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XOM

OXY, A TRUE example of FALSE break out !Regardless of what legendary investors (Like Warren Buffett ) or famous traders do, we always should trade our own strategy. OXY was fighting with a strong static resistance and finally lost the battle. We have 9 hits to this static line which shows how powerful it is. False break outs are among the most common traps in trading . Although the concept is very simple , many traders fall simply into the trap just because of lack of patience or weak risk management strategy. Please keep this words in mind and I promise you will be the winner in long term : " Be sure about a break out before jumping into a trade " . True break outs have three conditions: 1. Break out should be done by a strong high volume bullish candle and at least 50 % of body of such candle should be placed above the valid resistance. 2. A pull back to broken resistance and rotation is necessary to be sure about true break out. Please note sometime we may not see a complete pull back ( if there is a support before broken resistance) but who can accept the risk of false break out? 3. Continuation of movement in direction of break out. Occidental Petroleum fulfilled first condition in it's last attempt ( if we close our eyes to volume) with a gap up bullish candle above the resistance. It made also a pull back but no rotation and continuation of the upside movement came after that. It means we had a false break out. I investigated false break outs of a dynamic resistance in my previous publication on BTC and here I showed an example of false break out of static resistance. Regardless of type of resistance (dynamic or static) , concept is the same. True break out setup has been shown on the chart. As you see the concept is very simple. Please keep this concept in mind and believe me you won't regret. Wish you huge profits and good luck.
NYSE:OXYEducation
by SaeedSajedi
5
Exxon Mobil Exiting BullsMarked with momentum reversal and completion of a multimonth upgoing zigzag, this baby is poised for a drop. I believe the reversal has already occurred not too long ago. As ever, Fibs give us off the cough targets for possible exits. We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
NYSE:XOMShort
by Rykin_Capital
Elliott Wave View: Exxon Mobil (XOM) Should See Further DownsideExxon Mobil (XOM) shows incomplete bearish sequence from 6.8.2022 high looking for further downside. The decline from 6.8.2022 high is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from 6.8.2022 high, wave (A) ended at 83.52 and rally in wave (B) ended at 93.24. The stock has resumed lower and broken below wave (A) suggesting the next leg lower wave (C) has started. Down from wave (B), wave 1 ended at 81.01. Internal subdivision of wave 1 unfolded as a 5 waves impulse structure. Down from wave (B), wave ((i)) ended at 84.71 and rally in wave ((ii)) ended at 89.35. Stock resumes lower in wave ((iii)) towards 83.01, rally in wave ((iv)) ended at 85.87, and final leg lower wave ((v)) ended at 81.01 which completed wave 1. Wave 2 rally is in progress to correct cycle from 6.28.2022 high in 3, 7, or 11 swing before it resumes lower. Internal of wave 2 is unfolding as a zigzag structure. Up from wave 1, wave ((a)) ended at 87.30 and pullback in wave ((b)) ended at 82.86. Wave ((c)) higher can see stock reaching 89.2 – 93.1 area to complete wave 2 before it resumes lower. As far as pivot at 93.26 high remains intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.
NYSE:XOM
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Why Warren Buffett pours billions of dollars into OXY ?Legendary investor Warren Buffet is pouring billions of dollars into Occidental Petroleum Corporation ! when it rejected heavily from strong and valid down trend line ! why ? Please note Buffett is a long term investor not a trader !. US market has been in a Bull run in large time frames (Yearly or Monthly) since 1932 therefore, any long term investor who chose fundamentally powerful stock has made a huge profit. Although I believe Berkshire could have chosen better time and maybe lower price to start buying shares of OXY, I think it will see higher prices in long term in fact, It goes much higher than ATH and will reach to around 180 USD per share or even higher in up coming YEARS. Now , lets look at what we have in technical point of view: 1. OXY was rejected strongly from valid down trend line in weekly time frame for 4th time . Break out of this heavy down trend line is very important for the stock to go higher. 2. In terms of Elliott waves, similar to many other energy stocks like XOM, COP, SLB and etc , OXY has completed and ascending complete wave cycle from IPO to latest major low (Primary degree waves 1 and 2 on the chart shown by green and red arrows respectively ). It means that impulsive section (Primay degree wave 3) of new wave cycle has been started at last major low around 9 USD. In closer look, currently we are in wave 4 of 1 of primary degree wave 3. Elliott wave labeling on the chart shows internal waves (12345) of wave 1 of primary degree wave 3. It means there is one more leg up ( wave 5 shown on the chart ) to complete wave 1 of primary degree wave 3. Then we will probably have a major correction (wave 2 of 3 ) down to 40-50 level and after completion of correction , wave 3 of 3 which is most profitable and most speedy wave will start. Please note this is most probable scenario and we are not talking about certainty. 3. Beside strong down trend line, there are many strong static resistances on OXY climb road. These Resistances are shown by red horizontal lines on the chart. Therefore, OXY will face difficulties on the way to reach it's target. One more important note : As Berkshire owns now around 20 % of company shares and they are long term holders, We can somehow be sure that 20 % of shares of company will be out of future sell pressure in up coming years which is very important note to be considered. All in all, I believe OXY , like many other energy stocks , offers huge profit for long term investor and traders. However, Is it a right time to open a long position? It depends on personality and risk management and patience of investors/traders. I myself, keep OXY in my watch list and think it can be bought on lower prices as shown by green lines. To me, buying a stock when it is struggling with a strong down trend line is dangerous and as always, I am seeking for a safe trade set up. I Hope this publication to be useful and wish you all the best.
NYSE:OXY
by SaeedSajedi
16
$XOM Analysis, Key levels & Targets$XOM Analysis, Key levels & Targets By request… and thank you because I will play this one… Some of you know that I'm originally an energy sector trader... don't enter this trade unless you know the riskes... and have fun... —- I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed. GL and happy trading. IF you need anything analyzed Technically just comment with the Ticker and I’ll do it as soon as possible…
NYSE:XOMLong
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
5
XOM, Cup and Handle Break out ! Long above 92.05 !XOM is beautifully formed a classic cup and handle pattern. So far, we have break out , pull back and only remaining point to safe entry is a bullish candle above 92.05. First target which was obtained by adding the depth of cup ( shown as H on the chart ) to the break out line is 104-105 USD. Please note the crude oil trend is also up therefore , it is reasonable for energy stocks to go up. In terms of Elliott waves, XOM may see much higher prices especially in long terms . I will publish my broader view for the stock later and propose my wave count and related long term targets ( s.th close to 200 USD !! ). For now, I just tried to keep it as simple as possible. Wish you nice profits.
NYSE:XOMLong
by SaeedSajedi
11
How To Be ContrarianMy goal is to try to make traders and investor THINK DIFFERENTLY about markets. I believe as humans we seek validation, comfort in affirming our beliefs, and that manifests in the wild swings of the market when the narrative is proven wrong. Back in January 2021 I made an uncomfortable bet on Exxon NYSE:XOM . It was uncomfortable at the time because the narrative was that "dirty energy" was dead, oil was going down to $12/barrel, and EV was the future. These may very well all be true... but it was early. And in investing; being early and being wrong are often indistinguishable. At the time, Exxon was trading below book value (market cap < assets-liabilities on balance sheet), it offered a 7% dividend yield which they did not cut, and had just hit a double bottom. It was NOT obvious at the time... only in hindsight. But these are the types of contrarian trades that investors MUST look at to achieve outsized gains.
NYSE:XOM
by norok
6