USDJPY D1 | Falling to 38.2% Fibo supportUSD/JPY is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 146.560 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 144.30 which is a level that sits under an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 149.055 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Yen
JPY Declines on Q3 GDP Loss.Japan's GDP for Q3 2023 has absolutely crashed by -2.1%. After a very good Q1 & Q2 growth, the markets & economy caught onto what was really happening.
They unloaded the magical money printer…
They printed out a ton of new money to prop up their economy. This has been exposed by their consumer spending collapsing. With inflation high, consumers have less to spend which is affecting their GDP this quarter. So after the fake ‘demand’ presented in Q1 & Q2, the economy can no longer keep up the facade from money printing.
Soft Landing with Dollar Softening Will Bring Out The BearsHaving been in USDJPY for the past 3 months, the time has come for all bearish confluences to line up and for the Yen to get on the correct side of currency value with help from a dollar that is set to decline. There will be no more rate increases. America is on the edge. JPowell knows it. Not financial advice. I see a fast furious dump coming down to the 1.44 and lower
What Next For The Yen?In Karate, offense is the best form of defence. The BoJ knows it. Japan faces a raft of economic headwinds which shows up in Yen’s performance.
The BoJ intervened strongly last year to support the currency when it skirted around current levels. Yen is hovering at those levels again. BoJ is anticipated to act. Such interventions typically mark the bottom.
This paper explores recent economic data to analyse the potential for monetary policy changes by BOJ.
JAPANESE MACROECONOMIC CONDITIONS HAMPER YEN FROM STRENGTHENING
Starting September, the Yen has trended lower relative to the USD among currency majors.
The Yen has weakened the most. As described previously , BoJ’s aims to kickstart the economy onto a high growth trajectory to exit decades of painful deflation.
Recent macroeconomic data indicates weakness. This reaffirms the need for continued loose monetary policy. However, a frail Yen poses a different type of challenge for the BoJ with higher import costs for fresh food and fuel.
This leaves the BoJ in a predicament between loose monetary policy and intervention to support the Yen. What does recent inflation, GDP, and wage data point to?
Inflation
Inflation declined M-o-M in September. CPI cooled to 2.8% falling below 3% for the first time in a year. Importantly, Japan’s producer prices are now below 2% in a sign that inflation might have peaked.
Consumer prices will fail to prevail above 4% for long with input prices moderating. The BoJ expects inflation to persist until March next year at current levels and to cool towards target rates in the following 12 months.
GDP Growth
The Japanese economy shrank 2.1% YoY in Q3. This is far below expectations of 0.6% decline and a sharp slowdown from +4.5% growth in Q2. Slow economic growth makes economic stimulus essential to sustain it.
Wages
Nominal wage growth continues to decline. Real wages are even more concerning. Wages have declined for the last 18 months when adjusted for inflation.
Next Shunto negotiations are set to complete by mid-Jan 2024 with outcome remaining uncertain. The BoJ highlighted that wage uncertainties and price-setting behaviour pose upside risk to prices.
Meanwhile, high inflation will keep impacting real wages, affecting people's ability to spend.
THE BANK OF JAPAN IS STUCK BETWEEN A ROCK AND A HARD PLACE
At the October monetary policy meeting, the BoJ announced changes to the bond yield cap. The Yield Curve Control (YCC) policy and range were kept unchanged.
However, a small modification was made to change the 1% JGB yield cap from a rigid one to a loose reference. These changes hint at BoJ setting itself up for the eventual roll-back of the YCC policy altogether.
Next BoJ policy meeting is set for December 19th. The BoJ will likely maintain stimulus and hold rates low amid feeble consumer & business spending.
The policy change will be through YCC dismantling, impacting the JGB market. It will require careful planning and deft timing.
Meanwhile, the BoJ may intervene to stem continued Yen weakness. The officials have expressed this sentiment over the last two weeks via warnings for participants shorting the Yen over the past two weeks.
Japan’s Ministry of Finance (MoF) intervened three times last year, injecting USD 68 billion to support the Yen when it was trading near 150/USD. These interventions, unannounced, led to sharp and unexpected currency moves.
Unlike previous exchange rate-based interventions, the BoJ’s current predicament revolves around volatility and public perception.
Reuters reports that if Japan aims to prevent yen appreciation, the MoF will issue short-term bills to raise Yen, which is then sold in the market to weaken the currency. Alternatively, to curb Yen depreciation, authorities will tap into Japan's FX reserves, exchanging dollars for the Yen.
In recent weeks, Japanese authorities have issued warnings and expressed readiness to intervene as the Yen continues to weaken, despite a moderating USD.
Masato Kanda, Japan's top currency official, emphasized the urgency of their judgments and the potential for intervention, resonating with rhetorics used a year ago.
MIXED SIGNALS FROM CURRENCY DERIVATIVES MARKETS
Although asset managers are not positioned as net short as they were in late-September, they increased their net short positioning (weakening Yen) last Tuesday. Similarly, leveraged funds also increased net short positioning sharply last week.
Options markets contrarily signal strength in the Yen. P/C ratio for CME Japanese Yen Options (JPU) is 0.42 implying two puts for every five calls. JPUs are quoted with the Yen as the base currency so call options express a view of the Yen strengthening.
Moreover, bullish bets have increased heavily over the past week. Specifically, nearest monthly and weekly contracts (JPZ3 and WJ4X3) show Yen strengthening in the near term. Bullish bets in December options outnumber bearish bets by three times.
Although put open interest (OI) is concentrated near current levels with the highest OI at 0.0066 (151 in USD/JPY), call OI is more spread across with a large OI at strike of 0.0069 (145 in USD/JPY) which has ballooned over the last week. This signals that options market expects Yen strengthening by next month.
Finally, implied volatility on JPU is near its lowest level since March 2022.
Source: CME CVOL
Options skew on JPU is close to one, indicating that premiums on calls and puts are equally priced. Convexity remains elevated signalling investor interest in OTM options suggesting likelihood of sharp moves ahead.
HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP
Given 12-month low implied volatility, a position in JPU can yield cost-effective protection against sharp Yen moves.
Alternatively, with the anticipated stability in Japanese interest rates, a short futures position in CME Japanese Yen futures, as previously discussed in a paper , is a viable approach to capitalizing on Yen's expected weakening. We can tap into JPU to safeguard this position against unforeseen risks of yen strengthening from BoJ intervention.
Furthermore, CME offers weekly options for Japanese Yen futures, expiring from Monday through Friday of the week. This enables investors to attain short-term exposure on a more focused scale, accompanied by lower premiums compared to monthly options.
A long call option position in JPUZ3 (expiring on December 8) would benefit from a BoJ intervention.
The trade setup consists of an entry at a strike of 0.0068 (JPY 147.0588) in JPUZ3 call options. These options are at a delta of 25 and expire in 30 days providing a good trade-off between low premium and adequate exposure to the underlying.
As of settlement on November 17th, premium for these options stood at USD 245 at an implied volatility of 8.26%.
Source: CME Options Calculator
The position breaks even at 0.00682 (JPY 146.6275) and turns profitable when (a) underlying futures price increases above strike price, and/or (b) implied volatility increases.
Source: CME QuikStrike
MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
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USDJPY: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: USDJPY
Pattern – HL Continuation
Support – 149 - 149.15
Resistance – 151.80 - 149.65
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at USDJPY on the daily chart.
Today's video asks if USDJPY has further to fall or if we will see buyers continue to find some support from 149- 149.15. For now, price continues to trade below the last fast trend, but we haven't seen a new move back to the next trendline.
Traders will watch this week's FOMC meeting minutes to see if it continues to guide the USD lower as previous data and Fed comments have done.
Good trading.
USDJPY H4 | Approaching swing-high resistanceUSD/JPY is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 151.794 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection level.
Stop loss is at 152.570 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension levels.
Take profit is at 150.375 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
PIMCO Is Buying Yen to Brace for Imminent BOJ Monetary Policy ShPIMCO, one of the world's leading investment management firms, has taken a significant position in buying yen, indicating their preparedness for an imminent tightening of the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) monetary policy.
The BOJ has long been known for its accommodative stance, but recent economic indicators and signals from policymakers suggest a potential shift towards a more hawkish approach. PIMCO's move to buy the yen serves as a clear indication that they anticipate the BOJ to take actions that could strengthen the Japanese currency.
Given PIMCO's reputation and expertise in navigating global markets, their decision to buy yen should not be taken lightly. It is crucial for us to consider the potential implications of this move and the impact it may have on the USDJPY currency pair.
Given these developments, I strongly encourage you to consider a short position on USDJPY. While this decision ultimately rests in your hands, weighing the potential risks and rewards is important. As PIMCO's move suggests, a tighter BOJ monetary policy could lead to yen appreciation, thereby weakening the US dollar against the Japanese yen.
Timing is of the essence, and it is essential to act swiftly in the face of this potential shift in the market dynamics. I recommend conducting thorough research, analyzing market trends, and consulting with your trusted advisors before making any investment decisions.
As always, it is essential to remain vigilant and adaptable in these uncertain times. The global financial landscape is constantly evolving, and it is our responsibility as traders to stay informed and make informed decisions.
If you have any questions or require further assistance, please do not hesitate to reach out. Together, we can navigate these challenging market conditions and seize the opportunities they present.
Wishing you success in your trading endeavors.
USDJPY: Trendline breakout, wait for retestLooks like USDJPY has broken down through the rising trendline, there was a slight recovery at the backend of Friday, this indicates we could see a short retracement from here to test the trendline break, and then down.
The Yen performed well at the start of Friday, I don't believe this was BoJ intervention, as they have said that they expect the fundamentals to play out - we'll see, bad data from JPY this week may necessitate intervention, however good data on Friday (PMI) will I think be enough to start the recovery process for the Yen.
If Japan looks like it's going to have a soft landing then I think markets will reward the Yen with a more positive sentiment and this could mean we get a lot of good action for these crosses.
I think the USD is done being bullish for now (even the hawkish speakers cannot convince the markets), so either way I think we'll see this pair fall, so monitoring LTF's for a suitable entry / rejection from the retest point.
A break below 148.5 will see a more sustained move to the downside, imho.
USDJPY BUY TO $153,300 (1D UPDATE)🚀UJ has been dropping heavily for the past few days. Still expecting another 300 PIPS drop towards our Wave IV zone, before the final bull run towards $153.300 starts📈
Upon completion of this final impulse move up, we can look to start positioning ourselves into a MULTI-YEAR downtrend. This could be 1 of a lifetime opportunity!
USDJPY: 3 Line Strike at the PCZ of a Bearish BatSimilarly to around the same time last year when USDJPY was at these levels, it had developed a 3 Line Strike at the PCZ of a Bearish Harmonic, and if it goes like last year, this will result in at least a few months of downside on this pairing.
There is also some Bearish Divergence formed on the RSI at this level.
Additionally, there is a much bigger Macro Bearish Butterfly setup that can be seen here:
USDJPY H4 | Bearish reversal of swing-high resistanceUSDJPY is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 151.774
Why we like it:
There is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection level
Stop Loss: 152.424
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level
Take Profit: 150.260
Why we like it:
There is a swing-low support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDJPY H4 | Bounce off 38.2% Fibo supportAUDJPY could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to rise higher towards our take profit target.
Entry: 97.506
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 97.025
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 98.583
Why we like it:
There is a swing-high resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDJPY: Interesting zone, continue up or Double top reversal?We're at the top end of the range for this pair, I am expecting BoJ to start backing its currency.
I've recently noticed some negative correlation between USDJPY and the other XXXJPY crosses, so where USDJPY falls the others have been more bullish.
That said if the BoJ get involved it will tank all of them.
I'm not 100% what I really think will happen here, I think the Friday pinbar suggests there's more upward momentum, but will be very cautious if I trade as anything against the Yen (@which is staggeringly weak against everything).
I'm opting for a move up and would keep a tight and chasing SL in place.
USDJPY Analysis 10-11-23Yesterday, we were anticipating that the USDJPY could trade lower on further weakness of the DXY.
However, as the DXY strengthened, we see the USDJPY trade higher to approach the key resistance level of 151.70.
Expect to see choppy price action at this level, but the overall directional bias should see the USDJPY retest the resistance level and possibly even 152 before a possible reversal (either due to an intervention from the BoJ or just due to an accumulation of sell orders at the resistance level)
USDJPY H4 | Running into resistance?USDJPY is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 151.703
Why we like it:
There is a swing-high resistance level
Stop Loss: 152.087
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level that aligns with the 100.0% Fibonacci projection level
Take Profit: 150.579
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDJPY H4 | Potential bullish reversalAUDJPY is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level and rise up to our take profit target.
Entry: 95.779
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 95.450
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 96.570
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Celebrate the Yen's Historic Low Against Euro and Dollar Picture this: the yen, once a mighty force in the currency market, is now presenting us with an incredible chance to capitalize on its current weakness. It's time to put on your trading hats and consider going long on the yen!
Now, you might be wondering, "Why should I care about the yen's historic low?" Well, my fellow traders, let me break it down for you. A weaker yen means that it takes more yen to purchase the same amount of euros or dollars. This situation can lead to potentially lucrative opportunities for those who are willing to take action.
Here's where the excitement builds up: by going long on the yen, you have the chance to profit from its potential recovery against the euro and the dollar. As the yen gradually strengthens, you can ride the wave and watch your profits grow. It's like catching a rising star in the currency sky!
So, how can you seize this golden opportunity? Here are a few steps to get you started:
1. Conduct thorough research: Dive into the current market trends, analyze historical data, and keep an eye on any relevant news or economic indicators that may impact the yen's future performance.
2. Develop a trading strategy: Craft a well-thought-out plan that aligns with your risk appetite and trading goals. Consider factors such as entry and exit points, stop-loss orders, and profit targets to maximize your potential gains.
3. Stay informed: Continuously monitor the market and stay updated on any developments that may affect the yen's trajectory. Being aware of market sentiment and adapting your strategy accordingly will help you stay ahead of the game.
4. Utilize risk management tools: Remember, trading involves risks. Implement risk management techniques such as setting appropriate position sizes, using stop-loss orders, and diversifying your portfolio to protect your investments.
5. Seize the moment: When you feel confident in your analysis and strategy, take action! Execute your trades and keep a close eye on the yen's performance to make timely adjustments if needed.
Remember, my fellow traders, fortune favors the bold! The yen's historic low against the euro and the dollar presents a unique opportunity for those who are willing to take action and ride the potential wave of yen appreciation. So, let's embrace this exciting moment and make the most of it!
USDJPY: Still waiting for BoJ InterventionI don't believe the BoJ have gotten involved yet, or if they have it's going under the radar.
I believe this pair has only slipped due to USD retracement following the NFP and softer labour market data last week.
With retailers now net short I think that we'll see another push back up. We have broken my rising wedge line related idea, however unless we break below 1.487 then we're still in the uptrend.
I now see it as unlikely we'll get to 154 and the BoJ intervention will surely come if necessary (it may not need to if USD keeps falling).
Overall no confirmation of reversal so I'm long again when I et the LTF signal, but setting 151.65 as the target with tight SL (and will keep moving it up) as I don't want to get caught in a buy up here.
Let's see what this week brings.
NZDJPY H4 | Rising into resistanceNZDJPY is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 89.696
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Stop Loss: 89.919
Why we like it:
There is a swing-high resistance level
Take Profit: 88.940
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBP/JPY eyes retest of YTD highWhilst USD/JPY remains range-bound within a tight range just beneath 150, GBP/JPY appears to be making a break higher.
The daily chart remains in a strong uptrend and momentum has recently realigned with that trend. Prices have teased the retracement line ahead of the UK open, so we're either looking for prices to break above the prior swing at 138.82 high or pull back towards 182 to buy the dip, in anticipation of a break higher.