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XOM

XOM - Will The Hurricane Drive Momentum?It is time to put Oil on your radar for two reasons. One thing that is really striking is how the stores are already selling completely out of water this weekend, after visiting 8 stores and coming up empty handed. BUT, how will the country be faced with gasoline shortages as mass panic begins to strike into the human mindsets, fear, and much more. Especially with not knowing the exact placement of the hurricane and the strength of destruction as the country is facing record high inflation and the government is depleting the strategic reserves of our Oil. THEY will need to start buying the Oil off the market at a rapid pace before the price of oil begins to aggressively increase - thus fueling the demand for buying; causing a momentum spike in price action. The Oil Markets have been looking for a catalyst and this could be just what the market needed to get some demand under it, after-all, recession or not, the U.S. needs Oil to survive and it wont' be long before the U.S. is pressured in admitting the need is critical. I am linking my home repair and oil charts below for simplicity purposes. My support/resistance lines are represented with the horizontal lines. You can use those as targets and/or entries for positions based on bounces of those areas or rejections.
NYSE:XOMLong
by bsdvs23
Natural Gas / NG - What, Truly, Is a Bull?The terms "bullish" and "bearish" when used on Twitter and TradingView and in the media are more or less just poorly positioned synonyms for "going up" or "going down." Yet, it's a misnomer because some of the craziest pumps you'll ever see are during bear markets, and some of the craziest dump-a-thons you'll ever endure are during the most parabolic bull markets. Right now, the energy world is ablaze because the Russian Federation has more or less cut Europe out of Nord Stream 1 while Europe is already in the middle of an exceptional energy crisis, wrought by its own choices to follow the globalist-communist bloc in trying to punish Putin for a war in Ukraine that roots back to more than a decade of U.S.-NATO-led pot-stirring. News like this causes Europe's natural gas futures to print remarkably stupid prices, making a huge amount of widows from those who were trading short, and energy companies who are paying those prices and yet cannot charge those prices to the end user because of socialist command economy policies placed by the government. However, for North America's Henry Hub futures, Europe needing gas doesn't really help, because the Freeport terminal that's really the only place that LNG gets exported in any meaningful quantity blew up in July. It was supposed to come back online in October. And yet, news of its delay until at least November already printed on Aug. 23. Taking a look at the monthly, you can see that NG is still, really, historically cheap: The Biden Administration is going to donate a great quantity of natural gas to Europe once Freeport is back online. In my view, we're going to see a new all-time high print. Something that starts with the number "2." But before we get there, it's important to keep a cool head, and ask yourself: if Freeport has been offline since July and was set to come back online in October, why does price meander in this $8-9.50 range so early? Taking a look at the weekly provides some context: Before Freeport blew up in the first place, NG was flirting with $9. Once it blew up, it immediately took a three week liquidation spree to $5.50, with the worst part of that trip occurring on the final day of June as monthly futures contracts settled. Then it bounced. And for a commodity whose market maker usually likes to whip it up and down and gap up and gap down with violence on daily and weekly opens, it really just went in a straight line back to $9. Expanding down to the daily, it's even more obvious how much this traded like the SPX500 does when the Fed's money printer is doing work so that 75 year old men can mash buy and take a nap: And now here we are, entering the second week of September post-Labor Day. All the propaganda outlets and pundits crank the sirens, chanting, "Europe Natural Gas Utilities Crisis Russia Gazprom Texas Heatwave High Pressure Heat Dome California Electric Grid Shortage!!!" And all of that is true, just like all of that was true for WTI Crude when it traded at $125 for two months. And yet somehow, despite the fundamentals and all the pundits calling for $180 and $350 BECAUSE REASON S, oil is down 30% and it still isn't finished dumping. So, why is it? It's not hard to figure out. It really isn't. Retail buys high because they see confirmation that something is going up, and then panic sells when it gets rugged. And then when it goes back up they mash buy at a higher price than they sold at because of "Fear of Missing Out," and then they don't sell when they're in profit because their target on the SPX is 12,836 because Gann and Elliot said so, and everyone wants to be that guy you hear about who bought Google at $2 and held it for 20 years while playing golf. If Shell or Exxon traded like that, they would be bankrupt, none of us would have electricity to read these words, and we'd all either die from heat exhaustion or freeze to death without AC and furnaces. The reality is that when NG dumped at the end of July, it still didn't dump deep enough to enter a discount in this overall trading range. We've simply been watching what is still currently the 7th straight week of premium trading. If Natural Gas is going to go to $20 when Biden starts donating energy to save NATO's European arms, it really would make a lot more sense if some time were spent so companies and funds could accumulate a significant position at a relative discount. And indeed, there are at least two fat and curiously unchallenged double bottoms presented in the 4H chart that just happen to be in the sub-50% dealing range and at a price so low that it will have margin calling and leave ZeroHedge and Javier Blas from Bloomberg and friends in bewildered disbelief as to how energy commodities aren't worth anything "in a recession." I often say that what a person thinks can happen and what is actually happening in this world and this Universe are simply two totally different things. A human being is heavily deceived by the slow grind of time and the ostensible appearance before their eyes. Reality, on the other hand, simply follows a certain law and it will complete itself according to that law no matter how anyone cries about it. Whoever is in harmony with the law will establish themselves, and whoever is afoul of the law will get liquidated. The caveat to this chart is time. I can only fit so many 4H candles in a window and so the time on this chart only extends into early October. These lower prices, if they really come, could happen later in October or even in November. And while it'll really be quite the opportunity, it's also a "second mouse gets the cheese" kind of thing for those who are trying to get long for the moon at $7 and $6.
NYMEX:NG1!
by LordWrymouth
8
OXY SHORT after bouncing down from All Time ResistanceOXY as shown on the chart is still in a megaphone pattern. Horizontal resistance red line is the all time highs of Spring 2018. In the past several trading sessions, spot oil has dropped from $96 to $87. The MACD indicator which is lagging shows the K / D cross over the histogram. Accordingly, OXY is now trending downward to the mid-Fibonacci retracement levels and the confluence of the mid-line of the megaphone pattern. This appears to be a safe short trade setup especially now that the buying pressure of Mr. Buffet has subsided.
NYSE:OXYShort
by AwesomeAvani
1
VET is pumping profits LONGVET like OXY is showing a great chart with consistent price action. Fundamentally, it has had great earnings reports in the past year. It rates an 8/8 on the Minervini Trend scale showing strength and duration of trend as very high. Vermillon Energy has been strong in the general market downturn. I see this as a Swing long setup with a good expectant reward for the risk assumed. I am considering the call strike $30 option for September 16th.
NYSE:VETLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
OXY Sellers Fall Down ( Flat Bottom Triangle Breakout) LONGNYSE:OXY One hour chart: NYSE:OXY In the past day, the relative volume of sellers has decreased and price momentum is gradually increasing despite the general market reaction to federal economic news. The flat bottom triangle breakout suggests sellers are capitulating on pricing given current circumstances. The RSI Oscillator is in a mid-range suggesting more upside. I see a long setup with call otpions 2 weeks expiration strike $85.
NYSE:OXYLong
by AwesomeAvani
XOM SELL SIGNAL ILLUMINATED🔸️Ticker Symbol: XOM 🔸️Timeframe: 4 Hour 🔸️Investment Strategy: Short TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: XOM is currently flashing a sell signal on our 4H timeframe and could see the price decreasing over the next week. Our money momentum indicator on the bottom dashboard is shifting lower indicating money is flowing out of the market. We also have a red dot representing a key ema crossover to the downside. With both of these in combination I do believe we have the potential to see XOM head lower to $96 and the first level of support followed by $94.60. Thanks for following! 🔔 Follow for daily stock, crypto and forex technical analysis. ⚠️ Trading is risky, and I understand nothing is guaranteed. Proper risk management should be in place at all times to minimize losses. Please consult a financial advisor before trading. All Inclusive Trading LLC is not a financial advisor and may not be held liable for any losses which may occur.
NYSE:XOMShort
by TrendsiTrades
OXY Early Breakout from FLAT BOTTOM TRIANGENYSE:OXY OXY has market momentum with the ongoing Buffet buying frenzy. It has been in a pattern since the spring 2022 Buffet buying that is a flat bottom triangle. The latest buying seems to be resulting in a breakout from the triangle yet without retest. Rising relative strength on the RSI serves to validate the move. Buffet seems to know that the current inflation is a headwind for growth for the alternative energy sector while Big Oil is drowning in cash and buying back stock relentlessly. A ll in all , OXY IS A STONG BUY even if spot oil and futures prices are drifting lower. if the retest fails and OXY returns to the triangle in conjunction with oil prices decreasing and the general market sideways, I will take some put options for a few months.
NYSE:OXYLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
COMMODITIES (OIL ) vs EQUITIES ( DIA)In this chart, I have plotted the ratio of the price of the USOIL ETF over the DIA, which is the broad ETF for the DJI. The chart shows the USOIL ETF has been stronger than the DIA until the market lows in mid June after which the DIA rebounded while hot oil prices cooled off. The analysis would be is that oil prices may be relatively undervalued at present and so represent a potential basement sale at a time when the federal goverment just approved a vast upgrade in oil leases on federal land. If investing in big oil at this time ( like Warren Buffet) what stock or ETF trade would you be inclined to take? AMEX:USO
TVC:USOILLong
by AwesomeAvani
XOM : Why Do I Think XOM will Reach 97 Soon.---------------Ticker: $XOM ----------------------Time Frame : 4H ------------------------------ Investment Strategy: Long Trend is broken and retested the trend(Support) and rejected. Trendsi Confirmation of Green Dot and Green line gives me full confidence, we can see XOM 97 very soon. Follow for daily stock, crypto and forex technical analysis. ⚠️ Trading is risky, and I understand nothing is guaranteed. Proper risk management should be in place at all times to minimize losses. Please consult a financial advisor before trading. All Inclusive Trading LLC is not a financial advisor and may not be held liable for any losses which may occur.
NYSE:XOMLong
by Red_Green-TA
3
Exxon Mobil feeling market wrath. XOMGoals 0.56, 0.49. Invalidation at 0.89. We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
NYSE:XOMShort
by Rykin_Capital
4
OXY, A TRUE example of FALSE break out !Regardless of what legendary investors (Like Warren Buffett ) or famous traders do, we always should trade our own strategy. OXY was fighting with a strong static resistance and finally lost the battle. We have 9 hits to this static line which shows how powerful it is. False break outs are among the most common traps in trading . Although the concept is very simple , many traders fall simply into the trap just because of lack of patience or weak risk management strategy. Please keep this words in mind and I promise you will be the winner in long term : " Be sure about a break out before jumping into a trade " . True break outs have three conditions: 1. Break out should be done by a strong high volume bullish candle and at least 50 % of body of such candle should be placed above the valid resistance. 2. A pull back to broken resistance and rotation is necessary to be sure about true break out. Please note sometime we may not see a complete pull back ( if there is a support before broken resistance) but who can accept the risk of false break out? 3. Continuation of movement in direction of break out. Occidental Petroleum fulfilled first condition in it's last attempt ( if we close our eyes to volume) with a gap up bullish candle above the resistance. It made also a pull back but no rotation and continuation of the upside movement came after that. It means we had a false break out. I investigated false break outs of a dynamic resistance in my previous publication on BTC and here I showed an example of false break out of static resistance. Regardless of type of resistance (dynamic or static) , concept is the same. True break out setup has been shown on the chart. As you see the concept is very simple. Please keep this concept in mind and believe me you won't regret. Wish you huge profits and good luck.
NYSE:OXYEducation
by SaeedSajedi
5
Exxon Mobil Exiting BullsMarked with momentum reversal and completion of a multimonth upgoing zigzag, this baby is poised for a drop. I believe the reversal has already occurred not too long ago. As ever, Fibs give us off the cough targets for possible exits. We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
NYSE:XOMShort
by Rykin_Capital
Elliott Wave View: Exxon Mobil (XOM) Should See Further DownsideExxon Mobil (XOM) shows incomplete bearish sequence from 6.8.2022 high looking for further downside. The decline from 6.8.2022 high is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from 6.8.2022 high, wave (A) ended at 83.52 and rally in wave (B) ended at 93.24. The stock has resumed lower and broken below wave (A) suggesting the next leg lower wave (C) has started. Down from wave (B), wave 1 ended at 81.01. Internal subdivision of wave 1 unfolded as a 5 waves impulse structure. Down from wave (B), wave ((i)) ended at 84.71 and rally in wave ((ii)) ended at 89.35. Stock resumes lower in wave ((iii)) towards 83.01, rally in wave ((iv)) ended at 85.87, and final leg lower wave ((v)) ended at 81.01 which completed wave 1. Wave 2 rally is in progress to correct cycle from 6.28.2022 high in 3, 7, or 11 swing before it resumes lower. Internal of wave 2 is unfolding as a zigzag structure. Up from wave 1, wave ((a)) ended at 87.30 and pullback in wave ((b)) ended at 82.86. Wave ((c)) higher can see stock reaching 89.2 – 93.1 area to complete wave 2 before it resumes lower. As far as pivot at 93.26 high remains intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.
NYSE:XOM
by Elliottwave-Forecast