GBPJPY Pullback predictionThe trend has always been bullish because YEN is weak asf and BoJ are not doing anything yet to contain the damage. Though this month buyers were unable to break last month high of [200} area which is a multi-decade high. A breach past 201 means more damage for JPY and it will head to 205, 210. A nice push below 199 means a short term pullback towards this month's low area. This move is likely to happen from beginning next month probably on monday. I will be waiting to sell with a tight stop loss above 200.500.
Consolidation zone 190-193 still has to be revisited I think
Let me know what you think on GBPJPY
Yen
USDJPY Short time bearishFor years now Yen has been weak and USDJPY Rose 11% in the last 5 months meaning the trend is bullish . FX:USDJPY Peaked at 160 area last month then we saw some selling pressure which drove the rate to 152 zone {Last year high}
Price rejection since this month open from 158 means we have some selling pressure, Today after US GDP QoQ2 release USDJPY Dropped 900 points too. I would wait to get a favorable long entry points.
Areas of focus 155, 152, lowest 150. Below that the bias turns bearish mid term.
USDJPY WEEKLY OUTLOOK### Weekly Market Outlook
Monday: The week begins quietly with a U.S. bank holiday in observance of Memorial Day, leading to subdued financial markets.
Tuesday: Focus shifts to Japan for the release of the BoJ core CPI y/y. In the United States, the CB Consumer Confidence data will be closely monitored.
Wednesday: Key inflation data from Australia will be released, offering insights into the RBA's upcoming monetary policy decisions.
Thursday: A series of significant U.S. economic indicators will be published, including preliminary GDP q/q figures, unemployment claims, and pending home sales. These data points are crucial for understanding the U.S. economic trajectory.
Friday: The week concludes with several important releases. Japan will report its Tokyo core CPI y/y and industrial production data. The eurozone will release its CPI figures, the final print before the next ECB meeting. In the United States, the core PCE price index m/m, personal income m/m, and personal spending m/m data will be released, providing a comprehensive view of recent consumer activity.
Throughout the week, several FOMC members are scheduled to speak, potentially offering insights into future monetary policy. Additionally, Barclays suggests that month-end rebalancing might signal strong dollar selling, a factor to consider in trading decisions.
In the U.S., CB Consumer Confidence is expected to decline from 97.0 to 96.1. Analysts at Wells Fargo highlight a discrepancy: consumer spending has recently increased, while consumer confidence has declined since the beginning of the year, reaching its lowest level since 2022. This decline in confidence may stem from persistent concerns about rising prices, despite a drop in inflation from its peak. Additionally, a slight rise in unemployment has contributed to a less optimistic economic outlook.
Technical Analysis:
The price continues to experience bullish pressure towards 157.970, with a potential further rise to 159.820 upon breaking this level.
A correction to 156.590 is possible before resuming the bullish trend. The bearish scenario will be triggered if the support line at 156.590 is broken, potentially leading to a drop to 155.940 and 155.445
Pivot line: 156.590
Resistance line: 157.970, 159.82, 161.820
Support line: 155.950, 155.450, 154.700
The expected trading range is between support 155.450 and Resistance 157.970
previous weekly idea:
GBPJPY near the current highest point of this year#GBPJPY EASYMARKETS:GBPJPY
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sell 154.92 and tp 152.10 with stop loss at 156.2..rr 2.5i sell it coz even when dollars down he not down and so many ti_me BOj talk about to intervene.
i think they will do soon and if not a big pullback have to happens
u can put ur stop lost at 155.6 if u want a bertter RR but i scare about a big leg up
GBPJPY - Over-Bought Zone 📉Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 GBPJPY has been overall bullish, trading within the rising channel in blue.
At present, GBPJPY is approaching the upper bound of the channel acting as an over-bought zone.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong round number $200.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the green zone and upper blue trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPJPY approaches the circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GBP/JPY H4 | Potential bullish bounceGBP/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 196.93 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 194.90 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 199.52 which is a level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection level.
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USDJPY at an important barrier#USDJPY EASYMARKETS:USDJPY
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BOJ Intervention Again⁉️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
EUJPY is currently approaching a massive supply zone marked in red.
For the bears to take over again and start the next bearish impulse movement, a break below the last major low in gray is needed.
Meanwhile, EURJPY would be bullish short-term and can still trade higher.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
USD/JPY H4 | Potential bullish bounceUSD/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 155.33 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 154.84 which is a level that lies underneath the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 157.03 which is an overlap resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBP/JPY H4 | Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistanceGBP/JPY is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 195.44 which is a pullback resistance that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 197.55 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 191.71 which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY Trendlines Analysis, Bullish and Bearish ScenariosIn technical analysis, a trendline is like a road that the price of a stock, currency, or other asset follows. Imagine it as a path where the price keeps bouncing up and down. This bouncing happens because of statistical probability – just like how certain things tend to happen again and again. However, that these bounces aren't always successful. Sometimes, the price can break past the trendline, like a car veering off its path. This is called a breakout. When a breakout occurs, it often signals a significant change in the direction of the price movement. Traders use breakouts to make decisions about buying or selling assets based on whether they think the breakout will continue or if it's just a temporary detour.
Eur/jpy Wonderful trade 150pips Closed!!Based on what i was looking on usdjpy , I saw all the yen pair retracing as we reference UJ as a liquidity pair that set the direction of other pairs of yen. so we got into yen as explained on the weekend. hope everyone enjoyed the breakdown!!
Thank you . please follow for more forex analysis
USD/JPY H4 | Heading into overlap resistanceUSD/JPY is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 154.70 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 156.38 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 152.20 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPJPY:🟢Buy opportunity🟢As you can see the price respected the bullish daily FVG and created the bullish breaker that comes with bullish FVG.
If the price retests the bullish breaker block, it can be our entry; keep in mind we need LTF confirmation for entry.
In this scenario, we can target Daily bearish FVG and also the liquidity above relative equal high.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️06/05/2024
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
USD/JPY H4 | Potential bounce off overlap supportUSD/JPY is trading close to an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 151.97 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 150.15 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 100.0% Fibonacci projection level.
Take profit is at 154.70 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Eur/jpyI will look all the yen pair based on my analysis on usdjpy.
As USD/JPY has higher interest differential compared to eur/jpy ,so it would follow similar pattern.
this is the usd/jpy analysis
So I think there is an opportunity to get into the countertrend setup to the level of resistance before we analyze for short!!
Follow me for another Setup
Yen Wobbles, Gold Gleams: A Stirring in Global Currency MarketsThe foreign exchange market witnessed a tug-of-war this week, with the Japanese yen (JPY) taking center stage. Speculation surrounding potential intervention by Japanese authorities to prop up the weakening yen against the US dollar (USD) sent ripples through the currency landscape. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), a broad measure of the greenback's strength, dipped, impacting the price of gold, which became more attractive to some buyers.
The Yen's Woes: Intervention or Market Forces?
The Japanese yen has been on a depreciating streak recently, driven by a widening gap between Japanese and US interest rates. Japan's central bank, the Bank of Japan (BOJ), maintains an ultra-loose monetary policy with near-zero interest rates, while the US Federal Reserve is signaling a more hawkish stance with potential interest rate hikes on the horizon. This disparity makes yen-denominated assets less appealing to investors seeking higher returns, pushing the yen's value down.
The recent rumors of intervention suggest that Japanese authorities are concerned about the rapid depreciation of the yen. A weaker yen can be a double-edged sword. While it makes Japanese exports more competitive in the global marketplace, it also pushes up the cost of imported goods, leading to potential inflationary pressures within Japan.
Intervention's Effectiveness: A Double-Edged Sword
Currency intervention involves a central bank buying or selling its own currency to influence its exchange rate. In this case, buying yen would aim to strengthen it against the dollar. However, the effectiveness of such interventions depends on various factors.
• Market Sentiment: If the market heavily anticipates further depreciation, a one-time intervention might have a limited impact. The BOJ would need to signal a sustained commitment to supporting the yen for a more significant effect.
• Ammunition: Intervention requires significant financial resources. The BOJ's foreign exchange reserves would play a crucial role in its ability to sustain intervention efforts.
The Greenback's Sway: DXY Dips, Gold Gleams
The US Dollar Index (DXY) gauges the value of the US dollar relative to a basket of major currencies, including the euro (EUR), the Japanese yen (JPY), the British pound (GBP), and others. This week's dip in the DXY indicates a weakening of the US dollar against this basket of currencies.
This can be attributed to several factors, including:
• Profit-taking: After a period of strength, some investors might be taking profits from their dollar-denominated holdings.
• Global Risk Aversion: Increased global uncertainty due to geopolitical tensions or economic concerns can lead investors to seek haven currencies, potentially weakening the dollar.
Gold's Allure: A Beneficiary of a Weaker Dollar
Gold is often perceived as a safe-haven asset during times of market volatility or economic uncertainty. When the US dollar weakens, gold becomes cheaper for buyers holding other currencies. This week's dip in the DXY could be contributing to some increased interest in gold.
However, gold's price is influenced by various factors beyond the dollar's strength. Interest rates, inflation, and investor sentiment all play a role.
Looking Ahead: A Dynamic Landscape
The global currency market remains a dynamic environment, and the events of this week highlight how various factors can interact and influence exchange rates. The future direction of the yen and the DXY will depend on a combination of economic data releases, central bank actions, and broader market sentiment.
Here are some key factors to watch in the coming days:
• BOJ Policy Statements: Any signals from the BOJ regarding potential adjustments to its monetary policy could impact the yen's valuation.
• US Economic Data: Upcoming US jobs reports and inflation data can influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions, potentially impacting the DXY.
• Geopolitical Developments: Global events with significant economic implications can trigger market volatility and impact currency valuations.
By staying informed about these developments, market participants can make informed decisions about their currency positions and potentially take advantage of market opportunities.
USD/JPY H4 | Potential rebound off 78.5 Fibonacci retracement?USD/JPY is trading close to a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 152.80 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 150.15 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 100.0% Fibonacci projection level.
Take profit is at 154.70 which is an overlap resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Minor rebound after strong pullback?GBP/JPY has just bounced off the pivot. Could this FX pair potentially climb higher towards the 1st resistance?
Pivot: 191.80
1st Support: 190.17
1st Resistance: 193.38
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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USD/JPY H4 | Falling to 61.8% Fibonacci supportUSD/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 154.60 which is a pullback support that aligns close to a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 152.48 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 156.91 which is a level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
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Can this Falling Wedge save the Japanese Yen?The Yen has taken quite a beating this year, but upon analyzing its price action I noticed it is currently inside a falling wedge which usually breaks upwards most of the time, so perhaps this pattern can help rescue it from further demise. We will know soon enough as its nearing its apex. *not financial advice*