Copper: the weak hands have been shaken out.Massive extensions are not uncommon:
Weekly chart:
The indices falling would not cause the price of copper to fall,
this did not happen previous it is not true that the price is tied
to the economy as what is told. Also chinese people use copper as a
safe store for their money.
Price went down in 2008 but this is irrelevant. Went up in 2000-2007.
Giants China and India are urbanising, demand for copper long term is up up up up.
Tech needs more and more copper. No brainer. Why wouldn't the price go up?
Xcuusd (Copper)
Copper: +7% bullish potential.Copper is on a standard 1D bearish sequence (RSI = 39.990, MACD = -0.034, Highs/Lows = -0.0234) that has just (marginally) crossed the 2.74170 Support. With the RSI however approaching the 32.800 mark, a bullish reversal alert is triggered as the last 4 times that the price bounced near or just below this mark, Copper gained +7 to +8%. Assuming that happens now we are looking at a 2.9000 target. If it takes place lower (-3.85% lower by the previous occurrence), we expect 2.80000.
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XAUUSD being led by XCUUSD by 13 daysThere is no reason why an inverted Copper chart should look like the Gold chart, but leading by 13 days (April 21=now). But it does look like it. I have bought at market (1290) for 1335 with a tight 1280 stop. RR 4.5:1.
Very small size, as I have no other. evidence.
Copper Sell OffOANDA:XCUUSD
Feeling a short opportunity for XCU this week. Currently we have ended last week below the ascending trendline and broke out of consolidative wedge forcing us to go below. I will stick pending orders just below the trendline that has broken in anticipation for a retest of that break to then go back down. I have set 3 take profit target levels for positions to mature. 1 in the middle which looks like a good S&D level. The bottom of the Yellow Macro S&D level. and bottom at our 61.8 FIB retracement to potentially end that sell off to then wait and see what happens at a future date.
Is EURUSD a leading indicator for Copper?Based on their correlation since 2002 we can say that EURUSD is a leading indicator for Copper. Especially since 2010, they both trade within a 1M Channel Down, with EURUSD however respecting the Lower Highs/ Lower Lows more. So with EURUSD on a long term bearish trend towards the 1.0358 support, we expect 2.000 long term for Copper. Technically Copper's 1M is on a pivotal point, being neutral overall (RSI = 53.441, Williams = -49.469, CCI = 9.9212, Highs/Lows = 0.0000) so expect the break lower to take place soon.
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Copper: Buy opportunity on the 1D Higher Low.The price is trading on a 1D Channel Up (RSI @ 61.767, MACD @ 0.035), which has made this week a Higher Low (Highs/Lows @ 0.0000). The next Higher High is expected on a +8% rise but we are taking a more conservative target. TP = 3.03455.
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