USD/JPY Pulls Back to 146.33 Amid Rising Yen and Fed Rate CutThe Japanese Yen is gaining ground against the US Dollar, with the USD/JPY pair pulling back to 146.33 as I write this. This upward movement is fueled by Japan's second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth, which exceeded expectations and bolstered the case for a potential near-term interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ).
Despite this, the USD/JPY pair has found support from a stronger US Dollar, buoyed by rising Treasury yields.
From a technical standpoint, the price is currently retesting our identified Demand area, where we’ve already initiated a long position. Retail traders remain bearish, while commercial traders are starting to increase their positions.
The recent US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data has sparked discussions about the scale of the Federal Reserve’s potential rate cut in September. The market is leaning towards a modest 25 basis point reduction, with a 60% probability, although a larger 50 basis point cut remains a possibility, with a 36% chance according to CME FedWatch.
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Yen
USD/JPY H1 | Falling to overlap supportUSD/JPY is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 145.37 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 143.90 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 148.13 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USD/JPY: Seeking dips above 144USD bears are getting quite excited at the prospects of a dovish speech from Jerome Powell on Friday. Perhaps a bit too excited. Market pricing has been quite dovish for some time now, so he will really have to crank up the dovish music on Friday to justify the latest surge of USD selling.
USD/JPY fell over -12.5% from the July high to August low, yet formed a higher low above the Dec/Jan lows. We suspect a deeper retracement against that initial drop could be due.
However, momentum is trying to turn lower on the 4-hour chart. Out bias is bullish while prices remain above 144, and will seek dips towards that level. A false break of Monday's low could work nicely (assuming prices pull back that far), in anticipation of a move back towards 150.
Asian Currencies May Stall as Jackson Hole Looms Investors will be watching a series of key Asian central bank decisions and inflation reports this week, as regional currencies rally to annual highs.
The Bank of Korea is set to announce its rate decision on Thursday, followed by inflation data from Japan and Singapore on Friday.
The U.S. dollar's slide resumed from last week, with markets embracing a risk-on sentiment. The yen climbed past 146 per dollar, marking its strongest level in nearly two weeks. Further selling could open up the 140.450 mark.
However, Bank of America sees the upcoming Jackson Hole symposium as a game-changer, with Fed Chair Powell possibly striking a more hawkish tone, which could strengthen the dollar. This could make the Asian currencies trades interesting considering the risk-on sentiment that has helped push them to multi-month and yearly highs.
The South Korean won has surged to a five-month high, as the central bank is unlikely to cut interest rates this week. The BOK is expected to maintain its policy rate at 3.50%.
The Singapore dollar has also extended its gains, reaching an 18-month high.
Sony: Positioned for Growth as It Nears All-Time HighsFollowing a healthy market correction, Japanese stock indices are now trading near lifetime highs, with Sony emerging as a standout performer.
The company is a global leader in several key industries, including:
-Gaming
-Music
-Movies
-Photography & Videography Equipment
-Imaging & Sensing Solutions (Semiconductors)
-Financial Services
Sony is also pushing the boundaries of innovation with ventures into new areas such as:
Mobility
Drones
Artificial Intelligence (AI)
Robotics
Satellites
Education
Sustainable Carbon Production from Rice Husks
Technical Analysis:
After a period of correction, Sony's stock has made an impressive recovery, consolidating near its lifetime highs for the past three years. This consolidation signals a strong base for further growth. A breakout from these levels could propel Sony’s stock price to new all-time highs, reflecting its robust positioning across traditional and emerging sectors.
Sony's future looks promising, with multiple growth engines driving potential long-term value for investors.
USD/JPY H4 | Pullback support at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementUSD/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 144.13 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 141.53 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support.
Take profit is at 149.44 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Macro Monday 60 ~ Japanese Yen Recession Signal Macro Monday 60
Japanese Yen Recession Signal
If you follow me on Trading view, you can revisit this chart at any time and press play to get the up to date data and see if we have hit any Yen recessionary trigger levels. Very handy to have at a glance.
The Chart
The chart illustrates how the Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar has followed a similar trajectory as the U.S. Unemployment Rate. The chart demonstrates that the Yen price has behaved in a particular way prior to recessions (red areas). You might be wondering how the Yen can offer insights into economic recessions and how they are linked;
1. Historically, the yen has strengthened during recessions due to the reduction of U.S. interest rates that typically coincides with recessions. When the U.S. Federal Reserve lowers rates, it makes the yen relatively more attractive to investors. With rate cuts highly likely in September 2024 the Japanese Yen is likely to see positive price action against the U.S. dollar.
2. The BOJ has historically intervened to prevent the Yen from becoming too strong. A strong yen negatively impacts Japan’s export-reliant economy. However, this trend shifted in 2022 when Tokyo stepped in to defend the Yen’s value. The BOJ bought Yen after expectations that other central banks would raise rates while the BOJ kept rates ultra-low.
3. In July 2024, the BOJ raised interest rates and signaled further policy tightening. Concerns about the historically weak yen also played a role (evident on the chart by the 30 year low in June 2024). This move, along with U.S. growth concerns, triggered an unwinding of carry trades (where investors borrow cheaply in yen to invest in higher-yielding assets), causing the yen to rebound against the dollar.
The chart along with the above three points are suggesting the Yen may be about to rise significantly in coming months versus USD. This direction of price for the Yen is consistent with the early signs of recession onset, in particular if the Yen increases in value by 22% to 42% (see below).
Japanese Yen vs U.S. Unemployment Rate
The blue numbers and corresponding blue box on the chart suggests that a sudden 22% – 42% increase in the Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar (from below the 0.008200 level) typically precedes recessions. This 22 – 42% increase in the yen is something we can look out for in combination with other recession charts we have in our current armory. See my most recent charts.
▫️ Above we discussed some macro-economic factors that suggest a high probability of the Yen ascending higher. The yen price also made a 30 year low in June 2024 and now appears to be breaking higher.
▫️ We now have levels on the chart to watch; the 22% level and the 42% level. In the event the Yen rises to these levels alongside the U.S. Unemployment Rate continuing to increase, this would significantly raise the probability of recession in subsequent months.
Summary
▫️ The chart captures how the Japanese Yen has followed a similar trajectory as the U.S. Unemployment Rate. When both move in unison up and to the right it typically isn’t a good sign for the economy.
▫️ A number of macro-economic factors suggest the Yen is about to increase e.g. Likely lowering of interest rates in the U.S will make the dollar more affordable to borrow and increase its supply weakening its strength whilst increasing the strength/value of the Yen.
▫️ The chart demonstrates that increases in Yen from below 0.008200 by 22% - 42% typically precede recessions. Theses levels are etched on the chart for you to monitor.
▫️ As the Yen price made a 30 year low in June 2024 and now appears to be breaking higher and with the addition of macro-economic events suggest a higher Yen, its now more important than ever to monitor the Yen and its historic recession trigger levels at 22% and 42%. These are on the chart for your convenience. You can revisit this chart at any time and press play to get the up to date data and see if we have hit any JPY recessionary trigger levels.
Japan Trade Opportunities
Given the higher probability that the Yen is increasing, this heightens the probability of recession, however it also means some Japanese stocks might offer a nice back end currency benefit over coming two years. Do you know any good Japanese Value stocks? If you do, be sure to share them below for some recession proof, back end currency promising trades.
As always, its been a pleasure
PUKA
USD/JPY H1 | Potential bullish bounceUSD/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 146.44 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 145.32 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 148.50 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBP/JPY H1 | Falling to ascending trendlineGBP/JPY is falling towards an ascending trendline support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 188.63 which is an ascending trendline support.
Stop loss is at 187.42 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the ascending trendline.
Take profit is at 190.51 which is a pullback resistance that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USD/JPY H4 | Approaching pullback resistanceUSD/JPY is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 147.90 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 148.65 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 145.51 which is an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPJPY H4 - Short SignalGBPJPY H4
Potential shorts in the firing line here on GBPJPY. This 188.100 price is trading very close to this 188 whole number, we could start to see some resistance, rejections and sell-off from this trading zone. We have previously sold off a huge 3000 points over the last few weeks, one of the biggest corrections we have seen in a VERY LONG time.
It will be interesting to see how we perform during market open in 15 minutes for the UK session. Based on the swing high price dated 01/08/2024 to recent low price dated 05/08/2024, we are also trading at a key 618 corrective level.
AUDJPY Shooort!Following the pullback last week after a massive bearish momentum, I anticipate that the momentum will continue, as the price rebounded to the 0.236 fib level at . My target will be to retest the 0.382 fib level at 90.6, so as to also cover the liquidity grab / gap that was left earlier on.
Entry will be at 96.00, TP at 90.5 and SL at 97.5.
GJ is still generally bearish, 2 scenarios belowAlthough it's generally still bearish, but sometimes GJ surprises us with a move against any bias, so we always need to have 2 scenarios in mind, the explanation is inside the picture itself.
The highest probability will be for a sell but I keep the buy in mind as well.
Here are the trade execution rules:
1. Do not take a trade inside the zone.
2. Wait for the 30m candle to actually close above or below the zone (with a wick) before executing.
3. Trade can be executed on the 15 minutes afterwards
4. Do not trade outside volume-hours, volume hours are 1 hour before London open till 1 hour after it opens, one hour before NY open and one hour after NY open.
Regards, Marwan
US $ YEN one more LOW 140.9 All math points to this target US dollar Yen under Elliot Wave and Fib relationship Still call for another drop to find true support . The wave structure has 4 relationships pointing to the same target all within .4 tenth of one point , I have posted this for good reason I would think that over the weekend or into next week We would see another WASHOUT in the sp 500 and QQQ . I have moved to cash outside a position long msft for june and aug 2025 calls , I have dates of 8/13 to 8/16 as A low point in markets . We are in a battle in the sp 500 and over head res is just at today high and 5400 even . the wave structure can be a series of waves 1 2 1 2 to the upside this would mean wave 4 low is in place and a target of 5888 would be the upside. put/call model says to position on the long side . However The structure can be also counted as a ABC down X A and B in progress which should be followed in a wave C decline below ALL the lows and take out 5118 this would target 2 zones. First 4996 alt is 4888 . I will stand on the side lines waiting for the YEN to reach the target. Best of trades WAVETIMER
"Straddle" on the Yen. Can we make money on this?The Japanese yen option market bet on Straddle.
A "Straddle" is a type of options strategy that aims to profit from market volatility regardless of the direction of price movement. In simpler terms, a Straddle involves buying both a call and put option with the same strike price, creating a neutral position.
This type of strategy can generate profits if the market moves in either direction, but the profits are not realized immediately, rather, they occur after the market has passed certain price points. It is highly recommended that you read ourarticle published on TV for further understanding.
Despite the fact that examples are provided in post from stock market, where Straddles are more common, the principles and mechanics of this strategy are applicable to all markets.
So, on August 6th, a significant Straddle option portfolio was listed on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). The boundaries of this portfolio, which are indicated on the provided chart, represent reasonable entry points for the portfolio owner. Based on observations, the price tends to bounce off these boundaries. Therefore, these boundaries can be used to enhance our trading strategy. For trading in the direction of the current trend, of course! Not contr-trend!
Let's see if we can get a signal at the border and open up a position.
GBPJPY 10H / (Consolidation Zone)GBPJPY Analyse
The price will consolidate between 188.290 and 186.378 till breaking.
there is two scenarios after breaking the pivot zone
Bearish Scenario: stability under 186.378 by closing 4h canlde will supporr falling to get 184.120 and 182.450 then should stabilize under it to get a next bearish station 177.930
Bullish Scenario: the price should break 188.291 to be uptrend till 191.580
Key Points:
Pivot Line: 187.400
Support lines: 184.115, 182.495, 180.180
Resistance Lines: 188.290, 189.975, 191.585
Tendency: Downward
BoJ shows uncertainty, Yen WeakensThe BoJ indicated that it was not ready to hike rates further if the market continues with volatility
On release of the news, the Yen weakened, with the USDJPY rising to test the 148 price area
look for a potential breakout to the 149.50 price level as further yen weakness is anticipated
USD/JPY H4 | Potential bullish bounceUSD/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 144.29 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 141.53 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 150.86 which is a pullback resistance that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USD/JPY bull flag forms at extremely oversold levelsBy Monday's low, USD/JPY had fallen -12.5% from its July high and the daily RSI (14) had reached its most oversold level since 1996. And with a bullish inside day on Tuesday with a potential bull flag forming on the intraday timeframe, dups look good over the near-term for bulls. Whether it can truly capitalise on any decent rally depends on appetite for risk in general, but for now we look at a cheeky long.