XRPUSDC
XRP with likely levels, and alternatives for April 'flash crash'Here's my latest XRP chart, which includes potential levels that could be hit, along with an alternative path for the 5th wave, assuming the bottom is already in on the chart.
- If wave 4 is already complete, then the wave 6 "flash crash" low would likely be higher than the chart shows, perhaps staying within the lower white trendline (thicker white line).
- If wave 4 isn't complete, then the wave 6 "flash crash" would likely go outside the lower white trendline (thicker white line), targeting the green fair value gap (FVG) in the chart or somewhere between that FVG and the lower white trendline, sweeping the previous lowest low of the entire pattern.
- The fair value gap that absorbed the "Trump Crypto Reserve" tweet breakout—which quickly failed after hitting the gap—would likely be filled during the 5th wave (false breakout leg), taking out that high before the April "flash crash."
- The real breakout, the 7th wave, would likely take out the previous all-time high and run to the top of the pattern, reaching the area of the upper white trendline (thicker upper white line).
I will be going over this chart again very soon for anyone who follows me.
Keep in mind that the "flash crash" in April is a theory and may not come to fruition or could be off in timing. However, I do believe that the breakout will begin in May, even if the "flash crash" does not occur in mid to late April.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
My current XRP 'flash crash in April' thesis chartThis is the current chart that I'm using, which includes approximate areas and an approximate timeline for my coming 'flash crash in April' thesis. This involves XRP bottoming out very soon, then going on a 'false breakout' heading into April, followed by a flash crash sometime in mid to late April. This will then mark the low of this area of the chart, and the real breakout will occur sometime in May, which I believe will take XRP to a new all-time high and true price discovery.
Keep in mind that this is a theory, which is developing day by day, and may or may not actually come to fruition. It's based on a chart I've released in the past called 'THE XRP BREAKOUT CHART.'
*** The yellow line on the chart is a simple wave count, and not affiliated with Elliot Wave Theory, just for clarification.
Enjoy the ride.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
XRP | Know what you hold!XRP went on an absolute tear starting on November 3rd through mid-December during the 'Trump election pump,' but has pulled back and consolidated heavily. Even though we had a nice pump a few days ago when President Trump released his U.S. Crypto Reserve tweet, which featured XRP in the first position on the list, the price action has now retraced the majority of that move.
I wouldn't write off XRP just yet, and regardless of whether it drops more from current levels, there isn’t a crypto on the entire market that has the potential that XRP does moving forward—in my opinion.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
XRP - Food For ThougtThe total supply of XRP tokens is capped at 100 billion, ensuring that no more than 100 billion XRP tokens will ever be created. As of now, approximately 52% of the total supply is in circulation, with the remaining tokens held in escrow accounts by Ripple Labs.
Currently priced at $2.54 per token, transferring $1 billion via the XRP Ledger (XRPL) would require 393,700,787.4 XRP. However, if XRP were valued at $100,000 per token, only 10,000 tokens would be needed for the same transaction.
You might be thinking, "That would mean the XRP ecosystem, if fully distributed, would be worth $100 trillion... IMPOSSIBLE!" But let's delve into some numbers. Every day, approximately $5.7-6 trillion is transacted in the foreign exchange (FOREX) market. Annually, this equates to $2.1 quadrillion. If just 5% of that volume were moved across the XRPL, it would amount to $105 trillion. And this doesn't even account for the tokenization of stocks or real estate, which also see trillions in volume.
The Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT) system processes an average of nearly 50 million messages per day. While the exact monetary value of these transactions isn't publicly disclosed, it's estimated to be in the trillions of dollars daily. It's important to note that SWIFT and FOREX serve different functions in the financial world. So, in addition to FOREX moving $2.1 quadrillion annually and SWIFT handling another quadrillion, that's a massive volume of transactions. We now know that the XRPL ledger has recently been connected to SWIFT.
So, is a $100,000 XRP a pipe dream? Far from it. Bitcoin has hovered around $100,000 based on user sentiment. XRP represents an infrastructure of value.
XRP drops 47.5% over 18 days after setting a new all-time high.The crypto market crashed today, dragging down virtually every cryptocurrency you can imagine. XRP saw a drastic decline along with the broader market, losing 47.5% since setting a new all-time high was set just 18 days ago. This has many people worried that the decline may continue, but this drop also changed XRP's structure dramatically, merging what were previously two bullish wedges into a single broadening wedge.
If you look closely at the standard Fibonacci levels that I use—based on what I call the "equilibrium zone"—you’ll see that the uppermost and lowest Fib levels align perfectly with the price high and low throughout that 18-day period.
Although the overall market feels bearish right now, as the average retail investor's emotions run off the scale due to the incredible devaluation of their digital asset portfolios, experienced traders and investors see this drop as an opportunity.
There’s no guarantee that this is the bottom or that price will recover the higher levels that have now been lost. However, in my opinion, the chart pattern we now see as a result of this drop has amazing potential if price continues to hold above the lowest green Fib level.
It was a painful day for some and a day of incredible gains for others (shorts), but the game never stops being played. Dust yourselves off, catch your breath, get your game plan together, and keep moving forward.
Good things will come to XRP in due time.
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
XRP is just getting started. XRPBTC chart has lots of room left.XRP has made some spectacular moves since the "Trump election pump" began on November 4, 2024, but we haven’t seen anything yet. Bitcoin has been absorbing hundreds of billions of crypto investment dollars during this timeframe, but when money starts fleeing Bitcoin in search of more undervalued assets, XRP will be the prime beneficiary.
Bitcoin is obsolete and is being rejected by countries around the world as a consideration for strategic crypto reserves. ETH is too energy-inefficient and costly to use. XRP is the only viable option. Plus, with RLUSD, the ability to on-ramp or off-ramp has never been easier or more efficient than it is right now.
Get ready!
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
XRP bullish wedge pattern update.XRP is kicking butt and taking names. After my previous post, XRP broke sharply to the downside along with the broader crypto markets, sweeping all the liquidity below the current bullish wedge pattern in which it is trading, then reversing course and quickly returning to the equilibrium zone. If you weren't bullish on XRP before that downside move, you should definitely be bullish now. A recovery of that magnitude in such a short window of time is EXTREMELY BULLISH!
I would not be surprised if we see a bullish move to the upside in short order.
Good luck, and as always, use a stop loss!
XRP is holding its own in the equilibrium zone.XRP has been holding its own in the wedge pattern that it is currently trading in. Although it has the potential to form a bearish divergence on the weekly RSI, it appears that XRP is getting ready for another leg to the upside.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
XRP is forming a 'potential' bearish divergence on the weekly.XRP looks to be forming a potential minor bearish divergence on the weekly chart. I still think that XRP has plenty of room to run, but we need the bullish momentum to continue in order to negate what could be a minor bearish divergence on the weekly chart.
I'm not saying that it's definitely going to form, or that it will necessarily be bearish, but it has the potential to do so. This is something that we, as traders and investors, need to be aware of and take into consideration, depending on the trades you're considering.
Just something to think about.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
The pattern identified in THE XRP BREAKOUT CHART continues...The pattern that I identified in mid-2024, where the price action forms a fair value gap followed by an 8-month candle pattern (3 + 5), and then breaks out on the 8th candle, is playing out exactly as predicted many months ago. This means that if the pattern, which has occurred identically four times thus far, repeats for a 5th consecutive time, we can expect an incredible period of price appreciation following the breakout of the 8th candle in the month of May 2025.
I believe that around mid-April to early May, we will see a 'flash crash' type of liquidity run on the sell-side liquidity before the 8th candle breaks out as predicted.
Prepare to be amazed!
Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
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XRP | Buy/Sell-side Imbalance\Inefficiency + Buy/Sell-side Liq.Markets consist of three things:
- Time
- Price
- Liquidity
All of the green lines represent Buy-side liquidity. All of the red lines represent sell-side liquidity. The price will seek areas that are inefficient in order to correct them, and it will also seek high concentrations of liquidity to fill large orders, and to stockpile coins for future market delivery.
Keep you eye's on these SIBI/BISI areas, as price will be drawn to them like a magnet.
SIBI -
Sell-side imbalance: There is an excessive supply of sell orders in the market, indicating a dominance of sellers.
Buy-side inefficiency: At the same time, there is a lack of effective buying pressure, meaning that buyers are not able to absorb the available sell orders.
BISI -
Buy-side imbalance: There is an excessive supply of buy orders in the market, indicating a dominance of buyers.
Sell-side inefficiency: At the same time, there is a lack of effective selling pressure, meaning that sellers are not able to absorb the available buy orders.
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
'THE XRP BREAKOUT CHART' - May predict the month of the breakoutTHE XRP BREAKOUT CHART is a chart I created to show a very interesting trend that I discovered within XRP's monthly chart. Four times in XRP's previous price action history, prior to periods of significant price appreciation, XRP formed a FVG (fair value gap), as shown in the white boxes, which consisted of three candles. Then, while within that FVG, price broke out on the 8th candle four consecutive times. Three of these four FVG breakouts were preceded by, or included, a single liquidation candle breaking below the lower trend line. Regarding current price action, we just saw the pattern liquidation candle this past July. So, it appears that this trend will continue for the next breakout of the current wedge pattern.
However, the key takeaway is that the pattern FVG has not formed, which means, as of this month (October), if the pattern is to repeat for a fifth time, then we are at a minimum of eight months away from the breakout we have all been waiting for.
The herd—retail investors and YouTube influencers—believe, in sync, that the breakout will begin in mid-December, continue through January, and peak around late February to early March. According to this chart, they’re all wrong.
I believe that incredible price appreciation is coming in the future, but I think this pattern will repeat. That means the breakout of the current wedge pattern, at the earliest, will be sometime around mid/late summer to early fall of 2025, most likely on the 8th monthly candle within the next FVG formation. But when will the first three candles form?
Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
XRP LIQUIDITY HUNT COULD CAUSE ANOTHER 18% - 19% DROP.XRP is very likely to seek liquidity below the lower wedge trend line before moving upward again. It's probable that the price will wick down to the $0.50 level to grab liquidity resting under the previous low. However, if it seeks additional liquidity, the price could drop to the $0.43 level before we see a significant reversal. If that occurs, this could be a great opportunity for a quick short to that level, followed by a reversal trade for the ride back up.
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
Can the price of XRP really go that high? This chart shows how it could be possible for the price of #XRP to reach the coveted $589 price target. I'm not a big fan of these extravagant price targets in short time periods, but I do firmly believe that they are attainable given enough time and the right circumstances.
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
Feast your eyes on THE XRP MOON CHART!I've seen a metric ton of charts explaining why XRP is going to break out soon and run to new all-time highs, but I think this chart is the single most compelling chart of them all!
This is the 3-month chart, and although it doesn't provide us with an accurate breakout date, it does present a solid pattern that has been exhibited in the current wedge formation numerous times.
In the previous wedge, a drop below the trendline signaled a massive run up to the top trendline. From the previous wedge to the current wedge, and within that same wedge, each time the price dropped below the lower wedge trendline, it appreciated greatly, significantly piercing the top trendline area.
The current 3-month candle has dropped below the current wedge trendline, signaling another period of significant price appreciation to come. Since the current candle is very near the end of the wedge, it will most likely be the final appreciation period of the current pattern, not only piercing the upper trendline but also appreciating to the point that it establishes the beginning of a whole new, much higher-priced wedge in the process.
In the coming months, I believe there will come a point where XRP investors and spectators alike will all be picking their jaws up off the floor! If this plays out, it’s going to be incredible!
Enjoy the ride! It’s not getting to the top of the mountain that counts; it’s the journey that got you there that you will remember!
Good luck, and always use a stop loss!