UJCOOL STUFF
The skill stays getting sharpened. We were inline with the market and the direction with the ghost pattern. Now we reset and put in our channels to watch just how we are going to face this week. With the month end approaching UJ has a sensitivity to Fundamentals, especially those with many orders placed by other traders. If we do get a trade this week, I will probably only post mid trade or at the end of the trade.
Yen
GBPJPY: Bearish Outlook Explained 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY is falling after a test of a key horizontal resistance.
The price formed a double top pattern with a lower high
and successfully violated its horizontal neckline.
I expect a bearish movement to 180.53 / 179.88
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USDJPYThis is the simplest way I can explain this because the way I try to put down my ideas is not easily understood. The Ghost Patterns are what I would require in order to take a sell. Not going to risk it but going to use experience and proper planning in order to successfully trade. No guessing, the blue levels are the significant levels which are sensitive to movement.
CHFJPY Try to understand the movementAs we can see, at 2h Timeframe it is very clear that the price made a channel pattern, and yesterday it has broken through the resistance. where will the price go? from my point of view and how the candle moves ( you can see the daily candle ), the price will go to the strong area and will come back again. what's unique from here is that I found the possibility of a triple top pattern occurring
let see,
dyor
Japan Yen's Strengthen Secure a True Low Volatile HedgeAs the Federal Reserve tightens its monetary policy and inflation rates continue to drop, the Japan Yen has steadily strengthened. This trend presents a unique chance to diversify your trading positions and capitalize on Yen's increasing value. By incorporating the Yen into your portfolio, you can potentially shield yourself from market volatility and enhance your risk management strategies.
Why choose the Japanese Yen, you may ask? Well, let me share a few compelling reasons:
1. A Safe Haven Currency: Historically, the Yen has been considered a haven currency during economic uncertainty. It's stability and low volatility make it an attractive option for traders seeking a reliable hedge against market fluctuations.
2. Economic solid Fundamentals: Japan boasts a robust and resilient economy supported by technological advancements, a skilled workforce, and a commitment to innovation. These factors contribute to the Yen's strength and make it an appealing choice for traders seeking stability.
3. Diverse Trading Opportunities: The Japan Yen offers many trading opportunities across various currency pairs. Whether you prefer significant pairs like USD/JPY or exotic pairs like EUR/JPY, the Yen's liquidity, and popularity ensure ample chances to profit.
Now, it's time for action! Don't miss out on leveraging the Japan Yen's strengthening trend.
Here's what you can do to seize this opportunity:
1. Evaluate Your Portfolio: Assess your current trading positions and identify areas where the inclusion of the Japan Yen could enhance your risk management and diversification strategies.
2. Stay Informed: Keep a close eye on market indicators, economic news, and central bank policies that may impact the Yen's value. This knowledge will help you make informed trading decisions and maximize your potential profits.
3. Collaborate and Learn: Engage with fellow traders, attend webinars and seminars to gain insights and exchange ideas about trading the Japanese Yen. Sharing knowledge and experiences can be invaluable in refining your strategies.
Remember, the forex market is ever-evolving, and adapting to new trends is crucial for success. Adding the Japan Yen to your trading arsenal can unlock a true low-volatile hedge and amplify your gains.
IRRJPY LONG Iranian Rial getting stronger vs Japanease YenIran’s currency hits record low amid tensions with the West
Depreciation of the rial comes amid boiling tensions with the West and continuing protests in Iran.
On Sunday, the United States dollar went past the 450,000-rial mark for the first time on the open market.
On Sunday, the central bank said it will soon raise the maximum amount of currency that can be sold to an individual annually from 2,000 euros ($2,176) to 5,000 euros ($5,439) in an apparent effort to show it has no shortage of currency.
The cap was introduced after the US unilaterally abandoned the 2015 Iran nuclear deal with world powers in 2018 and imposed harsh sanctions, triggering a new currency crisis in Iran.
To combat currency devaluation, Iran’s police force has periodically announced the arrest of dozens of currency speculators in recent months.
Japan's Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki kept up verbal warnings on Tuesday against the yen's depreciation, saying he would respond appropriately if currency moves became excessive.
At the end the interest rates differential between 2 countries are important.
Which country offers more interest rates for your money? That currency is the winner
EURJPY H8 - Short ContinuationEURJPY H8
We keep following both EJ and GJ together because of the correlation, EJ seems to be leading the way for the moment, which is attractive thus far, as we hope it paves the path for GJ to follow suit.
The zone similar to our 180.00 handle on GJ has broken here on EJ. Which is promising for the expectation of more downside.
USD/JPY bears are at risk of being 'caught short'USD/JPY has been playing nicely with our analysis of late, having rallied to 145 and close the 300-pip liquidity gap we warned of before accelerating lower this week in line with our bearish bias.
But given levels of support nearby and a few metrics on hand, bears may want to be cautious around current levels.
USD/JPY is trying to close lower for a fifth day - which is a bearish sequence not seen since December (and April 2021 prior to that). It's current 5-day decline is also its most bearish since December, and 5-day moves between -3.5 to -5% tend to snap back higher. But it is also around the midway point of the congestion zone which formed in June, which are areas which can prove to be 'sticky' once retested.
With all these clues combined, we suspect a pause in the bearish move is imminent at a minimum (if not, a countertrend move seems more likely). Whether it can bounce hard and fast today is likely dependent upon whether US inflation comes in hot or not. But with so many indication of an inflection point, bears may want to refer to lower timeframes fore their shorts to avoid getting 'caught short' at the end of the cycle.
CADJPY I BOC Rate Statement Trading PlanWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** CADJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
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CADJPY: Retracement Expected FirstI'm expecting a retracement from this pair soon. it's massively over-bought, that said I think it will push up to just past 110 to meet resistance before it does. I've got my alerts set at 110.
Being over-bought is not a determining factor, we can see that recent previous high levels were more overbought than they are now, before retracement.
I can also see that the loose monetary policy of BoJ continues to negatively affect the value of the Yen, and this doesn't look set to change, so I'll be waiting and watching - if we break resistance then we could be heading all the way up to 116 - 118 (last seen in 2007), but I do think we'll retrace first, down to 106.5 so could be around 350pips.
I'll be using LTF's and wait for confirmation before executing any trade.
GBPJPYWe took a late entry on this, not were our forecast was but we still made enough to add to our daily target. We reached it and crushed it. Did not expect to go in and out that quick but remember we do not own the market we are just participants of the movement.
Even after everything has happened there is still more information we need to pick up in order to prepare. We use as much information as the market gives us in order to plan and then trade.
GJA strong retest would have better had it happened before the drag down. I had not yet set my sell stop but had put this on my chart. There I'll wait before entering.
The blue rectangle was an area of sensitivity, our channel was showing the pullback/slow down of the big trend. Now we are in a new phase, so we watch for fakeouts and long bearish pressure
UJThis is the first wave of our upside.
Rejected and bounced back up, therefore showing 142.00 is our support and as such we expected the bullish move. Now we wait for break of structure and retest of the break and continuation before entering.
With clear and direct rules, we mess with money and miss what the market says according to our plans.
GJWe would like to see a break of structure whether upwards or downwards in order to take a trade. The chanel we are stuck in suggest we should expect a break upwards but with refinement and zooming in to see candlestick formations we are seeing a possibility for the downtrend.
Either way we wait for break and retest then entry before a definitive forecast is made.
182.00 is our basis for support and 184.00 is our basis of rejection.
EURJPY: Breakout & Bearish Continuation 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY broke and closed below a solid horizontal demand zone on 4H.
The broken structure turned into resistance.
Retesting that, the price formed a double top pattern on an hourly time frame.
Its neckline is now broken.
I expect a bearish move to 156.0 / 155.6 levels.
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Nikkei break out? - China's JapanificationThe recent Nikkei rally is bringing it ever closer to that "magical" 30,000 level which it hasn't touched since the late '80s collapse.
IFF a breakout occurs, expect a collapse in all XYZ/JPY pairs - since, true to form, every equity/hedge fund in the world is expected to pile in.
Internal Chinese (export/import) numbers are showing a fair pick up in exports - post Covid - BUT a very anemic internal demand, with import numbers steadily surprising to the down-side (by a lot!). Simultaneously Japanese heavy industry is racking up some solid numbers lately, especially in regard to steel, automobile and electronic components.
All of this is fueled by an abating chip shortage, giving world wide car production a boost.
E.g. Watch the Nikkei price action and fully expect a blinding YEN rally should that 30,000 level get blown away!
🔥 NEW: CHFJPY 🔥 DAY TRADE 🔥VERY AGGRESSIVE POSITION
-SL @ 161.66 🚫
SLO2 @ 161.55 ⏳
SLO1 @ 161.44 ⏳
TP3 @ 161.38 (closing ALL Buy Orders)
TP2 @ 161.17 (shaving 25%)
TP1 @ 161.04 (shaving 25%)
BSO @ 160.85 ⏳
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AUDJPY: Classic Bull Flag PatternI'm expecting further strength for the Aussie this week, and weakness from the Yen against it, so I'm looking for a long.
We may fall-back to the 38.2 fib but then I think we'll see a strong move upwards, breaking out of the bull flag.
We've seen this retracement as the pair became over-bought, but we now seem clear for a continuation upwards.
I'm keeping a close eye here for signals and confirmation using LTF's.
GBPJPY: Bullish Pattern... Again! 🇬🇧🇯🇵
No surprise, GBPJPY is trading in a bullish trend.
However, after the price reached, 183.77 level at the end of June,
the pair started to consolidate.
The market formed a cup and handle pattern on 4H time frame.
Its neckline breakout will be a very strong trend-following signal.
4H candle close above 183.88 will confirm the breakout.
A bullish continuation will be expected to 184.5 level then.
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EJ TradesSupport forming on 15m chart, with the Yen weakening, theres little prevention against depreciation.
Id expect the EUR to rise against the Yen, I am placing a buy order at the bottom of support targeting the rejection to resistance.
We have sen over recent month's the dollar slowly eating away at the Yen, from this im predicting the EUR will follow.