GJStopped out.
We watch and wait.
Rejection of 184.15
- we anticipated to keep going up after the break and retest
Yen
GBPJPY H4 | Potential bearish reversalGBP/JPY has just reacted off a pullback resistance and could potentially drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 184.180
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Stop Loss: 185.087
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Take Profit: 181.874
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDJPY H4 | Potential bearish breakoutAUD/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially break under this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 96.517 which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 97.050 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 95.836 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci projection level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
UJBeautiful entry and the timing is perfect.
Stay watching 144.00.
- break and close above will see impulses up to test previous highs
- bounce and close will see the melt continue
GJWe clearly have an early tendency, meaning we need more confluences before entering.
Following the wave and awaiting a new entry chance in order to fully succeed here.
Stay watching 183.5
- rejection candles and impulsive bearish candle means we keep sinking
- break above, close and rejection above here we are moving up
GJWas about to put a buy limit at 183.45 but then I looked left and looked at what happens after price kisses 184.35.
4H
- Movement up has a lot of traffic (candlesticks)
- HH's & HL's
* Evening star giving us that last touch
- bounce on 183.5 is crucial point for next move
- Close below 183.24, with a followed reject we know we are going down
1H
* H&S
- break of neckline(183.5) will give us another confluence
* RR is in our favour for this POSSIBLE trade
UJI have no reason to be bias but you can obviously see the appeal.
4H
* High (146.00), tested twice
*Low (140.200), triple bottom
1H
* Trend = Bearish (Zoom Out)
* Rejection of 146.00
* 1 more confluence and we place sell stops and market execution
15Min
- just wait for market open and candlestick close
- this trade is very profitable, inline with our plan
- wait for it to come to us
EURJPY, USDJPY, GBPJPY: Thoughts and AnalysisWelcome to 2024 Traders and Tradingview community. So far this week, we have seen plenty of volatility to start the new year. Crypto has seen solid moves, and the USD has been mainly positive into the first week of the year.
The JPY has also been seeing movement, but mainly to the downside into 2024. It's the majors that have caught our attention today as we have watched higher moves contnue. We have run over the USD, GBP, and EUR to the JPY and reviewed what we like and what we are looking for to see further higher moves and possibly new trends or continuations develop.
What do you think? Could we see new continuations if we see pullbacks and new higher highs?
NZDJPY H4 | Approaching pullback resistanceNZD/JPY is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 89.046 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 89.520 which is a level that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level and also sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is between 88.600 and 88.457 which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GJWe were triggered and stopped out.
Which is good news because we know exactly what it means for out support, that it is still valid.
We should then be looking for buy entries, either from retests or reverse candlesticks.
UJThis did not pan out the way we expected.
But because we had sell stops and they weren't triggered we are still okay, now we wait for the move to the next level before we add or minus anything.
USDJPY Outlook (1st Qtr 2024)Is it going to be the same story again for the USDJPY?
In 2022, the USDJPY climbed to reach just below 152 before turning down to the 128 support level. The similar price movement played out in 2023 as the USDJPY rose from the 128 support level to retest the 152 resistance level.
The USDJPY has reversed down to the 140 price area (50% Fibonacci retracement level), primarily due to the weakness of the DXY as markets began to price in rate cut scenarios from the US Federal Reserve. This move lower was also due to rumors that the BoJ could end its ultra-loose monetary policy at the December 2023 meeting.
However, the BoJ has so far maintained its current policy stance as it continues the fight to bring inflation down to its 2% target level.
The longer the BoJ persists with its negative rates regime in 2024, this could continue to bring weakness to the Yen. Combined with some retracement on the DXY, the USDJPY could retest the 143-144 price area (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) in the short term.
Look for the BoJ to signal a plan for policy normalization in 2024, to lead to further downside.
However, it'll be crucial for the USDJPY to break below the 138-round number support and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level before we can see a significant downside to the 128-support level again.
UJWe had the wrong thought and were in the opposite direction which is okay because that trade was not taken. Due to low confluences and a weak RR, so technically we were correct in our analysis but wrong in our forecast.
GJThis trade has me excited because we followed our rules and it paid of.
Yet in my truth of trades, I moved my SL into profit, got stopped out then TP Hit.🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
So I appreciate that I did not donate to the market but also that the analysis was inline with the market movement.
UJHere is the short version of the sell bias which will also prove that we are still going down. It is not a trade will be looking for as the RR is not in my favour. None of my triggers have been hit.
I will wait and watch, because I have running sells with GJ I don't want to have a bias.
I want a clean and clear reason as to why I would take those sells, not just because it's happening one side.
USDJPY142.00
Most important number here. Whatever happens here will determine our next move.
This buy possibility is only based on a break up through 142.00 and then reject (Support) on it where we will see it fight and reverse back.
- We need a long rejection to confirm
- We have what is forming a double bottom (only 1 confluence)
- More candlesticks showing slowing down will help confirm
If it rejects at 141.5, we will see it go back down and continue with how it has been currently moving. The sell bias is the probability, the buy bias is the possibility.
- Current candlesticks confirm continuation
- Momentum is downwards
- Trend is still bearish
GJThese are sell stops which I had placed on the 26th of December 2023, I got caught up and forgot about them. The market is currently not moving so I am at risk of losing these.
Having not paid attention I could potentially hit the risk I had planned to lose.
I had seen how the market pushed in between two price points (Blue rectangles).
Found the probability and the possibility.
Set my Trades up.
And now we are following through but if we continue the way we are going, we can actually scale in with where the market currently is. This is only advisable once we move SL into profit, above the previous high (about 179.86)
I'll keep an eye on it when the market opens and act accordingly.
UJThis went well.
Double top where both almost knocked out the trade.
What it showed is that, that zone was highly sensitive and a great place to have a sell stop and place 2 more trades.
NZDJPY H4 | NZD/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 89.280 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 88.350 which is a level that sits under a pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 90.408 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
NZDJPY H4 | Potential bullish bounceNZD/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take profit target.
Entry: 89.249
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Stop Loss: 88.992
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 90.405
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDJPY H4 | Falling to 38.2% Fibo supportAUD/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 96.377 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2 Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 95.330 which is a level that sits under a pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 97.452 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
CHFJPY H4 | Approaching overlap resistanceCHF/JPY is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 167.390 which is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 169.06 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 165.725 which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
