Market Analysis: Crude Oil Price RisesMarket Analysis: Crude Oil Price Rises
Crude oil is recovering and might rise toward the $78.40 resistance zone.
Important Takeaways for Oil Prices Analysis Today
- Crude oil is recovering losses and trading above the $74.30 support.
- There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance near $73.50 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price found support near the $72.40 zone against the US Dollar. The price formed a base and started a recovery wave above $73.50 and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The bulls were able to push the price toward the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $78.42 swing high to the $72.42 swing low. Besides, there was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance near $73.50.
The hourly RSI is near the 65 level, but the price is struggling near $75.50. The next resistance is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $78.42 swing high to the $72.42 swing low at $76.15.
A clear move above the $76.15 could send the price toward the $77.50 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $78.40 level. Conversely, the price might start a fresh decline from the $75.50 resistance.
Immediate support sits near the $74.30 level. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is $72.40. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $72.40. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $71.20 support zone.
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WTI Oil Price Unchanged After OPEC+ MeetingWTI Oil Price Unchanged After OPEC+ Meeting
The OPEC+ meeting over the weekend did not have a substantial impact on the price of crude oil. As the chart shows, WTI oil opened today at $76.72 per barrel, while on Friday it closed at $76.57 – indicating that the decision made by oil producers is ambiguous.
The bullish argument is that restrictions on oil production to maintain its price will continue. According to Reuters, on Sunday, OPEC+ members agreed to extend the production cuts of 3.66 million barrels per day until the end of 2025.
The bearish argument is that eight OPEC+ countries have already signalled plans to gradually phase out voluntary cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day from October 2024 to September 2025.
Goldman Sachs analysts overall assessed the results of the meeting as more bearish for the market. "The communication of a gradual unwind reflects a strong desire to bring back production of several members given high spare capacity," they wrote.
The WTI crude oil chart shows that the market is breaking the upward trend (shown in blue), which we mentioned in our review on 10 May.
Since then, bulls attempted to resume the upward trend, but this only resulted in a false breakout of the psychological level of $80 per barrel on 29 May (indicated by an arrow).
Afterwards, bears regained control and sharply pushed the price below the lower boundary of the blue upward channel, making the downward channel (shown in red), which began in April, more relevant.
According to the technical analysis of the oil chart:
→ the price is near the median line of the red channel – a sign of temporary equilibrium between supply and demand;
→ below the current WTI crude oil price is an important level of $75.75, which provided support back at the end of winter.
If the bulls attempt a comeback (which would require fundamental drivers), the upper boundary of the downward channel may resist the price.
If the geopolitical situation in the Middle East does not escalate, the bears may continue to exert pressure aiming to break the $75.75 level – which would likely slow inflation and benefit the current U.S. administration ahead of the upcoming presidential elections.
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WTI Crude Oil Price Shows Bullish Trend Ahead of OPEC MeetingWTI Crude Oil Price Shows Bullish Trend Ahead of OPEC Meeting
As the chart indicates, on Monday, the price of WTI crude oil rose by approximately 1%.
Reuters reports that the bullish sentiment is driven by:
→ the upcoming OPEC+ meeting scheduled for 2 June;
→ expectations of high fuel demand with the start of the summer driving season and holiday season in the US.
Conducting a technical analysis of WTI crude oil on 10 May, we drew an ascending channel in blue and suggested a scenario of continued price growth within this channel.
Since then:
→ the price formed a low on 15 May at the level of 76.35, but quickly recovered from it. Thus, the bears' attempt to break the low of 8 May at the level of 76.68 quickly failed. In other words, there was a false breakout of the 8 May low.
→ A similar pattern occurred on 24 May – the price dropped below the 15 May low of 76.35, but quickly recovered.
Two false bearish breakouts are a bullish sign. And the strong behaviour of WTI crude oil prices on Monday confirms this.
Analysing the XTI/USD chart today, it is important to note that:
→ the price movement in April-May forms a descending channel (shown in red);
→ this decline since 5 April may be a correction within the larger ascending blue channel;
→ the price quickly returned to the blue channel, briefly dipping below its lower boundary;
→ the price is near the upper boundary of the descending channel.
Thus, conditions are being created for the end of the corrective movement. The bears' inability to hold the WTI oil price at new lows may be used by the bulls to resume the upward trend. It is also possible that news related to the OPEC+ meeting will contribute to this development.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: Crude Oil Price Signal Bearish AccelerationMarket Analysis: Crude Oil Price Signal Bearish Acceleration
Crude oil prices declined steadily below the $80.00 support and moved into a bearish zone.
Important Takeaways for Oil Prices Analysis Today
Crude oil prices extended downsides below the $78.00 support zone.
A major bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $78.00 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price struggled to continue higher above $80.00 against the US Dollar. The price formed a short-term top and started a fresh decline below $78.00.
There was a steady decline below the $77.40 pivot level. The bears even pushed the price below $76.50 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the price tested the $76.30 zone. The recent swing low was formed near $76.31, and the price is now consolidating losses.
Immediate support is near the $76.30 level. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near $75.00. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $73.50. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $72.00 support zone.
On the upside, immediate resistance is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $78.52 swing high to the $76.31 low at $76.80.
The next resistance is near the 50-hour simple moving average and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $78.52 swing high to the $76.31 low at $77.40. The main resistance is near a trend line at $78.00.
A clear move above the trend line resistance could send the price toward $79.05. The next key resistance is near $79.90. If the price climbs further higher, it could face resistance near $81.20. Any more gains might send the price toward the $82.00 level.
Start trading commodity CFDs with tight spreads. Open your trading account now or learn more about trading commodity CFDs with FXOpen.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Heading into pullback resistance, could price reverse from here?XTI/USD is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to the 1st support.
Pivot: 80.16
1st Support: 77.93
1st Resistance: 81.91
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Market Analysis: Crude Oil Price RecoversMarket Analysis: Crude Oil Price Recovers
Crude oil is recovering and might rise toward the $81.20 resistance zone.
Important Takeaways for Oil Price Analysis Today
Crude oil is recovering losses and trading above the $78.55 support.
There was a break above a connecting bearish trendline with resistance near $78.40 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the FXOpen hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil, the price found support near the $76.70 zone, formed a base, and started a recovery wave above $77.75 and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The bulls were able to push the price above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $81.22 swing high to the $76.68 swing low. Besides, there was a break above a connecting bearish trendline with a resistance near $78.40.
The hourly RSI is near the 65 level, but the price is struggling near $79.50. It is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $81.22 swing high to the $76.68 swing low.
A clear move above $79.50 could send the price toward the $81.20 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $83.00 level. Conversely, the price might start a fresh decline from the $79.50 resistance.
Immediate support sits near $78.55. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is $77.75. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $76.70. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $75.00 support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
WTI Oil Price Recovers Quickly From March LowsWTI Oil Price Recovers Quickly From March Lows
On May 8, the price of WTI crude oil fell below $77 per barrel for the first time since March 11. But on the morning of May 10, it was above $79 – an increase of almost 3% in less than two days.
Several factors contributed to the significant rise in the price of WTI crude oil. According to
Reuters, among them:
→ Increased oil demand from the United States. Data released on Wednesday showed a drop in US crude oil inventories, driven by increased refinery utilisation.
→ Growing demand from China. Data published on Thursday showed an increase in oil imports.
→ Ongoing concerns about possible supply disruptions due to escalating conflict in the Middle East. Negotiations to end hostilities between Israel and Hamas failed, and Israel attacked the Palestinian city of Rafah.
On April 19, we wrote about the possibility of a bearish breakdown of the ascending channel line, which would be welcomed by the US administration, where the presidential elections are getting closer and closer.
Since then, the price of oil has broken down the median line and the support line at $80.70, which may act as resistance in the future.
The WTI crude oil chart shows that:
→ the price is within the ascending channel, which has expanded two times since the last post according to the principle of parallel channels;
→ the bullish reversal on May 8-9 formed a test of its lower boundary;
→ the exhaustion of selling pressure was indicated by a bullish divergence on the RSI indicator.
If demand from major economies strengthens and the geopolitical environment continues to deteriorate, this could create the conditions for the WTI crude oil price movement within a sustained upward channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
US Crude Oil Benchmark: Implications of Rising InventoriesThe US crude oil benchmark is currently trading around $79.50 on Friday, marking a continued decline from its recent peak of $88.00. This downward trend is attributed to several factors, including rising crude inventories in the United States and diminishing expectations for interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
The Fed's decision to maintain interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, despite persistent inflationary pressures, has contributed to market sentiment. The central bank indicated that it will refrain from cutting interest rates until it has greater confidence in the sustained moderation of price increases towards its 2% target. This stance, described as "higher-for-longer," suggests a prolonged period of unchanged rates, potentially leading to reduced demand for oil as economic activity slows.
In light of these developments, there is a strategic opportunity to consider buying oil at discounted prices. Two buy limit orders have been placed, anticipating a potential increase in oil prices over the next two months. This expectation is supported by historical patterns and insights from the Cot report, which indicates a decrease short positions of Money Managers. Consequently, there is optimism for a rebound in oil value in the foreseeable future.
Falling towards pullback support, could it bounce from here?WTI oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 77.21
1st Support: 75.98
1st Resistance: 80.08
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish bounce?WTI oil (XTI/USD) is trading close to a pullback support that has been identified as the pivot. Could this commodity potentially bounce off this level to climb higher towards the 1st resistance?
Pivot: 78.39
1st Support: 77.21
1st Resistance: 80.10
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Crude oil has a strong bearish momentum, could it fall further?WTI oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could potential reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 80.97
1st Support: 78.33
1st Resistance: 82.56
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Can crude finally find a footing?WTI oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot. Could this commodity potentially stall around this level before reversing to bounce higher towards the 1st resistance?
Pivot: 79.26
1st Support: 77.21
1st Resistance: 80.89
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Approaching pullback support at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementWTI oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot. Could this commodity potentially stall around this level before reversing to bounce higher towards the 1st resistance?
Pivot: 81.38
1st Support: 77.77
1st Resistance: 85.57
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
WTI Crude Oil: Analyzing Rebound PatternsThe WTI (West Texas Intermediate) crude oil market has shown resilience, staging a recovery subsequent to a pullback retracing between the key Fibonacci levels of 50% to 61.8% from the preceding major swing. Notably, the current price action exhibits a divergence pattern, notably intersecting with the levels of prior support. Moreover, a discernible confirmation pattern emerged following a retest of this support, serving as a pivotal factor in our decision to initiate a trade. Furthermore, it's noteworthy that the current price trajectory remains positioned above the 200-period Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP), reinforcing our conviction in the potential for a sustained bullish impulse to unfold.
XTIUSD (US OIL/ WTI) : 1800+ Pips Opportunity| Setupsfx_ |Dear Traders,
Hope you are doing great, US OIL still has high chances of touching the 90.00 region and beyond. Price made correction after rejecting at 87.00, price dropped to 80.00 from where we think price is likely to continue the bullish momentum. However, it is crucial to keep next week news in mind as well.
Good Luck
Potential bullish bounce of 38.2% Fibonacci pullback supportWTI oil (XTI/USD) has made a bullish bounce off the pivot. Could this commodity potentially continue to climb towards the 1st resistance?
Pivot: 83.17
1st Support: 81.86
1st Resistance: 85.42
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Market Analysis: Oil Price Regains StrengthMarket Analysis: Oil Price Regains Strength
Crude oil price is rising and it could climb further higher toward the $85.50 resistance.
Important Takeaways for Oil Prices Analysis Today
Crude oil prices are moving higher above the $82.00 resistance zone.
There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $82.00 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a decent increase against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke the $81.10 resistance.
There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $82.00. The bulls pushed the price above the 50-hour simple moving average and the RSI climbed toward 65. There was a clear move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $85.48 swing high to the $80.59 low.
Immediate resistance is near the $83.60 level. It is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $85.48 swing high to the $80.59 low.
If the price climbs further higher, it could face resistance near $84.30. The next major resistance is near the $85.50 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $87.00 level.
Conversely, the price might correct gains and test the $82.70 support. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near the 50-hour simple moving average at $82.00. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $81.10. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $80.00 support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (XTI/USD) has made a bullish bounce off the pivot. Could this commodity potentially continue to climb towards the 1st resistance?
Pivot: 81.86
1st Support: 80.62
1st Resistance: 85.42
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Approaching overlap support at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementWTI oil (XTI/USD) could fall towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support. Could this commodity potentially bounce off this level to climb towards the 1st resistance?
Pivot: 80.96
1st Support: 76.53
1st Resistance: 87.22
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish breakoutWTI oil (XTI/USD) has made a bullish breakout through the pivot and momentum could carry it up toward the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 84.86
1st Support: 81.01
1st Resistance: 87.77
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Oil Prices: Geopolitical Tensions and Market DynamicsOil prices have once again surged, reaching nearly $88.00 per barrel, despite a recent minor decline. This uptick in prices is occurring amidst a backdrop of geopolitical tensions and a strengthening US Dollar. However, amidst this volatility, it's essential to dissect the various factors influencing oil prices, from geopolitical unrest to economic forecasts and technical indicators.
Geopolitical Tensions and Market Sentiment:
Geopolitical tensions often act as a catalyst for oil price volatility. Conflicts in oil-producing regions can disrupt supply chains and lead to uncertainty in the market. Recent geopolitical events have heightened concerns, contributing to the surge in oil prices. However, it's crucial to note that while geopolitical factors can trigger short-term spikes, their long-term impact is contingent on broader market dynamics and economic fundamentals.
Impact of Economic Forecasts and Electric Vehicle Market Growth:
The International Energy Agency (IEA) recently revised its oil demand forecast for the current year and the next, citing a lackluster economic outlook and the growing market share of electric vehicles (EVs). This adjustment underscores the evolving landscape of energy consumption, with EVs exerting pressure on traditional oil demand. As such, forecasts of slower growth in oil demand highlight the need for adaptability within the energy sector.
Technical Analysis and Trading Strategies:
Technical analysis plays a pivotal role in navigating oil price fluctuations. Assessing indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Fibonacci levels provides insights into market sentiment and potential price movements. Currently, the confluence of signals, including RSI divergence and overbought conditions, suggests caution. Additionally, the absence of a significant retracement to the 78.6% Fibonacci level warrants a strategic approach to setting stop-loss levels and identifying potential entry points.
US Dollar Strength and Interest Rate Differentials:
The recent rally in the US Dollar Index (DXY) underscores market expectations of a widening interest-rate differential between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and other central banks. This divergence in monetary policy influences currency movements and has implications for commodities priced in dollars, such as oil. Understanding the interplay between currency dynamics and oil prices is essential for informed decision-making in trading and investment strategies.
In addition to fundamental and technical analyses, seasonality patterns offer valuable insights into market behavior. By examining historical price trends during specific times of the year, traders can identify recurring patterns and optimize their trading strategies accordingly. Incorporating seasonality analysis alongside other analytical tools enhances the robustness of decision-making processes and mitigates risks associated with market volatility.
Continuation of the bullish bounce?WTI oil (XTI/USD) has bounced off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support. Could this commodity continue to rise towards the 1st resistance?
Pivot: 84.99
1st Support: 83.52
1st Resistance: 87.77
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Disclaimer:
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish bounce?WTI oil (XTI/USD) is trading close to the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support. Could this commodity find support around this level before potentially reversing to rise towards the 1st resistance?
Pivot: 85.57
1st Support: 83.22
1st Resistance: 90.40
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.