AUD/JPY Forecast: Analyzing the Future OutlookThe Aussie Yen made an attempt to breach the key resistance levels of 94.93 and 95.05. It successfully surpassed these levels during trading on Friday, but encountered resistance, preventing further upward movement. In this week, my strategy entails vigilant monitoring of the 95.05 zone, with the intention of executing a trade aimed at returning to the established trading range from that point onwards.
Yen
USDJPY I Above 147.90 will pave retest to 151.90Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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AUDJPY H4 | Rising into resistance?AUDJPY is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 94.937 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level.
Stop loss is at 95.550 which is a level that sits above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level.
Take profit is at 93.748 which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money..
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Double top on EUR/JPY hourlyLast week we outlined a bearish bias on the daily EUR/JPY chart, due to its elongated bearish candle below 160 following an established RSI divergence on the daily chart.
The 1-hour chart shows a strong move lower from the August highs, followed by choppy price action and a lame attempt to recoup half of the losses sustained from the initial drop - which suggests it is a corrective move.
momentum has turned lower on the 1-hour chart, so the bias on the 1-hour chart remains bearish below 158.53 and for an initial move to 157.80. We also expect lower prices given the structure on the daily timeframe.
Gold Traders Reap Double Return with Yen vs. DollarHave you heard the exciting news? A golden opportunity has emerged in the world of trading, where gold enthusiasts can now reap double returns by exploring the potential of the Japanese yen against the US dollar. Brace yourselves, as we delve into this thrilling venture that promises to elevate your trading game to new heights!
Unleashing the Power of Yen:
While gold has always been a reliable investment, it's time to consider the untapped potential of trading gold in the yen. The Japanese yen has shown remarkable strength against the US dollar, creating a perfect storm for traders to maximize their profits. By capitalizing on this unique currency pair, you can unlock a world of opportunities and potentially double your returns.
Why Yen for Gold Trading?
1. Diversification: Trading gold in yen allows for diversification, reducing the risks associated with relying solely on the US dollar. This strategy enables traders to spread their investments across different currencies, mitigating potential losses.
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3. Market Volatility: The yen's volatility against the dollar presents an excellent opportunity for traders to capitalize on price fluctuations. This dynamic environment creates a fertile ground for astute traders to make well-timed moves and maximize their gains.
Call-to-Action: Embrace the Yen-Gold Duo Today!
Are you ready to embark on a golden journey that promises double returns? Don't miss out on the chance to trade gold in yen and seize the potential for greater profits. Here's how you can get started:
1. Educate Yourself: Equip yourself with the knowledge and understanding of the yen's performance against the dollar and the factors influencing gold prices. Stay updated with market trends, news, and expert opinions to make informed trading decisions.
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Conclusion:
Dear traders, the world of gold trading has just become even more enticing with the yen's remarkable performance against the dollar. By embracing this unique opportunity, you can unlock the potential for double returns and take your trading journey to new heights. So, don't wait any longer! Equip yourself with knowledge, choose a reliable platform, develop a solid strategy, and embark on this golden voyage today. Remember, the yen is calling, and it's time to answer!
Disclaimer: Trading involves risks, and it is essential to conduct thorough research and seek professional advice before engaging in any trading activity.
USD/JPY coming to the strong resistanceUSD/JPY has been consolidating in a narrow range of 145-147 for the past three weeks. The pair is demonstrating an accumulation and should breakout soon. The reversal zone is a big potential, at least for 100 pips.
The hurdle for raising rates this month is higher, implying the possibility for US Dollar falls.
Next stronger reversal zone possibility is at around 148.80, but light shorts right now can be placed.
USD/JPY overreacts to rate hike signal from BoJ? A huge gap in USD/JPY has appeared to start the week after comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda about a possible end to its negative interest rate policy (NIRP). In a Saturday Yomiuri newspaper interview, Governor Ueda mentioned that by the end of the year, the BOJ could accumulate enough data to assess whether the conditions are present to raise interest rates. Ueda comments follow a series of hawkish comments by BOJ officials in recent weeks amid inflationary pressures within Japan.
On Monday morning, USD/JPY retreated from its 10-month peak of 147.87. It traded down to 145.89, found resistance just below 147.00, before finding a home around 146.56.
Is the market overreacting to Ueda’s comments though? His talk of an exit doesn’t suggest any big changes to monetary policy this year at least, and moving from –0.10% to non-negative rate is symbolically important, but the BoJ (Bank of Japan) rate is still 5 percentage points behind the Fed’s. Knowing this, would you be surprised if the USD/JPY begins its assent again? US CPI (Consumer Price Index) data out this Wednesday could be a catalyst for the pair to target 147.00 again, depending on whether price pressures rise more than expected (currently the consensus is for a rise from the current 3.2% to 3.5%)
CHFJPY I Short-term buy and potential move lowerWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** CHFJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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EURJPY: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: EURJPY
Pattern – Range support test post LH trend break.
Support – 157.05 – 155.85
Resistance – 158.40 – 159.40 (area)
Thanks for checking out today’s update. Today, we have run over the EURJPY, breaking down the overall price picture and levels we are watching.
The JPY has started the week on a strong note with solid gains so far to the EUR, GBP and USD. The GBPJPY is also showing similar signs to the EURJPY, but we zoned in as there have been a few price signals in a row that could be backing up a new move by sellers.
Sellers continue to test the range bottom after breaking the fast trend and setting up a new lower high around 158.40 resistance. From here, if sellers are going to try a new run, we would like to see a decent to strong close lower that beats the range and 157.05 support base. Then, we will look for a new move lower that could test 155.85 or below.
If price can fight back and close back above 157.05, this could be a sign that seller strength might not be that strong.
Have a great day and good trading.
EUR/JPY Forecast: Analyzing the Future OutlookThe pair has maintained a sustained upward trajectory for an extended period. Building on the success of our last week’s analysis, we anticipate a continuation of this upward trend in the upcoming week’s trading session. Our strategy is visually represented by the arrow’s direction on the chart. Stay tuned for more comprehensive updates in the forthcoming week.
GBP/JPY Forecast: Analyzing the Future Outlook Last week, the asset saw a downward movement, although it didn’t reach our entry before the movement. Throughout, we held onto the hope that the price would reach our entry point for an upward move, which it eventually did. Our analysis relies on retracements within crucial support and resistance zones. The chart indicates our outlook for the upcoming week with an arrow. Stay tuned for more updates throughout the week.
IRANIAN RIAL YEN Bullish:New IRR Nuking all Majors Making HighsNew Reforms, Strong economic dats, Higher Oil and Gold Prices, Higher Vommodities, and new deals skyrocket Iranian Rial nearly all Major FX including Yen.
The break of next ressitane is 15 years Highest Highs of the IRR that is now holding tones of Western countries Bonds, including US, and benefitting of risng US bonds
The Yen Bull-Bomb is Ticking!JPY continues to be sold. USDJPY is nearing the previous intervention area of 148-151. The BOJ needs to do something. They are starting to feel the squeeze.
Today, the bomb started to tick. The BOJ has suggested they will do all possible to strengthen the Yen. They have two significant weapons: intervention and interest rates.
Intervention - This will bring an initial bullish shock to JPY pairs, like in October 2022. This could see a 400-600 pip move on USDJPY. Followed by a short-term retrace move. In November 2022, this retrace move was 2000 pips.
Interest rates - A rate change is BIG news for the Yen. Possibly, the Nikkei also. This is significant because monetary policy shifts from negative to zero or positive rates. This change could end the JPY selling. A change in monetary policy may be enough to reverse the Yen. Intervention may not be needed.
The JPY could weaken further before the BOJ steps in. Price may even reach highs of 152+, but the bomb is now ticking. The ball has started to roll. Today marks the beginning of the end. Prepare for some manic JPY buying.
I traded the last BOJ intervention. My timing was off twice (I was too early), but I caught the intervention move third time lucky. It resulted in my most profitable FX option trade to date.
DO look to trade this.
BEWARE of the downside risk on ***JPY pairs.
EXPECT slippage if you are short the Yen when and if intervention kicks in.
USDJPY H4 | Falling to 38.2% Fibo pullbackUSDJPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially reverse from here to bounce higher towards our take profit target.
Entry: 146.559
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 144.537
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Take Profit: 149.178
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
✨ NEW: USDJPY ✨ DT SWING✨-SL @ 150.00 🚫
SLO @ 148.90 (conservative) ⏳
SSO @ 147.75 (moderate) ⏳
TP1 @ 142.66 (shaving 25%)
TP2 @ 139.15 (shaving 25%)
TP3 @ 136.60 (shaving 25%)
TP4 @ 132.60 (closing ALL Sell Orders)
BLO @ 129.33 (1D) ⏳
-SL @ 128.25 🚫
ADDITIONAL INFO:
📈 Price Action is nearing our SLO. Just a few more pips to the upside, our SLO will trigger, and it's off to the bank after that.
📉 Let's catch this DT and enjoy the ride because it's gonna be a long one.
📉 Also, I placed a pending SSO, just in case we don't get our SLO filled
NZDJPY H4 | Falling to Fibo confluence levelNZDJPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 86.184 which is a pullback support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the -27.2% expansion and the 100.0% projection levels.
Stop loss is at 85.500 which is a level that sits under the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and a swing-low support.
Take profit is at 87.137 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money..
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Yen weakness continuesThe Japanese yen weakness persists despite the US dollar retracement.
As the price breakout of the brief consolidation and trades below the resistance level of 146.50, look for a breakout above the resistance level to signal further upside, with the next major resistance at 147.30, the previous swing high
EURJPY: Bearish Butterfly with PPO Confirmation and DivergenceEURJPY is trading at the HOP level of a Bearish Butterfly while Bearishly Diverging on the MACD and printing a Bearish PPO Confirmation Circle just a few days ago as it broke the 21-day SMA. If it continues on this path, I'd expect the EURO to lose most if not all of the 2023 gains it's made against the Japanese Yen.
EUR/JPY: Has it topped?A multi-month bearish divergence has formed on the EUR/JPY daily chart. And whilst the trend remains bullish, it has made harder work of gains in recent months whilst the bearish divergence formed.
There's also reason to suspect BOJ members are getting read to increase their verbal warning shits, with one member yesterday remining traders that they are watching currency movements. And with a renowned ECB hawk making a slightly dovish comment, EUR/JPY posed its worst daily gain in five weeks on Thursday.
The near bearish engulfing candle (the open was slightly below Wednesday's close), a growing case for a yen reversal and euro top, makes us suspect EUR/JPY is at or very near an inflection point.
From here, bears could seek to fade into minor rallies below 160 in anticipation for an initial move lower to 155.50.
USDJPY H4 | Rising towards swing-high resistanceUSDJPY is rising towards the sell entry at 147.238 which is an swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse from here to drop lower.
Stop loss is at 148.600 which is a level that sits above a significant swing-high that took place in November 2022 and the 100.0% Fibonacci projection level.
Take profit is between 145.850 and 145.591 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): **
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.