Li Auto is about to manipulate the highs it made a year ago!I annotated this chart so hard this time and I know its annoying to look at...but you have your own clean screens to look at it... This should atleast explain what I see and help those who don't know, what to look for. I accidentally came across this chart because I was trying to type bili bili but when i saw the chart with my ESVO lines on it I was like I have to play it. So for me this is just an update to this play that I got into a week ago. Obviously it looks a lot better now that we are here. And I never once thought my bias was wrong as you can tell it didn't want to dump. Because if it did want to it would have. The price was always withing a dollar or a dollar and change to the entry. Now that it has come back to this area I broke down everything the lines are telling me plus everything I see with the amount of space that I have to work with. I could go into about 5 other kinds of trading styles and break those down but I figure I will just leave it at this. Its bullish! All the other stocks in the group are moving with it. So that tells me that big money has been fostering this group of stocks to get it to this point over the last year or less. Since the last highest high.
So that should tell you there is a pile of shorts up there that need to be covered for them to continue this move up above that. unless there is a massive surge of volume it might take a while to consolidate all of them. I will be looking for a trend line that this will be tapping into over the duration of this move. And also a trend change which shows that liquidation of shares has begone and that we should be looking for an exit.
I do think this could take another 3-6 months to complete. all of the hot areas for this stock are marked on this chart with the exception of the three just below our current price.
And Current Price of HKEX:26 this weeks highest volume area
$24 Automatic, Session, Daily, Highest High
HKEX:23 Daily. Weekly
HKEX:22 Highest Low
all great supports as they are all stacked under us.
If nothing else I think we should hit HKEX:30 however, HKEX:38 and $41.50 are also huge areas of untapped stop losses and pockets of retailers waiting.
by iCantw84it
04.17.23
XPEV
TSLA Cup & Handle Bullish ContinuationTSLA as shown on the 60 minute chart has been in a cup and handle since the last earnings
report. Trading volumes increased then and the print is a gradual downtrend reversed to a
gradual uptrend then the handle formation and finally the breakout above the lip of the cup.
TSLA and Ford this week announced collaboration on a charging network primarily with Ford
customers getting use on existing TSLA stations and both companies expanding the network.
Perhaps this mutually benefits both companies. China holding interest rates and perhaps
lowering them more easily allows financing of new Telsas in TSLA's biggest market. Based
on the technicals about the cup and handle and the height of the cup. the pattern which has
good reliability predicts bullish continuation of $40 upside. In consideration of this I will
take a trade of an additional 2 contracts ( strike $180 Exp mid November).
XPEV XPeng Options Ahead Of EarningsIf you haven`t bought XPEV here:
Then Analyzing the options chain of XPEV XPeng prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 10usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-7-21,
for a premium of approximately $0.68
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NIO breakout from descending wedge NIO is shown on a 4H chart. It has been downtrending for 3 months. Howver, April and May
has high relative volume trying to reach the capitulation of a bottom. Thursday May 4th
marked a near term bottom. NIO is now rising and breaking out of a falling wedge drawn onto
the chart. It has crossed over the POC line of the volume profile ( This is the price level of
the highest volume of trading). Price is impending a mean anchored VWAP. Relative strength
has spiked. With this confluence of bullish signals, I have taken a long position which has
appreciated 4.6% in the first half of the trading day having opened the position in the pre-
market. I will now take a trade of call options striking $ 7.00 DTE 7/21. The rising dollar
strength has confounded TSLA's sales in China and the Nordic countries. NIO is on the ready to
pick up the slack.
TSLA Due for a pullback ?TSLA here in on a 30-minute chart. It is in a channel that has as its basis the 42 ( 7x6) EMA
with the upper and lower bands the 2.618 Fibonacci extensions of the basis value. Accordingly
when hitting the lower band, there is a high probability of reversal to trending up. Conversely,
when hitting the upper band, the price is highly probable to reverse into trending down. Here
TLSA is actually outside that Fibonacci band and getting closer to the absent 4.33 band
TSLA rose more than 5% in the last trading day. Reversion to the mean may apply.
The True Strength Index indicator shows a cross about to occur in the supply /resistance zone
a confirmation expectant for a reversal. Similarly, the Fisher transform shows the signal and
mean lines crossing and inflecting into a negative slope at the top red line. In the immediate
term history, TSLA ran up on Thursday 4/27 / Friday 4/28 hit the upper Fibonnaci band and
dropped after the weekend. I can see this as repeating
Aside from mathematics from the all-important trader psychology side of things, a large #
of traders are up on their position having made it through some downward price action
and then reaccumulation. It is now time to take full or partial profits and close some positions
In the meanwhile, short sellers can see the rise in the last trading
session as a pullback in the trend down and time being ripe to add to their position.
Other short sellers might liquidate and in doing so hold TSLA's price steady in buying to cover.
I can't see the psychology underway. I can however see the indicators and the mathematics
that is their foundation. I will take a trade of put options expiring 5/19 at a strike of
$175. I will watch for a reversal of the reversal mid to late week and upon seeing
it take a partial profit and hold the rest.
NIO REVERSES within descending parallel channelOn the 30-minute chart, I have drawn the upper (red) and lower (green) trendlines
of the descending parallel channel. While it had been riding the upper edge of
the Fibonacci/ EMA channel, it has reversed and headed toward the base EMA with
the candles green to red. The zero-lag MACD indicator lines crossed above the
histogram while the True Strength Index oscillator has had a line cross in the supply /
resistance zone for further information. I conclude it is time to close long positions
in profit and cross the aisle into short positions. I will take a put option trade for
the expirations of 5/19 @ $ 9.50 but a less risky trade would be a longer exiration
by 1-2 weeks ( while at the same time decreasing the reward potential.)
NIO is on a bounceNIO has descended into its demand zone as shown on the 2H Chart.
It is now above the POC line of the near-term volume profile.
I will take a trade here setting a stop loss of 7.33 below the near-term high
volume area. The first target will be 7.6 which is approximately the anchored
VWAP ( thick black line ) confluent with the POC line of the intermediate
term volume profile to take half the profits. The remainder of the position
will target 8.9 which is just below the selling volume shelf at 9.0.
Tipranks has a longer term target of 14 ( see the link below)
$XPEV: Bullish trend and the emergence of Chinese EV makersI had published a video idea discussing Chinese EV names, and China reopening as a possible bullish catalyst for demand in the EV sector and to keep an eye out for bullish setups in the Chinese EV stocks.
I think the time has come to scoop some $XPEV exposure here, the weekly trend is now confirmed as bullish so the move I was anticipating in my prior post can take place now.
It's an interesting turn of events how China has now emerged as a rapidly growing car manufacturing hub, and likely the most compelling competition for $TSLA in the EV front going forward, as everyone else is lagging behind big time or not as profitably participating in the EV transition. So, considering that, I think we should keep an eye on these names and try and capture swings in them going forward.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
NIO rising from its downtrend.NIO double-bottomed in late December, this past Monday, and also back in November
at the same level now drawn onto the chart in green. It is now above the POC line on
the long-term volume profile suggests it was pushed there by buying pressure
exceeding selling. Fundamentally, NIO is strong in China, TSLA lowered its price
to be competitive and maintain market share. Easing of COVID lockdowns has
helped boost production. Price has moved above the SMA 100 and SMA 300 on the
rising uptrend.
This appears to be a long trade setup.
XPEV XPeng Inc Options Ahead Of EarningsLooking at the XPEV XPeng Inc options chain ahead of earnings , i would buy the $10 strike price Calls with
2023-3-17 expiration date for about
$0.76 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
XPEV is forming a reversal pattern perhaps following TSLAXPEV is presently finishing out a falling wedge pattern.
As shown on the 30-minute chart, exponential moving averages
are falling and converging in the narrow area where VWAP
is trending. At lower time frames a "Golden Cross pattern"
A stop loss can be set under the double or triple bottom
with a target being the 1/2 of the way to swing high about 10% higher
based on a routine retracement. This seems to be a quality
swing long setup based on a breakout of a falling wedge
and a confluence of moving averaged and anchored VWAP
I took some call options with a strike of $ 8 and an expiration
on 12/16 while expecting over 100 % profit.
XPEV | Triple Divergences| Great EntryXPeng Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets smart electric vehicles in the People's Republic of China. It offers SUVs under the G3 and G3i names; four-door sports sedans under the P7 name; and family sedans under the P5 name. The company also provides sales contracts, maintenance, super charging, vehicle leasing, insurance agency, ride-hailing, technical support, automotive loan referral and auto financing, music subscription, and other services. XPeng Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
I still use dollar cost averaging as a way to minimize risk and guarantee a good return. Patience is required in this process.
Dollar-cost averaging is the practice of systematically investing equal amounts of money at regular intervals, regardless of the price of a security.
Dollar-cost averaging can reduce the overall impact of price volatility and lower the average cost per share.
By buying regularly in up and down markets, investors buy more shares at lower prices and fewer shares at higher prices.
Dollar-cost averaging aims to prevent a poorly timed lump sum investment at a potentially higher price.
Beginning and long-time investors can both benefit from dollar-cost averaging.
Not financial advice. Always do your research!
XPEV, We need to be careful now !What is the most probable scenario for XPEV?
XPEV's move from 22.73 to 47.98 has recovered 50 % of its major drop from 74.49 to 22.73. Mentioned drop is showing a remarkable 5 down going waves which can be labeled as wave A. ( wave 1 is also possible but we skip this alternative for now). last up going wave ( from 22.73 to 47.98 ) can be just wave A of B which means there may be another up going wave ( Wave C of B) after a correction down to 35, 32 or even 28 USD ( Wave B of B) corresponding to 50 % , 61.8 % and 78% Fibo Retracements respectively. Possible targets for next possible up going wave are shown on the chart. Please note that whole correction ( in the case of having a large ABC correction) may end at 13 USD !. Also, we need a trade below 39.71 to be confident about having at least a correction down to mentioned support prices.All these explanations are briefly shown on the chart.
Stochastic and RSI indicators are showing a bearish divergence with price which could be an strong bearish signal.
It is worth to note that stock may go down below last major low (22.73) without any additional up going wave ( I think it has low probability) therefore, we do not go long without any strong bullish signal in proposed support prices.
I have to emphasize that in terms of timing, chart is just schematic drawing So I kindly ask you to disregard dates on the chart.
We always enjoy our trading? Don't we?
XPEV, Our Proposed Prediction on 6th Jul 2021 is still working !Are we market makers ? Of course not! Any hidden information we had? Of course we did not . How could we predict a stock path 7 months ago?
Is there still any doubt about possibility of Mid term and Long term prediction of a stock or the market?
First, lets look at what we saw on the chart seven months ago ! and our prediction :
Trading view's page of XPEV is full of long ideas and it is very difficult to see any bearish publication . How we could achieve such a success in prediction which is still valid after 7 months? Answer is by using ELLIOTT WAVES .
We do not claim that XPEV surely continuous it's path as we predicted, but at least we had a prediction which so far has been valid for 7 months. We did some similar successful prediction for SHOP, ETSY, SQ, BTC at ATH and so on. This publication is not for admiration for ourselves ( Of course we had also some painful failures ). It is to encourage others to start thinking about power of Elliott Waves.
As far as we know, Elliott waves is the only tool which enables us to make predictions . We provided some of our achievements here and in the related ideas. Surely you can find many more more more successful and powerful prediction made by famous Elliott waves masters .
Good Luck every one.
XPEV: TRENDSI ATS CONFIRMED, THIS WILL RUN TO 22s.Ticker Symbol: $XPEV
️Timeframe: 4H
️TRIPLE BOTTOM
️Investment Strategy: LONG
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
TRENDSI ATS MONEY MOVEMENT SHIFTING UP : BULLISH
LINEAR REGRESSION + TRENDSI: AT THE BOTTOM, WHICH IS AT THE SUPPORT
RSI OVERSOLD AND STOCHASTIC SHOWING BULLISH MOVEMENT.
CONFIRMATION I AM WAITING: TRENDSI ATS GREEN LINE WITH GREEN DOT
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NIO SETUP LONGNYSE:NIO
NIO is thriving despite a faltering Chinese economy.
It has good recent earnings and is competing well with TSLA
and other Chinese EV's like XPEV In the meanwhile it
is making inroads in Europe, especially Scandanavia
They say buy low ( weakness) and sell high ( strength(.
NIO is weak right now as the chart shows. with price
below the cloud now sitting on an advance buy order
support with a low RSI. This is a buying opportunity
As ab aside BIO is said to be seeking a partnership
arrangement with a US Domestic EV company. Should
it find such agreement, it fundamentals likely would
get another uptick.