$XOM At Risk of Losing Support at Yellow Support ZoneXOM is at risk of losing support here. There was hope in OIL prices spiking due to the Red Sea crisis, which is affecting shipments of oil tankers. In terms of price action, XOM is at risk of losing support at this yellow support zone. I think we could get some tricky price action with a dip below and a bullish rebound.
XOM
EXXON MOBIL on the 1 year Support but on bearish bias.The Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is again testing Support 1 (97.85), which is holding since the March 13 2023 Low but on a bearish note as it recently broke below the October 2020 Higher Lows trend-line (was the long-term Support) and remains below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the 12th week in a row.
This is obviously a long-term analysis on the 1W time-frame, but the chart can provide a clear view of the trend depending on the break-out. If the stock closes a 1W candle above the 1W MA50, we will turn bullish targeting $120.00 (just below Resistance 1). If it closes below Support 1, we will turn bearish targeting 84.50, just above Support 2 and the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
Note that the 1W RSI has been on a huge Bearish Divergence (Channel Down) since January 2022.
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ENERGY BETMy intention is to dollar-cost average on NYSE:OXY throughout this quarter. I'm aiming to acquire shares of this stock at a maximum price of $61 per share. Anticipating increased tension in the Middle East, especially around the Suez Canal, I foresee a potential disruption in hydrocarbon supply, likely impacting oil prices, whether significantly or insignificantly.
Simultaneously, there's a noticeable increase in yields on 20-year treasuries. Investors seem to be factoring in the possibility that the Fed might deviate from its plan to lower interest rates in 2024...
Please provide your opinions as I am not an expert in commodities or Oil! Thank you!
EXXON MOBIL: Strong buy at the bottom of a 1 year Rectangle.XOM has been trading inside a Rectangle pattern since the October 11th 2022 low and just last week the 1D RSI got oversold below 30.000. Now the 1D technical outlook is neutral (RSI = 46.595, MACD = -1.790, ADX = 43.208) but that oversold level was the first buy signal as it took place very close to the Rectangle's bottom.
The second and final validation buy signal will be when the stock closes a 1D candle over the LH trendline. Yesterday it crossed over it but closed on it. We will take this opportunity to target the 0.786 Fibonacci level (TP = 115.00) as this was the minimum target that the previous three rallies hit.
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Exxon Mobil Shares Rise, Making Three-Day Winning StreakExxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:XOM) saw its shares climb by 0.39% to close at $104.29, contributing to an overall upbeat day on Wall Street as both the S&P 500 Index (SPX) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) experienced significant gains. The S&P 500 surged by 1.91% while the Dow Jones increased by 1.43%, reflecting a positive sentiment among investors.
The rise in Exxon Mobil's stock price marked the end of a three-day winning streak for the oil and gas giant, which is still trading $16.41 below its year-high of $120.70 reached on September 28th. Despite this, the company's recent performance has been commendable, especially considering the robust advertisement campaign it has been running.
The trading volume for Exxon Mobil on Tuesday was recorded at 18.2 million shares, falling short of its average by 1.7 million. This lighter trading volume did not seem to hinder the stock's upward movement during the session.
Investors are keeping a close eye on Exxon Mobil's performance as it navigates through market fluctuations and continues to engage with its audience through strategic advertising efforts. The company's stock movement is part of a broader trend in the energy sector and reflects ongoing changes in global energy markets.
Insights
Exxon Mobil Corp. is a notable player in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry, with a significant market capitalization of $413.29B USD. The company's stock is known for its low price volatility, making it a potentially stable investment option.
Oil - Bulls Will Be Totally AnnihilatedIn early September, we made what turned out to be a pretty accurate call on crude, predicting that $95~ was the target.
CL WTI Crude Oil - Getting In Sync With The Market Makers
In July, after analysis, I predicted that the target for crude in the intermediate term is actually a 3-or-4 handle, based on reading the tea leaves of yearly bars.
Oil - A New Long Leg Down Soon Begins
There's all sorts of fundamental reasons, one will say, that mean there's NO WAY oil should go down, so much! It should go up, because reasons!
And I think that is true. I think we're going to see $150 or $200 crude in a future that isn't very far away.
But before that happens, since oil has failed to continue upward momentum, the entire previous range from the Russia-Ukraine War has been traded, and the year has mostly been flat-red, it seems to me pretty obvious that the MMs are going to be MMs and go dumpster some long-term longs.
Which means we have a target of $56 before the end of 2024, based on monthly candles:
It's only that I think $56 won't be "the bottom," they'll drive it lowerer for longerer and make energy bulls and equities bears hate their life, before the real fun starts, because that's how big accumulation happens.
Super high prices is almost always preceded by super deep selling. Producers get net short.
Before they get net short, it takes some time to get net long, and even though you may not see that in Commitment of Traders, the big oil companies have entire floors of their headquarter buildings devoted to trading, a lot like a bank.
The Black Swan of Black Swans, though, that can spoil everyone's fun plans, is the Chinese Communist Party and Xi Jinping's tenuous grip on power and reality.
I've said in virtually every post that the CCP is going to fall in our lifetimes. It can fall in one of two ways:
1. Xi Jinping goes Gorbachev and throws the evil Party away, saving China and himself
2. Xi Jinping is strung up as the head of the evil Party, goes down to Hell with the CCP, and something else replaces it
What's at stake for Xi is not only the CCP's boundless crimes against humanity and the ruination of China's 5,000 year Heavenly Dynasties, but the eternal sin of the 24-year organ harvesting and genocide against Falun Dafa's 100 million students.
Although that persecution was started in 1999 by former Chairman Jiang Zemin, who died, because Xi is the leader of the CCP, he'll inherit the crime and face the same Sepulcher, unless he can throw the regime away like the man he ought to be.
When the CCP finally falls, whether it's because Wuhan Pneumonia dropped more than former Premier Li Keqiang, or because Xi dumpsters the Jiang Faction and the International Q Cult that's made itself a particle of the Red Dragon, everything is going to be bigly gap down on a Monday morning.
Stuff like the price of oil may seriously moon, however, because the world society's electricity, heat, and transportation relies entirely on fossil fuels.
And so all dumps on commodities may sharply truncate and reverse seemingly without cause, all equities rallies may sharply truncate and reverse seemingly without cause, and so the risk is enormous.
Trading in these markets in the next 6 months is going to be like playing with fire or gambling your fingers near a really sharp knife.
Never forget this point: a knife just cuts.
A knife doesn't care who or what it cuts. It just cuts.
If you don't want to lose your fingers and your hands, don't put your fingers and your hands under a knife.
Once they're gone, there are no miracles to bring them back.
The way it's looked at up high is that, in reality, you made the choice to put your hands under the knife, and so when it cuts what should be cut, it cut what should be cut, and that's your own problem caused by your own pursuits.
Be careful.
Bullish on XOM.
As you can see here, I drew support and resistance levels based on the weekly chart. But on the daily chart, we are forming a double-bottom pattern. I am looking very bullish on XOM. Now, I am waiting for a strong heikin ashi candlestick with no bottom wick and with substantial amount of volume. Thank you for reading my analysis.
EXXON MOBIL: Another choppy month. Rally near Christmas.Exxon Mobil got rejected last Friday on the 1D MA200 and after the 1D MA50 rejection the week before, enters a dangerous territory of LL until it forms the bottom. The long term pattern is a Channel Up, who's rebounds and rejections are accuretelly depicted by the Fibonacci levels. Naturall the 1D timeframe is bearish (RSI = 36.689, MACD = 2.316, ADX = 38.647) and until we see HLows on the 1D RSI, we are not willing to turn bullish long term. We expect the rally to start close to Christmas, aiming at the top of the Channel (TP = 122.00).
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XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought XOM when they made "more money than God" here:
or ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 110usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-27,
for a premium of approximately $1.43.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
EXXON MOBIL Buy opportunity lower.Exxon Mobil is trading between the MA50 and MA200 (1d) which is approximately the 0.618 - 0.5 Fibonacci range.
Technically the most usual buy opportunity is on the 0.236 Fibonacci level.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy when the 0.236 Fibonacci level breaks.
Targets:
1. 119.00 (the High on 3 separate occasions).
Tips:
1. When the RSI (1d) is on a downtrend and reverses to cross over the MA trend line, it is an action that validates the buy. Use this as an additional tool.
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Huge Move now Consolidate from NGS Natural Gas ServiceThis ticker is red hot. Can extend up another 10% or so, but it is most likely to consolidate downward for a couple months now.
The long term energy commodities trend remains bullish, so do not fear some short-term bearishness
Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. provides natural gas compression services and equipment to the energy industry in the United States. It fabricates, manufactures, rents, sells, and maintains natural gas compressors and flare systems for oil and natural gas production and plant facilities. The company primarily engages in the rental of compression units that provide small, medium, and large horsepower applications for unconventional oil and natural gas production. As of December 31, 2022, the company had 1,869 natural gas compression units in its rental fleet with 425,340 horsepower. The company also engages in the design, fabrication, and assembly of compressor components into compressor units for rental or sale; engineers and fabricates natural gas compressors; and designs and manufactures a line of reciprocating compressor frames, cylinders, and parts. In addition, it is involved in the design, fabrication, sale, installation, and service of flare stacks and related ignition and control devices for the onshore and offshore incineration of gas compounds, such as hydrogen sulfide, carbon dioxide, natural gas, and liquefied petroleum gases.
XOM, HUGE WAVE-EXTENSIONS, Oil-Market View, UPCOMING TRENDS!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about XOM on several timeframe perspectives. The oil market has shown up with a massive pullback to the downside since the war developments have put heavy pressure on the whole oil market and drove the supply rally within the market. Since then the market managed to recover with a substantial rally moving into new all-time-highs and is actually forming a massive gigantic formational-structure here from where the market is setting up further determination dimensions.
Currently XOM is forming a continuation-formation on the local timeframes which is an crucial wedge-formation, and this wedge-formation has a increased potential to complete within the next times. Once this formation has been completed the targets as mentioned in my analysis are going to be activated. From there on the volatility within the market has to be determined further and if the already established XOM developments hold on there is an increased possibility for the market to continue into the already established direction.
XOM being the largest market-cap stock within the oil market sector is driving the oil market and wall street developments of oil stocks increasing by over 60%. The fact that the oil market could recover from the main war shocks that showed up with massive bearish pullbacks within the whole market does not mean this holds true for the whole stock market because there are sector stocks within the market that actually show greater bearish inclinations. In this case it will be highly determining on how the whole oil market actually continues and if the established dynamic holds on for this sector stock.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
XLE - true breakout or fakeout?Oil has been ripping lately and trying to establish a new consolidation range. Keep in mind this rally in energy has occurred as the DXY has had 9 weeks of consecutive upside.
The energy sector has been a bullish piece of the market and is at a critical support level.
If this breakout in XLE is to hold we could see some significant upside.
A weekly & daily breakout has been confirmed but when you zoom out to the monthly chart this could be signalling a failed Double top reversal.
Seeing how XLE closes the monthly candle will be telling for the market as oil has been the main increase in the CPI and inflation expectations.
$OXY - Rising Trend Channel🔹Breakout resistance at 65.90, indicating a potential further rise, and potential support at 65.90 in case of NEGATIVE reactions.
🔹POSITIVE volume balance indicates higher volume on rising days.
🔹The RSI curve indicates a positive trend, indicating a rising trend.
🔹Technically POSITIVE for the short term.
Chart Pattern:
◦ DT: Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
◦ DB: Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
◦ HNS: Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
◦ REC: Rectangle | 🔵
◦ iHNS: inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
XOM has shown a consolidation patternXOM has shown a consolidation pattern
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of ExxonMobil's stock in the past 4 years. The graph overlays the bottom to top golden section at the beginning of 2020. As shown in the figure, ExxonMobil's stock has shown a consolidation pattern of high to strong overall after completing a small level double top at the beginning of this year! The small double top of ExxonMobil's stock at the beginning of this year was suppressed by the 3.618 level of the gold split at the bottom of the graph, and did not touch any strong support level for the low point of the pullback thereafter! So, in the future, the stock market of ExxonMobil is likely to weaken and continue to retreat towards the downside!
XOM Triple BottomSimple triple bottom pattern on XOM with macro momentum shifting back bullish after a period of consolidation before the next leg up. Profit target is the highs and runners after if you wish. 20% Stop loss 9/8 expo, after green level is broken. If stop is hit look for re-entry above green level according to 10m chart price action. Expect this play to go 50%+ but nothing in the market is ever 100%.