Are The Markets Running Out Of Steam? SPY just cant seemed to hold above the 600 psychological level.
Are big players unloading into this positive market strength?
Are we due for a larger pullback?
There's a lot of mixed price action and we just cant seem to make a true breakout.
Some names are underperforming and other names are outperforming.
We remain tactically bullish while trimming keys positions into strength.
Being nimble in this market us key as were seeing large intra day swings.
Short term there is some risk of lower price so we have hedged in some individual names while still remaining bullish.
Xyz
Bullish Intraday Patterns Everywhere!SPX had a wonderful intraday hourly chart confirmed breakout. This pattern is bullish and likely will continue higher.
The bulls tomorrow would love to confirm the daily chart breakout and will try to push for that.
SPY/SPX is holding more relative strength than the Q's & IWM which is displaying broad participation.
There are many bullish charts showing accumulation, golden crosses and bullish MA crossovers.
The DXY appears to be wanting to break down to around $97.00 which should yield more upside.
We secured profits today on SPY 594 calls & NVDA 144 calls.
We still remain net long and see the S&P 500 over $6000
Apple, XYZ, AI - are bullish setups were continuing to manage.
SPY, SPX, IWM, Natural Gas, NVDA, XYZ, AI - Analysis- Markets sold off into the NVDA rally this morning.
- Small afternoon rally turned indices back green
- Major pre market high levels up ahead likely allow us to push higher in coming days.
- NVDA should retest its premarket high levels.
- Profits secured on AI calls!
- Structurally indices are still bullish and remain above key levels.
- Yields see nasty reversal lower and look to be going down.
- Natural Gas trying to lure investors with a bottoming tail - but i think its false hope.
XYZ breakout imminent? Block NYSE:XYZ looks like it's getting ready to breakout.
It was impressive to see this stock holding relative strength today as the markets were under pressure and selling off.
The OANDA:SPX500USD & NASDAQ:QQQ sold off and this stock closed green.
2 bullish patterns can be observed on the daily chart. A bull flag and and inverse head and shoulders.
The major indices broke key ranges to the downside and this stock has traded in a tight range.
XYZ Block Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold XYZ before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of XYZ Block prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 58usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-5-2,
for a premium of approximately $3.40.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$XYZ pullback would be a gift for longsNYSE:XYZ back in bull trend here since tapping the 50 psych level. The 100WMA showing some confluence here with bull flag + trendline break from last month's disaster.
Fibs also coincide with some of the idea here with us currently in the golden zone
Short term, I'd take a stop here below 52.50 as it can get ugly back to 50, and would consider taking another long there at 50.
For now, 53-54 range looks good for long pullback. 54.60 is the 333SMA on the 1HR chart here. Looks like a great spot for starter entries. If the pullback does not come, a break above 57 (pm highs TODAY, 4/23) should see a nice push towards 60 psych level which could see some strong resistance. Targeting 62 if we break 60.
Leaps look great here with all this confluence. Easy stop below that 50 psych.
Targets on chart are assuming we do not get a pullback tomorrow. If we do, the r/r becomes much better to the long side. This chart does not look good for bears. Options flow
Thoughts on XYZ?
Block | XYZ | Long at $64.84Block's NYSE:XYZ revenue is anticipated to grow from $24 billion in FY2024 to $32 billion in FY2027. With a current price-to-earnings ratio of 13.8x, debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36x, and rising cash flow in the billions, it's a decent value stock at its current price. Understandably, there is some hesitation among investors due to competitive fintech market and economic headwinds. But, like PayPal NASDAQ:PYPL , growth is building.
From a technical analysis perspective, the price dropped to within my historical simple moving average bands. Often, but not always, this signals a momentum change and the historical simple moving average lines indicate an upward change may be ahead. While the open price gaps on the daily chart in the $40s and GETTEX:50S may be closed before a true move up occurs, NYSE:XYZ is in a personal buy zone at $64.84.
Targets:
$80.00
$90.00
$100.00
[*) $134.00 (very long-term)
$XYZ will trade > $100 - Say good bye to double digit for NYSE:XYZ
- This company is innovating better than other fintech.
- Visionary ideas for revolutionizing the finance.
- has capped number of employees @ 12k. Jack has shown financial discipline at NYSE:XYZ as compared to NYSE:TWTR
- GAAP EPS is growing for the next 3 years.
Fundamental wise:
Year | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
EPS | 1.91 | 2.61 | 3.65 | 4.47 |
EPS growth% | 759% | 36% | 39% | 22.46% |
Bear Case (p/e 25 ) | $47.75 | $65.25 | $91.25 | $111.75 |
Base case ( p/e 30) | $57.3 | $78.3 | $109.5 | $134.1 |
Bull Case (p/e 35) | $66.85 | $91.35 | $127.75 | $156.45 |
- Stocks often are forward looking. I believe this year we should trade at $91-$127 range.
- Anything below $78 is accumulation zone for me.
XYZ Block Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold XYZ before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of XYZ Block prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 82usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-2-21,
for a premium of approximately $3.50.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
The Trendsetter XYZSPY journal 10/05
It was a heckish start of the week. I don't have much time, but if I had more, I would spend it watching a hummingbird.
I wonder if that is why 5G was met with such resistance. Latency isn't the problem any longer. Trendsetter XYZ requires more connection density.