USDJPY Outlook 6th March 2023The USDJPY reversed strongly from the 137 round number resistance level, trading lower through the session on Friday, ending the week at the 135.80 price area.
This move lower, as we know was due to the weakness in the DXY, hence, if the weakness continues, the USDJPY could continue trading lower, down to retest the 135.35 key support level.
The USDJPY could see significant volatility this week, given that the JGB 10yr yield had recently breached the 0.5% ceiling and the BoJ monetary policy statement is due to be released (and it is Kuroda's last meeting as Governor).
If the price breaks below the immediate support level, the USDJPY could see significant downside potential, with the next key support level at the round number level of 134.
Yen
CADJPY: Nice 5:1 SpottedSpotted a nice move here, we've broken through and retested resistance (now support), whilst respecting the long term dynamic trendline on the daily.
I'm going to get involved with this 5:1 opportunity.
I don't expect JPY to be weak for too much longer so I'll be watching this one closely!
USDJPY Outlook 3rd March 2023Overnight, the USDJPY climbed steadily to the upside, reaching the recent high and round number resistance level of 137.
However, the price failed to break the resistance level, retracing lower down to the current level of 136.61.
While further upside could be expected especially if the DXY continues to strengthen, watch out for significant volatility on the Japanese Yen with the recent news that the Japanese bond yields have again risen above the 0.5% ceiling previously set by the BoJ.
On 20th December 2022, when the BoJ increased flexibility by increasing the bond yield ceiling, the USDJPY spiked from the 137.17 level down to 133.50 within the hour.
In the meantime, look for the USDJPY to consolidate along the current price level (supported by the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level) before trading higher again with the 138 key resistance level a target level.
Cheeky long for USD/JPYUSD/JPY is grinding higher on the daily chart, although it seems wary of the 200-day MA overhead. But at the same time, it looks as though it at least wants to test it (and is sat near the daily R1 pivot).
Prices have pulled back on the 1-hour chart in a corrective fashion, and the corrective lows found support at the 50-hour EMA and a previous swing high. Prices are also trying to hold above the daily pivot points.
- The bias is for an upside break due to the underlying trend, and that is something a strong ISM services report later today could help with.
- The initial target is 137, ahead of the daily R1 / 200-day MA,
- The bias remains bullish above 137.40
FX Opportunities 2nd MarchWow! As we forecast yesterday, the market is shaping up incredibly.
Today we have brought in some £ pairs as we have some very high probability trades that could be forming. These would be textbook, low risk set ups.
Also a small lesson on NZD/JPY for us all to learn from myself included which I feel could take so many losses off the table for people.
Rushing positions will not help at this point. Be patient and know what to look for. Good luck!
USDJPYHi
USDJPY has been examined in different dimensions:
1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system.
2- The structure of recently formed waves
3- Current market momentum
4- The structure of classical and price patterns
In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis.
In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.
Joe Gun2Head Trade - CHFJPY facing stiff resistance on dailyTrade Idea: Selling CHFJPY
Reasoning: At resistance on the daily. Possibly forming a top on the 60min.
Entry Level: 144.92
Take Profit Level: 142.52
Stop Loss: 145.23
Risk/Reward: 8.43:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
GBPJPY: Classic Trend Following 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY remains very bullish from the beginning of the year.
After the last impulsive movement, the market retraced to a peculiar confluence zone.
I see a perfect match between 0.5 retracement of the last bullish leg and a horizontal structure support.
I will expect a pullback from that to 165.0 / 165.7
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
USDJPY - long-term viewMy wag we'll see a diagonal in JPY where wave (3) and a of (4) are complete, next few months will take to finish wave b and c of (4). I'd expect another move up in a zig-zag fashion to new highs. That would either be completion of a larger wave C of an irregular flat or wave 1 of the larger degree. Time will tell.
EURJPY ForecastWe have two potential scenarios for the EURJPY. Unfortunately, none of them will give is a good trading opportunity in the short term.
Scenario A
The corrective cycle that started in October 2022 is not over, and we will see another wave down before ending wave 2 in the primary degree (green)
What to do in scenario A?
In this scenario, when the price reaches the green Inflection zone, we will buy EURJPY
Scenario B
This corrective cycle ended on January 2023, and we have already started wave 3 in the primary degree.
What to do in scenario B?
The EURJPY will need to break the highs created on October 2022 before looking for buying opportunities in a shorter time frame cycle.
In conclusion, in the short term, we do not expect that EURJPY can provide us with good trading opportunities. We will continue analysing it for you and updating you accordingly if the market structure changes
Please remember to do not to risk more than 2% of your account on each trading idea
Joe Gun2Head Trade - USDJPY Stalling as 5th wave completes?Trade Idea: Selling USDJPY
Reasoning: USDJPY Stalling as 5th wave completes?
Entry Level: 136.725
Take Profit Level: 135.36
Stop Loss: 137.05
Risk/Reward: 3.5:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Looking for a bullish breakout from USD/JPY's consolidationA bullish engulfing candle formed on Friday thanks to a hot US inflation report. The fact that incoming BOJ governor Ueda delivered a dovish message at his confirmation hearing simply adds to our bullish conviction on USD/JPY.
Prices are now consolidating on the 1-hour timeframe, so we'd welcome any pullback towards the weekly pivot point to consider long setups, with the next bullish target sitting around the weekly R1 pivot (137.30). The OBV remains elevated to suggest the rally has been supported by bullish volume, so we're also on guard for a bullish breakout from the current consolidation.