XLC SPDR ETF long swing trade ideaI recently tweeted few ETFs that went looking good at the time, one of them was AMEX:XLC .
The ETF look much healthy and attractive now, the price managed to come back above the 200EMA and now it's above the 50EMA. This means that the uptrend is still intact, and for that reason I'm taking a swing trade on AMEX:XLC . This trade has the potential to yield a 1:3 risk-to-reward.
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XLC
FB pullback to the 50sma again... Buying the dipFacebook has tested the 50sma at least 4 times since March 2021.
Transposing the past trends from the 50sma to today's action we get several targets for taking partial profits.
OBV is still in a supportive uptrend, however, RSI has reached its worst level since mid-March at 43.
Very clear opportunity to enter a position now around the 50sma. If the price stays above the last low on August 19th around $351, we are still making higher highs and higher lows.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 7/30Materials (XLB) was the top sector of the week as manufacturing and core durable goods data showed increase demand and was confirmed in consumer spending numbers. The growth in the sector was matched by increased prices in metal commodities required to support economic expansion.
Energy (XLE) started the week strong and led several days throughout the week, but ended in second place behind Materials at the end of the week.
The three worst sectors were the growth sectors, all losing for the week. Technology (XLK), Communication Services (XLC), and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) were at the bottom of the weekly sector list.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 7/23Utilities (XLU) dropped to the bottom of the sector list after leading in the previous week. It was all about Growth stocks this week as investors put off fears of the economy and looked forward to record earnings reports from big tech.
Communication Services (XLC) led the week thanks to huge earnings beat by SNAP and Twitter. Consumer Discretionary (XLY) and Technology (XLK) were second and third.
Energy (XLE) briefly moved into the top spot on Wednesday afternoon before falling back and ending the week in second-to-last place. Only Utilities and Energy declined for the week.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 7/16The sectors ended the week in a very character than they started the week. None of the leading sectors early in the week were leading by the end of the week.
Financials (XLF) started the week in first as investors anticipated earnings reports from big banks that began on Tuesday. By Friday, the sector slipped to the middle of the list, ending the week with a -1.61% decline.
Technology (XLK) and Communication Services (XLC) took over the top spots for Tuesday and most of Wednesday. They also reversed downward and ended the week with losses.
The only sectors to end the week with gains were Utilities (XLU), Consumer Staples (XLP), and Real Estate (XLRE). The defensive sectors gained ground at the end of the week as worries over the economy grew among investors.
Energy (XLE) was at the bottom of the list, dropping -7.89% this week. OPEC+ continues to have disagreements, destabilizing the sector along with the price of oil. Add the fears of a slowing recovery, and investors are exiting positions in the sector that performed well in the first half of 2021.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 7/9The short week was defined mainly by Thursday's sell-off in equities as Treasury bond yields were sliding. That gave a boost to two defensive sectors, Real Estate (XLRE) and Utilities (XLU), but the two sectors were already leading from Monday. The worries ended on Friday, but the two sectors remained in the lead for the week.
Technology (XLK) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) were the next two sectors at the top of the list, showing a mix of risk-on and risk-off sentiment throughout the week.
The cyclical sectors moved from the top of the sector list on Wednesday to the bottom of the list on Thursday, back to the top of the list on Friday.
Energy (XLE) was a consistent loser throughout the week until finally finding itself at the top of the list on Friday. However, the gains were not enough to move it out of the bottom position for the week.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 7/2Technology (XLK) led the sector list this week, propelled higher by strong economic data and significant gains by big tech. Communications (XLC) led briefly on Monday after a judge threw out two cases brought against Facebook. The decision was a blow to regulators and a boon to several tech mega-caps facing similar challenges.
Utilities (XLU) also led at the beginning of the week but quickly retreated and ended the week at a loss.
Energy (XLE) had a volatile start to the week due to increased pandemic fears. The continued demand for Oil, driving prices higher, eventually brought investors back to the sector. However, it wasn't enough to lift the sector out of the bottom position in the sector list.
The three secular growth sectors outperformed the broader S&P 500 index this week, while cyclical sectors underperformed.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 5/28Growth sectors stole the show this week as investors put inflation worries aside and boosted Communications (XLC) and Technology (XLK) early in the week. The focus was on the growth sectors from Monday to Wednesday. Technology faded back in the list, buy Consumer Discretionary (XLY) joined Communications to end the week at the top of the list.
On Thursday, there was a rotation into cyclicals, bringing Industrials (XLI) higher in the list. Industrials ended the week in fourth place.
Friday brought out the defensive plays heading into a three-day weekend and the start of the summer months. That gave a boost to Real Estate (XLRE), Health Care (XLV), Utilities (XLU), and Consumer Staples (XLP). Real Estate (XLRE) ended in third place for the week, while Health Care and Utilities remained at the bottom two sectors for the week.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 4/30Energy (XLE) led the weekly sector list for the first time since the first week of March. The sector was helped by oil prices that rose on Tuesday and Wednesday, and positive earnings reports from Exxon Mobile and Chevron.
Financials (XLF) and Communications (XLC) stocks solidified second and third place with strong opens on Thursday. Financials was boosted by positive earnings reports from Capital One and S&P Global. Communications got a big lift from Alphabet and Facebook, as advertising revenues soar amidst consumers getting back to spending.
Despite several positive earnings reports in the sector, Technology (XLK) ended the week in last place. Investor outlook appears to be that these big tech companies will not continue the same amount of growth in the next few quarters, especially compared to the previous year's numbers.
NFLX consolidation break-out on earningsAfter 9 months of consolidation and going pretty much no where, NFLX looks primed to pop. With earnings around the corner and whisper numbers indicating EPS of $3.04 beating the expected $2.97 it provides the potential catalyst that could cause a break-out. It has severely underperformed its peers; using the XLC as a proxy for it's peer group and DIS as a direct example you can see that Netflix has really not done much during this long resting period. Needless to say I think it is well-rested and ready for the next leg higher. Go long NFLX into earnings. They have proved that they have pricing power and the ability to produce content that keeps current users and draws new ones. NFLX's P/E is at a 6 year low.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 4/16Utilities (XLU) is surprisingly the top sector for the day. Topping the list on Tuesday and nearing the top of the list on Friday the sector had steady gains throughout the week. The sector is usually a defensive move for investors. Perhaps investors nervousness grew as the S&P 500 has been setting new all-time highs.
Less of a surprise is to see Materials (XLB) at the top of the weekly list. The sector is benefiting not only from investments on infrastructure being discussed in Washington, but also a strong housing sector and a surge in building permits.
Energy (XLE) had a choppy week, taking the lead on Wednesday, but quickly fading to near the bottom of the list for the weekly.
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) also had some good days this week, advancing on news of strong retail sales and an advance in consumer credit showing increased spending.
The worst performing sector this week was Communications (XLC). There have been some reports of decelerating spending on Internet media and social platforms from retailers. That makes sense as demand is naturally increasing and requires less effort for omnichannel marketing to bring in consumers.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 4/9The S&P 500 was dominated by three growth sectors for the week, finishing the week with a big 2.71% gain and another new all-time high.
Technology (XLK) finished the week as the top sector, taking the top spot on Thursday and Friday as big tech companies solidified breakouts from their recent consolidations.
Likewise, Consumer Discretionary (XLY) and Communication Services (XLC) finished in second and third place largely thanks for mega-caps that are overweight in the lists.
Energy (XLE) was at the bottom of the list with over a 4% decline. Some of that may be attributed to mixed outlook from analysts on supply and demand for oil. But Energy also tends to suffer when a large amount of investment rotates into the three big growth sectors.
Only Energy declined for the week. The other sectors had gains, albeit underperformed the broader S&P 500 index.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 4/1Communications (XLC) did not top the sector list for a single day, but it's steady gains throughout the week put it at the top of the weekly chart.
Utilities (XLU) started the week on top. Investors were nervous on Monday about the lasting impact of the Suez Canal blockage and whether a $20b fire sale of Archegos investments would grow or even expand to other firms. Utilities popped back into the story late on Wednesday when a sudden pop and sell-off in big tech occurred in the final hour.
Financials (XLF) was also impacted by the Archegos drama on Monday. By Tuesday, the damage was contained and higher treasury bond yields provided a life to the sector, making it the top performer for the day.
Technology (XLK) got a boost on Wednesday when Microsoft announced news of an augmented reality deal with the US Army. That spike sold off quickly, but the buyers came back in on Thursday, bringing the Technology sector up to second place for the week.
Energy (XLE) spent most of the week at the bottom of the list. Higher-then-expected demand for oil and gas and a generally positive outlook for economic growth brought the sector gains on Thursday that lifted it from the bottom.
Consumer Staples (XLP) ended the week as the worst performing sector. The rotation out of staples could continue as investors see consumers return to normal spending habits in a strengthening economic cycle.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 3/26There were several change of winners and losers during a week that ended with the S&P 500 at a record close.
Technology (XLK) led for the first two days of the week, was sold off heavily on Wednesday and Thursday, but then ended the week with a huge gain on Friday, putting it in third place.
Utilities (XLU) took over the top spot on Thursday as investors became very cautious and fled to the defensive sector.
Consumer Staples (XLP) remained steady throughout the volatile week and ended the week at the top.
After last week's rout, Energy (XLE) seemed to find a bottom on Tuesday. After a big gain on Wednesday, the sector opened back near the bottom on Thursday, but quickly recovered. But the end of Friday, it was able to end the week with a gain.
Communication Services (XLC) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) were the only two sectors to decline for the week. Communication Services ended the week at the bottom with more than a 4% decline. Although Technology sector fared well, there is still evidence of rotation from growth to value.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 3/19Inflation, yields and the fed, oh my! The sectors were all over the place this week, all driven by nervousness about an overheating economy and how the fed might react.
Monday started the week with the defensive sector Utilities (XLU) at the top.
On Tuesday, Retail sales data for February showed the economy wasn't overheating and inflation may not be on the rise. That gave investors some confidence and despite bond yields rising, interest rate sensitive sectors such as Technology (XLK) and Communication Services (XLC) rose to the top.
After the FOMC meeting on Wednesday, Jerome Powell acknowledge the increased outlook on the economy for 2021, but made a firm statement that interest rates would not be raised and bond purchasing programs would continue. You can clearly see the spike in Technology and Communications again after 2:00p on Wednesday.
But then bond investors had their reaction on Thursday. As market open approached, bond investors sold heavily in the morning, sending yields on a surge again. Industrials (XLI) did well for most of the day but sold off before close. Only Financials (XLF) ended the day with a gain.
Finally on Friday, bond yields climbed but at a smaller rate with the yield curve flattening a bit. That allowed several sectors to find some upside. Communication Services ended the week at the top sector.
Energy (XLE) was the worst performing sector of the week as crude oil prices plummeted on less demand, losing over 7.5% and dragging down the Dow Jones Industrial average (DJI) with it.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 3/12It was a wild week for the sectors as investors rotated in and out of Technology and Communications stocks. All sectors ended the week with gains.
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) was the big winner. Large stimulus checks will be delivered soon that are expected to be poured into the economy via consumer spending on both needs and wants.
Technology (XLK) and Communications (XLC) spent Monday at the bottom of the sector list, Tuesday at the top, Wednesday at the bottom, Thursday at the top, and Friday at the bottom. In the end, the two sectors landed just behind the SPX in performance, but did have gains for the day.
Financials (XLF) was also one to watch. It flipped back and forth as investors followed closely what was happening in the bond markets. The increase in yields could be a boon for Financials. The increased yields would have the opposite impact on big technology and communications companies and smaller growth companies. As yields went back and forth, so did the performance of these sectors.
Energy (XLE) ended the week as the worst sector. Although it had a big gain on Wednesday, it wasn't enough to cover the losses on Monday and Tuesday.
Utilities (XLU) and Real Estate (XLRE) did not have any big days, but were on a steady rise throughout the week. They ended the week in 2nd and 3rd place on the list. The two sectors are often used as defensive plays.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 2/19It was a week for the cyclical stocks. Energy (XLE), Financials (XLF), Materials (XLB), and Industrials (XLI) were the only sectors to close the week with gains.
That was not the case for the entire week. Communication Services (XLC) started the week with gains but faded in the last two days.
Utilities (XLU) had one day as the leading sector on Thursday, but moved back to the bottom of the list on Friday.
Health Care (XLV) was the worst performing sector of the week.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 1/29Real Estate (XLRE) and Utilities (XLU) are the top sectors for the week. Ouch!
None of the sectors ended the week with gains as the S&P 500 pulled back -3.31%.
Utilities led as the market opened on Monday morning. Communications (XLC) took a very brief lead on Tuesday, but the Real Estate took the top spot.
Consumer Staples (XLP) attempted to take the lead on Wednesday, but couldn't hold the lead and ended in third place.
Energy (XLE) was the worst performing sector of the week.
The chart clearly shows the wild ride for the sectors on the last three days of the week. Wednesday had all sectors losing for the day. On Thursday, all sectors advanced. On Friday all sectors declined again.
The relatively smooth ride for Real Estate, Utilities and Consumer Staples represents their position as defense moves for investors. All three sectors represent parts of the economy that must continue, even if other parts are recovering slowly or even failing.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 1/22Communications (XLC) led the week with a big +5.44% gain, but only after a big pullback the week prior. The sector was led by Alphabet (GOOGL) and Facebook (FB) with +9.55% and +9.21% gains respectively. Those two companies make up 44% of the ETF. Netflix (NFLX) also had a huge gain of +13.49% but only represents 5% of the ETF.
Technology (XLK) finished the week in second place, also with the mega-caps, Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft (MSFT) contributing the most to the gains.
Financials (XLF) continued to underperform as more financial institutions reported earnings and disappointed investors.
Energy (XLE) was the worst performing sector of the week. There is probably some influence from the new administration policies. However, the more immediate impact was from surprise surplus in oil supplies, signaling much lower demand for oil than anticipated.
The only significant pivots during the week were on Wednesday, January 20th which was inauguration day. That day saw a spike in Communications, Technology and Real Estate (XLRE).
The pivot for Communications and Technology were likely reinvestment into mega-caps that didn't seem to be in the crosshairs of any new policies, alleviating some fears of policies that would hurt big tech.
The Real Estate pivot was driven by the additional assistance for renters proposed in the new stimulus package. The stimulus approved in December only covered the estimated amount of back rent owed, but the new stimulus package would extend rental assistance into the future.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 1/15The sectors had a wild race this week with the backdrop of a up and down market with several rotations between small caps, mid caps and large caps.
Energy (XLE) would ultimately be the winner, supported by production cuts in Saudi Arabia, higher than expected demand for oil, and some positive news from OPEC. There was a significant pullback on Friday after SEC announced an investigation into Exxon Mobile (XOM) which makes up 23% of the XLE ETF.
Financials (XLF) led must of the week as investors expect higher treasury yields boost performance for big banks. That turned upside down on Friday when Citigroup (C) and Wells Fargo (WFC) disappointed on revenue despite beating expectations on earnings.
It was Real Estate (XLRE) and Utilities (XLU) that started to climb on Tuesday and were top performers on Friday. Those two sectors are defensive plays for equity investors. Both are expected to suffer less from market pullbacks.
Materials (XLB) and Industrials (XLI) were also doing well earlier in the week, but pulled back on Friday. It could be that the nearly $2 trillion of stimulus promised by President-elect Biden is seen as a delay to the expected investments in infrastructure. Just a theory.
Technology (XLK) and Communications (XLC) were at the bottom. The big tech mega-caps went up and down in price all week as money moved in and out of the segment. Communications, which includes companies like Facebook (FB) and Twitter (TWTR) suffered the most as investors fear negative impact of recent actions related to Donald Trump.