Xmrusd
Monero's 'Basing Pattern' Breakout Points to Price Gains AheadMonero (XMR), the leading privacy-focused cryptocurrency, has recently shown signs of renewed strength, breaking above the $200 mark and confirming a bullish shift in market trend.1 This upward movement is particularly significant as it follows a prolonged period of consolidation, during which XMR formed a classic "basing pattern."2 This article will delve into the details of this technical pattern, explore the factors contributing to Monero's current momentum, and analyze the potential for further price gains in the near future.
Understanding the Basing Pattern
In technical analysis, a basing pattern, also known as a consolidation pattern, represents a period of price stabilization after a downtrend or a significant price drop.3 During this phase, the price trades within a relatively narrow range, forming a base for a potential future breakout.4 This pattern typically indicates that selling pressure is weakening, and buyers are beginning to accumulate the asset.5
Key characteristics of a basing pattern include:
• Consolidation Range: The price trades within a defined range, bounded by support and resistance levels.6
• Decreasing Volatility: Price swings become less pronounced as the pattern develops.7
• Increased Volume on Breakout: A breakout above the resistance level is often accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume, confirming the strength of the new uptrend.8
Monero's recent price action has exhibited these characteristics. After a period of decline, XMR's price consolidated within a range, demonstrating decreasing volatility. The recent break above $200, accompanied by increased trading volume, signals a potential breakout from this basing pattern, suggesting a shift towards bullish momentum.9
Factors Contributing to Monero's Momentum
Several factors could be contributing to Monero's current positive trajectory:
• Increased Demand for Privacy: In an increasingly surveilled world, the demand for privacy-preserving technologies is growing.10 Monero, with its strong focus on anonymity and untraceable transactions, is well-positioned to benefit from this trend.11
• Technological Developments: Ongoing development and improvements to the Monero protocol, such as advancements in its privacy features and scalability solutions, enhance its value proposition and attract users.
• Growing Adoption: While adoption of privacy coins is still relatively niche compared to mainstream cryptocurrencies, Monero has a dedicated community and sees usage in various applications where privacy is paramount.
• Broader Market Sentiment: The overall cryptocurrency market has shown signs of recovery recently.12 A positive market sentiment can have a ripple effect on various cryptocurrencies, including Monero.
The Significance of the $200 Breakout
The break above the $200 resistance level is a crucial technical development for Monero. This level has acted as a significant barrier in the past, and breaking above it suggests a strong shift in market sentiment. This breakout confirms the potential validity of the basing pattern and opens the door for further price appreciation.
Potential for Further Price Gains
With the breakout confirmed, several potential price targets can be identified using technical analysis. Common methods include:
• Measuring the Height of the Basing Pattern: The height of the consolidation range can be projected upwards from the breakout point to estimate a potential price target.
• Identifying Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Fibonacci retracement levels can be used to identify potential resistance levels and price targets based on previous price movements.13
• Analyzing Long-Term Trends: Examining long-term charts can provide insights into potential long-term price targets.
Based on these methods, potential price targets for Monero could be significantly higher than current levels. However, it's crucial to remember that these are just potential targets, and market conditions can change rapidly.
Challenges and Risks
While the current outlook for Monero appears positive, it's essential to acknowledge potential challenges and risks:
• Regulatory Scrutiny: Privacy coins like Monero face increased regulatory scrutiny due to their potential use in illicit activities.14 Increased regulation could negatively impact their price and adoption.
• Competition: Other privacy-focused cryptocurrencies and privacy-enhancing technologies are emerging, posing competition to Monero.
• Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and even with positive technical indicators, price corrections and unexpected events can occur.15
Conclusion
Monero's recent breakout above $200, following a well-defined basing pattern, suggests a potential shift towards bullish momentum.16 Factors such as increased demand for privacy, technological developments, and positive market sentiment contribute to this positive outlook. While potential price targets can be identified using technical analysis, it's essential to acknowledge the inherent risks and challenges associated with the cryptocurrency market. As always, thorough research and caution are advised when making investment decisions. The confirmation of the basing pattern and the break of the $200 resistance level does provide a strong signal for those interested in the privacy coin space.
Monero (XMR/USD): Navigating Momentum Toward $600 by Mid-2025Monero (XMR) is currently in a critical phase, with its momentum determining the trajectory for the coming months. The market is watching whether XMR can maintain its current bullish momentum or face a temporary slowdown before resuming its upward climb.
Scenario 1: Sustained Momentum to $600 by June–July 2025
January 2024 Target: If XMR does not lose momentum, it is likely to reach $250 by the end of January 2024.
Consolidation or Pullback: After reaching $250, XMR could enter a brief consolidation phase or experience a small pullback, allowing the market to stabilize and attract fresh buyers.
Mid-2025 Rally: This stabilization will set the stage for a rally toward $600 by June–July 2025, marking a significant price surge driven by strong fundamentals and improving market sentiment.
Scenario 2: Temporary Loss of Momentum Before Resumption
February Retest of $175–$180: If XMR loses momentum, it could fall back to retest the $175–$180 zone in February 2024.
March Recovery to $250: After this retest, XMR could regain strength and target the $250 level by March 2024.
Mid-2025 Rally: Following consolidation around $250, XMR would still have the potential to reach $600 by July–August 2025, albeit on a slightly delayed timeline.
Key Levels to Watch:
$175–$180 (critical zone if momentum is lost).
$250 (key barrier to confirm bullish continuation).
Target: $600 by mid-2025 (bullish rally culmination).
Summary:
Monero’s ability to maintain its current momentum will define its short-term trajectory.
Sustained Momentum: Reach $250 by January 2024, consolidate, and rally to $600 by June–July 2025.
Temporary Slowdown: Retest $175–$180 in February, recover to $250 in March, and achieve $600 by July–August 2025.
Both scenarios highlight Monero’s long-term bullish potential, with $600 as a realistic target for mid-2025.
the XMR is going to blow your mind Indicators Used:
Moving Average 20 High (Red Line): This serves as a resistance level.
Moving Average 20 Low (White Line): This serves as a support level.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: These are displayed and show key retracement and extension levels based on a recent price swing.
Volume Bars: Shown in red and green, indicating selling (red) and buying (green) volume intensity.
Price Action:
The current price is around 199.88, trading slightly below the 20 High MA (Red) and above the 20 Low MA (White). This suggests consolidation between these moving averages, acting as short-term resistance and support.
The price retraced after hitting a local high and is now testing the Fibonacci 0.5 and 0.618 retracement levels, which are strong zones for a potential reversal or continuation.
Fibonacci Levels:
0.618 Level: The price is near this retracement level, which often acts as strong support during retracements in uptrends.
Extension Levels: Levels like 1.272 and 1.618 suggest potential future price targets if the uptrend resumes.
Volume Analysis:
The volume bars show a mix of buying and selling pressure, with some decrease in recent activity. This could indicate indecision in the market, waiting for a breakout or breakdown.
Scenarios to Watch:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks above the 20 High MA (Red) and maintains above the 0.618 retracement, this could signal a continuation of the uptrend.
Look for a retest of resistance levels around 204 (near Fibonacci 1) or higher extensions like 1.272 or 1.618.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price falls below the 20 Low MA (White) and breaks below the 0.618 retracement, it may test lower support levels near 194 or even 190.
Sideways Scenario:
The price could consolidate between the 20 High MA and 20 Low MA, with traders waiting for a breakout.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
200.27 (20 High MA)
204 (Fibonacci 1 level)
210-212 (Fibonacci extension levels)
Support:
198.01 (20 Low MA)
194 (Historical Support Zone)
190.10 (Major Support)
This chart shows a critical point where the market could decide its next direction. Pay close attention to how the price interacts with the moving averages and Fibonacci retracement levels to plan your next trade!
#Monero $XMRUSD One Year AnalysisCRYPTO:XMRUSD
Keylevels / Range
$120: Lowest trend price. If the price closes below this level, it would signal a bearish trend.
$163: Lowest range price. A close below this level would unlock a new lower zone extending down to $120.
$203: Current price.
$233: Upper limit of the current channel/wedge.
$370: Long-term target.
Analysis:
Monero has been trading within a range of $183 to $206 for the past two weeks. The price has closed above $197 for the first time since May 2022. This move potentially unlocks a new range, reaching at least $233, where the upper limit of the current channel/wedge and a monthly/weekly supply zone are located.
A weekly close above $237 would strongly indicate the unlocking of a new charted zone extending from $237 to $370.
Coin Bio:
Monero (XMR), is a privacy-focused cryptocurrency launched in April 2014. It was originally forked from the Bytecoin blockchain. Unlike many other cryptocurrencies, Monero's primary focus is on ensuring the anonymity and untraceability of transactions.
Key features include:
Ring Signatures: Obfuscate the sender's identity.
Ring Confidential Transactions (RingCT): Hide the transaction amount.
Stealth Addresses: Create unique, one-time addresses for each transaction, obscuring the receiver's identity.
These features make Monero attractive to individuals seeking financial privacy and are a core differentiator in the cryptocurrency space. It's developed by an anonymous community of developers and has gained significant traction for its commitment to private and fungible transactions. While its focus on privacy can be controversial, it remains a prominent cryptocurrency with a dedicated user base. XRMUSD specifically refers to the trading pair of Monero against the US Dollar.
#CRYPTO #MONERO #XMRUSD #XMR #CRYPTOCURRENCY #AHMEDMESBAH
XMR/USD Poised for a Major Bullish Phase**XMR/USD Poised for a Major Bullish Phase**
Monero (XMR/USD) has officially broken out of a prolonged **accumulation phase**, signaling the start of a powerful bullish cycle. After successfully breaching the key resistance zone between **$180-$210**—the upper limit of the previous major rally—XMR is now primed for a sustained upward trajectory. This breakout marks a critical turning point, underscoring growing investor confidence and heightened demand for privacy-focused digital assets.
With strong technical momentum and supportive macroeconomic conditions, XMR is expected to embark on a **significant rally**. The next few years could see progressive gains, culminating in a **new all-time high (ATH) of $600** by **May-June 2026**. This projection is fueled by increasing adoption of privacy coins, enhanced network upgrades, and broader market bullishness.
Investors should watch for consolidation phases along the way, but the overall trend points toward **long-term growth**. As Monero continues to carve out its position in the crypto market, this rally could establish a new price floor well above previous highs, reinforcing its strength and utility in a growing decentralized economy.
Monero Outperforms Bitcoin. What does it mean?I have been pointing out on my social media and Livestreams that Monero has been outperforming Bitcoin since April 2024. This inversion in the KRAKEN:XMRBTC cross pair is interesting in itself considering most cryptocurrencies remain in high correlation to Bitcoin INDEX:BTCUSD but there is more that can be inferred by this relationship. First, we will look at the key data point in the past that could be happening and then I will offer a possible explanation for this phenomenon.
Bitcoin Maxis will point out that over the last 2 years Bitcoin overall has outperformed Monero by 25%. That's not the point. It is not that Monero is a "better" long term investment. Bitcoin has far more bullish history. The point is that the last time Monero outperformed Bitcoin was through the whole 2022 bear cycle. The outperformance did not end until January of 2023 when the Bitcoin bull trend started.
If history is a guide then Monero outperformance, especially sustained over many months, is an indicator itself that a bearish cycle of Bitcoin is confirmed. It also could be argued that Monero could become the "flight to safety" during bear cycles. We only have one sure data point but are currently witnessing a second.
How can Monero do this? The best possible explanation is the Dark Web. On-chain transaction on Bitcoin have become prohibitively expensive. The alternative of using Lightning network, by having to setup and join nodes, negates the privacy that the Dark Web runs on. Monero has over the last few years become more dominant to the point that now it is the only cryptocurrency used on many Dark Web sites. Monero is the clear winner in the privacy use case for cryptocurrency.
Monero back in "Fair Value"Of all cryptocurrencies I see Monero KRAKEN:XMRUSD differently as a good "store of value" which is private. That makes me a little looser with my trading guidelines for other assets. Monero has also proven difficult to trade in recent years... it has had some volatile swings but overall has broadly kept its value.
The recent cryptocurrency downtrend, led by Bitcoin, has finally caused the otherwise resilient Monero to break back into the 140 range. 140 on Monero for the last several years I have seen as "fair value" to accumulate. This is also the 50% Retracement of the recent trend and the Volume Profile Point of Control.
XMR - Monero is gonna explode soon#XMR/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ The price has hit the resistance level and appears to be rejected from it (confirmation will come once the candle closes).
+ We can consider entering a long trade once the price retraces.
+ There is good potential in the bull run if the price bounces back after reaching the support zone.
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VectorAlgo Trade Details
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Entry Price: 170.1 - 152.88
Stop Loss: 95.96
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Target 1: 183.27
Target 2: 240.56
Target 3: 295.61
Target 4: 370.83
Target 5: 469.02
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Timeframe: 1M
Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount
Leverage: 5-10x
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
XMR IS VERY BEARISHHi, dear traders. how are you ? Today we have a viewpoint to SELL/SHORT the XMR symbol.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Could Monero make new high?I am wondering and i am sure alot of holders are wondering too!
I believe it has Bullish structure
$187 is the breakout level
That we must monitor very carefully.
The privacy sector in #crypto is abosilutely miniscule compared to #memecoins which totally dwarfs them
Yet privacy is one of the few unique use cases that is very much .. as a system backup..
Fungibility / Privacy is not coming to #Bitcoin anytime soon or ever.
#HVF
@TheCryptoSniper
XMRUSDT: Bullish Butterfly Update: Bullish Breakout Seems LikelyXMR, despite the spot pairing having been delisted on Binance a few months ago, has survived and held above the PCZ that was of very much importance to the historic price action. During the delisting XMR had sold off back down to the PCZ in record volumes on the exchange, however, in spite of record selling the support still held, since then, the price has stagnated at this level potentially hinting towards accumulation. If the Support had Broken XMR likely would have crashed all the way back down to 20 but for the time being the coin has proven resilient at this price level and it would seem that we will soon be marking up to significantly higher prices as the diagonal Bearish Trend seems to be coming to a close.
XMRUSDT BULLISH SETUP XMR has formed an expanding channel, with a distinct breakout and subsequent pullback occurring at the upper boundary of the channel. Maintaining a steady position above the highlighted key level, we anticipate a reversal or bullish rally back towards the upside. According to our price analysis, we foresee a target in the vicinity of the $151 region or higher.
Monero is showing an absolutely incredible pattern in the chartsMonero (XMR) is showing an absolutely incredible pattern on the weekly and daily charts. Monero is one of the very few truly decentralized and anonymous blockchain cryptocurrencies on Earth, which is why the powers-that-be are working to make it harder and harder to obtain. This is why it was dropped from the criminal/fraudulent Ponzi scheme known as Binance recently.
I see good things coming for those who hold this crypto in terms of usage.
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss
Monero & Zcash - Navigating the Future of PRIVACY COINS📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
For today's post, we're diving into the concept of "privacy coins."
In the modern digital landscape, privacy stands as a paramount concern for businesses, entrepreneurs, and personal transactions. With the soaring popularity and adoption rates of cryptocurrencies, privacy-focused coins like Monero (XMR) and Zcash (ZEC) have garnered attention from investors, developers and users due to their ability to facilitate anonymous transactions.
Unlike conventional cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, privacy-focused tokens like Monero and Zcash are designed to obscure blockchain transactions, thereby enhancing user privacy. This unique feature has drawn scrutiny from global governments , which raise concerns about potential misuse for illicit activities like money laundering and terrorist financing.
Recently, in response to regulatory pressures, major crypto exchanges like Binance and Huobi have discontinued support for privacy coins, citing concerns raised by authorities. Additionally, US authorities have imposed sanctions on the utilization of significant crypto mixers like Tornado Cash.
Monero and Zcash, both rooted in the privacy-focused CryptoNote protocol, prioritize transaction security and privacy. While Bitcoin offers pseudonymity, Monero and Zcash were specifically developed to enable anonymous transactions .
📈 Monero (XMR)
Launched in 2014, Monero is an open-source, decentralized cryptocurrency that incorporates robust privacy-enhancing technologies like Ring Signatures, Ring Confidential Transactions (RingCT), and Stealth Addresses. These features make it exceedingly difficult for third parties to trace transactions or identify individuals involved.
📉 Zcash (ZEC)
Zcash utilizes the zk-SNARKs (Zero-Knowledge Succinct Non-Interactive Argument of Knowledge) protocol, which enables users to validate transactions without revealing transaction details. Users can choose between a transparent layer, similar to Bitcoin, and a shielded layer that guarantees complete privacy.
In light of escalating concerns about data breaches and cybercrime, individuals and businesses are increasingly seeking data protection and privacy technologies. Privacy coins cater to this demand by offering a high level of confidentiality in digital transactions , making them particularly useful for merger and acquisition activities and for users valuing financial privacy.
Despite their benefits, privacy coins face significant regulatory challenges worldwide due to concerns about their potential use for criminal activities . Regulatory bodies like the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) are working to establish guidelines to mitigate these risks, potentially impacting the use and adoption of privacy coins.
💭Final Thoughts...
Developers and stakeholders in the crypto industry must address regulatory challenges to strike the right balance between privacy and compliance while advocating for regulations that safeguard user privacy without stifling innovation.
The future of privacy coins remains uncertain amid tightening regulations and security concerns. However, as businesses and individuals increasingly prioritize digital privacy, there is a growing demand for innovative solutions that ensure data protection while complying with regulatory requirements.
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CryptoCheck
BYBIT:XMRUSDT.P BYBIT:ZECUSDT.P
Monero one of those "wish I bought more"sYesterday Monero CRYPTO:XMRUSD dipped over -30% on new that Binance was going to delist it and other multichain (privacy based) currencies.
When I first saw the drop of my watchlist I feared that some part of the Monero protocol had been broken and that its privacy focus had been circumvented. Once I informed myself of the "reason" for the drop I became more bullish on Monero. The fact that it was being delisted for being "too private" means the protocol is working as intended.
I suspect that the drop was due to users of the largest crypto trading platform being forced to sell their holdings or covert them into other currencies to get them off the Binance platform. This is likely one of those price events where once the market realizes there is no fundamental change to the asset price recovers quickly.
From a technical standpoint; CRYPTO:XMRUSD Did not even hit the July 2022 critical low in this move.
Monero Playable- Well this chart will be a bit difficult to understand, so follow the graph and the famous bubbles..
- XMR i a strong privacy coin, notice the asymmetry from 2018 to 2022. stunning!
- XMR is not an FTX shitty token or a scam coin, this project is here to stay.
- Monero is comparable to Litecoin, they start always their bullish trends before the other altcoins.
- Litecoin because of his halving earlier than BTC, XMR because it's like the little brother of TheKing for the Darknet.
- So to play this trade you have to follow BTC movements, because if BTC dip more you know already what will happen to XMR..!
- Remember also that for now we could go sideway for while and it could be very boring, so be patient.
- Play like a robot don't be greedy, respect your gains and take your lose or hodl (up to your strategy).
- Always invest what you can afford to lose.
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Trading Part ( Look the chart to understand more )
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Now : Nothing to buy !! ZERO !
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Scenario 1 : Play the Dip ( Dangerous mode )
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- Buy 120$
- Rebuy 100$
- TP1 170$
- TP2 250$
- TP3 350$
- SL : 95$
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Scenario 2 : Play the Breakout ( Soft mode )
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- Buy 180$
- TP2 250$
- TP3 350$
- SL : 165$
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- if you understood my chart, i can tell you, Bravo!
Happy Tr4Ding !
XMR - The STRANGEST (and EASIEST!) Chart 🤔📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
If you have been following me for a while, you'll know I've been saying we are trading in the opening moments of a new bullish cycle. I've also referred to this as Elliot Wave Theory Wave 1.
Monero / XMR is an altcoin that still has massive upside potential for the coming bull season. But when analyzing Monero, I came across something rather interesting or strange; unique to the XMR chart - the candles follow a perfect quadruplet set of diagonal support lines!
Usually, and you may be more familiar with this, you will see horizontal support zones, for example:
But on the XMR chart, the trendlines of both support and resistance are diagonal, rather than predominantly horizontal like most other charts. After finally identifying this interesting trend, we can now readily set buy/sell zones. For example:
If you found this content helpful, please remember to hit like and subscribe and never miss a moment in the markets.
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CRYPTOCAP:XMR BYBIT:XMRUSDT.P BINANCE:XMRUSDT KRAKEN:XMRUSD