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DAX: Sell signal short term but bullish reversal if HH break.DAX turned overbought on the 1D time frame (RSI = 72.776, MACD = 187.300, ADX = 43.679) as investor euphoria spread across the stock markets on a dovish Powell, and the current 4H candle broke above the short term Channel Up. If it closes back inside the Channel Up, we will regard this a sell signal aiming at a -2.30% decline (TP = 15,100). On the contrary, if DAX breaks above the long-term HH trend line first, we will buy and aim at the All Time High (TP = 16,300) as a repeat of the January 2nd - 18th +10.30% rally will be more probable. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:DE40
by InvestingScope
9
DAX This Resistance makes all the differenceThe German stock index DAX broke today (and so far stays ahead of the Fed) above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). On our last analysis two weeks ago, we pointed out that a Channel Up similar to November's would form and its break-out will deliver the next move: As you see, the price traded exactly within that short-term Channel Up and delivered excellent scalping opportunities to us. Right now it is still intact and we are still scalping, only willing to commit to the direction on the next break-out. A break below it should be enough to target the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) as it happened on December 28 and then rebound for another medium-term bullish leg. If the Double Top Resistance breaks first, we will go long regardless, targeting the top of February's Resistance Zone (15730). Further break will extend our selling to the 16300 All Time High. On the downside, if the price closes below the 4H MA200/ 1D MA50, we will buy again at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up (blue) near the 13900 Support (December 16 Low). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
EUREX:FDAX1!
by TradingShot
DAX Pull-back to 4H MA200 likelyThe German stock index (DAX) is showing signs of exhaustion of the 2023 rally, following our strong buy signal last week. The 4H RSI hit and got rejected on the 84.600 Resistance level, which is where a Channel Up started on November 11 2022. The Channel Up made one last High before it broke below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and started a correction (short-term) that hit the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). As a result, we believe it is worth to start building up sell positions for a medium-term pull-back to the 4H MA200. Keep in mind that the strongest long-term buy is when the 1D RSI approaches its oversold level of 30.000. That could happen, if DAX closes a 1D candle below the 4H MA200, near the bottom of the long-term Channel Up that started in early October. The medium-term target is the 15500 - 15700 Resistance Zone of February and the long-term the All Time High of 16300. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
EUREX:FDAX1!Short
by TradingShot
DAX held the 1D MA50 going for the 9-month Resistance.DAX is on a very strong rebound after holding the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support, having closed all 1D candles above it since December 20. As mentioned on previous analyses, the target is the 14680 - 14950 Resistance Zone. We are looking to take profits on the first sign of rejection within that zone. Beyond that, we will buy either after a 14950 bullish break-out, i.e. a 1D candle closing above 14950 and target the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up within 15300- 15400. That is located directly below the February Resistance Zone. As long as the 1D MA50 holds, (i.e. candle closing above it), buy on the short-term and target 14680. A closing below the 1D MA50 should take DAX to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), located at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up. Keep an eye also on the 1D RSI Buy Zone for medium-term buys. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
EUREX:FDAX1!Long
by TradingShot
DAX: Bullish after breaking the 4H MA200DAX easily broke above the 4H MA200 (14,248.20) yesterday, which as I've mentioned in the past 2 weeks is the most crucial level on the medium-term, and the trend shifted back to bullish again long-term. This is evident also on the 1D time-frame (RSI = 58.733, MACD = 21.600, ADX = 18.725), whose RSI turned bullish for the first time since December 14th. This is all a result of holding the 1D MA50 (14,052.30) as a Support and the Golden Cross 4 weeks ago. As mentioned previously, the 4H MA200 break would be a buy break-out for me and now I am targeting 14,700, which is just below the June 6th High of 14,710. Technically the 4H MA50 (14,017.50) should now act as a Support/ buy entry. My attention fundamentally is on the FOMC Meeting Minutes today and more importantly the Non-farm Payrolls on Friday. All prices mentioned on my analysis are on DAX futures current contract in front.
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by InvestingScope
DAX Can it avoid the drop on this 4H Death Cross?The German stock index (DAX) just hit the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and it getting rejected. This pull-back has high probabilities of turning into a sustainable sell sequence to a Lower Low considering that just two days ago a Death Cross was formed on the 4H time-frame, which is when the 4H MA50 crosses below the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). In 2022 every 4H Death Cross failed on or below the 4H MA50 and made a Lower Low with an average -5% fall. A repeat of that would pull DAX down to 13500. In order to avoid the consequences of the Death Cross, the price needs to close above the 4H MA200, in which case we will target the bottom of the 14570 - 14680 Resistance Zone. Notice the Lower Highs pattern on the RSI how consistent it is as a bearish signal. We just formed a Lower High. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
D
by TradingShot
2
DAX: Still in an Ascending Triangle. Opportunities both ways.DAX couldn't have given us a better trade yesterday as following the lower than expected U.S. CPI (which is a big plus in the ongoing battle to control inflation), the price broke above the 4H MA50 (14,376.70) and came close to the 14,710 (June 6th 2022 High) Resistance, getting rejected at 14,670, which is a Higher High since November 14th. The price is now back down to the 4H MA50 and it remains to be seen if it acts as a Support. With 4H neutral again (RSI = 52.784, MACD = 16.600, ADX = 23.724) but especially ahead of today's critical Fed Rate Decision, the price can swing both ways and even more so violently. The 4H MA200 is at 14,103.20 now, and will be my buy entry but if we close the day below 14,100 I will book the loss and instead sell, targeting the 1D MA50 (13,646.70 and rising rapidly), which is the ultimate Support during long-term uptrends. If however the price breaks above 14,710 first, I will take the break-out buy and target the 14,940 (March 29 2022 High) Resistance. Previous DAX chart:
CAPITALCOM:DE40
by InvestingScope
DAX 1D Golden Cross is bullish but mid-term indicates volatilityToday the German stock market (DAX) completed a Golden Cross pattern on the 1D time-frame, which is when the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). That is technically a bullish formation and that is what we interpret it as, at least on the long-term. Historically a 1D Golden Cross delivers new Bull Phases on DAX and it was such a Cross that took it out of the last major Bull Cycle in 2009 (U.S. housing crisis). On this study though we give particular attention to the previous two Golden Crosses, which all share similar characteristics to today's. Once the index broke above the Bear Phase's Lower Highs trend-line, the Golden Cross was formed shortly after, with the 1W RSI getting rejected on roughly the same level (red Resistance Zone). On both occasions the price pulled-back to at least the 1D MA200. That is currently at 13540 and should stay around this level through-out Q1 of 2023. If a similar Megaphone pattern transitions DAX into the new Bull Phase, then we expect the index to have bottomed around the 1D MA200 by the end of Q1 (March) 2023 and then rebound towards recovering its All Time High. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
XETR:DAXShort
by TradingShot
2
DAX: aiming at the Support below the 4H MA50.The price failed to break above the 4H MA50 (red) and dropped more to a new Low. This is getting closer to our 14,150 short-term target just above the 14,130 Support (formed from the low of November 15th). 4H is now close to oversold territory (RSI = 34.750, MACD = -47.400, ADX = 59.234) so we might see a short term rebound back to the 4H MA50 (14,446.70 and dropping) but with a break below 4,100 we will extend selling to the 4H MA200 (currently at 13,898.60). The 1D RSI remains bullish (57.430) though but we're only willing to buy as of this point if the price breaks above the 14,710 (June 6th 2022 High) Resistance and target the 14,940 (March 29 2022 High) Resistance. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ## ## Also DONATIONS through TradingView coins help our cause of increasing the daily ideas put here for free and reach out more traders like you. ##
EUREX:FDAX1!
by InvestingScope
DAX: Short term outlookDAX continues to slowly but steadily grind higher using the 4H MA50 (14,451) as Pivot. With such neutral 4H technicals (RSI = 50.442, MACD = 15.00, ADX = 16.012), we will engage today in scalping activity within the 4H Bollinger Bands (14,590 - 14,389). A break above 14,650 would be a break-out bullish call targeting 14,710 (June 6th 2022 High) Resistance, while a closing below 14,320, would be a break-out bearish call targeting 14,150. A closing above the 14,710 Resistance would be a bullish break-out signal targeting the 14,940 March 29th 2022 High.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by InvestingScope
DAX 's incredible 8 straight green week rally may come to an endThe German Index (DAX) hit last week its 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and early this week, the 1W candle is pulling-back in red. If it closes this way, it will be the first week of loss (red) since late September, running an amazing streak of 8 straight green ones. With the 1W RSI almost reaching 65.000 for the first time since November 15 2021 (a whole year ago), a potential 1W MA100 rejection can draw comparisons with the post U.S. - China trade war recovery early in 2019. As shown on this chart, DAX pulled-back on the 2nd week after breaking above its 1W MA100 and the pull-back broke marginally below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). A megaphone pattern of Higher Highs and Lower Lows took the price just below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) before recovering and post a strong rally that broke slightly above its Resistance Zone from the previous All Time Highs. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
EUREX:FDAX1!
by TradingShot
DAX: 1H Rising Wedge with clear targetsDAX is trading inside a Rising Wedge on the 1H time-frame with the price making a Higher High by breaking above yesterday's High/ Resistance on healthy 4H technicals (RSI = 56.980, MACD = 66.900, ADX = 28.300). Despite the overbought 1D RSI, as long as this Rising Wedge is maintained, DAX should target the 14,710 Resistance (June 6th High). If the 1H MA50 (blue) and the Rising Wedge break downwards, the 4H MA50 is the first line of Support (14,277) but most likely we will see a test of the 14,145 - 14,170 Support Zone, which is near the bottom of the November Channel Up. This is where the 1H MA200 (orange) is. If it breaks, we turn bearish on the medium term, aiming at the 13,600 Support. If the 14,710 Resistance breaks, we remain bullish, targeting the 14,940 Resistance (March 29th High). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ## ## Also DONATIONS through TradingView coins help our cause of increasing the daily ideas put here for free and reach out more traders like you. ##
EUREX:FDAX1!
by InvestingScope
DAX recoverd but approaching a strong Resistance similar to 2019Very interesting fractal repetition for DAX so far. As the price is approaching the 1W MA100 (green) a typical Support in Bull Markets and Resistance in Bear Markets, we have spotted striking similarities with the 2018/2019 correction. There is a flat Resistance just above the 1W MA100, which in April 2019, as the index recovered from that multi month correction, pushed it back to the 1D MA200 (orange). Swing traders can wait for the next big entry there, if the pattern continues to repeat that Cycle. The RSI so far tends to agree and shows that weve just started a new multi month recovery phase. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ## ## Also DONATIONS through TradingView coins help our cause of increasing the daily ideas put here for free and reach out more traders like you. ##
EUREX:FDAX1!
by InvestingScope
DAX Big MA200 hit but needs +14000 to avoid new selloffBig bullish news for DAX yesterday as it hit the 1D MA200 for the first time since February 2nd. Even though it has also broken above the Lower High Resistance of the Bear Market since October 27th, there is one pattern remaining which if repeated, can cause a new selloff. That is the April Cup pattern which after it failed to break its Resistance, it caused a massive selloff. The level for DAX to beat in order to cancel this is 14000, which just so happens to be near the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. Otherwise we can visit the September low again where the 1W MA500 will be waiting. The weekly RSI can offer a fair estimate of what could happen next, bullish above its Higher Highs Resistance and bearish below it. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ## ## Also DONATIONS through TradingView coins help our cause of increasing the daily ideas put here for free and reach out more traders like you. ##
XETR:DAX
by InvestingScope
DAX Crucial 1D MA200 test! Sell with low risk but BUY if broken!The German stock index (DAX) has been trading within a Channel Up (Higher Highs/ Higher Lows) since the September 29 bottom. Following the contact with the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) on Wednesday's Fed Rate Announcement, the price has been rebounding strongly, aiming at the 1D MA200 (red trend-line). Having already broken above the January 05 Lower Highs trend-line last week, that would be the most crucial test for the long-term trend as the 1D MA200 has been unbroken since February 02, practically throughout the whole Bear Cycle of 2022. If broken, expect a Higher High on the Channel Up that would test the 13980 August 16 High (Resistance 1) where a 1W closing above it can target further upwards the 14710 June 06 High (Resistance 2). Until the 1D MA200 break-out happens though, DAX's Channel Up draws heavy comparisons with the July 14 - August 16 Channel Up, which eventually topped and started a new heavy sell sequence that made the current market Low. As you see the top was formed after a 4H MA100/200 Bearish Cross (4H MA100 green trend-line crossing below the 4H MA200 orange trend-line), which is the pattern that DAX just formed today. On top of that, the 4H RSI sequences of the two Channel Up patterns are very similar following an (a)-(b)-(c)-(d) pattern. That means that until the price breaks and closes above the 1D MA200, being that close to it, we can take a low risk/ high reward sell and target the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
EUREX:FDAX1!
by TradingShot
DAX Short-term bullish but heavy Resistance Zone ahead of ECB.The German stock index (DAX) has been trading within a Rising Wedge (dashed lines) since the October 02 bottom that is about to break. The 4H Golden Cross (4H MA50 (blue trend-line) crossing above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line)) is a short-term bullish signal as the three times we had this pattern formed in 2022, the price rose more ranging from the 1.236 Fibonacci extension to the 1.5. Moreover, the 1D RSI broke above its Lower Highs trend-line, adding more buying pressure. The 1.236 Fib is located exactly on the January 05 Lower Highs trend-line, which is basically the Resistance dictating the 2022 Bear Market, while the 1.5 is just below the 1D MA200 (green trend-line). That trend-line has been unbroken since February 02, so we are willing to buy (on the long-term) again only if the price breaks above it and target the previous Lower Highs. Until then, selling the Fib extensions on tight SLs is our approach, targeting the 4H MA200. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:DE40
by TradingShot
DAX Hit the 4H MA200 for the first time in +1 month.DAX (FDAX1!) hit today the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since September 14. This is still technically a short-term bullish reaction (Channel Up) within two longer term bearish structures (Bearish Megaphone with the dashed lines and Falling Wedge o a broader frame). With the 4H RSI approaching its Resistance Zone, it is not unlikely to see a rejection by tomorrow back to the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). We have accurately laid out this information on our previous DAX analysis 10 days ago: Basically as it happened from July 19 to August 12, we may see continuous pull-backs on that Zone as the price breaks the Bearish Megaphone to test the top of the Falling Wedge. On the long-term only a closing above the 1D MA200 (red trend-line), which is untested since February 02, can be enough to change the trend from bearish to bullish. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
EUREX:FDAX1!Long
by TradingShot
3
DAX Broke the 4H MA50. Bearish extension.The German stock index (DAX) broke below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) on Friday after failed to break and being rejected on the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) earlier this week. This keeps the price inside both the short-term Bearish Megaphone pattern and the longer term Falling Wedge pattern. That break is a major sell break-out signal and targets directly the 11875 Support. Below that we can only take an extension if DAX makes a closing below the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Falling Wedge. Otherwise as the price approaches the 11875 Support, it becomes a buy opportunity towards the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
EUREX:FDAX1!Short
by TradingShot
2
DAX Lower bottom and recovery signal on 8-year patternThe German stock index (DAX) has been trading under Lower Highs ever since the late December All Time High (ATH). Ignoring the March 08 2022 breach due to the Ukraine - Russia war, the pattern is a Channel Down. The last two times DAX traded within a Channel Down was for the whole year of 2018 and April 2015 - July 2016. Both correction were almost a year and took place due to bearish fundamentals (U.S. - China trade war and Brexit, Grexit, VW scandal Oil respectively). Both previous Channel Down patterns made their bottom on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension from the previous Lower Low. If we apply this on the current Channel Down, we get the 1.236 Fib a little over 11400. That is roughly the low of the November 2020 U.S. Presidential election. In all patterns, the RSI trades under Lower Highs (with the exception of the actual ATH) way before the index top (indicating that strength was lost earlier), and when the RSI broke above that trend-line, it coincided with the price breaking above the Channel Down, thus starting a new 1 year Bull Phase. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoyed this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant and support me and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
XETR:DAX
by TradingShot
1
DAX Testing the March Support. Potential Triple Bottom.The DAX futures index (FDAX1!) followed exactly what we pointed out on our last analysis more than a month ago, as it got rejected on the All Time High Lower Highs trend-line (1) and is now approaching the Support Zone that started after the March 07 Low: As you see, that Support Zone has so far made a Double Bottom (March 07 and July 05) and along with the Lower Highs trend-line (1) have formed a massive Descending Triangle that is on the verge of breaking out. With the 1D RSI on Higher Lows since March 07, a bullish break-out is quite likely and it should target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) around the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. Note that the 1D MA200 has been untouched since February 02. However no further buying can be engaged with as the price will still be limited to the Lower Highs trend-line (2). In our opinion, only a break above the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) can restore the bullish sentiment on DAX on the long-term. If on the contrary the 12360 Support breaks, we expect aggressive selling that can target the -0.236 Fibonacci extension around 11435. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
EUREX:FDAX1!
by TradingShot
DAX testing its first Support, the 1D MA50The German Stock Index (DAX) got emphatically rejected on its January Lower Highs trend-line, as we anticipated with our previous analysis two weeks ago: The price broke below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is the first line of Support. As long as it closes above it, chances are that we will rise and re-test the Lower Highs (1) trend-line. A close below though, calls for a sell extension towards the 12400 Support, currently a Double Bottom. Notice how the RSI on the 1W time-frame got rejected exactly on the 48.80 Resistance, which was where the June 06 High was made. That matches the Lower Highs as well. A break above this Resistance, would be an additional factor indicating that the long-term trend may be shifting from bearish back to bullish. Technically, only a break above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line)/ 1W MA50 (red trend-line) Resistance cluster, constitutes a long-term bullish break-out. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
EUREX:FDAX1!
by TradingShot
3
DAX broke above the 1D MA100. Important Lower High test.The German Index DAX (FDAX) is attempting today a 1D candle closing above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and if successful it will be the first since June 07. Despite the bullish short-term action, this is not the time to double down on buying as the January 05 Lower Highs trend-line (1) is right above, providing Resistance. On top of that, the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level is at 13855. Only a break above the LH (1) can justify further buying, targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 0.5 Fib. Until then, it is likely to see a rejection and short-term pull-back to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. Note that if the index breaks above the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), we can claim that the trend will turn bullish on the long-term. A strong sign that we may be turning bullish on the long-term is the fact that the RSI on the 1W time-frame is on Higher Highs since March 21 with the price rebounding after the Double Bottom. We saw the exact opposite formations right before the 2022 correction started. Price formed a Double Top while the 1W RSI was on Lower Highs. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
EUREX:FDAX1!
by TradingShot
3