)
2. Downward channel
3. RSI's in a bearish trend beneath its MAs and key resistance
4HR:
1. RSI hidden bearish divergence forming
2. BTC RSI has a habit of visiting below 30-35 range twice – wait for bullish divergence for the long side
Major drops / rises are profitable for whales. If retails are on the same side, there are more traders splitting the profit, and the profit taking will also hinder further price move to trigger liquidations. Why we often see bull/bear traps before major price moves is because these are effective methods to shake out “profit-splitters”. As a result, a major drop is likely to be initiated from around 9.4k rather than the current price level. And if we go to the downside from here, the price is likely to be range bound again for the coming week.
Are you bullish or bearish on BTC? Do you agree with our analysis? All thoughts and critics are welcomed!
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Hold steady! short is coming...Rsi failed to touch over bought and it formed a divergence!
Vortext indicator confirmed that longs cant do more than this!
Macd is forming red histogram now(But week ones)
Ichimoko cloud turned the way and it sent a descending sign(But it was week and price is more than the cloud)
Market couldn't break the descending channel resistance!
These things I talked about, are trying to tell us longs cant take the control yet ...
As I said that before, breaking 9200 needs a strong whale ...
So until we are lower than 9200, Im in short ...
As you know my trade style and strategy, mostly I work in lower time frames, but these days lower TF's are in a big range ... atr is lower than 20(Market is dead for now :) )
So I will share another ideas in high TF's too.
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