Xlmbtcidea
The acquisition or gradual gathering of something Hello everyone !
I wish you all nice day my dear followers, friends, newcomers and randoom net troll visitors.
Lets focus closer on The accumulation of wealth today at this chart
Accumulation function, a mathematical function defined in terms of the ratio future value to present value
it is literally the process of gradually increasing in amount, or the increased amount
--------------------------
Accumulation
--------------------------
When price declined deep enough, at some point, you (as Smart Money) make the decision to buy.
You may have various reasons for that: you may see that stocks are heavily under-priced or you analysis shows that the market is ready
for a new uptrend and if you do not start it then someone else may do it.
It does not matter what your motivations are, you want to buy as much as possible at lowest possible price.
When you are Smart Money, you cannot jump into the market and buy all you need at once.
In order to accumulate the shares at lowest possible price your buying activity should be spread in time.
You have to plan your buying. You would have to follow a specific strategy:
1) When price drops below your critical level you start buying.
2) You continue to increase buying until you see you absorb all available supply and reversed a price trend.
By its nature panic selling is stronger than greedy buying. That is why you need to put more buying pressure to stop a down-trend.
That is why a volume surge at the end of a down-trend is much stronger than a volume surge at the end of an up-trend.
That is why Accumulation goes faster when compared to distribution.
3) When price trend is reversed and reaches your critical level below which you are buying, if you did not bought all you wanted, you stop buying - you remove demand.
If price does not start to slide down you may sell some of what you bought to generate bearish sentiment and make an illusion of bounce and not a reversal.
Since you were the main buyer, you will not need to put a lot of selling pressure to resume a down-trend.
4) As price starts to decline again, you start buying again until you absorb all supply and accumulate (buy) all you wanted to buy.
That is why we see double bottoms, reversed head and shoulders and etc.
5) You may repeat 1-4 steps again when you see that you may easily create a bearish sentiment (you do not have to sell a lot to resume down-trend).
You do it until you accumulate all you want.
6) When you dry out all Supply, there is no need in a strong Demand to push price higher.
Small increase in Demand can make a case. At first, stop-losses of bearish traders are triggered.
Then, as price advances, the rest of the market starts to jump in.
From that moment, you may sit and watch as other traders' bullish pressure pushes the price up.
The market not always follows a specific scenario and Accumulation phase does not always follows the same pattern.
Still, by analyzing volume and price action you may reveal the activity of the Smart Money.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------
Distribution
--------------------------
At some point, you as a Smart Money have to dump your investments.
It does not matter what your motives are - you made decision to relocate your investments into different place, you made extensive analysis
and you know there are a lot of external factors which would support a down-trend, you see market bubble which may burst any time, you see that the market is
heavily overpriced or you simply see that the market cannot push itself higher (demand is drying out). It doe not matter why you want it. You are "Smart Money" and you want to sell.
You have to distribute your holdings. However, you know that when you start dumping all your investments at once, the quantity of supply you will through into the market will crash the price.
You do not want it - you want to distribute your investments at the highest possible price.
You have to plan your actions to dump your investments in a smart way at the highest possible price without crashing the price down:
1) When price moves up to some specific level defined by you as satisfactory level, you may start selling.
You start selling in big quantities until you see that you are absorbing all Demand (buying pressure) and price up-trend starts to halt.
2) If there were a lot of unsatisfied demand (a lot of Bullish traders) you will be able to sell more - we will see increase in volume to the price up-move and then price advance will halt.
When there are not a lot of Bullish traders, you will stop price advance without causing an increase in volume.
3) When you see that price up-move halted you halt your selling - we will see a drop in volume.
4) If price starts to move down and you still have a lot of shares to dump, you stop selling as you do not want price do decline deep down - you want to sell at the top.
5) If price continues to decline without you that mean you created bearish sentiment. In this case, you do not mind to buy a little bit to change the sentiment and to push price up again.
6) When price starts to move up you start to sell again by dumping the rest of your investments.
7) You repeat the 1-6 steps above until you sell all your holdings you wanted to dump.
You managing bullish and bearish pressure you manipulate price to move in a side-way narrow range corridor.
8) When you about to distribute all your holdings, you do not halt your selling when price declines below your satisfactory level.
You continue to push price lower - you need to create bearish sentiment on the market, so, the market will continue decline down without your involvement.
9) Each time when you sell and push price down, you may run into new waves of Bullish traders who has their own reasons to start buying.
These bullish traders could be strong and they may reverse a price trend up strongly.
However, since you are the Smart Money and you have unlimited access to money - you are stronger and you are dedicated to push price down.
As these new Bulls push price up close to your critical threshold, you start selling (if you are out of your holdings you sell short).
You do it each time it occurs until you break the spirit of these waves of new Bullish traders.
That is why we may see an increase in volatility at the end of side-way trading right before a bearish trend.
That is why we see price bouncing from the resistance levels. By Richard Wyckoff words, you have to shake spring board until you shake off all the Bullish traders.
When you shake off all the Bulls, these Bulls will turn into the Bears - their stop-losses will start triggering and they will start selling.
10) From that moment, you may just sit and watch the decline - you Distributed all your investments at the Top and you started a bearish trend.
But remember !
This is how you would have to act if you would be the "Smart Money" dedicated to distribute all your investments and reverse a price trend down.
Of course, the Distribution phase, does not follow the exact scenario described above all the time.
In some cases we have prolonged in time side-way trading and in some cases we have Climax Run up and strong reversal down.
However, in all cases we can track the actions of Smart volume by analyzing volume activity together with price movements.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
If you want to know what Smart Money are doing, you have to think as Smart Money.
You may see when Smart Money start their buying (Accumulation) - it starts while price still declines.
Also, you may see when they start their selling (Distribution) - aging, it starts while price still moves up.
By analyzing volume and price action you could obtain the knowledge about trend-reversal before it actually occurs.
This is unnatural to think that the first signs of weakness occur on price up move and the first signs of strength occur on price decline. However, this is one of the main concepts of Volume Spread Analysis. When you are can see the beginning of an Accumulation or the beginning of a Distribution, you can spot when "Smart Money" start their trading activity. From that point, if you define the sentiment of "Smart Money", you will know where to place your bet.
Accumulation/Distribution scheme chart applied on BINANCE:XLMBTC
link on chart HERE
The acquisition or gradual gathering of something part 2. here
Please leave a like if you want to support my work and do not hesitate to let me know down in the comments how do you like the graphics and the style of TA at all.
Do you want more of these ? Let me know and support me Every feedback and like is highly appriciated.
ChaChain
-------------
Disclaimer:
I´m not registered or licensed in any jurisdiction whatsoever to provide investing advice or anything of an advisory or consultancy nature, and therefore I´m unqualified to give investment recommendations. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing. This communication is never to be used as the basis of making investment decisions, and it is for entertainment purposes only.
The acquisition or gradual gathering of something (Part 2.)Hello dear followers, friends, haters as well as newcomers.
Lets focus closer on The accumulation of wealth today
Accumulation function, a mathematical function defined in terms of the ratio future value to present value
it is literally the process of gradually increasing in amount, or the increased amount
Accumulation/Distribution scheme chart applied on BINANCE:XLMBTC
link on chart HERE
Wanna know more then see also previous part HERE
What Do Fibonacci Retracement Levels Tell You?
Fibonacci retracements can be used to place entry orders, determine stop-loss levels, or set price targets.
For example, a trader may see a stock moving higher. After a move up, it retraces to the 61.8% level.
Then, it starts to go up again and vice versa. But here we got a 100% retracement
with bullish signs and full retraced markets is what I personally like.
Disclaimer:
I´m not registered or licensed in any jurisdiction whatsoever to provide investing advice or anything of an advisory or consultancy nature, and therefore I´m unqualified to give investment recommendations. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing. This communication is never to be used as the basis of making investment decisions, and it is for entertainment purposes only.
XLMBTC C&H+VOL INDICATES BULLISHParabolic movement pending for short-mid on XLMBTC as altseason is in full swing while the majority of the top 100 market cap alts are currently playing catch-up & consolidation to parallel recent BTCUSD price surge is in full effect.
TP1-4 with pivot & short/stop figures according to Fibo/KC/BB/EMA20/VOL/C&H
Trade safely and always use your head; not your gut!
Disclaimer
Not financial advise.
-@a1mTarabichi
XLMBTC - Idea/forecast - Big profit?Just an Idea as per the previous history, the market always go for a mini bull rally after reaching apex or nearby apex.
Target is drawn as per previous one but there's a strong resistance indicated by Box (Yellow box).
We recommend you to take book your profit as per you feel enough.
Join our telegram link for instant news and crypto updates
Channel Link - t.me
Check out our website for market news - www.bitcoinik.com
XLMBTC Following symmetrical triangle pattern.In Daily Chart XLMBTC Following symmetrical triangle pattern
RSI is Making divergence.
Stochastic also following RSI.
Macd Has Already made a Cross.
You can Buy Now Or wait for Confirmation
That will be After Break out, You can put
Target As per the Height of symmetrical triangle pattern.
Note: This is only for Educational Purpose this is not an Investment advice.
Please support the setup with your likes, comments and by following on Trading View.
Thanks
Adil Khan
Stellar Lumens soon Up! XLM/BTC UP!XLM is in a falling wedge since it spiked to 0.000044 BTC area and now it looks like we are coming to end of the wedge and we have another small falling wedge reversal since its last dump so our patterns are bullish and we have bullish divergence on EWO, RSI has hit bottom and going up now once we hit the green wave of EWO we are heading up to 0.00004 BTC and then retrace maybe all the way back to this price after which we should bounce off the wedge and do the third wave but we will know more about the third wave once we get there, the third wave shown in the chart is where theoretically it should take us!
Stellar Lumens Opportunity Comins Soon!Hello Guys,
I have been watching XLM from the start of the descending channel demonstrated and we have exited the descending channel so in the next rally I expect XLM to bring us 20-30% gains at least however I still see it going down and I think we might come and bounce from the descending channel where I have opened the long position, from the price of 0.00002934 and if this will be the start of the next crypto rally we can ride the waves to 0.000036 BTC area.
We have bearish divergence on EWO but the room inside this trend is getting smaller so I expect the last dump to take place and we will get out of the bearish trend and we should expect a wave up after that, so lets keep tight and wait to see where the last dump will take us ;)
Good Luck, Traders! #moon #mooncommunity #turtlestyletrading ;)
Be a turtle my friend © Farhad Jafarov