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XPDUSD

Palladium - Short term top?Good weekend everyone, lets look at Palladium, a metal similar to platinum and very used on eletromechanics system like relays, also used on OIL industry as a catalyst. This metal has been on a very long term rally upside that never seens to stop, but, nothing go up or down forever. This week candle closed as a bearish pin bar and as we can see the volume is getting smaller and smaller, now, of course i'll not trade based ONLY on a simple pin bar, and since we are at ATH we dont have previous resistances to analyse =) Daily chart is where im looking forward a short opportunity, if the price break and close below orange line i may short with good RxR targeting fico retracement zones and weekly 50ema. The low volume on last wave say that maybe the demand is slowly decreasing, maybe its too expensive now our beloved palladium ? And now we have a beautiful RSI BEARISH DIVERGENCE which give us confluence to try this one. Anyway remember, trade AGAINST the main trend is always dangerous and the main trend for palladium right now is BULLISH, thats why always trade with proper money management. This Trading Idea is to be used for educational purposes only. This idea does not represent financial advice and its NOT a signal. You should trade based only on your own technic and knowledge.
OANDA:XPDUSDShort
by MarcelMartins
Palladium at $4,500? The opportunity you don't want to miss.It is no secret that Palladium is one of the biggest winner of the last 3 years. It's long term chart shows that there is even great upside potential. During 1996 - 2001 Palladium made a +879% rise before it consolidated for more than a decade. Palladium investors eye a similar pattern. The strongest reason behind this is the Palladium-to-Gold ratio. In 2000/2001 this ratio peaked at 4.2. If it happens again, and there is no reason to believe it won't as the candle sequence that preceded this sharp rise is virtually identical, it will take Palladium's price just above $4,500. Very good long term opportunity indeed for patient investors. See our previous 1,367 target on the Palladium/ Gold comparison: ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
NYMEX:PA1!Long
by InvestingScope
Palladium: Turning parabolic towards 1,800?It is no secret that Palladium is on a strong long term bullish trend, and we have discussed this subject on this comparison with Gold where we estimated a target of 1,367 (see the chart below). XPDUSD has even outperformed this target and is currently on a very interesting development where it can turn parabolic towards 1,800. Even if that doesn't materialize, the RSI shows that the target can be fulfilled either on the current 1D Channel Up (RSI = 58.312, MACD = 34.870, Highs/Lows = 0.0000) or the Higher Low support provided by the previous Channel Up. See our previous 1,367 target on the Palladium/ Gold comparison: ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
FX_IDC:XPDUSDLong
by InvestingScope
2
Platinum / Palladium Price Ratio - Long PlatinumThese charts deserve a closer look. :) Platinum / Palladium ratio just touched an all time low. You can see the explosive move up, following the last time the price ratio of these two metals touched this level. Considering the platinum chart on its own... Price recently found support from a ten year old support level... $750. Since then price has mostly consolidated with a couple failed breakouts dropping price back to support. However, although it doesn't look like much on the long term weekly chart, platinum is up $65 from the February low and has broken above $830, previous resistance. There's a couple interesting things looking at the Palladium chart also. Price is at a measured move above the midpoint from the lows, which also looks to be significant support / resistance. I'm not jumping all in calling a top in Palladium, but $1500 does sort of portray a psychological milestone in and of itself. And although the fundamental argument could be made that price still has a long way to run, I'm sure people were saying the same thing about Platinum in May 2008 before it dropped from $2200 down to $750 in the course of six months. And often technicals are all that's needed to trigger a sharp reversal in price... Looking at the selloff in crude October 2018.... All things said Platinum looks like a good buy and hold Risk / Reward ratio, supported by the strength across the other precious metals. I'm going to wait and see how Palladium reacts to the $1500 level...
OANDA:XPTUSDLong
by cccpKGB1
Signs of homemade inflation a few months away...For those who have been following our previous idea (see related posts) you will already know we have been tracking this leg to the upside since 1200. We are finally starting to run out of steam for this initial leg and it is time to start looking for positions on the retrace. => Inflation will begin to return in parts of the world later in the year (homemade) ...assuming we can clear risks on the US & China trade front then the stage looks set for a test as low as 1225 before any further meaningful upside ... would expect this to begin happening with an earnings recession towards Q3/Q4 this year. Good luck to those on the sell side here, we are being aggressive with the trigger in attempt to outsmart the beginning of a very large leg ahead of inflation data next week from the US.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ridethepig
Palladium: Bullish continuation on ideal conditions.XPDUSD (Palladium) has made a new Higher Low on its long term 1W Channel Up (MACD = 89.310, Highs/Lows = 86.3564, BBP = 189.9320) and due to the overbought RSI = 77.424, it should slow down its uptrend within the next 20 sessions. This doesn't necessarily mean that it has to consolidate sideways, but as it did on the late Oct - lat Nov period, it may rise slowly on a more standard Channel Up. 1D has created the perfect conditions for this (RSP = 58.571, Highs/Lows = 0.0000). We are going long again on Palladium with TP = 1,455. See our previous long term bullish report on Palladium (compared to Gold) and its strong long term buy bias. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
FX_IDC:XPDUSD
by InvestingScope
1
palladium vs PlatinumTechnically speaking, platinum can be due for an uptrend. But could take months for it to show sign of uptrend. The last great shortage fear-induced panic buying spree in palladium occurred in 2000-2001. (It was only last month when palladium finally took out its 2001 high.) Palladium's great bull market began quietly in 1997 at about $125/oz. Over the next four years, a cumulative 800% gain occurred. By contrast, from 1997-2000, platinum went nowhere. It began trading at a discount to palladium in 2000. By the time palladium prices peaked in 2001, platinum was sporting a $400 discount to its sister metal - the same as today. What is next for platinum could be similar to what was next for it back then. By 2002, platinum prices caught up with palladium's. Platinum proceeded to embark on an epic bull market - from under $500/oz to over $2,200 when prices peaked in 2008.
OANDA:XPTUSDLong
by SIUSHINGTO
Palladium Forecast: Price hits the new records as supply deficitPalladium prices ended the week at 1176 $ / Ons – Spot Rate – hitting the records high. Along with Rhodium, Palladium is the shining star of the precious metal sector. Both precious metals flew high due to a growing imbalance in their supply and demand fundamentals. Demand for physical palladium is one of the important factors to consider especially because there is a global supply deficit since 2012. Palladium has significant industrial uses with most of the demand coming from the auto sector. It is the critical component in catalytic converters, which reduce harmful emissions in gasoline engines. Supply Side: The car demand is solid across the world, and trends are toward big SUVs in the U.S. and small gasoline engines in Asia. All of these are growing palladium demand. The optimism that the U.S. and China could reach a trade deal in the near future is adding to the momentum in an already bullish environment. Demand Side:The mining supply for 2018 is expected to be flat as a decrease in South Africa and Russia may be offset by a gain in output from Canada according to Metals Focus data. The supply fundamentals continue to favor Palladium prices, especially if Chinese growth begins to pick-up. Although, there is a risk that palladium prices fall in the near-term as sentiment on the global economy sours the market players see any selloff as a short-term move. Even if the global economy weakens, we need to see a major slowdown in global growth to impact prices. Speciality chemicals company Johnson Matthey calculated that physical demand for palladium exceeded supply in recent years: Demand exceeded supply in 2016 by 89,000. Demand exceeded supply in 2017 by 801,000 ounces. For 2018 the forecast to have another shortfall of 239,000 ounces. Summary: Supply deficit will continue. Physical industrial demand for palladium may have shown structural deficits but the price did not react accordingly. Why? The answer is in massive ETF outflows of physical palladium. ( See Bloomberg’s Article Sep 28th : ) ” Prices are rallying sharply, likely because of a squeeze in the market and tight supply and demand for the metal but HEDGE FOUNDS ARE LARGELY UNINTERESTED ” Does it mean that the palladium ETF outflow was meant to close the gap of the supply deficit in the car industry? Focusing on the physical demand / supply imbalance, it seems that in 2019 the ETF outflow will have reached its limit, and the physical shortage will have no easy to fill the gap. The New GOLD ? Meanwhile, Palladium prices are gaining on Gold. It is possible for palladium to trade higher than gold if palladium supply continues to be muted, demand for autos and electronics increases, and tighter emission legislation further takes hold in China and the U.S If we look at the matter technically: All times high 1125 has been broken. This can be the beginning of a new big bullish move. This week we will focus on 1125 support. If the prices hold above 1125, the first level to break would be 1187 $. And breakout of 1187 $ would lead the prices 1202 $ and 1218 $. Our midterm price prediction is 1250 $ and 1350 $ ( By the second half of 2019 ). Note: On the smaller chart timeframes – H4 Chart – we see a bearish butterfly pattern indicating a minor correction. Potential pullbacks towards 1125 and 1061 should be used as buying opportunities.
OANDA:XPDUSDLong
by chartreader_pro